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Trend Analysis

Trump Tariffs: Gold's Wild Ride & What's NextToday, Trump's policy of reciprocal tariffs has been officially implemented. The gold market, which has been overly hyped, has witnessed the fulfillment of a risk event, and the concentrated closing of long positions has triggered a deep correction. Spot gold prices plummeted from the high of $3,167.71 per ounce in the early Asian trading session. It touched a low of $3,054 per ounce, with an intraday amplitude of over $110, completing the technical action of building a top. The leading institutional investors have precisely taken advantage of the market psychology of "buying on the news and selling on the fact" and completed the long position layout before the tariff policy was implemented. Their operation method is quite typical: first, they attract retail investors to take over the shares through a pulsed upward pull. Subsequently, they adopt a three-stage washing method of "plunge - consolidation - second plunge", completely breaking the recent upward oscillation pattern in the Asian and European trading sessions. This method is identical to the top formations in history on many occasions, and its purpose is precisely to create panic selling and trap the chips that chased the high prices. Technically, a clear top signal has emerged in the daily chart of gold. Currently, the decline has exceeded the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, and the price has fallen below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, indicating that the medium - term trend may reverse. However, it should be noted that this round of adjustment has not yet completed the complete five - wave structure. In the future, we need to focus on the guidance of tomorrow's non - farm payrolls data on the market's expectations of the Federal Reserve's policies, as well as whether the weekly closing price can confirm the head pattern. John suggests that it's advisable to mainly adopt a wait - and - see approach. One should get involved only after the trend stabilizes. Pay attention to the resistance levels above at 3118 and 3130, and the support levels below at 3100 and 3085. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by JohnGonzalez7
1
Gold Futures: Flight of the PhoenixCOMEX:GC1! Gold Futures Analysis: Gold futures are currently presenting a clearer picture compared to equity index futures. Crude oil futures, on the other hand, have already priced in much of the recent tariff news, with a reversal observed from the 2025 mid-range back towards $65. Despite heightened volatility, the WTI crude oil market remains relatively balanced, with bearish sentiment materializing, if prices drop below and stay below the $65 mark. Gold futures, however, are offering more defined risk-reward opportunities at the moment. Our analysis shows a macro bullish trend in gold, along with price discovery and market auction trends visible on lower timeframes. On the 4-hour chart below, we observe a rising upward channel, with key levels identified and reasoning for these levels labeled on the chart. Key Levels: • ATH: 3201.6 • HVN (High Volume Node) for long entry: 3115 • LVN (Low Volume Node)/LIS for short entry: 3095.1 • Key LVN Support: 3003.7-3018 Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation If Gold futures stay below the trend line that defines both our long and short trade ideas, the bearish scenario could materialize. For a short trade to be viable, we would look for a close below the LVN/LIS level (3095.1) and enter on a pullback, targeting the major LVN support zone around 3018.0. Example trade parameters for Scenario 1: • Entry: 3095.1 • Stop: 3125 • Target: 3018 • Risk: 29.9 points • Reward : 77.1 points • Risk to Reward Ratio: RRR=77.1/29.9 ≈2.58 Scenario 2: Bullish Reversal In the event that Gold futures push back towards all-time highs due to heightened uncertainty and a flight to safety, we expect initial profit-taking by shorter timeframe traders to provide a pullback. This could present a long opportunity towards the all-time highs. Example trade parameters for Scenario 2: • Entry: 3115 • Stop: 3095 • Target: 3200 • Risk : 20 points • Reward : 85 points • Risk-to-Reward Ratio: RRR= 85/20 = 4.25 Important Notes: • These are example trade ideas, and traders are encouraged to do their own analysis and preparation before entering any positions. • Stop losses are not guaranteed to trigger at specified levels, and actual losses may exceed predetermined stop levels.
COMEX:GC1!
by EdgeClear
GOLD - New All-Time High Again? Where Will This End? Current Price Action: Gold (XAUUSD) has reached another record high at 3,175.06 on the 4-hour chart, showing strong bullish momentum. The price is currently hovering around 3,127.07 after a minor pullback from the peak. Key Levels: Resistance: The all-time high at 3,175.06 is now the key level to watch. A break above could signal continuation of the rally. Support: Immediate support sits at 3,127.20, with 3,150.00 acting as additional support. A drop below 3,127 could indicate a deeper correction. Market Context: The repeated tests of new highs suggest strong buying pressure, though the recent pullback shows some profit-taking. The 3,150 level has flipped from resistance to support, which is a bullish sign. Trading Considerations: - Long positions may consider entries near 3,127-3,150 with stops below 3,120, targeting 3,175 and beyond - Short-term traders might watch for rejection at 3,175 for potential reversal plays - The overall trend remains strongly bullish, but extended moves often see sharp corrections Volume and Momentum: The current pullback appears on relatively low volume, suggesting this may be a temporary pause rather than a trend reversal. Final Thoughts: Gold continues its historic rally with no clear resistance in sight. While the trend favors buyers, traders should remain cautious of potential profit-taking at these elevated levels. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and not investment advice. Always conduct your own research before trading.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by wdstrades
2
Nifty Trend directionTechnical View Nifty 23332 - Is near the resistance 23360. As long as it trades below the resistance we shall expect Nifty to test the resistance 23098,22840. Market View FII have sold in cash and Write Call options. Last hour around 3 crore short windup and 3 crore profit booking has helped Nifty to rose from 23290 to 23348. Intraday trade clue based on FII IF short buildup increase today in morning session, expect Nifty to go up futures as FII has to trap writers. IF PUT buildup increase today in morning session expect Nifty to go down as FII's has to increase their profit.
