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Trend Analysis

Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 1, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for July 1, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📊 Core Inflation Edges Higher May’s core inflation rose unexpectedly to 2.7% year-over-year, up from 2.6%, casting uncertainty over the Fed’s timeline for rate cuts. While headline CPI sits at 2.3%, the resilience in underlying prices complicates policymakers’ projections for later this year 💵 Weak Dollar, Rising Rate-Cut Bets Markets are reacting to “summertime data”—like the core CPI uptick—with renewed optimism. Traders now see up to 75 bps in Fed rate cuts later this year, while the dollar remains near 3½-year lows on concerns about Powell’s independence and trade developments 🇨🇦 U.S.–Canada Trade Talks Resume Trade talks between the U.S. and Canada restarted today, following Ottawa’s suspension of its digital-services tax. Progress toward a broader agreement could reduce tariff risk and offer further relief to risk assets 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Tuesday, July 1: All Day – U.S.–Canada Trade Talks Markets will watch for updates on tariff resolution and broader trade deals. Any breakthrough could notably boost equities and improve trade sentiment. 10:00 AM ET – ISM Manufacturing PMI (June) A below-50 reading again would reinforce the narrative of industrial weakness. A rebound could support equities and temper recession concerns 10:00 AM ET – JOLTS Job Openings (May) Still at elevated levels (~7.39 million in April), this metric assesses labor-market resilience. A decline could shift rate-cut expectations. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Consult a licensed financial advisor before investing. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
AAPL Significant Event NASDAQ:AAPL 1. Bullish Breakout : In the daily chart bullish breakout has been seen. If the bullish momentum is strong, the price may follow the upward. 2. Target Price : Potential target price 214 3. Risk Factors: A. Failure to breakout the resistance 206 B. Sideways trend may be started. C. Broader market weakness or correction D. False Breakouts --------------------- Note : If you’re interested in receiving detailed technical analysis reports on your selected stocks, feel free to reach out to me. I can provide you with customized reports covering trends, key levels, momentum, patterns, and price projections to support your trading or investment decisions.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Abirstock
06/30/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis EOD accountability report: +212 Sleep: 7 hours Overall health: Good, caught up on workout and sleep over the weekend. ** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 2/4 success** — 12:20 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal :x: — 12:30 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!:check: — 1:55 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Buy Signal :x: — 2:00 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! :check: **What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? ** The X1 Signals today has been happening after market structure signals and usally that means MM is going to change the direction to the opposite way to scam us. Based on that, I decided to lock out my account after making $200 today so i don't get caught in the scam. News EU TO ACCEPT TRUMP’S UNIVERSAL TARIFF BUT SEEKS KEY EXEMPTIONS — 2:07 PM What are the critical support levels to watch? --> Above 6240= Bullish, Under 6210= Bearish Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007
Trade Review: Why I Ejected GOOGL Before the SlideNASDAQ:GOOGL Friday looked promising: Alphabet ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) briefly punched above a six-month down-trend line on 1.5× average volume. But by Monday’s open the tape screamed “supply.” Here’s the quick anatomy of the cut—and why capital rotation beats hope every time. What I Wanted A clean break through 178 → trend-line flip into support → momentum push toward the 200-210 supply shelf. What I Got • Effort ≠ result: 63 M shares traded yet price closed near the session low. • RS line refused to make new highs; mega-cap peers out-performed. • The “line-in-sand” (21-EMA / 172.50) was threatened at Monday’s open. Decision Rule “Breakouts must work right away—if they don’t, sell quick.” – Mark Minervini I pulled the ripcord at 176.18, a hair below my entry, preserving both cash and mental capital. Result -1.2 % paper cut, +$11K buying power released for higher-grade setups (BSX, SMCI). Key Lesson Great trades start with statistics, not stories. When the odds flip against you—even with an 8 : 1 theoretical R:R—the right move is to recycle ammo into the next A-setup.
