EURCAD BUY/LONGBy utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels, historical patterns, , we can formulate a hypothesis that the market might follow a similar trajectory if bullish sentiment prevails.
Trend Analysis
BTCUSD: Conservative September Target $150kBitcoin remains neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 46.307, MACD = 1999.100, ADX = 44.501), firmly supported on top of the 1W MA50. On this analysis you see the Channel Up that dictated the price action of the last three Cycles. Since December 2023 BTC has traded solely inside the 0.382 - 0.618 Fibonacci Zone, the median zone of the Channel Up. The Theory of pre-Halving / post-Halving symmetry implies that the time range from the Cycle Bottom to the Halving is almost the same as the time from the Halving to the Cycle Top. Since on the current Cycle, the time from the Bottom to the Halving has been 76 weeks, in theory the Top should be another 76 weeks from the Halving. We take the worst case estimate of 74 weeks like the 2017 Top. That's the end of September. And with regards to the target, a conservative estimate is just over the 0.5 Fib at 150k, like the highs of December 2024 and March 2024.
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NZDUSD: Rejection possible on the 1D MA200.NZDUSD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.829, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 25.517) as it is on the bullish wave of the 8 month Channel Down. The trend should be turning bearish soon however as not only is the pair approaching the top of the Channel Down but also the 1D MA200 and has completed a +6.18% increase like the June 12th 2024 high did. The 1D RSI is already ranged and is losing momentum so this may be the perfect level to sell. The trade is short, aiming at the S1 level (TP = 0.55250).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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EURUSD | 03.04.2025SELL 1.11000 | STOP 1.11900 | TAKE-1 - 1.09700 |TAKE-2 - 1.09200 | Downward movement.
DXY DTF AnalysisDXY DTF Analysis
DXY is currently in a downtrend, creating lower highs and lower lows. Price has recently broken below a minor key level at 103.300, followed by a retracement that targeted stop losses from sellers. This retracement has created liquidity at the liquidity zone, further validating the bearish sentiment. With the break below the minor support level, we are expecting the downtrend to continue.
Outlook and Key Technical Levels :
🔹 Minor Key Support: 103.300 (Break below signals bearish continuation)
🔹 Minor Key Resistance: 103.090 (Retracement level for sell limit order entry)
🔹 Next Minor Support: 99.850 (Downside target for sellers)
Fundamental Insight and Market Sentiment
📉 U.S. Dollar Weakness: The U.S. dollar has been under pressure recently due to growing concerns over tariffs, which have created uncertainty in the markets. This has fueled fears of a potential economic slowdown, with tariffs negatively impacting investor sentiment. The ongoing trade tensions and global uncertainties have resulted in a weaker outlook for the dollar, aligning with the technical breakdown in the DXY.
📈 Global Market Dynamics: Meanwhile, global risk sentiment remains mixed, with market participants seeking safer assets like gold, further weighing on the dollar. The negative impact from U.S. trade policies, combined with a shift in investor confidence, is contributing to a bearish outlook for the DXY.
Given the technical setup and broader market sentiment, we are closely monitoring DXY for potential sell opportunities, especially if price retraces within the identified levels for a better entry point.
📌 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
ADA - Bearish Reversal Setup from Fair Value Gap🚀 ADAUSDT - 1H Chart Analysis 🚀
📊 Current Market Structure:
ADA is moving within a rising channel 📈, approaching a key resistance zone where a Fair Value Gap (FVG) is present. This area aligns with a significant Fibonacci retracement zone, making it a strong potential reversal point.
📌 Technical Insights:
🔹 Price is trading inside a well-defined bullish channel.
🔹 Approaching a major supply zone with previous reaction points.
🔹 Bearish rejection is expected in this area, leading to a potential drop.
📉 Trade Expectation:
A reaction from the FVG could lead to a downward move, as highlighted by the red arrows. If price confirms a rejection, a bearish shift in structure could occur, offering short opportunities.
⚠️ Risk Management Tip: Always wait for confirmation before acting on a setup. Managing risk effectively is key to long-term success!
📢 What do you think? Will ADA respect the FVG or push higher? Share your thoughts! 💬📉🚀
GBPJPY: Channel Down started its new bearish wave.GBJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.648, MACD = 0.440, ADX = 26.099) as the price is testing the 1D MA50 again, being already on a 4 red day streak. The recent March 28th high almost touched the top of the 6 month Channel Down, so it can be technically considered a LH. Since the 1D RSI already crossed under its MA, we have a validated sell signal. Both prior bearish waves reached the 1.1 Fibonacci extension. Aim just over it (TP = 186.500).
