Gold: Dual Impact of NFP and Geopolitical RisksGood morning, everyone!
Yesterday’s intense market fluctuations made fortunes for some and losses for others overnight.
As time progresses, we see clearly on the 30-minute chart that MA60 has shifted downward from around 2770 to 2760, while the primary uptrend support has moved up from 2730 to approximately 2740. This suggests that, under MA60 resistance, gold might retrace to test support near 2740.
Meanwhile, the upcoming Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) and unemployment data will be key drivers for gold’s direction. And don’t overlook another major factor: a potential response from Iran, which could bolster gold’s safe-haven demand.
After reading this, do you feel more clear on your trading strategy? If not, feel free to read it again, or reach out to me—I’m here to help clarify and refine your approach!
Trend Analysis
Recognize the problems that you have..Trading is a complex venture that involves understanding financial instruments, charts, patterns, market conditions, risk management and other factors.
Becoming a successful trader requires more than technical knowledge. You also need to develop the right mindset to navigate the psychological intricacies of trading.
Human emotion, instinct, and behavior can profoundly impact your decision-making process. That’s why it’s important to understand trading psychology.
~ OGwavetrader
XAUUSD Gold trend analysis todayI know many people are waiting for my analysis today.
The next trend analysis of gold is drawn in the chart using the hourly cycle.
(1): Technical analysis of the bull market
The current key price pressure levels are in the following order:
2758-2760 range
2770 area
2778-2780 range
2790-2800 range.
All of the above are the prices we need to pay attention to when we are long. They are of great significance to the transaction and directly determine your offense and defense.
(2): Technical analysis of the bear market
We need to consider the worst possible scenario, after all, today is Friday.
The current key price support levels are in the following order:
2758-2760 range
2753 area
2736-2740 range
2710-2720 area
Near 2680
We cannot predict the unknown, but we can clearly make a reasonable trading plan based on the current situation
My deduction basically covers the essence of all technical models, which is a summary of experience and wisdom
You can clearly see the graphics I drew to learn
Reasonable division and fractal
So at present we regard 2758-2760 as an important watershed between longs and shorts
Important range for intraday trading today
Next I will continue to update and optimize the next trend. Thank you for your attention. Please support us by liking and sharing the post. And leave your views in the comment section
Dogecoin: Elon Musk Wins Lawsuit Over PAC’s $1M Voter GiveawayIn a turn of events that's stirring both the political and crypto worlds, Elon Musk has scored a legal victory amid mounting controversies over his $1 million voter giveaway initiative. This comes as the U.S. election looms, with Musk's Political Action Committee (PAC), America PAC, under scrutiny for potentially swaying voters through financial incentives. While Philadelphia District Attorney Larry Krasner's efforts to halt the campaign have faced judicial setbacks, Musk's influence continues to ripple through the markets, notably impacting CRYPTOCAP:DOGE , a cryptocurrency closely associated with the Tesla CEO.
Legal Rulings and Election Implications
As of October 31st, Pennsylvania state judge Angelo Foglietta has allowed Musk's giveaway to proceed, pending further federal review. Krasner argues the PAC’s financial incentives could unduly influence the election process, citing the giveaway as potentially illegal under state consumer protection laws. However, Musk's defense frames the case as one raising federal questions around free speech and voter engagement, maintaining that the initiative falls within legal bounds as it targets voters in seven key swing states, including Pennsylvania, Arizona, and Michigan.
Federal prosecutors have issued warnings over the initiative, suggesting it may conflict with laws against compensating voters. Critics further question the transparency of Musk’s campaign, particularly concerning how recipients are chosen and how collected data is managed. Compounding the scrutiny, Musk has voiced support for Donald Trump and allocated substantial PAC funds to mobilize Trump’s base, with reports indicating over $120 million spent on outreach campaigns and social media efforts.
Musk’s Influence and CRYPTOCAP:DOGE Price Action
With Musk's prominent role as a driver of Dogecoin’s market value, his involvement in U.S. political controversies is also affecting CRYPTOCAP:DOGE ’s price action. The announcement and ongoing legal proceedings initially sparked volatility, as traders awaited clarity on Musk’s standing and broader market sentiment. Currently, CRYPTOCAP:DOGE is down 2.83%, yet technical indicators suggest that Musk's legal stance and the upcoming election could renew upward momentum if positive news emerges.
