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Trend Analysis

USD/JPY... 4H pair...Here’s a structured analysis and actionable plan for the *USDJPY* trade idea based on the bearish flag breakdown and key technical levels: --- ### *Trade Setup Overview* - *Pattern Identified*: Bearish Flag breakdown (continuation pattern) after a prior downtrend. - *Key Resistance*: 100-period Moving Average (MA) acting as dynamic resistance. - *Entry Trigger: Retest of the broken flag’s lower boundary near **149.300*. - *Targets*: - *TP1: 148.30* (100 pips, aligns with the flag’s measured move). - *TP2: 146.60* (270 pips, targets a major swing low and psychological level). - *Stop Loss: **150.00* (70 pips risk, above the flag’s upper boundary and recent swing high). --- ### *Critical Technical Factors* 1. *Bearish Flag Dynamics*: - The flag’s "pole" (prior decline) suggests a measured move target of *~148.30* (TP1). - A close below the flag confirms momentum; watch for follow-through selling. 2. *Confluence with Moving Averages*: - The 100-MA resistance reinforces bearish pressure. A rejection here adds confidence to the downtrend. - A break below the 200-MA (if applicable) would signal a deeper bearish shift. 3. *Key Support Levels*: - *148.30*: Near-term target (previous swing low). - *146.60*: Long-term support (2023 lows, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 2021-2023 rally). --- ### *Risk Management* - *Risk-Reward Ratio*: - TP1: *1:1.4* (70 pips risk vs. 100 pips reward). - TP2: *1:3.8* (70 pips risk vs. 270 pips reward). - *Adjust Stops*: Trail stops to breakeven if TP1 is hit to lock in gains. --- ### *Fundamental Catalysts to Monitor* 1. *Fed Policy*: Dovish signals (rate cuts) could accelerate USD weakness. 2. *BOJ Intervention*: Watch for verbal or direct action to defend JPY above 150.00. 3. *Risk Sentiment*: JPY strength may surge if equity markets sell off (safe-haven flows). --- ### *Execution Plan* 🔽 *Sell Entry*: 149.300 (wait for price to retest the broken flag boundary). 🎯 *TP1*: 148.30 (partial profit-taking). 🎯 *TP2*: 146.60 (requires sustained bearish momentum). 🚫 *Stop Loss*: 150.00 (avoids false breakdowns). --- ### *Will the USD Continue to Decline?* - *Yes, but with caution: The bearish flag and MA resistance favor downside, but JPY’s inherent weakness (BOJ’s ultra-loose policy) may limit sustained USDJPY declines. Focus on **TP1 (148.30)* as a high-probability target, while TP2 depends on broader USD trends and macro drivers. *Key Takeaway*: Trade aligns with short-term momentum, but remain agile given JPY’s sensitivity to central bank policies and risk sentiment.
Short
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
1
GBPJPY INTRADAY support retest at 191.70The GBP/JPY pair is in an overall uptrend, though currently experiencing a short-term pullback. • Key Support: 191.70 – A bounce from this level could push prices higher. • Upside Targets: 194.00, 195.50, and 195.70 if the bullish trend continues. • Bearish Scenario: A break below 191.70 could lead to further declines toward 190.90, 190.00, and 189.00. Conclusion: The trend remains bullish unless GBP/JPY drops below 191.70, which would signal further downside risk. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis: Breakout or Rejection at K200 EMA (Blue Line): 84,124 – This is a long-term trend indicator. 30 EMA (Red Line): 83,925 – A short-term trend indicator. Key Levels Resistance Point: Around 83,925 (marked in blue). Support Zone: Around 82,184 (Stop Loss zone). Target Point: 88,197, indicating a potential 6.34% upside. Potential Trade Setup Scenario 1 (Bullish Case): If price breaks above resistance (83,925) and EMA 200, then a move towards 88,197 is expected. A breakout confirmation might lead to an uptrend continuation. Scenario 2 (Bearish Case): If price rejects at resistance (83,925) and falls back below the support zone (82,184), a downward move could happen. Pattern Analysis: The chart suggests a potential accumulation phase before a breakout. Possible retest of resistance before a rally. Conclusion Bullish above 83,925, targeting 88,197. Bearish below 82,184, with potential downside. Price action near the 200 EMA is crucial for the next move.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
EURUSD HOURLY UPDATES Hello folks, EU/ EUR/USD Updates, since this idea working on higher timeframe/daily. I will be shorting above, see the sl zone. The targets see below. Good luck. My idea is on daily, if price goes down hard, I will update for entries at 4h. Idea here is continuation pattern on a weekly basis. So if price goes down it might retrace only. Pewwpeww. This is not a financial advice, use stop loss for your protection, just a like a condom. lol Good luck fellas, Writing more ideas base only my trading style.
Short
by D1GITALTRADES
Trade Idea : US30 Short ( MARKET )Technical Analysis Overview: 1. Daily Chart: • The index is in a clear downtrend, with price action breaking below the moving average. • MACD is deeply negative, with a bearish divergence and downward momentum. • RSI at 37.28, indicating approaching oversold territory, but not yet reversing. 2. 15-Minute Chart: • Strong downward momentum with sharp drop visible. • MACD is heavily negative, confirming bearish momentum. • RSI is at 32.71, indicating oversold conditions, but no clear sign of reversal yet. 3. 3-Minute Chart: • Sharp sell-off followed by consolidation. • MACD is negative but appears to be flattening, suggesting potential for a short-term bounce or continued consolidation before the next move. • RSI at 44.38, showing mild recovery from previous lows but still below the midpoint (50). Trade Idea: • Position: Short (Sell) • Entry Level: 41,250 (near minor resistance or after a weak bullish retracement) • Stop Loss (SL): 41,800 (Above recent consolidation zone or resistance) • Take Profit (TP): 40,400 (Previous support area with good potential for price to test) FUSIONMARKETS:US30
FUSIONMARKETS:US30Short
by KeN-WeNzEl
Focus on the support position below!The trend of gold's continued rise after breaking through $3,100 indicates that its path of least resistance is still upward. After losing below, it may return to the round mark of $3,100. If it effectively falls below this level, it may trigger a long-covering market, which will push the gold price to test the support of $3,076 near Monday's low. In the short term, pay attention to the new high of $3,148-50. Gold hourly chart; Gold short-term analysis; Last Friday, gold rose all the way to 3085, and there is still room and demand for further rise. On Monday, it opened directly to 3097. Pay attention to the suppression of 3150 above gold. The news stimulated it to break new highs. Today, it is mainly a correction, and short orders must be cautious. Gold operation ideas today; 1; Long orders below can be tried at 3110-05, looking at 10-15 points,
PYTH:XAUUSD
by Oliver389
Gold 100% ProfitGold failed to hit 3200 and turned to fall. In the early morning, it bottomed out and rebounded under the influence of the news of the implementation of the tariff policy. It continued to rise in the morning and reached the highest level of 3167, with an increase of 62 US dollars from 3105-3167. However, the market rebounded from the high and fell in the Asian session, and fell sharply in the afternoon, reaching the lowest level of 3116. This continuous decline basically bid farewell to the possibility of continuing to rise today. The watershed was broken in the morning, and there was no hope of breaking the high. Today's continuous sharp decline is mainly due to the implementation of the tariff policy, buying expectations and selling facts, and the actual implementation of the news. Longs took profits. The European session may rebound from the low sideways. In the evening, we will focus on the pressure of 3140-3150. If the intraday low of 3116 breaks, it may fall to 3100 again. The more tests are made, the greater the probability of breaking. There have been three downward tests before. The breaking market will initially turn to short, opening up the space below. Focus on the big non-agricultural data tomorrow Friday. The current gold price has risen again and again, and it has deviated from the technical structure, and the risk has increased accordingly. The market has repeatedly forced to rise. No one knows where the top is, and there is no previous high for reference. The risk area can be preliminarily judged by the increase. In short, don't be too arrogant, and stability is more important than anything else. In terms of trading, the overall market of gold yesterday was in line with the expected judgment. The bullish market turned to shock and adjustment, with a range of 3138-3100. In terms of operation, I went short at 3131 in the morning, reduced my position at 3118, took profit at 3110, and earned 21 US dollars; I waited and saw whether it would break above 3138 or below 3100 in the European session; I went short at 3119 in the evening, and went up to 3130 with a light position and added shorts, and finally took profit at 3116-3117, earning a profit of 13 US dollars.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EmmaSaxton
GOLD (XAU/USD) - Double Top & Bearish Breakdown Incoming?📉 GOLD (XAU/USD) - Double Top & Bearish Breakdown Incoming? 📉 Gold has been trading in an ascending channel, but a possible double top pattern is forming near $3,163. The recent breakdown from the midline suggests that sellers are stepping in! 🚨 🔎 Key Observations: ✅ Double Top Rejection: Price failed to break above $3,163, signaling a potential bearish reversal. ✅ Break Below the Channel Midline: A retest of $3,129 could act as a confirmation before further downside. ✅ Bearish Targets: Next support zones lie at $3,083 - $3,005, with potential for deeper correction. 📊 Possible Scenarios: 📌 Bearish Case: If price gets rejected at $3,129, expect further downside towards $3,060 - $3,040. 📌 Bullish Case: If bulls reclaim $3,129, gold might retest highs near $3,163. ⚠️ Watch price action closely! A confirmed breakdown could accelerate selling pressure! 📉 What do you think? Will gold hold, or is a deeper drop coming? Share your thoughts in the comments! 👇🔥 #Gold #XAUUSD #Trading #Forex #DoubleTop #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDShort
by DollarsMagnet
4 April Nifty50 important level & trading zone #Nifty50 99% working trading plan 👆Gap up open 23273 above & 15m hold after positive trade target 23332, 23393 👆Gap up open 23273 below 15 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 23192, 23113 👆Gap down open 23192 above 15m hold after positive trade target 23273, 23332 👆Gap down open 23192 below 15 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 23113, 23063 💫big gapdown open 23113 above hold 1st positive trade view 💫big Gapup opening 23332 below nigetive trade view 📌For education purpose I'm not responsible your trade More education following me
NSE:NIFTY
by mayuraj_820
1
Trade War PerspectiveSure, tune in to your favorite youtube finance doomer or the news, and it will sound like the end of the world has arrived. I personally feel like this tariff crisis is cover to air out all the dirty laundry that's been hidden the last few years. The AI bubble, the stimmy repayment, the imaginary gold, the "forgot how to grow economy" (credit that last one to Eurodollar University), etc etc. Take a look at this chart. If this is "the end" we have BARELY begun the descent. These types of corrections happen routinely. The point is, don't panic. STICK TO YOUR STRATEGY and don't get emotional. Good luck out there. Don't get flushed down the tariff toilet.
SP:SPX
by MonsterStockPicks
Gold-----Buy near 3140, target 3160-3180Gold market analysis: The international situation is very unstable, the situation in the Middle East, the situation in Russia and Ukraine, plus Trump's trade war, it is difficult for gold to show a weekly decline. The tariffs were released again last night, causing gold to rise strongly. Today's thinking is undoubtedly to continue to be bullish. Today we will first look for structural support to go long. There was a decline in the Asian session, and the daily moving average began to rise. Today, it will be repaired first and then pulled up. In terms of gold pattern, 3134 is the strong pattern support in the Asian session, and the small support is around 3140. Bulls will play at this position. We estimate that there will be a few pulls in the Asian session today. The range of getting on the train is around 3134-3140. The strong support has reached around 3110. If this position is not broken, it is basically difficult to change the buying trend during the day. In addition, tomorrow is the non-agricultural data, and we estimate that such buying will reach the non-agricultural data. Support 3134-3140, strong support 3120 and 3110, strong pressure is invisible, small pressure today's high point, the strength and weakness watershed of the market is 3134. Operation suggestion: Gold-----Buy near 3140, target 3160-3180
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BraveTigercat
XAUUSD SELL TARGET SUCCESSFUL HITTING READ IN CAPTIONSThis chart shows Gold (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, with various key technical levels identified, including order blocks, FVG (Fair Value Gap), and target zones. Here's an analysis based on the chart: Key Observations: 1. Price Action: - The price of Gold has been moving in an ascending triangle pattern (denoted by the blue trendlines). Ascending triangles are typically bullish continuation patterns, where the price makes higher lows while encountering resistance at the top. In this case, the price is pushing upwards but facing resistance at around 3,147.84. - The price recently tested the FVG gap near 3,138.94, suggesting that the market might be filling an imbalance before continuing its movement. 2. FVG (Fair Value Gap): - The FVG identified between 3,138.94 and 3,147.84 represents an area where the price imbalance exists. In many cases, the market tends to revisit this gap to "fill" it before continuing its direction. The price has already started filling the gap, and traders often look for reversals in these areas. 3. Order Block:- The order block located around 3,163.99 indicates a zone of heavy selling pressure or institutional activity. This is an area where price previously faced rejection, making it a potential resistance zone. It might play a significant role if the price tries to move upward again. 4. Downward Move & Target: - After filling the FVG, the price has made a sharp downward movement, indicating that the bearish pressure has taken over. The target for this move is set at 3,100, which could be the next area of support. If the price continues its downward trajectory, it may eventually test this target area. - The target completion at 3,100 was reached, showing a strong bearish reaction after filling the gap. 5. Volume Analysis: - The volume bars indicate increased selling volume during the downward movement, especially around the time the price hit the FVG gap. This suggests that the market is more willing to sell after filling the gap, signaling strong selling interest. Potential Scenarios: 1. Bearish Continuation:
