THIs Is MY ENTIRE PLAYBOOK RIGHT HERE... The only Thing that Wor So Yeah
... because the theory is " THE HIGHER THE TIME
FRA ME , the S STRONGER the TIMEFRAME"
So... Here's the entire Step by Step process
O. IDENTIFY a HIGHER TIMEFRAME FVG ( ex. WEEK FVG )
1. Wait for price to be at LOWER TIMERAME FVG (ex. DAY FVG )
2. Wait For Price to have a Strong SWEEP ( abnormally long Wicks are preferred ) and CHOCH on 4HR-1HR-15MIN WHILE INSIDE THE DAY FVG.
3. After the CHOCH swing leg has completed, plot FIB, FVG, FRVP and establish your Context Area.
4. ENTER @ Context Area, or validate the context area first. Then enter.
These look like SWING SETUPS ( it is ), so how do I make sure I have at least one trade per day?
Scan the charts and put alarms on DAY FVGS with opposing WEEK FVGS.
Trade only the ones triggering the alarms.
Wait, I think I understand the context area now and its purpose. You don't enter inside the context area ... Here is where you " Sandbox and validate " your hypothesis that "price will pump after hitting the FVG" by making sure that price behaves the way you expect it to behave FIRST ( 1. FVG Sweep 2. CHOCH+ FVG 3. OTE ZONE TAP and RUN ), before You start looking for an entry .
It's easier to understand in programming logic .
IF WEEK FVG < - > DAY FVG EXISTS , THEN REVERSAL PROBABILITY 10%
IF PRICE STINGS DAY FVG , THEN REVERSAL PROBABILITY 20%
IF PRICE CREATES CONTEXT AREA, THEN REVERSAL PROBABILITY 40%
IF PRICE RESPECTS CONTEXT AREA, THEN REVERSAL PROBABILITY 60%
This is the point Where You go to 15min - 5m - 1min and cook up an entry.
OR, Simply enter after a 15min FVG in line with Target / Bias. Just put your SL below Sting point.
You are targeting a weekly FVG, so it's a Swing trade at this point.
Trend Analysis
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Thursday, 3rd April 2024)Bias: Bullish
USD News(Red Folder):
-Unemployment Claims
-ISM Services PMI
Analysis:
-Strong bullish momentum after US tariffs being announced
-Looking for retest of the bullish structure
-Potential BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3100
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
The DXY extends its decline, maintaining a bearish sentiment The DXY extends its decline, maintaining a bearish sentiment as it sweeps imbalances toward 100.370. Meanwhile, the gold market remains bullish, benefiting from the weakening dollar. Traders should watch for further downside in DXY and potential strength in gold FOLLOW FOR MORE INSIGHTS , COMMENT AND BOOST IDEA
Huge Buy for Gold XAUUSD (Trump announces tariffs of up to 25%)How Trump’s 25% Auto Tariffs Could Be a Huge Buy Signal for Gold
The proposed 25% tariffs on automobile imports to the U.S. by former President Donald Trump could have significant economic consequences, many of which could drive gold prices higher. Here’s why:
1. Trade War Fears and Market Uncertainty
A new wave of tariffs could escalate tensions with key trading partners, particularly the European Union, Japan, and South Korea, leading to retaliatory tariffs and a potential global trade war.
Uncertainty in global trade historically increases demand for gold as investors seek a safe haven from market volatility.
2. Higher Inflation and Rising Costs
Tariffs would increase the price of imported cars, leading to higher inflation in the U.S.
Rising inflation typically weakens consumer purchasing power and drives investors toward gold, a traditional inflation hedge.
3. Economic Slowdown and Risk of Recession
Automakers and suppliers may cut jobs or reduce production, impacting economic growth.
A slowing economy could trigger rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, which would lower bond yields and make gold even more attractive as a non-yielding asset.
4. Pressure on the U.S. Dollar
Trade conflicts can destabilize the U.S. dollar, especially if major economies reduce reliance on U.S. exports or retaliate with their own tariffs.
A weaker dollar increases the price of gold, as gold becomes cheaper for foreign investors.
5. Central Bank Demand and Gold Accumulation
If economic uncertainty rises, central banks may increase gold reserves, further boosting demand.
