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Trendanalyisis

Oct.29-Nov.04(BTC)Weekly market recapLast Friday, the non-farm payroll data fell significantly short of expectations, leading to a substantial increase in interest rate cut anticipations. The price of BTC surged before retreating, with the majority of traders attributing the disappointing data to the impact of the hurricane, as the market response was less than favorable. Currently, the outcome of the U.S. presidential election is pivotal for the mid-term trajectory of BTC, given the differing monetary policy and inflation outlooks of the two candidates. Should Trump be elected, the promised favorable policies may come to fruition, increasing the likelihood of institutional investments in BTC, thereby enhancing its fundamentals as digital gold. Conversely, if Harris takes office, the SEC is expected to maintain its stringent stance on cryptocurrency regulations. Last week, BTC experienced an initial rise followed by a decline, breaking through the resistance level to reach $73,590 on Tuesday. The WTA indicator showed the emergence of blue bars representing whales, but these disappeared after Saturday, indicating a withdrawal of significant capital. The ME indicator remains in a bullish trend. In summary, we anticipate that BTC may experience considerable volatility this week. We have adjusted the resistance level to $74,000 and the support level to $67,000. Disclaimer: Nothing in the script constitutes investment advice. The script objectively expounded the market situation and should not be construed as an offer to sell or an invitation to buy any cryptocurrencies. Any decisions made based on the information contained in the script are your sole responsibility. Any investments made or to be made shall be with your independent analyses based on your financial situation and objectives.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Sypool
1
BTC is still maintaining a very STRONG BULLISH momentumHello traders, As i analysed before, the BTC price went to our favor and went bullish hitting targets on the 1H and 30mn charts anfter making some corrections and pullbacks. the BTC is approaching a previous Monthly level of 73907 where price may get rejected and go back to a LH monthly level of 71591 giving short trades opportunities. But if price breakes the 73907 we definitely gonna reach the $90000 level next month as the overall direction and trend is bullish and price was just making corrections the previous weeks accumulating momentum to a strong bullish move. Keep watching and seize the opportunity. Good luck
Long
by YMtradingsystem
SAKSEN Technologies Swing TradeSASKEN Technologies respecting trend line in Weekly time frame and following uptrend, if price moving above 1755 then we can go long with approx 18% SL and 36 % Reward, 1:2 risk reward. Enter only if this trade looking interesting and can manage quantity as per the stop loss. Note : Its just an analysis, wait for the price to confirm. Disclaimer : Always follow risk to reward, this is the only key to success in market, no matter how much good a trade is looking we never know the future.
NSE:SASKENLong
by smrgrover2
BITCOIN looks to push UPBitcoin recently hit a support level which for the past 4 days has been rejecting and bouncing off from. The support level consisted of a Monthly Pivot Point and a Fibonacci Golden Pocket (ratios 0.618 and 0.65). Today the market is trading above a Daily Pivot Point. We now have our first Resistance Level which is the Fibonacci Golden Pocket at 63944.45 to 64144.18. ==== (When the first Daily candle gets to this level, should it break through and close above, BITCOIN will be heading more up, should it reject on this level, the market is either going to consolidate or retrace from there). Should the market break through the first resistance it will be clear to be heading towards Resistance Level 2 which is at 68120.58 to 68282.28. ==== (There again we need the first day candle to break through and close above that in order to know that we are still in the uptrend, should the first day candle reject of that area, we are looking at some consolidation or possibly a retracement from there). <<<<<<<<<< Now This Is IMPORTANT To Note >>>>>>>>>> Resistance Level 3, this is an area that needs to be watched carefully, simply because we have not only a golden pocket at around, 70500 to 70600 BUT we have a MAJOR all time Trend Fib 0.786 level just below that. Should the market push up in time through the first 2 resistance levels, once it gets to the 3rd we will more than likely see a push through these Resistance 3 Levels with a Hard Pullback Rejection as this is targeting the ALL TIME HIGH AREA. Along with a Fibonacci Golden Pocket, A Fibonacci Trend Retracement Level, that area also includes Monthly Pivot Point Resistance Levels R2 and R3, which all in all is adding a lot of weight to that area making it very strong.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by avziofficial
5
XAUUSD 30/9/2024 Has the uptrend started?Looking at H1 we see that the 5-wave uptrend structure has been completed and we are now in an ABC correction structure The target of this correction I expect to end at the 2607 zone. At that time we can execute a long-term BUY order to continue the uptrend. - The process of price completing the correction wave target needs to absorb strong demand zones along the way. These are the targets for us to be able to BUY short-term by day. - Looking at the Volume profile, we see that there are 2 important demand zones that need to be considered, which are the 2639 - 2636 zone and the 2625 - 2622 zone. These are the border zones where the price is pushed up, so they will be the zones that the BUY side will protect when the price returns, and to break these zones, an absorption process is required and we will take advantage of this to proceed to BUY up. - After completing the adjustment, when the price breaks the peak zone of 2686, confirming that the adjustment process is complete, I then measure the target of the uptrend wave with the first resistance zone at the 2700 zone and above it is the 2738 - 2741 zone. This is also our important SELL target zone. - In which we pay attention to an important zone of 2674, this is a strong supply zone, we can consider SELLing in this zone. SELL ZONE: 2670 - 2673 SL: 2660 TP1: 2651 TP2: 2641 SELL ZONE: 2697 - 2700 SL: 2707 TP1: 2684 TP2: 2674 TP3: 2655 BUY ZONE: 2639 - 2636 SL: 2629 TP1: 2655 TP2: 2674 TP3: 2684
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
“Cryptocurrencies on the Move”The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has approved the listing and trading of options for BlackRock's IBIT. Bitcoin options trading on IBIT is expected to comply with BlackRock's standards. Following this development, the rise in cryptocurrencies has accelerated, with Bitcoin maintaining its push towards the 65,000 level. Tecnically, if it surpasses the 65,000 resistance level, the 68,500 and then 71,675 resistance levels could be tested. On the downside, if Bitcoin breaks below the 63,300 level, a further decline toward the 60,000 and then 57,330 support levels could occur.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by primequotes
“The Eurozone manufacturing PMI is weak”Following the interest rate decisions by the ECB and the Fed, the EUR/USD pair has risen to the 1.12 level. Meanwhile, the dollar index is recovering its losses post-Fed, which is limiting further gains in the EUR/USD pair. Today, the manufacturing PMI figures released for the Eurozone and Germany came in below expectations. This increased the pressure on the euro currency. From a technical perspective, if the upward trend continues and the 1.1115 resistance is broken, the next resistance levels to watch are 1.12 and 1.1275. On the downside, if pricing drops below the 1.1045 level, 1.0970 and 1.09 could act as important support levels for further declines.
by primequotes
“Bitcoin is rising."Cryptocurrency markets are going through a dynamic period with significant developments. In Germany, 47 cryptocurrency exchanges were shut down by the Federal Criminal Police Office and the Internet Crime Complaint Center as part of efforts to combat money laundering activities. However, following the Fed's decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points, there is a decline in dollar-denominated assets. This situation is supporting upward movements in Bitcoin. From a technical perspective, if it surpasses the 63,300 resistance level, the 65,000 and then 68,500 resistance levels could be tested. On the downside, if Bitcoin breaks below the 60,000 level, a further decline toward the 57,330 and then 54,000 support levels could occur.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by primequotes
“USDZAR on a Downward Trend”The South African Reserve Bank has reduced the policy interest rate to 8.00%. Following this move, the reversals at the 17.40 level in the USDZAR pair have drawn attention. The Fed had unexpectedly cut rates by 50 basis points at its September meeting. This situation has led to significant losses in dollar assets, while we can observe that any increases in the USDZAR pair remain limited. From a technical perspective, if the exchange rate surpasses the 17.70 level, rises may initially extend to 17.95 and then to the 18.20 resistance level. On the downside, if the 17.40 level is breached, we could see a decline to 17.15 and then to the 16.90 support level.
