Trend Analysis
SPY Falling Wedge Into Support SPY forming a descending wedge after an extreme sell off, one of the fastest declines in recent history.
This wedge style pattern tends to be the result of sharp move in a particular direction, in this case downward as temporary relief before continuiing in the direction of the larger trend.
Ill be looking for liquidity to enter the market on the thursday / friday session for a potential bounce. If not, then its likely the market will be in for a rough spring.
Gold falls, gold 3100 may breakGold fell under pressure from 3150 and tested the 3100 mark again, breaking the previous rising trend line. The market gradually slowed down from strong bullish trend, and the daily line turned negative.
Don't expect the market to turn bearish and fall sharply at this point. The conversion between bullish and bearish trend needs time to brew, and the market is still bullish now, so the probability of a volatile trend here is relatively high, ranging from 3138 to 3100. Only when it breaks below 3100 can we see the market turning bearish.
Penguin Solutions, Inc. (PENG) Reports Q2 Financial Fiscal ResulPenguin Solutions, Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:PENG ) today reported financial results for the second quarter of fiscal 2025 and announced the planned retirement of Chief Operating Officer (“COO”) and President of Integrated Memory Jack Pacheco.
Second Quarter Fiscal 2025 Highlights
Net sales of $366 million, up 28.3% versus the year-ago quarter
GAAP gross margin of 28.6%, down 20 basis points versus the year-ago quarter
Non-GAAP gross margin of 30.8%, down 70 basis points versus the year-ago quarter
GAAP diluted EPS of $0.09 versus $(0.26) in the year-ago quarter
Non-GAAP diluted EPS of $0.52 versus $0.27 in the year-ago quarter
“We are pleased with the progress we are making in fiscal year 2025,” said Mark Adams, Chief Executive Officer (“CEO”) of Penguin Solutions. “Our results reinforce our capabilities in managing the complexity of AI for our valued customers. Given our strong start to the fiscal year, we are raising the midpoint of our revenue outlook for the full year.”
Despite the commendable results, shares of NASDAQ:PENG are down 5% today albeit the general crypto and stock market landscape are facing extreme selling pressures amidst Donald Trump's Tariffs war with over $1.65 trillion wiped out from US stock market at open today.
The support point has already being broken with eyes set on the 1-month low as the support should selling pressure increased as there is more space for a cool off as hinted by the RSI at 40.
Analyst Forecast
According to 8 analysts, the average rating for PENG stock is "Strong Buy." The 12-month stock price forecast is $24.75, which is an increase of 40.87% from the latest price.
$BTC RUNNING IS NOT OVER!CRYPTOCAP:BTC RUNNING IS NOT OVER!
Bitcoin will enter a new uptrend phase with the support it finds from the weekly uptrend support and the Bollinger Band lower point.
USD/CHF Falls to Its Lowest Level in Nearly Five MonthsUSD/CHF Falls to Its Lowest Level in Nearly Five Months
Today, the exchange rate of one US dollar against the Swiss franc dropped below 0.87000 francs—its lowest level since early November 2024.
Since the start of 2025, the USD/CHF pair has declined by more than 4%.
Why Is USD/CHF Falling Today?
On one hand, the US dollar is weakening against other currencies due to Trump’s decision to implement the previously announced tariffs on international trade, as mentioned in our previous post.
On the other hand, the Swiss franc is gaining strength due to its appeal as a safe-haven asset. Furthermore, this morning’s release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed that inflation in Switzerland remains at zero, increasing the franc’s value at a time when tariff conflicts pose risks to the global economy.
Technical Analysis of the USD/CHF Chart
Since the start of 2025, the USD/CHF pair has been following a downward trajectory, highlighted by a declining channel (marked in red), with the following key points:
→ The median line has shifted from support to resistance, as indicated by the arrows.
→ The price broke through the March support level around 0.8757, accelerating the decline.
→ The lower boundary of the channel provided support this morning, slowing bearish momentum.
It is possible that the 0.8757 level will act as resistance in April 2025. However, the future direction of USD/CHF will largely depend on news developments, particularly statements from global leaders regarding tariffs in international trade.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Bonds Don’t Lie: The Signal is ClearU.S. 10-year Treasuries are a crucial cog in the global financial machine, serving as a benchmark borrowing rate, a tool for asset valuation, and a gauge of the longer-term outlook for U.S. economic growth and inflation.
As such, I keep a close eye on 10-year note futures, as they can offer clues on directional risks for bond prices and yields. The price action over the past few days has sent a clear and obvious signal as to where the risks lie: prices higher, yields lower.
Futures had been grinding lower within a falling wedge for several weeks but broke higher last Friday on decent volumes following soft U.S. household spending data. It has since extended bullish the move, reclaiming the 200-day moving average before surging above key resistance at 115’09’0 after Trump’s reciprocal tariff announcement on Wednesday.
