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Trendanalyisis

XAUUSD June 24, 2024 Will the downward wave continue?Prices are recovering after a sharp drop on Friday. - According to the Elliot wave principle, a sharp wave moving quickly is wave 3 in a series of 5 waves. - So it is possible that the current increase is a correction in wave 4, so we will continue to have wave 5 continuing to decrease after wave 4 correction is completed. - The nearest resistance zone is the 2330 zone. We will monitor this zone and it may be the target of wave 4. - The target zone for wave 5 from the current forecasts is estimated at 2309. After reaching this zone, we will have the completion of the orange wave 1 in the larger wave. - Then the price recovered to complete the 2 orange correction wave. We predict wave 2 target at 2343.59 Trading plan - The main trend is downtrend, so for long-term transactions we prioritize sell orders. The best price zone to enter an order is the price zone that completes the orange wave 2, which is the 2343.59 zone. When the price reaches this zone, look for a confirmation reversal signal to enter the order. - With SCalping trades, we wait for the price to react at the support and resistance zones to enter orders. Note that Scalping trading is a short wave trade, so the TP is usually from 30 pips to 100 pips, so you should focus on managing the trade. Translation to limit risks
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
94K Bitcoin ?Looks like bitcoin is retesting the weekly bull flag structure right now. And this week it has touched Weekly, Daily, and 4 Hours support of the flag structure. This week BTC close above 64k will be good confirmation of the structure. And next week we might see a pullback to retest current lows and if the bulls take control and break the current channel at daily and H4 level. Then we could see the bull run to continue and reach the height of the flag poll around 94K. Always analyze BTC and take trades on every other crypto as well. Everything follows BTC.
PYTH:BTCUSDLong
by Shaappe
XAUUSD trading plan for the week of June 4, 2024 So after Friday's sharp drop, we had a profit of 500 pips. This decrease also confirmed the completion of orange wave C in the ABC correction. After the ABC correction is completed, we bet that the previous downtrend wave will continue. - With Friday's decline, we see that the momentum has entered the oversold zone, showing that sellers are showing signs of exhaustion. So in the immediate future there will need to be a short-term correction for sellers to regain their strength. - We measure that this decrease is likely to end at 2 price zones: 2309 or 2395. - With the assumption that the price range ends at 2309, we measure the target of this temporary upward adjustment ending at 2340. - Then the price continues to decrease to complete the big wave 5 at the target price areas that we measured before, which are 2256 and 2210. - When does our wave counting process fail? That's when this rally price broke through the 2374 area, then confirmed that we have to do the wave count again, then I will update later if it happens. - On the H4 chart, I have drawn important resistance and support zones, which we can rely on to plan Scalping when the price approaches these zones. - I will update specific price developments every day.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD: Next week we can see bullish: 3000+ pips move!Recent Price Action: High High (HH): Price reached a peak before reversing at 2,376.50 USD. Break of Structure (BOS): Multiple occurrences indicating potential shifts in market direction. Fair Value Gaps (FVG): Indicate price imbalances that may get filled in future movements. Projection: Immediate Downtrend: Potential downward movement towards the 2,310.00 - 2,312.00 USD demand zone. Possible Retracement: Upward retracement towards the 2,368.00 - 2,376.50 USD supply zone before continuing the downtrend. Further Downside: Extended bearish targets around 2,280.00 USD. Market Observations: Watch for price reactions at the demand and supply zones. Monitor structural breaks for trend confirmation or reversal. Be cautious of liquidity sweeps which may cause abrupt price movements.
