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Trend Analysis

GBPUSD LONGS CONCEPTMarkets are choppy and so is cable. I wanna see Tuesday's low being maintained as the low of the week and an expansion to prev weekly highs. I was awaiting a HTF Mss with confirmation of how the market will close above prev daily highs. Getting an entry on this one can be tricky unless the dollar index will be strongly drawn to the downside. Lets tape read this together. I'll share more afterwards. Stay tuned, & if you have not, hit the boost & follow button for more insights
Long
by gachihi
GBP/NZD 1-HRGBPNZD Approaching Key Resistance: A Closer Look at the Megaphone Pattern and Potential Reversal Zones The current price action of GBPNZD on the 1-hour chart reveals the formation of a prominent megaphone pattern, a significant technical formation characterized by fluctuating price swings and widening ranges. This pattern, which often indicates increased market volatility and uncertainty, is an important signal to watch as it nears the upper resistance zone. Understanding the intricacies of this pattern and the key levels that are in play can provide valuable insights for traders seeking to capitalize on the upcoming potential price movements. What is the Megaphone Pattern? A megaphone pattern, also known as an expanding triangle or broadening formation, is typically seen when the price creates higher highs and lower lows. This type of formation suggests that market participants are uncertain, leading to erratic price swings. The pattern often serves as a warning of increased volatility and potential reversals, which is exactly what we may be witnessing with GBPNZD. As the price moves toward the upper boundary of the megaphone formation, it’s essential to recognize that this resistance line represents a crucial point for potential market exhaustion. Typically, price reactions around this zone can lead to significant retracements or reversals. This creates an opportunity for traders to anticipate potential short positions or to watch for signs of reversal before making their move. Key Resistance Levels and Potential Reversal The current price is fast approaching the upper resistance line of the megaphone pattern, which has proven to be a critical zone where selling pressure could build up. If the market fails to break above this resistance, we could see a shift in momentum, where sellers step in, pushing the price lower. This could be triggered by a number of factors such as exhaustion of buying pressure, a failure to sustain higher prices, or the onset of bearish sentiment in the broader market. Here are the key resistance and support zones to monitor carefully: Resistance Zone (Key Upper Boundary of Megaphone Pattern): This is the critical level where the price may encounter substantial selling pressure. A failure to break above this resistance could lead to a swift reversal. Watch for candlestick patterns like bearish engulfing, shooting stars, or evening stars, which could indicate that the market is ready to turn. Support Zones: Should the price fail to breach the resistance level, it's crucial to keep a close eye on the support areas where the market could react and potentially reverse upward. These levels include: 2.2670: A strong support area where the price has historically shown signs of consolidation and upward movement. If the price retraces to this level, we may see a bounce, especially if it coincides with other technical indicators such as RSI or MACD signaling oversold conditions. 2.2560: This level represents another potential support zone where previous price action has indicated short-term reversals. If the market consolidates around this level, it could provide the foundation for a potential bullish reaction. 2.2445: As we move further down, this level represents a deeper support zone. A price drop to this point could trigger more significant buying interest, especially if the broader market sentiment remains favorable for the pair. 2.2200: This is one of the most critical support levels to watch. A price move toward this zone would suggest a strong bearish trend, and if it holds, it could lead to a more substantial price correction or the continuation of a downtrend. What to Look For: Signs of a Reversal When approaching key resistance levels such as the upper boundary of the megaphone pattern, it’s important to watch for signs of a reversal. These may include: Candlestick Patterns: Reversal candlestick formations such as doji, shooting star, or bearish engulfing patterns around the resistance level could signal that the market is losing momentum and that sellers may step in. Volume Indicators: A decrease in volume at the upper boundary or increased volume on bearish candles could provide additional confirmation of a potential reversal. A sudden surge in volume after a failed breakout could signify that the price is ready to move lower. Momentum Indicators: Tools such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), or Stochastic Oscillator could also help identify overbought conditions or divergences, suggesting that a reversal may be imminent. The Bigger Picture Traders need to consider both the short-term and long-term outlook when analyzing GBPNZD. On a broader scale, the megaphone pattern may indicate a market that is in a state of indecision, but as the price moves toward key levels, the likelihood of a major price shift increases. A breakout above the upper resistance would suggest continued strength for the bullish trend, while a failure to break above and a subsequent price rejection could set the stage for a bearish move down to the key support levels outlined. Conclusion In summary, GBPNZD is at a pivotal moment. The formation of the megaphone pattern is signaling increased volatility, with the price nearing key resistance levels. Traders should remain vigilant, monitoring the price action closely around these levels, looking for signs of reversal or confirmation of a breakout. The key support levels at 2.2670, 2.2560, 2.2445, and 2.2200 should be watched carefully, as they will likely play a significant role in the upcoming price movements. By staying informed of these levels and patterns, traders can position themselves effectively for potential price shifts in the near future.
