Trend Analysis
GOLD +2500 pips setup — Trendline Holds , Fed Pressure Builds !📊 GOLD XAU/USD Daily Analysis
✅ Technical View:
Gold continues to respect a strong bullish trendline, holding above key demand zones (3220 – 3290).
A solid retest of the trendline and the blue demand area supports the bullish continuation.
Upside targets are:
3385 (first target)
3433 – 3500 (next resistances)
3553 (extended target if momentum holds).
✅ Fundamental Insight:
Ongoing market pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates is boosting gold’s safe-haven appeal.
Lower US yields and increased uncertainty strengthen the bullish bias for gold in the mid-term.
🎯 Key Levels:
✅ Supports: 3220 – 3290 (main) | 2785 (long-term)
✅ Resistances: 3385 – 3433 – 3500 – 3553
📢 If you like strong, clear setups:
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XAUUSD 4H Analysis – Possible Break Below Key StructureStructure Overview:
After printing a multi-month high around 3,473, price has formed a clear rounded top followed by lower highs, showing weakening bullish momentum. Gold is now retesting a key structure zone near 3,270–3,275, which has acted as previous support several times.
📉 Key Technical Observations:
Trend: Short-term bearish within a broader consolidation
Support Zone: 3,270–3,250 (watch closely for a break)
Resistance Levels:
Minor: 3,340
Major: 3,390–3,400
📊 Scenario Outlook
🔻 Bearish Bias (Preferred Scenario)
If price closes below 3,270, expect:
Initial target: 3,210–3,220 zone (clean imbalance + previous resistance)
Secondary target: 3,130–3,150 (March structure break zone)
This would confirm a transition into a mid-term bearish leg unless a fakeout occurs.
🔺 Bullish Recovery (Alternative Scenario)
If price reclaims 3,305 with strength:
A move back toward 3,340–3,360 is possible
Needs volume + momentum confirmation, ideally with a bullish engulfing candle
⚠️ What to Watch
Daily candle close relative to 3,270
Reaction at 3,250–3,260 demand zone
Gold often sweeps key lows before reversing — watch for liquidity grab wicks
📌 Conclusion
Gold is sitting at a critical level — a confirmed close below 3,270 could open the doors for a deeper retracement toward March’s breakout levels. Until then, this remains a watch and react environment. Avoid chasing.
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EURUSD| - Inducement Fueling Bullish Intent📌 Pair: EURUSD
📈 Bias: Bullish
🕰 HTF View (4H):
Clear bullish intent shown with a break above major external structure (higher high). Inducement remains intact—expecting that draw to price. Strong bullish momentum signals smart money positioning for more upside.
🧭 MTF Clarity (2H → 30M):
30M structure refined and leaning bullish, but using 2H for confirmation. Waiting on liquidity sweep into the OB zone for entry precision.
🎯 Entry Criteria:
LTF CHoCH → Liquidity Sweep → OB Mitigation
(Execution in that exact order for maximum confirmation)
🎯 Target: Structure highs above
🧠 Mindset Note:
Let the inducement play out—don’t rush it. This is where patience and clarity separate a sniper from a scalper. One clean entry > 10 reactive trades.
Bless Trading!
Aave: Next High the Dec. 2024 Price ($400), Then Higher...I thought about Aave today. The retrace was minimum, it was swift and strong. As soon as the retrace is over we get the continuation of the bullish wave. That is what I see on this chart.
The recent retrace did not reach the 3-Feb. low, and this is all you need to know.
Current action is indicative of the continuation of the bullish wave. When a move is very strong, with too much force, it cannot go for too long. This happened with the drop from 11 to 22-June. It was so strong and it ends in a flash. Once it is over there is no other place for the market to go. If the down-move is over, prices can only grow. Aave is growing now, it will hit $400 as the next target, the December 2024 high just to continue higher.
Expect more retraces and corrections along the way. Just as you saw a few weeks back, but always remember that retraces are just an opportunity to buy-in, rebuy and reload. The market will always recover and produce new and more growth.
Namaste.
