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Trend Analysis

EURUSD - correction ahead of timeWell, well - EUR used the NFP data to start the correction ahead of time. It used the FR 161.8 of the recent correction as support. And it did it in a impressive time... Now we are heading into Resistance cluster created by the April High and July Low (as wee and FR 38.8 of the whole movement form the July High. Yet the upper level of the cluster is created by the FR 61.8 of the recent impulse, and 1:1 with the recent correction and June High. The second one seems to me as stronger and more probably. However, price may be in hurry again and complete the correction ahead of time... Again. Just my humble opinion...
Short
by PetrBorosh
BTC Price Prediction and Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends, >> Thank you for joining me in my analysis. We have finished the pink X wave directly, then we have gone to the final pink Y wave, which consists of wxy in orange counting. Now we are moving into the final Orange Y wave. >> our confirmations: * 4Hr TF: Breaking 118990 for the next hours, we will end the whole Yellow B "correction" wave successfully. . Keep liking and supporting me to continue. See you soon! Thanks, Bros
by MASCryptoAna
Algorand (ALGO): Seeing Signs of RecoveryAlgorand has made a market structure break (MSB) on smaller timeframes, which is indicating a potential trend switch here. Now in the current timeframe we are looking for a break of that 200 EMA, as once we see the buyers take full control over it, we will look for buyside movement so eyes on it! If for any reason we see further movement to lower zones, and we break local low on small timeframes, we are going to aim for that bearish CME, but for now, we are bullish. Swallow Academy
Long
by SwallowAcademy
FUNUSDT Forming Bullish ReversalFUNUSDT is currently forming a bullish reversal pattern, signaling a potential shift in market momentum after a prolonged consolidation. This pattern, combined with a steady increase in trading volume, suggests growing investor interest and the possibility of an upcoming trend reversal. The structure aligns well with historical price action, where FUN has previously bounced from similar technical setups, making this an attractive chart for swing traders and medium-term investors. The volume profile shows accumulation behavior, typically seen before major breakouts. This reflects the confidence of larger market participants entering at lower levels. If FUNUSDT confirms the breakout above resistance zones, the next leg up could lead to a potential price surge of 140% to 150% from current levels. Given its relatively low market cap and recent technical developments, the upside potential remains significant if momentum sustains. What adds to the bullish thesis is the overall pattern integrity supported by clear trendline reactions and support zone validation. FUN has also maintained a healthy base formation, which often precedes explosive upward moves. A close above key resistance with volume confirmation would likely attract more traders and potentially push FUN into price discovery territory. Keep this altcoin on your watchlist as it presents a high-reward setup supported by solid technical foundations and increasing trader sentiment. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN BULLISH Outlook – August 1, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team. With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum. 🔔 Follow us to never miss a market update. 🚀 Boosts provide strong motivation and drive to the SeoVereign team. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Hello. This is SeoVereign. My fundamental view on Bitcoin, as mentioned in the previous idea, is that I am anticipating an overall downward trend. In the mid- to long-term, I believe the downward pressure will gradually increase, and this is partially confirmed by various indicators and the overall market sentiment. However, before we fully enter this downward phase, I have been judging that one more upward wave is likely to remain. I have focused my strategy on capturing this upward segment, and I have recently reached a point where I can specifically predict the development of that particular wave. If this upward move unfolds successfully, I plan to set my take-profit range conservatively. The reason is simple: I still believe there is a high possibility that the market will shift back into a downtrend afterward. The core of this strategy is to minimize risk while realizing profits as efficiently as possible toward the tail end of the wave. The relevant pattern and structure have been marked in detail on the chart, so please refer to it for a clearer understanding. In summary, I view this rise as a limited rebound that could represent the last opportunity before a downturn, and I believe this idea marks the beginning of that move. I will continue to monitor the movement and update this idea with additional evidence. Thank you.
