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Trend Analysis

Oil Bears May Look to PounceCrude oil futures have teetered for weeks, and the bears may be getting ready to pounce. The first pattern on today’s chart is the sharp drop in early April after President Trump announced higher-than-expected tariffs. CL1! quickly broke the 65.27 level where it bounced in September and early March. Prices have stayed there since, which may reflect a lack of buying interest. Second is the recent consolidation zone above the May 8 high of 60.29. Could a close below that level trigger selling? Third, prices have remained consistently below their 50-day simple moving average since early February. That may suggest the intermediate-term trend is bearish. Finally, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) recently crossed below the 21-day EMA. That may suggest the short-term trend is getting bearish. These patterns could be important to watch heading into this weekend’s OPEC+ meeting. Check out TradingView's The Leap competition sponsored by TradeStation. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYMEX:CL1!
by TradeStation
Nifty Analysis EOD – May 30, 2025 – Friday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – May 30, 2025 – Friday 🔴 Whatever gain on Thursday, wiped out... today! classic trap reset day 📌 Opening Note:After Thursday’s expiry surprise rally, today’s session turned out to be a mean reversion reality check. With a 44-point gap-down, Nifty attempted a recovery but failed to cross the previous day’s high — just 27 points shy, and rolled over into selling pressure. 📊 Nifty Summary: Today’s price action stayed entirely within yesterday’s range, forming an inside bar pattern — a classic sign of indecision before a breakout. The morning attempt towards the high was quickly sold into, and the index retraced straight to PDL, where the previous day’s swing low came to the rescue at 24,717.40. From there, it bounced back to VWAP and stayed rangebound (~60–70 points) for the rest of the session. By the close, intraday gains of Thursday were completely erased — ending exactly at the breakout zone of yesterday: 24,736.65. 🛡 5 Min Chart with Levels 🪞 Mirror Candle Alert!Interestingly, today’s candle (May 30) closely mimics the May 28 candle in structure and price levels: High: 24,864.25 ~ 24,863.95 (🔁 0.30 pt diff) Close: 24,752.45 ~ 24,750.70 (🔁 1.75 pt diff) Low: 24,737.05 ~ 24,717.40 (🔁 19.65 pt diff) This pattern alignment forms a diamond shape across the last 3 days (May 28–30), visible clearly on Daily and 5-min charts. This diamond formation + inside bar combo could be a powerful breakout setup — direction to be confirmed by the next session’s range expansion. Check out 5 min and Daily candle chart for visual insight. 🛡 5 Min Chart with Patterns 🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart 📉 Daily Candle Breakdown: Candle Type: Inside Bar Structure: Real Body: Very small Wick Sizes: Decent on both ends, implying indecision Interpretation: Inside bar at the top of a move with a prior hammer-like candle signals pause or reversal. A break of 24,717 on downside = bearish confirmation A break of 24,893 on upside = bullish breakout 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart ⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update: ATR: 276.90 IB Range: 83.95 → Small Market Structure: Balanced Total Trades: 3 🔹 10:15 – Short triggered → Trailing SL hit @ 1:1.6 🔹 11:30 – Short triggered → 1:1.5 achieved 🔹 13:40 – Short triggered → SL Hit 📌 Support & Resistance Zones: Resistance: 24,768 ~ 24,800 24,820 24,882 24,894 24,920 24,972 ~ 25,000 25,062 ~ 25,070 (5th rejection!) 25,116 ~ 25,128 25,180 ~ 25,212 25,285 ~ 25,399 Support: 24,737 ~ 24,727 24,700 24,660 24,640 ~ 24,625 24,590 24,530 ~ 24,480 24,460 📌 What’s Next? / Bias Direction: Nifty has compressed into a tight 3-day structure — with a diamond and an inside bar pattern.🎯 Watch for breakout beyond 24,894 or breakdown below 24,677 for directional clarity.Bias remains neutral until price decisively exits this range. 💬 Final Thoughts: “Breakouts don't lie. Ranges prepare. Patience pays.” Today was a classic trap reset day. Tomorrow, the trigger might fire. Stay sharp. ✏️ Disclaimer: This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
Japan core inflation hits two-year high, yen gains groundThe yen is higher on Friday. Iin the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 143.63, down 0.37% on the day. Tokyo core CPI climbed to 3.6% y/y in May, up from 3.4% in April and above the market estimate of 3.5%. This marked the highest level since Jan. 2025. Tokyo core inflation is viewed as the leading indicator of nationwide inflation trends and is closely monitored by the Bank of Japan. Tokyo core CPI, which excludes fresh food, was driven higher due to due higher non-fresh food prices, particularly rice which has soared 93% over the past year. The jump in core CPI bolsters the case for a BoJ rate hike. The markets had anticipated a rate hike in October but today's strong inflation report could accelerate the timing of the next rate hike. At the same time, the uncertainty caused by US trade policy may force the BoJ to delay any rate hikes until the impact of US tariffs on Japan's economy becomes clearer. US President Trump's controversial tariffs have sent the financial markets on wild swings. Now, US courts are weighing in on whether Trump exceeded his authority when he imposed the tariffs. A trade court panel ruled this week that most of the tariffs were illegal but on Thursday, an appeals court granted the Trump administration a temporary pause, keeping the tariffs in effect. The legal fight over the tariffs has just begun and could go all the way to the US Supreme Court. In the meantime, the legal challenge has blown a hole in Trump's tariff policy and is causing even more uncertainty in the financial markets.
