SPY - support & resistant areas for today April 2 2025The key support and resistance levels for SPY today are above.
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Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions.
Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change.
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Trend Analysis
Gold price drops by more than $100Trump's reciprocal tariff poliTrump's reciprocal tariff policy was implemented as scheduled, causing a violent shock in the gold market. The concentrated release of bulls caused the gold price to plummet from a high of $3167.71 to around $3054, a drop of more than $100, which is rare. Gold fluctuated sharply during the day, but from the perspective of weekly and monthly lines, the current correction is only a small fluctuation, which is difficult to shake the overall bullish trend. As of now, the gold price is around $3130, with short-term resistance above in the range of $3141-3146 and support below at $3100-3093. The late trading operation is recommended to focus on callbacks and longs.
Operation strategy: It is recommended to pull back to 3110-3105, stop loss at 3096, and the target is 3160-3180.
NZDUSD → Consolidation within the correctionFX:NZDUSD is forming a local correction on the background of the uptrend. The dollar has been consolidating and strengthening for the last week, which generally creates pressure on the forex market
NZDUSD after a false break of the trend resistance, which also coincided with the stopping of the strong decline of the dollar, entered the correction phase. Locally, it is a downtrend, followed by consolidation, which in general forms a flag - a figure of continuation of the movement.
The chart reveals strong levels that can be paid attention to. The dollar may continue its growth due to the US policy, which generally has a negative impact on the market.
The price exit from the current consolidation may be accompanied by a strong impulse. Emphasis on 0.575 - 0.571.
Resistance levels: 0.57426, 0.57674
Support levels: 0.571, 0.5684
After stopping at 0.571, the price is not pulling back, but forming consolidation on the background of the local downtrend. Most likely a big player lures the crowd to get to the imbalance zone or trend support at their expense.
Regards R. Linda!
Fcpo prediction this week until closing contractYesterday market open with the gap up..my prediction price will be collect price at bellow before go to higher price,because still have few spot price haven’t collect yet..like got few fair value gap haven’t collect..
This is the spot price maybe will collect before go up trend.
4536 - 4534
4424 - 4418
4314 - 4310
EUR/JPY: Bullish Continuation SetupDisclaimer: This is not professional financial advice; it is purely my personal opinion. Please consult a qualified financial expert before making any trading decisions.
In my analysis of EUR/JPY, the market appears to be maintaining a bullish trend on the four-hour timeframe. The recent price action suggests that the upward momentum is still intact, and I believe the market is showing potential for continued long positions, unless price action indicates otherwise.
Starting on the four-hour chart, I observed that the price has been making higher highs and higher lows, indicating that buyers are still in control. Moving down to the one-hour timeframe, we can see the formation of key supply and demand zones that could present opportunities for traders to enter long positions at favourable prices.
This setup appears to be well-suited for traders looking to capitalize on the bullish trend, especially if the market retests demand zones for a potential entry.
#BTC tests the resistance zone again!!📊#BTC tests the resistance zone again!!
🧠From a structural perspective, the bullish structure is still intact, bullish expectations still exist, and the ideal target zone (86500-88188) has not yet been achieved, so we can still keep a small number of positions to look forward to this possibility.
➡️However, at present, we are testing the downward trend line at the daily level again, and whether it can be successfully broken through is still unknown, so we are conservative and lock in 80% of the main profits, and don’t chase the resistance zone.
➡️If it breaks through successfully, it will also reach the ideal target zone of the bullish structure, so new long transactions need to observe whether it can stabilize above the downward trend line, otherwise it should not be too optimistic.
⚠️Note that if the downward trend line cannot be successfully broken through, we need to be wary of the risk of further decline.
Let’s see👀
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Gold is under dark clouds, waiting for opportunitiesThe 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn downward, and gold bulls have suffered heavy losses. After gold rebounds and repairs, we can only continue to short. The support below the range of gold 1 hour ago was 3110, and now it has fallen below. Then gold 3110 has formed an effective suppression in the short term.
Trading idea: short gold near 3110, sl: 3120, tp: 3090
The above is purely a sharing of personal views and does not constitute trading advice. Investments are risky and you are responsible for your profits and losses.
Gold Market and the Impact of Trump’s Tariff PolicyGold prices hit a new all-time high as investors seek safe haven assets amid growing uncertainty in the global economy. After several rounds of market turmoil, investors have recovered somewhat in Asian markets this week. In the coming week, the focus will be on the reciprocal tariff plan that Trump will announce on April 2. If Trump decides to take tough measures and implement high tariffs across the board, it may have a big impact on the market. However, if there is some relaxation of tariff policies, such as tax exemptions for specific countries, then the market may have a chance to rebound.