Long
by SeoVereign
DAILY SCALPING PLAN | CLINTON SMC STYLE✅ XAU/USD - DAILY SCALPING PLAN | CLINTON SMC STYLE 📆 Date: August 1st, 2025 📍 Strategy: Smart Money Concepts (SMC) 🔑 Focus: Liquidity Sweep | Order Block | BOS | Premium/Discount Model 🔍 Market Overview Gold (XAU/USD) is currently in a manipulation phase after a strong move down from a premium supply zone. The market has swept key liquidity and is preparing for a high-probability move in both directions based on Smart Money footprints. Current structure suggests: Bullish intent forming from a discount demand zone. Liquidity resting above recent highs – perfect for short-term scalps and intraday swings. 🟢 BUY SETUP – DISCOUNT DEMAND REACTION 🎯 Entry: 3275 🛡️ Stop Loss: 3268 🎯 Take Profits: TP1: 3285 TP2: 3295 TP3: 3305 TP4: 3315 TP5: 3325 TP6: 3335 Reasoning: This is a clean bullish OB resting beneath a CHoCH and BOS zone. Price may wick into this area as Smart Money reloads after sweeping early long positions. If held, expect sharp upside expansion toward previous liquidity highs. 🔴 SELL SETUP – PREMIUM SUPPLY REJECTION 🎯 Entry: 3356 🛡️ Stop Loss: 3362 🎯 Take Profits: TP1: 3350 TP2: 3345 TP3: 3340 TP4: 3330 TP5: 3320 Reasoning: This level is a key supply block where price previously distributed. If price expands into this zone, it’s likely to act as a liquidity magnet for Smart Money to offload longs and enter short-term shorts. Expect reaction. 🧠 SMC Insights Internal BOS & CHoCH signal early signs of accumulation. Price respects the premium vs. discount framework with clear liquidity targets. SMC traders understand that price doesn’t move randomly – it targets liquidity, mitigates OBs, and respects structure. 🔔 Note: Always wait for clear confirmation (rejection wick, engulfing pattern, or M15 structure shift) before execution. Entries without confirmation are riskier in current volatility. 📌 Follow @ClintonScalper for daily SMC scalping plans & deep institutional insight. 🔁 Like, comment & share if you find this helpful!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SCALPER-Clinton
2
Understanding SMT Divergence In Trading1. Definition and Importance SMT (Smart Money Technique) Divergence refers to a trading concept that involves identifying discrepancies between the price movement of correlated markets or instruments. These discrepancies can signal potential market reversals or price manipulation. Specifically, it focuses on the divergence between price movements and indicators (like volume, momentum, or oscillators) in markets that typically move in sync. In SMT Divergence, traders look for situations where two or more correlated instruments (like Forex pairs, indices, or bonds) are moving in opposite directions. This "divergence" signals that there may be a shift in market sentiment, liquidity manipulation, or an opportunity for price correction. The importance of SMT Divergence lies in its ability to detect hidden market dynamics that are often manipulated by institutional players. By understanding these divergences, traders can gain insights into potential market moves and position themselves accordingly. 2. The Relationship Between Correlated Markets Understanding these relationships is crucial for identifying SMT Divergence: Forex Pairs : Many Forex pairs have direct correlations. For example, EUR/USD and USD/JPY are often correlated in the sense that when the USD strengthens, both pairs may exhibit price movement in the same direction (EUR/USD decreases, USD/JPY increases). SMT Divergence occurs when these pairs move in opposite directions, indicating that something unusual is happening in the market (e.g., liquidity manipulation or market anticipation). Indices : Stock market indices (like the S&P 500 or Dow Jones) and related instruments like futures or ETFs can show correlation. A divergence in these indices might indicate potential trends or reversals, signaling that institutions are positioning themselves for a move in one direction, and the market is showing resistance. Bonds : The relationship between bond yields and currency pairs, for instance, can also show correlations. When bond yields move in one direction, certain currency pairs should generally follow suit. Divergence in this relationship can reveal clues about market intentions, such as shifts in interest rates or macroeconomic sentiment. Commodities and Stocks : Commodities like oil and gold can often correlate with indices or specific stocks. For example, if oil prices rise and an energy sector index doesn’t move in the same direction, this could be a sign of market inefficiencies or institutional positioning. 