GOLD Bouncing from Trendline, Breakout Ahead?GOLD BOTTOM IS HERE 🔥
Gold has taken support from the rising trendline and is now close to breaking a key resistance. The chart is showing an ascending triangle, which usually means a big move is coming.
If price breaks above the resistance, we might see a strong rally of 13% or more.
The setup looks positive as long as the support stays strong.
Looks like Gold is ready to shine again!
Retweet if you're bullish.
Like and follow for more updates!
#GOLD TVC:XAU
Trend Analysis
XAUUSD H-1 CHART PATTERNSell Setup (Bearish Bias)
Support: 3360
Entry Point (Sell): 3295
Target 1: 3260
Target 2: 3164
Suggested Stop Loss:
Above 3360, e.g., 3380 depending on market structure.
Summary:
Price is expected to break below the 3360 support zone.
Selling from 3295 aims to capture momentum down toward 3260 and 3164.
Dogecoin (DOGE): Keeping Eye on 200EMA | Looking For BounceDogecoin is still hovering above the 200EMA, where we see some kind of weakness but the price still remains above the line so we are keeping our bullish game plan still active.
We are looking for a bounce on daily timeframe from 200EMA where we will be looking at $0.25 for a proper breakout, which then would send the price as high as $0.37
Swallow Academy
Silver Analysis – June 29, 2025Over the past two weeks, silver surged to the $37 level, forming a new high.
Given the speed of this move from the $33 area, this nearly 20% rally appears a bit too sharp in a short time frame.
💡 As a result, profit-taking around $37 is likely, making it harder for silver to break above this level in the near term.
We expect a period of consolidation or a minor pullback, potentially dragging the price back toward the $33 zone — where buy orders may start getting triggered.
📌 The $33 area could offer a more attractive buying opportunity.
Whether silver can retest the previous highs will largely depend on the strength and volume of demand at that level.
EURUSD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for EURUSD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.1726
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.1612
My Stop Loss - 1.1783
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURGBP: Will Start Falling! Here is Why:
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current EURGBP chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the downward direction.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Monster Beverage: Breakout and PullbackMonster Beverage broke out to a new all-time high in May, and now it’s pulled back.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the March 2024 high of $61.23. The maker of energy drinks hesitated at that level in early May but pulled back to hold it last week. Has old resistance become new support?
Second, MNST is trying to stabilize at its rising 50-day simple moving average. That may reflect a bullish intermediate-term trend.
Third, the most recent dip pulled stochastics into oversold territory.
Finally, bullish price action after the last two earnings reports may reflect positive sentiment.
Check out TradingView's The Leap competition sponsored by TradeStation.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
$NVDA: Levitating higher: Next Stop 175$: 250$ Before cycle endsIn this summer bull market, it makes more sense to talk about the large cap winners. NASDAQ:NVDA chart is a beauty to watch with the steady climb of this mega cap stock levitates all the indices including S&P500 and NASDAQ. After hitting 90$ during the Liberation Day drawdown the stock is 60% up since then and recovered all its losses and hitting a new ATH. With stock at 158 $ it is targeting the highs of the upward sloping Fib Retracement channel which indicates that stock can reach a price of 175$ before this run loses its steam. At RSI of 65 this is not overbought compared to its historical level of 84. Hence there might be more room left in this bull run for $NVDA. My prediction is that before end of July 2025 the stock hits 175$.
But where do we like to see this outperforming stock during this cycle of bull run. Will it hit 5T USD before Dec 2024? If NASDAQ:NVDA hits 5T USD, then the stock will be 205 $ which in my opinion not impossible before Dec 2025. 40% Upside in the Market Cap and the stock price is achievable in a momentum stock like $NVDA.
Verdict: NASDAQ:NVDA @ 175 $ before July 2025 & 205 $ or 5 T USD Market Cap before Dec 2025
AUDUSDAUD/USD Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.6530–0.6550
Slightly bearish near-term bias amid RBA rate cut expectations
Australia 10-Year Government Bond Yield
Current Yield: 4.15% (as of June 30, 2025)
Rose 0.01 percentage points from the previous session.
Reflects market reaction to RBA policy and global trade uncertainty.
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Rate
Current Cash Rate: 3.85% (lowest in two years)
Cut by 25 bps in May 2025 to combat slowing growth and align with 2–3% inflation targets.