Short
by lonelyPlayer0
Gold Price Analysis March 31Fundamental Analysis Gold price attracts safe-haven flows for the third straight day amid rising trade tensions. Fed rate cut bets weigh on the USD and also lend support to the non-yielding yellow metal. Overbought conditions on the daily chart now warrant some caution for bullish traders. Technical Analysis Gold continues to hit ATH levels and is very difficult to trade with a large amount of Fomo BUY. The important point to retest the BUY signal today is at 3100-3098. And 3145 is the target level for the ATH peak of Gold today. What do you think of the above analysis? Please leave your comments.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1
Be cautious when bullish on gold at high levels, as it may fall!In the long run, although there may be a short-term correction, fundamental factors still support gold. Global inflation concerns, monetary policy shifts in major economies, and geopolitical uncertainties will continue to provide upward momentum for gold prices, but we need to be wary of the risk of shock adjustments after a rapid rise in prices. Personal operation analysis: Lightly short selling idea around 3135, stop loss at 3043, take profit around 3100----3095, and trailing stop loss of 300 points.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TimConrad
1
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CRYPTOCAP:BTCLong
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: Quiet day on the markets today, while we wanted gold to reject the resistance level it breached giving the move upside completing the bias levels. It's a move we ideally wanted to take from below, but nothing ventured nothing gained as they say. Now we have support below at the 3115 region with resistance in a potential order region 3130-35, which could be the potential level they target for the close or during the Asian session. It's the last day of the month and the first day of a new month tomorrow. For that reason we're taking it lightly trading the red boxes only for scalps up here. 3135 is the level to watch we feel. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
6
Gold extended higher, look for signs of exhaustionGold is extending higher, tapping into untested liquidity above. However, signs of exhaustion are creeping in. Watch for potential liquidity sweeps before reversals. Key Untapped Liquidity Zones Upside: $3,182 - $3,189 Downside: $3,103 - $3,094 🔴 Sell Setups (Short) 1️⃣ Intraday Reversal Short Entry Zone: $3,182 - $3,189 Stop Loss (SL): Above $3,193 Take Profit (TP) Levels: TP1: $3,150 (First reaction) TP2: $3,128 (Key liquidity) TP3: $3,103 (Imbalance fill) 📌 Reasoning: Untested supply at $3,182-$3,189 Price may sweep liquidity above $3,180 before a sharp rejection 2️⃣ Aggressive Short (Scalp) Entry Zone: $3,150 - $3,153 Stop Loss (SL): Above $3,157 Take Profit (TP) Levels: TP1: $3,128 TP2: $3,117 TP3: $3,103 📌 Reasoning: Liquidity grab before a possible retrace Strong momentum-based rejection expected 🟢 Buy Setups (Long) 3️⃣ Safe Long (Key Demand Zone) Entry Zone: $3,103 - $3,094 Stop Loss (SL): Below $3,089 Take Profit (TP) Levels: TP1: $3,128 TP2: $3,150 TP3: $3,182 📌 Reasoning: Untested demand at $3,103-$3,094 Imbalance below $3,103 should act as a magnet Liquidity sitting at $3,094 4️⃣ Deep Liquidity Sweep Buy Entry Zone: $3,074 - $3,067 Stop Loss (SL): Below $3,060 Take Profit (TP) Levels: TP1: $3,103 TP2: $3,128 TP3: $3,150 📌 Reasoning: Liquidity sweep target at $3,074-$3,067 If price taps this zone, a high-probability reversal could follow Heavy imbalance would need correction 👀 Keep an Eye On: 1️⃣ DXY movements—if the dollar strengthens, gold may struggle to break higher. 2️⃣ News events—major economic data could trigger liquidity grabs before reversals. 3️⃣ Reactions at key levels—watch for wicks, aggressive rejections, and volume spikes. 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your own plan and wait for confirmation before taking action. Good luck on the market today.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
SPY Shows Strong BOS, But Faces Gamma Resistance at $563 (?)Market Structure (1H – SMC View): * Price rebounded after BOS at ~$552 and has since broken multiple minor structure levels to the upside. * Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirm bullish shift, with recent CHoCH validating demand zone below $550. * Price is consolidating near a supply zone around $561–$563 which acted as a prior CHoCH zone. Key Price Zones: * Demand Zone (Support): $546–$552 * Supply Zone (Resistance): $561–$563 (where price currently sits) * Macro Support: $550 = PUT wall + gamma support * Micro Resistance: $563 = strong GEX call resistance Trendlines + Price Action: * Clean stair-step move up into resistance. * Price approaching apex of recent flag-like structure; breakout confirmation needed. * Watch for either rejection at this gamma wall ($563) or breakout continuation above. Indicators: * MACD: Bullish crossover still intact but showing slight flattening—watch for histogram weakness. * Stoch RSI: Near overbought, curling—possible minor pullback or consolidation. * 9 EMA > 21 EMA: Trend remains bullish for now. Options Sentiment & GEX (from GEX Chart): * IVR: 41.8 — moderately elevated, shows short-term volatility interest. * IVx Avg: 25.4 — indicating steady option pricing. * Put/Call Ratio: 84.5% puts — extremely defensive positioning in options market. * GEX: 🚦Red, Yellow, Green — Neutral-to-bearish gamma zone. * Major GEX Levels: * Resistance / Gamma Wall: $563 – Highest positive NETGEX (major level to watch). * Support / Gamma Cushion: $550–$555 – Includes PUT wall and GEX support. Scenarios to Watch: 🟢 Bullish Case: * Break & hold above $563 → potential rally toward $568+ * Confirmation of continued structure shift and gamma squeeze likely if open interest reshuffles upward. 🔴 Bearish Case: * Rejection at $563 + failure to hold $560 → fast pullback to $555 or test of $550 demand zone. * Watch for bearish divergence in MACD or failure to maintain EMA trend alignment. Trade Ideas (Not Financial Advice): * Scalp Long: If price confirms breakout above $563 with volume, target $568+ * Put Credit Spread or Long Calls: If holding above $560 with strong tape. * Fade Setup: If SPY rejects $563 with bearish engulfing or momentum stalling, consider short to $555–$550. 🧠 Final Thoughts: SPY is at a decision point. Gamma wall at $563 could act as a ceiling unless there’s sufficient momentum + institutional call flow to drive a breakout. FOMC or macro catalysts could also be trigger points. Stay nimble. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
How to spot the right timing?XAUUSD has reached 3148.9 and is currently testing the upper resistance levels. Technical analysis indicates that the 3150 - 3170 range serves as a resistance zone. Given the robust bullish sentiment surrounding XAUUSD recently and the typically high trading volume and ample liquidity during the US trading session. The 3100 level is a strong support area. Right above this support area,buying opportunities present themselves. At price points in this range, a significant amount of buy orders tend to flood the market, offering a buffer against further price decline. It’s crucial to note that the XAUUSD market is characterized by high volatility. Thus, investors should avoid chasing rallies or engaging in short - selling at high levels. Chasing rallies exposes investors to substantial losses during short - term price retracements. Similarly, short - selling at high levels risks missing out on further upside potential. Stay vigilant to market dynamics, set stop - loss and take - profit levels rationally, and safeguard against potential risks. 💎💎💎 XAUUSD 💎💎💎 🎁 Buy@3100 - 3105 🎁 TP 3120 3130 3140 The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed，Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by BenGray9
Gold price falls, short sellers make big profitsYesterday, gold fell under pressure at 3150 and then tested the 3100 mark again in the evening, breaking the previous trend line that had been rising for several days. The market gradually slowed down from strong bullish trend, and the daily line turned negative. Don’t expect the market to turn to bearish and fall sharply at this point. The long-short conversion needs time to brew, and now it is still a bullish trend, so the probability of forming a volatile trend here is relatively high, with a range of 3138-3100. Only when it breaks below 3100 can we see the market turning to bearish. If the daily line is just a single negative correction, it will not change the overall upward trend. It depends on whether it can continue to close negative today. The previous trend line support broke and turned into a pressure line, basically coinciding with the 3135-3138 first-line pressure line. The three consecutive positive waves this morning just touched it. The key depends on the performance of the European session: If the European session suppresses the decline and weakens, then the third test of 3100 may break. If the European session continues to strengthen and break through 3138, it will also hit the high point of 3148-3149 In terms of trading, a total of three orders were operated yesterday: 1. In the morning, it directly rose and broke the high, aggressively chased more at 3132, and stopped profit at 3145; 2. After the afternoon, it fell back to 3133 and continued to buy more. The callback was too large and stopped loss at 3125; 3. The European session rebounded several times without success and remained sideways. At night, it was lightly short at 3132, and automatically stopped profit at 3110 around midnight.
PYTH:XAUUSDShort
by Oliver389
BTC-----More around 83300, target 85000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 2: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single positive line with continuous negatives. The price was at a low level, and the attached indicator was a golden cross with a shrinking volume. In the big trend, the decline was very obvious, and the pullback was difficult to continue. The probability of breaking the previous high point was even smaller. Instead, it was easy to fall under pressure and break the low. This is the trend law, not speculation; the four-hour chart showed a pullback trend for two consecutive trading days. The K-line rose and fell after a continuous positive yesterday. The current K-line pattern was a continuous negative. From the technical indicators, the current correction will enter the second stage of the downward trend. The short-cycle hourly chart yesterday's US market rose to a high in the early morning and continued to fall in the morning. The current K-line pattern was a continuous negative, and the attached indicator was a dead cross. Then there is a high probability of falling during the day, depending on the strength and the breakout of the European market. Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: Sell at the 85,000 area of ​​the pullback, stop loss at the 85,500 area, and target the 84,000-83,500 area;
Short
by BraveTigercat
Gold trend analysisGold prices strengthened again, with spot gold prices rising by more than 1.5% during the week. This upward trend was mainly affected by the tariff policy that the United States is about to implement. Trump will announce reciprocal tariff measures against all countries. The cautious market sentiment has driven funds to flow to safe-haven assets. At the same time, the market will usher in the release of a number of important economic data. Before the release of the non-farm payrolls report, market traders are paying close attention to various economic indicators. Richmond Federal Reserve Barkin said that the current economic situation is shrouded in thick fog, and it is difficult for policymakers to clearly judge the trend of interest rates, while concerns about economic recession have not dissipated. From the daily level, the daily line closed with a small cross Yin line after three consecutive positive lines. There is selling pressure on the upper side, and it is necessary to pay attention to the continuity of the bulls. If the daily line closes another real Yin line, gold will further expand the adjustment in the short term, and the support near 3060-57 may be tested on the lower side. From the current form, yesterday's small Yin line is temporarily regarded as a bull's stepping back. Investors are currently waiting for Wednesday's ADP and detailed tariff plans. The market avoids the cautious mentality of uncertainty. Technically, gold is still in a bullish trend, and the main idea is to buy more after a pullback. Short-term 4-hour chart, the current support below is around 3100-3095, which is the key to whether a short-term short position can be formed. If it falls below, it will enter a short-term short trend. The short-term upper resistance focuses on the two positions of 3027-3038, which is the recent top and bottom conversion position. If it goes up, it is around 3150. According to the recent market trend, it is all rising. Therefore, today we continue to buy more at a low level and look at the cycle of rising, and then combine the strength and weakness layout. US market and other data. Gold strategy: It is recommended to buy more at 3108/09, stop loss at 3100, and target around 3123-3127 and 3137.