RSI (14) is trending higher but isn’t yet overbought, while MACD has crossed the signal line above 0, confirming the bullish momentum signal. That favours further upside, putting resistance at 116’11’0 and 118’12’0 on the immediate radar. For those who prefer it expressed in yield terms, that’s around 4% and 3.8% respectively.
Good luck!
DS
USD/JPY Trend Before and After Tariff Announcement✍ ✍ ✍ USD/JPY news:
➡️ Federal Reserve officials have indicated that interest rates should remain in the current range of 4.25%–4.50% for an extended period until they can assess the impact of Trump’s tariffs on inflation and economic growth.
➡️ Stronger-than-expected US ADP data provided significant support for the sharp rise in USD/JPY.
➡️ Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against other currencies, as Trump’s policies could have a significant impact on Japan’s economic growth, given its status as one of the US’s key trading partners.
Personal opinion:
➡️ Trump’s tariff policies will significantly impact the economy nhant65. So JPY will weaken and USD/JPY will be strongly supported
➡️ Analyze based on physical dimensions - support and quantify reasonable volume with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Set up price zone:
👉Buy USD/JPY 149.75 – 149.85
❌SL: 149.40| ✅TP: 150.45 – 150.95
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Bitcoin Price Trap Alert! Don't Get Fooled🚀 BTC is showing a small price hike, but DON'T mistake it for an uptrend! 🚀
📉 The market is still in a downtrend, and the price is entering a Bearish Order Block, which is a strong resistance zone. Many traders fall for this trap, thinking the market is reversing, but it's just a liquidity grab before another drop.
⚠️ Be cautious! Smart money waits for confirmations instead of jumping in blindly. Don't FOMO into the trap!
📊 Chart insights:
✔️ BTC is rejecting from a key resistance level
✔️ Downtrend is still intact
✔️ High chance of a bearish move from here
🔥 Stay smart, trade safe, and don't get caught in the bull trap! 🔥
#Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #BTC #TradingAlert #BearishTrap
ETH/BTC: The Unbreakable Support Line You Need to WatchOn the ETH/BTC chart, when a support level lines up on both log and linear scales—like 0.05 ETH/BTC—it’s a huge signal. It’s a rock-solid price where ETH holds its value against BTC, both as a fixed ratio (linear) and a consistent percentage drop (log). This double strength shows it’s a key battleground for ETH’s dominance, making it a level traders and hodlers can’t ignore—strong until it snaps!
Bearish drop?COPPER is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 5.0325
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 5.1220
Why we lik eit:
There is a pullback resistance levle that line sup with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 4.8933
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
US100 - Weekend Gap Filled, What’s Next?The US100 1-hour chart shows that the weekend gap has been completely filled, and price is now approaching a critical Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone. This level could act as a strong resistance or a point of continuation for the current bullish momentum.
Here are two possible scenarios:
✅ Scenario 1: If price consolidates above the FVG and finds support, we could see a continuation towards the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci retracement level, pushing towards 19,800+.
❌ Scenario 2: A rejection at the FVG zone could signal a bearish reversal, leading to a move back down towards 19,200 or even lower.
Which scenario do you think will play out? Let’s discuss! 🚀📉
Gold's short-term dive does not change the bullish trendAt present, the key support below has moved down to 3057, which is the previous top and bottom conversion position, and also the support near the daily 10-day moving average. If it does not break here, gold will still be in a bull correction. After the consolidation, it will rise again to hit the previous high when it stands on the 5-day moving average. If it breaks, it will enter a mid-term adjustment. The current market has touched 3062 as the lowest, which is close to the previous high of 3157. We must dare to test near the key support level. Gold is long near 3057, with a target of 3100-3105.
Gold strategy: It is recommended to buy around 3057, stop loss at 3050, target at 3100-05-20;
Bullish bounce?USD/CAD has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.4297
Why we lik eit:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 1.4275
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Takeprofit: 1.4362
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Big Bear Leg Coming if this is ABC This looks like it might be a big corrective ABC leg inside of a downtrend. While markets have had a very bullish tone to them recently we've not really bounced that much and the daily trend is still down on big swings.
Perhaps the corrective period is over and new bear waves are forming. If so, this should be about the high of them here.
Gold analysis todayAt the 4-hour level, the current market is shrinking and oscillating at a high level. The K-line is running above the middle track, and the oscillating and strong trend is maintained above the middle track. Focus on the 3100 support break. Only when it breaks below 3100 will the downward space be opened. There can be more at 3080-3060 below, and only when it stands above 3135 can it further hit a new high. Before the data, continue to see range oscillation, the small range is 3110-3135, and the large range is 3100-3150. In the short term, you can quickly enter and exit in the small range with high altitude and low long.
Gold has been moving big recently, don’t hold it blindly!What is coming has come, more than 100 US dollars a day, the decline is always faster than the rise, and more fierce, after breaking the 3100 watershed, it accelerated downward, the current minimum is 3054, the key position below is 3000/3040, pay attention to the plunge and the card position can also participate in the long, but must be patient to wait for the position.
