Nonfarm Trading PlanFundamental Analysis
The Federal Reserve (Fed) meets next week and announces its monetary policy decision on Thursday, November 7. The odds of a 25 basis point (bps) rate cut are 94.5%, down slightly from 95.5% last week. However, market players are still weighing whether a Republican victory in the upcoming presidential election could force the Fed to slow its easing.
Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) decided to keep its interest rate target unchanged at 0.25% on Thursday and reiterated its forecast for inflation to remain near its 2% target. The announcement weighed on the Japanese Yen (JPY), supporting the US Dollar.
Asian and European stock indexes fell sharply, leading Wall Street to a second straight day of declines. Focus now shifts to the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, due out on Friday. The economy is expected to add 113,000 new jobs in October, while the unemployment rate is expected to hold steady at 4.1%.
Technical Analysis
After a sharp drop in gold prices last night in the US session, gold recovered from the 2730 area. The 2732 area is considered an important session port area when the market's momentum begins to jump into the market. The Asian breakout zone is also noted around 2744 for scalping around the European session when selling pressure returns. Currently, gold cannot break 2754, so gold will have a push to 44 and 30 before Nonfarm. According to this scenario, Nonfarm gold will continue to sweep down first and it will be difficult to push up after Nonfarm. Pay attention to the 2720 and 2710 zones when nonfarm is announced. If gold breaks to the 2754 zone, it will be pushed back to the 2761 and 2773 zones to execute the SELL plan.
Trend Analysis
XAU! 11/1 ! Gold price adjustment - NF newsXAU / USD trend forecast November1, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) regains some ground on Friday, supported by US election uncertainties and Middle East tensions, which boost demand for the safe-haven asset. However, rising US Treasury yields and a stronger US Dollar may limit gains. Traders now await the US October employment report, with key data on Nonfarm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, and Average Hourly Earnings. A strong report could reduce expectations for Fed rate cuts, potentially weighing on gold.
Gold price adjusted down - market reduced FOMO. Waiting for NF news to officially return to the price range of 2700 - 2720
/// SELL XAU : zone 2769-2772
SL: 2777
TP: 50 - 200 - 300 pips (2742)
Safe and profitable trading
11.1 Gold shock awaits non-agricultureJudging from Wednesday's ADP, non-farm payrolls on Friday should also maintain good growth. The same is true for the initial clearing last night. The sharp retracement before the data is basically the early digestion of the data.
1. The price broke the morning starting point before the US market and rebounded at 6-8 o'clock. This pattern must not have fallen much.
We have been emphasizing this point of view to everyone recently: Don't buy more twice when gold retreats in the US market. After the increase is too large, it is easy to fall by a large margin. Double bottoms, 618, and other positions are not caught, and there is no rebound.
But compared with yesterday's empty, it is the rhythm. Continuous failures and no operating mentality are easy to form. If you can't get started when you see it right, and you can't hold back and get started, it's wrong.
2. The morning is still a cyclical rise.
Intraday analysis:
1. A sharp drop in the rise, the first day is still a bull correction, which has been seen countless times before.
2. The continuous sharp drop breaks the bottom, which changes the short-term bull direction.
3. There will be non-agricultural data tonight. Before the non-agricultural data, the overall market should not change much.
4. If the bearish outlook continues, the rebound in the morning is focused on the European session. If the European session continues to rebound, the US session will inevitably fluctuate. If the market is weak, the European session will retreat first.
At present, it is obviously the top of the hourly big Yin line at 2757, because this position breaks the position of the decline and rebound at 382. And there is no high point of correction in the early morning, so it can only be arranged at the top of the big Yin line.
At the same time, the non-agricultural data is divided into two parts:
1. Look at the second retracement before the non-agricultural data.
2. Whether the non-agricultural data can continue the decline of yesterday depends on the data. Last month, it was 254,000, and this time it is expected to be only 11.3. Whether it is from the initial claims or from ADP, it is impossible to be lower than 11.3. It can only be high. How high it is depends on the data performance.
Therefore, the worst non-agricultural data is also bad for gold. It just depends on how bad it is. For example, ADP rebounds first and then falls, or it retreats directly.
As long as the data is higher than 150,000, the pullback is also empty, but no matter what, the European session is very critical. The European session continues to rebound and is strong. The US session fluctuates, but the European session is weak, and the probability of breaking the bottom is high.
