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Trend Analysis

Next week's gold trend analysis strategy: 1. News interpretation: Fed policy and market sentiment dominate the direction ✦ Review of key factors: The situation in the Middle East has eased The safe-haven demand for gold has declined, which is bearish for gold prices. Fed Focus: PCE Price Index If PCE data rises → Strengthen interest rate hike expectations → Gold prices are under pressure If personal spending is weak → Interest rate hike expectations slow down → Favorable gold price rebound Investors' wait-and-see sentiment heats up → There is no panic selling in the market, and it tends to fluctuate downward rather than plummet. 2. Technical analysis: Bearish dominance, pay attention to key support areas Daily structure: The bearish trend is clear, and the moving average system turns downward; The price is running near the lower track of the Bollinger band, and there is a suspicion of short-term oversold; The 3280-3295 area constitutes a pressure zone, which has not been broken after multiple tests. Key points at the 4-hour level: A step-down channel is clearly formed; Support levels gradually move downward, a typical bearish pattern; Lower support: 3270 → 3263 → 3250-3245 Upper pressure: 3280 → 3300 → 3310 III. Gold trend forecast for next week 📉 Main trend: bearish, short-term or bottoming out If it falls to the 3245-3250 area, a short-term technical rebound can be expected; After the rebound, it may be blocked again in the 3280-3295 range, suitable for short selling; Unless it strongly recovers above 3310, it will be difficult to reverse the downward trend. IV. Operation strategy suggestions (core) Sell on highs 3285 - 3295 Stop loss 3310 Target 3255 / 3245 Layout short orders near resistance Trend bottom-picking 3245 - 3250 Stop loss 3238 Target 3275 / 3280 Oversold rebound expected, try to buy long with a light position Aggressive short selling near 3310 Stop loss above 3336 Target 3280 / 3263 Top and bottom conversion resistance level, if the test is not broken, short V. Summary and Outlook ✅ Conclusion: Next week, the trend of gold will still be "high-short as the main and low-long as the auxiliary", focusing on the game between 3250 support and 3295 pressure level. Gold has not yet broken out of the short structure, and the inertial decline after breaking 3295 will continue. It is recommended that traders avoid chasing ups and downs, strictly implement stop losses, and remain flexible.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Gold_Hunters_Alliance
Gold Retests Ascending TrendlineGold has pulled back to a key technical level, despite a mix of conditions that would usually support higher prices. This signals a potential shift in how investors are positioning for risk, inflation, and growth. Gold Ignores the Playbook You’d be forgiven for expecting gold to be higher. The past week saw softer US dollar action, rising bets on interest rate cuts, and inflation numbers that nudged uncomfortably higher. On paper, these are the sort of developments that traditionally give gold a boost. But the metal barely blinked. The May core PCE figure, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, rose more than expected to 2.7%. Yet bond markets took it in their stride, with rate futures continuing to price in a strong chance of easing by September. At the same time, the US dollar lost ground, with the dollar index down over 1% on the week. That sort of move would usually feed straight through into dollar-denominated commodities like gold. This time, it didn’t. Part of the answer lies in geopolitics. The ceasefire between Israel and Iran has cooled tensions that previously underpinned gold’s safe-haven appeal. Meanwhile, equity markets keep printing new highs, led by tech and growth stocks. Investors are shifting from protection to participation, favouring assets that benefit from improving trade flows and global demand. The latest US-China trade deal, focused on rare earth exports, only adds to that narrative. For now, risk-on is winning. All Eyes on the Trendline While the macro backdrop has turned more complex, the technical picture for gold remains clearly defined. After a strong rally into April, the market has entered a period of consolidation. A lower swing high formed in May, which was retested and rejected in June. That rejection triggered the most recent two-week slide, bringing the precious metal back to its rising trendline. This trendline, in place since December 2024, has guided the broader uptrend and held firm on three previous tests. Once again, it finds itself under pressure. Whether it holds this time is an open question. Trendlines are only as good as the demand that supports them, and in a consolidation phase, that support can often be patchy. The nature of consolidation is a kind of controlled drift, plenty of movement, but not much commitment. If the trendline does give way, that doesn’t necessarily spell the end of gold’s bull cycle. But it would likely open the door to a deeper correction, with the May swing lows in play. That area also aligns with the volume-weighted average price anchored to the December 2024 lows which is a key reference point for longer-term participants. For now, gold is in wait-and-see mode. It is still above support, but no longer behaving like a market in control. If the broader risk-on mood continues, we may see further rotation away from safe havens. But if the growth narrative starts to wobble, don’t be surprised if gold finds its voice again. Gold Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 85.24% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by Capitalcom