PYTH:XAUUSDShort
by GladysEmily
USDT dominance: Head and shoulder pattern on LTF!!Join our community and start your crypto journey today for: In-depth market analysis Accurate trade setups Early access to trending altcoins Life-changing profit potential Let's analyze USDT dominance: USDT dominance is nearing a breakdown, forming a head and shoulders pattern. Rejected at 5.55%, it's testing 5.3%-5.2% support. A breakdown here could provide temporary relief for altcoins, as capital shifts. Resistance: 5.55% 5.4% Support: 5.29% 5.21% If you find this analysis helpful, please hit the like button to support my content! Share your thoughts in the comments, and feel free to request any specific chart analysis you’d like to see.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by persis10t
EurUsd could continue to the downsideTwo weeks ago, I mentioned that while a new high was possible, the bigger move in EUR/USD should be to the downside. Indeed, the pair dropped from above 1.0900 and recently found support around the 1.0730 zone. The recent recovery appears corrective, unfolding in a flag pattern, and I expect another leg down toward 1.0600. Bearish confirmation comes with a daily close below 1.0750, and my preferred strategy is to sell rallies. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
USOIL - Bracketing A Breakout Opportunity As traders we want to be predictive in our analysis and reactive in our execution. And there is no easier way to follow through with this concept then on a bracketed breakout trading opportunity. Oil has recently been on a short-term bullish run which has ended with price entering a period of consolidation. Consolidation leads to expansion so I do expect a future breakout to occur. The question however is in which direction. If I knew the answer I would bet everything I have including the house and the kids on it but unfortunately I don't. (and my wife would kill me). What I do know, is that there's a good chance that the market will give us a clue of what direction it wants to continue in and that's what I'm waiting for with this trading opportunity. If you have any questions or comments please leave them below & be sure to show some love by hitting that LIKE button before you go. Akil
TVC:USOIL
by Akil_Stokes
Gold operation suggestionsOvernight, gold prices encountered resistance near $3,150 and then fell back as traders took some profits near the all-time high. The current gold price is $3,123.39/oz, up 0.31%, with a high of $3,135.60/oz and a low of $3,107.29/oz. If gold falls below $3,100, it will move toward the nearest support level of $3,050-3,060. If gold stays above $3,100, bulls will remain in control. If the rally continues, the first resistance will be the all-time high of $3,149, followed by the $3,200 mark. From the daily chart of gold, the high and low of gold on Tuesday moved up from the previous trading day, which limits the bearish potential of gold. All moving averages are still far below the current gold price level and continue to rise. The 20-day simple moving average (SMA) is currently around $3001.00/ounce. Although the daily line has pulled back, the trend has not changed. There is a certain peak pullback pressure in the short term. The current trend has not fallen below the 5-day moving average support. The bulls still have expectations of strengthening again. Therefore, before closing below the 5-day moving average, it is still bullish. From the 4-hour chart of gold, the technical indicators are steadily falling, but they are still above the midline. There is a repair trend today, and the main focus is on whether 3150 can be broken. From the trend of the past two days, we can get several signals. Although the bulls are strong, the gold price has exceeded dozens of points when it has a wave of pullbacks at high levels. Another is that the low point of the pullback on Tuesday did not fall below the low point on Monday, and even the low point of the pullback in the US market has just been touched. Therefore, today's thinking is to treat it as a bull first. Gold prices rose again at the opening today, mainly affected by the tariff news. As of press time, gold prices were trading around 3125. At the hourly level, although it is bullish, we need to pay attention to whether yesterday's high of 3148 can be broken. Only after breaking through can we continue to look at 3173, followed by the extreme extension of 3218. For specific operation ideas, I suggest waiting for a pullback near 3115 to intervene in long orders, with the primary target at 3148 and the secondary target at 3173-3178.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JosephChristian