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Trend Analysis

Why Solana (SOL) might correct to the $75–$85 range?Let’s break down why Solana (SOL) might correct to the $75–$85 range, considering fundamental factors, news, events, technical analysis, Coinbase orders, and on-chain activity. Fundamental Factors Solana is a high-performance blockchain known for its speed and low fees. However, in 2024–2025, it faces several challenges that could impact its price. One of these challenges is the phenomenon of meme tokens, often referred to as the " Meme Casino ," which has become a significant part of Solana’s ecosystem. 1. Decline in DeFi, NFT, and Meme Token Activity Solana has been widely used for DeFi and NFT projects and has established itself as the leading blockchain for meme tokens. However, in 2024–2025, these sectors are experiencing a downturn. For instance, NFT trading volume and DeFi activity on Solana have significantly dropped compared to their peak levels in 2021–2022. Interest in meme tokens like BONK, which temporarily boosted demand for SOL, may also fade due to the volatility of this market. This reduces the demand for SOL tokens for transactions within the ecosystem, putting downward pressure on the price and diminishing the token’s fundamental value. 2. Competition from Other Blockchains Solana competes with networks like Ethereum (following the Ethereum 2.0 upgrade and the introduction of sharding), Arbitrum, Optimism, and newer players such as Sui and Aptos. These blockchains also offer high performance and low fees, potentially drawing developers and users away from Solana and reducing interest in SOL. 3. Regulatory Risks In 2024–2025, regulators worldwide, particularly in the U.S., are tightening control over cryptocurrencies. Meme tokens, which drive a significant portion of Solana’s activity, are often associated with scams. I believe that 99.999% of meme tokens are scam coins, and this could lead to regulatory actions that harm the meme sector on Solana. Since Solana heavily relies on this sector, the price of SOL could plummet to levels like $2–$11. 4. Declining Interest in Meme Tokens on Solana In 2023–2024, meme tokens like BONK temporarily increased Solana’s popularity and demand for SOL. However, in 2025, this hype may fade, as the meme token market is prone to sharp rises and falls. This could reduce network activity and, consequently, the price of SOL. In other words, "the music is slowly fading." Technical Analysis On the provided SOL/USDC chart (5-day timeframe), several key points support the idea of a correction to the $75–$85 range: ➖ Volume Profile On the right side of the chart, the volume profile shows a significant trading volume (a thick zone) in the $75–$85 range. This indicates strong support, making it a likely area for the price to return to due to high liquidity. ➖ Trend Structure The chart shows signs of a slowing uptrend: shorter upward impulses and increasing volatility (short candles with long wicks). This could signal a reversal or the start of a correction. ➖ Correction Target: $75–$85 Zone ("Coinbase Orders") The $75–$85 range, marked as "Coinbase orders," is a support zone with limit buy orders. For example, on Coinbase alone, there are orders for 44,419 SOL worth $3,553,520. Similar orders may exist on other exchanges like Binance, Kraken, OKX, and others, creating a strong demand zone. ➖ Hyperliquid Liquidation Map According to the Hyperliquid Liquidation Map, the $75–$85 range contains liquidation levels for long traders. A drop to this level could trigger a cascade of liquidations, intensifying the downward move but also attracting buyers looking for an entry point. What Event Could Trigger a Correction? An expected correction in Bitcoin to the $70,000–$76,000 range could act as a trigger for Solana and other cryptocurrencies to fall, as the altcoin market often follows BTC. === I believe this will be the last corrective bounce for cryptocurrencies, synchronized with a bounce in the S&P 500. After that, I expect all markets to enter a deep decline. 🤔🤔🤔
by SergioRichi
2
DYM New Update (3D)It seems a fractal pattern is repeating. The red boxes represent the drop waves, while the green boxes indicate the sideways waves. It appears that the second drop wave, with over a 92% decline, has ended, and the price has entered a trading range phase. The price corrections can be considered as opportunities for buy/long positions, and the top of the red box can be regarded as the peak of this wave. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
Here for a Funtime short sellCurrently analyzing Bitcoin on the 15-minute chart. I spotted a symmetrical triangle forming after a strong upward move, showing signs of market indecision. I mapped out the weekly highs (blue line) and potential support zone (yellow line) based on the daily/weekly structure. My anticipation: If price breaks down from this triangle, I expect a short move toward the 92,155 support zone. If price breaks up, the next target would be around 95,670. I'm staying flexible and will let the breakout direction guide my next move. Trade safe, manage risk! #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #ChartAnalysis #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis
Short
by Mimymya
2
BITCOIN | 30M | IMPORTANT SUPPORT ZONE Hello, my friends, Yesterday, I shared a Bitcoin analysis and stated that my target level is 97,300. At the moment, we are within the blue support zone I highlighted in my analysis yesterday. Although this is not a very strong support zone, I am expecting an upward movement from here. However, the most critical support level lies between 92,000 and 91,000. As I mentioned yesterday, as long as the price does not drop below the 92,000 - 91,000 levels, my target remains at 97,300. Please don't forget to like. Thank you to everyone who supports with likes.