NASDAQ:GOOGL
by KT_Charts
Gold Bounces Off Trendline as Bulls Defend Structure Ahead of $3Gold (XAU/USD) has rebounded sharply from its rising trendline support and 50-day SMA (around $3,221), suggesting that the broader bullish trend remains intact despite recent consolidation below the $3,430 resistance. The uptrend from the December 2024 lows continues to hold, anchored by a sequence of higher lows and a clear ascending trendline. The recent dip toward the trendline was met with firm buying, resulting in a strong bullish candle on the daily chart. Price action now sets up a potential retest of the $3,430 horizontal resistance — a key level that has capped multiple rallies over the past few months. Momentum indicators paint a mixed but improving picture. The RSI has bounced from just below 40 to 46.64, avoiding oversold territory and hinting at a potential momentum recovery. Meanwhile, the MACD remains in negative territory but is beginning to flatten, signaling a possible shift in short-term momentum. A confirmed breakout above $3,430 would mark a resumption of the broader bullish leg and expose gold to new highs. However, a breakdown below trendline support would invalidate the current structure and shift focus toward the 200-day SMA near $2,924. For now, the trendline bounce gives bulls the upper hand, keeping the upside scenario in play. -MW
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
German CPI flatlines, eurozone CPI nextThe euro is up for an eighth consecutive day and has gained 2.4% during that time. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1738, up 0.36% on the day. German inflation data on Monday pointed to a weakening German economy. The CPI report indicated that the deflationary process slowly continues. The inflation rate for June came in at 0% m/m, down from 0.1% in May and below the consensus of 0.2%. Annually, inflation dropped to 2.0% from 2.1% and below the consensus of 2.1%. The eurozone releases its CPI report on Tuesday. Inflation has been dropping in small increments and has now fallen to the European Central Bank's inflation target of 2%. The ECB cut the deposit rate to 2.0% earlier in June and meets next in July. Although eurozone inflation is largely contained, there are concerns about the impact that US tariffs and counter-tariffs by US trading partners could have on the inflation picture. The ECB is likely to maintain rates in July but could lower rates in September if disinflation continues. The US continues to show signs that the economy is slowing down. Last week, GDP was revised downwards to -0.5% in the first quarter. This was followed by US consumer spending for May (PCE) which posted a 0.1% decline, following a 0.2% gain in April and shy of the consensus of 0.1%. This was the first contraction since January. If economic data continues to head lower, pressure will increase on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, which isn't expected before the September meeting. EUR/USD is testing resistance at 1.1755. Above, there is resistance at 1.1791 1.1718 and 1.1682 are the next support levels
by OANDA
$NSE:NTPC : A Powerhouse with Multibagger Potential?I’ve been reviewing NTPC Ltd ( NSE:NTPC ), India’s largest power generation company, and I see promising long-term potential as the company pivots towards cleaner energy and expands capacity to support India’s growing energy needs. Why I See Multibagger Potential Green energy pivot: NTPC is transforming from a thermal-heavy player to a clean energy leader — the transition opens huge long-term value. Undemanding valuation: Despite the growth visibility, NTPC trades at reasonable PE and PB multiples, offering valuation comfort. Policy tailwinds: Strong government focus on energy security, renewables, and electrification will continue to favor NTPC. Execution strength: NTPC has a long history of successfully executing large-scale projects on time and within budget. Just Accumulate near it best support Green AREA ! oNLY IN cASH tHANKS
NSE:NTPCLong
by Jivayu
SPY Technical Analysis! SELL! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on SPY and concluded the following: The market is trading on 614.85 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 586.37 Safe Stop Loss - 631.68 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AMEX:SPYShort
by AnabelSignals
3
July 1 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis Hello This is Bitcoin Guide. If you "follow" You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections. If my analysis was helpful, Please click the booster button at the bottom. Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. Shortly later at 10:30 PM and 11:00 PM, there will be a NASDAQ index announcement. On the left, with a purple finger, I connected the long position entry point of $106,775.9, which I entered yesterday, to today's strategy. Since the rebound was not strong yesterday, the 12-hour chart -> daily chart MACD dead cross is currently under pressure. Depending on the situation, it can drop strongly to the 3rd section at the bottom, and since there may be some people who are maintaining long positions yesterday, I will explain in detail the operating method such as the loss cut price, so please check it carefully. *When the blue finger moves, Bidirectional neutral Short->Long switching strategy 1. 107,300.3 dollars short position entry section / stop loss price when orange resistance line is broken 2. 106,222.2 dollars long position switching / stop loss price when section 2 is touched 3. Top section long position 1st target -> Good 2nd target It is important until 9 o'clock when the 12-hour candle is created. After 9 o'clock, the blue finger 106,222.2 dollars at the bottom Becomes the main support line If it comes down from the current position, section 2 The main support line is divided. In terms of the pattern, it is section 6+12. If section 2 is touched right away, There is a high possibility of a strong drop today, So you should be careful. - Those who are maintaining a long position If you touch the 2nd section before 9 PM without touching the short position entry point at the top You should operate at a loss cut price. I think it would be good to adjust it according to leverage. If it falls after touching the 1st section at the top It becomes a vertical decline condition. From the bottom, from the 3rd Maximum Bollinger Band daily chart support line section Please note that it can be pushed up to 100,685.5 dollars. I have never changed my perspective suddenly or irresponsibly after leaving an analysis article. I did my best until the end today. Please use my analysis article so far only for reference and use I hope you operate safely with principle trading and loss cut prices. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by BitCoinGuide
XAUUSD GOING SHORTGOLD has recently broken its last low, shifting market structure (CHOCH) and indicating sellers are currently in control. This break opened up 2 clear Supply Zone above — a small base or last bullish candle before the drop — which is a key area where unfulfilled sell orders may be resting. Price is likely to retrace back into these Supply Zone to fill those orders. Once it reaches this area, we expect selling pressure to resume and push price downward, honoring the imbalance left by the drop. Entry: I’m looking to sell from this Supply Zone on a pullback, This lets me enter at a premium price while trading in direction of the newly established downward momentum. Target: The first Target Profit (TP) is set at the next Demand Zone below, where buying pressure might emerge. This Demand Zone is a key area to watch for a reversal or a temporary halt in downward momentum. Stop Loss: To control risk, the Stop Loss (SL) is placed just above the Supply Zone. If price climbs above this area, it would invalidate the Supply’s ability to hold, signalling a potential reversal. ✅ Summary: • Market has shifted to bearish after breaking last low. • Supply Zone above is a key area to watch for selling opportunities. • Sell upon retracement into Supply, with Stop Loss above and Target at Demand below.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by AFOKE
1
Bitcoin H4 | Potential bullish bounce off an overlap supportBitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 106,535.50 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 104,600.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 108,808.50 which is a multi-swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:BTCUSDLong
by Tradu