Today's XAAUSD Targets: Maximizing Profit PotentialXAAUSD Trading Analysis
Today's Targets:
Target 1: 2755
Watch for price action around this level; it could indicate a potential reversal or continuation.
Target 2: 2765
This level may provide further opportunities for profit if the market momentum remains strong.
Target 3: 2773
Aiming for this target could yield significant returns, but ensure to assess market conditions closely.
Stop Loss: 2735
Setting a stop loss at this level helps manage risk. If the price falls below this point, it may indicate a shift in market sentiment.
Gold Monday 04/11/2024Analysis Summary:
Support Levels:
Support 1:
2736 - A key level that may serve as a potential bounce point for price.
Support 2:
2720 - An additional lower support level within the lower OB zone, where demand might increase.
Resistance Levels:
Resistance 1:
2753 - An initial resistance level that price may encounter on the way up.
Resistance 2:
2760 - A higher resistance located within the upper OB zone, which could hinder further upward movement.
Order Block (OB) Zones:
Upper OB: Between 2753 and 2760 - A potential selling pressure area that may limit upward price movement.
Lower OB: Between 2730 and 2720 - A strong support area where buying pressure may emerge.
> Note: These levels represent potential reversal points, and it is recommended to monitor technical signals when price reaches these areas to confirm the future direction.
EURUSD Short term buy inside a Channel Up.EURUSD is trading inside a Channel Up.
The price has falled by -0.55%, same amount as the October 25th-28th pull back.
That was a short term buy opportunity that targeted the 0.786 Fibonacci.
The MA200 (1h) is supporting just below.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 1.08750 (Fibonacci 0.786 level).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1h) is about to turn oversold. That has been the most effective buy signal on the last 3 lows (October 29th, 28th and 23rd).
Please like, follow and comment!!
Notes:
Past trading plan:
Intel 50% bear market rally** short term study **
** This is not an investment opportunity, a trade only **
Since the 60% correction call (below) the market has oversold extensively leaving gaps behind. Gaps get filled.
On the above daily chart price action has printed strong positive divergence together with a price action resistance breakout.
The Gap is actually the break of market structure on the short idea. Buyers at this level will be a source of exit liquidity for the bear market continuation.
Is it possible price action continues correcting? Sure.
It it probable? No.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: You decide
Return: 50%
60% correction call
EURUSD BULLWe sent the bear down from NFP and now is the first opportunity for the bull set-up.
Yes I am in the trade at 1.0780 with a very tight window. (15 pips)
Also I gave this pair out everyday last week inside the group inside Facebook. Plus I have just sent out the new chart for the community to trade this week...
Good luck and there will be more to come.
#eurusd
XRP Possible Upmove Incoming - 0.744$ NextIn this video, we break down the current market structure for XRP, highlighting a potential long trade opportunity. XRP is showing signs of a classic manipulation phase, where price action is likely being influenced by market makers, setting up for a larger move.
Key Levels:
Target 1: $0.666 – This is our initial and easiest target, a strong area of interest where we expect price to encounter resistance.
Target 2: $0.744 – Our extended target, representing a key resistance level that XRP could approach if bullish momentum continues.
Oh no.........gone are the 4 baggers !!!!Latest news here :https://finance.yahoo.com/news/chinas-oct-factory-activity-returns-014907489.html
It is scary that the management overstate its revenue and profitability to fool the shareholders.....
To think that it is included in the S&P500 index would mean it has passed certain tests, but who knows......what goes up fast, came down just as fast ............
What to do if you are holding this stock ?
Personally, I would have lost faith in the management and getting another auditor would not solve the problem. How about replacing the CEO? This can happen but it would takes time to turn around........
I think the chances of it falling through the support at 26.68 is high and panicky retail investors would rush to offload ........
Please DYODD
Ripple XRP price may please holdersThe #XRPUSDT price is walking on a knife's edge)
It does not walk - it crawls))
But it happens that from time to time #XRP holders "go crazy" and try to push the #XRPUSD price up
Looking at the #Ripple price chart, we can assume that the attempt to pump may be repeated in the coming weeks/months.
What do you think, will it happen as it's drawn or not?)
Update #3 Full tp with r:r 1:7 before, then go reversal because the news at forexfactory on 7.30 pm make reversal..
Then entry when break my red line ema, go long with same r:r like before 1:7, and if arrived at 1:7 that very perfect line with top candle that high resistance at 73.600 bitcoin..
i think enough for now, will update soon.
AU:Will Positive Aussie Labor Data Hold as US Retail Sales Loom?The Australian Dollar (AUD) found support on Thursday following the release of positive labor market data. Australia's Employment Change rose by 64.1K in September, bringing total employment to a record-high 14.52 million. This strong labor data has provided a temporary boost to the AUD, despite broader market uncertainties. However, traders remain cautious ahead of the anticipated US Retail Sales data, which is expected to show a 0.3% increase for September, up from 0.1% in the previous month.
Technical Analysis and Market Positioning
From a technical perspective, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows a clear divergence in market sentiment. Retail traders appear to be strongly bullish on the AUD/USD, while smart money (institutional investors) has taken a bearish stance. This discrepancy often signals the potential for market reversals, as institutional players are generally more adept at positioning ahead of key market moves.
Additionally, when looking at seasonality trends from the Forecaster and considering key Supply and Demand areas, there’s a possibility that the AUD/USD could experience a new drop. However, this is likely to occur after a brief retracement, as the market digests both the Australian labor data and the upcoming US economic figures.
Outlook and Strategy
For now, we are adopting a wait-and-see approach. Given the mixed signals from the COT report and the seasonal factors at play, we prefer to remain on the sidelines until the situation becomes clearer. The upcoming US Retail Sales data, along with other market-moving news, will likely provide further direction for the AUD/USD in the days ahead. Once the market reacts to these key events, we will reassess and consider potential trade setups accordingly.
Patience is key, as the next few days could bring more clarity after the news impacts play out.
✅ Please share your thoughts about AUD/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
BTCUSD BE SAFEPlease don't follow the hype train if you do not, I repeat DO NOT have money to lose do not take the risk, wait for a better entry point. You will risk it all zoom out and understand what you are getting yourself into. You can look easily look up chart patterns on google or bing or whatever. Do not risk it all take your profits now and wait for an obvious breakout weather its bullish or bearish. Just be patient and have discipline there are plenty of other cryptos that are moving where you can make some money. If you look up chart patterns on google, you will see that BTC is forming or formed a Bearish Rising Wedge. It will most likely go down from here even further. At least on the Daily chart. Again, not financial advice I am no expert or a professional just a simple observation.
#GALA (SPOT) entry range(,01780 -,02380) T.(,04450) SL(,01648)BINANCE:GALAUSDT
entry range (0.01780 - 0.02380)
Target1 (0.03200) - Target2 (0.04450)
2 Extra Targets(optional) in chart, if you like to continue in the trade with making stoploss very high.
SL .1D close below (0.01648)
*** collect the coin slowly in the entry range ***
*** No FOMO - No Rush , it is a long journey ***
**** #Manta ,#OMNI, #DYM, #AI, #IO, #XAI , #ACE #NFP #RAD #WLD #ORDI #BLUR #SUI #Voxel #AEVO #VITE #APE #RDNT #FLUX #NMR #VANRY #TRB #HBAR #DGB #XEC #ERN #ALT #IO #ACA #HIVE #ASTR #ARDR #PIXEL #LTO #AERGO #SCRT #ATA #HOOK #FLOW #KSM #HFT #MINA #DATA #SC #JOE #RDNT #IQ #CFX #BICO #CTSI #KMD #FXS #DEGO #FORTH # AST #PORTAL #CYBER #CLV #RIF
ENJ #ZIL #APT #GALA ****
Diwali Muhurat Trading Pick - Samvat 2081 - Sector BaseMUHURAT TRADING PICKS
SAMVANT 2081
AUTO SECTOR
📊 Script - MOTHERSON
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 181.15
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 216
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 16.13
📊 Script - TATAMOTORS
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 835.25
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 1040
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 19.69
📊 Script - APOLLOTYRE
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 502
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 615
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 18.37
POWER SECTOR
📊 Script - POWERGRID
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 320.8
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 383
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 16.24
📊 Script - JSWENERGY
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 679.8
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 804
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 15.45
FINANCIAL SECTOR
📊 Script - PFC
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 455.2
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 536
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 15.07
📊 Script - HUDCO
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 217.19
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 272
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 20.15
📊 Script - PTC
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 182.5
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 215
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 15.12
FMCG SECTOR
📊 Script - VBL
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 600
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 702
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 14.53
📊 Script - DODLA
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 1181.2
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 1384
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 14.65
📊 Script - RADICO
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 2379
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 2569
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 7.40
IT SECTOR
📊 Script - NEWGEN
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 1285
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 1405
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 8.54
📊 Script - CIGNITITEC
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 1414
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 1552
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 8.89
📊 Script - MPHASIS
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 2883.5
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 3283