We’ve already seen major central banks accumulating gold at record levels, and new trade disruptions could accelerate this trend.
Conclusion: A Strong Bull Case for Gold
If Trump’s 25% auto tariffs take effect, they could trigger inflation, market volatility, and economic slowdown, all of which are bullish for gold. With central banks buying aggressively and rate cuts likely on the horizon, this could be a major buying opportunity for gold traders.
Would you buy gold in this scenario? Let me know in the comments! 🚀
Breaking: Filecoin's USDFC Now on SushiSwap $FIL To Surge 250%The Filecoin's -backed stablecoin $USDFC has extended its services to the Sushiswap platform where users can now swap USDFC seamlessly on SushiSwap, making it easier than ever to access!
Furthermore, by providing liquidity to the FIL/USDFC pool, you can earn fee income.
This strategic move by Filecoin ( LSE:FIL ) is set to make LSE:FIL go parabolic in the coming week with an anticipated 250% surge in the horizon.
As of the time of writing, Filecoin ( LSE:FIL ) is down 6.24% losing the $3 pivot currently down to $2.66. The asset is approaching oversold levels as hinted by the RSI at 37.60. However, the daily chart pattern depicts a symmetrical triangle, a breakout above the ceiling of the triangle could cement the grounds for the 250% surge.
What Is Filecoin (FIL)?
Filecoin is a decentralized storage system that aims to “store humanity’s most important information.” The project raised $205 million in an initial coin offering (ICO) in 2017, and initially planned a launch date for mid-2019. However, the launch date for the Filecoin mainnet was pushed back until block 148,888, which is expected in mid-October 2020.
Filecoin Price Live Data
The live Filecoin price today is $2.67 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $171,672,956 USD. Filecoin is down 6.34% in the last 24 hours. The current CoinMarketCap ranking is #47, with a live market cap of $1,728,274,124 USD. It has a circulating supply of 647,135,072 FIL coins and the max. supply is not available.
EOS/USDT Technical Analysis (4H Timeframe)EOS is currently showing strong bullish momentum on the 4-hour timeframe, breaking past critical resistance zones clearly highlighted by the blue lines. The immediate support level is now established around the $0.67 region, previously a significant resistance point, indicating a successful breakout and potential for further upside.
The next significant resistance to watch is around the psychological $1.00 mark, which aligns closely with the upper horizontal blue line, indicating a substantial profit-taking zone or potential reversal point if bulls lose strength.
Indicators:
Price is trading well above the 200-period SMA, indicating bullish bias.
The CM_Ult_MacD_MTF indicator shows strong upward momentum, further supporting the bullish continuation scenario.
Trade Idea:
Bullish Scenario: Maintain bullish positions targeting near-term resistance at around $1.00. Tight stops recommended below $0.67.
Bearish Scenario: If price rejection occurs strongly at the $1.00 zone, expect a potential retest of the new support near $0.67. Watch for bearish signals around the resistance.
Stay cautious at resistance levels and manage risks accordingly.
Happy trading!
SEI/USDT:BUY LIMITHello dear friends
Given the price drop we had in the specified support range, the price has been able to create higher ceilings and floors.
Now, given the good support of buyers for the price, we can buy in steps with capital and risk management and move towards the specified goals.
*Trade safely with us*
Apple - All This Was Expected!Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) perfectly plays out:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Just a couple of months ago, Apple perfectly retested the rising channel resistance trendline and has been creating the expected bearish rejection. This could perfectly form the next all time high break and retest, which would eventually lead to another significant move higher.
Levels to watch: $190
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
CARDANO 1week MA50 holding. Sky is the limit.Cardano / ADAUSD is holding its 1week MA50 for the 6th straight week.
The pattern is almost identical to the previous Cycle's:
A Channel Up (that breaks once to the downside for a short time) is used as a guide through the whole Bull Cycle. The final consolidation on the 1week MA50 intiates the final and most aggressive rally of the Cycle.
The previous one in 2021 hit the 3.0 Fibonacci extension.
Based on that, we can expect to see $9 on ADA by the end of the year.