106 Retest?Could very well be possible that we see BTC revisit 106 for a final retest to solidify it as a firm base of support before truly attacking 109-110. BUT, once 109-110 has been broken through it will likely be retested to create another layer of support before seeking new ATHs and price discovery. I am also still of the belief that we will see BTC.D start to really crap the bed in the coming weeks with euphoria finally arriving in middle August according to BTC.D's key support levels. Stand fast. Keep faith. Remain vigilant.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Dr_Divergent
XAU/USD Trade Setup – June 30, 2025📉 XAU/USD Trade Setup – June 30, 2025 Bias: Short (Sell Position) Entry Zone: Around $3,363–$3,370 Stop-Loss: 🔺 $3,259 (Above recent highs) Take-Profit 1: 🎯 $3,308 Take-Profit 2: 🎯 $3,302 Risk/Reward: Favorable (1.8–2.2:1 depending on entry) 🔍 Technical View Trend: Bearish below $3,370 Structure: Price rejected key resistance at $3,370–$3,380 Indicators: RSI weakening near 50 (bearish bias) MACD crossing down on H1 Key Zone: A break and close below $3,350 will likely drive price toward your TP zones at $3,308 and $3,302. ⚠️ Notes Volatility expected near NY session open or if macro data hits (e.g. Fed speakers, inflation prints) Consider scaling out partial profits at TP1 ($3,308) to lock gains
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mr7oussaine
1
GOLD Will Grow! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 3,281.18. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 3,396.94 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by SignalProvider
1
BTC/USD Long Setup – Buy the Dip into SupportMarket Context: Bitcoin is currently in a retracement phase after rejecting from the local high near 111,900. Despite the short-term pullback, the broader structure remains bullish. This setup is based on a retracement into a key support zone, offering a potential entry for the next leg up. Setup Idea: Price is pulling back into a confluence area that includes: The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at 105,454 Previous structure support A retest of the broken diagonal trendline This zone is expected to act as demand, providing a favorable long entry opportunity. Trade Plan: Entry zone: Around 105,400 Stop loss: Below 104,100 (beneath structure and fib zone) Target: Retest of the previous high near 111,890 Risk/Reward: High R potential with clearly defined invalidation Notes: If price breaks below 105,000 and fails to show buying strength, the setup becomes weaker. A decisive break below 103,900 invalidates the trade idea. Wait for bullish confirmation (e.g. higher low or volume reaction) in the entry zone before committing. This is a clean, structured opportunity aligned with the prevailing trend. Patience and confirmation are key.
FOREXCOM:BTCUSDLong
by petermichalides
ETH Ready for Lift-Off: Traders Eye +14% Surge Toward $2,813Ethereum has been consolidating in a large sideways range after recovering from a steep decline earlier this year. The chart clearly shows a defined support zone and key resistance area, with price currently trading just above mid-range and attempting to reclaim bullish momentum. Chart Structure Highlights • Support Zone: Around $2,231 – $2,232, which has been tested multiple times and held firmly, confirming strong demand here. • Key Resistance / Take Profit Area: Near $2,813, a major level where price was repeatedly rejected in the past. • Consolidation Box: A ~50-day range between support and resistance, suggesting accumulation. • Recent Price Action: ETH is attempting to break out of the upper side of this consolidation, with buyers gradually stepping in. Trade Setup ✅ Entry Zone: $2,450–$2,460 ETH is currently near this area, which represents a conservative breakout attempt from the range. Traders may look for confirmation candles closing above $2,460 for added conviction. ✅ Stop Loss: $2,231 Placed just below the lower edge of the support zone to protect against a failed breakout and renewed selling. ✅ Take Profit Target: $2,813 This is the key resistance level marked on the chart, offering approximately +14% upside from the entry. Reward-to-Risk Profile • Potential Reward: ~$353 (+14.3%) • Potential Risk: ~$228 (-9.2%) • Reward:Risk Ratio: ~1.55:1 Summary of the Setup Ethereum has spent nearly 50 days consolidating between $2,230 and $2,813, and is now threatening a breakout to the upside. This creates a favorable swing trade scenario with a clear invalidation level below the strong support zone. A sustained move above the consolidation could target the $2,813 resistance in the coming weeks.
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by SupertradeOfficial
BERAUSDT Bullish Wedge Breakout!BERAUSDT has been trading within a well-defined falling wedge pattern for the past several weeks, indicating a strong downtrend. However, recent price action shows a potential breakout from the upper trendline of the wedge, which could signal a bullish reversal. Breakout Alert: Price has broken above the wedge resistance with strong bullish momentum. EMA Confirmation: Price is pushing above the 50 and 100 EMAs, supporting a potential trend shift.