Markets price a 90% probability of another 25 bps cut in July 2025.
US Federal Reserve (Fed) Rate
Current Federal Funds Rate: 4.25–4.50%
Unchanged since December 2024; held steady at the June 18, 2025, meeting.
Fed signaled potential for two 25 bps cuts in late 2025 (September/December), contingent on inflation cooling.
Key Implications
Rate Differential:
RBA-Fed spread: –0.40% to –0.65% (AUD negative), pressuring AUD/USD.
Australia’s 10Y yield premium over US 10Y (~4.26%) is –0.11%, reducing AUD carry appeal.
AUD/USD Drivers:
RBA Easing: Expected July cut may weaken AUD further.
Fed Patience: Delayed cuts sustain USD strength.
Yield Sensitivity: Narrowing yield spreads limit AUD upside.
In summary:
AUD/USD trades near 0.6530–0.6550, pressured by RBA-Fed policy divergence and narrowing yield spreads. The RBA’s dovish path (3.85% rate, July cut expected) contrasts with the Fed’s hold at 4.25–4.50%, sustaining USD strength. Australia’s 10Y yield at 4.15% offers minimal premium over US Treasuries, limiting AUD support.
#AUDUSD
GJ-Tue-01/07/25 TDA-Lots of speeches in NY, including BoJ Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
I often share my live trades in Tradingview public chat in London session, stay tuned!
Being consistently profitable is not equal to be simply profitable.
Many but many claims that they are consistently profitable but
they need years of track record to be able to say that and not
months of track record.
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
USDCHF-Reversal Coming SoonDear Traders,
📊 Technical Analysis – USD/CHF (Daily Timeframe)
Date: June 30, 2025
🇺🇸 English:
Price is currently testing a strong support zone around the 0.7920 level.
A bullish divergence is visible between price and RSI (price made a lower low while RSI made a higher low), indicating weakening selling pressure and a potential reversal.
The Fibonacci 1.272 extension at 0.79231 aligns with this support zone and may act as a key level for a bounce.
If price reacts positively and breaks above the short-term downtrend, potential upside targets include 0.8200 and 0.8470.
Alternative scenario: If the 0.7920 support fails, there is a risk of a deeper drop and formation of a new lower low.
Summary Signal:
✅ Bullish divergence spotted
📉 Current trend: Bearish
📌 Critical zone: 0.7920 – 0.7930
📈 Potential upside targets: 0.8200 and then 0.8470
Regards,
Alireza!
MONTH START WITH STRONG BUY MOVE ALERT !Currently, price action on the 30-minute chart is showing signs of weakness as it hovers near a key support level at around 3328. The chart has been respecting an ascending trendline, but now we see price attempting to break below this trendline 📉.
🔸 Resistance Zone: 3338
🔸 Support Zone: 3328
🔸 Bearish Target Area: 3315–3300 region
🚨 If the price breaks below the support and the ascending trendline is invalidated, we may see further downside movement, with a potential target near the 3300 zone, which aligns with a previous demand area.
🛑 Watch for confirmation (bearish engulfing candle or retest rejection) before entering a short position.
💡 Bias: Bearish below 3328
📌 Next Key Support: 3290
Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 💬
📊 Trade safe and always manage your risk! 🛡️
Skeptic | PEPE : Spot & Futures Triggers for Maximum EdgeWelcome, traders, its Skeptic! Ready to dissect PEPE’s next moves? I’m diving into a pro-level analysis of PEPE, the #30 crypto and 3rd largest meme coin with a $4.08B market cap. This Analysis delivers a comprehensive breakdown—quick facts, 2025 performance, community strength, and technical triggers for spot and futures trading, all rooted in HWC, MWC, LWC cycles. Trade with no FOMO, no hype, just reason. 🙌 Let’s master PEPE! 🚖
Quick Facts
PEPE, an Ethereum-based meme coin launched in April 2023, is inspired by the Pepe the Frog internet meme. With a 420.69 trillion token supply, it features a deflationary burn mechanism and redistribution rewards for long-term holders. Currently trading at $ 0.00000946 , it ranks as the # 30 cryptocurrency and the 3rd largest meme coin behind Dogecoin and Shiba Inu, with a $ 4.08B market cap. Let’s unpack its 2025 performance and technical setup for actionable trades. 📊
2025 Performance & Community
PEPE has faced significant volatility in 2025, down 25.7% year-to-date and 35% this month. Despite this, its community remains robust with 456,000 + holders, and an impressive 37% haven’t sold in over a year , signaling diamond hands and strong belief in the project. This resilience suggests potential for recovery if market sentiment shifts.