by OANDA
XAUUSD 8H: This isn’t balance — it’s broadening distributionAt first glance, it may seem like gold is consolidating. In reality, price is unfolding inside a broadening formation — a structure where highs stretch higher, lows drop deeper, and real direction vanishes behind controlled volatility. This isn’t random noise. It’s Smart Money engineering a distribution phase under the cover of market indecision. And right now, the direction is forming clearly — downward. The key moment was the failed breakout above 3357 on May 24. Volume spiked 19% above average, but the candle body collapsed. That’s a textbook deviation — a classic liquidity grab. The next candle confirmed the failure by closing back below the level, and no bullish recovery followed. Instead, price printed a lower high around 3305–3315, failing to retest the top. And when price can’t go higher — it usually goes lower. Confirmation comes from the Anchored VWAP from May 13, which was broken cleanly and never retested. That’s a major shift in control — from buyer to seller. Now price trades below VWAP, with every bullish candle fading and every bearish reaction gaining strength. This is not trend continuation. This is exhaustion. Volume profile shows the Point of Control between 3297 and 3301 — and price sits well below it. The bulk of liquidity is now overhead. That zone between 3305–3315 is where Smart Money already sold once — and if price returns there, it becomes an ideal re-entry short zone, especially if followed by rejection candles or low-volume pushups. Targets are clean: → 3228 — first liquidity shelf. → 3164 — former impulse base. → 3084 — if breakdown accelerates. Everything lines up: deviation, failed breakout, VWAP lost, volume fading, lower highs forming. This isn’t a pause. This is a phase transition — and the market already voted.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TotoshkaTrades
Gbp/Jpy Intra-Day Analysis 30-May-2025Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
by easyMarkets
GBPUSD Is Bearish! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.347. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.325 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
Gold back within my Neutral RectangleTechnical analysis: Gold maintains Selling sentiment (remember the cycle I mentioned regarding #14-day symmetry for aggressive takedown / Traders are witnessing it) from yesterday’s session Hourly 4 chart’s first Support break, however the pace has slowed down as Gold is already near #3,288.80 - #3,292.80 well known Support zone due Hourly 4 chart on critically Overbought condition near #3,327.80 local High's. Gold is isolated within Descending Channel formation and if there wasn’t DX on parallel decline, Gold would be significantly Lower under the circumstances. I highlighted that only catalyst which can revive the Price-action and kick-start the relief rally is on Fundamental side. The Hourly 4 chart’s indicators were showcasing that Gold was Overbought and most of my Intra-day pointers were about to make a Bearish roll-over as I believed that I should start preparing ourselves for a slight pullback (Short-term trend stays Bearish though however there will be Bull spikes certainly towards #3,327.80 - #3,332.80 local Resistance zone). Next Resistance is priced at #3,312.80 / break of it might extend the uptrend towards #3,327.80 Resistance in extension. Gold has invalidated solid Ascending Channel on Hourly 4 chart and if you recall, delivered #2 additional Higher High’s (my chart’s explanation that Gold always delivers #3 Lower Low extensions ahead of full scale reversal, so practically I have one more Higher High’s to expect according to the cycle). My position: My break-out zones are intact as in withih my previous remarks as I will keep operating within #3,288.80 - #3,227.80 Neutral Rectangle as long as it lasts. If #3,288.80 - #3,275.80 gives away, #3,262.80 - #3,268.80 is zone to monitor.
TVC:GOLDShort
by goldenBear88
XAUUSD – Facing headwinds from inflation expectationsHey everyone, we’ve got quite an interesting setup on gold today! As shown on the chart, XAUUSD is still moving within a clearly defined descending channel. After bouncing from the lower support area around 3,262, price is now retesting the upper boundary of the channel. What’s more important is that this area overlaps with both the 34 and 89 EMAs – creating a strong confluence of resistance. If price continues to be rejected here, there’s a high chance that gold will reverse and head back toward the bottom of the channel. A likely target could be around 3,232. As for the news: Core PCE – the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge – is expected to rise. This has led the market to anticipate that the Fed might keep interest rates higher for longer. And when bond yields rise and the USD strengthens, gold – a non-yielding asset – tends to lose its appeal.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Rocky_trade_
Market next move 🔍 1. Weak Confirmation for Target Level The marked "TARGET" area lacks strong technical confirmation such as: Resistance zone retest. Fibonacci level confluence. Moving average alignment. Without solid technical backing, this target may appear speculative. --- 📉 2. Bearish Momentum is Strong The last few candles show strong red (bearish) momentum. The price has broken short-term support levels (e.g., local lows from the 29th). Volume is increasing on bearish candles, signaling strong selling pressure. Setting a bullish target while in a bearish momentum phase might be premature. --- 🕒 3. Timeframe Limitations This is a 1-hour chart, which is more prone to noise and false signals. Higher timeframes (like 4H or Daily) should be checked to validate this upward target.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you From a macro policy perspective, Bitcoin's development is ushering in a potentially favorable environment. Take the United States as an example, discussions around cryptocurrency policies have gradually increased in recent years. Although the direction has not been fully clarified, some positive signals continue to emerge. For instance, certain U.S. legislators have proposed bills to promote the compliant development of the cryptocurrency industry, aiming to establish a clearer regulatory framework for digital currencies like Bitcoin. Once these policies are implemented, they will attract more traditional financial institutions and compliant funds to enter the market. Additionally, globally, more and more countries are researching and exploring the application of digital currencies, and the acceptance of Bitcoin is gradually increasing. This improvement in the policy environment provides a solid foundation for Bitcoin's price increase. Bitcoin's macro policy environment is transitioning from "unregulated chaos" to "compliance-driven order." The clarification of regulatory frameworks in the U.S. and the advancement of global central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) form a long-term bullish logic. With the current price correction to the key support level of 105,988 USD and technical signs of stabilizing, this presents an ideal window to position for both "policy dividends" and a "technical rebound." Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you BTCUSDT BUY@105000~106000 SL:103000 TP:108000~109000
Long
by AndyHopkins
1