Trend Analysis
XAUUSD UNEMPLOYEMENT CLAIM BREAKOUT ALERT!🚨 XAUUSD Update 🚨
🔥 Price Action: XAUUSD is locked between 3144 and 3151—breakout imminent?
📉 Bearish View: If it drops below this range, watch for targets at 3130 and 3120. Stay sharp!
📈 Bullish View: A break above 3151 could set up buying opportunities. Target 3165 and 3200.
💬 Join the Discussion: Drop your thoughts and strategies below! Let’s ride the golden wave together! 💰🚀
Alibaba - Don't Forget Chinese Stocks Now!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) still remains super interesting:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After we saw the very expected parabolic rally on Alibaba about four months ago, Alibaba is now perfectly retesting major previous structure. Yes, we could see a short term pullback in the near future but this just offers a perfect break and retest after the rounding bottom pattern.
Levels to watch: $110, $140
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Incoming $3 trillion dollar market explosion for crypto...** Forecast to occur inside the next 5 months **
Is the market bottom in? More correction to come?
The next move in the market is going to fill many recent sellers with regret and for the few that don't use emotions..
According to social media, Youtube influencers etc.. the bear market is just beginning. In addition there is no shortage of messages with topics from tariffs to political instability informing me why the bull market is now over. Fair enough, understandable.
Investors and traders are capitulating at the worst possible moment. Sell it all before it goes to zero.
Well what if I told you market makers are about about to rug-pull all?
In December Without Worries published:
“Incoming $1trillion dollar correction for crypto people…” (see below.. )
The reason for publishing that idea are now mirrored by the reasons for publishing this idea.
On the above daily chart price action has corrected $1.1 trillion dollars or 30% since the bearish divergence. A number of reasons now exist for a bullish outlook:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts. Use linear chart to see price action breakout.
2) Support on past resistance.
3) Higher low follows regular bullish divergence.
4) ** Death cross ** !!! That is when the 50 day SMA crosses down the 200 day SMA with price action under the 200 day SMA. Every rookie trader knows moving averages don’t lie. Unfortunately almost all of them can’t look left. A death cross is very bullish for this market.
5) Why $3 trillion move to $6 trillion market capital? See the bull flag below. There’s more reasons on this forecast area and especially on the timing, which is discussed on my website.
Is it possible speculators keep selling? Sure.
Is it probable price action keeps correcting? No.
Ww
$6 trillion flag forecast
Incoming $1trillion dollar correction for crypto people…
There is an upcoming Bullish trendIn the daily chart of Pi Network, we see substantial bullish reversal signals, the first being the Massive Bull Flag. Then, multiple timeframes of Bullish Divergence, the 3rd is the predictable Bullish Adam and Eve pattern.
In any possible bullish scenario, it is undeniable that the next strong key support is the current 0.57 area
Gold fluctuates sideways at a high level and seesaws!The 1-hour moving average of gold has gradually begun to show signs of turning around. The 1-hour moving average of gold is also a head and shoulders top pattern. Even if it pulls back and forth again, gold will continue to fluctuate in a large range. There will be more data in the second half of this week, and there will also be important event news. Therefore, gold still needs to wait for news or data to let gold go out in a new round of direction. Gold did not break through the intraday high, so our US market will continue to be high and empty.
Today's gold short-term operation ideas suggest that rebounding is the main focus, and callbacks are supplemented by longs. The upper short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3138-3140, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3100-3110 first-line support.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the position in batches when gold rebounds to around 3138-3140, stop loss 6 points, target around 3120-3110, break to see 3100 line;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the position in batches when gold pulls back to around 3100-3103, stop loss 6 points, target around 3110-3120, break to see 3130 line;
IDEA FOR GBP/USD NEXT WEEKGBP/USD 1H - Now that we have seen price trade us up and into the Supply Zone above, this may encourage price to take a move back to the downside, given enough Supply has been introduced.
I would like to see price now trade us back up and into the Order Block that has been left behind, just to clear any remaining orders to the upside before the down move. In order for us to enter we want further confirmation.
This will come from price trading up and into the Supply Zone marked out, breaking structure fractally as displayed above. This would confirm the end of the correction and the start of the next impulse taking us lower.
Once we have this, we can then begin looking for areas to enter in short on this market. I will want to see price pullback a final time more fractally to give us the opportunity to enter, and illustration of this can be seen above.
