BITCOIN SV : BSV NEW VOLUME IN TRENDOn the last low time frame, BTC sv seems to make a return, which has a good chance to break in the coming time frames.
Following the trend for more confirmations.
This time with BTC it's hard to find building coins, most coins follow BTC.
BSV can show some interesting targets.
$66 is an important target
SV is known for unexpected volume by ASIA markets.
Trend
EURUSDEuro zone had made many financial plans to strengthen the economy.
And our last analysis for eurusd was perfect with hitting target and earning good returns.
the next week week expect a major upward movement for eurusd as dollar index is also expecting a downfall retracement from its upward movement which will inturn boost euro zone and weaken dollar.
bullish target 1.0760
we will do more detailed analysis of eurusd once the market is open
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oil crudewe anticipate a long term buy for crude oil based on the following analysis of crude oil which is an amalgamation of both fundamental technical analysis.
WTI crude oil continues its upward trajectory, with hourly prices testing the upper bounds of the ascending channel. If the short-term ceiling holds, prices could still experience a rapid pullback.
The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level stands at $80.02, with larger pullbacks potentially reaching the 50% level at $79.51, followed by the 61.8% level at $78.99 near the channel bottom and the 200-day SMA dynamic inflection point.
The stochastic oscillator dropping from overbought territory indicates rising selling pressure, with room for oscillators to decline further before reflecting bearish exhaustion, which suggests that the correction could persist until such exhaustion is observed.
The RSI is also trending downward, indicating that crude oil prices may follow suit until oversold conditions are met and oscillators rebound.
However, the overall structure shows the 100 SMA above the 200 SMA, confirming that the path of least resistance remains upward, or that support levels are more likely to hold than break. In this scenario, oil prices may continue to rise toward the swing highs around $81.69 or higher. In terms of trading strategy, it is recommended to buy the dips.
ENTRY ; 80.00
tp 85
sl 78.80
risk reward ratio ; 120;500 (approximately 5 times more reward).
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GBPJPY The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted 7-2 to keep the Bank Rate unchanged, aligning with broad expectations. Swati Dhingra and Dave Ramsden again voted to lower the rate by 25 basis points to 5.00%.
The BoE indicated that as part of the August (rate cut) forecast, the Committee will review all available information to assess whether the risks of persistent inflation are diminishing. Based on this assessment, the Committee will determine how long the Bank Rate should be maintained at the current level.
Despite CPI falling to 2% in May, the Bank expects CPI to "rise slightly" in the second half of the year due to base effects from last year's energy price declines. Additionally, the Bank noted that services inflation at 5.7% was "somewhat higher" than projected in the May monetary policy report.
In terms of growth, GDP appears to have grown "more strongly than expected" in the first half of the year but remains at a quarterly growth rate of around 0.25%.
Market Outlook: We are less concerned with the timing of the BoE's first rate cut and more focused on the expected limited and gradual rate cuts. For us, the biggest issue is not necessarily the timing of the first rate cut, but the pace and extent of rate cuts after the first one. In an era of global economic fragmentation, supply-side fluctuations, and fiscal activism, 2% is the lower bound for inflation, not the upper limit. This suggests a gradual easing cycle, with rates stabilizing above pre-pandemic levels.
Gbpjpy again has a potential buy pattern and if it crosses the pivot we can first expect a down market and further a potential further downward or upward retracement.
bullish targets:
202.05
202.30
202.57
202.80
Bearish Targets:
201.50
201.28
201.02
200.80
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QQQ Thursday Gap Up ReversalShort-term & small sample, but an interesting pattern nonetheless...
If we look back at similar events to Thursday's action, they've all been short-term tops in the market. We're looking at: (1) Gap up open on a Thursday; (2) Bearish reversal closing near the lows of the day; (3) Increased Volume from the prior day(s); (4) Preceded by a good run in the market.
I think it's worth noting, although I'm not sure the market dynamic behind it, that these recent short-term tops have all occurred on a Thursday. So seeing similar-type action this past Thursday is sending up a short-term cautionary signal, especially after such a strong runup over the last few weeks. I want to emphasize 'short-term' though, because the long-term trend is still very much in tact. It may also be worth noting the lack of breadth under the hood as an additional short-term cautionary sign, although there are certain areas and groups that have been participating... it's been very much a stock picker's type of environment.
BTC - Wait For The Bulls!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 After breaking below the structure marked in orange, BTC has been bearish trading within the falling wedge pattern marked in red.
Currently, BTC is approaching the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong support zone $60,000 - $62,000..
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for trend-following buy setups as it is the intersection of the blue support zone and lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #BTC approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BTC - Bullish potential"This is not financial advice. It is crucial to conduct your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions."
The market has been in a prolonged downtrend, with a sharp decline in BTC causing significant volatility in the Alt Coin market.
Currently, BTC is positioned at a key resistance level, suggesting the potential for an upward movement. The market sentiment is buoyed by some positive news, but liquidity issues remain a concern. Adequate liquidity is essential to support any bullish momentum and counteract the bearish pressures.
BTC - Bullish potential"This is not financial advice. It is crucial to conduct your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions."
The market has been in a prolonged downtrend, with a sharp decline in BTC causing significant volatility in the Alt Coin market.
Currently, BTC is positioned at a key resistance level, suggesting the potential for an upward movement. The market sentiment is buoyed by some positive news, but liquidity issues remain a concern. Adequate liquidity is essential to support any bullish momentum and counteract the bearish pressures.
LISTA -- WILL THIS BECOME THE NEW 2.0 HYPE ? $2?LIsta is very interesting for the trend volume and can become a hype coin.
This is exactly what we follow in the next few days.
After the binance listing, there is a good chance that LISTA will break a new ATH soon.
Remember to manage the risk always in new coins. it can become hype and not, crypto will stay unexpected.
WE will follow and see what LISTA can do in the coming time.
XAUUSD major support and resistance for the daysupport:
2348
2337
2327
2322
2312
2306
Resistance:
2365
2374
2388
2395
2404
2412
2421
The bottoming sign in the 1D timeframe is clear, but the upward momentum still falls short of expectations. If a strong uptrend forms today, we could see a high of 2,370 in the 1D timeframe, after completing this uptrend, we will then assess whether there will be a correction or if the bullish trend will continue. In the 4H timeframe, it is just lacking a bit of momentum for an uptrend. With another rise on Thursday to break through 2,342 and the Bollinger upper band widening, it will form a strong uptrend. This could lead to a significant surge, and combined with the target in the 1D timeframe, we could see a rise of about US$30 this week.
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Plan Your Trade 6/21 - SPY Cycle PatternsPlan your trade to prepare for future price moves using my proprietary SPY Cycle Patterns.
This is a continuing video series related to my proprietary SPY Cycle Patterns. These unique patterns highlight potential price moves/trends weeks and months in advance.
I wanted to highlight the next 15+ trading days on the charts and track these potential setups to see how closely my expectations translated into price moves.
About 3+ days into this experiment, we should see a Top/Resistance price trend today. This is usually where the price attempts to rally upward to a peak, then rolls downward, seeking a new base/bottom.
Follow my research and learn how to Plan Your Trades more efficiently.
When you go to buy, don't show your Silver!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 XAGUSD has been overall bullish, trading within the rising wedge in blue.
Currently, XAGUSD is undergoing a correction phase and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, it is retesting the previous major high marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for trend-following buy setups as it is the intersection of the green previous high and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #SILVER approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
xauusd analysisin the past fee days we can find that xauusd is accumulating in a particular zone of 2325-2332 area. where 2322 is showing a great resistance to the bull and a big zone for bearish reversal.
SO WHAT WILL HAPPEN IF THIS ZONE IS BEEN BROKEN?
See if this zone is broken xauusd will be tested at 2336 and if this is broken xauusd will go through resistance zones at various point including,
2348
2355
2366
2376
2388
2396.
2421.
so eventually this zone can now considered as a pivotal point for the upcoming market movement.
In the alternative scenario what will happen if xauusd again retraces from 2332 area?
it will be falling to the support area as follows<
2312
2306
2295
2282
2282
2267
2240
Both the bearish and bullish speculations have 50:50 chance.
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GOLD to go down +300 PIPShort XAUUSD Trading Position on 30 min timeframe
Initial Take Profit: 2310
SL: 2345.67
Gold shows a possibility of breaking down an ascending channel, where the price has fluctuated just underneath a 4h structure break. It is expected to break the showed trendline and reach the 1h parallel channel's bottom.
Traders should be cautious and monitor key levels of support and resistance, as well as any further bearish signals that may confirm this potential move.
I would be grateful to get your feedback on this idea if you have any opinions to share.
✽↝✔
Esteem your Analysis and seek improvements ⌁
@AbdullahTech ♾
SMART MONEY CONCEPT EXPLAINEDThe Smart Money Concept (SMC) involves understanding the behavior and strategies of institutional investors to inform trading decisions. Within SMC, there are several key components and strategies, including concepts like CHoCH (Change of Character), BOS (Break of Structure), FVG (Fair Value Gap), and others. Here's an in-depth explanation of these concepts:
1. Change of Character (CHoCH)
Definition
CHoCH refers to a significant shift in market sentiment or trend. It's a point where the market changes direction, indicating a potential reversal.
Identification
Higher Highs to Lower Lows (or vice versa): In an uptrend, CHoCH occurs when the market stops making higher highs and starts making lower lows, signaling a possible downtrend.
Volume and Momentum Shifts: Increased volume or momentum in the opposite direction can also indicate a change of character.
Application
Entry/Exit Points: CHoCH helps traders identify potential entry and exit points by signaling when a trend might be reversing.
2. Break of Structure (BOS)
Definition
BOS occurs when the price breaks a significant support or resistance level, indicating a continuation or reversal of the trend.
Identification
Support/Resistance Levels: When price breaks these levels with strong momentum, it signals a BOS.
Swing Highs and Lows: A break above a previous swing high or below a previous swing low is considered a BOS.
Application
Trend Confirmation: BOS helps confirm the direction of the trend, allowing traders to align their trades with the prevailing market direction.
3. Fair Value Gap (FVG)
Definition
FVG represents a price gap left in the market where there was a rapid price movement, often due to high volatility or significant market orders.
Identification
Price Gaps: FVGs are visible as gaps on the price chart where little to no trading occurred.
Imbalance Zones: These are zones where the buying and selling are not balanced, leading to rapid price movement.
Application
Retracement Points: FVGs often act as magnets for price, as the market tends to revisit these gaps to fill them, providing potential retracement or entry points for traders.
4. Other Major Parts of the Smart Money Concept
Liquidity Pools
Definition: Areas in the market where a large number of orders are clustered, typically around key support and resistance levels.
Application: Institutions often target these areas to trigger stop-loss orders, creating liquidity for their trades.
Order Blocks
Definition: Consolidation areas where institutions place large buy or sell orders, creating a base for future price movement.
Identification: These are visible as zones of consolidation on the chart.
Application: Order blocks can act as strong support or resistance levels, providing potential entry or exit points.
Institutional Candles
Definition: Large candlesticks that represent significant institutional activity.
Identification: These candles are usually much larger than the surrounding ones and often occur at key levels.
Application: They signal strong buying or selling interest from institutions, indicating potential future price direction.
Stop Hunts
Definition: The practice where institutions push the price to trigger stop-loss orders placed by retail traders to create liquidity.
Identification: Sudden, sharp price movements towards obvious stop-loss levels.
Application: Recognizing stop hunts can prevent premature exits and provide entry points at better prices.
Market Cycles
Accumulation Phase: Period where smart money is building positions, often characterized by sideways price movement with low volatility.
Mark-Up Phase: After accumulation, the price starts to move upward rapidly as institutions push the market in their favor.
Distribution Phase: Institutions begin to offload their positions, leading to sideways movement with high volatility.
Mark-Down Phase: Following distribution, the price moves downward rapidly as institutions sell off their positions.