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 12.17
METAL SECTOR
📊 Script - JINDALSAW
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 316
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 354
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 10.73
📊 Script - JSL
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 672.3
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 766
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 12.23
📊 Script - WELCORP
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 728.65
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 794
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 8.23
📊 Script - HINDZINC
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 557
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 641
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 13.10
REFINERIES SECTOR
📊 Script - HINDPETRO
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 382
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 424
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 9.91
📊 Script - IOC
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 142.89
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 161
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 11.25
📊 Script - CHENNPETRO
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 640.7
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 734
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 12.71
PHARMA SECTOR
📊 Script - AJANTPHARM
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 3052.55
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 3253
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 6.16
📊 Script - MARKSANS
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 290.25
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 313
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 7.27
📊 Script - PPLPHARMA
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 268
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 300
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 10.67
REALITY SECTOR
📊 Script - OBEROIRLTY
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 1980
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 2225
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 11.01
📊 Script - GODREJPROP
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 2883.5
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 3198
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 9.83
📊 Script - ANANTRAJ
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 740
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 761
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 2.76
HOTELS AND RESTAURANTS SECTOR
📊 Script - INDHOTEL
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 676.3
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 750
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 9.83
📊 Script - CHALET
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 870
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 973
🔵 Target % 🎯 - 10.59
THESE PICKS ARE FOR PURLY LONG TERM
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
HAPPY DIWALI AND PROSPEROUS NEW YEAR 🎆🧨
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
The world gold price suddenly went into limboMarex analyst Edward Meir said: "Investors are buying when gold prices are on the rise. This strategy was maintained throughout the US election because there was a lot of volatility."
Ms. Kamala Harris - Vice President of the Democratic Party - currently has a support rate of 46%, temporarily leading former President Donald Trump who has a support rate of 43%.
Gold prices rose more than 4% in October as investors poured money into safe assets, partly due to tensions in the Middle East and uncertainty in the US election. Markets are now focusing on the US nonfarm payrolls report for clues about the health of the world's largest economy.
Traders see a 95% chance that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week, according to CME's FedWatch tool. Zero-yielding gold thrives in a low interest rate environment.
Data just released US labor costs recorded the smallest increase in more than three years in the third quarter, while the number of Americans filing new unemployment claims fell to a five-month low last week. before.
XAUUSD / OVERALL UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Gold is trading under bullish pressure despite a recent pullback of 2.09%. This suggests that while there’s short-term weakness, the overall trend is still upward.
The analysis identifies a demand zone between $2,735 and $2,728, with a possibility for a dip to $2,710, which could serve as another support level. Should prices stabilize here, a bullish continuation is likely.
If gold fails to hold above $2,728 on a 4-hour closing basis, a further decline toward the next demand zone between $2,688 and $2,672 may be anticipated.
An initial upward target lies in the fair value gap (FVG) between $2,756 and $3,772. Above this, the analysis notes supply zones between $2,782 and $2,790, with an all-time high (ATH) of $2,810 as the next major resistance.
The strategy is a combination of support-resistance testing and close monitoring of 4-hour candles. Stabilizing above the lower zones suggests a bullish rebound, while a failure could lead to extended declines.
EURUSD is BullishPrice was in a strong downtrend, however a matured bullish divergence seems to be at play as pervious lower high is broken successfully. If the bulls continue to exert similar pressure then we can expect further slide in price action as per Dow theory. Targets are mentioned on the chart.
UNSTAOPABLE FALL OF GOLD (NFP BEAR BIAS)The Gold Market experience a drop to the downside with investors taking out some profits yesterday. Now following up with fundamentals like Unemployment claims for the month of October, we looking forward to an increase in employment rate and decrease to unemployment rates therefore, the earnings for October should be higher as the big techs recorded huge gains.
Technical Factors remains bullish for the longer term, only a marginal drop not extending below 2700 then a push to the upside for the Christmas season.
NFP SIGNALS IN ANTICIPATION
Selling Gold with my Team and hold to the 2700 levels before we look for more buys to 2800 and 3000 respectively