total energy buy forcewe have an opportunity here buy with force we have a peak of volume and huge momentum
Treasurybonds
dollarthe dollar so far is normal but should not cross this support if it breaks with the volume we will see a huge shot
US10Year YieldIn my most novice opinion, the correlation of the the yield to SPY correlation has been off a bit due to a mix of tax sell offs and maybe some Omicron fear. However, although we are in a area in opinion, we should still be careful and watch how the correlation moves as we close out the end of 2021 and as we head into next year. GDP growth is slow but has been steadily recovering. Now it's a battle between new fear and prior recovery boost. It's been a movie. Let's see what happens!
US Treasury Yield - Bearish Trend is Recession!US 10 years treasury Yield touched it's weekly trend line and bounce, and if bearish trend will continue it's a sign of recession.
Why the correlation btwn US trsry bond yield and BTCUSD 2020/21I noticed the treasury bond yields are almost identical to the bitcoin/usd chart for 2020 and 2021 ever since the black swan event in March '20, but not in any other period prior to this cycle. Anyone have any insight into why this is and why this wasn't before?
Bearish Looking 10Y US Notes Can Push USDJPY HigherHello traders!
Today we will talk about 10Y US Notes and its negative correlation with USDJPY.
10Y US Treasury yields keeps pointing lower, as we see a bearish triangle formation within wave 4 correction that can send the price even lower for wave 5. If that's the case, then respecting correlations, USDJPY can see more gains for wave 5, as we also see a bullish triangle pattern within wave 4.
As you can see, triangle, a continuation pattern can be approaching the end, as we see the final subwave "e" in progress, so ahead of NFP report, be aware of that final 5th wave before we will see reversals.
Be humble and trade smart!
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Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
Elliott Wave Analysis - US 10Y YieldWho sets interest rates? Is it the central banks... or is it the free market?
Given that the FED's dovish approach clashes directly with this forecast, it would suggest that it is the latter.
My opinion: the FED isn't a leader, but a follower of the worst kind. Consistently making mistakes at the tops and bottoms of markets. If the market pushes rates higher for long enough, the FED will follow.
Naughty Nas Had a Bad Day! Why?!Shares of Goldman Sachs (GS), JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and other financial firms are advancing along with bond yields. The rate on the 10 year Treasury note is up 1.48%. If you did not know, those higher rates are pulling down shares of tech companies that benefit from lower borrowing costs. All the FAAMG stocks had experienced a red day due to this. When trading indicies always keep up with the fundamentals alongside your technicals. If you do not know what the 10yr Treasury Note is, I suggest googling it and get a better understanding of its fundamentals.
10 yrIf rates do not get blocked by that weekly 200 ema and reject from the 1.64 lvl then I would say we are heading into some serious pain for risk assets with a C wave target of 2.14 basis points. IDK guys but im thinking 1.64 holds and SP500 completes my C wave around 4250. Then back up to 5,000 EOY
US 10 YEAR TREASURY - Outlook over next 8 monthsLots of volatility for the next eight months on the US 10 year treasury. Overall rates are moving up, but a couple dip opportunities to lock in your borrowers rates, not a financial advisor, just my thoughts.
ZB1! Daily TimefameSNIPER STRATEGY
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Strong markets in Europe maintain risk-on sentimentMarkets in Asia and especially in Europe started September strongly after higher-than-expected inflation in the eurozone and very optimistic comments from ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos, who said that the eurozone economy is growing faster than the ECB expected, hinting at an upward revision of the central bank's growth forecast. On the downside, German retail sales disappointed in July, falling 5.1% month-on-month. Eurozone manufacturing PMI was lower than expected, but remained near record levels. August, normally a complicated month for the stock market, saw several record closes for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, with US equities pointing to a positive performance on the first day of the new month. The important 10-year US Treasury yield rose well above 1.3% again (currently at 1.32%). The USD remains weak ahead of the US jobs report in focus on Friday. Oil prices remained in a sideways range ahead of today's OPEC+ meeting. Ethereum broke through $3,500, the highest level since May 18. Bitcoin continues to trade in the $47K - $48K range.
Despite rising expectations that central banks will gradually move away from pandemic-era stimulus programs, markets continue to rise, showing that investment banks remain confident that the sustained rise in the stock market will continue. Statements from ECB officials showed that the ECB is optimistic about economic developments in the eurozone, but also that the conditions for a gradual withdrawal of stimulus measures are almost met. Higher 10-year US Treasury yields can be seen as an indicator that US investors also believe that economic growth will continue for longer. September was the worst month for equities in the last two decades, and we also see hedge funds preparing for a reversal. For now, markets remain optimistic, waiting for more clues on the Fed's plans for the coming months. The ECB's optimistic comments have eased growth concerns for now. Risk sentiment remains positive, supporting risk-sensitive currencies such as the AUD, NZD and emerging market currencies. The rise in the EUR is likely to continue as expectations rise that the ECB has started internal talks on scaling back stimulus measures, which the ECB will then report on in detail at the upcoming ECB meeting (on Sep 9).