After the big drop, the stage high point appears, and the follow-up is that both long and short can participate. The first plunge only establishes the high point position, and it is not so fast to turn short. It will fluctuate for a period of time. Generally, major news is an opportunity. The evening news detonates the market, and the main force often uses the news to pull up shipments. If the rebound touches 3110-3120, short it.
Review and plan for 3rd April 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan in kannada.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
Gbpcad SellPrice has been making LL pointing to strength in downtrend and now price closed below the oh so very important 1.85172. the stop i wouldve like to put it above the last high but its ok im still is comfortable with it due to the volume nice scalp based on how fast the trade should hit tp or sl.
DXY:Expect an uptrend based on the daily chart supportOn Tuesday, the price of the U.S. Dollar Index generally fluctuated in a range. The price reached a daily high of 104.345, a low of 103.99, and closed at 104.19.
Looking back at the performance of the U.S. Dollar Index on Tuesday, after the morning opening, the price initially fell under short-term pressure. Subsequently, it halted its decline and resumed its upward movement above the daily support level, but the overall range was limited. The price rose in a volatile manner, and finally closed with a bullish doji.
From a weekly perspective, continue to focus on the 106.60 level, which is a key level for the medium-term trend. Below this level, the medium-term trend is bearish, and the price increase is temporarily regarded as a correction within the medium-term decline.
Meanwhile, from a daily perspective, temporarily pay attention to the 103.90 level, which is crucial for the wave trend. Above this level, adopt a bullish stance for the wave trend. Also, on the four-hour chart, temporarily focus on the support at the 104.10 area. Therefore, before the price breaks below the low of Monday, bet on an upward movement based on the daily support. Only after a downward break will the trend turn bearish.
Currently, there is a lot of news, so everyone must be cautious of market risks.
Trading Strategy:
buy@103.90-104
TP:104.50-104.80
Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
XAU/USD 30 MIN pairMy trading gold (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute chart with a bearish Head & Shoulders pattern and an active sell entry at 3030. Here's your setup:
Resistance: 3138
Sell Entry: 3030 (confirmed active)
Targets:
Target 1: 3080
Target 2: 3050
Observations:
1. Bearish Confirmation: A Head & Shoulders pattern suggests a downside move if the neckline is broken.
2. Stop-Loss Consideration: You might want to place a stop-loss above resistance (3138) or just above the right shoulder for risk management.
3. Risk-Reward Ratio: Ensure your risk-to-reward ratio is favorable before committing fully to the trade.
Let me know if you need further refinements or chart analysis!
EURUSD - Bearish Breakout or Bullish Rebound? Key LevelsThe EUR/USD 1-hour chart shows a bearish breakout from the rising channel, indicating a potential shift in momentum. Price is currently interacting with the Fair Value Gap (FVG), making this a critical decision point.
Here are three possible scenarios:
✅ Scenario 1: If price reclaims the FVG and re-enters the bullish channel, we could see a rally toward the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci retracement level.
❌ Scenario 2: Price could reject at the FVG and continue its bearish momentum but remain above recent lows.
📉 Scenario 3: A stronger bearish continuation could push price further down, breaking through key support levels.
Which scenario do you think will play out? Drop your predictions below! 🔥📊
Are longer term bonds really that bad of a buy?So many people I follow on X are very bearish the longer term bond cycle...claiming that the years of declining rates are over and that we are now in a new cycle of rising rates over the next 40-50 years. Even I have been a proponent of that language; writing up an idea on 3/31/2022 when rates were 2.326 and rising. But now it seems everyone is on that side of the boat which makes the contrarian view worth a look. Are longer term bonds really that bad of a buy right now?
I decided to look at it from a simplistic Ichimoku point of view...using a yearly bar chart. Yes a really, really long term chart because if we are talking about the next 40-50 years then it's worth looking at a very, very long term chart.
However when looking at this long term Ichimoku chart; nothing about this chart suggests we are in a new cycle. In fact, nothing about this chart is bullish rising rates and you would just be trying to call a bottom out of thin air.
One of the first indications of a change in sentiment for Ichimoku is getting the Tenkan Sen (red line) to cross over the Kijun Sen (orange line). Even with the strength in rates over the following 5 years we are no where close to getting a cross over of those two lines to occur. In addition, the lagging span (purple line) is still below price and the cloud and the cloud is still hugely red.
In short, nothing about this chart screams longer term bonds are a bad buy...getting the 10 year rate chart to move from bearish (where it stands now) to bullish in the very long term will in fact be a fairly large task IMO.
Therefore, I am following the projection of the red & orange lines and right now they are suggesting a "flattening" out period...perhaps these two lines move closer over the next 10-15 years and then something occurs to spike rates and causes the red line to cross over the orange but until then people are just calling a bottom.
Basically rates would need to spike again this year or next to well over 6% to get the lagging span above price & the cloud and to cause the red line to move to an upwards trend...then and only then would I change my above stance.