Despite recent downward pressure, CRYPTOCAP:DOGE ’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) holds at 63, signaling resilience within a still-active bullish trend. Moreover, the cryptocurrency’s price pattern showcases a symmetrical triangle, a technical structure typically indicative of a possible breakout. With the 63 RSI level implying remaining buyer interest, CRYPTOCAP:DOGE could shift positively if Musk’s influence within the crypto space is reinforced by the PAC’s successful performance or favorable election outcomes.
Analyzing CRYPTOCAP:DOGE ’s Technical Setup
As CRYPTOCAP:DOGE trades within a bullish symmetrical triangle, there are signs of an impending price move. Key support levels include $0.15, while resistance at the upper triangle boundary may test CRYPTOCAP:DOGE 's rally strength. If Musk’s influence reignites bullish sentiment in CRYPTOCAP:DOGE , the breakout from this pattern could result in substantial gains for holders. As the election and PAC developments unfold, Musk’s advocacy for CRYPTOCAP:DOGE , coupled with his high-profile election activities, are set to keep CRYPTOCAP:DOGE traders closely watching.
The Bottom Line
With Elon Musk entangled in election-related legal proceedings and Musk’s America PAC controversy looming large, the impact on CRYPTOCAP:DOGE remains a focal point for traders and enthusiasts alike. For those tracking CRYPTOCAP:DOGE , the correlation between Musk’s actions and the crypto’s price movement underscores his ongoing influence. As the election nears and the legal landscape shifts, Musk’s success in court may very well align with CRYPTOCAP:DOGE ’s next breakout, potentially providing significant opportunities for the coin’s traders.
XAGUSD LONG-ScalpingThis is a high-risk trade setup. While I believe silver has more room for a rally, I expect it may need a significant drop first—that's what my instincts say. However, based on the charts, I’ve decided to go long as the price action has been resilient and seems poised to recover from yesterday's bearish whipsaw candle. Reminder: this is a high-risk trade with 0.50% capital at risk.
DOW JONES: Bottom of the Channel Up.Dow Jones turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.00, MACD = 51.000, ADX = 21.000) as it almost hit the bottom of the Channel Up pattern. It is about to form a Death Cross on the 4H timeframe, which will be the first since August 8th that was technically the bottom of July's correction and start of the current Channel Up. We expect the bottom to be priced either today or tomorrow and the RR is good enough to buy. We aim for the 1.5 Fibonacci level (TP = 44,000), which priced the previous two HH.
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GER40 Trade LogTrade Setup (31/10/2024) - GER40 Long in 4H FVG
1. Setup: Enter long within the 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), identifying this zone as a potential support area for a bullish move.
2. Entry strategy:
- Target: 1:2 RRR.
- Risk: 1% of account.
- Confirmation: Look for bullish reversal signals or strong support within the 4H FVG, such as a bullish candlestick pattern or rejection wick.
3. Stop-loss and take-profit:
- Place stop-loss just below the lower boundary of the 4H FVG to manage downside risk.
- Set take-profit at twice the distance of the stop-loss to maintain a 1:2 RRR.
4. Additional considerations:
- Monitor European market sentiment and any upcoming economic news that could impact GER40.
- Wait for clear bullish signs within the FVG to ensure a higher probability of a successful trade.
This approach focuses on capitalizing on potential bullish momentum if price finds support in the 4H FVG.
You get this opportunity once in 4 yearsHelloOOoooo
this one of the safest entries for XRP
if you look at XRP/BTC chart you will see this is the most important level since 2014!
last time CRYPTOCAP:XRP bounced from it was in 2020 1400 days ago
also, we have bullish RSI and MACD divergence on weekly timeframe
imo XRP going to pump to 0.5 FIB level which is about 400% from here
good luck!
WTIIf the analysis aligns with the market's actual direction, and the currency pair moves in the anticipated direction (up for a buy trade or down for a sell trade), the trade will likely yield a profit. The magnitude of the profit will depend on the size of the price movement, position size, and leverage used.
GBPAUD -UK will continue its economic growth?!The GBPAUD currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its upward channel. In case of upward correction, we can see the supply zone and sell within that zone with appropriate risk reward.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has forecast that Asia’s economy will grow by 4.6% in 2024 and by 4.4% in 2025. Downward price pressures from China could impact countries with similar export structures and lead to trade tensions.