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Spy Road To $544 Target HIT Now WhatWell we finally hit our target a lot of us went heavy in shorts right before the bell rang in many Etf's SPY QQQ Tsla with massive amounts of money With Expirations Expiring 4/3 4/5 and also 2weeks out.... Don't Ever Miss Another Move in the stock market again stay up to date With JoeWtrades.... So I guess everyone wants to know what's next Bear Market Bull Market is the the bottom in ext.... Nope this is not the bottom, i already have a plan on what's going to happen price will continue to fall Friday Over the Weekend Resulting in a possible Dead Cat Bounce come Tuesday in my opinion back to $550ish, Wait what did you say yes $dead cat bounce to $550ish in the next few days possibly Tuesday so this means this is not the bottom JoeWtrades , Nope in my opinion its not Like and follow to see in my opinion on where price goes, if you need assistance and would like to take your trading and scalping to the next level You know what to do.... As Always safe trades and good luck
EURUSD D1 | Bearish Reversal Based on the D1 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 1.1007, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibo retracement and the 127.2% Fibo extension. indicating a strong area of resistance.
Our take profit is set at 1.0792, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 1.1214, a swing high resistance.
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OILUSD PositiveOIL prices should hike from this support towards the normal 75,00 to the USD. This area is a strong support zone, let us see if it rejects habibi
MARKETS NOT OVERSOLD CAUTION!While only 36% of stocks are over the 20-day MA, they are nowhere near oversold conditions. As such, there is still room for the downside.
While this indicator is only suitable for short-term trading, tomorrow new making event could push markets way lower.
While I would not suggest trading news events. I know some do, as such bottom picking is not advisable.
CAUTION!
USDCHF I Weekly CLS Continuation I KL - OB I Model 2Hey Traders!!
Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions!
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS represents the "smart money" across all markets. It brings together the capital from the largest investment and central banks, boasting a daily volume of over 6.5 trillion.
✅By understanding how CLS operates—its specific modes and timings—you gain a powerful edge with more precise entries and well-defined targets.
🛡️Follow me and take a closer look at Models 1 and 2.
These models are key to unlocking the market's potential and can guide you toward smarter trading decisions.
📍Remember, no strategy offers a 100%-win rate—trading is a journey of constant learning and improvement. While our approaches often yield strong profits, occasional setbacks are part of the process. Embrace every experience as an opportunity to refine your skills and grow.
Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader!
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
David Perk ⚔
GBPAUD - Already Over-Bought!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈GBPAUD has been bullish trading within the rising channels in orange and red.
Currently, GBPAUD is retesting the upper bound of the channels.
Moreover, the $2.085 - $2.1 is a strong resistance zone.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper trendlines and green resistance zone.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPAUD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Structural analysis and operation suggestions after gold washAnalysis of gold market trend: Gold fluctuated quite a lot yesterday. It rose at the opening yesterday, rising to nearly 60 US dollars, and then fell back after being blocked at the 3167 line. However, it fell below 3100, and the lowest to the top and bottom conversion was around 3054, a drop of nearly 114 US dollars. Beyond expectations, it pulled back to 80 US dollars, and the daily line finally closed with a cross Yin line. The rapid roller coaster is too scary. The market volatility is too large, so you can only watch more and do less. If you encounter non-agricultural data, according to yesterday's trend, the market may not be so big today. After all, it has already ended yesterday. When the price fell sharply, and then there was a sharp rebound to stand firm at 3100, the market of gold yesterday was thrilling, a super roller coaster, and the difficulty of gold operation has increased a lot. However, this kind of market is rare after all. After the ups and downs of gold, it will return to normal. Although today's non-agricultural data, I personally tend to fluctuate in a large range. It is estimated that it will not break yesterday's high point or yesterday's low point. If combined with silver, gold is still oscillating and bearish. At present, it should peak in the short term, and it will choose a direction after a correction.
Gold technical analysis: Therefore, gold is not as strong as before, so it is possible for gold to rise or fall in this state. Pay attention to the previous high of 3150 on the upside, and pay attention to the gains and losses of 3055 on the downside. The 4-hour cycle has cleverly entered the oscillation range. Although the market has gone out of the big drop space, the 4-hour cycle Bollinger has not opened, and the moving average system has not diverged. The effective range for the time being is within 3085/3135. Therefore, if there is no large fluctuation on Friday, you can refer to the range of the 4-hour cycle to do high-altitude and low-multiple transactions. The 1-hour moving average of gold still shows signs of turning downward, but the rise of gold in the US market has not allowed the 1-hour moving average of gold to enter the dead cross pattern, but the gold bulls are not very strong. Of course, there is also the impact of non-agricultural data. It is expected that after the big rise and fall on Thursday, the impact of Friday's data will not be great. Before the release of non-agricultural data, we should operate in the range of 3120-3066. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is to short on rebound and long on pullback. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3120-3125 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3054-3066 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. We must control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday. Welcome to experience, exchange real-time market conditions, and follow real-time orders.