by primequotes
“Can USD/JPY Surpass the 144.0 Level?”The Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its policy interest rate unchanged, holding it steady at 0.25%. The bank noted that Japan's economic recovery is continuing, and inflationary pressures have eased due to a decline in import prices. According to data released today, Japan's Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August increased by 3% year-over-year, in line with expectations. As a result, the USD/JPY pair has gained momentum, rising from the 140.85 level. From a technical perspective, if the 144.10 level is surpassed, the pair may test the 147.30 resistance first, followed by 149.55. On the downside, if it falls below the 140.85 support level, a drop toward 138.0 and then 135.15 could occur.
by primequotes
“The pound gained strength”The Bank of England (BoE) maintained its policy interest rate at 5.00%, with no changes. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that since they lowered the policy rate in August, inflationary pressures have continued to ease. Bailey also emphasized the importance of avoiding rate cuts that are too quick or too large. Following this development, the GBP/USD pair rose above the 1.33 level. From a technical perspective, if the 1.3355 level is permanently surpassed, the rise could accelerate toward 1.3430, followed by the 1.35 resistance level. On the downside, if prices fall below the 1.3270 level, the decline could extend first to 1.3150 and then further to the 1.3030 support level.
by primequotes
“Gold Prices Target 2600 Level”After the Fed cut its policy rate for the first time in four years, the dollar index saw further declines. The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond dropped to 3.63% following the decision. This market reaction accelerated the push for gold prices towards the 2600 level. Additionally, the Fed indicated the possibility of another 50 basis point rate cut this year. Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted that upward risks to inflation have decreased, while downward risks to employment have increased. From a technical perspective, if prices remain consistently above the 2580 level, an increase to 2600 and then to 2650 could occur. On the downside, if the price falls below the 2570 support level, a pullback could extend to 2535 and then to 2482.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by primequotes
“Dollar Index Declines After Fed Decision”The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) cut its policy rate for the first time in four years, lowering it by 50 basis points to the range of 4.75%-5.00%. Following this decision, the decline in the dollar index accelerated. Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that the decision shows increased confidence in maintaining a strong labor market while ensuring moderate growth and bringing inflation down to 2% sustainably. Additionally, the Fed lowered its federal funds rate projection for the end of this year from 5.1% to 4.4%, suggesting the possibility of a further 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed this year. Technically, if the index falls below the 100.50 level, the 100.0 and 99.50 levels can be considered support. However, if it recovers and moves above the 101.0 level, resistance can be observed at the 101.85 and 102.70 levels.
TVC:DXY
by primequotes
XAUUSD 19/9/2024 Downtrend is over? Looking at H1 we see that after the FOMC news we witnessed a strong price increase creating ATH at the 2600 area. Then there was a strong decrease to the 2547 area - So wave 5 has completed as expected my target. now we expect an ABC correction - Looking at the chart we see a strong decline suggesting a completed wave A, this strong decline also shows us that wave A has a 5-wave structure so this correction we expect a correction according to the ABC Zigzac correction structure - The target of wave B I expect at the 2580 - 2583 zone or the 2579 - 2600 zone this is our SELL target - After completing the target of wave B the price continues to decrease to complete wave C I expect the target to complete wave C at the price zone of 2528 - 2525 this will be our BUY target - We also have a strong support zone at the price zone of 2451 - 2448 this will be our BUY scalp zone Trading plan SELL ZONE 2580 - 2583 SL: 2590 TP1: 2570 TP2: 2562 TP3: 2551 SELL ZONE: 2597 - 2600 SL: 2607 TP1: 2590 TP2: 2579 TP3: 2562 BUY ZONE: 2551 - 2448 SL: 2561 TP1: 2562 TP2: 2570 TP3: 2579 BUY ZONE: 2528 - 2525 TP1: 2541 TP2: 2551 TP3: 2562
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
“The EUR/USD target is 1.11500”Last week, the ECB cut its interest rate by 25 basis points, in line with market expectations. ECB President Lagarde did not make any commitments for October but indicated that rates are on a downward path. As a result, pricing in favor of the Euro strengthened, with the EUR/USD pair reaching the 1.1130 level. As the new week began, the pair faced mild selling pressure but maintained prices above the 1.11 level. From a technical perspective, if the upward trend continues and the 1.1150 resistance is broken, the next resistance levels to watch are 1.1190 and 1.1275. On the downside, if pricing drops below the 1.1115 level, 1.1045 and 1.10 could act as important support levels for further declines.
by primequotes
Bitcoin Fails to Break the 60K ThresholdThe dollar's accelerated losses due to Fed expectations had only a limited impact on Bitcoin's rise. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded their highest daily inflows in nearly two months. However, as the U.S. elections approach and Kamala Harris performed better than Donald Trump in the latest TV debate, cryptocurrencies, led by Bitcoin, lost value. From a technical perspective, if Bitcoin breaks below the 57,330 level, a further decline toward the 55,800 and then 54,000 support levels could occur. On the upside, if it surpasses the 60,000 resistance level, the 63,000 and then 65,000 resistance levels could be tested.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by primequotes
The Dollar Index Accelerates Its Decline!The dollar index has been losing strength recently, falling below the 100.50 level. Following the ECB's decision to cut interest rates, expectations for a rate cut by the Fed have also increased. According to money market pricing, there is a 51% probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week, and a 49% probability of a 50 basis point cut. This has pushed the dollar index below the 100.50 level. Technically, if the index falls below the 100.45 level, the 100.30 and 100.00 levels can be considered support. However, if it recovers and moves above the 100.45 level, resistance can be observed at the 100.70 and 100.90 levels.
TVC:DXY
by primequotes
XAUUSD 12/9/2024 will the gold price continue to decrease Looking at H1, we see a complete Elliot structure has been completed including 5 main waves and 3 abc correction waves, I used purple to symbolize on the chart - Following a complete structure is a new trend that coincides with the main trend with a 5-wave structure - Currently, we predict that wave 1 in the new trend has been completed and wave 2 is being completed - The target area of ​​wave 2 I measured at the area of ​​2508 - 2505, we will use this price area as the target to BUY up according to wave 3 - At that time, we measure the target of wave 3 at least at the area of ​​2538 - 2541 and this price area will be our Sell target to catch the wave 4 correction down - I still reserve a case that the current price wave 2 continues to adjust according to the abc structure that has not ended, then we will have a target BUY at 2494 - 2491 Trading Plan BUY ZONE: 2508 - 2505 SL: 2498 TP1: 2516 TP2: 2525 TP3: 2532 BUY ZONE: 2494 - 2491 SL: 2484 TP1: 2500 TP2: 2508 TP3: 2520 SELL ZONE: 2538 - 2541 SL: 2548 TP1: 2531 TP2: 2525 TP3: 2517
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
Will UKOIL continue its decline?The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) announced that global oil demand will reach a higher level this year, while noting that the increase in production will be lower than previously forecasted. Additionally, the EIA reduced its price forecast for Brent crude oil in 2024 by 2.4%, from $84.44 per barrel to $82.80 per barrel. As a result, Brent crude oil prices fell to the $70.0 level. Technically, if the 69.30 support level is broken, further declines toward 67.50 and 65.60 are possible. On the upside, if the 71.50 resistance is surpassed, buying momentum could accelerate toward the 73.0 and 74.30 resistance levels.
TVC:UKOIL
by primequotes
XAUUSD 9/9/2024 Is the Downtrend Over? Looking at H1 we see a 5-wave structure has ended and then the price has decreased to the 2491 area. - Looking at the current price structure, we expect the price to create a new bullish structure larger than the current structure, which I denote as the orange structure - So with the 5-wave orange structure, we expect wave 1 to be completed - And now wave 2 I measure the target at the price zone of 2481 - 2479, this will be the target for us to BUY - I still do not rule out that the adjustment process is not yet complete because the adjustment process is only confirmed when the price surpasses 2532, so I still calculate the possibility that the price is still adjusting - At that time, the target price zone ends the adjustment at the price zone of 2435 - 2432, this will be our BUY target when the price breaks through 2471 Regarding the SELL zone, I see that there is a very large supply at the price zone of 2511 - 2514 This zone is determined by the Volume profile tool when the price touches this zone, there must be a supply absorption phase before it can continue to increase, so this will be our SELL target Trading plan BUY ZONE: 2477 - 2474 SL: 2467 TP1: 2487 TP2: 2497 TP3: 2510 BUY ZONE: 2435 - 2432 SL: 2425 TP1: 2453 TP2: 2471 TP3: 2410 SELL ZONE: 2511 - 2514 SL: 2521 TP1: 2499 TP2: 2487 TP3: 2477
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
Bitcoin's Bull Run Is Closer Than You Think (Q4 Shock)Good Morning CryptoFam and Investing enthusiasts, As we find ourselves in another week of downward price action, I want to believe that this could be a massive fake-out as we patiently await the anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts expected during the week of September 18th (source:(www.cmegroup.com). Looking at Bitcoin's historical patterns, particularly market seasonality—defined as predictable trends in asset prices driven by recurring events such as holidays, earnings seasons, tax deadlines, or consumer behavior—we can expect a positive trend reversal starting in October. Historically, Bitcoin has delivered an average Q4 return of almost 89%. From today’s prices, this would put us on a trajectory towards the $100K mark by year-end (source: www.coinglass.com). Additionally, when we examine the liquidation heat-maps, the liquidity below current prices has mostly been exhausted, meaning that downward pressure from market makers could begin to ease as fewer positions remain to be liquidated below this range. Now, the most tempting targets are the shorts—many of which began shorting around the $74K all-time high. It may be time for a short squeeze (source: Liquidation Heat-map (www.coinglass.com). Now for the exciting part: We've been trading in a parallel channel for about 175 days. This has been a test of patience, draining much of the motivation from market participants—especially as traditional markets have performed so well this year. However, our time is coming. I've been quietly stacking at these lower prices, with confidence in what's to come. Let's take a moment to analyze the technicals. On the weekly chart, we remain within the aforementioned channel, and the Bollinger Bands have become extremely tight—often a precursor to significant price movement. The price currently sits near the bottom of the BB%b indicator, signaling that Bitcoin may be oversold. Next, we turn to the RSI (Relative Strength Index), which is currently sitting at 47 on the weekly chart. This essentially indicates a reset, giving us room for a potential upward move. However, it’s important to acknowledge that while it doesn’t limit a higher price move, it also doesn’t preclude further downside. Supporting my bullish thesis as we approach year-end is the "Sine Line" indicator. This tool, which aligns with time and cycle theory, suggests that we are nearing the bottom of bearish momentum, forecasting a return to upward price action in the coming weeks and months. Finally, let’s talk about projecting previous cycles into the future using the Bar Pattern tool in TradingView. To create this pattern, I mapped the price movements from September (post-halving) for the last three cycles (2012, 2016, and 2020), extending the trend from September to the top of each cycle. Interestingly, each cycle lasted approximately the same length of time and aligns well with the Sine Line tool. It points to an expected cycle top around December 2025. Just for fun, I plotted the potential price levels if Bitcoin were to follow similar run-ups from those cycles. While I don’t expect a 2012 or 2016-style price explosion in the next year, it's fascinating to note that all three cycles fit perfectly into the current price channel. This strengthens my conviction that we've already seen the market bottom and are poised to resume our bullish direction soon. As always, #frens, I appreciate you taking the time to read my thoughts and analysis. Remember, this is just my opinion. Please do your own research and take actions that are appropriate for your unique situation. That said—do take action. For more insights, please visit my webpage at linker.ee/pcalzolaio. I look forward to sharing this journey with you all. #FIRE #FREEDOM #BITCOIN Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Calzolaio
“The Nasdaq Index Extends Losses”In the U.S., the JOLTS job openings decreased by 237,000 in July compared to the previous month, dropping to 7.673 million. This marks the lowest level since January 2021. Following this data, expectations have increased that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could reduce the policy rate by a total of 125 basis points across its three remaining meetings this year. Additionally, the likelihood of a 50 basis point rate cut at the Fed’s September meeting has risen to 45%. The release of U.S. macroeconomic data, which has triggered recession concerns, has led to increased selling pressure on the indices. Technically, the Nasdaq index, which has retreated to the 18,780 level, could experience further selling pressure, potentially reaching the support levels of 18,450 and 17,900. In the event of a potential buying movement, if we see a close above the 18,900 level, the upward trend could extend to the resistance levels of 19,520 and 19,970.
NASDAQ:NDX
by primequotes