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Weak US Economic Data Could Drive Prices Higher - 28.03.2025Gold prices have been on a strong upward trend, reaching a high of $3,059. The upcoming US economic data release on March 28, 2025, could provide new momentum for gold, particularly with the following key indicators in focus: - Core PCE Price Index (MoM) - Personal Spending (MoM) - Personal Income (MoM) Current forecasts suggest a slowdown in inflation and weaker economic activity, which could create a bullish environment for gold. Economic Data Expectations and Market Implications The Core PCE Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, is expected to rise by 0.2%, down from the previous 0.3%. This signals a slowdown in price pressures, increasing the likelihood of the Fed adopting a more dovish stance in the coming months. If inflation continues to decline, expectations for rate cuts could strengthen, which would be supportive of gold prices. Personal spending is forecasted to increase by 0.3% - 0.5%, a modest recovery from the previous decline of -0.2%. However, this remains a weak rebound, suggesting that consumers are still cautious. Slower spending means less inflationary pressure, which could further encourage the Fed to ease monetary policy. Personal income is expected to rise by 0.3% - 0.4%, significantly lower than the previous 0.9% increase. A slowdown in income growth could weigh on consumer spending and overall economic activity, reinforcing the case for lower interest rates. Impact on Gold Prices The combination of declining inflation, weak spending, and slower income growth increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates sooner rather than later. Gold, which tends to perform well in a lower interest rate environment, could see further gains as a result. Key bullish factors for gold include: Lower inflation expectations: A weaker Core PCE Price Index supports a more accommodative Fed stance. Sluggish consumer spending: Less inflationary pressure gives the Fed room to cut rates. Slower income growth: Weaker earnings could further dampen economic momentum, increasing demand for safe-haven assets like gold. The main risk to gold prices would be a surprise shift in market sentiment. If the Fed remains cautious and delays rate cuts, gold could face short-term resistance. However, given the current data outlook, the overall trend remains positive. Trading Idea: Long Position on Gold (XAU/USD) Given the softer economic data, gold prices could continue their bullish momentum. If inflation shows signs of easing and economic activity slows, traders may start pricing in Fed rate cuts more aggressively, pushing gold higher. A potential long trade setup could be to enter a buy position around $3,050 - $3,065, targeting $3,080, with an extended upside potential. To manage risk, a stop-loss below could be placed to account for potential short-term pullbacks. Conclusion The upcoming US economic data release suggests a cooling economy, which could lead to increased expectations of Fed rate cuts. This would be a bullish catalyst for gold, reinforcing its role as a hedge against monetary easing. A long position on gold around $3,065, with targets at $3,080, could be an attractive setup in the short term. Risk management remains key, with a stop-loss set close below. If economic data confirms a weakening trend, gold could soon test new highs. Stay alert to market reactions and Fed commentary! 🚀 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Wick-Sniper
1
EURGBP - Follow The Bears!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈EURGBP has been bearish trading within the falling channel in blue. Currently, EURGBP is approaching the upper bound of the channel. Moreover, it is retesting the upper bound of its range marked in blue. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the range and upper blue trendline. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURGBP is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
1
ETH - Will the support hold ?CRYPTO:ETHUSD (1W CHART) Technical Analysis Update ETH is currently trading at $2007 and showing overall bullish sentiment after hitting the support. We are seeing minor retracement from the support zone. If this support holds we can expect bullish trend and reach the resistance around 4k. New ATH for ETH depends on breaking the resistance around previous ATH. Follow our TradingView account for more technical analysis updates. | Like, share, and comment your thoughts. Cheers GreenCrypto
INDEX:ETHUSDLong
by GreenCryptoTrades
ETH - As long as the $1,950 holds...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈After breaking above the $2,000 level, ETH has been overall bullish trading within the rising orange channel. Moreover, it is retesting as strong support zone, so we will be looking for longs as long as the $1,950 level holds. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower orange trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #ETH approaches the blue arrow zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
2
GOLD - Eyeing Two Levels!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 XAUUSD remains overall bullish in both the short and medium term, trading within the rising channels marked in orange and green. 🔍 Here are two key levels I'm watching for potential trend-following long setups: 1️⃣$3,000 – A psychological round number that aligns with the lower orange trendline. 2️⃣$2,950 – A support level that intersects with the lower blue trendline. Let’s see if the bulls hold the line! 🐂✨ 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by TheSignalyst
2
$SNOW $200 target, sooner than laterHello. Not much analysis here besides a monster gut feeling. NYSE:SNOW has earnings May 21. I’m looking to get in $200c for May 16 expiration. For some reason this name can’t scorch $200 and I believe it should. If NASDAQ:CRWD moves the way it does so can $SNOW. I think it’s made a strong support and mental level at $150. I was apart of the latest push to $180-$190 before its most recent earnings which jolted it from $150s to $180 AND it got sent back to that $150 to $160 level. I think this is a high conviction swing especially into earnings; premiums can go up off the IV. NFA. WSL.
NYSE:SNOWLong
by wallstreetloser001
XAUUSD SELL NEXT MOVE STRATEGY DOWN Potential Bullish Scenario The analysis assumes a strong downward move, but buyers could defend key support levels, especially near strategy support and double-top strong support. If the price holds above these levels and forms a reversal pattern (like a double bottom or bullish engulfing candle), we could see a rally back to sell zone and double top resistance. 2. Market Structure Shift The assumption here is a continuation of the downtrend, but a breakout above the resistance zones could invalidate this bearish bias. A fake breakdown below support could trap sellers and fuel a short squeeze rally. 3. Fundamentals & News Events If there’s any fundamental catalyst (e.g., Fed announcement, inflation data, geopolitical tension), the market could reverse direction unexpectedly. Gold tends to react strongly to macroeconomic events, so technical analysis alone might not be enough to predict the next move
TVC:GOLDLong
by mrsamfx81
GBPUSD - Chasing the Bulls!!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈GBPUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in red. Moreover, the blue zone is a major daily support. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of daily support zone and lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #GBPUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
2
AUDCAD - Bulls Steppin in!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈AUDCAD has been overall bullish trading within the rising wedge pattern marked in blue. Today, AUDCAD is retesting the lower bound of the wedge. Moreover, it is approaching its previous weekly low. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of weekly low and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #AUDCAD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
4
XAUUSD BUY again all time high 1. Resistance Zones: The chart identifies multiple resistance levels, including a double-top resistance. However, if gold strongly breaks above the resistance, it may invalidate the bearish double-top pattern 2. Trendline Support: The trendline support is correctly identified, but trendlines are subjective. If broken, it could signal a trend reversal rather than a bounce. 3. Expected Price Movement: The projected price action assumes a pullback before continuing upwards, which is reasonable. However, the red arrow suggests a potential drop, which contradicts the bullish expectation. 4. Fundamental Factors: Gold is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors (interest rates, inflation, geopolitical risks). Ignoring these could make the analysis incomplete
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
Gold (XAU/USD) on a 4-hour timeframe, showing a potential short Chart Analysis: Current Price: $3,039.93 Resistance Level: $3,055.47 (marked as a key level where a sell opportunity is identified). Target Level: $3,000.73 (suggested as the take-profit area). Support Zone: Highlighted around $2,900. Trading Idea: The price is in an uptrend, but a potential reversal is expected at the $3,055.47 resistance level. If the price fails to break above this resistance, a short position could be considered. Entry Strategy: Sell near $3,055.47 upon confirmation of rejection. Target: A drop towards $3,000.73. Stop Loss: Above the resistance zone to manage risk. Conclusion: This is a counter-trend short setup, aiming for a pullback within the broader bullish trend. Traders should monitor price action near resistance before entering a trade.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PIPsOptimizer
XAUUSD TRADING STRATEGY BULLISH False Breakout Possibility: The breakout above the resistance level could be a fake-out, leading to a sharp reversal instead of a continued upward movement. A double top at the resistance level may indicate a stronger bearish reversal rather than further bullish momentum. 2. Overextended Trend: The previous strong bullish move could be overextended, leading to exhaustion. A correction or retracement back to trendline support is highly likely. The market could enter a consolidation phase instead of continuing the uptrend immediately. 3. Liquidity Grab Before Drop: Market makers often push prices above key resistance to trigger stop-loss orders before reversing the trend. The price could break resistance temporarily but then drop significantly back into the support zone. 4. Fundamental Factors: If economic news or central bank policies favor the USD, gold (XAUUSD) may weaken instead of continuing its bullish run
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by mrsamfx81
1
BTC - Bullish SOON!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. BTC has been in a correction phase, and it feels like it's taking forever! ⏳ As long as the blue trendline holds, the overall bias remains bullish. 📈 As BTC approaches the blue trendline—perfectly aligning with a demand zone and support—we'll be watching for trend-following longs to catch the next big impulse move upward. 🚀 For now, we wait! ⏳ 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
4
Why the Bitcoin Pi Cycle Indicator will not trigger this cycleIn this post, we’ll take a closer look at the Pi Cycle Indicator and explain why we believe it is unlikely to trigger in this cycle. Instead, we present an alternative signal that may better indicate the true Bitcoin top. Understanding the Pi Cycle Indicator The Pi Cycle Indicator has historically been highly accurate in predicting Bitcoin cycle tops. It consists of two simple moving averages: The 111-day simple moving average (SMA) (blue) The 350-day simple moving average (SMA) multiplied by two (green) A signal is generated when the 111-day SMA crosses above the multiplied 350-day SMA, which is marked by a red vertical line. Why This Signal Alone Isn’t Enough While this signal has been useful in the past, we believe it doesn't provide the full picture—specifically, it doesn’t indicate how strong the crossover is. By transforming this indicator into an oscillator that measures the ratio between these two moving averages, we gain a more nuanced perspective: In the chart, the green line represents the ratio between the two moving averages. When it crosses above the red horizontal line (ratio > 1), a Pi Cycle signal occurs (marked by a red vertical line). Notably, the 2017 signal was significantly stronger than the 2021 signal, suggesting a pattern of diminishing returns. We highly recommend checking out our post on diminishing returns and the overall timeline for the current cycle here . Additionally, we've developed our own Bitcoin model that factors in the effects of diminishing returns. Check it out here . The TRUE cycle top signal The key question is whether this diminishing return is strong enough to prevent a signal from forming in this cycle. Based on our analysis, we believe it is. By extrapolating this trend into the future using a white diagonal trend line, it becomes clear that the ratio will likely remain below 1, meaning no crossover is expected this cycle. Instead, we anticipate that the next Bitcoin top will occur at a ratio of approximately 0.9 , as indicated by the orange area on the chart. In summary, while the Pi Cycle Indicator has been a reliable tool in previous cycles, its diminishing strength suggests that it may not trigger this time. Rather than relying solely on this metric, we suggest considering looking deeper into the true value of this indicator instead.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Cryptonerds
2
USDCAD - Get Ready Bulls!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈USDCAD has been overall bullish trading above the blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. This week, USDCAD has been in a correction phase trading within the falling red channel. Moreover, the green zone is a strong demand. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of demand and lower red and blue trendlines acting as non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #USDCAD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by TheSignalyst
2
BITCOIN → Short-squeeze 86-89K before falling further to 75KBINANCE:BTCUSD continues to form a downtrend after breaking the bullish structure on the weekly timeframe. There is no bullish driver yet, and technically, the price is heading to the global imbalance zone of 75-73K The past crypto summit and any other talk of cryptovalt support cannot support the market. Such events end with further market decline. Technically, the market continues to form a downtrend (global counter-trend), based on this alone, we can say that the price is now going against the crowd and this is generally logical behavior. Globally, the zone of interest is located in the following zones - 75K, 73K and order block 69-66K Locally, I would emphasize the nearest liquidity zones, located at the top, which can be tested before the further fall: 86697, 89.397 Resistance levels: 85135, 86678, 89397 Support levels: 79987, 78173, 73512 After the false break of 78K support there is no strong reaction, the market is forming a struggle for 84-85K zone, which generally indicates buying weakness. Before the further fall there may be a short-squeeze relative to the above mentioned zones of liquidity, which may lead to a further fall Regards R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by RLinda
33