Trend-reversal
Bitcoin hitting Massive Long-Term SupportThis week Bitcoin has reached the long-term support, that is 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $4387. At the same time it reached the bottom of the descending triangle, and almost tested the 200 Moving Average. Fibonacci, applied to the correctional wave up after breaking the uptrend trendline, is pointing on the $4050 level, that is a 161.8% retracement.
This makes the area between the $4050 and $4400 a key long-term support, which might play a very important role in further price development. If support will be respected, BTC/USD upside correction could be expected, aiming at the upper trend line of the triangle pattern.
However, downside risk remains and Bitcoin could drop further. It is not a high probability scenario, but definitely should be considered as one of the possible outcomes in the coming future. Weekly break and close below the $4050 most likely will send price down to the $2400-2250 support area, which is confirmed by 88.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
It seems the very important factor is that on the weekly chart price has approached 200 Moving Average and Fibonacci support, Indeed it will not be ignored, but potentially already noticed by all market participants. Well, maybe this is the turning point for the all cryptocurrency market in general and Bitcoin in particular? In any way, even if that is a reversal phase, usually a consolidation period takes place prior to the reversal.
Lets summarize… while the huge support area has been reached, price is likely to reverse or consolidate. To claim that trend is reversing is far too early, especially while there are no confirmation of that. Triangle pattern should be watched for break above or below, which might give more insights of further price direction.
EOS selloff might be ending as price approaching the demand zoneYesterday EOS has been trading near $5.4, where it formed the support. But today it has experienced a fast decline, and throughout the day lost over 7%. EOS/USD reached $5.05 low today and after small retracement is trading at $5.15.
It seems that after the fast price drop, there won’t be a fast recovery, especially after price broke below the descending channel. Usually it takes time for price to confirm the bottom, consolidate and only then establish reverse. As trend is bearish, the probability that price will drop even further remains high. At this stage it is very risky to go against the trend and start buying EOS.
The nearest support is seen at $5.00. This is a very strong physiological support, confirmed by the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. If that support is broken, EOS/USD might drop down to 88.6% Fibs at $4.84. Therefore, another 3% or 6% decline can be expected in the near future.
Technically, price is trending down, although unexpected trend reversal might also take place. While the nearest resistance area is between $5.04 - $5.46, EOS must break above $ 5.5 with confidence. Such price action would indicate bullish intentions of the EOS, which obviously could trigger accumulation of buy orders.
In short, trend is bearish and is expected to go down more. Only break above the resistance might indicate otherwise.
Komodo (KMD) – What makes it great and different?Komodo is a blockchain platform for creating decentralized applications. Some call it a “Blockchain 3.0”, while Bitcoin considered 1.0 version and Ethereum is 2.0.
KMD is referred to as the next generation blockchain as its’ capabilities are far beyond of those offered by BTC and ETH.
Comparing to the Bitcoin, Komodo should be able to handle a lot more transactions and comparing to Ethereum, where tokens remain tied to the platform, it allows tokens to remain independently with their specific set of laws. This makes Komodo unique, as it offers a new way of freedom in the industry, freedom that has never been given previously.
At the time of writing KMD is trading at 18k satoshis, which is 15% higher than just a few days ago. It looks like price is reversing slowly and first indication of a potential trend reversal could be the very high volume over the past 3 days. Additionally, KMD/BTC rejected the 76.8% Fibonacci support level and RSI oscillator rejected the uptrend trendline after which broke above the downtrend trendline.
As the trend might be turning bullish, yet price has to start to produce higher highs and higher lows first, which is not the case now. In addition to that, Komodo is facing a strong resistance, formed between the 21k and 23k satoshis (23.6% Fibonacci levels).
When/if the resistance is broken, price might start exponential growth, reaching either 31k or 37k satoshis resistance level, that is 100% growth potential over the Bitcoin. However, while KMD remains below the 23k, more consolidation to be expected. And finally, daily break and close below the 14350 satoshis level will likely result in a drop towards the 10k psychological support.
To summarize, it could be a very early stage of the Komodo uptrend, although currently, price action does not completely support that assumption. Considering the fact of the increasing trade volume, more volatility yet to come, potentially resulting in a breakout.
Support:
1. 0.0001554
2. 0.0001435
3. 0.0001000
Resistance:
1. 0.0002086
2. 0.0002310
3. 0.0003140
4. 0.0003725
Gold Trend Reversal - Double Bottom, MACD and OBV divergence Gold is currently at a 13 month low and key indicators are starting to show a potential trend reversal. On Balance Volume is showing a divergence over the past week. OBV is a key momentum indicator and divergences in price and indicator usually provide a reversal signal. MACD indicator is a common divergence indicator and is showing clear divergence. Also, it is showing a clear triangle formation with classic Elliot wave movements ABCDE.
The price channel of Gold has failed to touch the lower support line but instead created a horizontal support equal to the previous 13 month low on July 10th 2017. There is a strong confluence of indicators and price action that suggest a trend reversal. When the trend reverts to bullish, I expect a very strong bullish move up as volume levels are at extreme lows.
Also on the chart is my faithful Ichimoku indicator, its an indicator I have been using recently and is especially helpful for finding Elliot waves and confirmation of price trends.
I am quite confident about this one.
NZDUSD Price at Support Level, Potential Trend ReversalAs seen from the chart, NZDUSD currency pair is now a support level.
There is a chance that the price will bounce off the support level and make a trend reversal and thus, making it a good opportunity for a long trade.
Do let me know what you guys think.
OMG/USD Long 1:2 Mid-Term TradeLong Entry: 6.65-6.90
Target 1: 7.19
Target 2: 7.27
Target 3: 7.35
Stop Loss: 6.58 for tighter one
Risk:Reward 1:1.78 to 1:2 according to your entry level.
Time: 3 days 12hours.
This is a trade I'm in right now, I got in a bit early at 6.96 but I will accumulate my position down between 6.8 and 6.65 range. OMG has upcoming 3 events. 2 Exchange Listing and a summit.
July 30 - Listing on Coinx(www.coinevents.co)
July 31 - Listing on BitPanda
August 1 - Decentralized Web Summit
Also they have an Airdrop - Electrify.Asia in August according to coincalendar.com
If we reach the targets according to plan I might hold the position and change the targets for a potential uptrend reversal. Also you can see the 2 possible scenarios by looking at the white and yellow elliot waves. Let's see how this is gonna work out.
Short trade on EURAUDHi all,
i've been looking at this pair over the last days, and it finally turned into a trading opportunity right now. The blue zone is a structure zone in which price has lately been very sensitive and it's also been a zone in which price has gone overbought on the 4hr chart, also creating a short candlestick with an engulfing candle. Moreover, on the hourly timeframe price has created a strong bearish leg, which signifies selling pressure. A conservative trader would wait for a break of the hourly support, i'm entering now because my trading rules are met.
If you have questions, feel free to comment below.
Otherwise, see you in the next chart!
Short setup on EURAUDHi all,
i've been looking at this pair over the last days, and it finally turned into a trading opportunity right now. The blue zone is a structure zone in which price has lately been very sensitive and it's also been a zone in which price has gone overbought on the 4hr chart, also creating a short candlestick with an engulfing candle. Moreover, on the hourly timeframe price has created a strong bearish leg, which signifies selling pressure. A conservative trader would wait for a break of the hourly support, i'm entering now because my trading rules are met.
If you have questions, feel free to comment below.
Otherwise, see you in the next chart!
EUR/USD multi timeframe weekly outlookWEEKLY CHART
Weekly close is a quite significant rejection with a little bit of indecision close to a psychological and technical level (1.15).
Expectation for the next candle, so for next week, is a slightly more bullish week. Reason for this is because of the indecision that's still visible. Longer term outlook would be a stronger bullish move if we look at the moment.
DAILY CHART
On the daily chart the bearish structure is still there. Looking for price to create a bottom with significant rejection near the 1.15 level to go up again. Makes sense if you look at the weekly chart again, there was still some indecision, looking at the daily chart you can confirm that by price not made a bottom yet.
4H CHART
On the 4H chart we clearly see price going down, showing a strong move up, one of the strongest in this downtrend, which may be an early sign of trend reversal. As long as we don't see a break up on the given level, we stay bearish.
1H CHART
A lot of indecision on the 1H chart. Loads of rejections, but if you would put a gun on my head, I would say bearish, because the creation of the highs are not that strong anymore.
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If you want me to do this more often, feel free to let me know and give some feedback! Always here for a trade talk.
