Get started

Trend Analysis

2024-12-23 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr sp500 e-mini futures - Neutral. We stayed below Friday’s high but bulls had a really bullish close. Until they get a strong move above 6050, I lean neutral. Above 6050 there is no more resistance until 6100. Bears something below 5965 but for now they could be very happy with any daily close below 6000. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 5950 - 6050 bull case: Very strong close by the bulls. Year end rally is on if they get follow through above 6050 tomorrow. A measured move up from Friday’s rally would bring us 6230+. For now we have a clear bull wedge which leads perfectly to 6100 tomorrow. Invalidation is below 5800. bear case: Bears did ok until the breakout above 6030. Now they have a do or die moment again to keep the market below 6050 or they need to cover because market could go all the way up to 6200 or higher. Invalidation is above 6050. short term: Neutral. Very bullish close but bulls need follow through above 6050 tomorrow. If they get it, we probably won’t stop until 6100 or higher. Market is in balance around 6000. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-22: Ultimately 5200-5300 in 2025. Again, rough guess as of now and since we have not seen a strong first bear leg, these targets are the lowest I am willing to give an honest outlook about. If bears surprise and we see a huge leg down to 5500, we will go much lower for the second and third leg. current swing trade: Nope trade of the day: Selling 6030 before EU open and buying 5985 because of the head & shoulders bottom (head was the low 5965) after US open on the 5m tf.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
1
Gold at a Crossroads: Key Correction to Avert Deeper DeclineXAUUSD Analysis: Navigating a Complex Gold Market Amid Volatility The XAUUSD pair is currently navigating a critical juncture as it tests key zones of interest within an ongoing counter-trend correction. This comes after successfully breaching a significant resistance level earlier. However, the broader market landscape remains challenging, with bearish sentiment taking the forefront. Fundamental Overview The downward pressure on gold is largely driven by a combination of factors, primarily stemming from the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance. Persistent concerns about inflation, the uncertain trajectory of Trump's future policy, and mixed economic data from the past two weeks have all contributed to a negative outlook for the yellow metal. One critical point to note is the speculation surrounding the Federal Reserve's approach to monetary policy in 2025. The cycle of interest rate cuts, initially expected to be more aggressive, now appears to be slowing, with projections indicating only two potential cuts for the year. This cautious stance has diminished gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset, adding to the bearish tone in the market. The correction observed on Friday was largely influenced by the release of PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) data, which acted as a temporary catalyst for price movement. However, this correction does not appear sufficient to alter the broader bearish narrative. As the year draws to a close, liquidity in the markets is expected to decline further. This seasonal trend could exacerbate volatility, particularly if assets become mispriced in thinner trading conditions. Traders are advised to exercise heightened caution during this period. Despite the prevailing bearish sentiment, it is essential to acknowledge the ongoing geopolitical risks that continue to underpin the gold market. Escalating tensions in the Middle East and Eastern Europe have provided a degree of support, acting as a counterbalance to the otherwise negative fundamental backdrop. Technical Analysis From a technical perspective, gold appears to be forming a flag pattern following its recent sharp decline. The price is currently trading within the boundaries of this consolidation pattern. For traders, the critical focus should be on the local channel's support and resistance levels, as they will likely dictate the next significant price movement. Resistance Levels: 2620: A pivotal level where bearish momentum could intensify if broken and defended by sellers. 2631: Secondary resistance that could act as a hurdle for any upward attempt. 2640-2650: This zone could serve as a testing ground if the price attempts to break above the channel resistance. Support Levels: 2606: Immediate support level that may provide short-term stability. 2560: A deeper support level, which, if breached, could signal a more substantial downside move. The 2620 level deserves particular attention. Should sellers manage to push the price below this threshold and maintain control, it could significantly amplify bearish pressure, potentially triggering a more pronounced price drop. Conversely, the possibility of a breakout above the flag pattern's resistance cannot be entirely dismissed. In such a scenario, the price might retest the 2640-2650 zone before resuming its downward trajectory. Market Outlook and Final Thoughts As we approach the final stretch of the year, market participants should prepare for heightened volatility fueled by reduced liquidity. Mispriced assets during this period could lead to unexpected price swings, making risk management a top priority. While the bearish narrative remains dominant, traders should remain vigilant for any developments that could shift the balance of power, including geopolitical escalations or unexpected shifts in monetary policy. In summary, the gold market presents a complex mix of technical setups and fundamental drivers. Navigating this environment requires a careful balance of short-term tactical positioning and a broader understanding of the macroeconomic landscape. Keep an eye on key levels and stay prepared for potential surprises in this volatile market.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by lonelyPlayer0
HMSTR/USDTKey Level Zone : 0.003064-0.003113 HMT v3.0 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity. HMT (High Momentum Trending): HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards. Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved. If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it. Thank you for your support~ Sharing this with love! HMT v2.0: - Major update to the Momentum indicator - Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection - New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals HMT v3.0: - Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation - Improved potential for momentum-based plays - Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
Long
by Ren_MomentumTrader
A well-thought-out analysis of WIF.Out of the ruins Out from the wreckage Can't make the same mistake this time We are the children The last generation (the last generation, generation) We are the ones the globalists left behind And, I wonder when we are ever gonna change, change Living under the fear, 'til nothing else remains We don't need another universal income (XLM) We don't need to know the way home All we want is WIF beyond Thunderdome Looking for something, we can rely on There's gotta be something better out there Ooh, love and compassion Their day is coming (coming) All else are castles built in the air And, I wonder when we are ever gonna change, change Living under the fear, 'til nothing else remains All the children say We don't need another world currency (XRP) We don't need to know the way home All we want is WIF beyond Thunderdome So, what do we do with our lives We leave only a mark Will our story shine like a light or end in the dark? Give it all or nothing We don't need another globalist stooge (biden, harris) We don't need to know the way home All we want is WIF beyond Thunderdome All the children say We don't need another war (we don't need another bush, clinton, bush again with cheney, obama/hillary, liz cheney and bush's grandaughter supporting globalist stooge harris) We don't need to know the way home, ooh All we want is WIF beyond Thunderdome _Tina Turner I hope the developers of WIF get a kick out of this. A lot going on WIF this one, I'm intrigued to beat the band. Hopefully, that was that! We don't need another WIF chart, this is it! ;)
Long
by Nobueno
XAUUSD Revision 25 December 2024Hello Nation! It’s Christmas. Happy holidays to all who are celebrating it. Let’s do a bit of homework. The market tend to slow down towards the end of the year. I am just doing this update for my own reference. For me personally, i did not take any entry or trades today, maybe for the next few days. I might just wait for 2025. I have made preparations and plans for 2025 and i hope you do too. Planing and preparation are very important. The new year is definitely a good time to reset, restart and refresh your journey. As for today, nothing much that i can say. Gold is still sideways on the Higher Time Frames. We open up bullish up to mid London session. I see like a Double top pattern at the H1 zone. With the M15 box. I would say that’s a setup or a hint for to entry sell. Price moved down, a good reaction but it did not even touch 100 Pips. We are still ranging within 2620 - 2610. I would prefer to take a break. Let the new year come. Enjoy your Holidays!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mann20pips
NYKAAOn this chart, there are lines called "Fibonacci retrenchment levels," which help predict where the price might go up or down. Here's the simple breakdown: The chart shows different levels where the price could stop and change direction. These levels are like markers on the chart. The blue arrow on the chart suggests that the price might go up. There's also a note saying that the price might increase. In short, the chart is trying to predict that the price will go up and shows some important points where it might change direction. If you have any specific questions, feel free to ask!
NSE:NYKAAEducation
by iVishalPal