AAPL Inside a Coil – Big Move Loading from the $200 Zone 🧠 GEX-Based Options Sentiment:
Apple (AAPL) is caught between tight gamma compression and heavy resistance.
The $205–$207 zone is packed with GEX9 and multiple Call Walls. This is the key ceiling that has rejected price repeatedly over the past week. On the other side, the Highest Positive Net GEX / Gamma Wall is just below at $202, acting as the current pivot level.
Support sits around $197.50, marked by the HVL zone and the lower end of GEX structure. Below that, $195 is protected by the 2nd PUT Wall — a critical gamma defense zone.
Implied Volatility Rank is 20.7, so options are still relatively cheap. Notably, we’re seeing a 5% PUT flow dominance, a subtle bearish tilt — not extreme, but worth watching.
🔧 Options Setup for Monday–Wednesday:
Bullish Scenario:
If AAPL clears $203.21 and holds, this opens up the play toward $204.98 (Gamma Ceiling), and potentially $207 if momentum builds.
You can consider a CALL debit spread, like 202.5c/205c or 205c/207c for July 3/5 expiry.
Stop out if price drops below $200.
Bearish Scenario:
If AAPL fails to hold $199.50 and breaks through $197.50 HVL, we may see a sharper unwind toward $195 or even $190 PUT wall zone.
Consider 200p or 197.5p for July 3 expiry.
Cut if price reclaims $202 with strength.
📉 1-Hour Chart Breakdown:
Price has been coiling in a symmetrical triangle just below the $203–$205 resistance supply zone. There’s a visible CHoCH just under structure, with multiple tap rejections from the overhead resistance.
The recent CHoCH printed after a bounce from minor demand, suggesting that sellers are still defending the top channel. Volume has been flat, but tightening price range signals an imminent breakout or breakdown.
As long as price remains pinned inside this triangle under the BOS and supply zone, this is a range-bound chop — not a trending setup yet.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
$204.98 – Gamma ceiling and top of supply
$203.21 – Structure pivot, minor resistance
$201.17 – Local midpoint and breakout base
$199.50 – Demand edge, current support
$197.50 – HVL and gamma support zone
$195.00 – 2nd PUT Wall
$190.00 – Final gamma support if breakdown accelerates
✅ Thoughts and Monday Game Plan:
AAPL is one of the cleanest coil setups among the tech names heading into Monday. This type of structure doesn’t last long — expect expansion.
Wait for direction at open:
If we break $203.21 with volume, we ride toward $205–207 for a short-term gamma pop.
If price fails to break and loses $199.50, the fade to $197.50 or lower is likely.
This is not a time to anticipate — react to the move. Let the coil resolve and follow the breakout or breakdown.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own due diligence, trade with a plan, and manage your risk carefully.
Trend Analysis
Bullish rise?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.1578
1st Support: 1.1278
1st Resistance: 1.1909
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Eurusd sell EUR/USD – Bearish Reversal Setup
Euro is currently testing a strong resistance zone between 1.17472 – 1.17927, where price has repeatedly failed to break higher. The market structure shows signs of exhaustion near this area, suggesting a potential reversal.
Sell Entry: 1.17472
Target: 1.16130
Stop Loss: 1.17927
Price is expected to reject from the resistance zone and move lower toward the support at 1.16130. A clean break below the short-term support level could trigger further downside momentum. This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
EURUSD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1726
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.1612
My Stop Loss - 1.1783
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Excellent start of E.U. sessionAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I am Highly satisfied with my Profit and will take early weekend break, not catching a Falling knife."
I have monitored the Price-action from sidelines throughout Friday's session as explained above however mid E.U. session I have engaged two #100 Lot Buying orders on #3,278.80 few moments ago and closed both of my Scalps on #3,285.80 with excellent Profit.
Quick update: No Swing orders today, only aggressive Scalps similar to Scalp orders I mentioned above from my key re-Buy points. If #3,300.80 is recovered, newly formed Bullish structure will push for #3,313.80 and #3,327.80 test. If #3,300.80 benchmark is preserved, I will still keep Buying (Scalp only however). I will have Gold's major move revealed after today's session.
ZETA wave 5?Zeta appears to be forming the structure for a final Wave 5 (Elliott Wave Theory). Why? Let's analyze: Wave 2 showed only a shallow retracement, falling between 38–50%. However, Wave 3 extended to 1.618, indicating strong momentum. The Wave 4 pullback did not invalidate Wave 1 (as confirmed on the line chart – monthly timeframe). Additionally, the MACD is showing convergence and providing bullish momentum.