Gold operation strategy: Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short gold rebound near 3120-3125, stop loss 6 points, target near 3100-3085, break to see 3065 line;
Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Long gold pullback near 3070-3065, stop loss 6 points, target near 3100-3090, break to see 3110 line;
AUDUSD Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for AUDUSD is below:
The market is trading on 0.6377 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.6324
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.6403
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BTC Ready for PUMP or what ?The BTC will increase 20k and reach to the top of the wedge in the coming DAYS.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcoin Head & Shoulders Pattern – Bearish Breakdown Ahead?#Bitcoin is forming a Head & Shoulders pattern on the 4-hour timeframe, signaling a potential bearish move. Currently, #BTC is hovering near the neckline—a key level to watch!
Bearish Confirmation: If #BTC breaks below the neckline and the support zone, it will confirm the bearish trend, potentially leading to further downside.
Trading Plan:
Wait for a clear break & retest of the neckline.
Enter a short trade with proper risk management.
Keep an eye on volume for strong confirmation.
Will #BTC hold or break down? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
My Analysis of the DXY ChartLooking at this chart, the DXY is moving within an ascending channel defined by the two white trendlines. Based on my analysis, there are a few key levels to watch, especially the Fibonacci retracement levels.
First, if the price starts to drop from the upper boundary of the channel, it is likely to retrace down to the 0.61 Fibonacci level. This is an important support zone, and the price might bounce back up from here.
However, if the 0.61 Fibonacci level doesn’t hold, the price could continue falling towards the 0.78 retracement level. This level is a much stronger support and could trigger a significant reversal if the price reaches it.
Finally, the lower boundary of the channel, marked by the white trendline, serves as the ultimate area of support. If the price falls this far, there’s a strong chance it will bounce back upward within the channel.
This analysis highlights the key zones where the price is likely to react and helps identify the next potential moves for the DXY
Trade War PerspectiveSure, tune in to your favorite youtube finance doomer or the news, and it will sound like the end of the world has arrived.
I personally feel like this tariff crisis is cover to air out all the dirty laundry that's been hidden the last few years. The AI bubble, the stimmy repayment, the imaginary gold, the "forgot how to grow economy" (credit that last one to Eurodollar University), etc etc.
Take a look at this chart. If this is "the end" we have BARELY begun the descent. These types of corrections happen routinely. The point is, don't panic. STICK TO YOUR STRATEGY and don't get emotional.
Good luck out there. Don't get flushed down the tariff toilet.
NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Technical Outlook
NAS100 is currently in a corrective phase, trading at $18,900, with bearish momentum suggesting a potential move toward the $18,300 support level in the coming week. If this level holds, a rebound could push the index back up toward $20,300, creating a temporary recovery phase.
However, if the price struggles at $20,300 and fails to sustain bullish momentum, it would confirm the formation of a descending channel, reinforcing the broader downtrend. In this scenario, NAS100 could extend its decline toward $16,100, where the price may find support.
Key structural levels to watch:
Support Levels: $18,300 → $16,100 → $14,600 (Major support from 2021)
Resistance Levels: $20,300 → $16,000 (Resistance from 2023)
If the index reaches $16,100, this could serve as a critical level where a strong reaction may occur, as it aligns with historical price zones and previous sell-off extensions. The $14,600 support from 2021 remains a last defense level, potentially preventing deeper declines.
Traders should monitor volume and price action confirmations at key levels to assess whether the index is setting up for a reversal or further downside continuation.
Spike in Credit Spreads continues...As I wrote on March 4th after February monthly closing...the RSI on credit spreads made a higher high with Feb closing which indicates a change from a down trend in credit spreads to an uptrend; which is not good for risk assets.
Now that March has closed; you will see yet another spike in the RSI to close at another higher high. This spike in RSI is actually rather large even though credit spreads are still less than 4.
I've seen a lot of people on X laughing at people who have mentioned that credit spreads are "spiking" because when you look at the graph of credit spreads they still below 4 and do not appear to be spiking.
Here's the thing...when spreads do spike you will be late to the party!
So what happens when spreads get to 4? Do they do what they did in 2005 or 2014? The answer to this question will dictate how the market will react in the short term.
Eventually however spreads will blow up...it's not an if but a when once RSI changes over to an uptrend.
Has the gold tariff peaked?The 4H cycle failed to open upward. According to the general rule, there is a certain probability of a downward kill. The watershed below is still 3100. Only if it falls below this position can it gradually turn to short. At the same time, the current volatility is very large, and any fluctuation starts at ten points. It is recommended to reduce the position to trade; the current long structure of gold has not changed. The key support watershed below is still 3100. Above 3100, the strong bullish idea remains unchanged. Short-term operations rely on 3100 for defense, and enter the market near 3116 to gradually look up. Focus on the strength of the European session. If the European session rebounds and does not break the high, then short the US session at highs, and pay attention to the resistance of the 3148-50 area above.
Today's gold short-term operation ideas suggest that rebounding should be the main focus, and callbacks should be supplemented by longs. The upper short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3148-3150, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3100-3110 first-line support.
Short order strategy
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3148-3150, stop loss 6 points, target around 3135-3125, and look at 3115 if it breaks;
Long order strategy
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3115-3118, stop loss 6 points, target around 3130-3140, and look at 3150 if it breaks;
