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Trend Analysis

Interpretation of ideas after gold opensTechnical pattern: This week, gold closed in a "shooting star" pattern, which is a common peak signal, indicating that the price of gold may face a correction or decline. Influence of news: This week, affected by Trump's tariffs and dismissal of Powell, gold first hit a record high of 3500 due to its safe-haven properties. Then Trump's remarks changed, and the price of gold plunged from the high point to around 3260. Overall, it ended in a volatile situation under the uncertainty of tariffs, Powell's stay and interest rate cuts. If there are no new safe-haven factors in the market news, there is room for further decline in the price of gold. Short-term trend analysis Four-hour level: After the safe-haven, the price of gold rebounded at the low point of 3260, but was unable to continue near 3370. It is believed that the high-level selling repair and low-level buying intervention have affected it. The opening of the gold price next week may continue to fall. Hourly level: Since the decline in the price of gold, the rebound strength has been insufficient. It rebounded twice near 3260 below, and the overall center of gravity was downward before crossing 3380. Next week, pay attention to the 3330-3346 range to determine the nature of the rebound at the end of this week. At the same time, pay attention to whether 3260 can be broken. If there is a break, you can look down to 3221. Operational suggestions: Overall, the overall idea for next week will continue to be bearish. Pay attention to the resistance of the 3330-3346 range on the top, and try to go short if it is touched; the initial support below is 3260, and the bearish trend can continue to 3221-3219 if it breaks. Suggestions for being stuck at high positions: For investors who are standing guard at high positions, if they can withstand the pullback of gold prices, they can continue to hold and wait for the return of their capital; if not, it is recommended to recognize the loss and leave the market first, and then enter the market after the gold price has adjusted to the right level.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
"BTCUSD | Smart Money Discount Play | Watch the Liquidity Trap"⚡ BTCUSD Analysis - 1H Timeframe | April 27, 2025 📊 Price Action Summary: BTC has tapped perfectly into the Discount Zone after orchestrating a clean liquidity sweep below the prior lows. 🔥 Key Moves: Liquidity Grab: We can clearly see those liquidity spikes — textbook fakeout behavior. ChoCH (Change of Character): After the liquidity sweep, a strong bullish shift (ChoCH) appears, signaling a potential reversal. Strong Low Created: This strong low within the discount zone is now protected by Smart Money players. 🧠 What's Actually Happening Behind the Scenes: Retail traders: "It's breaking down! Sell everything!" 🚨 Smart Money: "Thanks for your liquidity. We’re loading up. 🛒" 🧩 Why This Setup Matters: BTC swept liquidity, trapping sellers. We saw a bullish change of character — proof of demand stepping in. Entry opportunity now exists inside the yellow Discount Zone, where risk is minimized and upside is juicy. 🎯 Trade Setup Idea: Entry: Inside the Discount Zone AFTER confirmation. Stop Loss: Below the strong low (~93,455) — surgical precision. Take Profit Zones: Weak High (~94,500) for first scale-out 🎯 Strong High (~95,773) for the real bag 🚀 💬 Pro Tip: "Smart Money buys red and sells green. Retail does the opposite." Watch how BTC reacts around the ChoCH — this is where the BIG BOYS decide the next move. 🧠🔍 🚀 Summary: ✅ Liquidity sweep complete ✅ Change of character confirmed ✅ Discount zone respected ✅ Probability favoring upside expansion 🧘‍♂️ Be patient, wait for confirmations, and execute with sniper discipline. ✍️ Save this chart, journal it, and study how liquidity manipulation looks in real-time! ➡️ Comment "BULL MODE" if you’re positioning inside the Discount Zone! ➡️ Tag a trader who still thinks markets move randomly. 😂📉📈
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by ChartNinjas88
XAUUSD TOWARD 3600$ | MAJOR BOUNCE INCOMING FROM BUY ZONE!Gold (XAU/USD) trading within an ascending channel on the 4-hour timeframe. Price action remains bullish as it continues to respect the channel boundaries. Currently, gold is priced around $3,319, showing a strong recovery after dipping towards the lower boundary of the channel (highlighted as the "BUY ZONE"). The forecast suggests a minor retracement towards the buy zone, followed by a bullish move targeting around $3,600. This projection aligns with the overall upward momentum indicated by the rising channel. Key Points: Trend: Bullish (within ascending channel) Current Price: ~$3,319 Buy Zone: Near the lower channel boundary (~$3,250–$3,280 range) Target: $3,600 Outlook: A potential pullback before a continuation higher toward the top of the channel. Risk management and close monitoring are advised, especially if price breaks below the channel structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AlexParker_trader
Gold (XAUUSD) Bearish Continuation Toward 2910 | Swing Analysis> Gold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of bearish continuation after rejecting the 3370 resistance area. The structure suggests further downside movement as sellers gain control. Key levels to monitor: 3216 — minor support 3102 — major support 3000 — psychological round number 2910 — final target zone As long as price holds below 3371, the bearish bias remains valid. A breakout above 3371 would invalidate this scenario. Market Bias: Bearish Risk Management: Always use a stop-loss and proper position sizing.
TVC:GOLDLong
by MR_MARK0
Say hello to the $110k Bitcoin !Say hello to the $110k Bitcoin ! Chart is speaking itself... Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
Gold's Trend and Trading Strategy for Next WeekLast week, the price of gold sharply declined after hitting the resistance level of $3,500, dropping to around $3,260 at its lowest point. The weekly chart closed with a bearish inverted hammer candlestick pattern, suggesting a sharp short-term downward momentum. However, on Friday evening, the gold price rebounded near the support level of $3,260 and regained the $3,300 mark. Combining the current fundamental and news-driven analysis, gold remains in an overall upward trend: Technical Analysis Although the weekly inverted hammer pattern indicates selling pressure at higher levels, the rapid rebound from the bottom to reclaim the key $3,300 level signals the persistence of bullish momentum. If the short-term decline fails to effectively break below the strong support at $3,250, the gold price has the potential for a rebound. Trading Strategy Next week, it is recommended to adopt a bullish bias and focus on long positions. Consider entering near $3,283, with a stop-loss set below $3,260. The upper resistance levels are sequentially $3,331 (short-term resistance) and $3,370 (target after breakthrough). Risk Warning Be vigilant against shocks to gold prices from sudden geopolitical news or changes in Federal Reserve policy expectations, and strictly control position sizing and stop-loss levels. I hope this strategy will be helpful to you. When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by H_C_12
NVDIA Death Cross Quant Perspectives (Light Case Study)NASDAQ: Nvidia (NVDA ) has recently experienced an uptrend after a death cross formed consisting of the 65 and 200 EMAs on the 1 Day chart. If we analyze back on Nvidia starting in 1999 , we can count a total of 10 death crosses that have occurred, and 9 have been immediately followed by downtrends. Although a single death cross did not have an immediate downtrend, shortly after this event (approx. 282 days) another death cross formed and price then fell roughly twice as it historically has , almost appearing to make up for the missed signal. From a quantitative perspective: If we calculate the raw historical success rate using: Raw Success Rate = 9/10 = 90 With this calculation the observed success of 65/200 EMA death crosses correlating to an immediate downtrend is 90% In order to avoid overconfidence we can apply Laplace smoothing using: Smoothed Probability = 9+1/10+2 = 10/12 or 0.8333 With this calculation the observed success of 65/200 EMA death crosses correlating to an immediate downtrend is 83% Given the results of the data I personally feel that there is a Very High (83%) chance this death cross that recently formed on the 1 Day chart (around 04/16/2025) will immediately lead to a downtrend. And a Low (17%) chance it does not. Furthermore these results support a technical analysis hypothesis that I formed prior. Many different systemic factors can contribute to the market movement, but mathematics sometimes leave subtle clues. Will the market become bearish? Or will Nvidia gain renewed bullish interest? Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by TRADEABLESKUNK
2
AUDUSDAUD/USD Trade Directional Bias and Central Bank Impact Current AUD/USD Overview (April 2025) AUD/USD is will face 0.65362 a critical resistance zone which is also a break of demand floor ,after the weekly candle breaks 0.63675 that has capped gains throughout 2025. The pair faces mixed signals from central bank policies, technical levels, and geopolitical risks. Below is a breakdown of key drivers: Central Bank Leaders and Policy Outlook RBA Michele Bullock Cautiously dovish: Held rates at 4.10% in April but signaled openness to cuts if inflation eases. Prioritizes data dependency amid U.S. tariff uncertainty, RBA next meeting will be 7 May 2025 ) Rate cuts (expected in May/July) could weaken AUD. Fed Jerome Powell Under political pressure: Trump criticizes Powell for "keeping rates too high." Markets price in 2025 rate cuts if U.S. inflation cool.the next fed meeting will be 14–15 May 2025 (Next FOMC) ,if feds remains Dovish ,Fed shifts would weaken USD, boosting AUD/USD. Key Economic Calendar Events RBA Meetings (7 May, 18 June, 6 August) A 25 bps cut is 80% priced for May and fully priced for July. Bullock’s cautious tone suggests cuts depend on inflation and tariff impacts. U.S. Inflation Data (10 May, 12 June) Softer CPI/PPI could accelerate Fed rate cuts, weakening USD. U.S.