BANKNIFTY 15 MINCurrent Market Conditions and Indicators
Market State: The market state is currently bullish, although the trend indicator is showing "Moderate" with weak strength. This suggests potential for a trend reversal or limited upward momentum.
RSI: The RSI level indicating a neutral position. It neither signals an overbought nor oversold condition, which aligns with the ranging trend.
Volatility: A moderate volatility implies some price fluctuation but not extreme, which can be suitable for more controlled short setups.
Bank nifty to follow the trend, and likely the Indian market will take queues from the global market starting first week of Nov.
Trend Analysis
USD/CHF BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so USD-CHF is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 0.865.
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NASDAQ 100 Sinks on AI Cost Woes - Full Target Breakthrough HIT!NASDAQ 100 (NDX) Analysis using Risological Swing Trader:
In the 15-minute timeframe, NASDAQ 100 (NDX) demonstrated a powerful bearish move, with all targeted profit levels being achieved in a swift drop. This short trade setup showed significant follow-through as investor sentiment shifted negatively due to concerns over escalating AI expenses reported by Wall Street's megacaps.
Key Highlights:
Entry Level: 20,429.42
Target Levels:
TP1: 20,323.94
TP2: 20,153.26
TP3: 19,982.58
TP4: 19,877.10
Stop Loss: 20,514.76
Context:
This bearish momentum aligns with Wall Street’s close on a lower note as major tech giants highlighted rising costs linked to AI developments. The day's range fluctuated between 19,880.26 and 20,227.19, underscoring the volatility and risk aversion among investors. The setup capitalized effectively on this negative sentiment, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Summary:
This trade on NASDAQ 100 hit all targets with precision, benefiting from the broader market's reaction to heightened cost pressures in the tech sector. This downward move underscores the impact of macroeconomic concerns on equity performance, particularly in high-cost sectors like AI.
XAUUSD Gold Prices Slip Amid Stronger USD: Key Levels to Watch
Gold prices are under pressure, currently at $2,736.5 per ounce, driven down by a stronger U.S. dollar. Key technical levels suggest:
Resistance at $2,762 and $2,787: Breaking above these could indicate a recovery.
Support at $2,725 and a trendline: Holding these levels may prevent further declines.
A bounce from support could push prices higher, while a break below could lead to more losses. Traders are closely watching U.S. dollar movements and upcoming economic data for gold’s next direction.
XPDUSD: Channel Up not bottomed but its worth buying.Palladium is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.239, MACD = 35.410, ADX = 35.074) as the price is approaching the bottom of its Channel Up. Even though ideally we would like the 1D RSI to drop under 45.000 before a buy opportunity emerges, the price isn't only near the 4H MA200 but also just over the 0.618 Fib, which is where the previous HL was priced. The first HL on the 4H RSI will be our buy entry. We maintain a conservative short term perspective, aiming for the 0.236 Fib (TP = 1,185).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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NZDJPY: Rectangle trading calls for buying.NZDJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.566, MACD = 0.350, ADX = 19.993) as it's been trading sideways inside a Rectangle pattern since September 27th. The recent rebound happened on the 4H MA200 and today it took a rejection on the 4H MA50. One more test of the 4H MA200 is possible but overall it is more likely to see an upward test of the lower Resistance Zone (TP = 91.800).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 11-1 Update: Silver Still LeadingPlease watch this video to understand why I believe the downside risks are still dominant related to price trending.
Yes, we've seen a solid recovery today, but watching Silver and RSP, it appears the Excess Phase Peak pattern is still progressing toward a breakdown new low.
I urge all traders to stay very cautious of the risks throughout today and Monday.
The markets need to climb higher quite a bit to invalidate this pattern - and I don't see that happening before Nov 5.
Buckle up.
Get some.
SPY going up after the electionEven though the DAILY indicators have not changed, the 30 minute, the 1 hour and even the 2 hour indicators are shifting to indicate an upward movement. The rest of the hourly and daily indicators will soon follow. (I will post these 30 minute and the 1 hour indicators soon)
I am using the Heikin Ashi candlestick as I find you see more of a definite trend on the candlesticks itself. Typically, you would wait to enter the trade until you see 2 green candlesticks. But I am a little bit of a rebel and I already entered today, which will probably come back to bite me in the ass soon! LOL! ;-)
I use the MacD, DMI and the Stochastic RSI as my indicators.
The SPY will move about 34 points which was the average upward move of the previous months and that hits the fib line of 1.618. I use the fib tool to get a general approximation of the target. So I estimate the target of the SPY at around 602. It will reach that target around November 21st or approximately a 14 day upward move, which has been the average upward move in the previous months.
Around November 12th, the market will pause a little before heading back up to reach the target I have laid out as 602.
Happy trading everyone!
DXY Will Fall! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for DXY.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 103.924.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 103.688 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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BITCOIN BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the BITCOIN with the target of 65,608 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
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Gold Market Update: Imbalance Creates Pullback OpportunityAs gold prices reach the $2750 through the $2730 range, an imbalance has formed, prompting a daily pullback to seek additional supply support at2772. This correction phase could strengthen the market's foundation, setting up potential for renewed bullish momentum as the imbalance is addressed. follow for more insights .
TONUSDT Potential up SwingTONUSDT is currently moving sideways, hovering just above the psychological level of 5.00 and consistently bouncing off this key level. The price action is forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern, which suggests a potential upward move toward higher levels. Additionally, the market is testing the downward trendline, and a breakout above this line could signal the start of a bullish trend. As long as the price remains above 5.00, the expectation is for a continued bullish move. The target is the resistance zone around 5.520
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument Part 3This week we are back in our favorite consolidation Zone...Right above the 78%.
As you should have seen by now even with last week's sell off, the price only created a new HL on the daily timeframe before shooting right back above the previous HH set on October 14.
This confirms my bullish bias, that although the market is consolidating, the moves still favor the bulls as the trend is always your friend.
This type of movement however, does create opportunities for sellers also as you would have seen from last week's move, however they should be traded only with the proper experience.
If you are not comfortable identifying the start and end of a bearish retracement, your best bet is to wait for your largest HL and keep buying the trend for the HL's to the HH's.
For this week:
1. Continue trading the HL's to the HH's
2. Continue to learn the correct keys for the certification moves for more swing trade entries.
3. Remember Mondays, Tuesdays, and sometimes Wednesdays are the days the market takes to
Create it's upper and lower zones and Thursdays to Friday's complete the current trend
moves.
Have a great week.
#auberstrategy
#aubersystem
#whywewait
#zigzagtheory
#patience
#masteryourcraft.