Technical Analysis: Cycle-Based Breakdown
From a cycle perspective, Weekly/Monthly timeframes are range-bound, meaning lower timeframes drive most price action and shape near-term opportunities. Let’s break it down:
Daily Timeframe
After a 100% jump from May 6-22, 2025, PEPE retraced nearly the entire move. Momentum is currently bearish on the Daily, but declining volume during this pullback suggests traders view it as a correction rather than a trend reversal. Interest in heavy trading is low, indicating limited momentum for now.
Key Insight: The Daily is bearish but lacks strong selling pressure, hinting at consolidation. Watch for volume spikes to confirm directional moves.
Triggers for Spot Trading
Long Trigger: Break above resistance at $ 0.00001403 , confirmed by a volume surge during the breakout. For extra confirmation, check PEPE/BTC.
If PEPE/BTC breaks its downtrend line, it signals liquidity inflow and potential for strong growth. The primary trigger is a break of 0.0000000001399 on PEPE/BTC, which could spark explosive rallies for PEPE. Use indicators/oscillators (e.g., RSI) for additional confirmation, as PEPE/BTC volume is fake due to it being a ratio.
Key Insight: A PEPE/BTC breakout is a strong bullish signal, but volume confirmation is critical to avoid fake moves.
4-Hour Timeframe for Futures Triggers
On the 4-hour chart, PEPE has started an uptrend momentum. Should you go long on a break of resistance at $0.00001049? No —the Daily remains bearish, making the first wave risky. First-wave moves against the Daily often face high volatility and fake breakouts, lowering your win rate. Instead:
Long Trigger: Wait for the second uptrend wave after breaking $0.00001049, forming a range ceiling. Confirm with a volume increase, RSI entering overbought, or other oscillators to avoid fake breakouts or stop-loss hunts.
Short Trigger: Break below support at $ 0.00000894 is a strong short trigger, aligning with the bearish Daily. This setup offers favorable R/R ratios, especially if 4-hour momentum turns bearish. Set alarms for this level to catch the move.
Pro Tip: Shorts are safer due to Daily alignment. For longs, skip the first wave, wait for the second, and use tight risk management to navigate volatility.
Final Vibe Check
This PEPE Analysis arms you with precise triggers for spot and futures trading, leveraging cycle-based strategies. With a range-bound Weekly, focus on Daily and 4-hour for opportunities. Short at $0.00000894 aligns with the trend, while longs need second-wave confirmation above $0.00001049 or a PEPE/BTC breakout at 0.0000000001399. Protect your capital—stick to MAX 1%–2% risk per trade. Want more cycle-based setups or another pair? Drop it in the comments! If this analysis sharpened your edge, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️
💬 Let’s Talk!
Which PEPE trigger are you watching? Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
GOLD, back at higher base. BUY at 3250 enroute to ath 3500 / 4k.GOLD had a wonderful run this past few seasons grinding up a series of ATH taps every higher baselines since 1500.
After goin to a new parabolic highs of 3500 ATH, GOLD did hibernate a bit and got trimmed back to 3240 levels -- a precise 61.8 FIB tap. This is where most buyers converge, and position themselves on the next run up.
The next ascend series will be far more generous eyeing new higher numbers never before seen. Ideal seeding zone is at the current price range of 3250.
Current higher lows on momentum metrics has been spotted conveying intense upside pressure as it moves forward.
Spotted at 3250
Interim target at 3500 ATH
Long term: 4000
TAYOR.
Trade safely. Market will be market.
Not financial advice.
Is #BCH About to Fall or Will it Continue to Rise? Key LevelsYello Paradisers! Have you seen what’s cooking on #BCHUSDT lately? Let’s dive into the latest structure on #BitcoinCash and what may unfold next:
💎#BCH has been trading within a well-respected ascending channel since early April, consistently bouncing between dynamic ascending support and resistance levels. However, the current move into the $500–$505 resistance zone is showing clear signs of momentum exhaustion, as price stalls and volume fades.
