Trend Analysis
Gold is approaching the point where the trend will reverseGOLD is approaching the reversal point, but before that the market may draw the all-time favorite trap - a breakout, but false :) that will allow to collect as much liquidity as possible before further reversal.
Scenario: Gold closes Friday on a small correction after reaching 2786. Most likely the price may test the nearest support, supposedly showing traders that it will not go up. But after this deception it will quickly turn around and finally test 2790. The pattern that I am waiting for is a false breakdown and subsequent consolidation of the price under 2790, which will make it convenient to open a sell trade :).
My targets in this case: 2740, 2688
BTC BEARISH SENTIMENTYeah, BTC has been facing repeated rejections around that key resistance level, which could signal a potential short-term bearish move if it fails to break through convincingly. If sellers continue to defend that zone, we might see a pullback or consolidation before another attempt.
On the flip side, a strong breakout with volume could push BTC into a bullish trend. It’s all about how price reacts in the next few days—watching for either a clean break or another rejection that could lead to temporary downside.
Fingers crossed indeed! Are you thinking of taking any trades based on this?
Gold hits record high: Is a reversal coming?📉 Gold Returns to All-Time High: Is a Major Correction on the Horizon?
🔍 Strong Reaction at Historical Highs
Gold has returned to its all-time high zone, and as it touched this level, prices have seen a significant reaction, dropping $20 to around $2,770.
On the H4 timeframe, candles show strong selling pressure at the highs, signaling a potential deeper correction. As the market opens next week (Monday), there is a high likelihood of a GAP (price gap) forming on smaller timeframes due to the current momentum.
📊 Technical and Fundamental Insights
Double Top Formation:
Gold shows signs of forming a Double Top pattern at its historical peak.
Combined with technical signals, this suggests a possible short-term corrective wave.
Crucial News from FED and Trump:
Next week, the market anticipates critical updates from the Federal Reserve (FED) regarding interest rate policies.
President Trump’s fiscal and monetary policy announcements could also drive significant volatility in gold prices.
Low Liquidity Conditions:
With many Asian nations entering their Lunar New Year holidays, market liquidity is expected to decline, potentially leading to heightened volatility.
🌟 Price Behavior Analysis
Based on insights from DXY, SWAP CHARGE, and FVG analyses:
DXY Weakness: While DXY's weakness supports gold, heavy selling pressure near the highs indicates a possible corrective phase.
SWAP CHARGE Shifts: The shift from buying to selling suggests that selling pressure is currently dominant, supporting the likelihood of a gold correction.
💡 Key Levels to Watch Next Week
Resistance:
$2,786 - $2,790: This is the previous all-time high and a critical resistance level. A breakout above this zone could trigger a stronger bullish trend.
Support:
$2,758 - $2,735 - $2,718 - $2,694: These are the major support zones to monitor in case of a deeper correction.
📢 Conclusion:
Given the current dynamics, gold appears poised for a potential correction after testing its all-time highs. This aligns with technical signals and fundamental developments. Traders should closely monitor key levels and upcoming announcements from the FED and President Trump to stay ahead of market movements.
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EURUSD 26/01/2025EU this week giving us the bullish bias that we carried over from the Tuesday morning bias change. of course Orion told us as soon as the bias changed and we stayed on its tall the whole way to its current position. as it stands we are looking for longs into the target highs we have marked on our chart, but of course without a pullback we expect price to keep running and hit our targets . if we do carry the bullish move to our targets without hitting an entry low we will look for a new low to be created to then trade up into the highs once again. but our plan currently is the lows to be ran and the current targets remain in place giving us a strong target high to aim for.
Trade safe stick to your plan and always follow Orion!
AVAX LongAvax bounced at 34.50, where there's strong support= EMA 200 on the daily chart. At the moment, we have broken the trendline and are currently testing prev week mid and monday mid also previous small rezistance.
If we manage to hold, I expect the price to shoot up to 38.96, and from there, I anticipate the price will go back to test the level of 37.68. If it holds, I’ll be opening a trade.
If you want you can buy now: TARGET - 38,90
SL- 37,09
MARKETS week ahead: January 26 – February 1Last week in the news
The US inflation is not as scary as investors previously thought. In this sense, they adjusted previous expectations and returned positive sentiment to financial markets. The US equity markets recovered from losses carried two weeks ago. The S&P 500 ended the week at the level of 5.996. The US Dollar continued to gain in strength, but due to general uncertainty, the price of gold also surged back to the $2,7K levels. The US Treasury yields reacted strongly on inflation figures, bringing back the 10Y US benchmark to the level of 4,62%. In the dawn of the US new Administration inauguration, the crypto market also reacted positively, bringing BTC back above the level of $100K.
