US500 - Follow the Optimism!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 As per my latest US500 analysis (attached to the chart), it rejected the blue circle zone and surged by over 5%.
What's next?
🏹 As long as US500 remains within the short-term rising channel marked in red, any bearish movement toward the lower red trendline should be considered a correction and a potential opportunity to look for trend-following long positions.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Trend
GOLD | Key Pivot Holding – Breakout or Rejection?GOLD Technical Analysis – February 21, 2025
Gold is currently trading within the pivot range at $2,935, showing consolidation. The price is still indecisive, and further movement depends on the next breakout.
The price is trying to touch $2918 from $2935, which means as long as trades below $2935.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If Gold closes below $2,918 and confirms with a 4H candle, it may continue its decline toward $2,907 and $2,895.
A breakdown below $2,873 will extend losses toward $2,860 and $2,840.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
Stability above $2,935 could push the price toward $2,956 and $2,974 in the next bullish attempt.
A breakout above $2,974 may lead to further highs.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: $2,935
Resistance Levels: $2945, $2,956, $2,974
Support Levels: $2,918, $2,895, $2,873
HelenP. I Bitcoin can break resistance level and continue growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. A few days ago, BTC entered a consolidation phase, where it initially dropped straight to the support level, aligning with the support zone. After that, it rebounded and quickly surged to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, before making a correction. Later, BTC climbed back to the resistance zone, briefly breaking into it, but then immediately reversed and fell back to the support level. The price spent some time trading near this level before making another move up, almost reaching resistance again, followed by another correction. Shortly after, it reversed direction and quickly rallied to the resistance zone once more, but then turned around and started declining. After some time, BTC dropped to the support level and broke below it, exiting the consolidation and reaching the trend line. Following this move, the price started to rise again, breaking through the support level once more before continuing its upward movement. In my view, BTCUSDT is likely to continue rising and break above the resistance level. After that, I expect a retest before further growth. My goal for this scenario is set at 100000. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
$SOL RSI Fully Reset! Could Very Well Have Seen the BottomI’ve been waiting a few days before posting an update on CRYPTOCAP:SOL to see if it forms a cluster that mimics the fractal before the Trump Pump.
So far it has been playing out perfectly.
I still think we might have a wick at the very least to retest $155, but it does not necessarily have to happen as we’ve already have some confirmed price action in that region.
Main target is reclaiming the DMA9 and then prior Trend.
The RSI has FULLY RESET, so we could very well have seen the bottom here.
Nearly doubled overnight from $2.27 Buy & Hold to $4.35NASDAQ:MLGO turned out to be the biggest gainer of the entire market this morning and I alerted entry with Buy & Hold Overnight Alert at $2.27 as it started moving after hours with expectation of $3.25+ this morning.
It went beyond $4 to $4.35 for a massive gain.
Also got into NASDAQ:MNDR but took an L on that one, overall nice overnight gain.
GOLD Approaching New Highs | Will It Hit $3000 Soon?GOLD Analysis | February 20, 2025
Gold continues its strong uptrend, pushing above the ATH and confirming its bullish momentum as we mentioned before. The price is currently trading around 2951, holding above the pivot line of 2935, indicating stability within the breakout structure.
Bullish Scenario:
As long as 2935 holds as support, the price is expected to continue its movement toward the resistance zone of 2956 - 2975.
A strong breakout above 2975 could signal further bullish momentum, with the next key target around 3000.
Bearish Scenario:
A rejection from the ATH could lead to a retest of 2935 and 2918.
If a 4H candle closes below 2918, this may trigger a correction toward 2873 before any potential rebound.
📌 Key Levels:
🔹 Pivot Point: 2956
🔹 Resistance Levels: 2975, 2985, 3000
🔹 Support Levels: 2935, 2918, 2873
💬 Will Gold sustain its momentum and reach new highs, or is a correction coming? Drop your thoughts below! 👇🔥
NASDAQ 100 Holds Above 22,100 – Ready for 22,292 Breakout? NASDAQ 100 (USNAS100) Technical Analysis – February 20, 2025
NASDAQ continues its bullish momentum, holding above the Pivot line and confirming strength in the uptrend. The price is now retesting key levels before its next move.
Technical Outlook
Bullish Scenario: As long as 22100 and 21970 hold support, the price will continue to increase toward 22,292 and 22,412. A breakout above 22,412 could extend the rally further.
