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Trend-following

Ascending Triangle Formation On NZD/CADHello Traders. I present to you another tactical trading Tuesday. This time we are looking into two long positions both into a trend continuation bias. The order levels are plotted on two consecutive trades based around the 4h trend line as well as the S/R levels around said trend line. Any deviation from these projections will deem these entry levels invalidated and consequently cancelling all trading. Stops are in place as per usual based around S/R levels as well. Trade safe, Trade well.
Long
by fromzerotospyro
New Zone of Interest for EUHello Traders Here my new projections on the all time favorite pair. I don't think you really need anything more than a single trend line to determine entries/exits. Trying to take advantage on an intermediate downtrend formation. As my trend line suggests I am looking to go with this move and short the euro but the point in price will depend largely on the point of contact with said trendline. No contact, No trade Trade safe, trade well.
Short
by fromzerotospyro
EURUSD UPCOMING DOVESHello Traders, Following some negative inflation data from Germany and further upcoming bad data from EU tomorrow it would be surprising to see EU breaking this downward turn toward 1.19. Any counter trend trade would be an option only if the green trendline was broken. Until then there is no clear reason to buy eurusd. Apart from the fact that the overall trend remains an uptrend (if you look at daily charts). This is more of a short/medium term entry. Any deviation from the original plot would invalidate the trade and should be cancelled promptly. Trade safe. Trade well. Thank you.
Short
by fromzerotospyro
What is the job of a trend-following trader?The chart is not going to tell anyone whether to go long or short. I cut deeper than that. This post is about what I see as the job of a trader, who wants to be consistently profitable over a long time using trend following strategies. The following therefore excludes systems that tend to have fixed targets, such as harmonic trading and exploiting levels of support and resistance. Trend-followers usually do not have fixed targets as they do not know how far a trend would go before changing. My job as a trend-following trader is to do the following: Estimate probability of direction of future price movement based on a sound system of analysis. Engage losses but make them controlled and reasonable within a sound methodology. Exploit probability of price movement in a favoured direction by trailing the trend. Have realistic expectations of gain in any single trade relative to the Average True Range (or other suitably reliable measure of volatility). For trading situations where the Average True Range is high, stop-losses need to be acceptable and broad. Sometimes 2 x Average True Range is used as a rule of thumb. However, human judgement has to prevail. On occasions some instruments have a pattern of spiking deeply down or up, and recovering. For those a stop-loss of 3 x Average True Range may be better to avoid being stopped out. If 3 x Average True Range or even 2 x Average True Range is unacceptable as a loss I do not enter the trade. Too often new traders are spiked out and left behind. Average True Range varies by time frame and naturally so does visual appreciation of volatility. Make volatility your friend - and treat her with respect. Develop ' nerves of steel '.
Education
by Captain_Walker
$AMZN Bullish Entry on Fundamental MoveAmazon (AMZN) announced as a catalyst to the upside they'd be eliminating a non-profitable acquisition from 7 years ago. This gave the bulls a run due to the massive cash flows dumped back into acquiring and expansion of the company, and shows a shift in focus to producing hard earnings numbers down the road. This likely will drive price further up into the earnings announcement due to speculation of further growth in the company in the long run. Granted, from a long term perspective, AMZN is one of our least favorite companies fundamentally due to the huge overvaluation it currently poses to earnings, but from a short term perspective, it's great for a short term Skip-strike butterfly or spread trade.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by EdgeAnalytics
We're Going Long GOOG For A BargainAlphabet's (GOOG) stock has been trending upward for quite awhile, and we've been keeping a close eye on it.  We've raised our risk level on most of the massively expensive tech stocks due to our views on the overinflated prices from the "Trump Trade" since the election.  Already, our speculation of the market correction seems to be in-effect dependent on the next few days' price action with the S&P 500 ETF (SPY). But in the meantime, we think the short term outlook for Google is bullish, and this evinced itself when it continued its uptrend with the break of the last up-fractal at $836.26 on Friday, March 9th.  Although the option liquidity is not our most favorite spread width, we saw a recent catalyst occur as well with the introduction of Gmail money which will likely crush the likes of Venmo and potentially Paypal.  Not to mention, Alphabet's subsidiary Waymo filed suit against Uber for stealing trade secrets through one of Uber's recently acquired autonomous car companies "Otto".  After reading the details of what the suit entails, it revolves around a former Google employee stealing designs of proprietary LIDAR technology and using it for his autonomous truck startup (which Uber acquired). The lawsuit will likely be a hefty sum, and due to the somewhat "smoking gun" Alphabet has from email traffic showing the design in question, the odds favor Alphabet in winning the proprietary suit down the road. From a fundamental standpoint, the Google news about the Gmail money concept will likely drive upward sentiment to execute a further uptrend following strategy. So how are we getting this at a discount? Here's the trade: Buy 3x Puts; 7 Apr 17 Exp; $845 Strike  $10.04 Sell 6x Puts; 7 Apr 17; $850 Strike          $12.37 Buy 3x Puts; 7 Apr 17; $852.50 Strike   $13.85 Max Risk: $495.00 Max Sweet-Spot Reward: ~$855.00 Max Reward Passed $852.50 Strike: $255.00 Our trailing stop will follow our middle moving average currently at $825.14 and moving upward.
NASDAQ:GOOGLong
by EdgeAnalytics
AAPL Buy or Short Opportunity If You're Late to the PartyWe've been riding the Apple run-up train ever since late January, with arguably the cleanest uptrend since Summer 2015 that made your average weekly call option trader a boatload of cash.  While we've been redesigning our site heavily due to customer feedback, we've been executing our trades on the side, and AAPL is no exception. But be forewarned, no trend lasts forever, especially when viewing daily chart price action.  AAPL's uptrend has held strong with very little sign of weakness due to the "Trump Trade", but our trailing stop is moving upward knowing we're due for a close at a rather substantial profit soon. But you may ask "What if I want to buy AAPL now?". Well, I'd tell you to have patience. Why? Because, when utilizing our system we take into account supply/demand of an equity at a certain price, as according our chart, we've established one such support/resistance point at $140.27.  If AAPL closes above that price point without any reversal signs given, we'd probably at least trade a bull option spread.  I wouldn't buy the stock outright at that price simply because of AAPL's valuation being many times earnings, and the substantial downside risk and possible correction to come. Even more to the downside, there's likely going to be a down-fractal support point formed at the $137.05 mark, and if the price corrects to the level or below, look to buy some deep ITM puts or trade a bearish skip-strike butterfly (Broken-Wing) Option Spread. One other point to make is earnings happening next month. AAPL is one of the highest risk equities to trade during earnings, and from personal experience, can make or break your trade if you're just now coming in on a big move like this one from the past couple of months.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by EdgeAnalytics
1
SP500 still got legsIt's always difficult to call a top in uncharted territory or see how long the trend will hold. The S&P index has been in a beautiful trend for quite sometime now and, as with any trend, new entrants may become increasingly more anxious of getting in too late. From the very simple analysis here, it looks like the index has some way to go before one needs to prudent and contemplate exiting the positions. Here we have weekly chart that is making all time highs. The fib extension from last peak to trough suggest 2100 as the next major level and the rally doesn't look too overbought from CCI. The vol is low (The reasons for low vols are well documented and that's a topic for another discussion). As such, it is to early to be worried about booking profits or even contemplating whether it's too late to enter. The music is still playing
SP:SPXLong
by Kaustubh
1