The UK Debt Management Office (DMO) plans to auction £59.2 billion in conventional long-term government bonds in the fiscal year 2024-2025. According to the DMO, the net issuance of government bonds for this fiscal year is projected to reach £296.9 billion.
Meanwhile, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has indicated that the previous government did not provide all necessary information, and if it had, their spring budget forecast would have been significantly different.
OBR forecasts suggest that the consumer price index (CPI) will reach 2.6% in 2025 (compared to the 1.5% forecast in March), 2.3% in 2026 (March forecast 1.6%), 2.1% in 2027 (March forecast 1.9%), 2.1% in 2028 (March forecast 2.0%), and 2.0% in 2029.
The forecasts also project GDP growth of 2.0% in 2025 (March forecast 1.9%), 1.8% in 2026 (March forecast 2.0%), 1.5% in 2027 (March forecast 1.8%), 1.5% in 2028 (March forecast 1.7%), and 1.6% in 2029.
Reeves, the UK Chancellor, stated that there will be more plans aimed at boosting economic growth. Yesterday, the UK sold £2.25 billion in bonds maturing in 2053, with a bid-to-cover ratio (B/C) of 3.15, up from the previous 3.08. The average yield on these bonds was 4.831%, higher than the previous yield of 4.735%.
MARI potential Buy setupReasons for bullish bias:
- Fundamentally a very strong company
- Price respecting upward trendline and is at 0.382 Fib level
- Overall a bullish trend
- Divergence also getting synched
Here are the recommended trading levels:
Buy 1: 402 (CMP is also good)
Buy 2: 384.19
Stop Loss Level: Closing below 355.8
Take Profit Level 1: 482.91
Take Profit Level 2: Open
BTC ANALYSIS REVIEW"As anticipated, BTC offered a solid buying opportunity after breaking through the order block. I entered the trade following a confirmed break on the 15-minute timeframe, with a retest and rejection on the 5-minute timeframe. My stop-loss is positioned below the swing low, with the target profit near the next upper order block. I've already secured 40% profit at a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio, and I plan to fully exit at 1:5. Follow for more trade insights and setups!"
#QNT (SPOT) entry range( 53.7- 61.7)T.(131.8) SL(50.0)BINANCE:QNTUSDT
entry range ( 53.7- 61.7)
Target1 (81.9) - Target2 (131.8)
SL .1D close below (50.0)
Golden Advices.
**********************
* collect the coin slowly in the entry range.
* Please calculate your losses before the entry.
* Do not enter any trade you find it not suitable for you.
* No FOMO - No Rush , it is a long journey.
Useful Tags.
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Gold prices continue to rise from $2750What do you think about gold today? Let's discuss and strategize for the day!
Gold (XAUUSD) fell significantly yesterday, with prices falling below $2,780 and now hovering around $2,750 — marking its best recovery since mid-October. So, what's driving the metal?
Key drivers:
Gold's uptrend is supported by fundamentals, especially the possibility of the Fed pausing rate hikes if inflation continues to slow. Additionally, geopolitical tensions and a weaker US dollar are boosting gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
XAUUSD's new outlook:
If gold holds within its current rising channel and breaks above the key resistance level of $2,790, we could see gold prices reach new highs, heading towards $2,820 or higher.
Short-term levels to watch:
Major support: $2,740 - $2,750
Major resistance: $2,780 - $2,790, with the next target at $2,820 - $2,830
Gold's potential to push higher todayGold's potential to push higher today can be attributed to a few converging factors despite recent volatility. The metal saw significant downside pressure yesterday, likely due to profit-taking after recent highs, yet it remains supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for safe-haven assets. Notably, tensions in the Middle East continue to attract investors to gold as a hedge, providing support amid concerns of an escalation in conflict
KITCO
KITCO
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Another factor involves broader financial market conditions. The dollar remains strong, which often puts pressure on gold, but the likelihood of more dovish moves from the Federal Reserve in the coming months is supporting the metal’s upward trajectory. Analysts from Goldman Sachs expect continued central bank gold purchases, particularly from emerging markets, alongside possible Fed rate cuts, which could sustain demand for gold as a hedge against fiat currency volatility
GOLDMAN SACHS
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Given these dynamics, today’s upward movement in gold could be seen as a response to both immediate geopolitical fears and a continued expectation of supportive monetary policy, potentially leading gold toward further gains in the near term.