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Trend Analysis

DOGE in the *Anger Phase*? Watch for the trap before the Rally 🚨 DOGE in the *Anger Phase*? Watch for the Trap Before the Rally Begins 📉 Based on recent price action and classic **market psychology cycles**, DOGE appears to be entering the **Anger Phase** — a point where many retail traders give up, blaming the market or external forces, while **smart money starts preparing to accumulate**. Let’s break down the pattern I'm watching: --- ### 🧠 **Psychology Analysis:** Using the well-known **Stock Market Psychology Cycle**, DOGE has already moved through: - **Euphoria (~$0.43)** - **Complacency → Denial (pullbacks to ~$0.28 and ~$0.20)** - **Panic and Capitulation (drop to ~$0.14)** 📌 Now, price is hovering in the **$0.12–$0.13** range — matching the sentiment of **Anger**, where people say: > *“This is manipulation! I’m done with this coin!”* ###🔮 **Price Forecast (My Playbook):** - 🚀 **Short-term relief rally to ~$0.19** — This would attract late buyers, creating a **bull trap**. - ⛔ **Pullback to ~$0.11** — Final shakeout, triggering stop-losses and "DOGE is dead" posts. - 🔥 **Strong reversal targeting $0.23+**, fueled by: - Tax season ending (April 15 effect) - Meme coin rotation - Potential DOGE narrative catalyst (as often happens unexpectedly) ### 🧭 **How I’m Playing It:** - Watching closely for rejection near **$0.19** - Planning to accumulate near **$0.11** if volume confirms support - Targeting **$0.23+** as the **Disbelief rally** kicks in Let me know your thoughts — do you see the same pattern playing out? #DOGEUSDT #CryptoPsychology #MarketCycles #TradingViewIdeas #MemeCoins #SmartMoneyMoves
Long
by SELIM_TRADING_
1
Microstructure Shift Observed — Scouting LTF Long Reversion PlayThe active short from 95,300.0 remains fully engaged, aligned with the 4H liquidity breakdown thesis, targeting broader downside expansion. This position will play out in full as per the original trade design, independent of lower timeframe fluctuations. However, emerging microstructure shifts—evidenced by reclaiming the Point of Control (94,500.0)—highlight a potential short-term structural reversal. Primary Position: Swing short thesis remains intact, allowing full downside potential to unfold. Secondary Opportunity: Scouting LTF long reversion setups for countertrend engagement, contingent on continued supply failure and structural stabilization above reclaimed pivots. This approach exemplifies multi-timeframe bias management: Primary bias (HTF) remains bearish, unchanged. Secondary bias (LTF) shifts toward opportunistic longs, with conditions monitored in real-time. Demonstrating conviction in core theses, while maintaining agility to capitalize on evolving microstructure.
by Kyle_Booth
PEPE Building Momentum – Eyes on 100 EMA BreakoutCRYPTOCAP:PEPE is respecting a rising trendline beautifully, with multiple successful touches (highlighted in yellow), showing strong underlying support. The price recently bounced again from this trendline, right above a key horizontal support zone. Additionally, the MACD indicator is turning positive, suggesting growing bullish momentum. Currently, PEPE is approaching the 100 EMA resistance. A clean breakout above the 100 EMA could open the path toward the key resistance zone above. DYOR, NFA
Long
by unichartz
Analysis of the latest trend of gold prices: 3280-3360Analysis of the latest trend of gold prices: 3280-3360 Gold prices have fluctuated violently recently, with the rise and fall of one day equivalent to the rise and fall of the past few months. This has greatly increased the difficulty of trading. At the same time, it also magnified the leverage and profit and loss opportunities of the trading account. As shown in Figure 4h: The current gold price range fluctuates widely: 3280-3360 The market maintains a triangular oscillation pattern. Gold prices gradually rebounded after the trend line support, and the medium- and long-term bullish trend began to emerge. Short-term upper key suppression: around 3360 Continued rise further strengthens the bullish signal. Support level: focus on the 3260-3290-3300 line If it stands firm, it will look up to the 3350-3360 area; It is expected that Monday will show a wide range of fluctuations, and the overall range will remain at 3370-3260. After breaking through this position, you can follow up and do more. Repeated sweeps are still the main theme, and there is no clear direction signal. The upper pressure level is around 3350-3360. If the rebound continues at the opening of next week, pay attention to this position. If it breaks through, pay attention to 3370-3380. The lower support level is 3288 and 3260. The operation is mainly based on shocks, and try to participate in band operations near key positions. Operation suggestions: Gold is long near 3290 Stop loss: 3280 Target: 3325, 3240! If the upper 3248 pressure is not broken, you can short in the opposite direction!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Emily_Blunt2222