Gold may have big moves!The trend of gold's rising trend after breaking through $3,100 indicates that its path of least resistance is still upward. After losing the lower level, it may return to the integer mark of $3,100. If it effectively falls below this level, it may trigger a long-covering market, which will push the gold price to test the support of $3,076 near the low point. In the short term, pay attention to the suppression of $3,148-50, which is a new high. Gold has been singing all the way to the 3085 line, and there is still room and demand for further rise. It opened directly to the 3097 line. Pay attention to the suppression of the 3150 line above gold. The callback is mainly long, and short orders must be cautious. Gold operation ideas; 1; The upper short order can be tried at the 3125 line, with a small stop loss, and the target is 15 points above 3075. If the loss is swept and the position is not covered, no more entry will be made. The previous high is near this point, and the short order will try a single order at this point. 2; The lower long order can be tried at the 3100 line, looking at 10-15 points, and the long order must be stopped.
EURUSD Is Very Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.101.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.123 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BTCUSDThis chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on a 1-hour timeframe, with several key levels identified and a potential bullish continuation setup. Here's a breakdown of the chart and its components:
Key Observations:
1. Price Channel:
- The price is currently moving within an ascending channel between 82,579.97 (lower boundary) and 85,576.69 (upper boundary). The price has been respecting these boundaries, making higher highs and higher lows. The channel indicates a bullish trend, and if the price continues within this structure, it could aim for the upper boundary near 85,576.69.
2. FVG (Fair Value Gap):
- There is an FVG (Fair Value Gap) identified between 83,200 and 83,626.01. FVG represents a price imbalance where the market may return to fill the gap. The gap is likely to act as support on any retracement, providing a potential buying opportunity before the price continues upward.
3. Support Level:
- The support level is around 82,579.97, which is the lower boundary of the ascending channel. If the price retraces to this level, it may find support and bounce back upward, respecting the channel's structure.
4. Order Block:- The order block is a significant level identified at 87,075.05. This level is likely to act as resistance, and if the price approaches it, there could be selling pressure, which may result in a price pullback or rejection.
5. Target:
- The target for this setup is set at 85,200, which is within the FVG area. The price is expected to continue its bullish move towards this level, potentially filling the FVG gap and testing the upper boundary of the channel. This target is based on the current bullish trend and the price's movement within the ascending channel.
6. Volume:
- The volume bars show increasing activity as the price rises, which indicates strong buying interest. However, as the price reaches near the upper boundary of the channel, the volume decreases, suggesting that the buying pressure is weakening. If the price tests the FVG gap, it could act as a reversal point before another leg higher.
Potential Scenarios:
1. Bullish Continuation:
GBP/AUD Prepares for a major correction? The current technical situation of the GBP/AUD peaks the eye of the bears on the weekly chart
From a technical perspective we have 2 factors that that provide interest to the sellers
- a full Elliot wave sequence is in the process of completion with the 5th wave at terminal status, even tough this might move higher, but...
-i believe this is potential tipping point , considering the price action hasn't visited this area since march 2020 (and considering the amount of rejection it faced back then, there is a chance this might happen again
If the correction plays out we could possibly see some down moves all the way to psychological level of 2.000
Even if your not a weekly trader, keeping this information in mind might help with future trades on the pair on the down side , just remember to take risks into consideration
- Always make your own analysis before taking a financial decision
- Risk/Reward ratio is your friend
This is not financial advice !
USDJPY Is Going Up! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 146.824.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 149.538.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GOLDThe chart displays Gold (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, showcasing a possible reversal and price target. Here’s a detailed analysis of the chart:
Key Observations:
1. FVG (Fair Value Gap):
- The FVG zone is highlighted between 3,130.68 and 3,138.94. This represents a price imbalance that typically acts as a resistance zone. The price has recently tested the upper part of this gap around 3,138.94, showing rejection, indicating that the market may not sustain the upward movement.
2. Order Block:
- An order block is identified at the higher level, around 3,163.99. This area is likely a strong resistance where market participants may have placed selling orders. Price rejection here could push the market downward, as suggested by the current price action.
3. Price Action:
- The price has recently formed an ascending triangle pattern, suggesting bullish continuation. However, it has now reached the FVG zone, where it faced rejection, and the price is now showing signs of moving downward.
- After testing the FVG, the price appears to be in a retracement phase. The pullback could eventually target 3,100 if the price fills the FVG gap.
4. Target:- The target is set at 3,100, just below the FVG zone. This level represents a potential support zone, where the price might stabilize before deciding whether to continue down further or reverse to test higher levels again.