Trump was proud of Wall Street's record highs during his first term, but now seems to be less concerned about the stock market and more focused on the adjustment of overall economic policies. I think this may be the time to make structural changes to the US economy, although these adjustments may bring challenges in the short term, but the hope is that the economy will recover before the mid-term elections next year.
In addition, Asian stock markets have also been affected by volatility, especially the automotive industries in Japan and South Korea are under pressure. The automotive manufacturing industries in these countries face the challenge of change due to the upcoming 25% tariffs. Investors are full of doubts about Trump's tariff policy, and market sentiment is cautious, and all parties are waiting for the policy announcement on April 2.
In short, although the market has rebounded in the short term, future trends still need to focus on Trump’s tariff decisions and their potential impact on the global economy.
Aussie H4 | Overlap resistance at 78.6% Fibonacci projectionThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.6324 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss is at 0.6370 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension, 100% projection and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 0.6264 which is a swing-low support.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Detailed Support Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Rising trend line
Horizontal Structures:
Resistance 1: 3149 - 3151 area
Support 1: 3099 - 3104 area
Support 2: 3048 - 3057 area
Support 3: 3024 - 3036 area
Support 4: 2997 - 3001 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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BTC/USD: More Fall Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around $83,000. This week alone, BTC has dropped by 6%, showing signs of bearish momentum. A correction toward the $70,000 zone seems likely in the near future. Key supply zones are located at $93,400 and $99,700, while key demand zones are at $80,800 and $73,700. This analysis will be updated accordingly.
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Best Regards , Arman Shaban
The tariff hammer helps bulls rise stronglyTechnical analysis of gold: Affected by fundamentals, gold rose sharply again. The daily line finally closed in the positive zone and maintained a strong high at the opening. Pay attention to the upper and lower support of 3148 during the day. If it holds, it will have the momentum to continue to rise. The 4H cycle will strongly break through the upper Bollinger Band. , moving higher around the moving average support, there is no doubt that it is strongly bullish. At the same time, the middle rail has recovered, and the middle rail is still a key watershed. The lower support is around 3148 and 3138. We will go long according to the strength of the decline during the day, and then gradually look at 3170 and 3200!
Operation suggestion: Gold is long near 3138-40, stop loss at 3130, and look at 3150 and 3170!
Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions. Operate according to your own operation plan. Market information is complicated and blindly following the trend is easy to fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. The market is changing rapidly. There is no general who always wins in this market. Therefore, it is important for us to make corresponding adjustments according to market changes. We must do a good job of protection. There will always be some ups and downs in the market, but there will be a rainbow after the rain. We must not forget our original intention and forge ahead.
Will the price of gold continue to rise today?At the 4-hour level, the current market is shrinking and oscillating at a high level. The K-line is running above the middle track, and the oscillating and strong trend is maintained above the middle track. Focus on the 3100 support break. Only when it breaks below 3100 will the downward space be opened. There can be more below 3080-3060, and only above 3135 can further hit a new high. Before the data, continue to see range oscillation, small range 3110-3135, large range 3100-3150, short-term can be in the small range of high and low fast in and out. I will give orders online in real time after the data is released.
Gold bullish trend remains unchangedGold surged and then fell back, with the highest price rising to 3167, but then the price fell back and gave up all the gains, falling to 3116. The daily line just touched the 5-day moving average support. As long as the 5-day moving average support is not broken, the short-term will continue to rise strongly. According to this momentum, we can see 3200 points in the non-agricultural data. However, one point worth noting at present is that the hourly MACD indicator has a dead cross signal. Coupled with the surge and fall of gold, the K-line has formed a combination of Yin and Yang, suggesting that the risk of high-level selling pressure is increasing. Once it falls below the key position of 3100 below, the market will be completely controlled by the bears. The current bullish structure of gold has not changed. The key support for the long-short watershed below is still 3100. Above 3100, the strong bullish idea remains unchanged. Short-term operations rely on 3100 for defense, and pay attention to the resistance of the 3140-45 area above.