CAPITALCOM:BTCUSDLong
by TraderTilki
Potential GBP/NZD long trade setupOkay, let's delve into each of those aspects for this potential GBP/NZD long trade setup: Probability of This Setup Playing Out While bullish divergence within a descending wedge can be a strong indication of a potential reversal, it's crucial to remember that no trading setup has a 100% success rate. Here's a breakdown of factors that could influence the probability: Strength of the Divergence: The clearer and more pronounced the bullish divergence, the higher the potential probability. In your chart, the divergence looks reasonably clear, with the MACD making higher lows while the price makes lower lows. Breakout Confirmation: The probability increases significantly upon a confirmed breakout above the upper trendline of the descending wedge. A strong bullish candle closing above this line, ideally with increasing volume, would add confidence. Market Context: Consider the broader market environment. Are there any significant fundamental events (e.g., central bank announcements, economic data releases) related to either the British Pound or the New Zealand Dollar that could disrupt this technical pattern? Strong unexpected news could invalidate the setup. Timeframe Congruence: While you're looking at the 4-hour chart, checking higher timeframes (daily, weekly) can provide context on the overall trend. If the longer-term trend aligns with your bullish bias, it can increase the probability of success. Risk Sentiment: Overall market risk sentiment can also play a role. GBP/NZD can be sensitive to risk appetite. In summary: The setup has a decent probability due to the bullish divergence and the potential for a wedge breakout, but it's essential to wait for confirmation and be aware of the broader market context. Potential Entry Points There are a few potential entry points you could consider, each with its own risk and reward profile: Aggressive Entry: Entering immediately upon a strong bullish candle breaking and closing above the upper trendline of the descending wedge. This offers the potential for the best entry price but also carries a higher risk of a false breakout. Conservative Entry: Waiting for a breakout and then a successful retest of the broken upper trendline as support before entering. This can offer a lower-risk entry as it confirms that the previous resistance has now become support. However, the price might not always retest. Entry on Confirmation Signals: Looking for additional bullish confirmation signals on lower timeframes (e.g., 1-hour chart) after the initial breakout. This could include bullish candlestick patterns or further positive momentum on indicators. Recommendation: For a balance of potential reward and risk management, waiting for a confirmed breakout followed by potential confirmation on a lower timeframe might be a prudent approach. Risk Management Strategies Effective risk management is paramount for any trade. Here are some strategies you could employ: Stop-Loss Placement: already marked a potential stop-loss level below the recent swing low within the wedge. This is a logical placement as a break below this level could invalidate the bullish setup. Ensure your stop-loss is at a level that, if hit, would indicate the analysis was likely incorrect. Position Sizing: Only risk a small percentage of your trading capital on this trade (e.g., 1-2%). This will protect you from significant losses even if the trade goes against you. Calculate your position size based on the distance between your entry point and your stop-loss. Reward-to-Risk Ratio: Aim for a favorable reward-to-risk ratio. Your target levels (TRG 1, TRG 2, TRG 3) allow you to visualize potential profits. Ensure that the potential profit outweighs the potential loss before taking the trade. For example, if your stop-loss represents 20 pips of risk, aim for at least 40-60 pips of potential profit at your initial target (1:2 or 1:3 reward-to-risk). Trailing Stop-Loss: Once the trade moves into profit, consider using a trailing stop-loss to lock in gains and protect against a sudden reversal. Confirmation Signals You Might Look For Beyond the initial breakout, here are some additional signals that could strengthen your bullish conviction: Increased Volume: Higher trading volume during the breakout suggests strong buying pressure and increases the likelihood of the move being genuine. Bullish Candlestick Patterns: Formation of bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., bullish engulfing, morning star) after the breakout or during a potential retest can signal further buying interest. Moving Average Crossovers: If you use moving averages, look for bullish crossovers (e.g., the shorter-term moving average crossing above the longer-term moving average) after