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Trend Analysis

BEARS ARE TRAPPED - $2990's SOONAs illustrated, Im visualizing a strong beginning to a historical bullish MARCH. On average in 15, 10, and 5 years, MARCH has been mostly bullish. To anticipate a bullish march, FEB must make sense and leave a few clues that could indicate a healthy setup for a potential buy opportunity. In this case, FEB made a natural correction toward the end of the month which makes total sense and it is completely appropriate and necessary to setup March for what COULD be next: A STRONG BULLISH MARCH that could potentially take the yellow metal to see $3,000 USD/Oz for its first time in history. The setup looks beautiful; with a bullish engulfing candle closing above previous candles, and such bounce having taken place below a major daily support and very near FEB's breaker block that served as a major support - trampoline level for the month (of February) to expand so strongly. Market has grabbed liquidity at a discount price level, below the 50% retracement of the expansive move of FEB; yet another positive sign of a potential continuation to the upside since: THE TREND IS YOUR FRIEND . I could be off in my timing by 1 week; maybe 2 AT MOST.. But there will be a continuation simply because the demand for gold just keeps rising with all the BS going on around the world + USA's insane tariffs THAT COME INTO EFFECT IN MARCH ... JOIN THE DOTS @!#$% ... -- GOOD LUCK!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PersaGold
Silver is in the bullish trend after testing supportHello Traders In This Chart XAGUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today XAGUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (XAGUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on XAGUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
TVC:SILVERLong
by ForexMasters2000
Bullish Outlook going forward for NQNQ has pulled back and taken Feb. Monthly low as well as grabbing some additional liquidity from Nov. last year. I shorted NQ on Thursday for 473 points to my anticipated level of support. I nearly caught the bottom of the market, followed by an aggressive back move up to equilibrium to end the week. Going forward, with the high impact news coming up in the first 2 weeks of March, I see a bullish outlook and the potential for new ATH. Here is an idea of what I see playing out over the short-term.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by WicksAndSticksTrading
NVDA is getting prepared for further correction. NASDAQ:NVDA Read this chart together with the QQQ chart I just published. Both the index and individual stocks are preparing for further correction, very likely a free fall. This updated analysis also proved my previous analysis on NVDA a few days ago. NVDA is likely pull back to 128, drop to 118, retest 200 EMA, then further down to 108. 108 will be a good temporary support. Eventually, it might find its final support at around 98. This is just my analysis based on the chart. Watch its moves closely and adapt to any changes.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by TrendSurfer25
AAPL Trade PlanHere’s a potential trade setup for AAPL based on key levels: 📌 Entry Points: 229 / 219 / 208 (Scaling in) 🎯 Profit Targets: 236 / 243 / 256 (Scaling out) 💡 Strategy: If AAPL holds above 229, consider entering with a first position. If it drops to 219, it could be a good second entry. A dip to 208 might be a strong buy zone. Take profits gradually at 236, 243, and 256 to lock in gains. 🚨 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly! 📊✨ What do you think? 🚀
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Robert_V12
TRON (TRONUSD) Key trading levels, The week ahead 03rg March ‘25TRON (TRONUSD) remains in a bullish trend, supported by a longer-term uptrend. However, recent intraday price action suggests a sideways consolidation, with the rising support trendline acting as a key structural level. Key Levels to Watch Resistance Levels: 2,466, 2,614, 2,780 Support Levels: 2,034, 1,925, 1,741 Bullish Scenario A successful bounce from the 2,034 support level, which aligns with the rising trendline and previous consolidation zone, could confirm bullish continuation. If buyers step in at this level, TRON could target the next resistance at 2,466, followed by 2,614 and potentially 2,780 over the longer term. Bearish Scenario A confirmed breakdown below 2,034, with a daily close beneath this level, would weaken the bullish outlook. This could lead to a deeper correction toward the 1,925 support level, with extended downside risk toward 1,741 if bearish momentum accelerates. Conclusion TRON remains in a broader uptrend, but the 2,034 level serves as a key pivot zone. A bounce from this level would reaffirm bullish strength, while a breakdown could lead to further downside corrections. Traders should watch price action around these levels for confirmation of the next directional move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:TRONUSD
by TradeNation
ada buy limit midterm"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟 We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎 Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫 Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭 Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
Long
by Golden_candle
S&P - WEEKLY SUMMARY 24.2-28.2 / FORECAST📉 S&P500 – 7th week of the base cycle (average of 20 weeks), 2nd phase. The February 24 pivot forecast attempted to slow down the bearish momentum from the triple top at the December 9 and January 29 extreme forecast levels, but its energy lasted only through Tuesday and Wednesday. The market reversed on Friday from the strong 5850 level, formed in November last year at the October 14 and November 18 extreme forecasts. Based on cycle timing and the chart, the situation resembles the completion of the 1st phase of a bearish base cycle. 👉 Strong-handed position traders with stops above the now triple-top level should have held their short position from January 24. The current futures price has not broken above it. Those who didn’t hold, I hope you opened a short position from the third top on February 20. The next extreme forecast is March 3. ⚠️ The retrograde Venus period begins, which I wrote about in early December. The start of retrograde Venus typically brings a market correction, while retrograde Mercury will add volatility from March 17. A great period for short-term trading. Retrograde Venus usually has a one-week lag, which would place it around March 10. ⚠️ This base cycle is likely to be bearish, with a short rise and a steep drop below the opening. I predicted this in early January. NASDAQ has already broken below the base cycle opening level. The market remains under the weight of two overextended long cycles, which I have written about extensively in past posts. These long cycles will complete in the current base cycle. However, I do not expect a correction to exceed 20-25%, as a major crash is unlikely before summer this year or spring next year.