Short Position DOGE/USDT#Singal
DOGE/USDT
🔴 Short Position
🎲 Entry1 @ 0.17721
🎲 Entry2 @ 0.17950
✅ Target1@ 0.17526
✅ Target2 @ 0.17279
✅ Target3 @ 0.16852
✅ Target4 @ 0.16424
✅ Target5 @ 0.16005
❌ Stop Loss @ 0.18539
Leverage: 5X_15X
Margin: 10% of Wallet Balance
⚠️"Take Care of Risk Management for Your Account"
XAUUSD Today's strategyAt present, Trump has announced that the United States will impose a comprehensive 10% tariff on all goods. This tariff policy will lead to an escalation of global trade tensions and an increase in economic uncertainties. Investors' concerns about risky assets have intensified, and they will flock to safe-haven assets such as gold, thus driving up the price of gold.
The increase in tariffs will cause the prices of imported goods to rise, which in turn will trigger inflation expectations. Under the inflation expectations, as a store-of-value asset, the value of gold will be enhanced, and its price will rise correspondingly.
These impacts are merely based on an analysis of general situations. In reality, the market conditions will also be influenced by a combination of various factors, such as the countermeasures taken by different countries, other macroeconomic factors, market expectations, and so on. Therefore, the price trends are likely to be more complex and changeable.
XAUUSD Today's strategy
buy@3115-3125
tp:3140-3150-3160
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Calibrating Trading Indicators for Different MarketsCalibrating Trading Indicators for Different Markets: A Beginner's Guide
(Simple Steps to Adjust RSI , MACD , and Other Tools for Better Results)
Key Idea : Just like you'd tune a guitar differently for rock vs. classical music, trading tools like RSI or MACD need adjustments depending on what you're trading (stocks, crypto, forex) and how it moves. This guide shows you how to tweak these tools using price swings (pivot points) to make them work better for your specific asset.
---
Why "One Size Fits All" Doesn't Work
Most traders use default settings for indicators (like RSI's 14-day period). But these defaults were created for "average " markets. Real markets aren't average!
Example:
- Crypto ( CME:BTC1! ) : Super volatile → Needs faster, more sensitive indicators.
- Blue-Chip Stocks ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) : Less wild swings → Needs slower, smoother indicators.
If you use the same RSI settings for both, you'll get bad signals. Calibration fixes this.
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The Pivot Point Method for Calibration
One effective approach to calibration is measuring the natural rhythm of price swings between high and low points. Here's how to do it step by step:
Step 1: Find Pivot Points on Your Chart
Pivot points are like "price turning points." Use TradingView's ZigZag indicator (or draw them manually) to spot these swings.
How to Add ZigZag on TradingView :
1. Open your chart.
2. Click "Indicators" → Search " ZigZag " → Select it.
3. Adjust settings (defaults work fine for starters).
The ZigZag will draw lines between significant highs (peaks) and lows (valleys).
---
Step 2: Measure the "Rhythm" of the Market
Count the bars (candles) between pivot points to find the market's natural cycle.
Example :
- If Bitcoin swings from peak to peak every 14 bars on average, its "cycle" is 14 bars.
- If Apple does this every 16 bars, its cycle is 16 bars.
In the picture above, we used the Williams Fractal to identify pivots.
Formula for Indicator Settings :
- RSI Period = Half the average cycle → If cycle = 16 bars → RSI = 8 days.
- MACD Settings : Fast EMA = ¼ cycle, Slow EMA = ½ cycle → Cycle = 16 → Fast EMA = 4, Slow EMA = 8
---
Step 3: Test Your Calibrated Indicators
Backtest on TradingView :
1. Add your indicator (e.g., RSI) with the new settings.
2. Use the Strategy Tester (click "Add to Chart" → " RSI Strategy ") to see if signals improve.
Look For :
- Fewer false signals (e.g., RSI saying "oversold" too early).
- Clearer trends (MACD crossovers matching price moves).
---
Calibrating Popular Indicators (Simple Rules)
1. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
- Default : 14 days.
- Calibrated : Half the average cycle length.
- Example : Cycle = 16 bars → RSI = 8 days.
Why It Works : Shorter RSI reacts faster to volatile markets (like crypto).
2. MACD
- Default : 12, 26, 9.
- Calibrated :
- Fast EMA = ¼ of cycle.
- Slow EMA = ½ of cycle.
- Signal Line = ⅙ of cycle.
- Example : Cycle = 20 → Fast = 5, Slow = 10, Signal = 3.
Why It Works : Matches the asset's natural momentum shifts.
3. Williams %R
- Default : 14 days.
- Calibrated : Same as RSI (half the cycle).
