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GBPCHF - Following The Trend 🏄‍♀️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📉GBPCHF has been overall bearish trading inside the falling blue channel, and it is currently approaching around the upper trendline. Moreover, the zone 1.11 is a strong resistance. 🏹 So the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the red resistance and upper blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance. As per my trading style: As GBPCHF approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
ETH's Nested Flags: Bull Flag within a Bear FlagPrimary Chart: Weekly Candle Chart of ETH/USD with Competing Flag Scenarios Longer-Term Analysis BITSTAMP:ETHUSD has been largely in a trading range since making its low in June 2022. Yes, some of the moves within that range have been quite substantial. The move off the June 2022 low to the early August 2022 high was about +130.59% higher. The next leg higher from the early November 2022 low to the April 2023 high was about a +99% move. In between those moves was a substantial -47.29% downdraft. (Downdrafts may have quite a smaller percentage because the starting point begins much higher than the starting point for an up move.) But big volatility, huge moves, don't guarantee a strong trend either way. A stock can chop up and down in a volatile way while its overall progress remains relatively insignificant given the volatility and moves. Consider the 1-year uptrend on the Primary Chart. The trend does not form a powerful, steep upward slope, moving sharply higher for many weeks consecutively like other charts we have come to see in recent months, e.g., NVDA, AAPL. Instead, the trend has largely been sideways with a modest uptrend with only a gradual incline despite the big moves within this well-defined channel. This could be a bear flag, though that is not yet confirmed. It's a scenario in any case that should be kept in mind on a break of the upward trendline from June 2022 lows. 1. Bear-Flag Scenario: Chart A (also shown on the primary chart) Notice how the VWAPs confirm the largely sideways ranging action. The VWAP from the all-time high and the VWAP from 2022 lows have been containing the price action YTD in 2023. Despite the gentle uptrend slope, the anchored VWAP from the all-time high reminds us of a more dynamic and flexible measure of trend, which is down from the all-time high in 2021. 2. Anchored VWAP from All-Time High: Chart B The anchored VWAP from the all-time high remains formidable to price. Notice is power in resisting price up until now. However, the last rejection did not send price to new lows. This confirms the choppy sideways thesis for now. While the dark-blue VWAP from the ATH did reject price in April 2023, price has remained well above the anchored VWAP from the major June 2022 low. Currently, the ATH-anchored VWAP lies at $2,038. A close above this level suggests at least further upside in the near term. Traders of all time frames should keep this area in mind—it's sort of like a super-highway. You don't want to run out in the middle of it without looking carefully both ways. The measured-move area is also shown here. Note that this is a logarithmic chart, so the measured move is somewhat higher than on a linear chart. This post will attempt to display measured moves on both. 3. Three Anchored VWAPS from Key Pivots: Chart C The anchored VWAPs on this chart confirm the consolidation thesis discussed above. The VWAPs are anchored to key swing lows and highs since the all-time high. NOtice how the VWAPs from these various pivots have been compressing and flattening for months. This signifies another major trend move is likely to occur when this long-term consolidation completes. Many hope it will be an upward move back to highs. SquishTrade is less confident of that conclusion given inverted yield curves (see prior posts on this); however, over the coming weeks, maybe months, choppy to somewhat higher prices can occur. 4. Triangle Patterns within Triangle Patterns: Chart D Triangles are consolidation patterns. The fact that we see triangle patterns within triangle patterns supports the idea that this 1-year channel is potentially consolidative of the move that preceded it. No guarantees, but that seems to be a logical inference. Some might counter that this is a major "cup base" though others may struggle to see anything resembling something that might hold one's tea. We'll see. Note: This is a linear chart, with a measured move based on the linear scaling. 