5. Volume:
- The volume bars suggest relatively strong buying in the early part of the trend. However, there is declining volume as the price reaches the FVG zone, indicating that the buying pressure is weakening. This suggests a higher likelihood of a pullback towards the target of 3,100.
Potential Scenarios:
1. Bearish Retracement:
- After reaching the FVG zone around 3,138.94, the price might face resistance and reverse down toward the target of 3,100. If the price breaks below this target level, further downside movement is possible toward the next support levels.
2. Support at 3,100:
- If the price reaches 3,100 and shows signs of reversal (such as a bullish candlestick pattern or an increase in volume), it could find support at this level, leading to a potential recovery toward the FVG zone again. A successful break above the FVG would suggest further upside toward the order block.
3. Break Below Support:
UXLINK ANALYSIS (8H)From the point where we placed the green arrow on the chart, an expanding triangle began, and the pattern completed at the point where we placed the red arrow.
Now, the price seems to be in a correction, which appears to be either a Diametric or Symmetric pattern. Currently, it looks like we are in wave D of this structure.
We expect a drop from the red box. Demand 1 is a temporary rebuy zone, while Demand 2 is a suitable area for a set-and-forget approach with good gains.
Let's see what happens!
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
QQQ Slammed Below $465! Gamma Flip Confirmed QQQ Slammed Below $465! Gamma Flip Confirmed as Tariff Panic Grips Tech Sector
🌐 Macro Context (April 2, 2025)
Trump’s new tariff announcement this morning ignited fear of inflation returning and disrupted global trade expectations. That spooked big tech and growth-heavy indices like QQQ, triggering gamma-driven liquidation and a sharp intraday breakdown.
* Traders and dealers were not positioned for this headline — the rapid IV expansion and negative delta hedging caused a cascading sell-off.
* From a GEX perspective, today’s action triggered a flip below HVL ($471), with gamma accelerating downside volatility.
📉 Technical Breakdown – 1H Chart
Price Action:
* QQQ attempted to push through $475–$480, but got rejected violently.
* The huge red candle that nuked through $471 HVL and $469 confirmed a break of structure and bearish imbalance.
Support Zones:
* $455 – being tested now; psychological and options-related level
* $453.86 – today’s session low
* $450–$447 – likely short-term gamma target if weakness persists
Resistance Levels:
* $465 – 3rd PUT Wall
* $471 – HVL (now major resistance)
* $474–$477 – stacked CALL walls and former support
🔻 Options GEX & Dealer Positioning
GEX Flow:
* 🔴🔴🔵 = Short Gamma territory, and it’s growing more negative.
* Highest GEX support has disintegrated, with dealers hedging by shorting into the drop.
* Net GEX flipped negative below $471, increasing volatility.
* Dealer gamma continues to point down, with no major PUT walls until $450 zone.
Options Sentiment:
* IVR 38.4 / IVx avg 35.6 – slightly elevated vol, but with more room to rise
* PUTs 55.5% – bearish lean confirmed
* Expiry in 2 days + tariff panic = likely continuation or high chop volatility tomorrow
📌 Trade Setups
🐻 Bearish Continuation (Preferred Bias)
* Entry: Below $453.50
* Target: $450 → $447
* Stop: Above $458 reclaim
* Contract Idea: 0DTE or 2DTE $455P/$450P depending on risk appetite
* Note: Gamma trap zone from $455–$450 likely to accelerate price movement
🐂 Dead Cat Bounce Setup (Low Conviction)
* Only valid if QQQ reclaims $465+ with volume + positive options flow
* Target: $471–$474
* Play with small size or debit spreads due to risk of gamma reversal
🔍 Conclusion + My Thoughts
This tariff-triggered crash was unexpected, and it created a dealer short-gamma loop in QQQ. The break below $471 HVL turned the table fast. Unless QQQ quickly reclaims $465+, we're likely heading to test $450 levels in the coming sessions.
Tech tends to react aggressively to macro policy shifts, and the lack of near-term options support shows dealers are NOT stepping in. That opens the door for continued downside or extremely choppy relief rallies. Be fast. Be nimble.
🎯 Key Levels Recap:
🔴 HVL $471 Former support → resistance
🔻 Support $455 / $453.86 Price and psychological
🚨 GEX Target $450 / $447 Dealer hedging likely
🔼 Resistance $465–$471 Gamma ceiling now
📢 Final Tip: Watch VIX, bond yields, and /NQ overnight — any panic escalation may turn this into a larger gamma-driven flush.
Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always manage your risk and position sizing accordingly.