NATGAS POTENTIAL LONG|
✅NATGAS is about to retest a key structure level of 3.70$
Which implies a high likelihood of a move up
As some market participants will be taking profit from short positions
While others will find this price level to be good for buying
So as usual we will have a chance to ride the wave of a bullish correction
LONG🚀
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Trend Analysis
AUD - looks to shortHello traders, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trading on the price movement. A key part of my discipline is Stop Loss set when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. My 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
BTC HOLDING LEVELSDear friends,
I want to analyze and discuss Bitcoin's future movements without any unnecessary chatter. Looking back at my previous analysis of BTC, I mentioned that I was waiting for lower prices to buy Bitcoin, and it seems we are at the beginning of the correction waves I was anticipating.
I have identified three price levels where I plan to invest. It may take days or weeks to reach these levels, but once they do, I will buy Bitcoin and wait for it to reach $135,000 or even higher.
I expect the price to continue its downward trend, potentially reaching $70,000 or lower. I plan to make my purchases at $80,000, $75,000, and if the price hits $67,000, I will invest my full budget. My first target is $135,000, which I believe could be achieved in the coming months or years.
IMPORTANT: I will sell my holdings if the price continues to drop to $54,000. This could lead to significant issues for Bitcoin and its holders, so if that happens, I will exit my position and wait for new upward momentum.
"IT'S JUST GOOD BUSINESS"
2 years Up For over two years, Amazon's price has been moving within the green channel, with the only exception being in August 2024 when a panic selling affected all markets after the poor US employment data.
At the moment, it is likely that after touching the bottom of the channel at $204, it will rise to $250 in the coming weeks
In case the price drops below $204, this idea is void
SUIUSDT zone @3.2500 H1 chart analysisThis is a SUI/USDT 1-hour chart from TradingView.
Key Observations:
Downtrend Line: The chart shows a downward trendline indicating previous bearish momentum.
Resistance Zone: Price is approaching or has touched a resistance zone.
Lower High Formation: Confirming a bearish structure.
Pullback & Continuation: A possible pullback has been marked, suggesting a continuation of the trend.
Projected Price Movement: Two possible scenarios:
1. A slight bullish move before reversing downward.
2. A direct drop in price after rejection.
Suggested Post:
🚨 SUI/USDT TRADE ALERT 🚨
📊 Chart Analysis:
🔹 Trend: Downtrend with resistance rejection
🔹 Key Resistance Zone: Marked on the chart
🔹 Possible Move: Price may face rejection and continue downward 📉
🎯 Sell Entry:3.2500 Around resistance
✅ Targets:
TP1: 2.900
TP2: 2.700
TP3: 2.6500
⚠ Risk Management: Always use stop loss!
#Crypto #Trading #SUIUSDT #SellSignal #TechnicalAnalysis
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Natural Gas (XNG/USD) – Critical Decision PointNATURALGAS, 4H
Mad-Hatter
Mar 2, 2025
Natural Gas is testing a key support at $3.8250, a level that has provided a base for multiple rallies in the past. However, with bearish fundamental pressure mounting, we may see a breakdown that could accelerate the downside move.
Probability Breakdown & Market Bias
Bearish Breakdown (Below $3.8250). 70%
Bullish Bounce (Holding $3.8250 & reclaiming $3.90-$4.00). 30%
Why the Bearish Bias?
Weather Forecasts Lean Bearish – Warmer-than-expected temperatures in Europe are reducing heating demand, limiting upside potential for Nat Gas prices.
Technical Weakness – Price has been trending downward, forming lower highs since peaking near $4.30. Failure to reclaim $3.90-$4.00 would confirm weakness.
Market Sentiment Shifting Bearish – LNG supply remains stable, and demand isn't spiking as expected. If $3.8250 gives way, sellers will step in aggressively.
Scenario 1: Bearish Breakdown (Most Likely - 70%)
If $3.8250 breaks, expect a sharp decline toward $3.60 - $3.50.
Trade Plan (Short Position)
Entry: Below $3.80 (confirmed breakdown)
Stop Loss: Above $3.85 (to avoid whipsaws)
Target 1: $3.60
Target 2: $3.50
A strong 4H close below $3.80 will confirm the bearish move.
Scenario 2: Bullish Reversal (Less Likely - 30%)
If $3.8250 holds and buyers step in, price could rally toward $3.95 - $4.10.
Trade Plan (Long Position)
Entry: $3.83 - $3.85 (after a clear rejection wick)
Stop Loss: Below $3.75
Target 1: $3.95
Target 2: $4.10
Look for high volume rejection around $3.8250 before entering long.
Final Analysis & Market Outlook
Bias: Leaning Bearish (70% probability of breakdown)
Invalidation: If price holds $3.8250 and reclaims $3.90+, bias flips bullish
Key Catalyst: If Europe remains warmer, expect downside pressure to persist
The higher-probability trade is to short on a confirmed break of $3.80. If the level holds, a long is possible, but the overall structure remains weak. Watch for confirmation before taking action.