CBOE:SPX
by irinawest
GOLD XAUUSD BEARISH TREND START?Gold (XAU/USD) – 4H Chart Analysis Current Price: 2,871.620 T O J O I N MENTORSHIO OR S I G N A L G R O U P WT APP + 9 2 3 1 0 5 3 9 6 7 3 1 Technical Outlook: 🔸 Market Structure Shift (MSS): Price has broken below key support, indicating a bearish shift in market structure. 🔸 Resistance Zone: A strong resistance area is marked between 2,880 – 2,900. If the H4 candle closes bearish in this zone, it presents a short-selling opportunity. 🔸 Sell-Side Liquidity Target: First Target: 2,831.886 – A key liquidity zone where price may seek orders. Final Target: 2,773.373 – The next major sell-side liquidity range where further downside is possible. Trade Setup: 🔻 Short Entry: Around 2,880 – 2,900, if price shows bearish confirmation. 🎯 Take Profit Levels: TP1: 2,831.886 TP2: 2,773.373 🛑 Stop Loss: Above 2,905, to protect against fakeouts. Conclusion: The market is bearish, and a short position can be considered if the H4 candle closes bearish within the resistance zone. The targets are well-defined within the sell-side liquidity range, making this a high-probability trade setup. 📉 Watch for price action confirmation before entering!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by naumanfx_
XAU/USD 03 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 28 February 2025. Price has printed a bearish iBOS as per alternative scenario mentioned over the last few weeks. Price is now trading within an internal high and fractal low. Bullish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line. Intraday Expectation: Await for price to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation by printing a bullish CHoCH. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price. On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent . Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Henry Hub Rally Poised To Extend as Tailwinds Hold StrongHenry Hub Liquified Natural Gas (“LNG”) prices are roaring back, surging in February as frigid temperatures, falling inventories, and soaring LNG exports fuel a bullish rally. With US storage dipping below the five-year average for the first time since 2022 and technical indicators flashing strength, does the rally have more room to run? LNG RALLIES AS COLD WEATHER FUELS DEMAND AND TIGHTENS SUPPLY CME Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures (“CME LNG Futures”) have surged 26% in February, rebounding from a 16.2% decline in January. The rally has been driven by rising exports, falling storage levels, supply disruptions, and colder-than-expected weather. January’s decline was surprising, given that U.S. temperatures averaged 29.2°F in January (0.9°F below average, around -1.56°C), the coldest January since 2005. This resulted in the average daily gas consumption reaching 124.4 Bcf, which is 12% higher than the five-year average, according to the EIA . Prices initially climbed 10.2% from 03/Jan to 24/Jan in response to strong demand, but a late-month selloff erased gains as forecasts turned milder. February saw a swift rebound as colder-than-expected temperatures pushed heating demand beyond expectations, fuelling a price rally. European gas markets added further support, with Dutch TTF prices hitting a two-year high on 11/Feb amid freezing weather, Norwegian supply disruptions, and rapid storage depletion. However, European prices have eased recently due to Russia- Ukraine peace talks, milder forecasts, and discussions on EU storage policies. LNG EXPORTS RISE AMID GROWING GLOBAL DEMAND US LNG exports surged in January, driven by cold temperatures, depleting reserves, and Europe’s shift away from Russian gas. The US exported 8.46 million metric tonnes (412 Bcf) of LNG in January 2025, with 86% heading to Europe—a sharp increase from 69% in December reports Reuters . However, exports remain below the record 422.9 Bcf set in December 2023. Source: EIA Meanwhile, the latest EIA data (updated till December 2024) shows that US LNG exports rose 0.6% YoY in 2024. Export volumes are poised to rise further, supported by Trump’s energy policies easing LNG infrastructure development. Gas flows to export terminals have increased, averaging 14.6 Bcfd in January, and expected to reach 15.6 Bcfd in February. Gas flows are well above the levels seen in Q4 2024, October (13.1 Bcfd), November (13.3 Bcfd), and December (13 Bcfd). A key advantage for US LNG is the absence of destination clauses, allowing buyers to redirect shipments based on demand. Even if Europe does not fully wean off Russian gas, growing U.S. export capacity ensures flexibility to serve other markets, particularly Asia. INVENTORIES FALL BELOW 5-YEAR AVERAGE; EIA RAISES HENRY HUB PRICE FORECAST Amid colder-than-expected weather and rising LNG exports, LNG storage levels have fallen more than anticipated, dropping below the five-year average (2020–2024) for the first time since 2022. Source: EIA Data Storage fell below the five-year average in the week ending 24/Jan and remained below since. As of the week ending 21/Feb, inventories were 11.5% lower than the five-year average. Weekly storage declines have exceeded analyst expectations for four consecutive weeks, indicating stronger-than-expected demand. Source: EIA According to the EIA’s latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), January withdrawals from underground storage totalled nearly 1,000 Bcf, 39% above the five-year average. The agency expects inventories to end the withdrawal season (Nov–Mar) 4% below average, citing higher consumption and flat production through Q1 2025. Source: EIA STEO In response to tightening supply, the EIA raised its Henry Hub price forecasts for 2025 and 2026 by 20.7% and 4.8%, respectively, compared to prior estimates. TECHNICAL INDICATORS SIGNAL SUSTAINED BULLISH MOMENTUM With bullish fundamentals supporting Henry Hub prices, technical indicators also signal an uptrend. Monitoring the 9-day EMA/21-day EMA cross helps identify trend shifts for day trading. A golden cross, a bullish signal (9-day EMA above 21-day EMA), indicates upward momentum, while a death cross, a bearish signal (9-day EMA below 21-day EMA), suggests weakening price action. The 9-day EMA crossed above the 21-day EMA on 18/Feb, forming a golden cross. The widening gap suggests growing bullish momentum. However, the MACD has turned negative after a strong bullish trend. Meanwhile, the RSI hovers at 50.39, down from its monthly peak of 66.60 & below its moving average of 56.66. Source: TradingView TradingView’s technical analysis dashboard also indicates a bullish trend. COMMITMENT OF TRADERS For the week ending 18/Feb, managed money’s net long positions in Henry Hub natural gas (futures & options) increased by 40% WoW, marking a second straight weekly gain. Long positions grew by 14.4% to 241,541 lots, while short positions inched up 0.2% to 137,674 lots. Source: QuikStrike Long positions have risen steadily since 11/Feb, while short positions remain unchanged, implying a growing bullish sentiment in the market. HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP Multiple factors continue to support Henry Hub prices, including cold temperatures, rising LNG exports, expanding US LNG capacity, and falling inventories. Adding to the bullish outlook, near-term production declines are expected to tighten supply through the remainder of winter. With these fundamentals in play and strong technical signals, natural gas prices may have further upside potential. Portfolio managers and traders can capitalize on a bullish LNG outlook by tapping into CME Micro Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures. These contracts offer the same exposure as standard Henry Hub futures but at 1/10th the size, providing enhanced accessibility and more precise risk management opportunities. This paper posits a long position in CME Micro Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures (Apr 2025) expiring on 26/Mar (MNGJ2025) with the following trade setup: • Entry: 3.75/MMBtu • Target: 4.25/barrel • Stop: 3.45/barrel • P&L at Target (per lot): +500 ((4.25 – 3.75) x 1,000) • P&L at Stop (per lot): -300 ((3.45 – 3.75) x 1,000) • Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 1.67x CME Group lists a raft of products covering a range of asset classes more accessible while also enabling granular hedging for portfolio managers. Investors can learn more about how to access these micro products by visiting the CME Micro Products page on the CME portal to discover micro-sized contracts to gain macro exposures. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
NYMEX:MNG1!Long
by mintdotfinance