3. SMT Types 3.1. Bullish SMT Divergence Bullish SMT (Smart Money Technique) Divergence occurs when one correlated asset forms a higher low while another makes a lower low. This indicates that one market is showing hidden strength, suggesting a potential reversal to the upside. How to Spot Higher Lows in One Asset While the Other Makes Lower Lows: 1. Identify Two Correlated Markets – Choose two assets that typically move together, such as EUR/USD and GBP/USD or NASDAQ and S&P 500. 2. Look for Divergence – Observe when one asset makes a new lower low, while the other fails to do so, instead of forming a higher low. 3. Volume & Price Action Confirmation – Institutions may absorb liquidity in the weaker asset while the stronger one holds its ground. 4. Validate with Market Context – Look at macroeconomic conditions, liquidity pools, and institutional activity to confirm the setup. 3.2. Bearish SMT Divergence Bearish SMT Divergence occurs when one correlated asset forms a lower high while another makes a higher high. This signals hidden weakness, indicating that the market may be setting up for a bearish reversal. How to Spot Lower Highs in One Asset While the Other Makes Higher Highs: 1. Find Two Correlated Markets – Common pairs include NASDAQ vs. S&P 500 or EUR/USD vs. GBP/USD. 2. Identify the Divergence – One asset makes a higher high, while the other fails to follow and forms a lower high instead. 3. Liquidity & Volume Analysis – Smart money may be using the stronger asset to attract buyers before reversing. 4. Confirm with Institutional Order Flow – Watch for liquidity grabs and imbalance zones. 3.3. Intermarket SMT Definition : Divergence between assets from different markets, such as Forex vs. Commodities, Stocks vs. Bonds, or Indices vs. the U.S. Dollar. Examples : EUR/USD vs. DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) – If EUR/USD forms a higher low while DXY makes a higher high, this suggests USD weakness and potential EUR/USD strength. NASDAQ vs. S&P 500 – If NASDAQ makes a higher high but S&P 500 doesn’t, it can indicate a weakening stock market rally. Strength & Validity : High validity because institutions hedge positions across different markets. 3.4. Intramarket SMT Definition : Divergence within the same market (e.g., multiple Forex pairs or stock indices). Examples : EUR/USD vs. GBP/USD – If EUR/USD makes a lower low but GBP/USD doesn’t, it could indicate bullish strength. Dow Jones vs. S&P 500 vs. NASDAQ – If NASDAQ is making new highs while the Dow lags, it may signal weakness in the broader stock market. Strength & Validity : Still valid but needs additional confirmation (liquidity sweeps, volume analysis). 4. SMT Divergence vs. RSI Divergence Why SMT Is Superior to Traditional RSI Divergences 1. RSI Measures Momentum, Not Liquidity – RSI divergence is based on momentum shifts, which institutions can easily manipulate with fake breakouts or engineered price moves. 2. SMT Focuses on Market Structure & Liquidity – SMT divergence detects institutional positioning by comparing correlated assets, making it harder to manipulate. 3. RSI Can Remain Overbought/Oversold for Long Periods – Markets can continue trending despite RSI divergence, while SMT divergence often provides stronger reversal signals. How Smart Money Manipulates Classic Divergence Traders Liquidity Sweeps – Institutions use RSI divergence to lure retail traders into premature reversals before executing stop hunts. False RSI Signals – In trending markets, RSI divergences often fail, while SMT divergence provides a more contextual view of smart money positioning. 