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GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [March 03 - March 07]OANDA:XAUUSD this week were under pressure to take profits. After opening this week at 2,934 USD/oz, gold prices rose to 2,956 USD/oz, but then continuously dropped to 2,832 USD/oz and closed the week at 2,858 USD/oz. Thus, gold prices this week dropped sharply after 8 consecutive weeks of increases. The reason why gold prices dropped sharply this week is because the USD continued to increase strongly compared to many other major currencies. Market sentiment changed slightly after the US announced the Personal Consumption Expenditure Index (PCE) for January 2025. Accordingly, PCE increased by 2.5% over the same period last year, thus down from 2.6% in December 2024 and in line with market expectations. Meanwhile, core PCE, excluding fluctuating food and energy prices, also increased 2.6% year-on-year, but down from 2.9% in December 2024 and in line with forecasts. Notably, in the recent meeting, US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky had many disagreements and could not reach any agreement to contribute to an early end to the war between Russia and Ukraine. This is a factor that may increase gold's role as a haven, but it is unlikely to push gold prices up sharply next week, perhaps just a slight recovery before adjusting again. There will be a lot of data released next week, but the US February non-farm payrolls (NFP) report will be of particular interest to investors. According to forecasts, NFP is expected to reach 156,000 jobs, compared to 143,000 jobs in January. If NFP reaches the forecast level, it will not affect the Fed's interest rate policy direction, unless NFP increases far beyond the threshold of 200,000 jobs. Therefore, NFP news is likely to have little impact on gold prices next week. In addition, investors will also pay attention to the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision, which could have an impact on gold prices next week. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates again next week, which could partially support the USD, thereby negatively impacting gold prices next week. 🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK: Next week, the market will focus on jobs data, with the US February non-farm payrolls report released on Friday morning. Other key economic events include the Eurozone FMCG and US ISM manufacturing PMI on Monday, the ADP jobs report and US ISM services PMI on Wednesday, and weekly unemployment data on Thursday. The other big event of the week is the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision on Thursday, with many experts expecting the ECB to make another interest rate cut. 📌Technically, gold prices next week may continue to adjust, with the level of 2,790 USD/oz being an important support level. If next week's gold price stays above this level, it will increase slightly to 2,900 USD/oz. On the contrary, if gold prices fall below 2,790 USD/oz next week, there is a risk of a deeper correction. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,814 – 2,835USD Resistance: 2,900 – 2,868USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2951 - 2949⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2955 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2739 - 2741⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2735
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Xayah_trading
XAUUSD: How to trade next week?On Friday, gold reached 2840. After testing the support at the bottom, it started to rise slightly. Next Monday, there is a possibility of an oversold rebound in gold. However, the downward trend has already been formed, so in trading, we need to continue short-selling. xauusd sell@2880-2890 TP:2860-2840 Currently, the account with an initial amount of 40K has reached 200K. In March, I will make a profit of one million, and I will share my daily trading orders. You can copy my orders for trading. Click on the link below the article to obtain the relevant information.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Kill_the_dealer
Your Investing Alarm Just Went Off! Are You In?Hey, future wealth builders! Today, I’m kicking off a new series where I’ll be your personal market alarm system! Think of me as the investing wake-up call you didn’t know you needed. Buzzing in your inbox to make sure you never snooze on your next investment. We’ll regularly review stock indices so that you can invest consistently, with confidence and purpose. Every month. Little by little, building your wealth. Goals: Encourage consistent and regular investing. Identify the strongest-performing indices at any given time. Ensure that investment decisions are thoughtful and informed. Avoid emotional, random, and blindly made purchases. Why does this approach work? In January , I tested whether smart index selection can outperform the market over 20 years. I analyzed three U.S. indices: S&P 500, Russell 2000, Nasdaq 100. On the first trading day of each quarter, I bought the technically strongest index, the one showing the best price movement and trend. I made a total of 81 trades. The results: ✅ I outperformed the S&P 500 (+233%) and Russell 2000 (+128%), achieving a +344% return. ❌ But I couldn’t beat the Nasdaq 100, which returned +570%. Investing would be easy if we knew today which index to buy for the next 10 or 20 years but since time travel isn’t an option (yet), sticking to just one index could cost you tens of thousands over time. The solution? Make the best choice at each moment. Which indices do I track? After careful consideration and discussions with ETF expert Märten Kress, I have selected four key indices from different regions: 📌 S&P 500 – U.S. large-cap stocks 📌 Nasdaq 100 – U.S. tech and growth stocks 📌 EuroStoxx 600 – European large-cap stocks 📌 China Large-Cap ETF – China’s largest and most liquid companies How does it work? On the 1st and 15th of every month (or the next trading day), I analyze which index has the strongest technical “setup”. Why these days? Payday reminders! Invest in yourself first, build your portfolio , and then think about whether those extra expenses are really worth it. You’ll find out which index is hot right now so you can invest more wisely. Why am I doing this? Actually, my main goal with this series is to be that friend who calls and says: “Come on, let’s hit the gym!” You may not feel like going, but once you do, you always feel better afterward. This is the same, except the workout is investing. Investing must be consistent and strategic. Blind purchases can cost you thousands. Smart diversification helps maximize returns and reduce risks. You don’t have to analyze everything yourself. I’ll provide insights to help you stay on track and save you time. Whether you invest every month, twice a month, or once a quarter, is up to you. I’ll be here, my posts will keep coming, and my technical opinion will always be available. The key is consistency and investing without emotions! WHO WINS THIS MONTH? Let’s get serious. Which index is the strongest this month? Which one has momentum, and which one should we wait on? ----------- 🚀 Want to know which index is leading this month? I break it down every month (or twice a month) on my Substack, so you always stay ahead with the strongest setups. ⚡ No guessing. No blind moves. No sticking to just one index. Get the data, make smarter decisions, and grow your portfolio. 