CHFJPY - Bearish Again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈CHFJPY has been overall bearish trading within the falling wedge marked in red and it is currently in a correction phase approaching the upper bound.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the structure and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #CHFJPY approaches the red circle, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Trend
GBPCHF: Range BreakoutThis range breakout follows the same pattern as my other idea on CADCHF. In a very similar fashion, price has been in a range since September 2024.
The upper range boundary has shown signs of weakening or breaching a couple of times over the past few months. However, price recently closed above this range level over the past two days, which indicates a higher probability of sustained breakout.
The daily ATR is currently 64.3 pips. This sets my trading parameters at TP 32 and SL 64. Note that I'm only targeting 0.5x ATR because I scale into positions, but I also want to ensure I'm able to secure a profit with minimal holding costs.
Gold Analysis – Potential Pullback Within Ascending ChannelKey Observations:
Current Price: $2,900.48
Recent High: $2,907.29
200 EMA (Red Line): $2,758.59 (Strong support level)
Projection: Price may correct lower towards the channel’s lower boundary (~$2,875)
Analysis:
📊 Short-Term Bearish: A pullback could happen before further upside if the trend holds. If price breaks below the channel, a deeper correction towards the 200 EMA might follow.
🔍 Trading Idea: Traders might look for buying opportunities at the lower trendline (~$2,875-$2,880) if price shows support.
BTC CPI 1H (Jan) CPI (YoY)-
PREVIOUS: 2.9%
FORECAST: 2.9%
ACTUAL: ??
Consumer price index data release rolls around once again, this time the forecast is no change (0.0%) remaining at the same December 2024 level of 2.9%. It is important to note that after this data release there isn't any further news events of note until next month so BTC no planned interference from data releases.
As we go into the data release volatility on the LTF is common and so maybe we'll see a break of this painful trend bitcoin has been stuck in since the sell-off event. With that in mind here are some entry ideas for longs and shorts:
Long:
- The safest option/ highest probability would be a breakout from the bearish downtrend, a retest as new support and begin the move up back towards RANGE HIGH.
- A sweep of the green bullish OB zone with a tag of the lower bearish trend line. A good R:R IMO with the first point of interest being the LOCAL RESISTANCE/ bearish trend high.
Short:
- The bearish scenario would be a loss of the $91K support level that has held for the last 10 weeks in a row and is the daily range low. If price accepts under that level things could get ugly as there is no support until $85K.
BTC - Building Block - UpdateHello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
After breaking below the $100,000, BTC entered the Short-Term bearish phase.
For the momentum to be shifted again to bullish, a break above the $100,000 is needed.
📈 Long-Term Bullish:
If the $108,500 level is broken to the upside, BTC is expected to enter a long-term bullish block, initiating a new bullish phase toward the $125,000 mark.
📉 Long-Term Bearish:
If the $90,000 level is broken to the downside, a long-term bearish movement toward the lower bound of the long-term bearish block, around the $75,000 mark, is expected.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
GC1! "The Gold" Metal Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the GC1! "The Gold" Metal Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 2935.0 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 2820.0 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
GC1! "The Gold" Metal Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
💠 Fundamental Analysis
The GC1 contract is influenced by global economic trends, monetary policies, and commodity market fluctuations. Central banks' cautious approach to interest rates and inflation management impacts gold prices.
💠 Macroeconomic Analysis
GDP Growth Rate: Global economic growth slows down, with the US GDP growth rate at 3.3% in Q4.
Inflation Rate: Inflation trends show moderation, with the US inflation rate at 1.0% annualized.
Employment and Labor Market: The US job market remains solid, with 353,000 jobs added in January.
💠 COT Data Analysis
Institutional Traders: 55% long, 45% short.
Retail Traders: 52% short, 48% long.
Large Banks: 57% long, 43% short.
💠 Market Sentimental Analysis
Market Sentiment: 40% bullish, 60% bearish.
Trader Sentiment: 29% long, 71% short.
