Trend Analysis
30minutes | Bitcoin | Analysis | 25/12/2024Asalam.o.alaikum (Hi) Community,
Merry Chirstmas to you!
Hope you are fine and doing all of your great, so about yesterday analysis, we have seen exactly formations of IFC's and fulfilling all the demand that was conflicted in previous days. So for today we can see the recovery of unconditional bull move as following:
Bullish
Yesterday, we measured the very fast bull move, it seems like bull wants to gain the profit as soon as possible (quickly). But remember bull move speed is not fast as we are seeing, bull speed always remains slow as compared to bearish one. So, If market breaks the Volume Charging Triangle upside without any retest, the formation of huge IFC's will continues happening and we can see the rejection/reversal upon the mentioned upside area.
Bearish
If talk about the confirmation, we have many evidence for bearish move. Like in Weekly time frame there is proper sell indication as bull investor interest lies upon maximum bottom price area. Similarly, in Daily timeframe market is facing the supply, as well as in 30mins. But remember we are at the central area of the market so it's quite unfair area for the entry.
So we have these key levels. Let measure the upcoming move.
Cheers,
Thanks!
Intikhab Gillani MOCHH
Analyst (Ultra Securities & Hedge Funds PvT Limited Pakistan)
25/12/2024
GOLD FOR SCALPING TODAYThis Scalping FORECAST
Opportunity for GOLD. This setup is my trading idea/plan, if you want to follow: trade at your own risk (TAYOR).
Risk Factors:
1. Market conditions, unexpected news, or external events could impact the trade.
2. Always use risk management strategies to protect your capital.
USDCAD Analysis:USDCAD has been trending strongly upwards over the past 3 months, with price action indicating a potential push towards the weekly high to seek liquidity. Notably, the previous resistance level has flipped into support, providing a bullish foundation.
From a fundamental perspective, the latest COT report reveals that non-commercials are aggressively selling their Canadian dollar positions. Given the USD/CAD pairing, a weaker CAD suggests further upside potential. As a result, we may witness more explosive moves to the upside in the USDCAD pair.
Micron Technology (MU)- Dual Scenarios Emerging from Key LevelsMicron Technology Inc. (NASDAQ: MU) - Navigating Key Levels with Analyst Insights
Micron Technology (MU) is at a pivotal juncture, trading between significant support and resistance levels. While the technical chart suggests dual possibilities for the price movement, analyst projections and ratings further highlight the stock's potential for the coming year.
Chart Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Support and Resistance:
The support trendline near $87 has proven to be a robust base for Micron.
On the other hand, the resistance zone at $115-$120 marks a key hurdle for any bullish breakout.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Case: A breakout above $120 could see the stock targeting $140 and $160, marking a continuation of its broader uptrend.
Bearish Case: Failure to hold the $85 support and the ascending trendline could lead to a retracement toward $70 or lower.
Analyst Insights: 1-Year Forecast
Average Price Target: $132.01 (a potential upside of +47.87% from current levels).
Maximum Estimate: $250 (a whopping +180.02% upside).
Minimum Estimate: $31.66 (a downside risk of -64.54%).
The analyst ratings further reinforce the bullish sentiment:
27 analysts recommend a Strong Buy.
9 analysts suggest a Buy.
Only 1 analyst lists it as a Strong Sell.
This positive outlook aligns with the bullish potential of a breakout above the $120 level.
Trading Plan Based on the Setup
Bullish Setup:
Entry: Above $120 with volume confirmation.
Targets: $114, $120, $140 and $160.
Stop-Loss: Below $85.
Bearish Setup:
Entry: Below $85.
Targets: $70 and $63.
Stop-Loss: Above $87
What’s your outlook for Micron? Will it surge past $120 or retreat toward $70? Share your thoughts below and let’s discuss! 📈🚀
⚠️ Disclaimer: This blog is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your research before making investment decisions.
BTC.D When ALT season?BTC Dominance (BTC.D) – Updated Technical Outlook
The BTC Dominance chart reflects Bitcoin's performance relative to the altcoin market. Here’s an analysis:
Key Levels and Observations:
1. Resistance at 58.47% and 61.31%:
- BTC.D attempted to breach the 58.47% resistance but faced rejection, leading to a pullback.
- The 61.31% level, marked as a key Fibonacci retracement, remains a significant hurdle for further upside momentum.
2. Support at 55.76% and 54.57%:
- The first notable support lies around 55.76%, aligning with a historical horizontal support zone and the yellow trendline.
- If this level is breached, the next support at 54.57% may come into play, potentially leading to increased altcoin strength.
3. Trendlines and Channels:
- BTC.D continues to respect the rising yellow trendline, indicating that the long-term bullish trend is intact.
- The dotted red channel lines act as a dynamic resistance zone for future attempts to reclaim dominance above 60%.
4. Volume Trends:
- Volume levels show declining momentum during the recent pullback, which could indicate temporary weakness rather than a full reversal.
- A volume breakout above 58.47% would confirm renewed dominance for Bitcoin.
5. Long-Term Perspective:
- BTC.D has maintained a higher-high, higher-low structure, suggesting bullish market sentiment for Bitcoin dominance over the medium term.
- However, consolidation between the 55.76% and 58.47% range could signal indecision before the next significant move.
Potential Scenarios to Watch:
1. Bullish Scenario:
- A breakout above the 58.47% resistance would open the door for BTC.D to challenge the 61.31% level.
