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Trend Analysis

Possible Heads & Shoulders FormingWhen you see the inverse Heads n Shoulders forming, its hard to unsee it. I love this because it's lining up perfectly with the VAL of the intra day range and LVN ..This long trade is in line with my last week and current week forecast. We already hit TP1, TP2 is looking very likely after the pullback is done. We are currently sitting at the POC, so expect some condolidation. Especially since we have ADP Non-Farm 2morow & Thurs. The news is the only thing that can throw a wrench into this setup. Be sure to check out my last tradingview post and also checkout the weekly recap and weekly forecast videos i just posted on our youtube channel breaking down the in-depth analysis of this trade so you can understand my thought process on how it use Trend & Volume to execute this trade. Link is in my bio. DEFINITIIONS POC - Point of Control VAL - Value Area Low LVN - Low Volume Node Study up on those. CHEERS
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by ExoProtocol
AFTER - XAU/USD - Jul 1,2025 DoneCongratulations guys 200 pips profits ✅ XAU/USD Trade Recap – Jul 1,2025 Bias: Short (Sell Position) 🔹 Entry Price: Around $3,348 🔻 Stop-Loss: $3,371 🎯 Take-Profit Target: $3,327 (✅ Hit – 200 pips) 📉 Result: First target partially reached – trade closed with +200 pips in profit. Price rejected the resistance area and moved downward, allowing for a clean exit before reaching TP1 and TP2. Conservative profit-taking secured gains without risking reversal. 💡 Summary: Smart and disciplined execution. The market respected the setup, and you locked in profits safely at 200 pips before any retracement.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mr7oussaine
Solid TCB setup for GBPCAD✅ Trend (HTF Bias) D1 and H4 are likely bullish (based on prior swing structure and channel direction). The price was respecting the ascending channel until this sharp breakdown. ✅ Countertrend A rising wedge / ascending channel is clearly visible. The recent impulse down broke structure cleanly — textbook countertrend break. ✅ Breakout Price has broken below the lower ascending trendline. It’s now retesting the zone at ~1.8700–1.8710 (highlighted). If this retest holds, it’s a high-probability sell setup. 📊 Total Score: ~95% TCB Trade Quality 🧾 Execution Thoughts: Entry: Current price (~1.8701) after retest rejection. SL: Just above 1.8730–1.8740 (above retest wick). TP: ~1.8675 zone (bottom of the zone), for ~2R. 🔔 Verdict: ✅ It’s a solid TCB setup: Retest after clean break of structure, inside HTF channel break, with decent R:R. You may wait for a confirming bearish candle Trigger: Wait for bearish engulfing / rejection wick confirmation.
Short
by J1000PIPSfx
Expecting Gold Selling movement In this 15 minute chart of Gold Spot XAU/USD price action indicates a potential bearish setup following a strong upward move that has started to lose momentum After reaching a peak near 3344 price formed a double top pattern followed by a series of lower highs and lower lows signaling a shift in market sentiment The blue horizontal zone around 3331 3332 acted as a significant support level which has now been broken and is being retested as resistance The yellow projection shows a bearish continuation scenario with price expected to reject the retest of the broken support and continue downward The projected target for the bearish move is near 3302 indicating a significant downside potential The risk zone highlighted in red lies above the resistance, likely placing the stop loss around the 3335 3340 range This analysis suggests that if the price fails to reclaim the support turned-resistance zone bears could take control and drive price lower throughout the day
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GOLD_FORCAST_PROVIDER
Rate cut expectations and non-farm data affect gold marketPowell noted that the vast majority of Fed officials expect to cut interest rates later this year, but it is currently impossible to say whether considering a rate cut in July is too early. The U.S. Treasury Secretary, however, believes that even if there is no rate cut in July, there will be one in September. In terms of market impact, if the non-farm payroll data to be released in the next two days performs poorly, the probability of a rate cut in July will rise significantly. For gold, rate cuts themselves are a positive factor. Moreover, if the market worries about the Fed losing its independence, the U.S. dollar index is likely to fall continuously, and gold is expected to hit a new high in the medium to long term. Technically, gold closed strongly with a large positive candle yesterday and still has room to rise today. On the downside, the early session low of $3,329 serves as a short-term support level, with the strong support looking at around $3,312 near the 60-day moving average. On the upside, the initial resistance level is the early session high of $3,345; if this level is broken, further resistance levels will be yesterday's high of $3,358 and around $3,375. XAUUSD buy@3315-3325 tp：3340-3350 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
