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Trend Analysis

BTC - 1H Elliott Wave AnalysisGreetings, this is the immediate bullish Elliott Wave Count for BTC. I also did a 4H count which takes a deeper retracement into consideration which will be linked below in the notes. I'll like it below in the notes for everybody that is interested it in :) Spoiler: This Analysis gets a bit more complex. In the immediate bullish count we assume that Bitcoin is forming a double 1-2 set up which should lead to a rather aggressive Wave 3 to the upside. From the low which formed the blue Wave 4 we have a five wave move up displayed in purple which finished white Wave 1. We also formed white Wave 2 already which is a very shallow Wave 2 but it hit the minimum requirements of the 0.236 FIB at 98031.9 USD which is very rare and not preferred but valid. From here we have started white Wave 3 of which we finished the first Wave displayed as the green Wave 1 here and we are currently working on the green Wave 2 in the yellow ABC. Green Wave 2 support sits between the 0.5 FIB at 101538.8 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 99110.5 USD. Yellow Wave A seems to be in as well as yellow Wave B which could extend tho. Assuming yellow Wave B is in we can calculate targets for yellow Wave C which are very well in confluence with our green Wave 2 support. Targets for yellow Wave C are the 1 to 1 FIB at 101420.9 USD, the 1.236 FIB at 100585.2 USD, the 1.382 FIB at 100068.2 USD and the 1.618 FIB at 99232.4 USD. Noteworthy is that all targets for yellow Wave C overlap with the Fibonacci's of green Wave 2 support area. Additionally the 1.618 FIB target at 99232.4 USD of yellow Wave C which overlaps with the 0.786 FIB of the green Wave 2 support area at 99110.5 USD also overlap with the 0.382 FIB at 99337.8 USD of our Wave 2 support area of the "BTC - 4H Elliott Wave Analysis" which focusses on a deeper retracement which I'll link below in the notes. The golden pocket of green Wave 2 also sits perfectly on 100'000 USD which is an important psychological level. The green & white Wave 3 should take us well above the last ATH at 108366.8 USD. On the chart you can see some targets for white Wave 3 which are the 1 to 1 FIB at 109234.6 USD, the 1.236 FIB at 112.052.7 USD, the 1.382 FIB at 113796.1 USD and the 1.618 FIB at 116614.1 USD. Noteworthy is that the 1 to 1 FIB target at 109234.6 USD is right above the ATH at 108366.8 USD which could function as a short term resistance, so be aware of volatility! Additionally we got some confluence for the 1.618 FIB target at 116614.1 USD with a high timeframe target at 115948.9 USD which I discussed in my "BTC - 1D Elliott Wave Analysis" which I'll link below in the comments. Be aware that we get the inauguration of Trump next week and the stock market is closed on Monday which both can have some effect on Crypto. If you enjoyed this analysis I'd appreciate if you give it a boost as I put a lot of effort into it :) Thanks for reading. NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
Long
by KanashimiBro
BTC - Top around October 2025 - bottom in October 2026I was fooled by the bearish divergence on the 1W-3W charts in thinking that we'd get another correction from these levels. That is still possible, but this overview is based on if we just continue up from these levels. Our next stops could be 112K, and 127,500K. Maybe we get a correction from those levels. I think that the BTC top will probably be around 174K - 250K. If all goes as it has in the past, then we probably top around October of this year. Then we would be in a downward bear market until October of 2026, where the bottom will probably be around 80% from wherever we top. Also, we do appear to be doing a classic Elliot Wave 5 wave structure, so we may do a big ABC type move downward into October of 2026.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by LoneWolf1425
Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ NASDAQ closed lower, finding support at the 5-day moving average. Last Friday unfolded as expected, with a correction to the 5-day line being part of the wave pattern, making a sell-oriented approach the best strategy for the day. The downward wave emerged in the afternoon rather than during the pre-market, resulting in extended consolidation. On the weekly chart, it formed a bullish candle, reaching the upper range of the box zone; however, the MACD has yet to fully cross above the signal line. This week, the area between the 3-day and 5-day moving averages (20,800–20,600) could act as a short-term pullback buying zone. If this area fails to hold and prices close lower with a bearish candle, the market might revert to maintaining