GOLD WEEKLY - Key Events to Watch: ADP, Core PCE, Non-Farm📌 Weekly Gold Outlook – Key Events to Watch: ADP, Core PCE, Non-Farm Payrolls 📉📈 🌍 Fundamental Overview Last week, gold faced heavy selling pressure after failing to sustain its rally above the $3,450 level. Easing concerns over the US–China trade tensions and a stronger US Dollar — supported by stronger-than-expected Durable Goods Orders — triggered a sharp correction in Price. The US Federal Reserve (Fed) continues to adopt a cautious stance, awaiting clearer economic data before adjusting its monetary policy. Meanwhile, recent figures from both the US and China show signs of economic resilience, reducing safe-haven demand for gold in the short term. Key Events This Week: ADP Non-Farm Employment Change Core PCE Price Index m/m Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Volatility is expected to rise sharply as these major economic indicators are released. 📊 Technical Analysis – XAU/USD 2H Chart Gold is currently undergoing a corrective phase after its strong rally earlier this month. Price is forming a descending channel and consolidating around critical support and resistance zones. Immediate Resistance: 3,325 – 3,377 Immediate Support: 3,275 – 3,235 As long as Price remains capped below 3,325, the bearish bias will remain dominant. 🧩 Main Scenarios for This Week Short-Term Rebound: Price may retest the 3,275–3,277 area before sellers regain control. Medium-Term Bearish Pressure: If Price fails to reclaim the 3,325 resistance zone, it could break lower toward 3,235, 3,197, and potentially deeper into the 3,108 or 3,066 liquidity zones. Bullish Reversal Scenario: A sustained breakout and close above 3,377 would invalidate the bearish outlook and suggest a move toward the 3,420 target. 🔍 Key Price Zones for This Week Resistance: 3,325 → 3,377 → 3,420 Support: 3,275 → 3,235 → 3,197 → 3,108 → 3,066 🧠 Suggested Trading Strategy Prefer short positions when Price retraces toward the 3,275 – 3,325 resistance zone, aiming for downside targets at 3,235 and 3,197. Be cautious with long positions: only consider buying if Price drops deeply into 3,108 or 3,066 and shows strong support reaction. ⚡ Note: Given the upcoming releases of ADP, Core PCE, and Non-Farm Payrolls, the market is expected to experience significant volatility. Stay disciplined and await detailed intra-week updates around key event times.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
4.28 Latest Gold Market Trend Analysis: Core Viewpoint: The gold market has entered a key long-short contention area after a sharp correction. The short-term trend will depend on the breakthrough direction of the 3260-3370 range. Investors are advised to adopt a range trading strategy and focus on the breakthrough of key support and resistance levels. 1. Key fundamental factors Negative factors: The US dollar continues to strengthen (the US dollar index rose 0.3%) The easing of Sino-US trade tensions (China exempted some US goods from tariffs) Weakened safe-haven demand (global geopolitical risks cooled down) Potential bullish factors: Uncertainty about the global economic outlook remains If the US dollar corrects, it may boost gold prices Technical buying at key support levels 2. Technical analysis Daily level: Key resistance: 3368-3370 (23.6% Fibonacci level) Key support: 32 60-3280 Trend pattern: consolidation phase after high-level correction MACD indicator: fast and slow lines cross, indicating short-term bearish 4-hour level: Moving average system: MA5 (3315) and MA20 (3338) form suppression Bollinger Band: Price runs below the middle track, and the lower track is supported at 3260 RSI indicator: close to the oversold area, need to be vigilant about technical rebound 3. Key price range Upper resistance: Short-term: 3315-3338 Strong resistance: 3343-3353 Key resistance: 3368-3370 Support below: Short term: 3290-3300 Key support: 3260-3280 Strong support: 3200-3220 IV. Trading strategy suggestions Interval trading strategy: Buy low and sell high in the 3280-3330 range If it breaks above 3330, you can go long with a light position, with a target of 3350-3370 If it breaks below 3280, you can consider going short, with a target of 3260-3220 Breakthrough trading strategy: If it breaks through 3370, it may start a new round of rise If it falls below 3260, it may accelerate the decline Go to 3200 Risk control: Strictly set stop loss (50-80PIPS recommended) Position control within 5% Pay attention to the volatility opportunities before and after the opening of the US market every day V. Focus on events Economic data: US GDP data Federal Reserve interest rate decision Non-agricultural employment data Political events: Progress of China-US trade negotiations Geopolitical situation in Eastern Europe News related to the US election VI. Summary and suggestions The gold market is currently at a critical turning point, and the large range of 3260-3370 will determine the future medium-term trend. Suggested investors: Short-term traders: focus on trading opportunities in the 3280-3330 range Medium-term investors: wait for the breakthrough confirmation of 3260 or 3370 before making a layout Strict risk management: control positions and set stop losses