🔗 Find the link in my BIO (under the Website icon) , or if you're on mobile, just scroll down to my signature! See you there, Vaido
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by VaidoVeek
EURJPY Gearing Up for a Potential Upside MoveThe EURJPY pair is showing promising signs of upward momentum as it holds above key support levels. With improving risk sentiment, potential monetary policy shifts, and favorable technical patterns, the pair could be setting up for a steady climb. In this analysis, we’ll examine critical levels, trend indicators, and macro drivers that could fuel further upside in EURJPY. Could this be the start of a bullish phase? Let’s explore! Disclaimer: Trading involves risk, and this analysis is for educational purposes only. Traders should perform their own due diligence and risk assessment before executing any trades.
Long
by PrabuddhaPeramuna
BTC Poised for Upside Move: Key Levels to WatchBitcoin (BTC) is showing signs of strength as it consolidates above critical support levels. With positive momentum building and key indicators pointing upward, BTC could be setting up for a steady climb. In this idea, we’ll explore the technical levels and trends that suggest upward potential. No breakout needed—just steady gains ahead. Let’s dive in! Disclaimer: Trading involves risk, and this analysis is for educational purposes only. Traders should perform their own due diligence and risk assessment before executing any trades.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by PrabuddhaPeramuna
BTC , road map "Hello traders, when considering BTC, the decision-making process should align with your strategy as either a holder or trader. In high time frames, based on the (FVG) concept, BTC's price could potentially reach $180,000. However, for short-term traders, the price might dip to the $70,000 zone initially. I anticipate a pullback to $92,000, after which I will evaluate candle formations to determine a selling position. Please note that this analysis is subject to updates over time." If you have any specific questions or need further assistance with your message, feel free to let me know!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by somayehbasiri
BTC/USD – 1H Timeframe🚀 BTC/USD Smart Money Analysis – 1H Timeframe 📉 Price Action Update: 🔹 Key demand zones at 90,924 - 91,580 🔹 Potential support at 92,323 - 92,523 🔹 Upside target at 94,919.59 📈 Trading Plan: 🔹 Watch for a bounce from demand zones for potential long entries 🔹 Break and hold above 92,523 could confirm bullish continuation 🔹 Targeting 94,921 - 96,918 if bullish momentum sustains #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #CryptoTrading #LiquidityZones #BTC
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by FXFOREVER_87
How To Identify Market Reversals Using the MAD IndicatorOverview The Market Anomaly Detector (MAD) Indicator is designed to capture market reversals, trend shifts, and volatility cycles using a combination of its Mainline (blue), Upper Band (green), and Lower Band (red) . This idea explores how the indicator performed in real market conditions, highlighting how price interactions with these bands provided trading signals. How It Works • Mainline (Blue Line - Dynamic Market Structure Guide) • This acts as a key trend reference. When price trades above the Mainline , the structure is bullish ; when below, it’s bearish . • Acts as floating resistance in downtrends and support in uptrends. • Upper Band (Green Line - Dynamic Resistance Zone ) • Expands and contracts based on volatility. • Acts as a dynamic resistance—when price struggles at this level, it often signals an overextended move. • Breakout Above Green Band → Possible bullish expansion, highlighted by Green Background. • Rejection at Green Band → Signals potential price exhaustion and reversal. • Lower Band (Red Line - Dynamic Support Zone) • Functions as a strong support—if price holds, a reversal is likely. • Break Below Red Band → Sell confirmation, as bearish momentum increases highlighted by Red Background. Performance in This Case Study (Based on this chart) 1. Reversal Accuracy & Trend Reactions • Multiple green buy signals were generated as the price bounced from the red lower band, confirming it as a strong support zone. • When price broke below the red band, sell signals followed, aligning with the continuation of a bearish move. • Sell signals near the green upper band played out well, confirming resistance rejection. 2. Trend Shrinking & Expansion Dynamics • The bands contracted during sideways market phases, signaling low volatility and a lack of momentum. • Expansion occurred before sharp price moves, giving early volatility warnings. 3. Resistance & Support Behavior • The Blue Mainline rejected price during a downtrend, acting as dynamic resistance. • Price failed to hold above the Green Upper Band, confirming trend weakness. 4. Strong Market Moves & Confirmation • The break below the red band led to a clear downward trend, reinforcing the sell signal’s validity. • The indicator effectively filtered false breakouts by ensuring a clean move beyond its bands before confirming signals. Key Takeaways ✅ Lower Band (Red Line) = Strong Support → If price holds, reversals occur; if broken, sell-offs follow. ✅ Upper Band (Green Line) = Strong Resistance → Price rejection confirms weakness; breakout signals potential expansion. ✅ Mainline (Blue Line) = Dynamic Trend Guide → Price below = bearish, price above = bullish. ✅ Band Contraction = Low Volatility, Band Expansion = Impending Breakout. ✅ MAD Indicator accurately detected reversals and trend shifts in this case study.