As commonly understood, for Wave 5 to validate the Elliott setup, it must extend beyond the peak of Wave 3. Therefore, projections to 0.618 or even 100% of the previous impulse may not suffice to confirm this pattern. This leads to the conclusion that an aggressive extension to the 1.618 level is more likely.
NFA
VIRTUAL – Setting Up for a July Breakout - $4 in the Horizon!
Another coin worth bidding on: $VIRTUAL.
It's setting up nicely above the mid-range of the current trading range, with a clean S/R flip off the previous cluster zone.
The 3-day MA is holding well, and the downtrend from the local highs is set to expire on July 6th.
Expecting a strong trend to kick in during the second week of July, with potential to push toward the $4 mark.
DUOL Long – High-Volume Hammer Bounce from 150 SMA with Bullish Entry: June 30, 2025
📉 Price: 411.53
✋ Stop: 397.44
🎯 Target: 470.00
⚖️ Risk-Reward: 1:4
✅ Status: Active
🧠 Trade Idea:
DUOL tested the 150-day simple moving average (SMA) as a strong support level, aligning with:
A green hammer daily candle with high volume, signaling a potential reversal.
The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is deeply oversold (around -130), suggesting a possible momentum shift.
Clear technical setup aiming for a rebound toward the 20-day SMA near 470.
📌 The trade seeks to capitalize on a high-probability reversal from key support, with favorable volume and oscillator confirmation.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 142.53
1st Support: 140.78
1st Resistance: 146.72
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
KNRCON INVESTOR'S ANALYSISThanks for stopping by.
All analysis here is done strictly from an investor’s perspective — focusing on risk, return, valuation, and potential upside.
The notes cover key details. I’ve backed every thesis with my own analysis — no fluff, just what matters to investors.
If you find the idea useful or have suggestions, feel free to leave a comment. Always open to fresh insights.
Kind regards,
Psycho Trader
MARKETS week ahead: June 30 – July 7 Last week in the news
The news regarding a deal settlement on trade tariffs between the U.S. and China, brought some relief on financial markets during the previous week. The most significant weekly gainer was the US equity market, where the S&P 500 reached a fresh, new all time highest level at 6.185. On the same grounds, the price of gold turned into a correction, with a weekly drop of 2%, reaching the level of $3.273. A further easing of inflation in the U.S. impacted 10Y Treasury yields to ease down to the level of 4,27%. The crypto market managed to sustain upper grounds during the week, with BTC holding above the $107K.
The information which occupied the market's attention during the previous week, was that the US Administration and China managed to settle a trade tariffs deal. Although the details of a deal have not been publicly disclosed, still, the market reacted in a positive manner, bringing the US equity market to higher grounds. The posted macro data showed further ease in the US inflation. Fed's favourite inflation gauge, the PCE index reached 0,1% in May, bringing it to the level of 2,3% on a yearly basis. The core PCE remains elevated, with 0,2% in May and 2,7% for the year. Still, all figures were in the line with market expectations, increasing odds that the Fed might cut interest rates in September.
Weekly tariffs news include the discontinuation of trade negotiations with Canada. As the U.S. President posted on social media, the termination of negotiation is immediate, and the US will decide on the level of tariffs within the next five days. Such a decision came after Canada decided to impose a digital services tax on US tech companies.
CNBC is reporting that Coinbase is the best performing stock in June, with a surge of 43% only during this month. As the reason for such a strong price movement analysts are noting several combined reasons, like its inclusion into S&P 500 index, the GENIUS Act which was passed in the Senate and a strong performance of Circle.
Fed Chair Powell was for one more time a topic of the US President answering the journalists questions. The US President commented that he will put as the head of the Fed anyone who will support the rate cuts. He also noted that there are several candidates for this place, not explicitly mentioning names.
There has been a discussion among analysts whether stablecoins represent a threat to payment card business, concretely to Visa and Mastercard. The one alternative for these companies to sustain the market game is to issue their own stable coins which could function on a prepaid basis. However, a few services which are currently not provided by stablecoins, like buy now - pay later are still advantageous to card issuers.
CRYPTO MARKET
It was a week of ups and downs on the crypto market, however, the week ended in a positive territory. The US-China deal on trade tariffs brought some relaxation among investors, which was also reflected in a crypto market. Total crypto market capitalization gained 4% during the week, where major crypto coins are participating with 70% in total funds inflow of $130B. Daily trading volumes were slightly decreased to the level of $146B on a daily basis from $187B traded a week before. Total crypto market capitalization from the beginning of this year currently stands at 1%, with a total funds inflow of $26B.