- Sustained dominance above 61.31% would likely indicate Bitcoin outperforming altcoins across the board.
2. Bearish Scenario:
- If BTC.D loses the 55.76% support and breaks below the rising trendline, it could shift momentum in favor of altcoins.
- Key downside targets would then include 54.57% and the stronger support zone at 52.97%.
TESLA TO THE MOON AFTER BREAK OF SUPPLY ROOF Tesla stocks is going moon on Political Influence and Regulatory Expectations: The recent election of Donald Trump has sparked optimism among investors regarding the future of autonomous vehicles and potential regulatory easing. Many believe that the Trump administration will facilitate a more favorable environment for Tesla's self-driving initiatives, which has contributed to a significant rally in Tesla's stock price .
the diversification of tesla investment portfolio in aerospace , renewable energy ,AI and robotics will keep tesla seeing liquidity floor .
BTC.D Chart: A Bullish Signal for Altcoin HoldersRight now, I can't find a better example of a rising wedge breakdown and retest on the weekly timeframe than on the BTC dominance chart. This is incredibly promising for anyone holding altcoins
Six months to glory for our alts !!
ETHBTC to the moon in Q1
XAUUSD NEXT WEEK SIGNAL UPDATE FIND HEREHello fellows here is the next week signal of XAUUSD(Gold) the current price is 2623 i am looking to the next movement in buying area the take profits are given further you can view my chart ,
Targets are 2660-2690 support 1 is 2684-2650 .
Support me with your likes and comments follow me for more signals if you have any question you can ask me in comment section.
trxusdt shortTRXUSDT
SHORT
💎Please don't be greedy
ENTRY : yellow point
TP : blue lines
SL :
below red line for LONG position
above red line for SHORT position
⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 1:
Please respect the yellow entry point, otherwise you risk entering too early before my strategy or too far, thus reducing gains and aggravating losses in the event of a stop loss
⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 2:
For risk and money management:
5% of your wallet for LEV X ≤20
And
3% of your wallet for LEV X ≥ 20
XAUUSD on Rising wedge Market is slow because of Christmas.
What possible scenario we have at moment?
As Market rejected multiple times from 2632 resistance area also rejected from bottom support2690.
Gold is on Rising wedge here 2610 support is playing a crucial role,as i mentioned in my yesterday commentary if any H4 candle below 2610 we will trade on bearish side till 2590, will be our first traget.
On the other hand,if XAUUSD remain above 2610 it will be in rising wedge,our eyes will at 2632 first and our optimal target will be 2660.
NVDA at supportNVDA is at a major support level. NVDA hit an intraday low of 127 today. Based on multiple technical indicators, NVDA is a buy around the 125 price zone.
VWMA20 = 140
VWMA50 = 140
VWMA100 = 125
TTCATR S3 = 123
Trade idea:
Long = 127
Stop = 123
Profit = 155
1) buy 100 shares
2) buy 125 call
3) long call spread
sell 155 call
buy 125 call
4) short put spread
buy 125 put
sell 155 put
Options data:
12/20/24 expiry
Put Volume Total 318,966
Call Volume Total 380,956
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.84
Put Open Interest Total 2,304,003
Call Open Interest Total 3,040,469
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.76
1/17/25 expiry
Put Volume Total 41,472
Call Volume Total 97,747
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.42
Put Open Interest Total 4,177,795
Call Open Interest Total 3,391,793
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.23
2/21/25 expiry
Put Volume Total 24,905
Call Volume Total 46,275
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.54
Put Open Interest Total 1,009,356
Call Open Interest Total 1,217,139
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.83
Scalping ETH thesis investment Ethereum (ETH) Trading Thesis – Summary
Objective:
Take Profit (TP): $3,500
Stop Loss (SL): $3,440
Overview: Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency, remains a leading platform for decentralized applications and smart contracts. As of December 24, 2024, ETH shows strong growth potential driven by technological advancements and increased adoption.
Technical Analysis:
Take Profit at $3,500: Identified as a key resistance level based on historical data and Fibonacci retracement, indicating potential bullish momentum.
Stop Loss at $3,440: Placed just below recent support to minimize losses if the price declines.
Indicators:
Moving averages (50-day and 200-day) suggest upward momentum.
RSI nearing overbought levels signals strong buying interest.
Increasing trading volumes support the current trend towards the TP target.
Risk Management:
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:1, balancing potential gains and losses.
Position Sizing: Limit risk to a small percentage of the portfolio (e.g., 2%) to manage exposure.
Diversification: Maintain a varied portfolio to mitigate overall risk.
Fundamental Catalysts:
Ethereum 2.0 Upgrades: Enhancements in scalability and efficiency bolster ETH’s value.
Growth in DeFi and NFTs: Increased demand from decentralized finance and non-fungible tokens sectors.
Institutional Adoption: Growing interest from institutional investors supports price stability and growth.
Potential Risks:
Regulatory Changes: New regulations could negatively impact ETH’s price and adoption.
Market Volatility: High volatility may trigger stop losses or limit profit potential.
Technological Delays: Setbacks in Ethereum’s development could affect investor confidence.
Conclusion: Ethereum presents a promising trading opportunity with a clear strategy to take profit at $3,500 and limit losses at $3,440. Effective risk management and ongoing monitoring of market and technical indicators are essential for capitalizing on ETH’s potential upward movement.
Disclaimer: This summary is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Conduct your own research and consider your financial situation before making investment decisions.