S&P 500 Index (SPX): Long-term AnalysisThe 'Adaptive Trend Finder (log)' indicator analyzes the entire available history and calculates the strongest trend channel. It is arguably the best tool for instantly visualizing the price level from a technical analysis perspective.
On this chart, we have applied the 'Adaptive Trend Finder (log)' indicator twice, using logarithmic scale settings, and we have selected the 'Use Long-Term Channel' option for one of the two indicators (red). We adjusted the table to prevent overlap with the first indicator (blue).
What do we observe on the S&P 500 Index?
We can see that there are two Ultra Strong trends, one starting in the late 1930s and the other beginning in 2009. The CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) for the channel starting in 1939 is 7.4%, and for the one starting in 2009, it is 10.6% (excluding dividends).
Now it's up to you to draw conclusions...
Happy trading!
Trendanalyisis
BNB/USDT 1DIntervalBNB/USDT on a one-day time frame. We will start by identifying a downtrend line from which we can see how the price has gone up and is currently struggling to stay above this level.
Moreover, at this point we can see the formation of the Cap and Handle formation, which is characterized by a first large and a second smaller low, after which an upward price break can be observed. Moreover, the recent declines were caused by the bombardment of the media with negative information about the Binanc exchange, which lowered the valuation of the BNB token.
Going further, when we unfold the fib retracement grid, we will see that the price has been rejected by a very strong resistance zone from $319 to $351, but if we return to it and the price goes up, the path towards the next significant resistance around $443 will open.
Looking the other way, we will define the places of support in a similar way. And here we can see the first support at the level of $286, then we can determine the second support at the level of $253.7, which could potentially fill the formation. However, if the formation is broken, we still have a very strong support zone from $231 to $202.
Please look at the RSI indicator, which shows a rebound towards the upward trend line, while the STOCH indicator shows a strong downward movement, which resulted in a small price movement on the chart, but there is still room to deepen the correction.
BTC/USDT 1DInterval Chart Hello everyone, I invite you to review the BTC to USDT chart, taking into account the one-day time frame. And here we will start by defining the upward trend channel with the blue lines, in which the price has rebounded from the upper limit and we are now observing a local rebound.
Let's now move on to laying out the Fib Retracement grid from the price high of the last bull market to the bottom. And here we see that the price has touched our golden fib point of 0.618, at which we could observe a market recovery in previous cycles,
however, here it is worth spreading the fib grid again, thanks to which we can see that these levels coincide and we can still determine a zone of strong resistance from $57,714 to $69,240, only when the price goes above this zone can we see potentially further increases, where a barrier in around $100,000.
In order to determine supports, if the correction turns out to be larger, we will again spread the fib retracement grid, this time from the bottom to the current peak, and here we can see support at the level of $36,555, and another very strong one around $28,353.
However, here, after redistributing the grid taking into account the recent upward movement, we can expand the support areas to support zones and the first zone is from $36,500 to $33,890, while the second one is from $29,780 to $28,250.
Finally, please look at the RSI indicator, which shows a rebound in which we are fighting to break the local upward trend, while the STOCH indicator shows a rebound with room for deepening the current correction.
Silver might have bottomed outOANDA:XAGUSD has been sold heavily with yesterday's CPI numbers. Hotter CPI than expected numbers increased the probability of postponing the start of rate cuts to a later than March. With this expectation, OANDA:XAUUSD and OANDA:XAGUSD were sold with the initial reaction and then they saw some recovery.
Silver might have bottomed out. Why?
TVC:US10Y is struggling to pass 200D MA. This is good news for the metals since it indicates no more hike pressure. This will allow metals to go higher.
OANDA:XAUXAG ratio is returning from the resistance. At the current level, it favors Gold. But if it drops below 84, the price movement in Silver will accelerate.
Silver and NASDAQ:NDX have some correlation. Despite the bloods on the street yesterday, NASDAQ:NDX managed to stay positive. We may see a bull run until the first couple of rate cuts. This would bring the Silver along with it.
If this plays out, my target is around $30 for the first half of the year. Otherwise, Silver may fall into the bear trend and follow the purple channel.
If you like this idea please give a boost and follow me on Tradingview and X.
Disclaimer – WhaleGambit. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
SOL/USDT 4H Chart ReviewI invite you to review the SOL chart in the USDT pair. We will start by defining the yellow line as an upward trend line from which the price has broken out at the bottom, creating an ongoing downward trend channel in which we are approaching the upper border.
Going further, we can move on to marking support areas when we start a larger correction. And here the first support is at the price of $89.78, but further we can define a very strong support zone from $80 to $67.
Looking the other way, once again after unfolding the fib retracement saitka, we see that the price has reached the resistance level at $100.73, only when it overcomes it and exits the upper channel, will it move towards the resistance zone from $118 to $126, which is held price before moving towards $151.
Please look at the RSI indicator, which has returned to the middle of the range, making it difficult to indicate the direction, while the STOCH indicator shows a downward movement with room for the price to recover more.
BTC Long-Term analysis 4HHello everyone, I invite you to check the current situation on BTC in the USDT pair, taking into account the four-hour interval. First, we will use blue lines to mark the local upward trend channel in which the BTC price is struggling to stay in the channel. At this point, however, it is worth emphasizing that yesterday's dynamic price movements were caused by false information about the SEC's approval of the Spot ETF for BTC. The announcement was made on the X platform through a hacker hacking the SEC's official account.
Next, it is worth turning on the EMA Cross 10 and 30 indicator, which shows that the upward trend is still maintained, but it is worth keeping the red line in mind, because when it crosses the green line from above, it will confirm a potential return to the downward trend.
Now we can move on to marking the support areas, and for this purpose we will spread the trend based fib extension saitke, thanks to which we can see that the current decline has been maintained by the support at the level of $44,701, and then it is worth defining the support zone from $43,814 to $42,665, but if the zone is once broken, we can see a decline to the support level of $39,422.
Looking the other way, using a grid in a similar way, we can determine places of potential resistance that can effectively reject the price. And here we can see the first resistance that rejected the increases at $47,137, then we have visible resistance around $49,000, and then we can mark the zone from $50,119 to $51,702, which is before an attempt at further increases to the new ATH.
Please pay attention to the RSI indicator because you can see that it behaves similarly to the STOCH indicator - both of them show a recovery with room for a potentially larger recovery that could occur in the event of a possible decision regarding spot etf btc.
USOIL ForecastTVC:USOIL Crude oil futures rose toward $76 per barrel on Friday, cutting the 5% plunge from the prior session that took prices to their lowest since July. CBOE:OVX ended on $40.43 nearly 7 percent lower than its previous session.
Breakthrough 75.63 resistance. Still it is within acceptable deviation range, the short stance is yet too early to be declared over.
API crude inventory scheduled next Tuesday, 11/21. The analysts are not expecting for any significant change in the inventory supply. While OPEC and the IEA both expecting supply tightness in the forth quarter, the downtrend rally won't seem to be make a comeback until any significant mood changing event introduces.
During last PPI, while the market is forecasting a significant slowdown in overall business performance, the key is whether 2023 will be able to meet the expected average 82.6 mb/d, respectively.
💹 EURUSD next week prevision 💹It could go down to points of 1.08773. If it brakes this floor it could go to areas of 1.08102. If it fails to brake the minimum of 1.08773, it could enter an uptrend to look for movement 3 of the Elliot wave until 1.10016 minimum (100% fibo point of the previous inverse wave), being able to continue rising until the point 1.1039. (127% fibo point), to continue with a retracement of the elliot wave movement 4 to the point 1.09087 (23.6% fibo point) and then go looking for the movement 5. If it goes down enough to break the point from C, we would have new B (1) and new C (2). You have to wait for confirmations by looking at corresponding indicators.
BNB/USDT 4HInterval Chart support and resistanceHello everyone, let's take a look at the BNB to USDT chart on a four-hour time frame. As you can see, the price is moving below the local downtrend line.
After unfolding the trend based fib extension grid, you can see support at the level of $302, which has maintained the price, and then you can see the support zone from $295 to $286.
Looking the other way, there is resistance at $313, followed by a strong resistance zone from $327 to $334.
Looking at the RSI indicator, we can see a rebound with room for a larger decline, while the STOCH indicator shows a rebound from the lower limit, which is also confirmed by a slight price rebound on the chart.
USDJPY: LETS GO LONG BABYYYWe just saw clean bullish momentum for this pair and a bullish trend change!
Now looking for trend continuation to take a long trade.
Waiting for at least a 50% retracement and price coming into the fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for a bullish trend change on 15min and ATTACK!
This is looking like a very yummy LONG!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
Can Nasdaq Make a Major Move in 2023?
Sharing my technical analysis on Nasdaq NASDAQ:NDX , sharing what the critical levels to watch, trend analysis, and potential trading opportunities are.
I hope you are enjoying the analysis. Do you agree with my analysis?
Follow, so you don't miss out on future technical analysis reviews.
ANOTHER USDJPY SHORT- MONEY PRINTER IS LOADING AGAIN !We are seeing clean bearish momentum for this pair. Excellent and clear market structure of lower lows and lower highs.
Now looking for trend continuation to take a short trade.
Waiting for at least a 50% retracement and price coming into the fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for a bearish trend change on 15min and ATTACK!
This is looking like a very yummy short!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
EURUSD: LET'S LONG AGAINWe just saw clean bullish momentum for this pair!
Now looking for trend continuation to take a long trade.
Waiting for at least a 50% retracement and price coming into the fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for a bullish trend change on 15min and ATTACK!
This is looking like a very yummy LONG!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
CANNOT WAIT TO SHORT USDJPY AGAIN! GET THE MONEY PRINTER READYWe are seeing clean bearish momentum for this pair. Excellent and clear market structure of lower lows and lower highs.
Now looking for trend continuation to take a short trade.
Waiting for at least a 50% retracement and price coming into the fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for a bearish trend change on 15min and ATTACK!
This is looking like a very yummy short!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
CRV/USDT Buy Opportunity!!BINANCE:CRVUSDT.P The chart indicates a distinct try breakthrough of resistance for CRV. This presents an opportune moment to initiate a LONG trade.
#CRV/USDT LONG
Entries: $0.637
Take profit 1: $0.648
Take profit 2: $0.676
Take profit 3: $0.718
Stop Loss: $0.575
Stay tuned for trade confirmation and additional updates. Feel free to express your thoughts by liking and sharing in the comments section:)
Thanks
The sroced.
Bitcoin Temporary SWING but also Long Term LONGThis Long on Bitcoin is very much LONG TERM due to the fact that the halving and so many of our indicators and others are pointing towards it.
However, this Long in our opinion does have a temporary swing to it. We may be suspecting a temporary increase to ~48-50k in the upcoming 2 - 3 weeks BEFORE a Correction back to the 44.5-45k mark by February.
After this mark around early to mid February we are projecting parabolic movement on the trajectory of our BTC Halving Indicator of 198.4k by June 29th, 2025. If this is indeed to happen, the slope/trajectory the price will need to take to reach its predicted High by its predicted Date will be exponentially parabolic.
We understand that many other Halving's analysis is anticipating April to be the Halving. If this is indeed true; this doesn't forgo our Trajectory; if anything it simply may make it more Parabolic in Nature.
So stay tuned; the volume within the Crypto Market itself, along with BTC may become parabolic and exponential in the upcoming months. Now may still be a great time to enter if our prediction of 198.4k by June 29th, 2025 is correct.
Likewise by this slope of movement, if correct, we will see a new BTC ATH by Early May 2024.
S&P is up until 1.618 so the main resistance at 4918 Economic indicators and financials don't indicate any bad sign.
Graph speaks for itself. There is no reason to sell right now. Bears will be in tears for a few weeks.
Red horizantal line is the real peak.
Stop if trendline breaks.
Please tell me what you think.
Will BTC overcome the strong resistance zone?Hello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BTC in the USDT pair, taking into account the four-hour interval. First, we will use blue lines to mark the local channel of the downward trend, from which the price was higher and the increase itself was close to the height of the specific channel. Here we will also mark the local upward trend line in yellow, along which the price is rising.
Now, using the trend based fib extension grid, we can move on to marking support areas if the price changes direction. And here, first, we have visible support at the level of $42,810, then the second one at the level of $42,102, and then there is a visible strong support zone from $41,624 to $40,975
Looking the other way, we can similarly identify a strong resistance zone to which the price is approaching from $44,104 to $44,738. Only when we manage to come out on top and positively test the zone, we can see a move towards the next resistance at $46,563.
Please pay attention to the CHOP index, which indicates that we have less and less energy, the RSI indicator is approaching the upper limit, but there is still room for an upward movement, while the STOCH indicator again exceeds the upper limit, so we should be careful as it may result in a reduction upward movement.
EURUSD: ALMOSY READY FOR LIFT OFF! GET THE MONEY PRINTER READYWe just saw clean bullish momentum for this pair! Such A BIG JUICY... BULL CANDLE and continuation after the FOMC!
Now looking for trend continuation to take a long trade.
Waiting for at least a 50% retracement and price coming into the fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for a bullish trend change on 15min and ATTACK!
This is looking like a very yummy LONG!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
ALMOST READY FOR GBPUSD LIFTOFF!We just saw clean bullish momentum for this pair! Such A BIG JUICY... BULL CANDLE and continuation after the FOMC! We have also aligned bullish on the daily, 4H, 1H timeframes.
Now looking for trend continuation to take a long trade.
Waiting for at least a 50% retracement and price coming into the fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for a bullish trend change on 15min and ATTACK!
This is looking like a very yummy LONG!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
ETHUSD H4 is going according to the PLAN ✅ Hello Traders!
As you can see, ETHUSD H4 is under bearish dominance, and I expect that it will reach the 2050 price, a key level where I will look for a Long Trade in case of confirmation.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
______________________________________________________________________________
Follow, like, and comment to see my content:
www.tradingview.com
USDCHF H1, POSSIBLE SHORT from the RESISTANCEHello Traders!
This is my perspective for USDCHF H1. I see a strong resistance level, exactly at the same level we can see an Order Block (price 0.87500). I expect a retracement from that level until the new WL (weekly low).
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
______________________________________________________________________________
Follow, like, and comment to see my content:
www.tradingview.com