Short
by TradeTechanalysis
USOIL: Wait patiently for the price of $73Compared with other products, the current trend of crude oil is relatively stable. The lower support is starting to form, which is in line with my analysis. It is rising slowly. Below the price of $70 is still a suitable buying opportunity. If you have already placed a buy order, you can patiently wait for the price range of $71.5 to $73. Today's trading strategy for crude oil: USOIL:buy@69-69.5 TP:71.5-73 Currently, the account with an initial amount of 40K has reached 200K. In March, I will make a profit of one million, and I will share my daily trading orders. You can copy my orders for trading. Click on the link below the article to obtain the relevant information.
TVC:USOILLong
by Kill_the_dealer
USDJPY Short Idea - 4H ChartThe USDJPY pair is currently facing resistance at a key supply zone near 150.90 - 151.10, aligning with previous structural resistance and a 200 EMA rejection. The price recently made a lower high within a downtrend, indicating further bearish momentum. Trade Setup: 🔹 Entry: Look for bearish confirmation in the 150.90 - 151.10 supply zone. 🔹 Stop Loss: Above 151.20, beyond recent highs to avoid stop hunts. 🔹 Target: The next demand zone around 148.80 - 149.00, a key support area tested previously. The bias remains bearish as long as price stays below the 200 EMA and fails to break the resistance zone. A rejection from this level could lead to a continuation of the current downtrend. 📉 Watch for: Rejection patterns, bearish engulfing candles, or confirmation from lower timeframes before entering a short position. 🔔 Stay patient and manage risk accordingly! 🚀
Short
by SanchoAT
Clear Sign for short-tradeThe price chart has clearly established a robust resistance level, showing no signs of breaking through again. As a result, the price is likely to breach the first trendline in the near term, entering an accumulation phase. During this phase, the price is expected to consolidate for some time before eventually breaking the second trendline. This breakout will likely trigger a downward movement, potentially driving the price toward the 1.013 level by mid-March.
Short
by rahamb
Gold (XAU/USD) is bullish, with a target of 2895As we enter a new week in the market, it's important to note that last week, Gold (XAU/USD) faced significant selling pressure and reached its previous support zone between 2835 and 2830, but it didn't break through this level. Currently, we're analyzing a potential bullish move, with a target price (TP) in the 2890 to 2895 range. After reaching this price, Gold will likely face a key decision point, determining its next direction. Our analysis suggests that Gold may experience a decline after reaching 2895. Therefore, you can consider taking a buy entry, targeting the 2895 area. Please note that this is just our analysis for informational purposes and not a trading signal. Thank you.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ahmad_Fxbeast
XAU/USD – 15M Timeframe📊 XAU/USD Smart Money Analysis – 15M Timeframe 🔹 Break of Structure (BOS) Confirmed 🔹 Fair Value Gaps (FVG) Identified 🔹 Key Demand & Supply Zones Mapped 📉 Bearish Outlook Before Potential Reversal: 📍 Supply Zones: 🔺 2885-2886 🔺 2867-2872 📍 Demand Zones: 🟢 2812-2817 ⚡ Trading Plan: 🔹 Watch for price reaction at demand zones 🔹 Look for bullish confirmation before entering long positions 🔹 Possible short opportunities if price rejects key supply zones #Fxforever #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #SMC #PriceAction #LiquidityGrab
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FXFOREVER_87