BITCOIN STRATED FORMING BEARISH TREND STRUCTUREBITCOIN SHOWS SIGNS OF BEARISH REVERSAL – KEY LEVELS TO WATCH After an extended bullish run, Bitcoin is now showing early signs of a potential trend reversal as the market begins forming a bearish structure. The formation of a lower low on the price chart indicates weakening bullish momentum and suggests that sellers may be gaining control. This development comes after a sustained upward trend, signaling that a corrective phase could be underway in the cryptocurrency market. Bearish Confirmation: Lower Low Formation The appearance of a lower low is one of the most reliable technical indicators of a trend reversal. This pattern demonstrates that bears are successfully pushing prices below previous support levels, establishing a new downward trajectory. While this doesn't necessarily confirm a long-term bear market, it does suggest that Bitcoin could face further downside pressure in the near term. Traders should watch for confirmation through follow-through selling or additional bearish candlestick patterns. Downside Target: $99,000 in Focus If the bearish momentum continues, Bitcoin could test the $99,000 support level in upcoming trading sessions. This level represents a psychologically important zone where buyers may attempt to step in. However, a decisive break below this support could accelerate declines, potentially leading to deeper corrections. Traders should monitor volume and price action around this level for signs of either consolidation or continuation of the downtrend. Resistance Level: $12,000 as Key Barrier On the upside, $12,000 now acts as a critical resistance level. Any short-term rallies toward this zone could attract renewed selling pressure, reinforcing the bearish outlook. For the current downtrend to be invalidated, Bitcoin would need to reclaim and sustain above this resistance with strong buying volume. Until then, traders may consider selling into strength near this level while maintaining tight risk management. Market Outlook: Correction Expected After Prolonged Rally Given Bitcoin's history of volatile price swings, this potential reversal should not come as a complete surprise after its extended bullish run. Market participants should watch for: - Increasing trading volume on downward moves (confirming bearish conviction) - Potential bearish continuation patterns (like descending triangles or flag formations) - Macro factors that could influence crypto markets (regulatory news, ETF flows, or macroeconomic shifts) Conclusion Bitcoin appears to be entering a corrective phase, with $99,000 as the next key downside target and $12,000 serving as major resistance. While the broader uptrend may still be intact long-term, short-term traders should prepare for potential bearish continuation. As always, proper position sizing and stop-loss strategies remain crucial in navigating Bitcoin's inherent volatility. A break above $12,000 would require reassessment of the bearish outlook.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Brillant_Capital
BTC Bull Flag Breakout or Fakeout? Eyes on $107K–$112K ZoneHere's my updated chart for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the daily timeframe. The price action is currently testing a key zone that could define whether we're heading into the next major leg up, or facing another rejection. Pattern Breakdown: - BTC is respecting a bull flag formation after a strong impulse leg earlier this year. - The $105K level has held as critical support, keeping the bull flag structure intact. - Price is currently pressing against descending resistance (~$107K) with tightening consolidation indicating an imminent breakout decision. Key Levels to Watch: Support: $105K – holding this level keeps bullish momentum valid. $101.6K (Bollinger midline) $100.4K (EMA 100) – must hold for macro trend to stay intact. Resistance (before $112K): $107K – major descending trendline resistance. $110.1K – upper Bollinger Band and recent local high. $112.45K – key breakout level from the flag. A daily close above this could trigger a sharp rally. Indicators: MACD is forming a bullish crossover but lacks strong momentum, watch for a green histogram to confirm. RSI at ~51 gives BTC room to run, not in overbought territory. Volume is low, but coiling tight near the apex could spark volatility. Conclusion: BTC is at a critical decision point. A clean breakout above $107K, followed by sustained momentum through $110K–$112K, would significantly raise the probability of a confirmed bull flag breakout, with a potential move toward $120K+. However, the $105K level is a key support that must hold to keep this structure intact. If we see a daily close below $105K, attention shifts to the $101K level (Bollinger Band midline + 53 SMA). A close below $101K would invalidate the bull flag entirely, turning this setup into a potential bull trap, and shifting short-term bias bearish. All eyes are on the $107K–$112K resistance zone for confirmation—or breakdown signals if support levels give way.