Long
by HexaTrades
BTC Efforts to break the trend to create a new ATHPlan BTC today: 30 June 2025 Related Information:!!! As of Monday, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around $108,500, approximately 3% below its all-time high. Ethereum (ETH) has closed above a key resistance level, indicating the potential for a sustained upward movement. Meanwhile, Ripple (XRP) is approaching a critical threshold; a confirmed breakout could strengthen bullish momentum in the near term. Bitcoin approaches record highs The price of Bitcoin surged by 7.32% last week, closing above the $108,000 mark. As of the latest update on Monday, it remains near $108,500. Should the current upward trend persist, BTC may extend its rally toward the all-time high of $111,980 recorded on May 22. A decisive close above this level could pave the way for further gains, potentially establishing a new all-time high at $120,000." personal opinion:!!! BTC buying pressure is prevented by selling pressure according to H4 trendline, accumulating and soon surpassing ATH Important price zone to consider :!!! support zone : 107.000 ; 104.600 Sustainable trading to beat the market
Long
by JJainy
1
Catalonia Drives Away Residential Real Estate CapitalBy Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades Rental market regulations in Catalonia are triggering a real capital flight among major international funds. Following Patrizia’s moves, Blackstone and Azora have also begun divesting from the region’s rental housing market, prioritizing unit-by-unit property sales amid growing legal uncertainty. From Investors to Sellers Blackstone (NYSE: BX) has started informing tenants that lease agreements will not be renewed upon expiration, choosing instead to gradually sell off its properties. This strategy, executed through subsidiaries such as Testa and Fidere, is a response to the negative effects of government intervention: rental price caps, increased tax burdens, and a widespread sense of regulatory unpredictability. German firm Patrizia (XETRA: PTZ) had already initiated the individual sale of over 540 apartments in the Barcelona metro area, coordinated by JLL. Azora, meanwhile, has taken a similar path, offloading part of its residential portfolio through direct sales to individuals. Regulatory Blow to Real Estate: Supply Drops, Prices Surge According to data from the Rental Observatory, the Housing Law and other regional measures have led to a 16% reduction in supply in just two years—more than 120,000 units disappearing from the market. At the same time, demand has surged 202%, pushing the number of rental applications per unit from 37 to 112 in just ten days and driving average rent prices up from €906 to €1,146 per month. This imbalance affects not only institutional funds but also the 95% of the market held by private landlords, many of whom are now shifting their properties to vacation rentals, direct sales, or simply keeping them vacant. Fundamentals: Profitability, Dividends, and Outlook Blackstone (BX), with a market cap of over $160 billion, is the world’s largest alternative asset manager, overseeing more than $1 trillion in AUM. Its annualized dividend exceeds 3.3%, supported by a strong structure of performance and management fees. The current P/E ratio is around 46x, pricing in future earnings growth as real estate operations and deal flow resume. In contrast, Patrizia SE, managing around €56.4 billion in AUM, trades at more conservative multiples: a P/B ratio of 0.67x and a dividend yield close to 4%. While its revenues fell 15% in 2024, the company managed to grow EBITDA and maintain a rising dividend policy—a notable achievement amid Europe’s real estate slowdown. Both companies are transitioning toward infrastructure, digitalization, and ESG solutions, diversifying away from traditional real estate exposure. Technical Analysis: What Do the Charts Say? Blackstone (BX) is currently trading near $152, having rebounded from May lows (~$115). The stock displays a sideways-upward structure, with key support at $133.25 and resistance around $157.95. The current range sits between $133.25 and $152. RSI is in overbought territory at 68.17%, with a positive bias if volume breaks above the current resistance. The point of control is around the consolidation zone at $140.49. The 50-day moving average has crossed above the 100-day average; the 200-day cross is still pending to confirm a sustained uptrend. Patrizia SE (PAT.DE) is trading around €8.26 in early hours, rebounding technically from yearly lows around €6.15. Its current range fluctuates between €6.85 and the €9.20 highs. It recently broke short-term resistance at €7.80, now a key support. RSI shows slight overbought at 54.23%. The point of control lies near €7.82, and the moving averages are forming a bullish golden cross, suggesting short-term consolidation before a potential push toward €9.20 or even €9.40. Which Is the Stronger Bet for 2025? Blackstone, with global exposure, financial strength, and the ability to capture structural trends (AI, infrastructure, tech REITs), represents a more aggressive sector outlook. Patrizia, on the other hand, offers a more defensive, Europe-focused opportunity—ideal for investors seeking stable yield and real assets with minimal leverage. Both are valid plays, but investor risk profile is key: BX moves with the market cycle, while PAT may offer shelter amid volatility. Madrid, Valencia, and Málaga Step In As Catalonia loses its appeal for residential investment, Madrid has emerged as the new capital magnet, quadrupling Barcelona’s investment levels since 2023. Valencia and Málaga are also gaining ground on institutional radar, offering more stable legal environments for portfolio development. Rental regulation in Catalonia has further strained an already fragile market. With major funds like Blackstone, Azora, and Patrizia pulling out—and pressure mounting on supply—the Catalan model faces a critical crossroads between tenant protection and investment sustainability. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
NYSE:BXLong
by ActivTrades