💠 Market Sentiment by Trader Type
- Institutional Traders: 60% bullish, 40% bearish
- Hedge Funds: 55% bearish, 45% bullish
- Retail Traders: 55% bullish, 45% bearish
💠 Positioning Data Analysis
Bullish Trend: 45% likely.
Bearish Trend: 55% likely.
💠 Overall Outlook
GC1 prices may fluctuate due to central banks' monetary policies, inflation trends, and geopolitical tensions. Investors are cautiously optimistic, with a focus on technology and innovation-driven sectors.
Key Factors Influencing GC1 Prices
Monetary Policy Adjustments: Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions.
Inflation Trends: Global inflation rates.
Geopolitical Risks: Middle East tensions and commodity market fluctuations.
Technology Sector Resilience: Growth potential in AI and semiconductor fields.
Cryptocurrency Market Volatility: Bitcoin's impact on traditional markets.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Gold Awaits CPI – Will 2,872 Hold or Break?✅ Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis – CPI Impact in Focus
Gold is currently facing bearish pressure, with expectations of a 3.00% CPI release, which could negatively impact prices. A break below 2,872 is required to confirm further downside movement.
📉 Bearish Scenario (CPI at 3.00% or Higher):
If price breaks below 2,872, it will enter a bearish zone.
A confirmed stabilization below 2,872 will extend the drop toward 2,859 and 2,840.
Further bearish pressure could drive prices to 2,823 if inflation remains high.
📈 Bullish Scenario (CPI Below 3.00%):
If price holds above 2,872, a recovery toward 2,896 and 2,918 is possible.
A break above 2,918 could push gold back toward 2,938 in a bullish reversal.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 2880
Resistance Levels: 2896, 2918, 2938
Support Levels: 2860, 2840, 2823
Trend Outlook:
Bearish if CPI remains high (≥3.00%) & price breaks 2,872
Bullish if CPI drops below expectations & price holds above 2,872
💬 How will CPI impact Gold? Will it break down or reverse? Let’s discuss in the comments! 👇🔥
Riding the BNX Wave: Next Trade SetupsSince BNX surged an astounding +381% in just 3.5 days, it has rapidly reached a key high. However, the dramatic move on low volume has left the market in a tight range, raising questions about a potential correction. Let’s break down the current market structure and explore the key support and resistance levels, followed by specific trade setups.
Looking Back: Market Structure & Trends
BNX’s meteoric rise over a short period has captured attention, but such rapid gains often invite consolidation or a pullback. After hitting the key high, the price was tested and subsequently rejected, particularly on low volume. This rejection signals that the bullish drive may be exhausting, setting the stage for a possible downward correction. Since then, BNX has been trading in a narrow range, reflecting market indecision as traders await further direction.
Key Support Zones & Confluences
Primary Support Zone – Around $0.6:
Moving Averages Confluence: The 21-period EMA and SMA on the 4-hour, weekly, and monthly charts are clustered between approximately $0.585 and $0.553. This convergence creates a robust support area where price is likely to find stability.
Lower Timeframe Trend Insight: My beta indicator on the 15-minute chart, which marks the edge of the bullish trend, further reinforces this support level.
Fibonacci Confluence:
The 0.382 Fibonacci retracement sits at around $0.5426, lending additional support.
The Fibonacci Speed Fan (0.5 level) aligns near $0.56, complementing the overall support picture.
This confluence of technical factors makes the $0.6 zone a crucial area to monitor, as it represents a potential floor should the market trend lower.
Resistance Levels & Confluences
Key Resistance – The Recent High:
Rapid Price Surge & Rejection: BNX’s swift ascent culminated in a key high that was subsequently tested and rejected. The rejection, especially on low volume, indicates that the upward momentum may be losing steam.
Fibonacci Resistance: Notably, the price has also encountered the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement at $0.75, which acts as an additional layer of resistance.