5. Triangle pattern on a Logarithmic Chart: Chart E This chart shows a triangle on a logarithmic scale. So now, switching to log scale doesn't necessarily change the thesis just yet. The measured move for the log scale gives a 1-year measured move off of June 2022 lows around $2467. If we extend the measured move to a 1.272 projection of the first leg off the June lows, then it runs up around $3000. Long-term view summarized: As long as the uptrend from June 2022 lows holds, as well as the VWAP from that same bar, price can continue to remain supported, i.e., not crashing, sideways, rallies and dips within the defined ranges. In SquishTrade's view, $2,400 - $3000 is likely the maximum level ETH may achieve between now and the likely recession foretold by the yield curves. But higher-for-longer monetary policy in major European and North American countries may keep the ceiling even lower than that. Caution is warranted unless / until certain persistent (and 40-year record) yield curve inversions have proven that they finally gave a false signal for the first time ever. Shorter-Term Commentary Directional traders may be disappointed in the coming 2-3 weeks. A flag within a flag suggests more choppy price action overall—at least until a breakout of either occurs. The smaller flag may breakout first to the upside and lead us to the upper edge of the channel. The larger flag may breakout to the downside, and lead us to new lows. But neither has happened just yet. So price action for now may respect the ranges that are in play—both horizontal ranges and diagonal ones (channels). But it appears that price could largely could remain rangebound from a broader perspective for the coming weeks. Conclusion Traders and investors love a major directional move. It sparks adrenaline (maybe) and a combination of dreams / hopes or fears / frustration. Some traders wait eagerly at various levels to fade the move (long or short) once it has started to progress in earnest. Others who may have timed a good entry may be busy counting their profits, while trying to calm down enough to figure out a proper exit, and writing on their foreheads a reminder to "move the stop to breakeven." And still others may be sitting back patiently on the sidelines for months or years and hoping for an ideal capitulatory low after the dust has started to settle between buyers and sellers who may finally seem to have exhausted themselves. In short, the confusion and choppiness of sideways to slightly upward price action is merely the market doing price discovery between all sorts of players including long-term underwater buyers who bought above 3500 and keep hoping the price will rise just enough to make them whole (increased supply), long-term holders who are true believers in the holding (reduced supply unless emotions shake them out), short sellers (supply and potential demand when a squeeze starts), derivatives traders (supply and/or demand due to hedging flow), intraday traders, scalpers, and, let's face it, some gamblers too. In general, the market action is a device for transferring wealth from the impatient to the patient, according to one investing legend, Warren Buffett. But sometimes the patient can be the short-term trader and the impatient can be the long-term investor—because a long-term investor may lack the patience to enter or exit properly, and a short-term trader may have the patience and discipline to execute some excellent swing trades, provided risk is managed and entries and exits are well-planned, well-timed and well-executed. Minor disclaimer: This post is in no way advocating any particular investing or trading strategy. Short-term trading and long-term investing can both be either devastating or profitable (or somewhere in between those extremes) to the person engaging in it. And thanks for reading this and for your encouragement and support. ________________________________________ Author's Comment: Thank you for reviewing this post and considering its charts and analysis. The author welcomes comments, discussion and debate (respectfully presented) in the comment section. Shared charts are especially helpful to support any opposing or alternative view. This article is intended to present an unbiased, technical view of the security or tradable risk asset discussed. Please note further that this technical-analysis viewpoint is short-term in nature. This is not a trade recommendation but a technical-analysis overview and commentary with levels to watch for the near term. This technical-analysis viewpoint could change at a moment's notice should price move beyond a level of invalidation. Further, proper risk-management techniques are vital to trading success. And countertrend or mean-reversion trading, e.g., trading a rally in a bear market, is lower probability and is tricky and challenging even for the most experienced traders. DISCLAIMER: This post contains commentary published solely for educational and informational purposes. This post's content (and any content available through links in this post) and its views do not constitute financial advice or an investment or trading recommendation, and they do not account for readers' personal financial circumstances, or their investing or trading objectives, time frame, and risk tolerance. Readers should perform their own due diligence, and consult a qualified financial adviser or other investment / financial professional before entering any trade, investment or other transaction.
Editors' picks
KRAKEN:ETHUSD
by SquishTrade
39
MSFT. Forecast especially for my beloved brotherEspecially for my beloved brother, who likes Microsoft (MSFT) stocks. On the weekly chart, we have a sideways pattern. The price has played out vector 10-11 and is currently forming a bearish vector 11-12 within the sideways range. The daily chart also shows a sideways pattern. The bearish vector 9-10 has been technically played out. However, a significant selling zone has formed almost throughout the sideways range, triggered by the candle on 25.10.23, which incidentally had the highest trading volume in the last 3 months. The zone was tested by the candle on 27.10.23, The seller resumed from the zone, as indicated by the candle's wick. The most likely scenario is for the price to break out of the daily sideways range to the downside (lower boundary at 324.39), protect this breakout, and play out the bearish vector of the weekly sideways pattern. Targets for short positions: 309.5 - the lower boundary of the weekly sideways pattern. 295 - the extremum pierced by the candle on April 24, 2023. 275 - the buyer's zone at the lower boundary of the monthly sideways pattern. If a buyer emerges at the lower boundary of the weekly sideways range, targets 2 and 3 may become irrelevant. Good luck with your trading! Disclaimer: This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or recommendations. The trading or investment ideas presented here are for illustrative purposes only and are an integral part of a case study demonstrating the concepts of using volume to analyze or trade within the market scenarios discussed.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by AlexeyWolf
EURGBP Swing Entry OpportunityEURGBP is not the most trending currency pair, but I do believe are some momentum plays. They're slow to form, like taking all of last week, but the trend change does spell some opportunities. There are two key points that signalled the reversal and hold. Price broke above a consolidation that I marked for a reversal change signal. Shortly after the neckline breakout, price formed another consolidation. Two weeks ago, price broke above that consolidation and halted shortly after the breakout. For the week ahead, I'm watching to see if momentum picks up. If I do see stronger bullish candles, this will be good consideration to scale into a long position.
Long
by FinancialGamblR
3
Potential Reversal Play on NZDJPYObserved a reversal and channel break on NZDJPY. It's a bit too early to tell at the moment given that I haven't seen anything structural over on the weekly timeframe. But, getting in early does help ensure a high R:R if this trend holds. Over the past two months, I've marked four points of interest: Price breaches previous high formed around mid-June of this year. After a quick pullback, price re-tests the high but fails to sustain. This is where we see the neckline breach as price closes below a prior support level. A range was formed mid-October and Friday's close was a good indication that I should be keeping a close eye on this pair for further downside action next week.
Short
by FinancialGamblR
ANTUSDT 130% Price Surge IncomingANTUSDT Analysis: Bulls in Control Ant Finance (ANT) has recently exhibited a significant shift in its price dynamics, pointing towards a potentially lucrative trading opportunity. This analysis will delve into the key factors fueling this bullish sentiment. 1. Supply Zone Turns to Demand Zone Over the past month, the notable transformation of a crucial supply zone into a consistent demand area has caught the attention of many traders. This shift demonstrates the significance of this price region, indicating a robust source of buying interest. 2. Formation of Higher Highs A key validation of the bullish sentiment is the continuous formation of higher highs. This pattern suggests that buyers are gaining the upper hand, with each high surpassing the previous one. This dynamic is a critical signal of an emerging uptrend. 3. Acceleration of the Uptrend The ongoing price action implies a potential acceleration of the current uptrend. As a key target, we're eyeing a significant Fibonacci resistance level at $9.23. If this level is reached, it could yield substantial gains of up to 130% for traders and investors. 4. Bullish Outlook for ANT In sum, the prospects for ANT are exceptionally bright. Both the ANTUSDT and ANTBTC pairs exhibit a distinctly bullish trajectory, presenting opportunities for traders and investors to benefit from this favorable market setup. Keep an eye on the evolving price dynamics, as this could be the start of an exciting rally in the ANT market. Remember, this analysis is not financial advice, but rather an overview of the current market conditions. Always conduct thorough research and consider your risk tolerance before making any trading decisions. Happy trading!
ALong
by CryptoPAMM
2
AUDNZD - Trading The Wedge 🌙Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. AUDNZD has been overall bearish trading inside the falling wedge pattern in blue, and it is currently approaching around the bound of the wedge. Moreover, the zone 1.0925 is a strong resistance. 🏹 So the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the green resistance and upper blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance. As per my trading style: As AUDNZD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
6
NIFTY Market CAP trend forecast until JULY 2024 Current bear market will continue until the end of February 2024. During 2023 possible growth of NIFTY will occur starting mid of November until December in the range between 9327-9650. In December NIFTY will start falling from the area of 9650 down to 8800 (possible extreme bottom of 8653) in the beginning of January 2024. January-February 2024 is the perfect time to buy NIFTY Stocks. End of February 2024 will mark major bullrun in NIFTY until the end of July 2024 in the range of 9327-10609. Possible sideways-upside movement might occur between May and July 2024.
N
by discarding
Reversal Bearish Flag pattern in GNFCGujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers & Chemicals Limited Key highlights: 💡⚡ 📈 On 1week Time Frame Stock Showing Reversal of Bearish Flag Pattern. 📈 It can give movement upto the Reversal Final target of Below 562-. 📈 There have chances of breakdown of Resistance level too. 📈 After breakdown of Resistance level this stock can gives strong downside rally upto below 142-. 📈 Can Go short in this stock by placing a stop loss Above 738+.
NSE:GNFC
by TradZoo
Profit Potential Alert: Shorting HPE at Supply Zone!HPE is revisiting the supply zone, marking an excellent selling opportunity. We're seizing this chance to go short at the current price. Our outlook suggests a significant price decline, with focus on two support levels: one around the double Fibonacci near $14.2 and the other at the key demand zone around $13.8. This aligns with the downtrend trendline, expected to serve as additional support. All details, including stop loss, take profit levels, and real-time updates on trade exit are shared in our channel.
NYSE:HPEShort
by CryptoPAMM
NZDJPY - Following The Trend ↗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. on Daily: Left Chart NZDJPY has been overall bullish trading inside that big wedge pattern; and it is currently retesting the lower bound / orange trendline. on H1: Right Chart For the bulls to take over, and activate our buy setup, we need a break above the last high in gray. Meanwhile, NZDJPY would be bearish and can still trade lower, especially if the 87.0 daily low is broken downward. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
2
A potential turning for USD?Things have not turn out to be bearish yet, but a potential h&s could be in play if 105.50 zone is to give way. Watch for it! **Find out more from my Tradingview Stream this week** *************************************************************************************** Hello there! If you like my analysis and it helped you ,do give me a thumbs ups on tradingview! 🙏 And if you would like to show further support for me, you can gift me some coins on tradingview! 😁 Thank you! Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared. Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
TVC:DXY
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
2
BTC 2020 HALVING FRACTALThis chart uses different tools to study how Bitcoin's price moves. It looks at trend lines, Fibonacci levels, and a fractal from the 2020 Bitcoin event. Elements: Fractal Pattern (Yellow Ghost Bars): Prominently featured are the yellow ghost bars, which represent a fractal pattern derived from the 2020 Bitcoin halving. This pattern serves as a crucial focal point for understanding potential recurring market behaviors. Fibonacci Tools: Fibonacci retracement levels have been applied to pinpoint significant price levels and potential reversal points. These levels are instrumental in gauging market sentiment and identifying key support and resistance areas. Trend Channels: The chart employs distinct color-coded channels to visualize bullish and bearish trends. Green Channels: Highlighted to visually represent bullish trends, these segments offer insights into periods of upward momentum and potential buying opportunities. Red Channels: Clearly demarcated to visualize bearish trends, these sections indicate periods of downward pressure and may signal caution to traders. Interpretation: The fractal pattern derived from the 2020 halving event offers a historical reference point for potential market behavior. Additionally, the Fibonacci retracement levels serve as critical guideposts for understanding possible price reversals and crucial support/resistance levels. Implications: The presence of the fractal pattern suggests the potential for similar market dynamics to emerge, while the Fibonacci levels serve as valuable reference points for making informed trading decisions. The color-coded trend channels offer a visually intuitive means of distinguishing between bullish and bearish phases, aiding in the identification of opportune entry and exit points. Conclusion: By using historical patterns, Fibonacci levels, and clear trend lines, traders can make more informed decisions.
by AlbertThugstein
2
Eur/Usd Hello traders! My opinion is that the pair is in the channel scheme. The price has reached the zone of consolidation, which means it has brought a confirmation for sell at the level (1.0440). Key level (1.0440)! If the bears keep the move, we have a possible scenario and a test of the level (1.02870), but if the bulls reverse the move, we can have a retest of the level (1.05555). Be careful with the positions! War is unpredictable! Wait to enter the trade! Be careful! Don`t forget to look at the economic calendar! MAKE MONEY AND ENJOY LIFE 💰 THANK YOU! GOOD LUCK! 🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻
by THP-Forex-Academy
2