AUDJPY 4hour TF - June 29th, 2025AUDJPY 4hour Neutral Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bearish
Dailly - Bearish
4hour - Ranging
AJ is currently sitting at a major daily resistance area around 94.500. We have to wait for price action to make a move and show some conviction before we can become confident in a setup.
Lucky us, price action is usually easy to follow when waiting for a break of a range. The way I see it, we have two great options.
Bullish Breakout - In the scenario where we see price action break above the 94.500 zone we will look for long setups. Ideally, we spot some clear higher lows above 94.500 with strong bullish conviction. Look to target higher resistance levels like 96.500.
Bearish Continuation - If we see this resistance level at 94.500 continue to hold we could see a daily bearish continuation happen. Look for strong bearish candles rejecting the current zone followed by clear lower highs. We’re targeting lower if that happens to around the 92.000 area.
Usdjpy buyUSD/JPY Technical Analysis – 1H Timeframe
Date: July 1, 2025
Source: TradingView (by CEO_OF_CHARTS)
Analysis Overview:
Chart mein bullish reversal ka potential dikhaya gaya hai. Price ne demand zone (support area) se reversal ka signal diya hai, jahan se bullish bounce expect kiya ja raha hai. Price ne double-bottom type structure form kiya hai aur ab ek higher low banane ka chance hai.
---
Key Levels:
Support Zone (Entry Area):
143.479 – 143.824
Yeh demand zone hai jahan buyers active ho sakte hain. Price is zone ke andar consolidate kar raha hai.
Stop Loss (SL):
143.480 ke neeche
Agar price is level ke neeche breakout karta hai to bullish idea invalid ho sakta hai.
Target (Resistance Zone):
144.964 – 144.972
Yeh major resistance area hai jahan price bullish target achieve kar sakta hai.
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: 143.479 – 143.824
Stop Loss: Below 143.480
Target Zone: 144.964 – 144.972
Expected Move:
Price demand zone se bounce karega, ek higher low form karega, aur phir resistance tak rally karega.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Favorable setup as per chart projection
USDCHF H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our buy entry at 0.7921 that aligns with the 127.2% Fib extension
Our take profit will be at 0.8054, a pullback support.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.7759, slightly below the 161.8% Fib extension.
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The latest analysis and layout of gold in July made a good start📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. PMI data
📈 Technical Analysis:
Yesterday, we gave the idea of looking at the upper resistance of 3310-3320. The 4H pressure is still at 3327. As long as this key resistance level is not effectively broken, gold will fall again. On the contrary, if it stabilizes above 3327, the trend may reverse. In the short term, pay attention to the upper resistance of 3327. If it is not broken, you can short with a light position. If it falls below 3300-3290, consider going long.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3310-3320
TP 3305-3300
BUY 3300-3290
TP 3310-3320-3350
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold encounters resistance at 3310-3320 and is about to fallAt present, gold has reached the 3300-3320 area as expected. As I mentioned in my previous article, we can consider shorting gold in batches in the 3300-3320 area;
Although gold once rebounded and stood above 3300, we can clearly see that when facing the short-term resistance area of 3310-3320, the bullish energy of gold has converged and began to show signs of stagflation, so the short-term resistance area of 3310-3320 is still valid.
Before gold breaks through 3310-3320, gold bears still have the upper hand. So as long as gold stays below 3310-3320 in the short term, don't be afraid of gold rebounds. Rebounds are opportunities to short gold. So I still tend to short gold at present, and have opened short gold positions according to the trading plan, hoping that gold can retreat to the target area: 3285-3275-3265. Do you think gold will fall as expected?
FIL 1D – Signal Compression Before ExpansionPrice pushed above the 9 EMA with strong volume.
MACD momentum is flattening near zero.
RSI just under 50 zone – fresh strength incoming.
EMA50 still under EMA100, but slope is compressing.
Daily structure shifting from distribution to early markup.
Risk-defined DCA zone still active.
Bull Load 100% – system primed.
Trading Strategies Amid Geopolitical and Policy GamesToday's gold price rebounded above $3,280 after opening with a dive to a low of $3,247, showing a volatile trend.
Influencing Factors
- Geopolitics: The ceasefire between Israel and Iran earlier caused gold prices to fall, but Trump's threat to bomb Iran again and maintain sanctions has revived market risk aversion, supporting gold prices with some bargain hunting.
- Monetary Policy: Expectations for Fed rate cuts have fluctuated. The CME FedWatch Tool shows an 81.9% probability of unchanged rates in July and a 76% probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut by September. U.S. economic data (e.g., personal consumption expenditure) and tariff policies are influencing gold's trajectory.
- Capital Flows: Global gold ETF demand turned negative in May, with outflows led by North American and Asian funds, putting downward pressure on gold prices.
Technical Analysis
Gold rebounded after a pullback last week, closing with two consecutive weekly gains. The $3,300-$3,310 range is a key resistance zone: a firm break above could signal a short-term trend reversal, while failure to do so may lead to a test of $3,200. On the daily chart, moving averages are bearish, MACD forms a death cross below the zero axis with expanding green bars (indicating dominant bearish momentum), but RSI at 39 near oversold levels suggests potential short-term rebound for correction.
Trading Strategy
Short gold on a rebound to the $3,305-$3,310 resistance zone, setting a stop-loss at $3,320. Initial targets are $3,280-$3,290, where profits can be gradually taken based on price action and market sentiment. If the decline continues, adjust targets downward to around $3,250, and flexibly adapt to real-time market conditions.
XAUUSD
sell@3300~3310
SL:3320
TP:3290~3280-3270
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
BTCUSD H4 Potential DropHi there,
BTCUSD H4: As long as the 85,119.33 level holds, the overall trend remains bullish in a larger scope.
Currently, the price is trading below the diagonal dotted trendline. The further it stays below this trendline, the stronger the bears' position.
The level of 101,574.21 is open for a bias towards 93,511.35.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice.
Gold's rally has not reversed yet? The consolidation pattern hasTechnicals:
Short-term risks remain skewed to the downside as the momentum of the relative strength index (RSI) and the moving average convergence divergence indicator (MACD) weakens. The RSI hit a new low below the neutral 50 mark. If short pressure intensifies in the next few trading days, gold prices may retest the upper track of the previous falling channel at 3215, followed by the rising support line from October 2024 at 3150. If it falls below this level, the decline may accelerate towards the psychological level of 3000, or even lower to 2970.
On the upside, if a strong catalyst pushes gold to rebound above the 20-day and 50-day moving averages (currently 3320-3350), the next resistance level may appear in the 3400-3435 range. A decisive close above this boundary may pave the way for gold prices to move towards 3500, or test resistance near 3530, and then may target the 3600 level.
Overall, despite the weakening technical indicators, gold has not completely lost its bullish reversal potential. As long as the price remains within the sideways structure above 3150, the downward pressure may still give rise to a "buy on dips" strategy.
HolderStat┆ADAUSD formed rising bottomBINANCE:ADAUSDT has formed a symmetrical triangle after finding firm support around 0.54. Previous consolidation zones have led to significant breakouts, and the current structure is showing early signs of a similar rally. If bulls manage to reclaim 0.58, a climb toward 0.66 and 0.70 becomes likely, with upper trendline resistance acting as a magnet for price.
USDCHF bearish trend continuation below 0.8050The USDCHF pair remains under bearish pressure, consistent with the prevailing downtrend. Recent price action has transitioned into a sideways consolidation, suggesting a pause in bearish momentum but not a reversal.
The key technical level to monitor is 0.8050, which marks a prior intraday consolidation zone and acts as immediate resistance. Should the pair stage an oversold bounce toward this level, a bearish rejection could reinforce the existing downtrend, with potential downside targets at 0.7900, followed by 0.7860 and 0.7810 over the longer term.
On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above 0.8050, supported by a daily close above this level, would invalidate the bearish outlook. Such a move would signal a possible shift in sentiment and open the door for a retest of the 0.8080 resistance zone, with further upside potential toward 0.8140.
Conclusion:
The broader trend remains bearish below 0.8050, and rallies into resistance may present renewed selling opportunities. However, a sustained break above 0.8050 would warrant a reassessment of the bearish bias and could signal the start of a short-term recovery phase. Traders should watch for price action confirmation at this key pivot area.
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