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by xfzzhs2tbj
Long Trade Idea: EL (Estée Lauder Companies, Inc.)!🧠 📅 Timeframe: 30-Minute 💼 Type: Long Position 📈 Setup: Breakout from rising wedge + bullish continuation 📍 Trade Details: Entry: $85.12 (breakout confirmation with bullish momentum) Stop Loss: $83.85 (below wedge support & structure) Target 1: $86.87 (minor resistance) Target 2: $89.38 (major resistance / final target) 🔎 Technical Breakdown: Strong rising wedge breakout with high momentum Rejection wicks previously — now showing breakout candle through resistance Structure shifted bullish, with room to run up to $89+ Volume not visible, but price action is clean and controlled 🎯 Risk/Reward Outlook: Favorable RR > 2:1 Risk is tight; potential upside to strong resistance zones Great reward for momentum traders
NYSE:ELLong
by ProfittoPath
Gold Sell- look for sell - Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if you know how - keep looking for sell even if price goes one more up A Message To Traders: I’ll be sharing high-quality trade setups for a period time. No bullshit, no fluff, no complicated nonsense — just real, actionable forecast the algorithm is executing. If you’re struggling with trading and desperate for better results, follow my posts closely. Check out my previously posted setups and forecasts — you’ll be amazed by the high accuracy of the results. "I Found the Code. I Trust the Algo. Believe Me, That’s It."
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Vincent-DA
USD/JPY "The Ninja Heist" – Bullish Loot Grab!🌟 Hey, Thieves & Market Bandits! 🌟 💰 Ready to raid the USD/JPY "The Gopher" vault? 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (technical + fundamental heist analysis), here’s the master plan to swipe bullish profits before the market turns against us! Escape near the high-risk Yellow MA Zone—overbought, consolidation, and bear traps ahead! 💸 "Take the money and run—you’ve earned it!" 🏆🚀 🕵️‍♂️ Heist Strategy: 📈 Entry (Bullish Raid): The vault’s unlocked! Buy any price—this heist is LIVE! Pullback lovers: Set buy limits at recent/swing lows for extra loot. 🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route): Thief SL at recent/swing low (4H/Day trade basis). Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and multiple orders. 🎯 Target (Profit Escape): 147.500 (or flee earlier if bears ambush!) ⚔️ Scalpers’ Quick Strike: LONG ONLY! If rich, attack now. If not, join swing traders & rob slowly. Trailing SL = Your bodyguard! 💰🔒 💥 Why This Heist? USD/JPY "The Ninja" is bullish due to key factors—check: 📌 Fundamental + Macro + COT Report 📌 Quantitative + Sentiment + Intermarket Analysis 📌 Future Targets & Overall Score (Linkks In the profile!) 🔗🌍 🚨 Trading Alert (News = Danger!): Avoid new trades during news—volatility kills! Trailing SL saves profits on running positions. 💖 Support the Heist Team! 💥 Smash the Boost Button! 💥 Help us steal more money daily with Thief Trading Style! 🏆🚀 Stay tuned—another heist is coming soon! 🤑🎯
Long
by Thief_Trader
Ethereum's Rally Looks Like a Trap. Here's Why.In this analysis, you will find a clear scenario for a potential short setup with precise conditions for confirmation and invalidation. No fluff or guesswork—only institutional analysis of capital footprints and pure price action. I will provide updates for every stage of price interaction with the POI in near real-time, so you can make timely trading decisions, not just observe events after the fact. Context Ethereum's recent sell-off was only stopped from falling into the abyss by Bitcoin's reversal and the trapped shorts that needed to be shaken out. The instrument looks very weak for any sustained growth. The bearish structure was confirmed by a daily Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside and the beginning of a higher-timeframe order flow from the global 61.8% monthly retracement level. The Resistance Zone to Watch I expect a little more upside under Bitcoin's influence, after which Ethereum will face the key resistance zone. This area is a confluence of: The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. The key supply zone that aligns with the range's Point of Control (POC). A reversal from this zone could lead to a decline to take out the Previous Week's Low (PWL) . The catalyst could be any weakness in Bitcoin, as ETH is clearly weaker (it fell out of its global range, while BTC held its). I assume ETH won't pass this resistance because many retail traders are trapped in losing long positions above $2700, and there are no significant institutional POIs higher up to justify a price return. The specific entry conditions are detailed on the 4h timeframe in the Note below. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you found this analysis helpful, support it with a Boost! 🚀 Have a question or your own view on this idea? Share it in the comments. 💬 ► Follow me on TradingView to get real-time updates on THIS idea (entry, targets & live trade management) and not to miss my next detailed breakdown. ► For DAILY watchlists & more assets, find me on X! The direct link is located right under my profile name above ↗️ ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Short
by TheWhaleSM
13
Analysis and strategy of the latest gold trend on July 3: 1. Analysis of gold news The current market focus is as follows: Trump tax reform is advancing & trade agreement is approaching The tax reform was passed by the Senate, and the deadline for trade negotiations on July 9 is approaching, which has triggered a rise in risk aversion. The Fed's attitude is subtle Although Powell did not explicitly support the July rate cut, he emphasized that more data is needed for support, and did not rule out the possibility. This "dovish" attitude supports the medium- and long-term bullish expectations for gold. The upcoming big non-agricultural data (July 3 US trading session) This means that the market will quickly reflect the gap between expectations and reality in the next 24 hours, and volatility may increase. 2. Gold technical analysis Summary of recent trends: Gold rose strongly on Tuesday, reaching a high of $3,358; Stagflation signals appeared on Wednesday, and the risk of chasing long positions at high levels is extremely high; The current market bullish sentiment is high, but the technical side has entered the overbought zone, and the bullish momentum is weakening. Key resistance/support levels: Resistance zone: 3357-3367 USD: Near Tuesday's high, it is an important defensive position for short sellers; Support zone: 3325-3315 USD: If it falls below, short sellers may further exert their strength, with the target directly pointing to 3300 USD. Today's operation strategy suggestion: Main idea: short selling on rebound Currently in a high-level oscillation stage, it is recommended to short sell at high levels and buy at low levels, and be cautious in chasing up. Short order strategy: Entry position: short near $3365 Stop loss: above $3375 Target: 3326 / 3315 / 3300 Long order strategy (conservative): If it pulls back to around $3315 and stabilizes, you can short long with a small position Stop loss: below $3305 Target: 3326 / 3340 III. Comprehensive judgment and suggestions Gold is currently in a news-intensive & technically overbought stage, and volatility will increase; There is a high probability that the intraday Asian and European sessions will fluctuate weakly, waiting for the US non-agricultural guidance direction; If the ADP and Challenger layoffs data are strong, gold will face obvious downward pressure in the short term; Don't chase the highs, follow the trend, and risk control is the key. 📌Warm Tips: Maintain trading discipline and do not trade with emotion; Before the non-agricultural data, appropriately reduce positions or stop profits; Pay more attention to the linkage changes between US bond yields and the US dollar index, which have a great impact on gold.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Gold_Hunters_Alliance
Ethereum Breakout Unleashed: Major Upside Targets in Sight The ETH/USD 2-hour chart reveals a classic ascending triangle formation, which has now been decisively broken to the upside. After consolidating within a tightening range for several sessions, Ethereum has surged past the horizontal resistance level, supported by Ichimoku cloud structure and rising trendline support. The breakout candle is strong, indicating bullish momentum and potential for further upward movement. The breakout aligns with increasing volume and market confidence. This technical setup suggests a possible rally continuation toward higher resistance zones marked above. The structure remains bullish as long as price holds above the breakout zone with minimal retracement. Entry: 2,570 1st Target: 2660 2nd Target: 2,850
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by Trend_logic