5. Using TradingView for SMT Analysis To effectively analyze SMT divergence, traders should monitor at least two correlated assets simultaneously. TradingView makes this easy by allowing multiple chart layouts. Steps to Set Up Multiple Charts in TradingView: a. Open TradingView and click on the “Select Layout” button. b. Choose a two-chart or four-chart layout to compare correlated assets. c. Sync timeframes across all charts for consistency. d. Adjust scaling to ensure price action is easily comparable. Best Pairs to Compare for SMT Analysis: Forex : EUR/USD vs. GBP/USD, USD/JPY vs. DXY Indices : NASDAQ vs. S&P 500, Dow Jones vs. S&P 500 Commodities & FX : Gold (XAU/USD) vs. USD/JPY Bonds & Equities : 10-Year Treasury Yield vs. S&P 500 6. Key Takeaways SMT divergence reveals institutional intent by showing liquidity accumulation or distribution through correlated assets. Bullish SMT occurs when one asset makes a lower low while the other does not, signaling a potential reversal up. Bearish SMT occurs when one asset makes a higher high while the other does not, signaling a potential reversal down. Best markets for SMT analysis include Forex pairs, indices, commodities, and bonds, where correlations are strongest. SMT is most effective near key liquidity levels, such as session highs/lows, order blocks, and fair value gaps. SMT is more reliable during high-impact news events, London & New York sessions, and quarterly shifts, where institutional activity is highest. SMT is superior to RSI divergence because it reflects real liquidity dynamics, whereas RSI can produce false signals. Combining SMT with market structure shifts like BOS and CHoCH increases trade accuracy and reliability. Risk management in SMT trading requires stop-loss placement beyond liquidity grabs and a minimum 2:1 risk-reward ratio. Mastering SMT helps traders avoid liquidity traps, improve precision, and align with smart money moves. SMT divergence is the footprint of smart money—where one market whispers the truth while the other follows the herd.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by CandelaCharts
Ethereum (ETH): Might Be Good Zone to Bounce From ETC caught our attention with a local retest of the support zone, which, after a breakout, was a natural movement for the coin! Now that we have been having that retest, we are looking closely for any signs of recovery, which would give us an opportunity to long from here. While we see a smaller recovery happening, we need that proper MBS to take place above the support zone, so keep your eyes on it. As long as we are above the EMAs, this is the game plan we are going to look for! Swallow Academy
Long
by SwallowAcademy
1
Gold Slips After Powell Speech Below 3320 Bearish Pressure BuildGOLD Overview Market Context: Gold declined from the 3333 level, as anticipated in yesterday’s analysis, ahead of Fed Chair Powell’s speech. Powell reiterated that it is still too early for rate cuts, citing persistently high inflation, which supported the U.S. dollar and pressured gold. Technical Outlook: As long as gold trades below the 3320–3310 zone, the bearish momentum is expected to continue, with the next target at 3285. A confirmed break and stability below 3285 could open the way toward 3255. To regain bullish traction, the price must stabilize above 3320. Support Levels: 3285 • 3255 Resistance Levels: 3333 • 3349
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
S&P 500 Futures – Trendline Breach + AI Forecast Signals Major C📉 S&P 500 Futures – Trendline Breach + AI Forecast Signals Major Correction VolanX Risk Engine Flags High Probability Downside 🧠 Narrative: Markets have enjoyed a powerful uptrend off the March lows, but the structure is showing signs of exhaustion. The ascending trendline—untouched for over two months—has now been breached. Fibonacci levels cluster below current price, with critical demand at: 6319.25 (immediate test zone) 6179.25 (0.618 retrace) 5964.75 (macro support / VolanX institutional target) Meanwhile, VolanX Protocol's predictive engine has shifted to a "Strong Sell" with a projected correction path clearly outlined. The 30-day price forecast (shown in red) leans toward a mean reversion toward 5842.12 by late August. 