The main event during the previous week on financial markets was related to the inauguration of a new US Administration. There was a question whether all promises from the pre-election period will be fulfilled? For one more time, markets reacted positively, bringing US equities to the higher grounds, where S&P 500 reached its fresh all-time highest level. The US Dollar weakened a bit, bringing the price of gold close to its ATH, ending the week at the level of $6.101. In anticipation of the FOMC meeting next week, the US Treasuries headed toward the upside, ending the week at the level of 4,61%. The presidential order for a formation of a cryptocurrency working group with the target to draft a new digital asset regulation, boring BTC toward the fresh, new ATH at the $109K.
During the previous week there has not been currently important macro data scheduled for a release, however, the inauguration of the new US President was the main event which shaped the market sentiment. One of the most important topics for markets was whether the new President will impose tariffs on imported goods, as promised in the pre-election period, especially tariffs on goods from China? This represents the most fearful event for investors, as they are anticipating that tariffs might bring inflation in the US toward the upside, which will affect Fed to keep interest rates at current levels longer than it is now expected. Still, the idea of tariffs still holds in the new US Administration, in which sense, the investors fear is for the moment just postponed.
One of the major moves of the new US Administration was related to the crypto market. Namely, within the first days in the office, the US President signed an presidential order for the creation of the cryptocurrency working group, whose aim will be to draft the first regulation in the US on digital assets while exploring the creation of a cryptocurrency stockpile on the national level. This order is also important as it bans the topic of creation of a central bank digital currency in the US.
With the focus of the new US Administration on the crypto, there are some major movements of the capital on the international scene. As Cointelegraph is reporting, one of the prominent venture capital companies, Andreessen Horowitz will close its office in the United Kingdom in order to focus on the US market. Its London office was opened in 2023.
As expected and announced, the Bank of Japan increased its target interest rate by 25bps to the level of 0,5%. Such a move was supported by BoJ inflation expectations in 2025 and 2026. The expected increase in rates was previously fully priced by market, in which sense, there has not been any higher movements on financial markets in Japan and US.
Crypto market cap
Another volatile week on the crypto markets which ended with a positive sentiment. All investors' eyes were on the inauguration of the new US Administration and moves which will be taken during first days in the office. For the crypto market, the most important information was related to the Presidential order for a formation of the cryptocurrency working group. This group will work in the future period on a development of the crypto regulation in the US, as well as the potential for the creation of the cryptocurrency stockpile on the national level. Such a move brought back investors confidence, bringing the total crypto market capitalization to the higher grounds as of the weekend. Still, considering the previous drop in the value, the crypto market capitalization is ending this week relatively flat, compared to the week before. There has been a small drop of nearly 1%, decreasing total crypto cap by $40B. Daily trading volumes were also modestly decreased to the level of around $200B on a daily basis, from $340B traded a week before. Total crypto market cap increase from the end of the previous year currently stands at 9%, where $300B has been added.
The majority of crypto coins finished the week in red, however, there were also several altcoins which managed to gain during the week. BTC finished the week relatively flat, compared to the week before. On the other hand, ETH lost some 3% in value, decreasing its cap by $12B. BNB was also on a losing side, dropping its value by 2,8% w/w, or $2,8B. Interestingly, Solana was among significant losers, with a drop in value of 4,7%, decreasing its cap by $6,1B. This group also includes DOGE, with a drop in value of 10% or $5,8B. The majority of other altcoins had a weekly drop around 10%. On the opposite side were coins like Tron, which gained 4,2% in value, Monero surged by 4,3% w/w. After a significant surge in the value prior to inauguration, the Trump meme coin lost 54% in value in an after-inauguration period.
When coins in circulation are in question, the highest weekly move had BNB, which decreased the number of circulating coins by 1,1%. At the same time, the number of Tether coins increased by 0,7%. Iota had a surge of 0,5% while Stellar, Algorand and Filecoin increased the number of coins on the market by 0,2% each.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market was a reflection of spot developments during the previous week. In this sense, BTC futures ended the week only with a small drop in prices for most of the maturities. They ended the week almost flat. In this sense, futures maturing in December this year were last traded at the level $114.040, while those maturing a year later closed the week at $123.950.
On the opposite side were ETH futures, which ended the week around 5,5% lower from the week before, for all maturities. Futures maturing in December this year were last traded at the level of $3.575, while those maturing in December 2026 for one more time dropped below the level of $ 4K, and closed the week at $3.840.