Previous chart:
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
GOLD - 1H UPDATE
Gold dropped nicely today, in a strong impulsive move which normally indicates a reversal. We also saw price touch $3,057, but we did say price also needs to close below that level which it never done. There's 2 possible plays on its next move;
1. Price just carries on dropping lower in the next week as expected.
2. Gold starts to consolidate, creating a 'redistribution schematic' for a bigger sell off. But this could also mean Gold creating 1 more new ATH.
BTC TARIFF TALKAs President Trump steps up on the stage to deliver his tariff plan BTC had a steady price rise going into the talk, a nice HH & HL LTF structure up into range high/ last weeks high, then as the speech began all of the progress made throughout the day wiped in less than 2 hours to reset BTC's price to Tuesdays low.
In the end the news event gave volatility as expected but ultimately the structure remains the same, rangebound. As the Tax year comes to an end it would be a hard ask for this choppy price action to shift bullish when institutions are going to be window dressing their portfolios for the next financial year.
In essence A continued LTF range with an overall HTF bearish trend looks to continue, this is compounded by yet another failed attempt at the 4H 200 EMA which had temporarily been broken but sent back below by the tariff announcements.
The SPX, DJI & NASDAQ Futures pre-market is looks dreadful so a revisit on the range low is probable on the cards at some stage today.
Breaking: $PORK Approaching Key Fibonacci Levels for a Breakout PepeFork ($PORK) a memecoin created as a parody to the original CRYPTOCAP:PEPE coin is set to go parabolic amidst breaking out from the 61.5% Fibonacci retracement point, a level holding ground as the support pivot for $PORK.
The asset is trading with moderate momentum as hinted by the RSI at 43. $PORK is nearly approaching the 61.5% Fibonacci point and a bounced from that level would spark a bullish campaign for PepeFork ($PORK).
PepeFork Price Live Data
The live PepeFork price today is $4.75e-8 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $2,431,278 USD. PepeFork is down 5.17% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $18,706,640 USD. It has a circulating supply of 393,690,000,000,000 PORK coins and a max. supply of 420,690,000,000,000 PORK coins.
Quarter Ends, Setup Begins: Long from DAX Support ZoneDAX returned to its major support zone around 22,000 after an extended decline through March. I’ve been triggered into a long position as we step into a fresh month and quarter. We’re sitting at strong historical demand with multiple macro events lined up this week—I’ll take what the market gives and manage it accordingly. No ego here, just flow with the setup. Let’s see where this one heads as NFP and PMI data come in.
Technicals
• Timeframe: 1H
• Entry Zone: Strong support retest at 22,000
• Setup: Long triggered on reaction from major support
• Target: Zone around 22,950
• SL: Below the support zone (~21,800)
• Fibcloud: Still trending below, watching for reclaim
• End-of-month rebalancing and Quarter close may add volatility.
Fundamentals
• DAX dropped nearly 2% on Monday, hitting its lowest levels since Feb 10, in line with global market weakness.
• US trade tariff uncertainty under Trump’s “reciprocal” rhetoric weighs on sentiment.
• Germany’s CPI eased to 2.2%, the lowest since Nov 2024, aligning with market expectations.
• Q1 performance remains strong overall, up nearly 11%, supported by Germany’s spending plan.
• Eyes on this week’s NFP and PMI data which could drive further price action.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
XAU/USD(20250403) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
US trade policy-① Trump signed an executive order to establish a 10% "minimum base tariff" for all countries, and will impose reciprocal tariffs, including 20% for the EU, 24% for Japan, 46% for Vietnam, and 25% for South Korea. The tariff exemption for goods that meet the USMCA will continue, and the tariff for those that do not meet the requirements will remain at 25%; ② The US Treasury Secretary called on countries not to retaliate; ③ The base tariff will take effect on April 5, and the reciprocal tariff will take effect on the 9th. In addition, the 25% automobile tariff will take effect on the 3rd, and the automobile parts tariff will take effect on May 3rd; ④ Gold bars, copper, pharmaceuticals, semiconductors and wood products are also not subject to "reciprocal tariffs".