FX:XAUUSD
by rec0der
1
XAUUSD June 21, 2024 Is the rising wave over?Our wave C target has been achieved, looking at the price we see - Yesterday after the news of unemployment benefits was announced, the price increased sharply to our target area of ​​2364 and is currently correcting. So the price increased sharply and quickly, which is the characteristic of wave 3, then the price decreased and adjusted until now, so it is likely that the price is in wave 4. - So we may have wave 5 to end this wave C and from current price data we can measure the target area for this wave C from 2364 to 2374. We will consider the price range from 2364 to 2374, this is a very good price range to sell down. After the price reaches the target of wave C as above, if the price breaks the 2387.5 zone, then our trading plan must change. In case the price drops, we have the goal of completing the big wave 5 as shown on the chart at area 2256 and area 2210.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
1
XAUUSD on June 20, 2024 after bank holidayToday will be announced the number of applications for unemployment benefits. This index will tell us how the current economic situation is affected by the Fed's policy on interest rates. If these indexes decrease, it will tell us that the Fed's recent policies have not had a large impact on the economic situation, which will create conditions for the Fed to maintain its hawkish policy and then the USD will increase. and XAU will decrease If this policy increases compared to the previous period, this signals that the Fed's policies are negatively impacting the economy, affecting all classes of people, creating pressure for the Fed to relax interest rates in the future. in the near future and this will cause the USD to decrease and XAU to increase. Price broke out of the triangle wedge this morning with a strong candle. So we are leaning towards the ABC correction model - So the price target of wave C as last time we measured at 2 price zones 2350 and 2365 price zone. - After the price reaches this target, the price will continue to trend down to complete the large wave C in the D1 time frame. - Our current trading plan is to wait until the wave C target at 2350 or 2364 to find a selling point or we can go to smaller time frames for scalping trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
1
XAUUSD Trading strategy for complex corrections Look at H1 - We see that currently the price is tending to form a triangle correction pattern. - As I said before, the price is currently in a complicated adjustment process, we can only wait for the model to complete to determine the next trend. - And I am also predicting an ABC correction model with the target wave C on the chart with 2 price ranges 2350 and 2365. However, currently we see that the price is in a position where it can form a triangle correction model and ABC correction pattern may continue. So at the present time we wait at the price of 2341.8 to confirm any model. - If the price breaks 2341.8, the targets of wave C continue to be completed. Then we wait for the target levels of wave C, i.e. area 2350 or area 2365, to sell down. - If the price cannot break the 2341.8 area, the price may form a triangle correction pattern abcde. Then we wait for the price to break the lower boundary of the triangle pattern to sell to the target area of ​​wave 5. In general, in a complex adjustment process, it is not feasible to conduct many transactions in this area, so we should patiently wait for the target areas. In this process we will prioritize Scalping
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD June 18, 2024 a potential sharp declineGold prices are recovering after last week's sell-off as the US economy forced the Fed to adopt a more dovish stance. Weak manufacturer inflation data and a rise in initial jobless claims supported lower interest rates. Additionally, escalating geopolitical tensions, such as increased attacks by Hezbollah on Israel and more Russian warships in the Caribbean, have contributed to this rebound. Looking at the adjustment process from June 8 to the present time, we can see that this is a complicated adjustment process. - Trading in a complex correction is not recommended. We watch for this adjustment process to complete - During this process we can scalp in short price ranges in smaller frames. - When the price reaches the expected targets, we will consider placing an order. Looking at H1, we see that the wave C correction process is still continuing. We observe the price reaching the target price zones 2350 and 2356. - The price will confirm the target areas of wave C when it breaks out of the 2341.8 area, then we focus on observing the chart to find a Sell order. - In case the price breaks out of the 2296 price range, it is likely that the adjustment process has been completed and if the price also breaks out of the 2287 area, then the target price area for wave 5 is 2256 and 2210 will be the areas we focus on. closely to find Buy orders.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
GBP/JPY - Price is the leading IndicatorToday we are looking at GBP/JPY 5 Minutes timeframe. Based on the price structure, we believe that the high probability direction in the short term is downtrend. We have seen an ABC (Corrective) wave after the Low of Friday was made. Key Structures to note: Structure 4: 200.022 Downtrend continuation reversal point. Structure 2: 200.674 Downtrend Violation Structure. Always Think in Probability: As traders, you must be careful to align your behavior and expectations with the following principles: - Anything can happen - An EDGE is only an indication of one thing happening over another - There is a random distribution between wins and losses - You don't need to know what will happen in order to make money in trading.
Short
by Charts247TradingAcademy
XAUUSD After a week of volatile news from the Fed Last week we observed that US inflation indicators showed signs of cooling down. - Wednesday's CPI dropped from 3.45 to 3.3% - PPI index decreased -0.2% Inflation indicators decreased while economic indicators were negative - As the unemployment rate and unemployment benefit application rate increase This shows that the Fed's monetary policy is effectively reducing inflation, specifically consumer price CPI and production costs, while also reflecting the negative economic impact of the policy. this book. This requires that the Fed may begin to loosen monetary policy in the near future Look at D1 - We see that the correction has completed wave B and is continuing wave C of wave 4. - We can measure the target of wave C at 2 price zones 2256 and 2210 price zones. - We have a price zone confirming the final wave 4 which is the 2150 price zone. If the price breaks through this zone, our ABC wave counting process is no longer correct, then we have to re-plan a new plan based on new data. Look at H1 - The price has broken out through the 2323 zone and is testing this zone again. Looking at the reversing momentum in the oversold area, it is likely that the price has successfully tested and continues to rise to the target areas of wave C above. - Yesterday we measured the target wave C which is 2 areas 2354 and 2360 - The target area of ​​wave C is a very good area for us to look for Sell down orders - Combined with chart D1, we will have the price range where this decrease will end at 2256 or 2210. - We also have a zone that denies this wave counting process when the price surpasses the 2388 zone, then the price has entered an uptrend and we are forced to change our trading strategy at that time (I will update later if that happens).
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
Very interesting similarity between the ES1! and YM1!I was recently watching a video in the ideas section of trading view and I notice this person speculates that the price will drop lower in the Dow Jones. Interestingly enough, this also lines up quite well in my charts. It's important to notice that many differences exist between these two tickers. The fluctuations of the CBOT_MINI:YM1! and the CME_MINI:ES1! are quite different. I had to adjust the n data previous points in the short term mean return indicator to 20 as well as set the sensitivity to 2. This way the chart was not overcrowded and easier to read. As well as larger short term MA and distribution was needed. I'll take advantage of this difference to explain what happens when the parameters in the indicator change. There are two factors to the sensitivity of the indicator. One is the number of previous days considered (parameter n). The higher this value is, the less sensitive the indicator is, therefore it's better at detecting longer term trends. This is the reason why I include 2 in the indicator. One to see the short term trend and one for the long term trend. This in addition to knowing where we are in the distribution help me for a hypothesis of what is most likely to happen next. One key factor of my strategy when trading is to never go short unless you are absolutely sure you are correct, always look for discounts and take profits. It's better to buy at discounted prices than trying to catch both waves of the market. You already know the market did one wave, what do you think will happen next? Of course, the next wave! I personally trade with no stop loss to not materialize erroneous entries and look to buy even more as prices continue to drop and are at attractive levels. Unless there is a clear possible break of market structure like it's visible here, as the 200MA has been used in the past as strong points of support and resistance. If this structure is broken, then it's quite possible that price will trend even lower, so this trade does require a stop loss. When I was more of an intermediate and unprofitable trader, I relied a lot on two indicators, which did give me the ability to make somewhat accurate predictions. Since tradingview has kept increasing the restrictions on free accounts, I had to choose between two of my favorite indicators. The RSI and the MACD. I chose to keep the MACD as it's visible on previous trades. Mean Returns offers the value of these two indicators into one, plus tests out a new hypothesis that I've been testing so far with great success. The basic premise of this indicator is to chart the market cycles in terms of average returns generated in the n periods before and the current one. Additionally, it creates the supposition that the market has inertia and therefore is likely to continue doing what it's already doing (aka: the trend is your friend) I hope the original posters of the video @AdvancedPlays gets to see this and find it to be of value. Always remember there are no certainties in the markets, only probabilities
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by DarkMessiah777
Xauusd after a series of important news from the FedYesterday's news announced to us First, the ppi decrease combined with the unemployment benefits application index increased. Combined with a decrease in CPI, this is beneficial for Gold to increase because the economic situation seems to be weakening, putting pressure on the Fed to reduce interest rates. However, Nonfarm data, specifically the employment index, has increased sharply in the recent period, which is the motivation for the Fed to keep the current interest rate at 5.9%. This is the reason why PPI news, although beneficial for Gold, cannot last long. Look at H1 - We are having the idea of ​​an abc correction model. In which we expect wave c to complete - In front of us we have 2 important price zones: 2307 and 2287, these are 2 price zones that help us determine the direction of the price. - If the price breaks out at 2307, this is a necessary condition for the orange wave c to complete. Then we have 2 target price zones of wave c: 2350.4 and 2364.6. These are 2 areas where we can look for Sell orders - If the price breaks out below 2287, this is a necessary condition for the price to fall to the target zone of wave 5, which is 2264. This is the area where we look for a Buy order.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD June 13, 2024 After news of CPI and Fed interest rates Yesterday we had the Fed's announcement about the CPI index, we saw that this index was 0.3 to 0.4 lower than the previous period. This is the result when the Fed implemented tightening monetary policy in the past. After that, the FOMC meeting announced that interest rates would continue to remain at 5.5%. - This made gold yesterday, after the announcement of CPI increased to 2340, then the news that interest rates remained high at 5.5% continued to push gold prices down. Look at the H1 chart - Yesterday's pullback to the 2340 price range reached the 50% Fibo level, which is a level that has surpassed the usual 38% level of wave 4. This suggests to us a more complex wave model - For now, at this position, we observe the price zones to confirm the formation model, which are the price zone 2307 and the price zone 2287. - If the price holds above the 2307 area, then we will have wave 5 formed at the 2287 area, meaning wave C during the ABC correction looks like D1 has completed. Then we have wave C higher than bottom B. Looking at D1, we see that a new complex correction model can form (I will update later). - If the price breaks through the 2287 area, we have wave 5 targets as on the chart we mentioned before.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD June 12, 2024 everyone waiting for the CPI roundLast week we had strong market fluctuations - Looking from the US economic perspective, we see that with the economic indicators announced last week, we see a number of important issues. - ISM PMI index, which is an index measuring the development of the industry, is lower than 50 standard units of this index, signaling that the industry is slowing down. - The unemployment rate and the number of applications for unemployment benefits increased, showing that the economic situation is slowing down With bad economic signals, the main reason is due to high interest rates, which reduces the cash flow in the US economy, causing a lack of capital for economic development. However, on Friday when the Nonfarm index was released, we saw a sharp increase in the job change rate, which could be the medicine to help the Fed maintain high interest rates for a while longer. Curbing inflation to 2% will come at the cost of economic stagnation, so today's CPI will help us have a clearer view of the decision to cut interest rates in the near future. . From an analytical perspective according to Elliot - After forming the abc wave structure (black), the price does not decrease according to the previous trend but forms a structure running in a triangle wedge. This brings us to a complex adjustment model abcde - Looking at the complex correction model, it is difficult to specifically identify each wave. We can only recognize when the model is complete - This pattern is confirmed when the price breaks out of the lower boundary of the triangle. We will wait for this Breakout to enter a sell order. - In case the price breaks out to the upper edge, this correction model is no longer correct when measuring, we must confirm the price model at that time. After wave 4 completes, the price continues to follow the previous downtrend to complete wave 5 - We have wave 5 targets at 2 price zones 2264 and 2229. - We can find buy points in these areas. Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
Possible break of market structureI've been bullish on tesla as I like the company and is currently in a very long-lasting swing low, however if price drops more than this minimum it is possible that market structure will break and will test the lows again. If we do see a break in market structure, then the first proposed trade of the referenced idea will fail. However, the second trade still stands, we buy and hold Tesla. It has solid financial fundamentals and has an amazing brand. I seriously doubt there would be further losses in this company. I will eventually talk about my fundamental analysis, but that won't be right now.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by DarkMessiah777
GBPJPY still gives bearish sentiment$$$Took a short yesterday that went according my analysis. After a retracement and doing further analysis my bias is still leaning heavily towards the downside. The monthly nor has the weekly high been breach to make a new higher high. Right now, i'm looking at a rejection on the 4hr and 1hr timeframes that looks to be hitting resistance inside of a fair value gap. My intentions is to dropdown into a lower time frame and look for an entry to short the market. The Asian and London highs has been breached absorbing liquidity in the form of buystops. After a low or high is taken price usually runs up about 20-30 pips more before making a correction or trend reversal. Everyone have a safe and productive trading week!!!
Short
by DTradesFX2
XAUUSD June 10, 2024 Opportunity after a sharp decline?Last week we saw a sharp decline on Friday due to news that China stopped buying gold reserves and the Nonfarm index was good for the USD. Seen from Elliot's perspective - We have wave 4 completed at the price range of 2386, then wave 5 continues to move in a downtrend. - We see a sharp move of wave 5 so this is likely wave 3 within wave 5 (Wave 5 inside it is a small 5 wave structure 1 2 3 4 5) - So in order for wave 5 to complete, we need a correction of wave 4 in the big wave 5 - We have 2 adjustment targets: 2 price zones 2309 and 2321 - After completing the correction wave, the price will continue to decrease to complete wave 5 - We have wave 5 targets of 2 areas 2264 and 2229 - For now, looking at the H4 momentum indicator, it is in the oversold area, so the immediate selling force has temporarily weakened. It is possible that the next adjustment will be to the target areas above. - We will observe the important price zones above to look for transactions Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD June 11, 2024 waiting for an opportunity to buy up?This week we have important news: CPI news. Last week's Nofarm newsletter provided indicators that allow the Fed to continue maintaining monetary policy as rising employment data gives the Fed confidence that people can still withstand tightening monetary policy. But with other recent data, the US economy is clearly being adversely affected by the Fed's monetary policy. On Wednesday, CPI news will be released and will clearly show us the Fed's trend in the near future. When the forecasted indicators are very positive for the Fed's work to control inflation. If the news is announced as expected, it could be a signal for the Fed to loosen its monetary policy. Looking at H4, we see the recovery after the sharp decline last week, signaling that wave 4 is forming. - Looking at the corrective wave structure, we see that there have been 3 corrective waves a b c and the current position of wave c has also reached the target area that we predicted the day before. - It is possible that wave C in the corrective structure or wave 4 as shown on the chart has now formed and we expect wave 5 to continue the downtrend. - Looking at the momentum of the H4 frame, we see that the H4 momentum has reversed to decrease in the overbought area, this reinforces the upcoming decline. - We measure the end target of wave 5 ending at 2 price target areas: area 2264 and area 2229. In the immediate future, we can look for sell down orders When the price continues to target wave 5, which is 2264 or 2229, we look for buy orders. Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD week 2 June 2024 where will the decline come?Last week, China announced that it would stop buying Gold in May, making investors worried, leading to a sharp drop last Friday. In addition, the published Nonfarm news also showed that the change in US employment rate increased sharply from 165k to 275k. These are the things that caused Gold to have a sharp decline on Friday Looking at D1, we see that the sharp drop in price on Friday completely negated the increase last week. - This also confirms that wave 5 has not yet started when the price breaks below the 2318 zone - So the wave 4 correction model now becomes a Flat model with the top of wave b equal to the bottom of wave a. - From the measurement, we can measure the target of wave c in wave abc or wave 4, there will be 2 targets: area 2260 and area 2205. - This correction process, the abc process in wave 4, is confirmed to be completed when the price breaks through 2452 - This correction is negated (i.e. our current wave counting model is no longer valid) when the price breaks below 2145. - Looking at the current momentum indicator, it is preparing to reverse and decrease so in the short term, the price will continue to decline, so we should limit bottom fishing at the current price range. Our trading plan is to observe two target zones, the 2260 zone and the 2205 zone, to find a buy signal.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD June 7, 2024 before important Non Farm newsToday we will have information about the Non Farm index published. From Non Farm ADP data US ADP employment rose 152,000 in May, less than the gain in April. It was below market expectations and hit a three-month low. Additionally, April data has been revised downward. Employment in the goods-producing sector increased by just 3,000, down significantly from 47,000 the previous month. The services sector increased by 149,000 jobs, of which 55,000 came from trade, logistics and utilities, but the number of jobs in the information industry continued to decrease by 7,000. We realize that the US labor market is weakening, because ADP is the index used to predict official Nonfarm, so today's index will be very important for the upcoming gold trend. Many indicators published during this time signaled that the US economy was weakening due to the impact of the FED's tightening monetary policy to reduce inflation. This will be one of the important conditions for the Fed to loosen monetary policy in the coming time. Looking at H1 we see that a small wave 1 2 3 4 5 is about to complete. Wave 3 target has been completed and currently the price is completing waves 4 and 5. - We measure the target of wave 5 at the price range of 2390 and 2413 - After the price completes wave 5, the next wave will be the abc correction - We will monitor Take Profit with purchased transactions at the price range we have previously given such as area 2317 and area 2354. - Short-term sell orders can be initiated at this target price range of 2390 or 2413. Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by DEEKOP
2
XAUUSD on June 6, 2024, the uptrend officially begins?Yesterday Israel attacked Hamas, causing gold prices to increase sharply last night despite the ISM PMI index being greater than 50. Looking at H1, the news of Israel attacking Hamas has caused the price of Gold to rise through tradingrank for more than a week now. - Price surpasses 2464 and confirms wave 5 has ended at our target area of ​​2317. - From the chart we see that wave 5 is an Ending Diagonal Triangle (ED) wave. This wave usually appears at the end of the trend. When this wave ends, a new trend will open - So we hope the next price target is 2397 - Looking at the H4 momentum indicator, we see that this indicator is in the overbought zone and is about to reverse. Looking at the H1 momentum indicator, we see that this indicator is entering the overbought zone. So in the immediate future, we expect a correction to confirm wave 1 and wave 2. - We have 2 temporary target areas measured on the H1 chart measured from existing data. We continue to observe to wait for this confirmation adjustment to complete. In our plan, we pay attention to the 2397 zone. If the price reaches this zone, there may be a big correction that we can take advantage of to sell down. Adjustment areas 2464 and 2354 may be the price will retest these areas and we can proceed to buy up. Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP