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Trend Analysis

The end of seasonal growth, reducing work positionsThe seasonal growth cycle is ending this week. For most of the market, the sales cycle begins on Sunday. In the new week, we can still expect pumps for the turn of the month for individual coins. From Sunday to Tuesday, the probability of a market drawdown prevails as part of a pullback on the current weekly candle and shadow rendering for the new week. For coins that have already attempted to turn the month around, the probability of stable sales until the end of May already prevails from this week. From Tuesday to May 7-9 or 11-12, there will still be a flat period, when, with a general market pullback, individual coins may show growth, then the probability of a return of ether to 1500-1600 prevails, with a possible reversal and drawdown of the altcoin market. Today and tomorrow, I recommend reducing positions on coins, especially those that have shown good growth, in order to avoid drawdowns in the new month. In the first half of the new week, growth impulses for coins that have not yet attempted to turn the current monthly candle into a bullish one are more likely. In particular, pumping is possible using vib wing and pda, which are awaiting delisting. For coins without the monitoring tag, it is better to make further purchases after the announcement of the tag assignment in the new week, because after the rollback from Sunday to Tuesday, coins can lose up to 50% additionally in the second half of the week if the tag is assigned. I will collect the list of coins for work in May after the announcement of the tag assignment.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by Strateg_
6
Berger Paints at Make-or-Break Point:Descending Triangle PatternBerger Paints is currently testing the upper boundary of a long-term Descending Triangle on the weekly chart — a pattern known for sharp breakouts or breakdowns. 📊 Resistance Zone: 600 – A breakout above this level could trigger a powerful upside rally towards 825+, supported by the pattern's height projection. 🔻 Support Level: 543 – A breakdown below this level may lead to a sharp fall towards 400 levels. ⚠️ Bearish Pin Bar Candle at resistance signals caution; confirmation is key before entering any trade. 📌 Watch closely for a decisive move – this zone is critical for trend reversal or continuation. This setup offers a high-reward opportunity for positional traders, with clear entry and exit zones. Manage your risk wisely and follow with volume confirmation.
NSE:BERGEPAINT
by TradZoo
Gold Next Week: Trend Analysis & Trading StrategiesThis week, international gold rallied first and then declined. Opening at $3,332.96, it peaked at $3,499.92, bottomed at $3,260.2, and closed at $3,316.2. The weekly shooting star pattern signals long - term downside risk. With bearish news, it could fall to $3,100 or even break below $3,000. Stay alert next week and watch geopolitical and tariff news for trading decisions. In terms of the daily chart, when gold rose to the 3,500 mark this week, bulls took profits, and the price retreated to the lowest level of 3,260. Due to the increased uncertainty about tariffs in the market, the market showed a wide range of consolidation in the second half of the week. Technically speaking, the bullish trend will resume only when the price breaks through and stabilizes above 3,385. If it breaks below 3,260, the adjustment range will be further expanded. Judging from the MACD indicator in the secondary chart, the red bars continue to shrink in volume, and the fast and slow lines are about to form a death cross at a high level, suggesting that the short-term trend of gold will continue to be volatile with a downward risk. For the daily chart, the main trading strategy is to go short at high levels. At the 4-hour level, after the sharp decline from 3,500 to 3,260, the current market is under pressure and is in a consolidation phase below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, within the range of $3,370 to $3,260. Currently, the Bollinger Bands are continuously narrowing, and the short-term market will continue to consolidate within the range until the Bollinger Bands reopen and choose a new direction. Whether the market will break down after the consolidation ends and start a larger wave A decline or break upward and restart a new upward trend, before the range is broken, the short-term intraday trading strategy is to go short at high levels and go long at low levels within the range, with a preference for going short at high levels. Once the range is broken, follow the trend. XAUUSD sell@3340-3350 tp:3310-3300 Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CyberFinMagus
EUR/USD , here’s a clean pattern breakdown:1. Market Structure Range-Bound Consolidation Zone between 1.1325 – 1.1383 Multiple equal lows near 1.1325 → liquidity pool Strong bullish impulse leg prior → possible bullish continuation base Lower highs forming since the spike near 1.1570 → potential descending triangle if support fails 2. Key Levels (Marked on Chart) Resistance: 1.1383 → Recent high / breakout cap 1.1421 → Prior HTF supply 1.1472 / 1.1570 → Major HTF OBs Support: 1.1340 → Micro support 1.1325 → Liquidity base (very reactive) 1.1279 → Key HTF Demand Zone (OB + FVG) 1.1248 → Breaker block zone 3. Patterns Detected Mini Range Formation between 1.1325 – 1.1380 Equal Lows Sweep Setup → classic bullish liquidity trap play Break & Retest Play forming around 1.1380 zone Candle wicks show bullish absorption at the base (1.1325) Volume rising on bounces = demand showing up 4. Trade Bias & Setup Ideas Bias: Bullish above 1.1325, bearish below 1.1279 Intraday Trade Idea: Look for sweep of 1.1325 liquidity, then H1 bullish engulfing or M15 engulfing + volume surge TP1: 1.1380, TP2: 1.1420, SL: below 1.1310 (1.5x ATR) Swing Play Idea: If price closes above 1.1380 with strength, potential breakout toward 1.1420 → 1.1470 5. Session Play Map London: likely sweep + bounce New York: continuation or breakout zone Asia: typically range-bound or sweep setups EUR/USD – Swing Trade Recommendation As of: April 25, 2025 – 3:25 PM EST Broker: Oanda Current Price: 1.1368 ATR (H1): ~19 pips Risk Level: Medium Bias: Bullish ✅ 🧠 Swing Setup Logic We're in a bullish continuation zone after multiple defenses of the 1.1325 liquidity base. Price is compressing below 1.1380, forming a potential breakout structure. HTF trend remains bullish with W1 + D1 both holding higher lows. Momentum building. 🛠️ Swing Trade Setup Entry Plan: Buy on H4 close above 1.1385 with confirmation from volume spike or Buy the retest of 1.1380–1.1365 zone with bullish engulfing on H1/M30 SL: 1.1310 (1.5x ATR buffer under structure) TP1: 1.1420 (2R) TP2: 1.1470 (3R) TP3 (trail): If daily candle closes above 1.1470, trail using H1 higher lows Lot Size (1% risk on $20K): ~1.05 lots (with 58-pip SL) ⚠️ Risk Filters News Risk: No high-impact events in next 6 hrs ✅ Volume Check: Only enter if breakout candle has >20% above avg volume Rejection Filter: Avoid entry if breakout stalls at 1.1385 (double top warning) 🧩 Final Score (Pre-Trade Grading) HTF Trend: ✅ (2/2) Confluence: ✅ (2/2) Price Behavior: ✅ (2/2) RR Quality: ✅ (2/2) News Filtered: ✅ (2/2) Total Score: 10/10 → TRADE CONFIRMED ✅ Swing Recap Bias: Long Entry Trigger: Break & Retest or Breakout of 1.1385 Target Range: 1.1420 → 1.1470 Stop: 1.1310 Risk:Reward: 1:2.2 to 1:3.3 Confidence: High
Long
by wojoforex
1
Bitcoin Broke Res Now What?Time to update long term trend (Weekly & Daily). Well, after breaking resistance with a VERY strong move we can say with a high degree of confidence that a NEW long term leg up has been confirmed even tho the new higher low hasn't been printed yet cause it is very unlikely for Bitcoin to have a move down of $22k in a Daily Bearish Cycle. So from NOW ON we should expect Bitcoin to print higher lows and higher as long as the weekly Cycle remains Bullish. Now, If Bitcoin DOESN'T print a higher high during the next 4 weeks and instead moves sideways then the Weekly UPtrend will be in danger again, but is too early to say that. For those like me that got stuck in a futures short position next drop will be the last chance to get out even or with small loss/profit and for SPOT if you are not in yet then your last opportunity will be around $90k cause as of now the sky is the limit for Bitcoin. Buckle up ladies and gentlemen cause 4th of July is coming and Bitcoin is coming with it with a big check.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Numberfive
SUSDT Analysis: Breakout !! Join our community and start your crypto journey today for: In-depth market analysis Accurate trade setups Early access to trending altcoins Life-changing profit potential Let' analyse SUSDT: SUSDT has been consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern of an ascending channel for the past few weeks, indicating a period of indecision. However, price action is now hinting at a potential bullish breakout! Key Observations: Triangle Consolidation: The symmetrical triangle (blue lines) shows converging trendlines, suggesting that a significant move is imminent. EMA Ribbon: The price is currently trading above the EMA ribbon (21, 50, 99, 200 EMAs), which is starting to fan out in a bullish manner. This suggests increasing bullish momentum. Breakout: Price tested the upper trendline of the triangle. A sustained break above this level could confirm the bullish breakout. Potential Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout above the upper trendline with strong volume could lead to a significant upward move. Target 1 (Futures): ~$0.5959 Target 2 (Futures): ~$0.7047 Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss below the recent swing low and the lower trendline of the triangle, around ~$0.4476, to protect your capital in case of a false breakdown. Monitor the overall market sentiment and Bitcoin's price action, as they can influence altcoins like SUSDT. If you find this analysis helpful, please hit the like button to support my content! Share your thoughts in the comments, and feel free to request any specific chart analysis you’d like to see. Happy Trading!!
Long
by persis10t
Position Sizing – “Size Kills, or Saves”🎯 Position Sizing – “Size Kills, or Saves” "A great setup with the wrong size is a disaster in disguise." 🧭 What’s Position Sizing, Really? It’s not just how much you’re willing to trade. It’s how much you’re willing to lose. Most traders obsess over entries, patterns, and predictions. But behind every blown account isn’t a bad signal—it’s a bad position size. The wrong size magnifies every mistake. The right size lets you survive long enough to learn, adapt, and win. 🔍 The Silent Risk Let’s say you risk 10% of your account on each trade. A few losses in a row can wipe you out—not just financially, but emotionally. Here’s what happens after 5 consecutive losses: Now ask yourself: 💭 Which version of you makes better decisions? 🔹The one who’s lost 5%… 🔹Or the one who’s lost 41% and is desperately trying to “get it back”? 🧠 Why Fixed % Risk Works The pros don’t let emotions set their size. They use logic and math . The rule? 📏 Risk no more than 1%–2% of your total capital per trade , based on your stop-loss. It’s not conservative—it’s sustainable . This lets you endure rough patches and stay in the game long enough for your edge to play out. 🛠 How To Size Like a Pro Let’s walk through an example: 1. Know your capital You have $10,000 in your trading account. 2. Decide how much you're willing to risk Professional traders risk a small percentage per trade, usually 1%. That means: 1% of $10,000 = $100 This is the maximum amount you’re willing to lose on this trade. 3. Set your stop-loss (as a percentage) Let’s say you’re buying a coin (Cryptocurrency) at $100, and your stop-loss is at $95. That’s a 5% stop-loss, because: (100 - 95) ÷ 100 = 0.05 = 5% 4. Use the formula to calculate your position size 🧮 Position Size = Risk $ ÷ % Stop-Loss Here’s the math: $100 ÷ 5% = $2,000 That means you can buy $2,000 worth of that coin (Cryptocurrency). So at a $100 price, you’d buy 20 units. 💬 Important Note If the stoploss is hit, you will only lose 1% (i.e., $100) of your capital, regardless of the stoploss size. However, if the trade wins, the profits are proportional to how big your position size is relative to the stop-loss distance. Thus, your risk-to-reward ratio improves naturally, and you maintain strict control over your downside while allowing your upside to grow. 💡 Simple Rule of Thumb ➤ Smaller stop-loss = larger position ➤ Larger stop-loss = smaller position The goal is to keep your $ risk fixed, not the size of your trades. 📌 Why this matters: Sizing by stop-loss respects volatility and makes your risk consistent, no matter how different the trades are. 🔥 Mistakes to Avoid ❌ Don’t size based on “how sure” you are. Confidence isn’t consistency. ❌ Don’t adjust size mid-trade. Let the stop-loss manage risk, not your panic. ❌ Don’t double down to recover losses. It’s not strategy—it’s revenge. 📌 Action Tip 👉 Start tracking your risk% per trade in your journal. 👉 Use position size calculators — they’re free, fast, and accurate. 👉 Make size a system. Not a feeling. 🧘 Final Thought Your strategy might give you an edge. But your position sizing is what protects it. If strategy is offense, size is defense, and defense wins championships.
Education
by RobinhoodPro
1
XAUUSD - All Eyes on the Reaction Zone for Directional ClarityThe Gold Spot price chart shows a clear potential for price movement toward the highlighted reaction area between approximately $3,360 and $3,380. After reaching highs around $3,500 on April 22, gold has experienced a significant correction, forming a series of lower highs and lows. The current price action suggests that gold may be preparing for a rebound toward this critical reaction zone, as indicated by the upward green arrow. Once gold reaches this reaction area, traders will need to closely monitor price behavior for confirmation of whether this represents a temporary bounce in a larger downtrend or the beginning of a new push toward previous highs. Key technical indicators at this level will determine if gold has enough momentum to break through resistance and potentially retest recent highs, or if sellers will emerge again, forcing another leg down toward recent support levels around $3,270-$3,280. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by financialflagship
BTCUSD：Ascending Wedge Trend and StrategiesI. Trends and Patterns From the 4 - hour chart, BTCUSD has shown complex volatility characteristics recently: 1.Consolidation phase: The price oscillated within a narrow range in the early stage, forming a rectangular consolidation pattern. The forces of bulls and bears were relatively balanced, and there was a strong wait - and - see sentiment in the market. 2.Breakout and current pattern: After breaking through the consolidation range, the price moved upward, indicating that the bulls were dominant in the short term. However, it has now entered an ascending wedge pattern - which is a common reversal signal in technical analysis. - Pattern characteristics: Although the price has been making short - term new highs, the upward slope has gradually flattened, suggesting that the bullish momentum is fading and the bearish momentum is gradually accumulating. Be vigilant against the risk of trend reversal. II. Key Support and Resistance Levels S1: $93,000. It is near the lower trend line of the ascending wedge and also a previous pullback low. If the price drops, this could form a strong support. If it is broken, it may open up a downward space, and we need to be vigilant against trend reversal. S2: $91,500. It is the upper edge of the previous consolidation range. If the price drops significantly, this may form a secondary support to slow down the decline. R1: $96,000. It is near the upper trend line of the ascending wedge. The price has tested it several times without a valid breakthrough, indicating strong selling pressure here and a significant short - term suppression effect. R2: $98,000. It is a higher - level resistance target. If the price breaks through $96,000 strongly and holds above it, it may further rise to this level. III. Trading Strategy Recommendations 1.Bullish strategy: - Entry conditions: The price finds support near $93,000 (such as the appearance of bullish candlestick patterns like hammer candlesticks), and does not break below this level. - Target price: $96,000 (testing the upper wedge), and if broken, look towards $97,500. - Stop - loss setting: Break below $92,500 (below the lower edge of the support level). 2.Bearish strategy: - Entry conditions: The price effectively breaks below the support level of $93,000 (such as closing below it for two consecutive candlesticks), or encounters resistance and falls back near $96,000 (the appearance of bearish patterns like shooting star candlesticks). - Target price: $91,500 (the upper edge of the previous consolidation), and if it further drops, it can look towards $86,000. - Stop - loss setting: Break above $96,500 (above the upper wedge). 3.Risk warnings: - The reversal signal of the ascending wedge needs to be verified with trading volume (for example, if there is a significant increase in volume during the breakout, the signal is more reliable). - Pay close attention to fundamental factors such as the expected Fed policy and regulatory dynamics of cryptocurrencies. Be vigilant against breakout movements triggered by unexpected news. IV. Conclusion Currently, BTCUSD is in a critical observation period of the ascending wedge. Technical analysis shows that the bullish momentum is waning, and it faces a directional choice in the short term. Aggressive traders can lightly test the waters near support/resistance levels, while conservative traders are advised to wait for clear breakout signals (such as a volume - based breakout of the upper wedge or an effective breakdown of the lower wedge) before entering the market. At the same time, strictly control positions and stop - losses to avoid volatility risks before the pattern is confirmed.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by H_C_12
Bitcoin sell technical analysis Description: Bitcoin is rejecting major resistance near $94,000 after forming a bearish engulfing candle on the 4H chart. • Key Resistance: $94,000–$95,000 zone rejected with strong selling pressure. • RSI Divergence: Bearish divergence between price and RSI confirms weakness. • Break of Support: Price broke minor support at $92,800, shifting short-term structure bearish. • Moving Averages: Trading below the 50 EMA on the 4H chart, signaling bearish momentum. Sell Setup: • Look for entries around $93,500–$94,000 (retest zone). • Stop-loss above $95,000. • TP1: $91,000 • TP2: $88,500 Bitcoin is showing clear signs of a pullback — sellers are currently in control.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by US30EMPIRE
GBPJPY - Retest of the top, sell opportunity?The GBP/JPY chart shows an intriguing setup as price has recently rebounded from its early April lows near 184.00 to approach the 191.50 level, which now represents a significant local high. If we see another break of this level followed by rejection, the pair could be forming a classic double top pattern at the highlighted resistance zone between 191.50-192.00. This technical formation would be particularly noteworthy given that this resistance area previously served as support in late March before the sharp April selloff. The red zigzag line on the chart suggests a potential path where price might make one more push up before reversing lower. Traders should watch for bearish price action confirmation at this resistance zone—such as rejection candles, bearish engulfing patterns, or momentum divergence—which would strengthen the case for a short position with a reasonable stop above the double top formation and targets potentially toward the lower support zone around 187.00. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by financialflagship
XAUUSD TOWARD 3600$ | MAJOR BOUNCE INCOMING FROM BUY ZONE!Gold (XAU/USD) trading within an ascending channel on the 4-hour timeframe. Price action remains bullish as it continues to respect the channel boundaries. Currently, gold is priced around $3,319, showing a strong recovery after dipping towards the lower boundary of the channel (highlighted as the "BUY ZONE"). The forecast suggests a minor retracement towards the buy zone, followed by a bullish move targeting around $3,600. This projection aligns with the overall upward momentum indicated by the rising channel. Key Points: Trend: Bullish (within ascending channel) Current Price: ~$3,319 Buy Zone: Near the lower channel boundary (~$3,250–$3,280 range) Target: $3,600 Outlook: A potential pullback before a continuation higher toward the top of the channel. Risk management and close monitoring are advised, especially if price breaks below the channel structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AlexParker_trader
Gold (XAUUSD) Bearish Continuation Toward 2910 | Swing Analysis> Gold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of bearish continuation after rejecting the 3370 resistance area. The structure suggests further downside movement as sellers gain control. Key levels to monitor: 3216 — minor support 3102 — major support 3000 — psychological round number 2910 — final target zone As long as price holds below 3371, the bearish bias remains valid. A breakout above 3371 would invalidate this scenario. Market Bias: Bearish Risk Management: Always use a stop-loss and proper position sizing.
TVC:GOLDLong
by MR_MARK0
Gold's Trend and Trading Strategy for Next WeekLast week, the price of gold sharply declined after hitting the resistance level of $3,500, dropping to around $3,260 at its lowest point. The weekly chart closed with a bearish inverted hammer candlestick pattern, suggesting a sharp short-term downward momentum. However, on Friday evening, the gold price rebounded near the support level of $3,260 and regained the $3,300 mark. Combining the current fundamental and news-driven analysis, gold remains in an overall upward trend: Technical Analysis Although the weekly inverted hammer pattern indicates selling pressure at higher levels, the rapid rebound from the bottom to reclaim the key $3,300 level signals the persistence of bullish momentum. If the short-term decline fails to effectively break below the strong support at $3,250, the gold price has the potential for a rebound. Trading Strategy Next week, it is recommended to adopt a bullish bias and focus on long positions. Consider entering near $3,283, with a stop-loss set below $3,260. The upper resistance levels are sequentially $3,331 (short-term resistance) and $3,370 (target after breakthrough). Risk Warning Be vigilant against shocks to gold prices from sudden geopolitical news or changes in Federal Reserve policy expectations, and strictly control position sizing and stop-loss levels. I hope this strategy will be helpful to you. When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by H_C_12