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GBPUSD - Chasing the Bulls!!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈GBPUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in red. Moreover, the blue zone is a major daily support. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of daily support zone and lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #GBPUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
AUDCAD - Bulls Steppin in!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈AUDCAD has been overall bullish trading within the rising wedge pattern marked in blue. Today, AUDCAD is retesting the lower bound of the wedge. Moreover, it is approaching its previous weekly low. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of weekly low and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #AUDCAD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
3
XAUUSD BUY again all time high 1. Resistance Zones: The chart identifies multiple resistance levels, including a double-top resistance. However, if gold strongly breaks above the resistance, it may invalidate the bearish double-top pattern 2. Trendline Support: The trendline support is correctly identified, but trendlines are subjective. If broken, it could signal a trend reversal rather than a bounce. 3. Expected Price Movement: The projected price action assumes a pullback before continuing upwards, which is reasonable. However, the red arrow suggests a potential drop, which contradicts the bullish expectation. 4. Fundamental Factors: Gold is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors (interest rates, inflation, geopolitical risks). Ignoring these could make the analysis incomplete
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
Gold (XAU/USD) on a 4-hour timeframe, showing a potential short Chart Analysis: Current Price: $3,039.93 Resistance Level: $3,055.47 (marked as a key level where a sell opportunity is identified). Target Level: $3,000.73 (suggested as the take-profit area). Support Zone: Highlighted around $2,900. Trading Idea: The price is in an uptrend, but a potential reversal is expected at the $3,055.47 resistance level. If the price fails to break above this resistance, a short position could be considered. Entry Strategy: Sell near $3,055.47 upon confirmation of rejection. Target: A drop towards $3,000.73. Stop Loss: Above the resistance zone to manage risk. Conclusion: This is a counter-trend short setup, aiming for a pullback within the broader bullish trend. Traders should monitor price action near resistance before entering a trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PIPsOptimizer
XAUUSD TRADING STRATEGY BULLISH False Breakout Possibility: The breakout above the resistance level could be a fake-out, leading to a sharp reversal instead of a continued upward movement. A double top at the resistance level may indicate a stronger bearish reversal rather than further bullish momentum. 2. Overextended Trend: The previous strong bullish move could be overextended, leading to exhaustion. A correction or retracement back to trendline support is highly likely. The market could enter a consolidation phase instead of continuing the uptrend immediately. 3. Liquidity Grab Before Drop: Market makers often push prices above key resistance to trigger stop-loss orders before reversing the trend. The price could break resistance temporarily but then drop significantly back into the support zone. 4. Fundamental Factors: If economic news or central bank policies favor the USD, gold (XAUUSD) may weaken instead of continuing its bullish run
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
1
BTC - Bullish SOON!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. BTC has been in a correction phase, and it feels like it's taking forever! ⏳ As long as the blue trendline holds, the overall bias remains bullish. 📈 As BTC approaches the blue trendline—perfectly aligning with a demand zone and support—we'll be watching for trend-following longs to catch the next big impulse move upward. 🚀 For now, we wait! ⏳ 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
4
Why the Bitcoin Pi Cycle Indicator will not trigger this cycleIn this post, we’ll take a closer look at the Pi Cycle Indicator and explain why we believe it is unlikely to trigger in this cycle. Instead, we present an alternative signal that may better indicate the true Bitcoin top. Understanding the Pi Cycle Indicator The Pi Cycle Indicator has historically been highly accurate in predicting Bitcoin cycle tops. It consists of two simple moving averages: The 111-day simple moving average (SMA) (blue) The 350-day simple moving average (SMA) multiplied by two (green) A signal is generated when the 111-day SMA crosses above the multiplied 350-day SMA, which is marked by a red vertical line. Why This Signal Alone Isn’t Enough While this signal has been useful in the past, we believe it doesn't provide the full picture—specifically, it doesn’t indicate how strong the crossover is. By transforming this indicator into an oscillator that measures the ratio between these two moving averages, we gain a more nuanced perspective: In the chart, the green line represents the ratio between the two moving averages. When it crosses above the red horizontal line (ratio > 1), a Pi Cycle signal occurs (marked by a red vertical line). Notably, the 2017 signal was significantly stronger than the 2021 signal, suggesting a pattern of diminishing returns. We highly recommend checking out our post on diminishing returns and the overall timeline for the current cycle here . Additionally, we've developed our own Bitcoin model that factors in the effects of diminishing returns. Check it out here . The TRUE cycle top signal The key question is whether this diminishing return is strong enough to prevent a signal from forming in this cycle. Based on our analysis, we believe it is. By extrapolating this trend into the future using a white diagonal trend line, it becomes clear that the ratio will likely remain below 1, meaning no crossover is expected this cycle. Instead, we anticipate that the next Bitcoin top will occur at a ratio of approximately 0.9 , as indicated by the orange area on the chart. In summary, while the Pi Cycle Indicator has been a reliable tool in previous cycles, its diminishing strength suggests that it may not trigger this time. Rather than relying solely on this metric, we suggest considering looking deeper into the true value of this indicator instead.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Cryptonerds
USDCAD - Get Ready Bulls!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈USDCAD has been overall bullish trading above the blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. This week, USDCAD has been in a correction phase trading within the falling red channel. Moreover, the green zone is a strong demand. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of demand and lower red and blue trendlines acting as non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #USDCAD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
2
BITCOIN → Short-squeeze 86-89K before falling further to 75KBINANCE:BTCUSD continues to form a downtrend after breaking the bullish structure on the weekly timeframe. There is no bullish driver yet, and technically, the price is heading to the global imbalance zone of 75-73K The past crypto summit and any other talk of cryptovalt support cannot support the market. Such events end with further market decline. Technically, the market continues to form a downtrend (global counter-trend), based on this alone, we can say that the price is now going against the crowd and this is generally logical behavior. Globally, the zone of interest is located in the following zones - 75K, 73K and order block 69-66K Locally, I would emphasize the nearest liquidity zones, located at the top, which can be tested before the further fall: 86697, 89.397 Resistance levels: 85135, 86678, 89397 Support levels: 79987, 78173, 73512 After the false break of 78K support there is no strong reaction, the market is forming a struggle for 84-85K zone, which generally indicates buying weakness. Before the further fall there may be a short-squeeze relative to the above mentioned zones of liquidity, which may lead to a further fall Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by RLinda
32
Momentum Trading Strategies Across AssetsMomentum trading is a strategy that seeks to capitalize on the continuation of existing trends in asset prices. By identifying and following assets exhibiting strong recent performance—either upward or downward—traders aim to profit from the persistence of these price movements. **Key Components of Momentum Trading:** 1. **Trend Identification:** The foundation of momentum trading lies in recognizing assets with significant recent price movements. This involves analyzing historical price data to detect upward or downward trends. 2. **Diversification:** Implementing momentum strategies across various asset classes—such as equities, commodities, currencies, and bonds—can enhance risk-adjusted returns. Diversification helps mitigate the impact of adverse movements in any single market segment. 3. **Risk Management:** Effective risk management is crucial in momentum trading. Techniques such as setting stop-loss orders, position sizing, and continuous monitoring of market conditions are employed to protect against significant losses. 4. **Backtesting:** Before deploying a momentum strategy, backtesting it against historical data is essential. This process helps assess the strategy's potential performance and identify possible weaknesses. 5. **Continuous Refinement:** Financial markets are dynamic, necessitating ongoing evaluation and adjustment of trading strategies. Regularly refining a momentum strategy ensures its continued effectiveness amid changing market conditions. **Tools and Indicators:** - **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** This momentum oscillator measures the speed and change of price movements, aiding traders in identifying overbought or oversold conditions. - **Moving Averages:** Utilizing short-term and long-term moving averages helps in smoothing out price data, making it easier to spot trends and potential reversal points. **Common Pitfalls to Avoid:** - **Overtrading:** Excessive trading can lead to increased transaction costs and potential losses. It's vital to adhere to a well-defined strategy and avoid impulsive decisions. - **Ignoring Market Conditions:** Momentum strategies may underperform during sideways or choppy markets. Recognizing the broader market environment is essential to adjust strategies accordingly. By understanding and implementing these components, traders can develop robust momentum trading strategies tailored to various asset classes, thereby enhancing their potential for consistent returns. Source: digitalninjasystems.wordpress.com
CME:LBR1!Education
by j7892
The Two-Faced Market: The Truth Behind Trend Reversals!🎭 The Two-Faced Market: The Truth Behind Trend Reversals! 📊🚀 📢 Ever entered a trade thinking you caught the perfect trend , only to get stopped out as the market reversed? You're not alone. The market has a way of fooling traders—but if you understand its “two-faced” nature, you can stay one step ahead. 🔥 Why Trends Reverse (and How to Catch It Early!) Most traders believe trends reverse due to "news" or "randomness." But in reality, the market gives signals long before the turn happens. Here’s what to watch for: 🔹 Momentum Divergence: The price makes a new high, but indicators like RSI/MACD don’t. 🔹 Volume Anomaly: The trend continues, but volume dries up—a sign of weakness. 🔹 Failed Breakouts: Price breaks a key level, only to fall back inside—trapping traders. 🔹 Candlestick Clues: Reversal patterns like engulfing candles or wicks rejecting key levels appear. 🚀 Mastering these signals can put you ahead of 90% of traders. 📊 Real Example: XAU/ USD Trend Reversal in Action 🔎 Breakdown of the setup: ✅ Step 1: Identify a trend (through market structure, trendline or moving average). ✅ Step 2: Look for failed breakouts against the trend ✅ Step 3: Look for trend-following setups 🎯 The Market’s Game: Recognizing The Shift Trends don’t die suddenly—they fade before reversing. The best traders spot the early signs and position before the crowd. 💡 Have you spotted these reversal signs before? Drop a comment with your experience! 👇🔥 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by TheSignalyst
3
Donchian Channel Strategy like The Turtles TradersThe Turtle Traders strategy is a legendary trend-following system developed by Richard Dennis and William Eckhardt in the 1980s to prove that trading could be taught systematically to novices. Dennis, a successful commodities trader, bet Eckhardt that he could train a group of beginners—nicknamed "Turtles"—to trade profitably using strict rules. The experiment worked, with the Turtles reportedly earning over $100 million collectively. Here’s a detailed breakdown of their strategy, focusing on the core components as documented in public sources like Curtis Faith’s Way of the Turtle and other accounts from the era. Core Philosophy Trend Following: The Turtles aimed to capture large price trends in any direction (up or down) across diverse markets—commodities, currencies, bonds, and later stocks. Systematic Rules: Every decision—entry, exit, position size—was predefined. No discretion allowed. Volatility-Based: Risk and position sizing adjusted to each market’s volatility, not fixed dollar amounts. Long-Term Focus: They targeted multi-month trends, ignoring short-term noise. Two Trading Systems The Turtles used two complementary breakout systems—System 1 (shorter-term) and System 2 (longer-term). They’d trade both simultaneously across a portfolio of markets. System 1: Shorter-Term Breakout Entry: Buy when the price breaks above the 20-day high (highest high of the past 20 days). Sell short when the price breaks below the 20-day low. Skip the trade if the prior breakout (within 20 days) was profitable—avoid whipsaws after a winning move. Initial Stop Loss: Exit longs if the price drops 2N below entry (N = 20-day Average True Range, a volatility measure). Exit shorts if the price rises 2N above entry. Example: Entry at $100, N = $2, stop at $96 for a long. Trailing Stop: Exit longs if the price breaks below the 10-day low. Exit shorts if the price breaks above the 10-day high. Time Frame: Aimed for trends lasting weeks to a couple of months. System 2: Longer-Term Breakout Entry: Buy when the price breaks above the 55-day high. Sell short when the price breaks below the 55-day low. No skip rule—take every breakout, even after a winner. Initial Stop Loss: Same as System 1: 2N below entry for longs, 2N above for shorts. Trailing Stop: Exit longs if the price breaks below the 20-day low. Exit shorts if the price breaks above the 20-day high. Time Frame: Targeted trends lasting several months (e.g., 6-12 months). Position Sizing Volatility (N): N, or “noise,” was the 20-day Average True Range (ATR)—the average daily price movement. It normalized risk across markets. Unit Size: Risk 1% of account equity per trade, adjusted by N. Formula: Units = (1% of Account) / (N × Dollar Value per Point). Example: $1M account, 1% = $10,000. Corn N = 0.5 cents, $50 per point. Units = $10,000 / (0.5 × $50) = 400 contracts. Scaling In: Add positions as the trend confirms: Long: Add 1 unit every ½N above entry (e.g., entry $100, N = $2, add at $101, $102, etc.). Short: Add every ½N below entry. Max 4 units per breakout, 12 units total per market across systems. Risk Management Portfolio Limits: Max 4 units in a single market (e.g., corn). Max 10 units in closely correlated markets (e.g., grains). Max 12 units in one direction (long or short) across all markets. Stop Loss: The 2N stop capped risk per unit. If N widened after entry, the stop stayed fixed unless manually adjusted (rare). Drawdown Rule: If account dropped 10%, cut position sizes by 20% until recovery. Markets Traded Commodities: Corn, soybeans, wheat, coffee, cocoa, sugar, cotton, crude oil, heating oil, unleaded gas. Currencies: Swiss franc, Deutschmark, British pound, yen. Bonds: U.S. Treasury bonds, 90-day T-bills. Metals: Gold, silver, copper. Diversification across 20-30 markets ensured uncorrelated trends.
NASDAQ:IBKREducation
by j7892
EURGBP - Follow The Bears!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈EURGBP has been bearish trading within the falling channel in blue. Currently, EURGBP is approaching the upper bound of the channel. Moreover, it is retesting the upper bound of its range marked in blue. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the range and upper blue trendline. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURGBP is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
1
XAUUSD long term 1. Weakness at Support Zone (Bearish Risk) The price is hovering around the identified demand zone (blue box), but buyers are not showing strong defense yet. If this zone breaks, we could see a deeper correction toward $2,840 - $2,800, invalidating the bullish projection. The dotted red line suggesting an immediate bounce might be premature without a bullish confirmation candle or volume spike. 2. Trendline Breach (Bearish Confirmation) The ascending trendline (starting from February lows) has already been broken and retested. This typically signals a trend reversal or deeper pullback. If price remains below this trendline, the bullish continuation becomes less probable. 3. Possible Bear Flag Formation (Bearish Pattern) The recent sideways action (consolidation within the demand zone) could be forming a bear flag, which is a continuation pattern for a move down. A breakdown below $2,860 (flag bottom) would confirm this bearish pattern, targeting potentially $2,800 or lower. 4. Momentum Shift RSI/MACD (if checked) may show bearish divergence from recent highs or weakening momentum, suggesting buyers are losing control. Alternative Bearish Scenario (Disruption Path): If price breaks and closes below $2,860 - $2,840: Short-term target: $2,800 - $2,760. Invalidates bullish target of $3,000 for now
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
Hedge against the Bears by buying Agnic Eagle Mines LimitedWatch the video, I basically used technical analysis of MA, RSI and TTM Squuze to determine that the direction is bullish on the daily, weekly, and monthly charts. Then coupled that with a 1.66 R:R ratio according to Gabriel's Kelly-based Risk to Reward Ratio. You can use levearge here such as option since the Implied Volatility is still around the 30% level, for futures you could use 2x etf if there is one I haven't check. Seasonality supports AEM until May 8 so there is a wind to fall back out if it falls with a bullish engulfing candle this Monday.
NYSE:AEMLong
by OneWallStreetQuant
LINK - Strong like a Castle!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 Long-term, LINK has been overall bullish, trading within the rising wedge marked in blue. 🔻 Currently, it is in a correction phase, trading within the falling red channel. 📍 As it retests the lower bound of both the red and blue trendlines—perfectly intersecting with the green support—I will be looking for short-term longs. 🚀 For the bulls to take over long-term and initiate the next bullish phase, a breakout above the falling red channel is needed. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
3
EURJPY - Follow the Bears!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📉EURJPY has been overall bearish trading within the falling wedge pattern marked in red. Since it is retesting the upper bound of the wedge, I will be looking for trend-following sell setups on lower timeframes. For now, we wait!⏱️ 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
2
USDJPY STRONG FALLING OPPORTUNITY 1. 144.00 Support May Hold Strong The analysis assumes 144.00 will break, but this is a key psychological and historical support level. If buyers step in, USD/JPY could reverse back up instead of continuing downward. 2. Rebound Towards 150.00 Possible Instead of a lower low, USD/JPY could bounce off intermediate demand zones and attempt a retest of resistance at 150.00. US economic strength (inflation, interest rates) could support the dollar and invalidate the downtrend. 3. Lower Highs are Not Confirmed Yet If the price stays above 146.50, the trend could shift back bullish, disrupting the bearish projection. Lack of strong selling pressure near 147.00-146.00 could mean the market is undecided rather than fully bearish 4. Macroeconomic Factors Favor USD Strength If Bank of Japan (BoJ) remains dovish and the Fed keeps rates high, USD/JPY might resume its uptrend instead of falling
Long
by mrsamfx81
3
ETHUSD SURELY BULLISH 1. Support at 2130 May Fail The chart assumes a bounce from 2130 support, but if ETH breaks below this level, it could trigger further liquidations and push price toward 2000 or lower. Bearish divergence or weakening buy volume could signal a lack of strength. 2. Resistance at 2800 May Hold Strong The projection suggests ETH will reach 2800, but this could be a strong supply zone where sellers step in. If ETH struggles around 2400-2500, we might see a reversal instead of a breakout. 3. Lower High Formation If ETH fails to break above previous highs (~2265+), it could signal a lower high, leading to a downtrend continuation rather than a rally. Rejection near 2300-2400 might confirm a bearish structure. 4. Macroeconomic & Market Risks If Bitcoin corrects or macro factors (rate hikes, regulatory news, or stock market weakness) pressure crypto markets, ETH might struggle to sustain upside momentum
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
XAUUSD strong bullish 1. (Xauusd)Support at 2900 May Not Hold The chart suggests a bounce from the 2900 support area, but if market sentiment weakens, we could see a breakdown below 2900 instead of a recovery. If this happens, gold might dip further toward 2850 or even 2800 before regaining strength. 2. Trendline Breakdown is Possible There's an upward trendline acting as dynamic support, but multiple touches increase the chance of a breakdown rather than a continuation. A confirmed break below this trendline could lead to bearish momentum rather than a push higher. 3. Resistance May Be Stronger Than Expected The analysis suggests a move toward 2960-3000, but these levels could act as a strong resistance instead of a breakout zone. Failure to break 2960 might trigger another sell-off back toward 2900 or lower. 4. Macroeconomic Factors Could Shift Bias If the US Dollar strengthens or bond yields rise, gold could struggle to gain momentum, invalidating the bullish outlook
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
1