Long in BTCI. Long entry reason:
1. Breakout from Key Resistance
BTC had closed above the previous resistance zone (~84,500-84,800), signaling strength.
The breakout candle had a good body-to-wick ratio, meaning strong buying momentum.
2. Higher Lows Formation
Before the entry candle, BTC made a higher low (~83,759), confirming bullish structure.
This showed that buyers were stepping in at higher prices, reducing downside pressure.
3. Momentum Shift
The breakout candle closed above the previous 6-8 candles, showing a shift in sentiment.
This price action validated a trend reversal from the dip that happened earlier.
4. Retest & Hold of Support Before Entry
BTC briefly retested the breakout zone (~84,500) before moving up.
This confirmed that sellers were exhausted and buyers were taking control.
II. Risk Management & Stop-Loss Placement
1. Stop Loss (SL) Placement: Below the previous higher low (~83,759)
2. Target Levels:
First target: 87,014 (first resistance)
Extended target: 89,100-89,318 (next supply zone)
ETHUSD Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for ETHUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 2,224.8.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 2,506.1 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Breaking down my EUR/USD tradeGreat-Things Traders!
Breaking down my EUR/USD trade from earlier for educational purposes. Pay close attention, as there are key lessons here for refining your execution and market understanding.
Market Structure & Initial Bias
Looking at the higher timeframe structure, we identified a strong bearish impulse leading into a deep discount zone. The initial manipulation phase set up liquidity grabs during the New York session, leading to a sharp reversal. This was a clear indication that smart money was active.
Key Zones & Liquidity Grabs
Manipulation Phase: We observed aggressive sell-side liquidity being taken out during the New York PM session, setting up for a potential reversal.
Accumulation Phase: Price began consolidating post-manipulation, forming an accumulation phase. This was a clear sign of institutional interest before the next expansion.
Asia Liquidity Grab: Price swept Asian session highs, confirming the accumulation and creating a high-probability trade setup for a long entry.
Entry & Execution
Entry Confirmation: After liquidity was taken, price formed a solid bullish structure shift (market structure shift - MST). Confirmation came with a strong bullish engulfing candle, signaling intent to push higher.
Entry Zone: Entered at the Fibonacci 0.62-0.79 retracement zone from the manipulation low.
Stop Loss: Placed below the manipulation wick, ensuring protection against potential liquidity hunts.
Target Zones:
First Target: Mitigation of 50% of the prior imbalance.
Final Target: 1.0460 Distribution Zone, aligning with major liquidity pools and previous supply zones.
Market Psychology & Smart Money Concepts
Mitigation & Repricing: As price retraced, it mitigated unfilled institutional orders from the prior bearish move, leading to the explosive bullish push.
New Week Opening Gap (NWOG): Price respected the 50% of the New Week Opening Gap (NWOG), using it as a launchpad for higher pricing. Also swept Asia Low.
Distribution Zone: The final target aligns with a previous supply area, where smart money could look to offload positions.
Lessons to Take Away
✅ Always wait for liquidity grabs before entering trades.
✅ Use smart money concepts to identify high-probability setups.
✅ Market structure shifts (MST) + order flow are key confirmations.
✅ Fibonacci retracements & mitigation zones offer sniper entries.
✅ Patience pays off – let the market show its hand before taking action.
This trade followed a textbook manipulation-accumulation-expansion-distribution model, aligning with institutional order flow. Hope this breakdown helps refine your execution and enhances your understanding of how smart money operates!
Stay disciplined, stay patient, and execute with precision.
Lord MEDZ
AUD/USD: Bearish Continuation in PlayThe AUD/USD pair has confirmed a bearish breakout, breaking below its ascending trendline and shifting momentum downward. Previously, the pair moved within an uptrend channel, encountering multiple sideways consolidations before reaching a peak at 0.64035. However, once the price rejected the resistance zone and broke the trendline, selling pressure took over.
Currently, AUD/USD is trading around 0.62149, with a possible short-term retracement toward the 0.6274 - 0.6299 Fibonacci retracement zone before continuing its decline. If sellers defend this resistance, the next major target lies at 0.61156, aligning with the previous low and key support area.
FILECOIN, Will we see 4$ again ?Hello Traders, Hope you are doing great.
After a downward movement that happened yesterday, now price is trying to find support around this level, so for upcoming days I expect an upward correction to specified blue Dashed lines.
Don't forget to use proper risk management .
Tell me What are your thoughts about FILECOIN ? UP or DOWN ? comment your opinion below this post.
TONUSDT NEXT MOVESell after bearish candle stick pattern, buy after bullish candle stick pattern....
Best bullish pattern , engulfing candle or green hammer
Best bearish pattern , engulfing candle or red shooting star
NOTE: IF YOU CAN'T SEE ANY OF TOP PATTERN IN THE ZONE DO NOT ENTER
Stop lost before pattern
R/R %1/%3
Trade in 5 Min Timeframe, use signals for scalping