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Isabella_Sophiad
Gold Uptrend ContinuesThe higher degree diametric wave-(E) is expanding and we can consider the recent price correction that started at $3167 as a small X-wave, as a result, gold can grow as a combination pattern to the range of 3600-3800 and even gold can touch $4000. The second triangle pattern will probably be a neutral triangle or a reverse contracting triangle, where the wave-(a) triangle can end at 3500 or 3600. The factor that caused the expansion of the wave-(E) is the US-China trade war, which caused investors to rush to buy gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NEoWave-Chart
Gold weekly chart with buy and sell levelsFrom the 4H chart you posted, here's a quick breakdown first: Trend: We're seeing bearish pressure overall after a strong bullish leg. The price is under important retracement levels (0.382, 0.5, 0.618 Fib retracements). Key Levels: Strong resistance zone at 3340-3352 (aligned with Weekly Highs, Daily Highs, and a Supply Zone). Immediate support around 3290 and 3228 (Weekly Open and previous price clusters). Volume Delta: -3.72% macro (bearish), showing sellers have the upper hand currently. Important Price Zones: Sell zone: 3328-3340 Buy zone: 3228-3206 Scalping Strategy on 15-Minute (assuming London / NY crossover sessions): Bias: Slightly bearish unless strong bullish reversal signals appear. Ideal sessions: London Open (7-9 AM GMT) and NY Crossover (12-3 PM GMT). Possible Scalping Setups 1. Sell Setup: Trigger: If price retraces back up to 3328-3337 zone during London open or NY crossover and shows rejection (pin bars, engulfing patterns on 15M). Entry: Short at around 3330-3335. SL: Above 3345. TP1: 3308 (Sell level on chart). TP2: 3290. Bonus TP: 3270 if momentum strong. 2. Buy Setup: Trigger: If price dips into 3228-3206 (near Weekly Open) and shows bullish reaction (hammer, bullish engulfing). Entry: Long between 3220-3230. SL: Below 3200. TP1: 3254. TP2: 3270. Bonus TP: 3290 if NY session volume kicks in.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by F0rexBorex
Ethereum Up 30% — But Is This the Start of a Trend Reversal..?Ethereum Up 30% — But Is This the Start of a Trend Reversal..? Ethereum has seen a notable bounce this month, climbing approximately 30% from its local bottom of $1,400 to its current level around $1,800. While this rally might appear promising at first glance, a deeper look at the daily timeframe reveals a more cautious picture. Despite the recent price surge, Ethereum remains technically in a **downtrend**. A well-respected downtrend continues to hold as resistance, and ETH is currently **retesting this trendline**. This point of contact now sets the stage for two potential scenarios: **Scenario 1: Rejection from the Trendline** If Ethereum fails to break above the trendline, it’s likely to face **rejection**, which could send the price back toward the $1,400 level. A revisit to this support zone would form a **potential double bottom**, a classic reversal pattern. If that plays out, we could then start to look for signs of a genuine trend reversal. **Scenario 2: Breakout Above the Trendline** On the other hand, if ETH manages to **break through the trendline**, that alone shouldn't be a green light to go long just yet. There’s a significant resistance level sitting around **$2,100**, which has previously acted as a ceiling for price action. A true breakout would require Ethereum not only to cross this level but also to **sustain above it for 2–3 days**. Only then could a long position be considered relatively safer, with upside targets extending to **$2,800** and even **$4,000**. **Final Thoughts** While the recent rally is encouraging, it's essential to remain cautious. The downtrend isn't officially over until key technical levels are cleared and held. Until Ethereum breaks above both the downtrend and the $2,100 resistance zone — and proves its strength with sustained movement — the **best strategy may be to sit on the sidelines** and let the market play out. Patience often pays in crypto — and right now, **watching closely** could be the smartest move.
by Kartik_Elkunchwar