The major coins on the market were the ones which mostly supported an increase in a weekly capitalization of the crypto market. BTC managed to add $87B to its market cap, increasing it by more than 4% on a weekly basis. Second place took Solana this week, with an inflow of $7,2B, where its market cap surged by almost 10%. XRP had a strong funds inflow of $5,8B, or 4,7%, while ETH collected $5B which was an increase of 1,8% for this coin. BNB was moving within a modest territory, with a weekly surge of 2% adding almost $2B to its market cap.
It was an active week also when it comes to coins in circulation. This week both Solana and Polkadot had an increase of the number of coins on the market of 0,6%. At the same time IOTA increased its number of coins by 0,8%. Although it is a stablecoin, it is worth mentioning that Tether is continuously increasing the number of its coins, which surged by 1% last week. This could be treated as an indicator of increasing popularity of stablecoins during the recent period.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market ended the week in alignment with the spot market developments. BTC futures were closed above 3% higher from the end of the previous week. Futures maturing in December this year were closed at $110.680, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $117.270. On a positive side is that the long term futures are slowly nearing the historically highest level of $124K reached in January this year.
ETH futures were traded relatively flat compared to the week before. Futures maturing in December 2025 closed the week at $2.514, and those maturing in December 2026 achieved the last price at $2.703.
USNAS100 |Bullish Trend Holds Above Pivot – Eyeing 22790 & 23000USNAS100 | Bullish Movement
The price has stabilized above the key pivot level at 22640, confirming a continuation of the bullish trend toward the next resistance at 22790.
As long as the index remains above 22640, the uptrend is expected to extend toward 22790 and potentially 23000, with minor pullbacks likely to retest the pivot.
Currently, USNAS100 is consolidating between 22640 and 22790.
A 1H candle close below 22640 would signal a bearish correction toward 22520 and possibly 22410.
Pivot Line: 22640
Resistance Levels: 22790, 23000
Support Levels: 22520, 22410
previous idea:
QNT Analysis (8H)From the point where we placed the red arrow on the chart, it seems that NEIRO’s correction has begun.
This correction appears to be a diagonal (diametric) pattern, and we are currently at the end of wave F.
Wave G could complete within the green zone, where we can look for a Rebuy setup.
The targets are marked on the chart.
If a daily candle closes below the invalidation level, this analysis will be invalidated.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC Shorts Into Q3 | Monthly + Half-Year Candle PressureWe’re entering a pivotal window on the Bitcoin chart, the monthly close, Q2 close, and 6-month candle all lining up. This kind of macro convergence rarely goes unnoticed by the market and often marks major structural shifts.
BTC has failed multiple times to break through key highs, and with momentum fading into this close, I’m leaning short heading into Q3. Even if price wants to trend higher later this year, I expect that move to begin from a deeper wick, not from the top of the current range.
I’m watching the 103K level closely. A break below it could trigger a swift drop toward 95K, possibly lower depending on how the new monthly opens and reacts. That would line up with the idea of a strong lower wick forming on the new 3M or 6M candle.
This isn't a long-term macro short, just a high R setup where structure, timing, and context are aligning. I believe this move starts today or very soon. The next few candles will speak volumes.
WTI will most likely fall to 55.There will be a lot of oil on the market in next few weeks. Im expecting a sharp fall on WTI after this consolidation and the most likely level which can hold is 55 weekly level. All lines represents target levels. If you decided to trade this idea, TP partially, use proper sizing. Wish you good luck.
Gbpusd sellGBP/USD – Bearish Setup from Resistance Zone
The British Pound is facing strong resistance in the 1.37270 – 1.37484 area, where price has previously failed to break higher. The structure suggests a potential pullback from this zone, with sellers likely to take control again.
Sell Entry: 1.37270
Target: 1.36322
Stop Loss: 1.37484
Price is expected to retest the resistance zone and then drop towards the support level at 1.36322. If support breaks, further downside could continue. This setup offers a clean bearish opportunity with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Gold sell ideaGold is rebounding after sweeping Friday's low liquidity, driven by a weak dollar. Despite the upside move, the 1-hour structure remains bearish. We anticipate a potential false breakout above $3,307.00 followed by a sell-off back to the $3,271.00 lows. If the bulls can regain control, gold may bounce back and resume its growth. However, failure to do so could lead to a decline towards the $3,245 support level
BTC - High Probability Trade Idea Here we have a major resistance at this upper level. And market seems to create a "Double Top Patter". So its indicating a possible bearish move.
Target and Sl on chart. Follow risk and money management.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P INDEX:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSD
GOLD: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 3,295.36 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️