a wide-ranging box zone. Therefore, it's crucial to close the week with a bullish candle to confirm a buy signal. On the daily chart, the MACD and signal line are positioned above the zero line, indicating that buying pressure could persist. However, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, suggesting that significant additional surges are unlikely. A short-term correction perspective is advisable. If prices fail to decisively break above the 3-day moving average near 21,950, a correction to the 10-day moving average should be considered. The 240-minute chart shows the emergence of a long bearish candle forming a double top. If Friday’s low at 21,844 is breached, there’s a strong likelihood of filling the gap created on January 22. The MACD and signal line still show a significant gap from the zero line, so there could be support and a rebound at the lower levels. In summary, while a short-term sell perspective is advisable, buying opportunities could emerge near the gap-filling zone around 21,700 during pullbacks. OIL Oil closed higher at $74, finding support and forming a bullish daily candle for the first time in six trading sessions. This bounce establishes a foothold at the key support level of $74. On the weekly chart, prices found support at the 5-day moving average. Although the MACD has crossed above the zero line, the signal line is still slightly below it. If a bullish candle forms this week, it will confirm a buy signal on the weekly chart, favoring buy-oriented strategies. On the daily chart, prices could rise again, finding support at the 20-day moving average. However, the sharp downward angle of the recent decline from $79 and the ongoing sell signal from the MACD indicate that any rally may face resistance and pullbacks. If prices rebound to the $77–$78 range, there is a high probability of a pullback. The $74–$79 range is likely to hold, with a period of consolidation allowing moving averages to converge. On the 240-minute chart, bullish divergence is forming near $74, and the MACD is on the verge of generating a buy signal. A buy-oriented strategy on pullbacks is advisable. GOLD Gold closed higher with an upper shadow on the daily candle. On the weekly chart, prices reached the upper Bollinger Band. The MACD, however, has yet to achieve a golden cross above the signal line, keeping the sell signal intact. A strong rally with a long bullish candle would be required to confirm a buy signal. If additional upward momentum fails and prices start to decline, the MACD may turn downward again. The current gap between the MACD and signal line suggests that an immediate buy signal might not be achievable. On the daily chart, buying pressure remains strong, and as long as the 10-day moving average holds, a one-way buying trend is likely. On the 240-minute chart, resistance is evident at higher levels, and divergence in the MACD could occur. It’s advisable to avoid chasing prices higher. Given the staircase-like upward movement, a buy-oriented approach on pullbacks is recommended. This Week’s Key Events: FOMC meeting (Wednesday) Tesla and Meta earnings reports (Wednesday) Apple earnings report (Thursday) Expect heightened volatility on Wednesday and Thursday. Good luck with your investments this week! ■Trading Strategies for Today NASDAQ - Range-bound Market -Buy: 21,850 / 21,785 / 21,720 / 21,630 / 21,530 -Sell: 21,970 / 22,010 / 22,055 / 22,105 OIL - Range-bound Market -Buy: 74.15 / 73.40 / 72.80 / 72.40 -Sell: 75.20 / 75.95 / 76.40 / 77.10 GOLD - Bullish Market -Buy: 2,774 / 2,768 / 2,762 / 2,752 -Sell: 2,782 / 2,793 / 2,799 / 2,816 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
#DOGE at a Pivotal Trendline – Bounce or Breakdown?#DOGE is definitely at a critical point right now, sitting on this trendline. A break below it could send the price down to the red box at 0.30-0.28 levels . That said, I’m leaning towards a solid bounce here. RSI and Stoch are extremely oversold across MTFs (D, H4, H1), which hints at a recovery. But let’s be real—what happens next largely depends on #BTC. On the bright side, USDT dominance is already showing signs of rejection, which is a good sign. It might head back to levels like 3.97–3.93/3.92 , clearing the gap and potentially giving CRYPTOCAP:DOGE a boost. We could see it climb back to 0.38 (where the H4 POC is) or at least cover the FVG around 0.35. Overall sentiment is looking good too, with a 30.34% bullish market outlook on the daily TF. Let’s see how this plays out. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. Trading involves significant risk, and you may lose more than your initial investment. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade responsibly.