📊 Institutional Trade Plan (VolanX DSS): Entry Zone: 6360-6380 (Confirmed breakdown retest) Target 1: 6179.25 Target 2: 5964.75 Final Target: 5842.12 Invalidation: Close above 6480 (new highs with strength) 🔎 Risk/Reward: 3.4+ 📈 Trend Deviation: 7.4% 📉 Bearish Conviction: 84.1% 📌 Key Insights: Breakdown below trendline confirms shift in control to bears Institutional models anticipate volatility-led selloff Major liquidity rests below 6200 and 5960 zones This is not the time to chase highs—risk is asymmetric 🔮 VolanX Opinion: “Volatility expansion is near. Institutional capital is likely rotating out of risk. The squeeze has passed; now the trapdoor may open.” This is where preparation outperforms prediction. Execute with risk logic, not emotion. 📚 #SNP500 #ESFutures #SPX #MacroTrading #SmartMoney #InstitutionalFlow #TrendReversal #Volatility #LiquiditySweep #FibonacciLevels #VolanX #AITrading #EminiFutures #WaverVanir #QuantStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #Forecast #TradingView
AMEX:SPYShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
USNAS100 - Tech Weakness & Tariffs Drag NASDAQ LowerTariff Day Pressure Builds as Amazon Miss Weighs on Markets Markets were hit by a wave of risk-off sentiment on Friday as renewed tariff headlines, weakness in pharma stocks, and a disappointing earnings report from Amazon clouded investor confidence. All this comes just ahead of the U.S. jobs report, which is expected to challenge the market's already diminished expectations for Fed rate cuts. While macro markets appeared resilient earlier in the week, Wall Street futures and global equities turned cautious as sentiment deteriorated. NASDAQ – Technical Outlook The NASDAQ has dropped nearly 850 points from its recent all-time high of 23690, as anticipated in previous updates. The index remains under bearish pressure. For today, the market is expected to remain sensitive due to recent macro and earnings-driven volatility. If the price breaks below 22875, the decline is likely to extend toward 22710, with a deeper support zone at 22615. To shift back to a bullish bias, the index must break and close above 23045 on the 1H chart. Support Levels: 22875 • 22710 • 22615 Resistance Levels: 23140 • 23240 • 23320 Bias: Bearish while below 23045 Bullish confirmation: 1H close above 23045
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
XLM/USD Analysis – Bearish Momentum Builds Below 20-Day EMA XLM has taken a notable hit, with recent price action showing a sharp drop that has dragged the token below its 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Currently sitting at $0.40, the 20-day EMA now acts as a dynamic resistance level, capping potential upside in the short term. This development signals a clear shift in short-term sentiment. The 20-day EMA, which reflects average pricing over the last 20 sessions with an emphasis on recent moves, typically supports bullish outlooks when the price remains above it. However, XLM's break below this level suggests growing sell-side pressure and a loss of bullish control. With momentum weakening and bearish signals intensifying, traders may want to exercise caution, especially if the price fails to reclaim the EMA in the near term. Further downside could follow if buyers don't step in to reverse the trend.
by BeInCrypto
SPX500 Dips Ahead of NFP as Tariff Risks RiseSPX: S&P 500 Dips to Close July — Still Positive for the Month Amid Tariff Tensions & Fed Uncertainty The S&P 500 retreated in the final session of July, weighed down by renewed tariff concerns and lingering uncertainty around the Fed’s next move. Despite the late pullback, the index remains positive for the month overall. Looking ahead, non-farm payrolls (NFP) and U.S. jobs data are expected to have a strong impact on market direction. In addition, August 1st marks a key date for potential tariff developments, which could trigger further volatility. Technical Outlook – SPX500 The index has dropped approximately 2.5% since yesterday and maintains a bearish bias as long as it trades below 6283. If the price continues to slide, the next downside target is 6246, with further support at 6223. However, if the price manages to close above 6289 on the 1H timeframe, it could trigger a bullish recovery toward 6320 and 6341. Pivot Line: 6283 Support Levels: 6246 • 6223 Resistance Levels: 6320 • 6341
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
1