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Joan_Pro_Trader
USOILThis chart shows the WTI Crude Oil (CL) on a 1-hour timeframe with key levels and potential trade setups based on the FVG (Fair Value Gap) and support and resistance zones. Here's a breakdown of the analysis: Key Observations: 1. Support and Resistance Levels: - Support Level: The price has recently tested the support level around 69.00. This area has acted as a bounce zone previously, which shows that buyers might be looking to enter the market here again. - Resistance Level: The resistance level is around 71.50 to 72.00. This level was previously tested multiple times, and each time the price faced rejection from this level, making it a key area for potential price reversal. 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG): - There is a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 70.50 and 71.00. This gap represents a price imbalance where the market might eventually return to fill it. As the price is currently moving downwards, it suggests a potential retracement or reversal toward this gap in the near future. 3. Price Action: - The price has recently shown a downward movement, breaking below the support zone at 69.00. After a sharp decline, there is a possibility of retracement towards the FVG area around 70.50.- Volume: The volume bars show significant buying pressure around the support zone, followed by decreasing volume during the price decline. This could indicate that the selling momentum is weakening, and a retracement towards the FVG area is likely. Potential Scenarios: 1. Bullish Retracement Towards FVG: - After the price dropped towards 69.00, it could now retrace towards the FVG gap around 70.50. The FVG gap might act as a resistance zone if the price attempts to fill it. If this happens, the price might face resistance at this gap level before turning downward again. 2. Bearish Continuation: - If the price fails to hold above 69.00 and breaks further below this support level, it could continue to decline towards the next support zone below 68.50. This would invalidate the retracement scenario and suggest a bearish continuation. 3. Bullish Reversal from Support: - If the price finds support at 69.00 and shows bullish price action (like a bullish engulfing candle or a strong green candle), a reversal could occur, and the price may start moving back toward the FVG gap. A break above the FVG gap could lead to a further rally toward the resistance zone around 71.50. 4. Target Completion:
TVC:USOILLong
by Joan_Pro_Trader
GBP/JPY Technical Analysis: Bearish Rejection at Key Resistance?This chart represents a GBP/JPY (British Pound / Japanese Yen) 30-minute timeframe analysis. Here are the key takeaways: Technical Indicators & Levels Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) 200 EMA (Blue Line): 193.586 – A long-term trend indicator. 30 EMA (Red Line): 193.182 – A short-term trend indicator. Key Levels Resistance Zone (Stop Loss Level): 193.968 Support/Target Zone: 191.628 Current Price: 193.255 (as per the last recorded candle) Trade Setup & Market Structure Bearish Outlook (Sell Scenario) The price is approaching a strong resistance zone (193.968), which aligns with the 200 EMA. The price might reject this level and drop toward the target area of 191.628 (approx. 1.00% downside). The drawn price path suggests a possible retest of resistance before a bearish move. Bullish Reversal (Invalidation of Bearish Setup) If the price breaks and holds above 193.968, it could invalidate the bearish setup and push higher. A sustained move above the 200 EMA may indicate a trend shift to bullish. Conclusion Bearish bias as long as the price stays below 193.968. A possible short trade opportunity if resistance holds, targeting 191.628. Caution: If price breaks above resistance, it could lead to a bullish breakout
Short
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
DGKC | Is This Cup & Handle Pattern?Here we have a classic pattern and price dynamics. A major high leads to a low and then a recovery wave. The recovery wave peaks before reaching the previous high and this reveals that a new drop is approaching. Trading volume is low on the current rise and the latter part of it goes into a parabola. A parabola can only end in a retrace. DGKC is now set to produce a correction, this correction is set to develop in the short- to mid-term. RSI indicator if at over bought level while MACD is line is above the signal line, and can show a cross over which establish some negative stance on the price. Fibonacci levels for the support are PkR123 (0.382 level) and PkR119 (0.5 level) from where a pull back can be expected On the flip side, if the price gives a break out and closed above PkR137 level then only new bullish wave is expected.
PSX:DGKCShort
by mbaberhanif