by DrewsViews
Nasdaq Trading for the last January 25.01.27Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ. Friday’s NASDAQ Briefing Results Chart: On Friday, the NASDAQ broke above the purple box resistance trendline but failed to break through the next major resistance zone at 22093.5–22111.25. After the ascending trendline broke, the sell entry zone at 21854.25 was triggered. Although there was a brief rebound before the U.S. session closed, the price eventually dropped further on Monday. Currently, the price has fallen approximately 300 points from the entry, yielding a profit of around $6,000 per contract. Detailed Analysis of Friday’s Patterns Chart: One key point to note from Friday’s briefing was that the upward pattern was forming a pennant. When the black box supply zone broke, the chart showed signs of consolidation, as seen with the light blue trendlines. This consolidation involved higher lows and lower highs, but the breakout signal came from the red box. However, the breakout attempt failed after the price couldn’t break through the green box. If the green box had been broken, the pattern would have shifted from a pennant to an ascending triangle, signaling stronger bullish momentum. Instead, the failure to break out suggests that the pennant formation remains valid. Also, considering the timing, the breakout attempt coincided with a scheduled economic indicator release, which is why setting a break-even stop-loss would have been the prudent choice. Economic data releases often disrupt natural chart trends with sudden bursts of trading volume, which is why it’s generally recommended to avoid trading immediately before or after such events. Trading Within Trend Breaks Chart: Using the red box as an example: Let’s say you entered after the red box breakout 15 minutes before the economic release, even though it wasn’t an ideal entry. Stop-Loss Strategy: A break-even stop-loss should be applied to protect against volatility during the announcement. First Stop: If the price falls below your entry level, it’s the first signal to exit the trade. Second Stop: If the price breaks below the blue box, you must exit because the ascending trendline is broken, invalidating the uptrend. Stop-loss levels are challenging to specify as fixed numbers because they depend on time and price movement. For trend trading, entry and exit decisions must be adaptive and based on real-time conditions. Daily Chart Analysis Chart: The daily chart shows: A significant bearish candle following a break of the short-term ascending trendline and the major support level. A gap-down open, with the price now inside the Ichimoku Cloud. The current price is testing support near the daily 20 EMA. Potential Scenarios: Upside: There’s a slight chance for a gap-filling rebound. Downside: A retest of the red box support zone near 21308. Support at the 60 EMA or Ichimoku Cloud bottom near 21220. Further major support levels are 21006 and 20694. Weekly Chart Analysis Chart: Last week’s bearish weekly candle completely engulfed the previous week’s body. The remaining lower wick reaches down to around 21377.75. Current Market Momentum Chart: The NASDAQ is currently in a steep, almost vertical downtrend. This movement makes it essential to remain cautious: Entering short positions at this stage carries the risk of a rebound to fill the gap. Entering long positions could result in further losses if the trend continues downward. Since most entry points have already been invalidated, it’s best to stay on the sidelines for now. Conclusion With Asian markets observing holidays next week (Korea from Monday, China from Tuesday, and Hong Kong from Wednesday), trading volumes are expected to decrease. Given the current market conditions, taking a step back and avoiding unnecessary trades might be the wisest approach. Unless significant news impacts the market, there’s a possibility of the session closing with some recovery. Thank you for your hard work this week, and let’s finish strong. See you in the next briefing! 🚀
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Greedy_allday
$AAPL yieaahhhoh dear NASDAQ:AAPL why do you do this to us on earnings week. Beautiful setup. 1. Setting support on the parallel channel since breakout from back in June. 2. Confluent with the 61% fib retracement measured from same breakout from June. 3. Daily RSI at oversold point. 4. Daily MACD giving us turning hopes. We want this to get back to the mid point on the trendline, depending on timing we can look at 240 to 250. All this can get nullified with a bad earnings report and get down to $195 area. Make or break on earnings. Yieaahhh
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by rubfigue
EURGBP - Bearish ReversalHello traders EURGBP has been slowly grinding up since 9 January with there being a trendline holding this slight uptrend. But it broke out of the trendline last week and it retested it. The ideal entry would have been on the retest but let's hope this 4H fvg gets filled then price goes down. Furthermore, the rsi has been making lower lows while price was making higher highs showing bearishness. Add to this that this setup is forming on a daily resistance zone as per the chart.
Short
by The_Worldy
NASQ100 - Wait and see if Nas100 can stand on key support levelWait and see if Nas100 can stand on key support level! Hello mates, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trading on the price movement. A key part of my discipline is always setting a Stop Loss when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. Our 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
FX:NAS100
by QQGuo-Shane
XAUUSD 16/01/25XAUUSD continues to hold the same bias as the past two weeks. As always, trade from the lows and aim for the highs. Orion provides us with a clear rule set to follow, allowing us to sit back and wait for our alerts to trigger. This week, the main plan is to build more upside momentum while waiting for price to return to the lows. This would align with our long entry criteria. If the current target highs are reached, we’ll look for new lows to form and trade from. Our approach remains simple: trade long to the highs, then wait for the next setup to appear. With Orion guiding the way, we simply follow the rules. Trade within your risk limits and trust Orion.
FX:XAUUSD
by PipSurfingSociety