💎The strong resistance area between $500 and $505 has rejected price multiple times, and this recent rejection aligns with both the channel resistance and a bearish momentum divergence in volume. Unless #BCHUSD can break and hold above this zone, bulls are fighting a losing battle.
💎The invalidation of the bearish setup lies above $555. Only a confirmed breakout and sustained hold above this level would negate the current bearish structure and open room for a larger bullish expansion. Until then, the risk of a deeper retracement is very real.
💎Currently trading around $490, #BCH looks vulnerable to a drop toward the moderate support zone near $393, with the strong demand zone between $335 and $340 being the high-probability area for a smart-money reaccumulation—if the market flushes weak hands first. This zone also lines up with previous high-volume nodes on the VRVP.
Trade smart, Paradisers. This setup will reward only the disciplined.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
GBPAUD - Trading The Range!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈GA has been hovering within a big range.
This week, GA is retesting the upper bound of the range acting as a resistance.
As long as the resistance holds, we will be looking for shorts on lower timeframes, targeting the lower bound of the range.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SPX500 Detailed Trading Game Plan🎯 Current Market Context:
Current Price: 6,000 (Approx.)
Trend: Bullish; forming higher highs and higher lows.
Key Technical Observations:
Strong support and trendline respecting bullish structure.
Fibonacci confluence points towards potential upside momentum continuation.
Volume Profile indicating key levels at 5,950–6,000.
🚦 Trading Scenarios & Probabilistic Setups:
🟢 Scenario A (High Probability Long Trade ~65%):
Entry Zone: Current Levels (6,000–5,950) or retest to 5,863 support.
Stop Loss: Below 5,709 (critical structural support).
Targets:
Primary: 6,262 (100% Fibonacci Extension)
Secondary: 6,460 (Key Horizontal Resistance)
Risk-to-Reward: Favorable (~1:3)
🟡 Scenario B (Medium Probability Short Trade ~45%):
Entry Zone: 6,460–6,500 (strong resistance confluence)
Stop Loss: Above 6,600 (clear invalidation)
Targets:
Primary: 6,100 (structural retest)
Secondary: 5,950–5,863 (previous support zone)
Risk-to-Reward: Good (~1:2)
🔴 Scenario C (Low Probability but High Reward Long Trade ~35%):
Entry Zone: Deep retracement at ~5,408–5,106
(Invalidated if price breaks below 5,107.)
Stop Loss: Below 5,107 (firm invalidation)
Targets:
Primary: 5,950 (key resistance)
Extended: 6,460–7,176 (long-term bullish target)
Risk-to-Reward: Excellent (~1:5+), but lower likelihood of triggering.
📊 Probability & Risk Management Summary:
Scenario Probability Risk Reward Potential
A (Long) 65% ✅ Moderate High
B (Short) 45% ⚠️ Moderate Moderate
C (Long Deep) 35% ❗ Lower Very High
⚙️ Recommended Approach:
Primary Strategy: Bullish Continuation (Scenario A) due to current market structure and volume profile confirmation.
Secondary Consideration: Watch closely for Short Setup (Scenario B) only upon clear resistance signals.
Contingency Setup: Deep retracement (Scenario C) provides excellent value entry if fundamentals trigger a major correction.
🛠 Trade Management Tips:
Position Size according to scenario probabilities. Allocate larger sizing to Scenario A, cautious sizing for Scenario B, and small, speculative sizing for Scenario C.
Trailing Stops: As price approaches targets, adjust stops to lock profits progressively.
🗓 Timeline & Key Levels for Reference:
Immediate actionable trades: Scenario A (Long) setup at current levels.
Monitor closely by Mid-August 2025 for Scenario B potential short setup.
Watch closely for deep retracement scenario by November 2025 if substantial correction occurs.
🚨 Important Note: Always adjust your trades dynamically based on evolving macroeconomic and geopolitical news. These probabilities are guidelines—not certainties.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for every investor. The information provided is purely for educational and informational purposes and does not constitute financial advice, a recommendation, or solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Always perform your own analysis, consider your financial situation and risk tolerance, and consult with a qualified financial advisor before executing trades. Past performance does not guarantee future results. You alone bear the full responsibility for any investment decision you make.
Stay disciplined, trade wisely, and good luck! 🍀📊