Today's long and short boundaries:
3127
Support and resistance levels
3164
3150
3141
3113
3103
3089
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3150, consider going long, with the first target price at 3164
If the price breaks through 3141, consider going short, with the first target price at 3127
GBPUSD SELL TRADE PLAN🔥GBP/USD TRADE PLAN🔥
✅ Market Bias: Bearish 📉 (Downtrend) ✅ Trade Type: Trend Continuation
📌 ENTRY TYPE: Sell Trade – Pullback Entry ⭐ Confidence Level: 🔵⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (High)
📌 STATUS: Price is within the entry zone; monitoring for confirmation signals.
📍 ENTRY ZONE (SELL):
Primary Entry Zone: 1.2950 - 1.2975
Secondary Entry Zone (if deeper pullback occurs): 1.3000 - 1.3025
📌 STOP LOSS & TAKE PROFIT TARGETS:
🚨 Stop Loss: Above 1.3030 (Invalidation level)
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
🥉 TP1: 1.2850 (Partial profits & SL to breakeven)
🥈 TP2: 1.2800
🥇 TP3: 1.2750 (Final target)
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio:
Primary Entry Zone: Approximately 1:3
Secondary Entry Zone: Approximately 1:4
📌 Reason for Entry:
Bearish Trend: GBP/USD has been dominated by a downward correctional wave, indicating a bearish outlook.
Technical Resistance: The pair faces resistance near the 1.3000 psychological level, which has previously acted as a strong barrier.
Fibonacci Confluence: The 50% Fibonacci retracement level aligns with the entry zone, providing additional confluence.
📌 CONFIRMATION REQUIRED BEFORE SELLING:
H1 Bearish Candlestick Rejection: Look for a pin bar or engulfing pattern at the entry zone.
Volume Increase at Supply Zone: Indicates strong selling pressure.
Lower Timeframe Bearish Divergence: On M15/H1 charts for extra confluence.
❌ DO NOT take the trade if the price breaks above 1.3030 without a bearish reaction.
📌 RISK MANAGEMENT REMINDER:
💰 Risk 1-2% per trade. Move SL to breakeven after TP1 to secure profits.
📌 TRADE VALIDITY & INVALIDATION CONDITIONS:
✅ Trade Validity: Must tap entry within the next 24 hours.
❌ Invalid if:
Price misses the entry zone and moves straight to TP1/TP2.
Fundamental shift changes trade bias (e.g., major news event).
Price breaks above 1.3030 = Trade invalidated.
📌 FUNDAMENTAL CHECKS & SENTIMENT ANALYSIS:
GBP Weakness: The British pound has fallen significantly against the US dollar, testing key support levels.
USD Strength: The US dollar remains strong amid global economic uncertainties.
COT Report: Indicates institutions adding to USD long positions, reducing GBP longs.
🚀 FINAL TRADE PLAN SUMMARY:
SELL GBP/USD on a pullback into 1.2950 - 1.2975 (or 1.3000 - 1.3025 if a deeper correction occurs).
Targeting: 1.2850 → 1.2800 → 1.2750.
SL: Above 1.3030.
**Trade valid for the next 24 hours.
🚀 EXECUTE WITH INSTITUTIONAL PRECISION! 🔥
Regional shocks, friends holding positions should pay attention!Technical analysis of gold: Gold first rose and then fell, but the subsequent rebound was indeed quite strong, exceeding our expectations. Gold fell into a large range of fluctuations, which added a certain degree of difficulty to the operation. Although gold rebounded beyond expectations, it still did not break through today's high point, so it is still under pressure in the range of the head and shoulders top pattern. At most, it is still a shock, and there is no need to think about whether it will rise sharply.
The 1-hour moving average of gold has gradually begun to show signs of turning, and the 1-hour gold is also a head and shoulders top pattern. Even if it is pulled back and forth again, gold will continue to fluctuate in a large range. There are more data in the second half of this week, and there are also important events. So gold still needs to wait for news or data to let gold go out of a new round of direction. If gold does not break through the intraday high, we will continue to focus on high altitude. Retracement is supplemented by long positions.
Gold operation strategy: short gold when it rebounds to 3130-3035, stop loss at 3140, target 3120-3110; long gold when it falls back to 3110-3100, target 3120-3130.
Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, operate according to your own operation plan. Market information is complicated and blindly following the trend can easily lead to the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform us in time if there are any changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve stable asset appreciation.