#BTC/USDT LONG Ready to go higher#BTC
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and sticking to it well
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at 101300
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100
Entry price 101900
First target 103400
Second target 105500
Third target 107500
DXY Will Go Up! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for DXY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 107.464.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 109.437 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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SNX's bullish situationBINANCE:SNXUSDT
what is better than an already broken falling wedge!
The expected resistance and targets are shown on the chart!
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Technical Take: USD Support in Play across Key TimeframesAccording to the US Dollar (USD) Index, the USD finished the week on the ropes, down 1.8%. Despite the growing sense that US President Trump may not live up to the hype of his pre-inauguration statements – placing a question mark on USD upside – technical studies appear to favour bulls.
Long-Term Technicals Favour Bulls
Technically speaking, I have been banging the drum for monthly resistance at 109.33 for quite some time now, which, as you can see, recently entered the fray and held ground. For anyone interested, I am a staunch advocate of yearly opening levels, and 109.33 has demonstrated a solid track record as a support and resistance – extended from as far back as 2001. However, while a notable area, several technical factors support USD bulls. This includes the overall trend facing to the upside, clear (local) support at 105.91-107.39, both the 50-month (101.09) and 200-month (91.16) simple moving averages (SMAs) rotating higher (the 50-month SMA has also been north of the 200-month SMA since early 2017), and, finally, the monthly chart’s Relative Strength Index maintaining position north of the 50.00 centreline since 2021 (positive momentum), albeit scraping the threshold several times since 2023. Consequently, it would appear that sellers have their work cut out for them.
Daily and H1 Support Enters the Fight
Across the page on the daily chart, Friday wrapped up the session probing through bids at support from 107.77 (now marked resistance) and touched gloves with the 50-day SMA at 107.58, as well as a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ratio at 107.24 (note that support is also present nearby at 107.05). Although you could argue that the earlier break of trendline support (extended from the low of 100.18) may fuel further technical downside, current support between 107.05 and 107.58 is not an area to overlook, particularly when it blends with the upper edge of monthly support (107.39). Were buyers to take control here, 107.77 resistance is an obvious hurdle before confirming a bullish scenario on the daily scale, while rupturing support could unearth another support as far south as 105.62.
Shorter-term flow on the H1 chart is in a clear downtrend, consisting of a series of lower lows and lower highs. Given the break of clear lows around 107.70ish (blue oval area), this intensified downside pressure through tripped long positions and fresh breakout selling. I have been monitoring a key support level from 107.25 for a while, and I believe it may be a platform where buyers begin building a position. This is due to where we are trading from on the bigger picture (monthly and daily support) and fresh liquidity available from the break of short-term lows at 107.70. As you can see, together with the H1 support, a 1.618% Fibonacci projection ratio at 106.86 (harmonic traders may recognise this as an ‘alternate’ AB=CD bullish setup) and a 100% projection ratio at 106.84 (equal AB=CD formation) resides below current support, which buyers may use as their lower threshold to construct a support zone with 107.25. We have already witnessed some buying from 107.25 on Friday. Still, if the daily resistance from 107.77 is consumed, this would likely encourage buying and eventually pave the way toward the monthly resistance mentioned above at 109.33, closely shadowed by another layer of daily resistance from 109.53.
Written by FP Markets Market Analyst Aaron Hill
Gold: supported by weaker USDDuring the previous week markets were focused on inauguration of the new-old US President and the steps which he will take in the future period. The most critical ones are related to potential US tariffs on imported goods, especially from China. As the US Dollar was weakening during the previous week, the price of gold headed toward its ATH levels. The highest weekly level reached was at Friday's trading session at $2.785. Still, the price of gold ended the week at the level of $2.771.
With the latest move toward the upside, the RSI reached the level of 69, which is almost at the level of the overbought market side. This is also the level which implies the higher probability for a short term reversal in the coming period. The moving average of 50 days started modest divergence from MA200, implying that there will be no cross in the near future.
The week ahead will be full of important events, including the PCE data and FOMC meeting. This will certainly bring some higher market volatility. Whether the price of gold will be able at this point to pass the historical ATH is to be seen. Charts are also implying the possibility for a short term reversal. In this case, the price of gold might revert a bit back toward the support line at $2.720.
$ATOMUSDTLooking of this chart.
this will be boring if it play's
as long we still trading above the blue box for me my bias on this token still bullish
and that's a good sign of accumulation..
adding this coin on my portfolio is good..
posible count on lower TF for me is 1-2 1-2 setup.
2k area seems imposible.. but for spot trading this good choice
trading/invsting is a marathon not a sprint..
be sniper not machine gunner
Trade safe