AUDNZD - Wait For The Next Bearish Impulse!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 AUDNZD has been overall bearish , trading within the falling wedge in red.
Currently, AUDNZD is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching the upper bound of the wedge.
Moreover, it is retesting strong supply zone marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for trend-following sell setups as it is the intersection of the green supply zone and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #AUDNZD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Trend
MOBILE NEW INCREASE VOLUMEMOBILEUSDT has a good chance to show a new increase in volume trend in the coming time, on this reason interesting to check for confirmations.
Good chance means not a guarantee that this coin should increase since it will be interesting depending on the study.
The last week the trend was stable since BTC.
If this coin can get a confirmation, it will be updated further.
Trading is about combinations.
US DOLLAR INDEX The us dollar index opened with a gap. today the us dollar index which was closed at 104.94 opened at 105.5 with 11 point gap.
this gap may be an indication that us dollar is going to resume its upward momentum this week which it has started on last Friday.
if this momentum continues it will be a fall for xauusd.
more clear cut analysis will be posted soon .
but please post your comments which will be helpful to understand what the crowd thinks and thus understand market sentiments.
LIKE BOOST FOLLOW US
Fed Expected to Hold Rates Amid Mixed Economic IndicatorsFed Expected to Hold Rates Amid Mixed Economic Indicators
Focus on CPI Data and Rate Decision:
Wednesday's U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision are in the spotlight. This follows rate cuts by the Bank of Canada and the European Central Bank last week. However, the Fed is not expected to follow suit—at least not immediately.
CPI Growth Expectations:
U.S. CPI growth for May is anticipated to remain steady at 3.4% year-over-year. Energy prices likely declined in May as oil prices edged lower, while core CPI (excluding food and energy) is expected to decrease slightly to 3.5% from 3.6% in April. This reflects a more normal 0.2% month-over-month increase. Additionally, home rent price growth is projected to slow, alongside a decrease in the core services ex-rent measure that Fed policymakers closely monitor. In April, this measure increased by 0.4%, down from an average of 0.7% per month over the first quarter of the year.
Inflation Pressure Measures:
The diffusion index, which gauges the breadth of inflation pressures, has shown little improvement recently. Fed policymakers believe the current interest rates are restrictive enough to eventually bring inflation back to the 2% target. Firm U.S. employment numbers in May, including a slight increase in wage growth, indicate no immediate pressure on the Fed to lower rates.
Interest Rate Outlook:
Our base case scenario suggests that the Fed will not be in a position to cut interest rates until December. This assumption hinges on the expectation that economic growth and inflation will slow in the coming months.
Technical Analysis: SP500 Index Outlook
Weekly Chart Analysis:
The SP500 index recently retested its support line at 5260, stabilizing in a bullish zone. This suggests a continuation of the upward trend towards targets of 5423 and 5500, particularly if the CPI comes in below 3.4%.
Bullish Scenario:
As long as the price remains above 5260, the bullish trend is expected to continue, targeting 5425 and 5500, potentially reaching a new all-time high.
Bearish Scenario:
For a bearish trend to emerge, the price must fall below the support line at 5260, which could then lead to targets of 5040 and 4923.
Key Levels:
Pivot Price: 5320
Support Levels: 5260, 5193, 4930
Resistance Levels: 5423, 5520, 5600
Trading Range:
The price is anticipated to fluctuate between the resistance at 5525 and the support at 5260.
Overall Tendency:
The outlook appears bullish.
GOLD (Reversed - NFP Coming...)Technical Analysis
The price has successfully followed its bullish trend, reaching our target of 2386.
Today, the market is expected to be highly volatile due to the reports on non-farm payroll (NFP) and unemployment rate. Depending on these economic indicators, the price might correct to 2357 before dropping to 2328. It is crucial to monitor the closing of the 4-hour candle for further direction.
Bullish Scenario: For the bullish trend to continue, the price must break above 2357 and stabilize. This would pave the way for a move towards 2369 and 2397.
Bearish Scenario: The price may correct to 2357. If it remains below this level, it will drop to 2328. A break below 2328 could lead to a further decline towards 2320, a strong support line.
Pivot Line: 2357
Resistance Lines: 2369, 2377, 2397
Support Lines: 2335, 2327, 2302
Today's expected price movement range is between the support level of 2302 and the resistance level of 2397.
previous idea:
(USNAS100) Nvidia Hits $3 Trillion, Valuation Concerns PersistTechnical Analysis
The price has risen approximately 1.90%, reaching the final resistance level mentioned in our previous analysis, around 600 points.
To achieve another all-time high, the price must break through 19,100 and stabilize above this level to continue the bullish trend towards 19,450. Otherwise, the price will fluctuate between 19,100 and 18,940 until a decisive break occurs.
Bullish Scenario: For the bullish trend to continue, the price needs to break above 19,100, with potential targets of 19,250 and 19,450.
Bearish Scenario: Stabilization below 19,100 would indicate a move towards 18,940. A further break below 18,940, confirmed by closing at least a 1-hour candle, would signal a downtrend towards 18,800.
Pivot Line: 19100
Resistance Levels: 19200, 19300, 19450
Support Levels: 18940, 18820, 18710
Today's range is expected to be between the support at 18930 and the resistance at 19450.
Previous idea:
Nvidia Reaches $3 Trillion Market Cap, But Valuation Concerns Persist
Nvidia Corp., a favorite on Wall Street, achieved a significant milestone on Wednesday, surpassing a $3 trillion market capitalization for the first time and briefly exceeding Apple's valuation. However, the stock's high price has reignited debates about its true value.
What Happened: Aswath Damodaran, a professor at New York University Stern School of Business and known as Wall Street’s "Dean of Valuation," believes that Nvidia’s intrinsic value does not justify its current price tag.
XAU/USD - Q2 Market AnalystBased on current trends and analysis, I forecast that XAU/USD will reach a new all-time high (ATH) this week at the earliest and next week at the latest. Therefore, we should consider taking a Long/Buy Action in the market. Here are the key insights:
Reversal: There was a strong rejection at the 2291 area after experiencing a strong rejection at 2393. This is a sign that the market has the potential to move upward. Additionally, this week, on May 10, 2024, the market closed above the support area.
Correction: The market will undergo a correction around the 2393 area before continuing its bullish trend, as long as there are no adverse news or situations affecting the market.
Please remember, this analysis is a personal interpretation of market trends and should not replace professional financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consult financial experts before making investment decisions.
DMAIL:USDT SHOWING INTERESTING BREAK VIEWwe see that the main market is in a breakdown-low time frame, but Dmail shows a possibility of a break in the coming time frames.
* This coin is known for unexpected whale increase candles. (out of TA)
Depending on our study's low time frame, there is a good chance this coin can break.
Further, the Market goes on its way, and it can first have a back trend before increasing. For this reason, always manage the risk and trade only what your plan allows( this system can be used on all coins)
We will wait first for market confirmation before following this coin further. ( as long the coin in the box there will be no active following of the coin. the interest will start only from the yellow candle.
This update is not trading advice - Coin range = HIGH RISK - HIGH reward
EURUSD (Bullish Side...)EUR/USD Technical Analysis
The EUR/USD is trading under bullish pressure towards 1.0950, provided it remains above 1.0872. A correction down to 1.0861 is possible before resuming the bullish trend. However, stability below 1.0861 could support a decline towards 1.0810 and 1.0792.
Pivot Price: 1.0872
Resistance Levels: 1.0950, 1.1000, 1.1070
Support Levels: 1.0830, 1.0792, 1.0731
The price is expected to oscillate between the support at 1.0861 and the resistance at 1.0950.
US Dollar Declines Ahead of May Employment Report
Early Friday, the US dollar weakened against most of its major trading partners, except for an improvement against the Canadian dollar. Investors are now focused on the upcoming May employment report, set for release at 8:30 am ET.
Expectations for the report include a rise in nonfarm payrolls by 185,000, an unemployment rate remaining steady at 3.9%, and a 0.3% increase in hourly earnings.
GOLD FORCASTThe current analysis indicates a bearish trend for XAUUSD. A retest of 2355 is expected. If it fails to hold above this level, the price is projected to decline first to 2328 and, if it stabilizes below 2328, continue to 2306. Alternatively, if it stabilizes above 2355, a bullish trend towards 2397 is anticipated. Additionally, the market is expected to be very volatile due to upcoming NFP and Unemployment news.
Key Levels:
Bullish Lines: 2355, 2397, 2412
Bearish Lines: 2328, 2306, 2281
US30 (Sensitive movements)Technical Analysis
The price movement will be influenced by the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) and Unemployment rates. Based on current expectations, the price is likely to exhibit a downtrend, though the market may experience random fluctuations.
There is a possibility for a retest up to 38,790, followed by an upward push towards 39,050.
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the support level at 38790, it could decline to 38580. Sustained trading below this level may lead to a further drop to 38400.
Bullish Scenario: Stability above 38,790 indicates a potential bullish trend, targeting 39,050.
Pivot Line: 38790
Resistance Levels: 39050, 39350, 39700
Support Levels: 38580, 38400, 38290
Today's expected movement range is between the support level at 38400 and the resistance level at 39350
Summary:
Downtrend Expected: Market influenced by NFP and Unemployment rates.
Potential Retest: Price may rise to 38,790.
Upward Movement : Post-retest, the price could push up to 39,050.
previous idea:
SPEC ( SPECTRAL) CAN ENTER NEW ALL TIME HIGH $24 SOON!Thanks for reading this update.
We expect that there is a high chance that SPEC will enter $24, since the confirmation.
SPEC is a new coin that can show unexpected targets.
We will follow this coin for new ATH.
The coin has 2,684 holders at this moment and MAX TOTAL SUPPLY
100,000,000 SPEC- top 10 whale wallets stable, and 30% is exchanges.
The same study we did before on WLD and it did increase up $9
See the previous update with day by day follow
This update will follow the same daily as the WLD update since confirmation.
This is not trading advice, manage in all time the risk 100%
Trade only or invest if your plan expects the same, otherwise, there is no reason to enter a coin like this. For us, we expect soon ATH.
The best that you can have in a coin is positions building trends. - and this coin is the first confirmed one since long time
Gold Hits Two-Week High as Bond Yields Drop US Jobs Data AwaitedTechnical Analysis
The price has successfully followed its bullish trend, reaching our target of 2369.
Today's market continues to exhibit bullish pressure, having stabilized within the bullish trend. As long as the price trades above 2357, it is expected to rise to 2369 and 2377. However, a break below 2357 could lead to a decline towards 2347 and 2344.
Bullish Scenario: If the price trades above 2357, it will likely continue its bullish trend towards 2369 and 2377. Closing at least a 1-hour candle above 2377 will further support a bullish move towards 2388 and 2397.
Bearish Scenario: The price needs to break below 2357 and stabilize beneath this level to indicate a downward trend towards 2347 and 2335.
Pivot Line: 2357
Resistance Lines: 2369, 2377, 2397
Support Lines: 2347, 2335, 2227
Today's expected price movement range is between the support level of 2347 and the resistance level of 2378.
previous idea:
Gold Reaches Two-Week High as Bond Yields Decline; US Jobs Data Awaited
Gold prices surged to a two-week high on Thursday as U.S. bond yields fell, driven by signs of a cooling labor market. This development strengthens the case for a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September. Investors are now positioning themselves ahead of the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls data.
NVDA - Antitrust Scrutiny and AI Market MilestonesMarket Chatter: Antitrust Scrutiny and Milestones in the AI and Tech Industry
Antitrust Scrutiny for AI Dominance
Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ), OpenAI, and Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) are facing antitrust investigations over their dominant roles in the artificial intelligence industry, according to The New York Times. The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) and the Justice Department have agreed to proceed with these investigations. The Justice Department will lead the investigation into Nvidia, while the FTC will focus on OpenAI and Microsoft.
Nvidia's Market Cap Controversy
Nvidia Corp. ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) has achieved a new milestone, surpassing a $3 trillion market capitalization for the first time and briefly overtaking Apple’s valuation. However, this milestone has reignited debates about its true value. Aswath Damodaran, a professor at New York University Stern School of Business and known as Wall Street’s "Dean of Valuation," believes that Nvidia’s intrinsic value does not justify its current price tag. He acknowledges the company's compelling narrative and market momentum but remains cautious about its lofty valuation.
Short-Term Bets on Nvidia Ahead of Stock Split
As Nvidia's stock split approaches, traders are making short-term bets on the stock's movements. Data from Cboe Global Markets shows that 19 out of the 20 most actively traded options tied to Nvidia are set to expire by the end of this week. This frenzy is reminiscent of the activity seen around Tesla's stock split in 2020. On Tuesday alone, Nvidia options worth around $283 billion were traded, dwarfing the $18.7 billion traded for Apple.
Nvidia's Ascent in Market Valuation
Nvidia has rapidly climbed the ranks of the world's largest companies. Earlier this year, it surpassed Amazon to become the third-largest US company. Recently, Nvidia overtook Apple, securing the second spot with a market value of $3.01 trillion. Nvidia's shares closed at a record $1,224.40 each. The company now aims to challenge Microsoft for the number one position, needing to gain approximately $150 billion in market value to do so.
These developments highlight the dynamic nature of the tech and AI industries, with significant market movements and regulatory scrutiny shaping the landscape.
OPEC Secretary-General Affirms Resilient Oil Demand
OPEC Secretary-General Affirms Resilient Oil Demand
OPEC Secretary-General Haitham Al-Ghais stated at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum on Thursday that oil demand remains resilient. "It's crucial to stay focused on the fundamentals," he emphasized. "Economic growth, supply, and demand are what drive our decisions."
Al-Ghais noted that global demand increased by 2.3 million barrels per day in the first quarter, typically the weakest quarter due to global refinery maintenance. He anticipates continued strong demand in the coming months, particularly with the uptick in summer travel.
Saudi Energy Minister Dismisses Bearish Response to OPEC+ Deal, Confident Market Will Adjust
Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman dismissed the market's bearish reaction to OPEC+'s decision to gradually phase out voluntary output cuts, expressing confidence that the market will adjust. "Give it a day or two, reality will set in," he stated at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum on Thursday. He criticized some banks and media outlets for their narratives around the meeting and reaffirmed that OPEC+ made the right decision. "I know that we did the best job," he asserted.
The OPEC+ meeting initially triggered an oil selloff, exacerbated by short selling and movements in the options market, as traders worried about potential oversupply. However, Abdulaziz emphasized that OPEC+ retains the flexibility to pause or reverse production increases based on market conditions.
OIL OUTLOOK
Oil prices increased early as we mentioned, recovering from a four-month low, which was the lowest point since February. This drop was attributed to an unexpected surge in U.S. stockpiles, indicating softer demand than anticipated.
Technically:
The price has stabilized within the bearish zone, having already corrected the previous barrier which is 75.39. This suggests a continuation of the bearish trend, with potential targets at 72.500 and 70.570. A further break below 72.500 could lead the price down to 70.570.
Conversely, if the price stabilizes above 75.400, it may indicate a bullish trend, potentially reaching up to 78.070.
Pivot line: 75.390
Support lines: 72.50, 70.57, 68.12
Resistance lines: 76.80, 78.07, 79.35
The movement range will be between support 70.57 and Resistance 76.80
previous idea:
BTC - Short-term View! Update...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈As per my last analysis, attached on the chart, BTC rejected the blue circle and traded higher.
What's next?
🏹 For the bulls to maintain control, and take over from a long-term perspective, a break above the $72,000 resistance is needed.
In parallel, if the lower blue trendline is broken downward, a bearish correction would be expected.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BTC - Short-term View!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 BTC has been overall bullish, trading within the rising channel in blue.
Currently, BTC is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, it is retesting a structure and trendline in red.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for trend-following buy setups as it is the intersection of the red structure and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As long as the red support zone holds, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
AUDCHF - Wait For The Next Impulse!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 AUDCHF has been overall bullish, trading within the rising wedge in blue.
Currently, AUDCHF is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, it is retesting strong support zone marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for trend-following buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support zone and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #AUDCHF approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Nvidia Drives S&P 500 Market Cap Surge with 36% ContributionThe price has reached our target, as mentioned yesterday, with a gain of +1.20%, approximately $60.
The SPX has recorded a new all-time high and continues to gain. It may retest down to 5347 before pushing up to 5378.
Overall, it could potentially reach 5320 if it stabilizes below 5347. As long as it trades above 5320, an uptrend towards 5423 is expected.
Bullish Scenario: If the price trades above 5347, it will continue its bullish trend toward 5378, and above that, it could reach 5423.
Bearish Scenario: If it stabilizes below 5347, it may drop to 5320. Stabilizing below 5320 on a 1-hour candle could lead to a decline to 5301.
Pivot Line: 5347
Resistance Lines: 5378, 5400, 5423
Support Lines: 5320, 5302, 5260
The price is expected to move between the support level of 5320 and the resistance level of 5423.
previous idea:
Nvidia Drives S&P 500 Market Cap Surge with 36% Contribution in 2024
Shares of US-based chipmaker Nvidia Inc. have had a stellar 2024, soaring nearly 150% and reaching new all-time highs. This impressive performance has significantly contributed to the $4.49 trillion (12%) increase in the S&P 500’s market capitalization, which now stands at $47.16 trillion.
Nvidia’s remarkable gains have been a major driving force behind the S&P 500’s record-breaking achievements. The chipmaker's contribution alone accounts for 36% of the index’s market cap surge this year, highlighting its pivotal role in the broader market’s upward trajectory.
In addition to Nvidia's impact, the S&P 500 has been bolstered by favorable economic indicators, including cooling jobs data, which has alleviated some inflationary pressures and supported continued market growth.
As the S&P 500 hits new records, Nvidia's milestone of reaching a $3 trillion market cap underscores the significant influence of leading tech companies in shaping market trends and driving substantial gains across the board.
USNAS100 (Bullish Possibility after correction!!!)Technical Analysis
the price reached around the resistance line and dropped to touch its support line, and again reversed so now the price is still above the support line,
Bullish Scenario: As long as the price remains above 18435, it is likely to reach 18,735 and potentially 18,820.
Bearish Scenario: A stabilization below 18435 would suggest a bearish trend, targeting 18235 and 18150.
Pivot Line: 18435
Resistance Levels: 18650, 18820, 18940
Support Levels: 18250, 18140, 17880
Today's range is expected to be between the support at 18235 and the resistance at 18940.