---
How to Avoid Common Mistakes
Mistake 1 : Overfitting (Making It Too Perfect for the Past)
- Problem : If you calibrate too precisely to old data, it might fail in the future.
- Fix : Test on 2 types of data:
1. Training Data : First 70% of your chart (to calibrate).
2. Testing Data : Last 30% (to check if it still works).
Mistake 2 : Ignoring Market Changes
- Problem : What works today might not work next month.
- Fix : Recheck your settings every 3 months or after big news (e.g., Fed rate hikes).
---
Free Tools to Help (No Coding Needed)
1. TradingView's "Auto-Detect Cycle" Scripts
Search for indicators like "Cycle", "RSI Adaptive" or " Rainbow Adaptive RSI " in TradingView's public library. These automatically calculate cycle lengths (Not tested).
2. Adaptive MACD/RSI Indicators
Try pre-built adaptive indicators like:
- Adaptive MACD : Adjusts itself based on volatility.
- Dynamic Pivot : Uses pivots to set stop-loss and take-profit levels.
---
Building a Simple Pivot Calibration System
Basic ZigZag Calibrator Method :
1. Add ZigZag to your chart.
2. Manually count the bars between 5 recent swings.
3. Calculate the average → Divide by 2 → Use that number for your RSI/MACD.
Example :
- Swings: 12, 14, 16, 10, 8 bars → Average = 12.
- Calibrated RSI = 6 days.
---
Why This Works (Without the Math)
Markets move in waves. By matching your indicator's speed to the wave length, you "surf" the trend instead of fighting it. Research shows adaptive methods like this beat default settings.
The Science Behind It
When you calibrate to an instrument's natural rhythm:
- Oscillators (RSI, %R) catch extremes at the right time
- Trend indicators (MACD) signal changes faster
- Volatility bands (Bollinger Bands) expand and contract appropriately
---
A Step Further: Multi-Timeframe Calibration
For even better results, calibrate across timeframes:
1. Calculate cycles on daily charts for swing trading
2. Calculate cycles on 4-hour charts for day trading
3. Use both calibrated indicators together for confirmation
---
Final Tips for Beginners
1. Start Small : Calibrate one indicator (like RSI) first.
2. Use Free Tools : TradingView has thousands of free scripts to automate calculations.
3. Keep Records : Document what settings work for which assets.
4. Be Patient : Finding the right calibration takes time, but the results are worth it.
Calibration isn't about being perfect—it's about making your tools work better for specific markets . Happy trading!
EUR/USD: Ready for another Fall? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the EUR/USD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price has moved exactly as expected since our last analysis. After reaching the supply zone between 1.083 and 1.093, the pair began a correction and is currently trading around 1.079. Keep in mind, only if the price stabilizes below the 1.080 level can we expect further downside from this pair.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Last level to break short. fundamentals MOMENTUMFX:USDJPY – The last critical level to break before we commit to a strong short position. If the price decisively breaks through this level, we could see a surge in selling pressure, likely triggering a solid downtrend. Watch for a clean break and retest of this level for confirmation. If this level holds and starts to reject, the bears might take full control, and we could see this pair drop significantly. Patience is key, but the setup looks promising for a strong move down if this level fails to hold. 🐻📉
Gold Trade Plan 03/04/2025Dear Traders,
today i expect price will be Start Correction to 3080-3060,
i specified 2 Alternatives for correction ,
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza!
Crude oil's Strong Return: Exclusive Trading Strategy and LayoutOverall, yesterday's market can be considered as a one-sided upward trend within the day. Both crude oil and gold gave a wonderful performance on the upward path yesterday. Gold reached a record high yesterday, and crude oil didn't show any weakness either, breaking through the $71 mark in one go. Traders who followed John's advice yesterday are believed to have reaped good profits. The data released by the US Energy Information Administration yesterday showed a decrease in production, which further pushed crude oil above $71 and to the current high of $71.8. Every time crude oil is at a crucial juncture and needs to choose a direction, there will be bullish news in the market to support it. This is caused by the excessive instability resulting from the current turbulent international situation, and Trump's fickle policies also lead to the dual nature of the market that makes it prone to fluctuations.
Crude oil reached around $71.8 at its highest point yesterday, and the trend and price levels basically met the expectations. Judging from the current trend of crude oil, there are signs of a continued rebound. The resistance levels above are $72.5, $73.3 and $74 respectively, while the support levels below are $70.9, $70.4 and $69.9 respectively.
USOIL
buy@70-70.5
tp:72-73
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