Falling towards pullback support?US Dollar index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 98.89
1st Support: 97.98
1st Resistance: 100.09
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Trend Analysis
Gold back within my Neutral RectangleTechnical analysis: Gold maintains Selling sentiment (remember the cycle I mentioned regarding #14-day symmetry for aggressive takedown / Traders are witnessing it) from yesterday’s session Hourly 4 chart’s first Support break, however the pace has slowed down as Gold is already near #3,288.80 - #3,292.80 well known Support zone due Hourly 4 chart on critically Overbought condition near #3,327.80 local High's. Gold is isolated within Descending Channel formation and if there wasn’t DX on parallel decline, Gold would be significantly Lower under the circumstances. I highlighted that only catalyst which can revive the Price-action and kick-start the relief rally is on Fundamental side. The Hourly 4 chart’s indicators were showcasing that Gold was Overbought and most of my Intra-day pointers were about to make a Bearish roll-over as I believed that I should start preparing ourselves for a slight pullback (Short-term trend stays Bearish though however there will be Bull spikes certainly towards #3,327.80 - #3,332.80 local Resistance zone). Next Resistance is priced at #3,312.80 / break of it might extend the uptrend towards #3,327.80 Resistance in extension. Gold has invalidated solid Ascending Channel on Hourly 4 chart and if you recall, delivered #2 additional Higher High’s (my chart’s explanation that Gold always delivers #3 Lower Low extensions ahead of full scale reversal, so practically I have one more Higher High’s to expect according to the cycle).
My position: My break-out zones are intact as in withih my previous remarks as I will keep operating within #3,288.80 - #3,227.80 Neutral Rectangle as long as it lasts. If #3,288.80 - #3,275.80 gives away, #3,262.80 - #3,268.80 is zone to monitor.
Bitcoin is bearish | stay cautious (1H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
We have been warning about a potential Bitcoin correction for some time. It appears that wave G has ended, and key levels have been lost. If the price reaches the red box, it is expected to be rejected downward.
The green zone is a relatively strong support area for Bitcoin, and we should closely watch this level.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
USDJPY H1 I Bullish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling our buy entry level at 143.27, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 144.85, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
The stop loss is placed at 142.12, a swing low support.
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EURUSD: Sell Opportunity after support breakOANDA:EURUSD has broken below a key support zone, signaling a potential shift in momentum. The price is now pulling back to retest this area, which previously acted as support and may now act as resistance—aligning with the possibility of continued downside.
If sellers confirm resistance at this level, the price may decline further toward the 1.12250 target , which aligns with a major support level. Conversely, a breakout above this zone could indicate the start of a new bullish trend.
Before considering any short positions, look for confirmation signals such as bearish engulfing candles, strong wick rejections from resistance, or rising selling volume.
This is just my view on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Good luck!
Gold repeatedly goes down and up! Who will win?
At the beginning of the week, gold was under pressure around the downward trend line of 3360. Yesterday, it was consolidated below the trend line and broke through the previous day's low of 3290 to further open up space. It was basically the same as yesterday's idea. Yesterday, 3323-3325 was given as the highest point of the day. After breaking through 3290, it followed the trend to increase positions and follow up with shorts. As the pattern broke, it closed lower. The space is further opened. The daily and weekly lines show signs of further closing down and falling. Today, it will re-test the 3200-3190 area.
The 4-hour chart of gold shows that the Bollinger channel is opening upward, and the short-term trend is obviously weak. From the perspective of the moving average system, the short-term moving average is in a long arrangement, which continues to suppress the gold price, and the upward trend is further confirmed. In terms of operation, it is recommended to maintain a low-long strategy and focus on the long opportunities after the callback. The main idea for intraday short-term trading is to buy on dips. The upper resistance level is 3220-3225 area, and the lower support is 3250-3245. The specific operation suggestion is to consider buying when it pulls back to 3288-3293 area.
Cocoa Bull Run over?There’s something brewing in the charts here, and it’s not a hot cup of cocoa. We had a clear rejection at the 0.382 Fibonacci and potentially the start of a C leg in a corrective pattern.
This is lower high after the bull flag breakout pattern. If we lose support here we could break the neckline and confirm the head and shoulders pattern, which is very bearish.
There’s a lot of moving parts to consider here. If you follow my trades you will know I already anticipated this as I am long a stock that behaves in an inverse manner to cocoa.
Not financial advice, do what’s best for you
Dollar Index (DXY) Completes Correction, Resumes DowntrendThe short-term Elliott Wave analysis for the Dollar Index (DXY) indicates that the cycle from the January 13, 2025 high is unfolding as an impulse pattern, characterized by a five-wave structure moving in the direction of the larger trend. The decline from the January 13, 2025 high began with wave (1), which concluded at 106.96. This was followed by a corrective rally in wave (2), peaking at 109.88. The Index then resumed its downward trajectory in wave (3), reaching 97.92, before a corrective wave (4) rally ended at 101.99, as illustrated in the 1-hour chart below.
Currently, wave (5) is in progress, unfolding as another impulse in a lesser degree. From the wave (4) high, wave (i) concluded at 100.27, followed by a corrective wave (ii) rally ending at 101.259. The Index continued lower in wave (iii) to 99.33, with a subsequent wave (iv) rally peaking at 100.118. The final leg, wave (v), completed at 98.69, finalizing wave ((i)). The corrective wave ((ii)) unfolded as a double three Elliott Wave structure, with wave (w) reaching 99.87. Index then pullback in wave (x) to 99.48, before concluding wave (y) at 100.54. The Index has now turned lower in wave ((iii)). In the near term, as long as the pivot at 101.99 remains intact, the Dollar Index should extend its decline, potentially reaching new lows as the impulse wave continues.
Gold Drops $30 in Asia as Month-End Profit Taking Hits Hard XAUUSD PLAN – Gold Drops $30 in Asia as Month-End Profit Taking Hits Hard
After a sharp rebound candle yesterday, gold unexpectedly reversed in the Asian session, plunging over $30 as market participants rushed to exit positions ahead of the monthly close. The move reflects strong technical rejection and potential macro pressure.
🌐 MACRO OUTLOOK – US-CHINA TRADE TENSIONS BACK IN FOCUS
Trade negotiations between the US and China are showing renewed signs of strain, especially around tariff policies.
The uncertainty has not triggered safe-haven flows into gold—a sign of waning momentum.
Dollar Index (DXY) remains range-bound, offering no clear direction.
Broad market sentiment indicates institutional cash-out behavior ahead of the weekly and monthly candle closes.
📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – BEARISH STRUCTURE STILL INTACT
Gold is respecting a downward sloping channel on the H1 timeframe.
Price failed to hold above EMA 200, reinforcing bearish bias.
EMA 13 – 34 – 89 – 200 are in bearish alignment, showing continued downside momentum.
Support at 3274 – 3276 is a key reaction zone for potential scalping opportunities.
🔑 KEY PRICE LEVELS TO WATCH
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3322 – 3324
Stop-Loss: 3328
Take-Profit: 3318 → 3314 → 3310 → 3306 → 3300 → 3295 → 3290 → 3280
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3266 – 3264
Stop-Loss: 3260
Take-Profit: 3270 → 3274 → 3278 → 3282 → 3286 → 3290 → 3300
⚡ BONUS SCALP SETUPS
Support Zone 3274 – 3276 → Look for bullish rejection for a quick BUY SCALP (Target: 50 pips / SL: 50 pips)
Resistance Zones 3302 – 3304 and 3310 → Watch for early rejection to enter SELL SCALP, with extended downside targets.
📌 STRATEGY NOTES
Priority: Short-term sell bias unless price reclaims 3310 with momentum.
Avoid trading in the mid-range; wait for price to reach key reaction zones.
Today’s structure favors liquidity sweeps, so patience and disciplined entries are crucial—especially during London and NY overlap.
GOLD - at today ultimate support, short below #GOLD... perfect move as per our analysis and now market just reached at his today ultimate supporting area, that is 3289 again.
Keep close that area and keep in mind guys that below that market can take a dip towards our further supporting areas.
So keep close and only short below 3289
Good luck
Trade wisely
Crude oil is moving upward again, testing 63 today
💡Message Strategy
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) met at their headquarters in Vienna on Wednesday to assess the current oil market situation. WTI crude oil prices climbed above $62 as OPEC+ said there would be no immediate change to current production policies.
📊Technical aspects
From the daily chart level, the medium-term moving average system suppresses the rebound of oil prices, and the medium-term objective trend is downward. After the oil price hit the low point of 55.20, the frequent alternation of long and short positions formed, and the embryonic form of a falling flag relay appeared from the shape. Pay attention to the strength of the oil price testing the upper edge of the flag. It is expected that after the medium-term trend fluctuates, it will still rise to the 64 position.
The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil fluctuates upward, and the oil price breaks through the 62.5 resistance level. The moving average system diverges and arranges upward, and the short-term objective trend direction is upward. In terms of momentum, the MACD indicator is above the zero axis and the golden cross opens upward, and the bullish momentum is sufficient. It is expected that the crude oil trend will continue to rise within the day.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position: 61.20-62.00
BTC Short Setup – Liquidity Hunt Before the Meltdown?Price is climbing back into a key supply zone around $109.2K–$109.5K, lining up with the 61.8%–78.6% Fib retracement from the last dump. This zone also holds unmitigated imbalance — a prime spot for smart money to strike before the next leg down.
🔍 Plan of Attack:
Expecting a liquidity sweep above recent highs
Watching for rejection or bearish confirmation in the zone (lower timeframe BOS, engulfing, etc.)
Targeting $102K–$103K range
SL just above the wick zone highs
🎯 This setup has clean structure, juicy RR, and clear invalidation. All we need now is for BTC to do its usual trick: fake the breakout, trap the buyers, and nuke.
Let’s see if we get the reaction — no FOMO, no guesswork. Let price come to us.
BTCUSD BREAK SUPPORT LEVEL AND WENT TO DOWN TRENDHere I Created This BTCUSD Chart Analysis
Pair : BTCUSD (BITCOIN)
Timeframe: 1 - Hour
Pattern: Breakout
Momentum: Bearish / Sell
Entry Limit : Sell 106200
Resistance zone : 106600
Target Will Be : 104000
Disclaimer : This signal is based on personal analysis for learning purposes. Trade at your own risk and always use proper risk management.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Daily Chart Analysis. Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Daily Chart Analysis
Bitcoin has tested the overhead resistance and is currently retracing towards the $104k–$105k support area.
Moving Average (MA 25):
The price is slightly above the moving average, indicating that the medium-term trend is still bullish but faces resistance.
Pattern Formation:
There is a clear breakout from the inverted “V” pattern, and now the price appears to be retesting the breakout zone.
Scenario:
If BTC maintains support at ~$105k and bounces off again, a potential push towards $112k—$115k can be seen.
If the support fails, a deeper pullback towards $100k or below could occur.
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
WallectConnect Grows Beyond 595%, Correction Time?The market always seeks balance. A strong bullish wave is balanced out by a retrace or correction. Here this type of scenario is already developing.
WallectConnect (WCTUSDT) grew strongly since April 15, as did much of the market but found a peak recently.
Total growth amounts to 597% from the market bottom. From the first support, some ~400% which is awesome. After the retrace/correction, you can expect additional growth.
The volume today as the all-time high was hit became the highest since April 16. Bearish volume that is. The highest bearish volume bar came right after the all-time high. This is a warning signal.
Do not rush to buy, wait for the establishment of support. Once support is found, you can go LONG. When the chart is bearish, now, the doors open to SHORT.
Remember to do your own research, numbers and planning.
Market conditions can always change.
When prices are high, do use a stop-loss if you decide to buy and hold.
(Only when buying (trading) at bottom prices the stop-loss is not recommended for spot.)
Namaste.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD H1 30/05/2025
🔍 Wave Structure Update
As of now, price has broken above the X wave high and is undergoing a retracement. This is a positive signal, suggesting that Wave 1 (black) of the larger green impulsive wave may have completed. Currently, price is likely in Wave 2 (black) – offering a good opportunity to position for the upcoming Wave iii (green).
Within Wave 2, we expect classic corrective structures such as zigzag or flat to form. Based on current price action, a short-term bounce followed by another leg down is anticipated to complete the corrective phase.
🎯 Potential Wave 2 Target Zones
• Target 1: 3290
• Target 2: 3272
❗ If price drops further to 3245, the assumption that Wave 2 has ended may be invalid. In that case, the broader correction could continue toward 3215 (Wave Y target).
📈 Momentum Outlook
D1 Chart: Momentum shows signs of reversal to the upside – supporting a bullish bias for the coming week.
H4 Chart: Momentum is weakening, suggesting price may move sideways or pull back today as part of Wave 2 development.
H1 Chart: Currently oversold, indicating a likely short-term bounce or sideways movement to maintain this oversold condition until H4 also reaches oversold.
🧭 Trading Plan
🔹 Scalp Buy
• Entry: 3291 – 3289
• SL: 3286
• TP1: 3306
• TP2: 3324
• TP3: 3346
🔹 Main Buy Zone
• Entry: 3272 – 3269
• SL: 3262
• TP1: 3290
• TP2: 3324
• TP3: 3373
FET at a Make-or-Break Level... Will It Bounce or Break Down?Yello Paradisers, are you watching FET closely right now? If not, you might miss a textbook high-risk, high-reward setup that could play out very soon—just like we’ve been anticipating in our previous updates.
💎FETUSDT is currently respecting a bullish market structure, and price action is aligning for a potential inducement grab.
💎If this inducement occurs, and we start to see bullish confirmation signals from the Daily order block, backed by the 4H 200 EMA, then the probability of a strong bounce increases significantly. From a risk-reward perspective, this zone is shaping up to offer a solid long entry with clean invalidation.
💎But here’s the other side of the coin: if the price breaks down through the order block and closes a candle below our invalidation level, the bullish bias will be completely invalidated. In that case, patience becomes the strategy, and we’ll be waiting for more convincing and clearer price action to realign with a new setup.
🎖Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
S&P 500 MAJOR REVERSAL INCOMING? | SPX500 SELL ZONE HIT SPX500 just tapped into a critical supply zone near 5985 and has started pulling back. Is this the beginning of a deeper correction? Here’s what I’m watching 👇
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📊 Key Technical Zones:
🔵 Supply Zone: 5985 – 6000 (Strong historical rejection zone)
⚠️ First Support: 5436.1 – potential bounce area, but already tested
🧱 Major Demand Zone: 4990 – heavy volume base, ideal buy zone for bulls
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🚨 Bearish Clues on the Chart:
Price got rejected at the top of the supply range with a strong wick.
Bearish divergence on recent highs (not shown here but evident on RSI/MACD).
Clean downside structure could target 5436, then 4990 if broken.
📉 Downside Projections:
First TP: 5436
Final TP: 4990 (big institutional interest)
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🔁 Possible Scenarios:
1. 🔻 Bearish Continuation: If we break below recent support near 5880, expect speed towards 5436.
2. 🟢 Bullish Fakeout: Only a strong breakout above 5985 invalidates this setup.
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🎯 Trade Idea (Educational):
Entry: Break and retest below 5880
SL: Above 5985 zone
TP1: 5436
TP2: 4990
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📅 June Will Be Volatile – Stay prepared.
💬 Do you think this is the start of a correction or just a dip before ATH?
🔔 Follow @FrankFx14 for clean and professional chart updates! 👍 Like, 🔁 share, and 💭 comment your thoughts below!
GOLD eases, fundamental support and technical momentumOANDA:XAUUSD fell in early Asian trading on May 30 after Thursday's gains, although it still had room to rise as weak US initial jobless claims data weighed on the US dollar and Trump's tariffs faced more uncertainty.
Gold recovered from a weekly low of $3,245 an ounce on Thursday to break above the $3,300 an ounce mark as weak US initial jobless claims data weighed on the US dollar.
As of press time, gold had fallen below the full price of $3,300, down $23 on the day and around 0.69% .
The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose more than expected last week, adding to pressure on the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates.
Data released on Thursday showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose last week, exceeding market expectations. The data showed initial jobless claims in the United States rose by 14,000 to 240,000 in the week ended May 24, compared with estimates of 230,000.
According to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's May 6-7 meeting, policymakers acknowledged that they could face "difficult trade-offs" in the coming months, as both inflation and unemployment rise, raising the risk of a recession. Since gold does not yield interest, it typically performs well in low-interest-rate environments.
Trump Tariff Ruling Overturned
A U.S. trade court ruled on Wednesday that the president lacked the authority to impose tariffs, blocking most of Trump's tariffs, but on Thursday a federal appeals court agreed to the Trump administration's request to suspend the court's ruling.
The U.S. government's request for an immediate administrative stay was granted, and the rulings and permanent injunctions issued by the U.S. Court of International Trade in these cases will be temporarily suspended until further notice while the court reviews the relevant motion documents, the Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit said in its ruling.
Investors will focus on the US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, on Friday. Gold is seen as a hedge against inflation during times of economic uncertainty, and higher-than-expected PCE data would benefit the US dollar and reduce the appeal of gold, leading to a possible decline in prices. The opposite effect would be seen if PCE data were lower than expected, which would increase the likelihood of an early rate cut by the Fed, leading to a depreciation of the dollar and gold benefiting from expectations of a low-interest rate environment.
Technical outlook for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold is down but currently the downside momentum has been limited by the initial support area which is the confluence of EMA21 with Fibonacci retracement 0.382%, this support area has been noted by readers in the publications since the beginning of this trading week.
Temporarily, gold does not have enough technical conditions to be able to increase in price in the short term, because it is still under pressure from the price channel. However, in terms of the overall and long-term trend, gold still has a main trend of increasing price, a trend noted by the price channel.
In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still holding above 50, with the current RSI position at 50 being considered as the nearest support in terms of momentum.
A sustained price action above the 3,300ISD price point would be considered a positive signal, while a break above the channel would qualify the bulls for a short-term target of 3,371USD.
For the day, the technical outlook for gold is bullish and the key points to watch are listed below.
Support: 3,292USD – 3,250USD
Resistance: 3,371USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3342 - 3340⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3346
→Take Profit 1 3334
↨
→Take Profit 2 3328
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3203 - 3205⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3199
→Take Profit 1 3211
↨
→Take Profit 2 3217