NSE:NIFTY
by subravi
Alt Season Hello traders, This is the chart of ETH/BTC on the daily chart. This specific chart is the most important when it comes to altcoins because they mostly follow ETH and if we go back in history on every alt season ETH always outperforms BTC and that's a fact. ETH have been struggling to keep up with BTC in the last couple of months. But now a huge signal was made and if everything goes as planned we might see altcoins outperform BTC. A bullish divergence was spotted where price has made lower lows and the RSI made higher lows, that indicates that there is buying pressure. If the RSI doesn't go any lower this is a clear sign of huge upside potential.
Long
by mikedargham
2
Will SOL drop below $100?Hello Traders, I hope you are all doing well. Here’s a quick analysis of SOL on the weekly timeframe. After reaching its all-time high of $295, SOL experienced a 60% decline within 11 weeks. According to the chart, the support trendline remains strong, and technically, the price has not yet reached that level. If we see a further dip toward the support trendline, SOL could drop as low as $90. However, a rebound from this level could lead to a significant upward move. Long-Term Strategy: ✅ Accumulation: $90 to $125 ✅ Trade Type: Spot ✅ Target: $300 to a new all-time high ✅ Period: By the end of Q3 🔔 Reminder: Always conduct your own research and analysis before investing. This is not financial advice. Regards, Team Dexter
Long
by Dexter_The_Trader
1
Bitcoin Rejection from Resistance – Short Setup with Bullish PotBitcoin is currently testing a key resistance zone around $85,500, where previous price action showed strong selling pressure. A rejection from this level could lead to a short-term pullback towards $83,750 - $83,250 , aligning with a retest of the broken trendline before a potential bullish continuation. 🔹 Entry: $85,200 - $85,500 🔹 Stop-Loss (SL): $86,000 🔹 Take-Profit (TP): $83,750, with potential long re-entry from this zone targeting $86,000+ 📊 Watch for price action confirmation within the resistance zone before entering. If BTC holds above $85,500, the bullish breakout could accelerate. 🚀
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by EpicmindJournyFX
4
**"Gold Market Bullish Setup – Potential Breakout Ahead"** here are the key insights: ### **1. Key Support and Resistance Levels** - **Support Level:** Around **3,054** (lower boundary). - **Resistance Level:** Around **3,136** (upper boundary). ### **2. Trading Plan & Potential Breakout** - The chart shows an **ascending trendline**, indicating a **bullish movement** in the market. - The price is approaching a **resistance zone**, suggesting that if a breakout happens, the market may move higher. ### **3. Trading Setup** - **Buy Entry:** If the price **breaks above 3,136**, a **buy trade** can be considered. - **Stop Loss:** Around **3,083** (below key support). - **Take Profit Target:** Next major resistance, around **3,160 - 3,180**. ### **Conclusion** - The current setup appears **bullish**, but confirmation is needed through a **breakout above resistance**. - If the price fails to break the resistance, a **bearish reversal** may occur, pushing the price downward.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChartingMarketInsights
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis: Key Resistance Test Before BrThis chart represents a Gold (XAU/USD) 30-minute timeframe analysis from TradingView. Here are the key takeaways: Technical Indicators & Levels Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) 200 EMA (Blue Line): 3,110.97 – A long-term trend indicator. 30 EMA (Red Line): 3,134.65 – A short-term trend indicator. Key Levels Resistance Point: Around 3,136.56. Support Zone (Stop Loss Level): 3,103.16. Target Point: 3,167.44, indicating a potential 1.62% upside. Potential Trade Setup Scenario 1 (Bullish Case): If price breaks above resistance (3,136.56) and holds, the next target is 3,167.44. A bullish breakout could indicate further momentum. Scenario 2 (Bearish Case): If price fails to break resistance and drops, it could test the support zone around 3,103.16. A break below this level might lead to further downside. Pattern Analysis: The chart suggests a potential retest of resistance before a breakout. A possible accumulation phase before a strong move. Conclusion Bullish above 3,136.56, targeting 3,167.44. Bearish below 3,103.16, watching for downside risk. The 200 EMA (3,110.97) could act as dynamic support.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
EUR/USD | Major Shift – Is the Euro Reclaiming Strength?A major shift may be underway in the EUR/USD pair, potentially signaling the euro’s resurgence after a prolonged period of dollar dominance. Historical patterns suggest that the EUR/USD cycle closely mirrors the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) cycle in inverse correlation. Given the recent inflection points, we may be entering a phase where the dollar weakens while the euro strengthens. Historical Cycles & The DXY Correlation Examining past EUR/USD bottoms, we see a recurring pattern roughly every 15–20 years, aligning inversely with DXY peaks: 1971: EUR/USD bottomed as the dollar peaked before entering a long decline. 1985: The Plaza Accord led to a major DXY peak, followed by a strong euro uptrend. 2000: The dollar peaked again, marking another significant euro rally. 2022: The most recent DXY peak (~114), coinciding with an EUR/USD low. Each of these key reversals reflects a broad shift in global monetary policy, trade balances, and economic cycles. If history is repeating, the 2022 dollar peak may have set the stage for a multi-year euro recovery, just as previous DXY tops did. Key Drivers to Watch Monetary Policy Divergence: The Fed's tightening cycle may be nearing its end, while the ECB remains cautious on rate cuts. Economic Momentum: If the U.S. economy slows while the Eurozone stabilizes, capital flows may shift towards the euro. Investor Sentiment: As DXY trends lower, it could accelerate EUR/USD bullish momentum, as seen in previous cycles. What’s Next? With the euro holding above historically significant lows and the DXY showing signs of cyclical weakening, traders should watch for confirmations of this potential long-term reversal. If past trends hold, we could be witnessing the early stages of another major EUR/USD bull cycle.
Long
by adiyatcoto