GBPCHF short position - still running - target 4RGood morning everyone,
sharing with you the principles I used to get this nice position on GBP/CHF.
The strong move visible on 4h chart caught my eye, signaling an unstable bullish environment. I entered on the 5m chart at pivot rejection + 50ema break. Price took a while to move and actually got against me for a while, then crashing pretty quickly.
My target is the Weekly 0.382 Fibonacci retracement
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Only one way to go for $GSAT !$GSAT is looking great guys! The set up is beautiful! Aroon indicates a reversal coming. Great recent news with the announcement of Sat-fi 2 finance.yahoo.com
Not to mention an anticipated earnings report. I'm bullish long on this. Follow that Fib to find your Entry and Exit points! Don't forget to Like and Share the wealth! SoWaVvY Trading
Bitcoin (BTC) : RedemptionI believe the day has finally arrived..
And it's happening today..
1st Target for BTC is $10910 - $10920..
It's really been enough of this bearish shite..
So many opportunities in crypto right now.. Many of you seem despondent to the point of losing hope.. There's no need for this.. I'm sure there are much better TA's out there.. But none of them are popular.. So don't listen to the hype.. Bitcoin is not going down..
Below is the movement for the last few hours since it turned around..
Same area, zoomed out a bit.. Expecting it to move up and touch the top (left side of the fan):
I find this quite interesting:
I'm expecting the double bottom (Not a damn head and shoulders) to complete and move up rapidly.. Should retrace a bit after hitting the target, but that much is just a guess.. It could well surprise everyone..
Which is what I'm hoping for..
Enjoy your day..
EURNZD finally moving Hello everyone,
after being stopped out last week, FX_IDC:EURNZD finally broke down. I have to say it made me sweat a bit, but my stop was very well protected by the 1.7100 level and Fibonacci retracements. If I could go back I would probably extend it a little bit further to have R1 on both 1h and 4h between price and SL.
Given price has been ranging between the 1.7100 and 1.6600 levels since the end 2017 until now (at the top of a year lasting uptrend) I'd say that price could now head toward the 1.5000 region or even lower (accumulation phase over)
TP set just before 1.6600
Check the link in my profile to get 2 free lessons and learn a professional approach to trading
BTCUSD - Potential Long Term Entry LevelI'm giving BTC a try for the first time since getting out of the market in December '17.
Chart looks pretty bullish right now. Nethertheless, this is a pretty risky long term trade, so I'll keep position size small und may add some if momentum develops.
If Bitcoin falls below 5000$, I'll expect some further downward movement and will be stopped out.
This is definitly not investment advice, purely based on technical analysis and more of a market overview than a trade.
AUDUSD for a rally then dropI see AUD rallying up and then reversing once the purple zone is reached, if granted, it consolidates and shows signs of reversal. Please check out my full video analysis opinions on AUDUSD, EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCAD and USDJPY price action this week at
www.vma3fx.com
Any welcome feedback is appreciated!
Bulls lift us up out of current bear flag after support of 50MAInteresting development...after reaching the drop target price of our original bull flags bearish breakdown, and wicking below the %)MA a couple times, suddenly the Bulls woke up and found a way to lift the price action up out of the most recent bear flag that was forming and carry it all the way back above the Tline...flipping the T Line back to a support role before closing the 4hr candle above it. A very very interesting turn of events because now as you can see indicated by the new hot pink trendlines, we have a potential breakout of a fairly good sized descending triangle if the newest 4hr candle can close above this triangle as well as above the recent bear flag we will have a confirmed breakout of both and you can see the projected price target of the bear flag breakout on the chart, indicated by the dotted green vertical trendline....but more impressive of a gain would be the dotted hot pink descending triangle breakout target line. both lines howevers targets are above the ever important resistance line of the 100MA(in blue) which used it's strong resistance to reverse the initial bull run we were on in the first place....both of these breakouts combined if they end up being confirmed would carry the type of bullish momentum we would need to both surpass the 100MA on this 4hr chart but also likely prevent the impending "death cross" on the 1 day chart....for now this idea will remain neutral...we need to see a confirmation close before we switch to long...this could potentially be another fakeout...and we never reached the last bear flags bearish price target drop so we may still need to do that first before a turnaround...best to stay neutral until this current 4 hour candle closes, but a very interesting development none the less. Thanks for reading ***not financial advice***