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Trend Analysis

DOT the most important historical support!DOT / USDT The price just toke the liquidity and come back above the most important suppprt level in dot chart with long green wick (strong buy action) As long as the price continues to close above the current level we think for strong bounce in the coming weeks However, if and only if the price lose this level on HTF DOT will make new lows Conclusion: this support acts as DO or DIE for future price action … bullish as long as it stay above it but if it lost on HTF it will into strong bearish Note: many coins have same chart Best of wishes
Long
by Babenski
5
EUR/USD 1.1500 IndecisionEUR/USD is working on its first red weekly candle after four consecutive weekly gains, and that had extended a strong showing in early-March as bulls started to take over. Interestingly this happens with the backdrop of a dovish ECB and this leads to CPI data for next week. There's increasingly attractiveness behind swings, as taken from that indecision on the weekly following the failed test at 1.1500, and supported by an overbought RSI reading on the weekly chart. Supports at 1.1275 and 1.1200 could keep the door open for bulls to take another shot at the big figure of 1.1500, but if prices can slip down towards 1.1100 or perhaps even 1.1000, there could be a widening window for reversal potential. It's important to remember that RSI is not a great timing indicator, and some of the more compelling setups from RSI happen from divergence, when a higher-high prints on price but a lower-high prints on the indicator - similar to what showed last year ahead of the Q4 reversal in the pair. - js
by FOREXcom
Xrp - Don't Underestimate The Bulls!Xrp ( CRYPTO:XRPUSD ) is bullish despite the recent drop: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Yes, we have been seeing a quite strong correction of about -50% on Xrp over the past couple of months. But no, this bullrun doesn't seem to be over yet but instead Xrp is creating a significant bullish break and retest formation. So if we get the bullish confirmation, we might see new highs. Levels to watch: $1.8, $3.0 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:XRPUSDLong
by basictradingtv
25
AVAX: The PERFECT PULLBACK PLAYBOOK – 10% Discount Coming! He Most Predictable Trade Setup On Binance Right Now 💎 This 4-hour AVAX/TetherUS chart reveals a textbook distribution pattern that's setting up for a strategic pullback and subsequent bounce. This isn't just another correction—it's the perfect opportunity for informed traders to capitalize on price inefficiency. ⚡ THE THREE-PHASE PATTERN UNFOLDING: 🔍 Distribution Range Complete * Upper range ($22.50-$23.00) showing clear resistance rejection * Multiple tests of $23.08 high with declining momentum * Pink consolidation box perfectly captures the distribution phase * Current price ($22.16) breaking down from range with increasing volume 🔍 The Blue Forecast Path: Tactical Precision * Initial downside targeting the $21.50-$21.70 support zone * Secondary push toward the critical $20.30-$20.50 demand area * Perfect bounce setup from lower pink box support * Projected recovery to retest breakout level around $21.00 🔍 Historical Support Validation * Lower pink box ($20.30-$20.70) represents previous consolidation zone * Multiple touch points providing structural support * 10% discount from recent high creates optimal risk/reward Why This Setup Is EXCEPTIONALLY VALUABLE This pattern isn't random—it's following the classic market structure playbook that smart money uses to accumulate at discount. The falling volume (146.7K) during consolidation followed by volume expansion on breakdown signals classic institutional positioning. 💰 The Opportunity Metrics: * Potential discount: ~10% from recent high * Fibonacci retracement alignment: 0.618 level coincides with lower support * Key psychological level ($20.00) providing additional confluence * Risk:reward ratio from lower entry: approximately 1:3 ## THE STRATEGIC GAME PLAN **For Active Traders:** * Primary zone: $20.20-$20.40 (lower pink box) For Current AVAX Holders: * Consider hedging 30-40% of position during breakdown * Prepare capital for optimal re-entry at lower support * Maintain core position if holding for longer timeframes Why This Pattern Is More Reliable Than Most This setup combines multiple high-probability technical factors: 1. Double consolidation zones with clear price memory 2. Clean range formation with precise boundaries 3. Volume profile confirming distribution characteristics 4. Recent prior history of bouncing from similar technical levels
Short
by ONE1iMPACT
Bitcoin Broke Res Now What?Time to update long term trend (Weekly & Daily). Well, after breaking resistance with a VERY strong move we can say with a high degree of confidence that a NEW long term leg up has been confirmed even tho the new higher low hasn't been printed yet cause it is very unlikely for Bitcoin to have a move down of $22k in a Daily Bearish Cycle. So from NOW ON we should expect Bitcoin to print higher lows and higher as long as the weekly Cycle remains Bullish. Now, If Bitcoin DOESN'T print a higher high during the next 4 weeks and instead moves sideways then the Weekly UPtrend will be in danger again, but is too early to say that. For those like me that got stuck in a futures short position next drop will be the last chance to get out even or with small loss/profit and for SPOT if you are not in yet then your last opportunity will be around $90k cause as of now the sky is the limit for Bitcoin. Buckle up ladies and gentlemen cause 4th of July is coming and Bitcoin is coming with it with a big check.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Numberfive
Potential GBP/NZD long trade setupOkay, let's delve into each of those aspects for this potential GBP/NZD long trade setup: Probability of This Setup Playing Out While bullish divergence within a descending wedge can be a strong indication of a potential reversal, it's crucial to remember that no trading setup has a 100% success rate. Here's a breakdown of factors that could influence the probability: Strength of the Divergence: The clearer and more pronounced the bullish divergence, the higher the potential probability. In your chart, the divergence looks reasonably clear, with the MACD making higher lows while the price makes lower lows. Breakout Confirmation: The probability increases significantly upon a confirmed breakout above the upper trendline of the descending wedge. A strong bullish candle closing above this line, ideally with increasing volume, would add confidence. Market Context: Consider the broader market environment. Are there any significant fundamental events (e.g., central bank announcements, economic data releases) related to either the British Pound or the New Zealand Dollar that could disrupt this technical pattern? Strong unexpected news could invalidate the setup. Timeframe Congruence: While you're looking at the 4-hour chart, checking higher timeframes (daily, weekly) can provide context on the overall trend. If the longer-term trend aligns with your bullish bias, it can increase the probability of success. Risk Sentiment: Overall market risk sentiment can also play a role. GBP/NZD can be sensitive to risk appetite. In summary: The setup has a decent probability due to the bullish divergence and the potential for a wedge breakout, but it's essential to wait for confirmation and be aware of the broader market context. Potential Entry Points There are a few potential entry points you could consider, each with its own risk and reward profile: Aggressive Entry: Entering immediately upon a strong bullish candle breaking and closing above the upper trendline of the descending wedge. This offers the potential for the best entry price but also carries a higher risk of a false breakout. Conservative Entry: Waiting for a breakout and then a successful retest of the broken upper trendline as support before entering. This can offer a lower-risk entry as it confirms that the previous resistance has now become support. However, the price might not always retest. Entry on Confirmation Signals: Looking for additional bullish confirmation signals on lower timeframes (e.g., 1-hour chart) after the initial breakout. This could include bullish candlestick patterns or further positive momentum on indicators. Recommendation: For a balance of potential reward and risk management, waiting for a confirmed breakout followed by potential confirmation on a lower timeframe might be a prudent approach. Risk Management Strategies Effective risk management is paramount for any trade. Here are some strategies you could employ: Stop-Loss Placement: already marked a potential stop-loss level below the recent swing low within the wedge. This is a logical placement as a break below this level could invalidate the bullish setup. Ensure your stop-loss is at a level that, if hit, would indicate the analysis was likely incorrect. Position Sizing: Only risk a small percentage of your trading capital on this trade (e.g., 1-2%). This will protect you from significant losses even if the trade goes against you. Calculate your position size based on the distance between your entry point and your stop-loss. Reward-to-Risk Ratio: Aim for a favorable reward-to-risk ratio. Your target levels (TRG 1, TRG 2, TRG 3) allow you to visualize potential profits. Ensure that the potential profit outweighs the potential loss before taking the trade. For example, if your stop-loss represents 20 pips of risk, aim for at least 40-60 pips of potential profit at your initial target (1:2 or 1:3 reward-to-risk). Trailing Stop-Loss: Once the trade moves into profit, consider using a trailing stop-loss to lock in gains and protect against a sudden reversal. Confirmation Signals You Might Look For Beyond the initial breakout, here are some additional signals that could strengthen your bullish conviction: Increased Volume: Higher trading volume during the breakout suggests strong buying pressure and increases the likelihood of the move being genuine. Bullish Candlestick Patterns: Formation of bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., bullish engulfing, morning star) after the breakout or during a potential retest can signal further buying interest. Moving Average Crossovers: If you use moving averages, look for bullish crossovers (e.g., the shorter-term moving average crossing above the longer-term moving average) after the breakout. MACD Crossover Above Zero: The MACD line crossing above the signal line and then moving above the zero line would indicate increasing bullish momentum. RSI Above 50: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) moving above the 50 level can confirm increasing bullish strength. How Fundamentals Might Impact This Technical Analysis While your analysis is primarily technical, it's crucial to be aware of how fundamental factors could influence GBP/NZD: Central Bank Policies: Monetary policy decisions and statements from the Bank of England (BoE) and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) are major drivers for these currencies. Any unexpected hawkish or dovish signals could significantly impact the exchange rate. Economic Data: Key economic data releases from the UK (e.g., inflation, employment, GDP) and New Zealand (e.g., inflation, employment, trade balance) can lead to volatility and potentially override technical patterns. Global Risk Sentiment: As mentioned earlier, GBP/NZD can be influenced by global risk appetite. During times of risk aversion, safe-haven currencies might strengthen, potentially impacting this pair. Geopolitical Events: Unexpected geopolitical events can also introduce volatility and affect currency valuations. Recommendation: Before taking the trade, it's wise to check the economic calendar for any high-impact news releases scheduled for the British Pound and the New Zealand Dollar in the coming days. Be prepared for potential volatility around these events. Let me know if you have any more questions or would like to explore any of these points in more detail! i would love to hear back from you your thoughts on this pair
Long
by TONYMONTANA87
Gold ended successfully, Where will the market go next week?The idea of ​​keeping gold short at a high level is that after the winning streak of gold ended, gold continued to fluctuate in a narrow range. If there is no opportunity, then it will end early and rest. After all, it is Friday. After a hard week, it is time to rest. The news on the weekend has changed a lot, and it is full of uncertainty. Gold rebounded again in the second half of the night, which seems to be strong, but has gold reversed? It is too early to say now. The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to be short, but after gold bottomed out at the first-line support near 3265, gold rebounded by more than 50 US dollars. Is this rebound a reversal? Not necessarily, because now it basically fluctuates by about 100 US dollars every day, and it is hard to say that a rebound of 50 US dollars is a reversal. The strength of next week is the key. If the rebound of gold next week is not very strong, then gold will still fluctuate and be short. The resistance of the 1-hour moving average above gold is near 3354, and the top of the negative line of gold on Friday is near 3352. If there is no effective breakthrough of these two positions next week, it will still be a fluctuating and short trend. The weekly line of gold is also a shooting star with a long upper shadow at a high level. If there is no big bullish news to support gold in the short term, gold will be under pressure at a high level in the short term, and the daily line is also down from a high level without a strong counterattack. On the whole, there is still room for adjustment in the short term for gold. The market is changing rapidly and confusing. Sometimes we cannot be confused by the illusion in front of us. Only by not being afraid of the clouds blocking our eyes can we see clearly behind the market. Before gold reverses, it is still bearish in the short term. It is light to follow the trend and messy to go against the trend. The market is always right. Going against the market will eventually be taught a lesson by the market. Don't have any fluke mentality in the face of the trend. The market will not forgive your mistakes again and again. Next week's operation ideas: short gold 3350-60, target 3310-3300;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
Cycle Low Confirmed – Strong Upside Move Starting!Here's what I notice: - Price has **bounced very strongly** from the cycle low. - You timed it very nicely — the upswing started just as the cycle predicted a bottom. - If the cycle timing continues, this move could extend for several candles into the next cycle top. **Summary of the New Setup:** ✔ Cycle low confirmed with bullish breakout ✔ Strong impulsive move off the bottom ✔ Favourable timing for long setups ✔ Potential for multiple days of upside if cycle rhythm holds This new chart you uploaded looks like it's using cycle analysis — those green semi-circles suggest you're mapping time-based cycles! Awesome! 😎 Here's the TradingView post draft for your **Cycle Timing** idea: --- # ⏳ Cycle Low Confirmed – Strong Upside Move Starting! **Summary:** Perfect timing off the projected cycle low! Price action has confirmed the cycle theory with a strong bullish breakout. Based on the rhythm of previous cycles, we could see sustained upside momentum into the next cycle peak. **Setup Details:** - **Entry:** Current levels (~1.13647) after confirmation of cycle low. - **Stop-loss:** Below the recent low (~1.09000) to give the trade room to breathe. - **Target:** Look for strength toward 1.20+ depending on price behavior near mid-cycle. - **Risk/Reward:** Excellent — trend in favor, supported by cycle timing. **Technical Factors:** ✅ Cycle Low perfectly aligned with time-based projection ✅ Strong bullish candle closing above recent consolidation ✅ Momentum shift supports continuation higher ✅ Cycle suggests multiple sessions of upside potential --- **Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is the best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free, and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.** --- **⚠️ Disclaimer:** This is *NOT financial advice*. Always do your own research and manage risk properly!
Long
by TONYMONTANA87
Gold Next Week: Trend Analysis & Trading StrategiesThis week, international gold rallied first and then declined. Opening at $3,332.96, it peaked at $3,499.92, bottomed at $3,260.2, and closed at $3,316.2. The weekly shooting star pattern signals long - term downside risk. With bearish news, it could fall to $3,100 or even break below $3,000. Stay alert next week and watch geopolitical and tariff news for trading decisions. In terms of the daily chart, when gold rose to the 3,500 mark this week, bulls took profits, and the price retreated to the lowest level of 3,260. Due to the increased uncertainty about tariffs in the market, the market showed a wide range of consolidation in the second half of the week. Technically speaking, the bullish trend will resume only when the price breaks through and stabilizes above 3,385. If it breaks below 3,260, the adjustment range will be further expanded. Judging from the MACD indicator in the secondary chart, the red bars continue to shrink in volume, and the fast and slow lines are about to form a death cross at a high level, suggesting that the short-term trend of gold will continue to be volatile with a downward risk. For the daily chart, the main trading strategy is to go short at high levels. At the 4-hour level, after the sharp decline from 3,500 to 3,260, the current market is under pressure and is in a consolidation phase below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, within the range of $3,370 to $3,260. Currently, the Bollinger Bands are continuously narrowing, and the short-term market will continue to consolidate within the range until the Bollinger Bands reopen and choose a new direction. Whether the market will break down after the consolidation ends and start a larger wave A decline or break upward and restart a new upward trend, before the range is broken, the short-term intraday trading strategy is to go short at high levels and go long at low levels within the range, with a preference for going short at high levels. Once the range is broken, follow the trend. XAUUSD sell@3340-3350 tp:3310-3300 Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CyberFinMagus
Bearish Rejection at Resistance – Potential Drop Incoming🔍 Chart Analysis Summary 1. Key Zones Resistance Zone: ~$3,340 – $3,360 Price has been rejected multiple times from this area, showing strong selling pressure. Support Zone: ~$3,200 – $3,240 Strong historical support level, previously held during a pullback after the last rally. 2. Moving Averages EMA 50 (Red): Currently at ~$3,340 Price is fluctuating around it, indicating short-term indecision or a possible retest. EMA 200 (Blue): Currently at ~$3,300 Acting as a mid-term support level. Price previously bounced from this region. 3. Pattern and Price Action Fakeout Potential: The chart suggests a possible false breakout above the resistance followed by a sharp drop—highlighted by the arrow. This is a common bull trap setup. Bearish Outlook Indicated: The projected path suggests a rejection from resistance and a drop to the support zone (~$3,200). This would create a lower high, a bearish sign. 4. Trading Bias Bearish Setup if: Price fails to hold above $3,340 (EMA50). Price gets rejected from the resistance zone and breaks below $3,300 (EMA200). Bullish Invalidated if: Price closes convincingly above the $3,360 resistance with volume, flipping it into support. 📉 Potential Trade Idea Short Entry: Around $3,350–$3,355 Stop Loss: Above $3,365 (above resistance zone) Target: $3,220–$3,230 (support zone)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrStellanSight
10