Psychological Resistance: The key high now serves as a significant resistance level, acting as a barrier that the price must overcome to resume its bullish trend.
Potential Trade Setups
Short Trade Setup
Given the rejection at the key high and the low-volume consolidation, a breakdown from this level is anticipated. This scenario makes a short position attractive, as a failed test of the high could trigger further downward movement.
Entry & Stop Loss (SL):
Entry: Initiate a short position at the key high, followed by a rejection.
Stop Loss: Place your stop loss just above the key high to mitigate risk.
Target & Risk/Reward:
Target: Aim for the primary support zone around $0.6, where multiple indicators converge.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The setup targets a favourable risk/reward ratio of 3:1 or better, making it an appealing opportunity for traders.
Long Trade Setup
Despite the clear support confluence around the $0.6 area, entering a long position at this stage carries a less compelling risk/reward profile compared to the short trade.
Entry & Stop Loss (SL):
Entry: Consider a long entry if the price shows strength and decisively holds above the support zone.
Stop Loss: Position the stop loss just below the support area to accommodate minor fluctuations.
Target & Risk/Reward:
Target: The target for a long setup would be the previous swing low.
Risk-Reward Ratio: This trade offers a ratio in the range of 1:1 to 2.5:1, which is alright compared to the short setup.
what moved xauusd to 2940Gold prices have recently surged to a record high of $2,940 per ounce, driven by several key factors:
1. New U.S. Tariffs: President Trump's announcement of a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports has heightened concerns over potential trade wars and inflation. Investors are turning to gold as a safe-haven asset to hedge against these uncertainties.
2. Inflation Concerns: The impending release of inflation data has investors bracing for potential economic impacts. A weaker-than-expected reading could bolster gold's rally by increasing expectations of rate cuts, making non-yielding gold more attractive compared to interest-bearing alternatives.
3. Central Bank Purchases: Central banks, particularly in emerging markets, have been significantly increasing their gold reserves. This trend reflects a desire to diversify assets and reduce reliance on the U.S. dollar, further driving up gold demand and prices.
4. Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing global uncertainties, including conflicts in the Middle East and tensions between major economies, have led investors to seek the stability that gold offers during turbulent times.
These combined factors have propelled gold to its current record levels, as investors seek security amid economic and geopolitical uncertainties.
XDC - it is time!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈After rejecting the $0.15 round number, XDC has been in a correction phase trading within the falling channel marked in red.
Currently, XDC is rejecting the lower bound of its rising broadening wedge in blue.
🏹 For the bulls to take over again, and start the next impulse movement upward, a break above the $0.1 round number is needed.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
NZDCHF - Trend-Following TA signals short!NZDCHF overall bearish, looking for trend-following shorts on lower timeframes.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
I am Amazed how XAU/USD Gold moving in a channel of 18 degrees. FX:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! I am amazed by how XAU/USD Gold is moving in a channel of 18 degrees on hourly chart. I am a student of market geometry and how often we see such a clear trend, really fascinating! The scenario here is clear just trade the bounce off of the lower channels and we will only be short if market breaks below lowest band on this chart until then we are bullish. Keep your first targets @ upper band. Keep following for more ideas.
EURGBP - Weak Again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 EURGBP has been bearish trading within the falling wedge pattern in blue.
Currently, EURGBP is approaching the upper bound of the wedge.
Moreover, the orange zone is a strong structure.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the orange structure and upper blue trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURGBP is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
USDCAD - Is History Repeating Itself?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 USDCAD has been overall bullish , trading within the rising wedge pattern marked in blue.
Today, USDCAD broke above its previous major high (marked in red).
🏹 As it retests this previous high, it will also intersect with the lower blue trendline, which acts as a dynamic support level.
📚 According to my trading style:
As #USDCAD approaches the red zone, I'll be watching for bullish reversal setups—such as a double bottom pattern, a trendline break, and more.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUMO Strategy – GOLD (XAU/USD) for Monday, Feb 12, 2025 Market Overview – The Smart Money Play
🔹 Gold (XAU/USD) trading around $2,860-$2,861 – Bulls still in control on higher timeframes but showing signs of exhaustion.
🔹
Liquidity traps above $2,875-$2,880 – Institutions baiting late buyers.
🔹
Volume decreasing at resistance – Smart money unloading positions.
Translation? Market prepping for a trap & reversal play before the next expansion.
📌 XAUMO SESSION BREAKDOWN & EXECUTION PLAN
🔴
1) Asia Session: Market Balance & Trap Setup
Price Action: Tight consolidation, low volatility, setting up liquidity grab.
Volume: Diminishing – classic pre-move buildup.
Liquidity Zones: Buyers trapped above $2,875-$2,880.
Key Levels:
Support: $2,850-$2,855
Resistance: $2,870-$2,875
🚨 Game Plan:
If price spikes into $2,875-$2,880, look for a reversal short.
If price drops to $2,855 and holds, expect a bounce.
✅ Trade Setup:
📉 Sell Limit: $2,875
🎯 Target: $2,855 > $2,845
❌ Stop Loss: $2,883
🟡
2)London Session: Expansion & Trend Confirmation
Price Action: Market picks a direction – we trade the retest.
Volume: If RVOL spikes, expect breakout move.
Liquidity Zones: Order blocks forming at $2,850-$2,855.
Key Levels:
Bullish if price holds $2,855, expect $2,880+.
Bearish if rejection at $2,875, expect $2,840-$2,830.
🚨 Game Plan:
Watch for fake breakouts at session highs/lows.
VWAP & POC confirm bias.
✅ Trade Setup:
📉 Sell if $2,872 rejects
🎯 Target: $2,850 > $2,835
❌ Stop Loss: $2,881
🟢
3) NY Session: Institutional Moves & Volume Surge
Price Action: The real move happens here – Smart Money decides direction.
Volume: If RVOL > 1.5, trend continuation is confirmed.
Liquidity Zones:
$2,875-$2,880 – Bull Trap Zone
$2,840-$2,830 – Sell-Side Liquidity
🚨 Game Plan:
If price fakes out above $2,875 & dumps, SELL HARD.
If NY session defends $2,855, BUY THE DIP.
✅ Trade Setup:
📉 Sell below $2,850
🎯 Target: $2,830 > $2,815
❌ Stop Loss: $2,860
📈 Buy if price reclaims $2,860 after fakeout.
🎯 Target: $2,880 > $2,885
❌ Stop Loss: $2,852
FINAL XAUMO EXECUTION STRATEGY
If price spikes to liquidity levels, fade the move.
🔸
If VWAP & Delta confirm direction, ride the trend.
🔸
Use session highs/lows as liquidity magnets.
🔸
If RVOL confirms strength, scale in aggressively.
CHILLGUY/USDT BACK TREND TO $0,27?This coin has had a huge breakdown since the start of the coin launch, are we going to see a recovery for this coin that can have a comeback?
This is exactly what we are going to follow.
If this coin is able to have the recovery in the coming time, then it would be an interesting change of data.
If there is an increase coming.. then this could be the confirmed bottom.
EURCAD - Follow The Trend!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈EURCAD has been in a correction phase and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the blue channel.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong support zone.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURCAD approaches the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SOYBEANS to 1.035 bullish trend for Frist Quarter 2025The fundamental factors affecting soybean prices in 2024 have shown mixed developments, with weather conditions and global demand playing crucial roles. For 2025, the direction of prices will depend on China's economic recovery, weather conditions, and agricultural policies in the U.S. under the new Trump administration.
On the technical side, there is an accumulation of positions and manipulation in sell stops at the monthly level. I would like the price to reach the equilibrium of the range in the first quarter of the year; depending on the evolution of the fundamentals, we could even see a value of 1,100. If this idea is invalidated, I would expect prices of at least 927.7.
Monthly chart for context: