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Trend Analysis

US 10Y TREASURY: jobs data aheadThe Fed's favorite inflation gauge was posted during the previous week, which impacted some higher volatility in the U.S. Treasury yields. The Personal Consumption Expenditure index ended May by 0,1% higher from the previous month, bringing the index to the level of 2,3% on a yearly basis. The core PCE remained a bit elevated with 0,2% in May and 2,7% for the year. Still, both figures were in line with market expectations, which was the main reason for 10Y U.S. Treasury benchmark yields drop to the level of 4,25% at the end of the week, from 4,40% where the week started. A drop in inflation figures are increasing market expectations that the Fed might cut interest rates in September. However, a week ahead might bring again some higher volatility in the U.S. Treasury yields as the major jobs data will be posted. For the week ahead the JOLTs Job Openings, the Non-farm Payrolls and the June unemployment will be posted. Considering Fed's dual mandate, bonds market participants will be closely watching these data.
TVC:US10Y
by XBTFX
Bitcoin: a decision week Previous week brought some relief among market participants, when it was announced that the U.S. Administration and China completed the deal regarding trade tariffs. Details of this deal have not been publicly disclosed, however, the markets reacted positively to it. The U.S. equity market gained significantly, while the crypto market managed to hold higher grounds. BTC started the week with a break of $105K toward the upside, testing the resistance at $108K. The majority of trades occurred between $106K and $107K. The RSI continued to move above the 50 level, indicating that the market is still not ready to seek the oversold market side. The indicator is ending the week at the 56, bringing some probability for the overbought market side in the coming period. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, without an indication that the cross might come anytime soon. Charts are showing that the BTC is currently on the cross road. There are equal probabilities that the coin might be traded toward both sides in the week ahead. On one hand, trades from the last week showed enough buying orders, which were holding the coin at the higher grounds, continuously seeking the break of the $108K level. However, if this market strength does not manage to support the BTC in the week ahead, then the reversal will be inevitable. In this case, the $105K will be the first stop.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XBTFX
Gold: eased on tariffs dealAs geopolitical and economic tensions are slowly settling down, the price of gold eased its road toward the higher grounds. During the previous week, gold was traded with a bearish sentiment, dropping from the level of $3.395 down to $3.262. The main causes behind the drop in the price of gold are related to decreased tensions in the Middle East, as well as, settlement of the trade tariffs deal between the U.S. and China. Although the details of this deal was not disclosed publicly, still, the market reacted positively to the news. Investors moved funds from safe-haven assets toward the equity and the crypto market, as riskier ones in a quest for higher returns. The RSI took the down path, ending the week at the level of 41. The indicator is currently clearly on the road toward the oversold market side. The price of gold breached the MA50 line during the previous week, which was acting like a support line for the price of gold during the previous period. The MA200 continued with an uptrend, following the MA 50 line. There is a high distance between two lines, so the potential cross is still not in the store for the price of gold. Charts are pointing that the gold is on the easing road currently, with a potential for further correction in the coming period. The RSI is indicating that the oversold market side might be reached in the coming period, which means that the price could further ease. The bottom of the current correction might be $3.180, which was the highest level in mid April this year. Still, some short reversals are quite expected on this road, in which sense, Monday might start with a short attempt for higher grounds. In this sense, the $3,3K level might be tested.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XBTFX
Falling Channel Breakout on PNUT/USDT – Next Stop: $0.76?📊 Pattern Analysis: Falling Channel (Descending Channel): PNUT formed a clear falling channel from early May to late June 2025. This pattern typically signals a potential bullish reversal once a breakout occurs. Confirmed Breakout: The price has successfully broken above the upper boundary of the falling channel, which is an early sign of a potential bullish trend. Strong Support Zone: The horizontal zone around $0.20 – $0.26 USDT has acted as a solid demand base, as seen multiple times from March to June. ✅ Bullish Scenario: If the breakout continues with momentum, the price could move upward gradually, aiming for the following resistance levels: 1. Target 1: $0.2986 – Minor resistance 2. Target 2: $0.3774 – Previous consolidation area 3. Target 3: $0.4403 – Major historical resistance 4. Target 4: $0.5951 to $0.7674 – Recovery zone from the falling channel 5. Extended Target (Long-Term): $1.0797 to $1.7957 (if a full rally occurs with strong bullish sentiment) ❌ Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold the breakout and re-enters the channel: Potential drop back to the support zone of $0.2000 - $0.1600 A breakdown below this range may lead to further downside toward $0.1300 to $0.1000 (previous historical low) 🔍 Summary: The chart displays a classic bullish reversal pattern with a confirmed breakout from the falling channel. The $0.26–$0.29 area now acts as a key confirmation zone. If the price holds above it and completes a successful retest, the bullish continuation is likely. However, traders should stay cautious of false breakouts. #PNUTUSDT #CryptoBreakout #AltcoinSeason #ChartAnalysis #BullishReversal #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutTrading #CryptoSignals #DescendingChannel
Long
by CryptoNuclear
OIL |Bearish Pressure Builds as OPEC+ Prepares Fresh Output Hike OIL | Market Overview Oil prices edged lower on Monday despite strong seasonal demand, as the market prepares for an increase in supply. OPEC+ is set to raise production by 411,000 barrels per day starting Tuesday, marking the fourth monthly increase in output. Another similar hike is reportedly under consideration for August, which may further pressure prices. Technical Outlook The price remains within the bearish zone and is expected to continue its decline as long as it trades below the pivot level at 65.83. A daily candle close above 65.83 is required to confirm a potential bullish reversal. Until then, the bearish trend remains intact, targeting 63.47, 61.83, and potentially 60.16. Key Levels Pivot: 65.83 Support: 63.47 / 61.83 / 60.16 Resistance: 68.33 / 69.55
TVC:USOILShort
by SroshMayi
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Sunday Update: Expect Extreme VolatilityThis update is somewhat general in context for a reason. I spent more than 25+ hours over the past few days using my predictive modeling and other advanced AI tools to identify what was going to happen over the next 12-36+ months and where traders could find opportunities for profits. Right now, almost everything I've been sharing and talking about is about to unfold. This is bigger than you could ever imagine. And, if you know when and where the markets are going to make the next big turn or run, you can really profit from these moves while protecting your capital. I have been warning all of you for the past 12-24+ months about how the markets are going to move in a very volatile phase and how the SPY/QQQ could double or triple over the next 5+ years. I hope you guys were paying attention to all the details I shared. The next big move in the market is going to be incredible. I don't think anyone is ready for what's next. What I do know is my predictive modeling systems are showing one key element is at play right now. And over the next 3 to 10+ weeks, we'll know exactly how the next 12-24+ months will play out. Get some.
FX:SPX500Long
by BradMatheny
Could the price reverse from here?AUD/USD is reacting off the pivot, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop the 1st support. Pivot: 0.6537 1st Support: 0.6359 1st Resistance: 0.6680 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
NZDJPY to find sellers at market price?NZDJPY - 24h expiry Trading has been mixed and volatile. Price action looks to be forming a top. We look for a temporary move higher. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Bespoke resistance is located at 87.80. We look to Sell at 87.80 (stop at 88.00) Our profit targets will be 87.00 and 86.85 Resistance: 87.80 / 88.00 / 88.25 Support: 87.20 / 87.00 / 86.75 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 30 June - 4 JulyMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: Eurozone Inflation, US Jobs, ISM PMIs, ECB Forum Updates In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in! In this episode, we discuss: — Euro Area Inflation Rate YoY Flash — US Nonfarm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate — US ISM Manufacturing and Services PMI — ECB Forum on Central Banking Note: U.S. markets may see thin trading ahead of the 4 July holiday, raising volatility risks. Don’t miss out—gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey. This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
Bullish reversal?USD/CHF is falling towards the support level which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 78.4% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.7950 Why we like it: There is a support level at the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 78.4% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss: 0.7899 Why we like it: There is a support level at the 100% Fibonacci projection. Take profit: 0.8052 Why we like it: Thee is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
GBPNZD: Potential Reversal From The Resistance Zone-updateGBPNZD: Potential Reversal From The Resistance Zone-update Based on our previous analysis, GBPNZD has retested 2.7000 and currently appears poised for a bearish movement. GBPNZD tested an area that was also tested earlier at the beginning of March 2025 From the chart, we can see that this zone has stopped the price several times on the past. The chances are that GBPNZD may start a bearish wave from the same zone again despite that the market has frozen for all instruments lately. The Geopolitical situation looks more stable, which can help all currencies regain direction. NZD is already oversold too much so it can take advantage of this moment. Key target areas: 2.2500; 2.2380 and 2.2280 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
3
CoinbaseThere isn't much to add to my COIN analysis. Price hit just shy of the 1.618 and then reversed. Price dropped by almost 10% from that last high. This bodes well for the top being in and the irregular (B) wave pattern prevailing. We still have a lot of work to do to prove that is what is happening though. Until we can breach $277 followed by a breach of $232.85, we can't be for certain. Yes, we will have hints on the way down. However, these price points will be what confirms the pattern lower. As I said above, COIN has a lot of work to do to prove its intentions. This last move up I think is largely due to the end of the quarter, congressional legislation, and FOMO. MACD is back to within the red trend lines and appears to be weakening to the downside. This shouldn't be too surprising given how far we fell last Friday. That move lower, has created a 3-wave move thus far. Another local low before starting a consolidation higher would create a 5-wave pattern bringing more clarity, but it isn't required. Again, I don't want to see another high made above last Thursdays if (B) is to be correct. A new high itself doesn't invalidate an irregular (B), but it would cause me to become very skeptical of it. When I said last week that COIN has a pivotal moment right in front of it, I wasn't kidding. It appears to have chosen a move lower for now, but it is not guaranteed to continue and we could always move higher again from here. Just be careful in whatever position you take, and use stops to protect your assets.
NASDAQ:COIN
by TSuth
AAPL Inside a Coil – Big Move Loading from the $200 Zone 🧠 GEX-Based Options Sentiment: Apple (AAPL) is caught between tight gamma compression and heavy resistance. The $205–$207 zone is packed with GEX9 and multiple Call Walls. This is the key ceiling that has rejected price repeatedly over the past week. On the other side, the Highest Positive Net GEX / Gamma Wall is just below at $202, acting as the current pivot level. Support sits around $197.50, marked by the HVL zone and the lower end of GEX structure. Below that, $195 is protected by the 2nd PUT Wall — a critical gamma defense zone. Implied Volatility Rank is 20.7, so options are still relatively cheap. Notably, we’re seeing a 5% PUT flow dominance, a subtle bearish tilt — not extreme, but worth watching. 🔧 Options Setup for Monday–Wednesday: Bullish Scenario:
If AAPL clears $203.21 and holds, this opens up the play toward $204.98 (Gamma Ceiling), and potentially $207 if momentum builds.
You can consider a CALL debit spread, like 202.5c/205c or 205c/207c for July 3/5 expiry.
Stop out if price drops below $200. Bearish Scenario:
If AAPL fails to hold $199.50 and breaks through $197.50 HVL, we may see a sharper unwind toward $195 or even $190 PUT wall zone.
Consider 200p or 197.5p for July 3 expiry.
Cut if price reclaims $202 with strength. 📉 1-Hour Chart Breakdown: Price has been coiling in a symmetrical triangle just below the $203–$205 resistance supply zone. There’s a visible CHoCH just under structure, with multiple tap rejections from the overhead resistance. The recent CHoCH printed after a bounce from minor demand, suggesting that sellers are still defending the top channel. Volume has been flat, but tightening price range signals an imminent breakout or breakdown. As long as price remains pinned inside this triangle under the BOS and supply zone, this is a range-bound chop — not a trending setup yet. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: $204.98 – Gamma ceiling and top of supply
$203.21 – Structure pivot, minor resistance
$201.17 – Local midpoint and breakout base
$199.50 – Demand edge, current support
$197.50 – HVL and gamma support zone
$195.00 – 2nd PUT Wall
$190.00 – Final gamma support if breakdown accelerates ✅ Thoughts and Monday Game Plan: AAPL is one of the cleanest coil setups among the tech names heading into Monday. This type of structure doesn’t last long — expect expansion. Wait for direction at open:
If we break $203.21 with volume, we ride toward $205–207 for a short-term gamma pop.
If price fails to break and loses $199.50, the fade to $197.50 or lower is likely. This is not a time to anticipate — react to the move. Let the coil resolve and follow the breakout or breakdown. Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own due diligence, trade with a plan, and manage your risk carefully.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by BullBearInsights
XAUUSD – June 30, 2025: Trade Strategy Right Now – Focus on SellGold OANDA:XAUUSD has been recovering slightly toward the 3,282 USD zone, but macroeconomic headwinds remain strong: - The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) TVC:DXY remains above 106.3 – the highest level in a month – making gold less attractive due to increased opportunity cost. - U.S. 10-year Treasury yields remain firm around 4.35%, reflecting market expectations that the Fed will maintain tight monetary policy. - Core PCE data for June remains elevated, far from the Fed's 2% target – lowering the likelihood of a rate cut anytime soon. - Geopolitical tensions are cooling off, reducing demand for safe-haven assets like gold. ➡ These macro factors suggest that the current rebound in gold is more technical than fundamental, and unlikely to signal a major trend reversal. 1. Technical Analysis – XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD on D1 Timeframe - After bouncing from 3,255 USD, price is now testing the 3,285 – 3,295 USD resistance zone. - This is a Fibonacci retracement zone (0.5 – 0.618) from the previous bearish leg 3,314 → 3,255. - EMA20 and EMA50 remain downward-sloping, signaling that the dominant trend is still bearish. - RSI is hovering around 52, suggesting mild momentum but not enough for a confirmed bullish reversal. ➡ The current price behavior aligns with a pullback within a downtrend, with potential for continuation to the downside. 2. Trade Setup – Short-Term Sell Strategy Primary Setup: Sell the Rally Entry: Sell near 3,294 – 3,295 Stop Loss: 3,300 Take Profit 1: 3,260 Take Profit 2: 3,244 Take Profit 3: 3,225 Ps: Gold OANDA:XAUUSD is showing signs of a technical bounce, but fundamentals and structure still support the downtrend. Selling at resistance remains the preferred strategy as long as macro pressure persists. The strategy will be updated continuously – don't forget to save and follow to avoid missing key opportunities. Analysis by @Henrybillion
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Henrybillion
1