USDJPY - READY FOR THE BULL TO CONTINUE?!UJ has some amazing bullish momentum behind it- and I am looking to continue to ride this trend and long it!
I am Waiting for at least a 50% retracement and price coming into the daily fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for market structure shift on the hourly and attack!
This is looking like a very yummy LONG!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
Trend
GOLD, will CPI news confirm the downtrend?Hello everyone,
after a predicted pullback from 1980 area Gold reached it's highest point at 2088 and turned bearish again. To be honest I didn't expect the move to extend so high, but these things can happen. Finally it's likely that Gold topped out wave B at 2088 and started wave C with the main target at 1920. So far nothing new (check my latest analysis).
How will CPI news effect Gold tomorrow?
There is no clear answer to this question, as we have to observe the next move of the dollar, which started a slight counter trend. If it will break over the local resistances formed within the last days, Gold will fall further.
Important levels for Gold
Resistance area: 2040 - 2050
Support areas: 2000 - 2010 and 1970 - 1980
Elliot wave analysis
If wave C started at 2088, we probably have seen most of the first wave down, which you can see in red on the chart. I don't see an impulsive decline, so this scenario is quiet likely. The exact position for the subwave count are always hard to figure out, so please look for confirmation before you make a trade.
Trade idea
Sell 2032-2040 with TP 2010 and SL 2051
Buy 2000-2010 with TP 2030 and SL 1998
BITCOIN - Price can make retest of support line, and bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price entered to flat, where it tried to rise, but a short time later declined to $41600 support level.
After this, BTC some time traded near this level, which coincided with support area, and then bounced and started to rise.
Price rose to resistance level, but at once bounced back and then made strong upward impulse to resistance line.
Also, BTC exited from flat, breaking $45800 level, but soon price bounced from resistance line and made impulse down.
When price declined to support level, it broke $45800 level one more time, after which BTC bounced up and broke resistance line too.
Now, I think Bitcoin will make retest, after breakout, and then continue move up to $44700
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Trends to finish this week and into next weekStill sitting short at 4805, at the time of recording I was slightly in the negative, but since we have pulled back down as expected and I'm in a profit zone. The trends are well explained in the video, but most important takeaway is that a new 4hr downtrend coming in below 4808 will signal a lower low, as will a 6hr downtrend coming in below 4759. These two movements would open us up, in accordance with trends, to further movement down.
Trends are as follows;
Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract)
30m - 4817 Uptrend (1/12/2024) Higher High
1Hr - 4807 Downtrend (1/11/2024) Higher Low
2Hr - 4790 Downtrend (1/11/2024) Lower Low
3Hr - 4790 Downtrend (1/11/2024) Lower Low
4Hr - 4770 Uptrend (1/8/2024) Lower High
6Hr - 4797 Uptrend (1/8/2024) Higher High
12Hr - 4762 Downtrend (1/3/2024) Higher Low
Daily - 4378 Uptrend (11/3/2023) Higher High
Weekly - 4769 Uptrend (12/11/2023) Higher High
Economic Data;
PPI is today, I don't see it have a major weight into the market though as we had CPI, which weighs more heavily, yesterday.
Geopolitical;
US and British forces hit Houthi targets, furthering tensions in the Middle East. This is why Oil has rocketed up 4% thus far on the day. The higher oil goes, the more that price could bleed into inflation, and also the tension could cause some concern for supply-chain issues.
Side Note;
I did go Long on two ZMZ24 (Soybean Meal for December maturity) contracts yesterday at 360. I plan to hold until around 370 and evaluate further to see if they will reach the 'predicted' target of 401. I do not trade Soybean products often, it is more of a oversold historically position than a knowledge of how Soybeans work.
My sentiment going forward in the ES Futures Market is;
Shorter Term - Bearish
Short Term - Bearish
Medium Term - Bearish/Neutral
Long Term - Bullish
Safe trading, and as always, remember your risk management plan.
AUDJPY - Keep It Simple 👌Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
📈 AUDJPY has demonstrated an overall bullish trend, trading within the rising broadening wedge pattern in blue.
Currently, AUDJPY is sitting around the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, the 96.5 serves as a robust demand zone.
🎯 Therefore, the highlighted blue circle signifies a significant zone to consider for potential buy setups . This area is noteworthy as it marks the convergence of the green demand and the lower blue trendline, acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 In accordance with my trading style:
As AUDJPY is sitting around the blue circle zone, I will actively search for bullish reversal setups to capitalize on the anticipated next bullish impulse movement.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -16/01/2024Nifty will be gap down opening in today's session. After opening nifty start trading below 22100 level and then possible downside rally up to 21980 in today's session. in case nifty trades above 22120 level then the upside target can go up to the 22240 level.
GBPSGD - Monitoring the Weekly Swing Trade OpportunityGBPSGD's weekly price action appears cleaner than most of the other pairs I've been watching. Looking at the key levels, it appears that price is gradually recovering from the selloff initiated in mid-July.
The last higher-low bottom out was in mid-October of 2023. The latest higher-low formation and breaks the upper range boundary.
It's also a stronger indication given the moving average confluence; right now, the faster EMA-20 is picking up pacing in its divergence against the EMA-60.
While this isn't a clear indication to bet on the upside just yet, I do think this pair is a strong contender to watch.
Gold - Weekly Outlook at 2,035 LevelGold, or XAUUSD depending on which ticker you go by is playing around an interesting weekly level.
The 2,035 level has been touched four times since 2020.
August 2020: first touch and then sold off
July 2022: second touch and then had a stronger selloff
January 2023: third touch and then followed by a weaker selloff
November 2023: fourth touch and no selloff reaction
Depending on how price reacts around the 2,035 level for the week ahead, this will be very interesting to observe for the week ahead.
CADJPY - One of Three Yen Trend TradesCADJPY is one of three Japanese yen pairs that I held through the weekend. the other two pairs are EURJPY and SGDJPY as they share very similar price action patterns.
The selloff in December 2023 seemed short-lived to me so I found an opportunity to enter long earlier this month. My best guess for the selloff is the collective premature anticipation of interest rate cuts in 2024.
From a price action standpoint, I quickly developed another sentiment. High level summary below:
After a retracement, price failed to push to a new lower low.
The relative low forms a new range boundary.
Price breaks above the upper range boundary and holds, which signals further upside momentum.
I'm not the biggest fan of how this pair, along with EURJPY and SGDJPY, closed last week. Seeing two down days certainly poses a risk that this uptrend may not continue for the week ahead.
Bitcoin Bullish AccumulationBitcoin is building a nice accumulation around the $44,000 price and is looking to break this resistance point for another move on the upside.
We could see it reach for the $50K price point.
If we fail to break the current resistance price, we will see a drop to the $38K support level.
Long term super bullish for Bitcoin, although I believe we are due for a short correction to cool off the gains ending 2023. Cheers!
Gold can make small correction and then continue to rise to 2075Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some days ago made a strong upward impulse to 2145 points, but at once in a short time declined to the resistance line of the triangle, thereby breaking the 2075 resistance level. But later, the price rebounded from this line and made a downward impulse to support line, thereby breaking the 2075 level again and even the 2015 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Next, Gold bounced from the support line and made impulse up this level, broke it and soon made a retest. After this, the price continued to move up to the resistance level and when it reached this level, XAU rose to the seller zone and even a little higher. Then Gold turned around and in a short time declined to support line of the triangle, making a fake breakout of the 2075 level. Also later, the price exited from the triangle and fell to the support level, where it recently rebounded and started to rise. So, I think Gold can make a small correction movement and then continue to move up to the 2075 resistance level. Therefore I set my target at this level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
2024 Crypto SUMMER is here! PRICE, TRENDS & FORECASTSIn this video we lay out our short and long-term forecast for the entirety of 2024 Crypto Summer and beyond. Also, we do a little review and take a look at how our forecast stacked up against the eventful 2023 Crypto Spring. As always please feel free to leave your thoughts and ideas in the comments and thanks for watching!
USDCHF - Follow The Trend 🐻Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
📈 USDCHF been overall bearish , trading inside the falling blue channel and it is currently approaching the upper blue trendline.
Moreover, the zone 0.86 is a robust supply zone.
🎯 Therefore, the highlighted red circle represents a significant area to consider for potential sell setups, as it marks the intersection of the green supply and upper blue trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As USDCHF approaches the blue circle zone, I will be actively searching for bearish reversal setups to capture the next bearish impulse movement.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
4750 Target met, trends in some conflict nowSo, we did hit that 4750 range, and ended up hitting it within just a few hours of my assessment that was the next area for us to head.
That opens up a few trends to take us lower, specifically the 1hr and 2hr, as seen below in the trends;
Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract)
30m - 4722 Downtrend (1/8/2024) Lower Low
1Hr - 4757 Uptrend (1/5/2024) Lower High
2Hr - 4757 Uptrend (1/5/2024) Lower High
3Hr - 4808 Downtrend (12/29/2023) Higher Low
4Hr - 4808 Downtrend (12/29/2023) Higher Low
6Hr - 4759 Downtrend (12/20/2023) Higher Low
12Hr - 4762 Uptrend (1/3/2024) Higher Low
Daily - 4378 Uptrend (11/3/2023) Higher High
Weekly - 4769 Uptrend (12/11/2023) Higher High
So now the shorter timeframe trends are in some conflict with the longer timeframe trends, and being I capitalized well last week, I am in no rush to get between this fight.
Economic Data;
I could see the public debt today being a big issue, but the major one this week will be CPI data on Thursday, as covered in the video.
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to be a concern as well.
My sentiment is;
Shorter Term - Neutral
Short Term - Neutral
Medium Term - Neutral/Bullish
Long Term - Bullish
Safe trading, and remember your risk management.
Ethereum|The BULLISH trend continues until the price of 2800Hello friends, I hope you have made a lot of profit this week.
Let's go to Ethereum to have an overview of it.
At the moment, Ethereum is involved with a daily resistance zone as well as a 4H resistance zone.
This supply area has been tested several times, now the debate is whether the buyers are winning the game or the sellers.
If this area is broken upwards, we will enter buy positions on the pullback to this area.
If it falls from here, we will enter buying positions in the demand areas that I specified in the chart.
My possible target price is 2800, but never enter the position without confirmation, don't forget the SELL limit.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -11/01/2024Nifty will be gap up opening in today's session. After opening nifty sustain above 21650 level and then possible upside rally up to 21770 level in today's session. in case nifty trades below 21600 level then the downside target can go up to the 21480 level.
Litecoin(LTC): Can We See Another Drop?The LTC coin has caught our attention with some nice potential for history to be repeated!
We are seeing how, after forming some bullish trends, we have been eventually breaking them from time to time.
With that being said, we are seeing a similar outcome, where currently we had a breakdown and now we are entering the "sideways movement" phase.
During that phase, multiple positions can be taken, but as of now, this is just raw material, as we need to see if we will form any clear trends here!
Swallow Team
AUDUSD - Follow Your Friend ↗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
📈 AUDUSD has been overall bullish , trading inside the rising channel in blue and it is currently approaching the lower blue trendline.
Moreover, the zone 0.665 is a robust support zone.
🎯 Therefore, the highlighted blue circle represents a significant area to consider for potential buy setups , as it marks the intersection of the green support and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As AUDUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be actively searching for bullish reversal setups to capture the next bullish impulse movement.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
GBPNZD - Follow The Bears 🐻Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
📈 GBPNZD has been overall bearish , trading inside the falling channel in red and it is currently approaching the upper red trendline.
Moreover, the zone 2.055 is a robust supply zone.
🎯 Therefore, the highlighted red circle represents a significant area to consider for potential sell setups , as it marks the intersection of the blue supply and upper red trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As GBPNZD approaches the red circle zone, I will be actively searching for bearish reversal setups to capture the next bearish impulse movement.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr