Trend Analysis
Gold Prices Drop Sharply After Peaking – Will Recovery Return?Hello everyone,
Today, November 1, 2024, the global gold price has unexpectedly reversed sharply from an all-time high and is currently trading around 2,745 USD/ounce.
The main reason for this decline is the release of U.S. economic data indicating signs of stability and recovery. This diminishes the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset, while U.S. government bond yields rise and the U.S. dollar continues to strengthen.
In the short term, gold prices may remain under pressure if U.S. economic data continues to improve, especially if employment and inflation reports show a positive outlook. However, other risk factors such as geopolitical conflicts or global financial instability could support gold prices. If signs emerge that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will slow the pace of monetary tightening, this could provide momentum for gold prices to rise again.
HUDCO NSE CHANNEL BO WTF POSITIONAL HUDCO NSE STOCK Analysis
TRADE PLAN (DTF Close Price for POSITIONAL
ENTRY -223 25 % Qty, Add 50% qty 250 DTF Close
SL - 192
TARGET --01- 278 , TGT02-- 361
Hold For a -1 + Year or TGT 2
Chart Pattern :
STOCK had a 4Month Streak to Touch an ATH of 350, Retracing in below 50% FIBO Level forming a Bullish Flag /Channel Pattern.
INDICATORS EMA :
The Price is Currently Trading above 200EMA, and 20EMa below 50EMA in DTF. STOCK EMAs are currently in Transitional stage of Bearish alignment where price has recvocered 11 %+ with low Volumes indicating an EARLY start of a bullish Reversal on WTF.
FIBO/E :
Currently the price is below 50% FIBO Retracement Level, Early Entry can be take as per your risk ability. Safe Investors Enter above 224 .
Volumes: There is a no significant increase in Volume on the Weekly Charts for1 Weeks after the 16 weeks Pullback.
Maintain a Strict SL
Keep in your Priority Watch List
Disclaimer: For Education/Reference Purpose Only, Trade at your Own Risk with correct position sizing and SL based on your Risk appetite (Exit when price closes 7to8% below your Entry).and re enter when trend reverses...
Trail Your SL progressively. Learn/Know and Review the Stock trading Technical Terminology. Check Verify the Financial fundamentals of the Stock and Seek Advice from a Certified Financial Advisor prior to Investing. Prefer Entry with 25% quantity, Add in Tranches of 25%-50% as prices moves upwards recommended.
MTFA- Multiple Time Frame Analysis
DTF -Daily Time Frame
WTF-Weekly Time Frame
MTF- Monthly Time Frame
ATH-All Time High
LTH -LifeTime High
RBC&H-Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle
BO- Breakout Close
EMA -Exponential Moving Average
FIBO R/E -Trend based Fibonacci Retracement/Extension
SL Stop Loss
TBD- To be Decided
CHoCH- Change of Character Bullish/Bearish
MSB/BOS -Break Out Structure
FVG Fair Value Gap
20VMA -20Volume Moving Average
SWING/POSITIONAL Trade
BTC on an aggressive downtrend before the electionHello, traders!
We see BTC on its downtrend again after peaking at 73k.
This might be a pullback before the election.
The US election is approaching very soon now, and I find this pullback a great opportunity -
we might see even bigger bull run after the election (or a complete downfall - which is also a great entry for short).
If we see a reversal in 68 - 69k zone, this might be a good entry for long;
AMD: The Next Major Support Level!Key Observations:
Daily Chart (Left)
Support Level Break: AMD has lost the critical support level at $148.01, indicating potential continuation of the bearish momentum. This breakdown suggests increased selling pressure, possibly leading to further declines.
Large Bearish Candle: A significant bearish candle following the support break after earnings reinforces the bearish sentiment, signaling that sellers have taken control after the support failure.
Weekly Chart (Right)
Long-Term Trend Line: The price is approaching a long-term trend line, which has historically acted as strong support, since Oct 2022. This trend line is crucial as it could provide a possible area for a bullish bounce or, if broken, lead to a long-term reversal.
Overall Bullish Structure: Despite recent declines, the overall weekly structure still holds a long-term uptrend. However, since it topped in March this year, we don't see AMD making higher highs/lows, and this could be a problem, especially if AMD loses this trend line in the next few weeks.
Conclusion:
AMD’s breakdown of daily support at $148.01 signals bearish momentum, and now it seems that AMD is seeking the weekly trend line, which serves as a crucial support area to watch for potential bullish reactions. This is our last major support level, as if AMD loses it, we'll see a big reversal in play.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
CSCOThe CSCO stock is very promising for investors, with excellent indicators. It has formed a symmetrical triangle on the weekly chart, which has been strongly broken out of after a significant accumulation phase at $55.95. Currently, we are at a resistance zone where we expect a correction. There are two scenarios: either a correction to the upper boundary of the triangle, followed by price action that leads to a strong upward movement towards the target, or a deeper correction to the demand zone that coincides with the 200-day moving average on the daily chart, from which we could see strong momentum pushing the price up to $70.50I hope for the second scenario to occur, as it would provide an excellent entry point close to the stop-loss, which is set at a close below $43.
BTC Monthly Camarilla Pivot PointsAs observed on the chart btc often tends to find bullish support and momentum around the L3 and L4 levels and resistance at the H3 and H4 Camarilla monthly levels. If this bullish trend is to continue an ideal place for bounce and continuation would be the purple Pivot and L3. A more risk or scary place would be a wick or fast move to L4. A break down would be under L4. Break H4 to the upside or L4 to the downside could lead to test the H5 or L5 levels in this month.
Will #ENSUSDT Explode or Collapse Soon? Key Levels to WatchYello, Paradisers! Are you prepared for what could be a massive move on #ENSUSDT? Let's discuss the latest analysis of #EthereumNameService:
💎Currently, #ENS is gaining momentum at the ascending support line, hinting at a bullish push. If the momentum holds, we might see a strong breakout above the triangle, setting the stage for a significant rally. But here's the kicker: we’re not quite there yet.
💎To confirm a genuine bullish move, we need a clear break above the triangle and the internal supply zone at $22.99. This breakout must be accompanied by solid buying pressure—think strong engulfing candles and consistent momentum. Without these signs, jumping in early could be costly. Patience is the name of the game here.
💎But what if the bullish momentum fades? If #EthereumNameService struggles to breach the triangle and the $22.99 level, it might signal waning buyer strength, inviting sellers to take control. The critical area to watch is the lower demand zone at $13.22.
💎This historically strong support level could be our last line of defense for bulls. If the price bounces from $13.22, the bullish outlook could stay intact. But—brace yourself—a break below $13.22 would invalidate the bullish setup and could trigger a sharp decline.
Stay patient and only act on the best and high probability setups.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
MerkThe stock Mark presents an excellent opportunity for traders with a favorable risk-benefit ratio. It is currently at a strong demand zone, and there is a bullish shark harmonic pattern that aligns with this demand area, along with the 200-day moving average. This is a strong entry point near 100$, with a stop-loss below 97$. The target price is between $116 and 120$.
Gold & Silver Enter Phase #3 of the Excess Phase Peak PatternGet ready. Both Gold & Silver have moved into Phase #3 of the Excess Phase Peak Pattern - suggesting Gold & Silver will consolidate briefly before either attempting to break downward toward an ultimate low or revert higher, trying to take out the recent highs.
I estimate that Gold and Silver will break downward as fear and panic settle into the market ahead of the US elections.
If you've been following my research for the past 4+ weeks, you already know I predicted this move nearly a month ago, and now we are seeing Gold and Silver roll strongly to the downside.
What is interesting is that they both set up excess phase peak patterns. Gold set up a very quick Phase #1 & #2 (flagging) pattern, whereas Silver's #1 & #2 setup took much longer.
I believe Silver is leading the markets a bit right now throughout this Excess Phase Peak pattern.
If my research is correct, Gold and Silver will break downward over the next 4+ days to identify a substantially lower low - the Ultimate low.
After that, Gold and Silver will base/bottom and move into a very strong recovery phase.
Are you ready for market opportunities over the next 5+ years? Follow my research/videos to learn how you can capitalize on these big moves.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
NASDAQ is Approaching An Important SupportHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a buying opportunity around 19600 zone, NASDAQ is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 19600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
BULLS COULD COME KNOCKING!! A LONG IS COMINGThe pair has been trading in bear for 3 weeks now completing the M / DOUBLE TOP STRUCTURE. Now that the structure is complete, symmetrical triangle has been formed indicating a bullish continuation may begin.
SUPPORT:
The is a key support 2 1.06520- 1.07745 which has been tested many tomes
RESISTANCE: The pair faces immediate resistance at 1.08420. A breakout around this point could lead to a potential buy with a target at 1.11980 which is the major resistance.
BUY POINTS:
Buys can be taken around 1.06545 , and above 1.08420 .
this is a long buy it could materialise this week or next week . good luck and keep eye on it. LEAVE YOUR COMMENTS
GBPCHF H1 short from resistance tp +90 pips🔸Hello traders, let's review the 1hour chart for GBPCHF today. We are recently trading in well defined range so it's recommended to short sell from heavy overhead resistance, we got clearly defined S/R zones on the 1hour price chart.
🔸Resistances at 1265 1285 1310. Supports at 1215 1195 1165. Currently
short-term weak bounce in progress will most likely get faded from resistance.
🔸Recommended strategy for GBPCHF traders: focus on short selling high near 1285 price cluster SL fixed at 25 pips TP1 +45 pips TP2 +90 pips. Expecting rejection from overhead resistance and re-test of the mid of the prior accumulation range.
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Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
MATH - This is how you REALLY use Elliott WaveThis is a great example of a beautiful setup and how to lay out a low risk, high reward trade, especially for those that are still learning and wondering how to apply Elliott Wave. Or maybe you are unfamiliar with Elliott Wave or someone who thinks it's nonsense. Well let me show you how I do it and hopefully help you learn the best technical strategy. These are the setups I salivate on. And I don't care if I lose 8 out of 10, because the 2 that hit will more than pay off the losers.
Support box is clear. Below the September low and I'd be out as we'd be below the reliable 61.8% retracement. Breaking that fib retracement level means that it can do anything from bullish, to diagonal, to sideways, to bearish moves. And we don't want to waste our time with stocks that aren't trending. Nothing is reliable anymore - therefore, we don't want to trade it below that. Toss it away. Move on to the next one.
For this play, you could accumulate shares under $2.25 which is the previous high. I have it labeled as a Wave (1) but it could easily just be an (A) wave. As a quick refresher, trending impulsive moves happen in 5-wave moves. Since we don't know for 100% certainty that this will become that, we have to prepare for the other likely scenarios. We are already protected from significant downside with our stop below the 61.8% retracement, so I just don't care what might happen in a bearish count. So for bullish, I want to accumulate under the last high and catch the breakout. Once broken out, minimum target is $4.25. That's the 100% extension of (1) from the bottom of (2), the first resistance. If this ends up being a 3-wave (A)(B)(C), it would top out there at the 100%, so we want to make sure we have all of our money back by then. A full bullish follow through could take it anywhere between $12 (161.8% fib) and $22.50 (200% fib, which is where a standard impulsive 5-wave rally is expected to end with no extensions).
If you buy a stock like this with stop below the 61.8%, you can go net free (return of original equity) by selling however many shares are needed to get your original money back at the previous high around $2.25 which should reject at first try (as it is the most likely landing spot for Wave 1 inside of Wave (3). Once a higher low forms from there (Wave 2 of (3)) between $1.20 and $1.75, you could go in even harder, buying more shares, and moving your stop on all shares to that higher low, providing a very low risk scenario. By the time $4.25 is hit, you should be completely net free with plenty of shares left and maybe even take some good profits.
Remember, this is an outline NOT A PREDICTION. That's why we have a stop, a plan, and multiple targets. As it plays out, we gain more clarity and update our outline. Probably even find a trend channel. This is Elliott Wave. This is Fibonacci Pinball (the creation of Avi Gilburt at elliottwavetrader,net). It's not telling you what's going to happen. It's telling you what could happen, laying out the most probable path, limiting your risk, and telling you when it might be wrong and how to pivot. And don't go thinking this will happen all at once. Keep good notes of your entry and all sales. This likely takes 1-3 years.
Standard disclosures:
1. This is 100% my idea. It was not sourced from any other avenue.
2. I am not invested in this company, though I am likely buying shares soon.
3. I am not paid to post content nor do I receive any contributions of any kind.
4. While this is outlining a potential profitable setup, this article is not investment advice. You should do your own due diligence on any company you invest in and apply your own trading strategies.
5. I know nothing about the fundamentals of this company. I suggest doing your due diligence if fundamentals are important to you.
6. Readers should always remember that markets are their own creature made up of millions of individuals and institutions each following some combo of inherent bullishness, inherent bearishness, fundamentals, technicals, stupidity, and pure emotion. Elliott Wave, and specifically Fibonacci Pinball (developed by Avi Gilburt at elliottwavetrader.net and prominent Seeking Alpha author), merely provide a framework based on the observed price action to date. 7. I know that while my wave outline is based on years and years of data and application from not only me, but some of the best in the game, I also know that markets do not follow a set path and that sentiment can remain irrational far longer than I can remain rational. That is why you MUST consider the alternatives and manage risk appropriately. Know the pivot zones that could lead to the primary path failing.
I warrant that the information created and published by me on TradingView is not prohibited, doesn't constitute investment advice, and isn't created solely for qualified investors. My analysis is not a recommendation for a specific trade. My analysis outlines a potential scenario and provides risk assessments for multiple alternate scenarios. My analysis is purely educational.
SHIB/USDT Weekly Analysis: Potential Bullish Breakout in SymmetrShiba Inu (SHIB) has garnered attention as a high-volatility, speculative asset primarily driven by community sentiment rather than intrinsic utility. SHIB lacks the fundamental use cases that support assets like Ethereum or Bitcoin, making its price action more susceptible to market hype, social media trends, and retail speculation. This reliance on speculative fundamentals creates opportunities for large price movements, both upwards and downwards, depending on market sentiment and external factors.
Technical Analysis:
1. Symmetrical Triangle Pattern: The SHIB price action appears to be forming a symmetrical triangle on the weekly chart, with the asset making lower highs and higher lows. This consolidation phase suggests that a breakout could occur soon. Given SHIB’s speculative nature, a breakout in either direction could lead to rapid price movements, particularly if volume confirms the trend.
2. Volume Profile and Accumulation: The volume profile indicates significant accumulation within the current range, suggesting that buyers are showing interest in this price zone. This accumulation zone may provide a strong support level, potentially fueling an upward move if SHIB breaks out of the triangle. However, low utility could mean that any upward trend may not sustain without continuous market interest.
3. RSI and Bullish Momentum: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the weekly chart shows bullish divergence as it bounces from oversold levels, indicating potential for bullish momentum. However, it’s essential to consider that such signals in speculative assets can often lead to brief rallies followed by corrections, as speculative interest fluctuates.
4. Resistance and Potential Upside: The price has encountered resistance at a previous high marked by the purple trendline, a level that SHIB will need to overcome to signal a robust bullish trend. A breakout above this level could initiate a speculative rally, targeting previous resistance levels around 0.00004000. However, SHIB’s lack of fundamental backing means any rally may be highly volatile, and profit-taking should be a consideration for traders.
Speculative Fundamentals and Volatility:
Shiba Inu’s primary driver remains community-driven initiatives, token burn events, and potential listings on major exchanges. Unlike assets with inherent utility, SHIB’s price action is largely detached from fundamental developments and is influenced more by social media narratives and whale trading activity. This creates an environment where speculative fundamentals can lead to sudden, unpredictable price swings, and traders must be cautious of potential pump-and-dump scenarios.
Prediction:
If SHIB can sustain support within the triangle pattern and break above the resistance trendline, there’s potential for a speculative rally towards 0.00004000. However, given SHIB’s speculative nature, traders should watch for volume confirmation on any breakout and remain mindful of potential false breakouts. Unlike more fundamentally-backed assets, SHIB’s price movements are likely to be more erratic, and any significant gains should be approached with caution.
Disclaimer: This analysis is based on speculative fundamentals and market sentiment and does not constitute financial advice. All trading decisions should be based on your own risk tolerance and analysis.
ONE ONE ONE I'm oneching you!Just like AXS, An accumulation schematic is present in this asset! And the idea is technically the same as AXS where we take advantage of the accumulation schematic.
This asset is stronger as as I am writing this idea, we are approaching a level of interest on ONEBTC.
What's the idea?
We have made a suspected spring and we have went back into the range, locally we also are inside value range so why am I targetting an entry of 0.0105?
This setup aims to snipe the snipest of the low. On my last RUNE setup which catched the low before pumping 28% right up, it was just a weekly open/close along with a local VAL
The same idea is to be applied here. WE have a retest of acceptance into the the whole accumulation range's value and LOCALLY, we are in the midst of the value range but momentum is to the downside.
Logically, the highest probability of the pivot is the price of 0.01191. It is a monthly open/close. local POC.
But hey, if a wick goes to the downside 4% is an easy feat on the crypto
(0.01191 to 0.0105 is about 4%)
This idea aims to catch that falling knife.
so if I go quiet for a few months, know that my hands are still recovering from the wound.