US10Y Medium-term sellThe US10Y has confirmed the shift from bullish to long-term bearish as last week it broke below the Higher Lows Zone that has been holding since the August 07, 2020 bottom. The bounce however on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line on the left chart) is something to keep an eye on, but for the moment that is viewed as a Lower Lows rebound within a Channel Down (right chart).
The last Lower Highs were made at or close to the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line on the right chart). Since the 4H RSI has just entered its Resistance Zone, it may be a good time to start selling the US10Y. The target is 1.1600, above the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level (as seen on the left chart).
Most recent US10Y idea:
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Gold Sell UpdateGood day guys! This is just an update in regards to the position that my team and I are currently holding. In my previous chart, I highlighted how the technicals would be looking to create a rising wedge before continuing to the downside. As of today, the markets are revealing just that. With over 1200 pips and counting, we are still looking for the markets to continue to sell off, because the US government needs the value of gold to be lower for the dollar to strengthen. I mentioned this in my latter post as well, I believe this is going to be the final push to the down side before gold takes off to unprecedented levels before bottoming out. Understand this, Jay Powell and the Fed has come out this previous week to try to calm the markets, but verbally stating, "this is unsustainable." He was referring to the money machines going rapid and inflation moving to higher levels. I believe a top is looking to form in the stock market. This is not financial advice, for I am not a financial advisor registered with he SEC. I do believe in transparency. Therefore, I have began shifting my portfolio to the emerging markets, gold miners, commodities, etc. However, I have learned not to bet against the fed, for they can print whatever and the markets loves debt. We do appreciate you for checking out our post and remember, we will see you on the other side.
Rodrick (CEO)
Third Eye Traders
XAGUSD SHORTHello Trader I found Ascending Channel in 1 hrs Time frame and also it fails to break its Resistance level there is a good opportunity for selling if you find my analysis is helpful for you please follow. Thank You
Elliott Wave Analysis: TLT Has An Unfinished Five-Wave DeclineHello traders and investors!
Today we will talk about TLT treasury bond in which we see very interesting development.
We are observing a bigger A-B-C correction, where a five-wave decline within wave C looks to be unfinished. Currently we are tracking a three-wave A-B-C correction within wave 4) that can stop at the strong trendline connected from the highs, so watch out for another drop for wave (5) of C towards 130 support level before bulls show up.
Be humble and trade smart!
If you like what we do, then please like and share our idea.
Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
Copper breaking outTechnical Analysis
As you can see in the chart, every red square is showing a consolidation period, followed by a strong rally.
Today's action is showing strength as we are seeing a potential breakout, outside the 1-month consolidation period.
Trade setup
The light-blue arrows are potential measured moves. However, I would follow the 5sma or 10sma, as a stop-exit for 50% of your position.
Fundamental Analysis
There is some concern around inflation, all though the Fed maintains he believes it will be transitory.
Here is the way I follow inflation, which is a free chart by the Federal Reserve Economic Data :
fred.stlouisfed.org
Another way is with the TIP etf.
Rising Interest Rates Are ComingTightening monetary policies are coming. Throughout history, bond yields have been a clear telltale sign of rising interest rates. Throughout the last couple of months you can see bond yields have risen quite sharply.
There is no alarm to be raised just yet on the health of the market, just an early indicator that Feds will start tightening monetary policies. I will be watching bond yields closely as the next indicator for market uncertainty would be the yield curve.
Running into resistance soon.TLT has been walking up this trendline since about mid March but watch out, the pink line is a well established longterm trend that could prove to be major resistance. If that trendline holds we could see a reversal in bonds which would cause a rise in rates.
United States 10-Year Bond enough is enough As you see in this chart United States 10-Year Bond in PRZ of the bat pattern. We looking for selling opportunities ONLY
Elliott Wave: 10Y US Notes Is Finishing Five-Wave CycleHello traders!
10 Year US notes made a bigger decline recently, a clear impulse weakness down from start of the year which can be coming into late stages as we see price in wave five, but with room for 130'00. At the same time we see divergence on the Elliott wave oscillator, but with room for slightly more weakness to complete wave 5 cycle with a potential divergence.
... and as this bubble bursts; When and just how bad? ... (II.)... Feel free to come up with your own preferred narrative.
Here is the the Original Post;
This current post;
is generally just a cleaned up version of the original.
US 2 Year Treasury Yield Base Count - Ready to Pop> US 10 Year Yield rising
> US 30 Year Yield rising
> Bonds selling off pushing yields up
> Wyckoff base count developing