-China Trade Developments Escalating tariffs (e.g., Trump’s 10% levy on Australian imports) risk AUD downside, but de-escalation could boost risk sentiment. Conclusion AUD/USD’s bias leans cautiously bullish if Fed dovishness outweighs RBA easing, but bearish risks persist from tariff tensions and RBA cuts. Key levels to watch: Monitor speeches by Bullock (RBA) and Powell (Fed), along with U.S. inflation data and RBA meeting outcomes, for directional cues.
Short
by Shavyfxhub
My US30 Outlook For MondayFor now, my bias on US30 is bullish. Based on the current price action and structure, I’m expecting continued buying pressure into the Supply Zones overhead. I'll be following the bullish momentum carefully and will maintain a buy bias until further notice, while staying alert for any signs of weakness or reversal as we approach key resistance areas. Just a reminder — I'm a regular guy who’s learning and improving every day in this trading journey. This is not financial advice — it’s simply my personal view based on my current analysis. Always do your own research and manage risk properly!
FX:US30Long
by bbonny69120
$ADA Cardano 3 rising valleys / 3 bar play!Real nice look here for Cardano, with the 3rd rising valley, and now the 3 bar play, a 3 candle pattern suggesting of bullish continuation. Given this is the weekly chart, i would put a lot of weight into this and cautiously say, this is where we finally get a real move here. Daily momentum continues rising with volatility, which is a characteristic of a strong bullish trend underway. Simultaneously, the daily ADX has begun to rise once again from under the newly Bullish DX cloud. This is the earliest signal that a new bullish trend is technically underway. If the 3 bar play fails, or fails to close with this weeks candle body engulfing last weeks, id consider that a subtle red flag. Price should not make a new low under this pattern from here on out.
Long
by TradingNomadic
Ethereum (ETH) – Strategic Trade PlanEthereum (ETH) continues to show resilience, currently trading around $1,790 after a strong bounce earlier this month. While the crypto market remains volatile, ETH is holding key technical levels that could fuel a major move in the coming weeks. 🎯 Entry Points: Market Price: $1,790 — Ideal for an early position, as ETH holds above critical support zones. $1,645 — Secondary strong support, aligning with the 20-day EMA; great for scaling in if market pulls back. $1,400 — Deep value zone, offering a high-risk/high-reward setup if broader market correction occurs. 💰 Profit Targets: $2,500 — First major resistance. A realistic mid-term target if bullish momentum sustains. $3,000 — Psychological milestone and breakout confirmation level. $3,800+ — Ambitious but achievable with broader crypto market recovery and strong ETH network metrics. 🛡️ Risk Management: Set stop-losses dynamically below each entry support level. Scale into positions progressively to manage volatility. Monitor macroeconomic trends and Bitcoin's influence closely. 🔍 Key Observations: Strong on-chain activity supports a bullish thesis. Current resistance around $1,812 must be broken to confirm bullish continuation. Be cautious of sudden market-wide corrections — always plan your exits and manage your risk accordingly. 📢 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk, and you should only invest what you can afford to lose. Always perform your own research before entering any position.
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by Robert_V12