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below 22100, it could trigger a short-term correction toward 21970 and 21900 before attempting another push higher.
Key Levels to Watch
🔹 Pivot Zone: 22100
🔹 Resistance Levels: 22200, 22292, 22412
🔹 Support Levels: 21970, 21900, 21807
📈 Directional Bias: The market is expected to test 22292, and as long as 22100 holds, the bullish momentum remains intact. A break below 22100 could lead to a short-term retracement.
💬 Will NAS100 hold above 22100 for a breakout, or is a correction coming? Drop your thoughts! 👇🔥
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Trend – Retest of Support Before BreakoutGold (XAU/USD) Bullish Trend – Retest of Support Before Breakout 🚀
📊 Timeframe: 4H
💰 Current Price: $2,938
📈 Trend: Strong Uptrend with Higher Highs & Higher Lows
Market Overview:
Gold is following a well-established bullish trend, consistently respecting the trendline support and bouncing off key support zones. The price is currently retesting a critical support level at $2,865, which aligns with previous breakout zones.
Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Support Zones: $2,865 (Major trendline support)
✅ Resistance Zones: $3,000 (Psychological level & next target)
✅ Potential Deeper Pullback: $2,730 (Secondary support)
Technical Analysis:
🔹 Trendline Holding: Price has respected the trendline multiple times, acting as dynamic support.
🔹 Support Zone Confirmation: Each dip into the support zones has led to a continuation of the uptrend.
🔹 Potential Breakout Towards $3,000: If support holds, gold could target the psychological level of $3,000.
Trade Plan:
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
A successful retest of $2,865 with bullish confirmation (strong candles, wicks rejecting lower levels) could trigger an entry.
Target: $3,000 (resistance zone)
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
If price breaks below $2,865, we could see a correction to $2,730 before resuming the uptrend.
EURNZD - Buy Setup at key ZoneOANDA:EURNZD is currently in a significant support zone, which has times before been a turning point for bullish moves. The recent bearish pressure brings the price into this critical area once again, creating a potential buying opportunity.
If bullish signals emerge, such as strong buying volume or bullish candlestick patterns, I expect the price to move toward 1,83700. However, a break below this support would invalidate the bullish bias and could lead to further declines.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
Gold Hits New Highs –Will Tariff Tensions Push It Toward $3,000?Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – February 19, 2025
Gold continues its bullish momentum, hitting a new all-time high, driven by safe-haven demand amid trade war tensions and economic concerns. U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement of a 25% tariff on autos has fueled further upside, along with expectations that central banks will continue buying gold to diversify reserves.
Investors are also watching the Federal Reserve’s meeting minutes, which could impact short-term market sentiment. However, any bearish impact from today’s FOMC minutes release is expected to be short-lived, keeping gold's bullish outlook intact.
Technical Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Gold remains bullish above 2,935, with the next upside targets at 2,956 and 2,974.
Bearish Scenario: A break below 2,935 could lead to a retest of the 2,920 breakout zone. Further weakness below this level may push the price toward 2,909 and 2,895.
Key Levels to Watch
🔹 Pivot Point: 2,935
🔹 Resistance Levels: 2,956, 2,974
🔹 Support Levels: 2,920, 2,909, 2,895
📈 Directional Bias: As long as gold trades above 2,935, the bullish trend remains dominant, targeting 2,956+. A break below 2,935 could trigger a correction before resuming the uptrend.
💬 Will gold push toward $3,000 on tariff tensions, or will we see a pullback first? Drop your thoughts! 👇🔥
EUR/USD Rejects 1.0469 – Drop to 1.0399 or Reversal Ahead?EUR/USD Technical Analysis – February 19, 2025
The price is rejecting from the pivot line at 1.0469, confirming bearish momentum after failing to sustain above the key level.
Technical Outlook
Bearish Scenario: As long as the price trades below 1.0469, the downtrend remains valid, targeting 1.0399. A break below this level could extend losses toward 1.0367 and 1.0288.
Bullish Scenario: To reverse the bearish momentum, EUR/USD must break back above 1.0469, which could trigger an upward move toward 1.0520 and 1.0605.
Key Levels to Watch
🔹 Pivot Point: 1.0436
🔹 Resistance Levels: 1.0520, 1.0605
🔹 Support Levels: 1.0390, 1.0367, 1.0288
📉 Directional Bias: The price is expected to drop toward 1.0399 while trading below 1.0469. A break below 1.0399 confirms further downside movement.
💬 Will EUR/USD hold below 1.0469 for further downside, or reclaim the level for a reversal? Drop your thoughts! 👇🔥
S&P 500 Eyes New ATH – Breakout or Pullback Next? S&P 500 (SPX) Technical Analysis – February 17, 2025
Market Overview
The S&P 500 is on the verge of breaking to a new All-Time High (ATH) as U.S. investors return from the long weekend. The index maintains strong bullish momentum, with traders eyeing fresh highs. However, historical seasonal trends suggest that a breakout could be followed by a deeper pullback, making it crucial to monitor key levels.
Technical Outlook
Bullish Scenario: As long as the price trades above 6123, the uptrend remains strong, targeting the next resistance levels at 6168 and 6225. A daily close above 6123 would reinforce the bullish momentum and increase the likelihood of further highs at 6279.
Bearish Scenario: If the index closes a 4-hour candle below 6098, bearish pressure may emerge, leading to potential declines toward 6031 and 6010.
Key Levels to Watch
🔹 Pivot Point: 6123
🔹 Resistance Levels: 6168, 6224, 6279
🔹 Support Levels: 6098, 6031, 6010
📈 Momentum remains bullish while above 6123, but a break below 6098 could trigger a pullback!
💬 Will S&P 500 break to new ATHs or face a pullback first? Drop your predictions below! 👇🔥
Gold at a Crossroads – Break 2934 for ATH or Drop to 2873? Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – February 17, 2025
Market Overview
Gold prices remain volatile amid ongoing concerns over U.S. tariff policies and anticipation of Federal Reserve officials' speeches, which could provide clues about future interest rate decisions. With U.S. markets closed for President’s Day, liquidity is expected to be lower, potentially increasing price swings.
Technical Outlook
Gold's price action suggests a potential corrective move toward 2918 before resuming a bearish trend targeting 2873. A decisive H1 or H4 candle close below 2873 would strengthen the bearish momentum, leading to further downside targets at 2859 and 2823.
On the upside, for gold to regain a bullish trend, it must break above the All-Time High (ATH) at 2934. If successful, the next resistance targets would be 2956 and 2974.
Key Levels to Watch
🔹 Pivot Point: 2906
🔹 Resistance Levels: 2918, 2934 (ATH), 2956, 2974
🔹 Support Levels: 2873, 2859, 2840
📉 Bearish Scenario: Below 2873, expect further declines to 2859 and 2823.
📈 Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 2934 would open the door to 2956 and 2974.
💬 Will Gold break 2934 for new highs or correct lower first? What's your outlook? Drop your thoughts below! 👇🔥
Oil Prices Struggle Below 71.78 – Bearish Trend in Play USOIL Analysis – February 17, 2025
Oil Holds Steady Amid U.S.-Russia Talks and Kurdistan Export Hopes
Oil prices remain stable as the market watches geopolitical developments, with U.S. and Russian officials set to meet in Saudi Arabia to discuss a potential resolution to the Ukraine conflict. Brent crude and WTI both saw a slight uptick of 0.4%, reaching $75.07 and $71.02 per barrel, respectively.
The overall sentiment suggests that demand for physical oil remains weak, while a potential peace agreement could lead to the lifting of Western sanctions and a partial resumption of Russian oil flows to Europe. Additionally, Iraq’s Kurdistan region has signaled that its long-halted oil exports might resume next month, adding further uncertainty to supply expectations.
Technical Outlook
WTI crude remains in a bearish trend as long as it trades below the 71.78 - 72.72 zone. If the price fails to reclaim this range, further downside pressure is expected, with targets at 68.55 and 67.03 per barrel. Given the current geopolitical landscape, sellers should remain in control unless a significant bullish catalyst emerges.
Key Levels to Watch
🔹 Pivot Zone: 70.50 - 71.78
🔹 Resistance Levels: 72.72, 75.00, 77.37
🔹 Support Levels: 68.53, 67.03, 63.51
📉 Trend Outlook: Bearish while below 71.78. Further declines could accelerate if 68.53 is breached.
Previous idea:
EUR/USD Bulls Eye 1.0600 – Uptrend Intact Above 1.0460 EUR/USD Analysis – February 17, 2025
Euro Gains 2% in a Winning Week as Dollar Struggles Amid Trade Policy Uncertainty
The US dollar remains volatile as markets react to uncertainty surrounding Trump's potential tariff plans. Traders are closely watching for new policy announcements that could introduce reciprocal tariffs, potentially affecting international trade balances.
Over the past six weeks, EUR/USD has been fluctuating within a range of 1.02 to 1.05, showing indecisiveness in the broader trend. However, recent price action suggests that the pair is gaining bullish momentum as long as key support levels hold.
Technical Outlook
EUR/USD remains in an uptrend, with bullish momentum expected to continue as long as the price stays above the 1.0460 - 1.0520 range. A sustained move above this zone would likely drive the pair toward 1.0600, and a breakout above this resistance level could accelerate gains toward 1.0677 and 1.0740.
However, if the pair fails to hold above 1.0440 and closes an H4 candle below this level, the bullish momentum could weaken, leading to a potential pullback toward 1.0367. A deeper decline below 1.0367 may expose further downside levels at 1.0288 and 1.0226, but at this stage, buying on dips remains the favored approach in alignment with the prevailing uptrend.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 1.0470 - 1.0440
Resistance Levels: 1.0600, 1.0677, 1.0740
Support Levels: 1.0367, 1.0288, 1.0220
Market Sentiment
While EUR/USD shows short-term bullish strength, much depends on the upcoming trade policy decisions. If tariffs are imposed, the US dollar could regain strength, potentially limiting the euro’s upside. However, if risk sentiment improves, the euro may continue its upward trajectory.
Statistically Likely Bitcoin Has A Large Positive Move ComingThe Continuation Indicator by Apex Algo Systems has once again flashed a new buy signal just a few months ago, adding to its strong historical track record on the 1-month chart. Every previous buy signal has preceded a significant market rally before reaching the next major top. Could this be another pivotal moment in the market cycle?
Historically, the indicator has identified powerful trend continuation setups, signaling high-probability opportunities before explosive price movements. By analyzing volatility dynamics, momentum shifts, and long-term price trends, the indicator helps traders recognize statistically extreme conditions that have historically led to major market moves.
In the attached image, you can see how every past buy signal has been followed by a substantial market rally. Now, with a fresh signal printed just a few months ago, history may be repeating itself once again.
🔥 Could this be the start of another massive move? Or will this time be different?
📊 Let’s discuss! Are you bullish after this signal? Do you think the market is following historical trends? Share your thoughts in the comments below! 👇
📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
Statistically Probable that Bitcoin Has NOT Topped YetBitcoin: No Statistical Evidence of a Top Yet 🚀
Based on the analysis using the indicator: Statistically Extreme Areas by Apex Algo Systems, there is no confirmation that Bitcoin has reached a market top at this time. This indicator is designed to identify historically extreme conditions, signaling when price action is statistically overextended.
🔍 Key Observation:
Unlike previous cycle tops, where extreme readings were clearly registered, the current market environment has not yet reached those levels. This suggests that Bitcoin may still have room to run before hitting an exhaustion point.
📊 What This Means for Traders & Investors:
✅ Momentum Still Intact – No statistical evidence of a peak.
✅ Potential for Further Upside – Historically, markets tend to top only after hitting extreme conditions.
✅ Caution & Confirmation Needed – While no extreme has been detected, market conditions can change, and risk management remains essential.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Historical probabilities do not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
What do you think? Could Bitcoin be headed higher? Let’s discuss! 👇 🚀
OM's Meteoric Rise: Time to Buy the Dip or Short the Top?OM has been on an astronomical journey, soaring from $0.0173 on 12 October 2023 to an all-time high of $6.485 on 7 February 2025 – a jaw-dropping +37,494% increase in just 484 days. Currently ranked 26 with a market cap of $5.5B, OM’s meteoric rise has everyone asking: Is OM topping out, or is there still more upside? Could a significant correction be on the horizon? Let’s dive into the technicals and explore our trade setups with high conviction, backed by a wealth of confluence.
Market Structure & Historical Context
Between mid-November 2024 and the end of January 2025, OM traded within a 70-day range, oscillating between $4.4 and $3.3. The Point of Control (POC) for this range is around $3.87, marking a critical level where price action has repeatedly converged. This trading range provides the backdrop for our analysis, highlighting both key support and potential resistance zones that may dictate OM's next move.
Key Support Zones & Confluence
A multitude of technical indicators converge around the $3.87 level, making it a crucial support area:
1.) Fibonacci Retracement Confluence:
Taking the Fibonacci retracement from the low at $3.173 (25 January 2025) to the recent high, the 0.786 retracement level lands at $3.8818—just a hair above our POC.
2.) Channel Median Line:
The median line drawn through the highs and lows of the 70-day trading range reinforces the significance of this area.
3.) Moving Averages:
The weekly 21 EMA/SMA currently sits between $3.63 and $3.31, and as they trend higher, we can expect them to approach $3.9 in the coming week, offering additional support.
4.) Trend Indicator (Beta):
On the 4-hour timeframe, my new upcoming Trend Indicator highlights bullish momentum edging around $3.75, further consolidating support.
5.) Fibonacci Extension:
The 1.271 Fibonacci extension from the previous low at $4.4 places a key level at $3.8329, adding yet another layer of confluence.
Collectively, these factors create a robust support zone, suggesting that any retracement towards this level might serve as an attractive entry point for long positions.
Resistance Levels & Trade Setups
Resistance Analysis
OM has repeatedly faced strong resistance near the $6 mark:
Rejection Patterns:
The chart reveals multiple rejections around $6, with a notable Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) at $6.295 that confirmed bearish pressure.
Short Trade Opportunity:
Previously, the rejection at $6.295 offered a low-risk short trade: risking about 3% for a potential gain of 17% to the Fibonacci retracement level of 0.618 (approximately $5.1965), which was nearly reached.
Potential Trade Setups
Short Trade Setup
With OM encountering strong resistance around $6 and historical rejections at key levels, a breakdown could spark further downward movement.
Entry & Stop Loss:
Entry: Initiate a short position if price fails to break decisively above $6.
Stop Loss: Set a 5% stop loss above the previous SFP.
Targets & Risk/Reward:
Targets: Consider targets at $4.7 (yielding approximately +22%) or $4.0 (around +34%).
Risk/Reward: This setup offers an impressive risk/reward ratio of 4:1 to 6:1.
Long Trade Setup
The multiple layers of support around $3.87 present an attractive opportunity for long entries should the price retrace, despite the overall bullish structure. Historically, OM has bounced off its 21 daily EMA/SMA, as marked by previous green box zones on the chart.
Entry Strategy & Laddering:
Entry: Look for long entries if price pulls back to the support zone.
Laddered Positions: Consider scaling in with positions between $4 and $3.75. This dollar-cost averaging (DCA) approach will help optimise your entry over the pullback.
Stop Loss & Target:
Stop Loss (SL): Set your stop loss below $3.58 to account for volatility while protecting against a breakdown.
Take Profit: Target the $4.5 level as your primary take profit.
Risk/Reward:
With laddered entries between $4 and $3.75, this setup provides an approximate risk/reward ratio of 2:1, though the exact ratio will depend on your specific DCA entry points.
Final Thoughts
Only execute shorts with clear confirmation from order flow analysis.
Conversely, a pullback towards the support zone presents an appealing long opportunity for those confident in OM’s enduring momentum.
As always, it’s essential to monitor price action closely and adjust your strategy as new data unfolds.
Okay. Wrapping up this analysis. Wishing you all profitable and successful trades! =)
XAUUSD is still on bullish rally In our previous commantary we mentioned have 2930 on mark.
As we have closed our buy orders at 2928 and
our entry was 2908.
What possible scenario do we have?
At moment selling is limited, we are expecting a little correction at 2930-28 ,where we have possible buying options till 2950 first 2963 in extension.
On the other hand, if 2930 invalidated then our buying will be invalid and we'll wait for the structural support at 2920.
Below 2920 we have 2880 on mark.
GBPUSD WEEKLY OUTLOOKThe daily timeframe market structure is showing a clear bearish trend. Price has failed twice to break the last low high to create a new trend. Therefore, the trend remains bearish and we should only look for sells.
However, on the 4H timeframe, we do not have a clear confirmation on which direction the price wants to move. Yes, we have the long-term trend, but the market is not yet set up on the lower timeframe. Price have been ranging from Jan 27th to the present day. We shall wait for a clear BOS on the 4H timeframe before we look for an entry.
Biggest stock gainer of the week still on strong uptrend $AIFFForget all the NASDAQ:NVDA NYSE:RDDT NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:PLTR and other 5% tiny movers, this stock NASDAQ:AIFF takes all the prizes this week, 1st, 2nd, and 3rd medal on podium!
Consistent steady uptrending on huge volume allowing any kind of size for huge gains!
Mentioned it early at the start of the week and kept buying as long as uptrend held for a power move into vertical.