the breakout. MACD Crossover Above Zero: The MACD line crossing above the signal line and then moving above the zero line would indicate increasing bullish momentum. RSI Above 50: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) moving above the 50 level can confirm increasing bullish strength. How Fundamentals Might Impact This Technical Analysis While your analysis is primarily technical, it's crucial to be aware of how fundamental factors could influence GBP/NZD: Central Bank Policies: Monetary policy decisions and statements from the Bank of England (BoE) and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) are major drivers for these currencies. Any unexpected hawkish or dovish signals could significantly impact the exchange rate. Economic Data: Key economic data releases from the UK (e.g., inflation, employment, GDP) and New Zealand (e.g., inflation, employment, trade balance) can lead to volatility and potentially override technical patterns. Global Risk Sentiment: As mentioned earlier, GBP/NZD can be influenced by global risk appetite. During times of risk aversion, safe-haven currencies might strengthen, potentially impacting this pair. Geopolitical Events: Unexpected geopolitical events can also introduce volatility and affect currency valuations. Recommendation: Before taking the trade, it's wise to check the economic calendar for any high-impact news releases scheduled for the British Pound and the New Zealand Dollar in the coming days. Be prepared for potential volatility around these events. Let me know if you have any more questions or would like to explore any of these points in more detail! i would love to hear back from you your thoughts on this pair
Long
by TONYMONTANA87
GOLD → Gold Market Forecast and AnalysisFor most of the period from 2025 to now, gold prices have risen almost continuously, hitting new all-time highs. Since October 2022, gold prices have almost doubled, rising by more than 25% in 2025 alone, reaching a new all-time high of $3,500 per ounce on April 22. The $4,000 price level, once considered untouchable, is now openly discussed in trading halls around the world. The easing of global tensions, especially between the United States and China or in Eastern Europe, could significantly reduce safe-haven demand. While this is not the base case for 2025, it is still an unexpected risk that traders must consider. In fact, gold prices have retreated from recent highs after US President Trump hinted that tariffs on China might be reduced. The sharp rise in gold prices increases the possibility of a correction. If the upward momentum slows, profit-taking could trigger a rapid and violent sell-off. As with any parabolic rise, volatility is inevitable; prices often experience a short-term downward trend before setting new all-time highs. Traders with short-term strategies should be aware of such price declines and practice risk management: avoid large trades, set stop-losses, and diversify their portfolios. Quaid wants to say: Opportunities always come to those who dare to act. Be bold in the gold market, and the next winner will be you, my friend.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
S&P 500 Rockets Past Resistance-Is 5,728 Next?The S&P 500 (SPX) formed a double bottom pattern on Monday, April 7, and Wednesday, April 9, on the 4-hour timeframe, signaling a potential reversal from recent lows. Later on April 9, the index broke above resistance, confirming short-term bullish momentum. On April 24, the 20-period moving average crossed above the 50-period moving average, reinforcing the strength of the emerging uptrend. By April 25, a 4-hour candle closed above the 200-period moving average, providing further confirmation of a strong bullish trend. That same day, the SPX broke through the significant resistance level at 5,501, with a candle closing above this level, which supports the view of continued upward movement. Based on my technical setup, the next potential target is projected at 5,728.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Lydonlee
1
BTCUSD ANALYSIS🚨 BTCUSD Technical Update! 🚨 Traders, pay close attention! 👀 Here’s what the latest 1H chart is showing us: 🔹 Bitcoin is consolidating around 94,700–94,800 🔹 Potential double top structure forming near the 95,600–95,750 zone — MAJOR resistance ahead! 🔹 If Bitcoin fails to break and sustain above this resistance, we could see a sharp drop towards the first support at 94,383 🔻 🔹 A break below 94,000 could accelerate selling pressure — next downside target near 93,500! 🎯 ⚡ Plan your trades smartly! ⚡ Wait for confirmations — either breakout or rejection from the resistance zone! 🔥 Volatility Incoming! Stay Alert and Manage Risk Wisely! 🔥
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Nadia_farhat