Trend Analysis
COIN - Potential 15000 Point move comingHI all,
Overwhelmed with support recently which I really appreciate. Lets take a look at COIN
Coin is at a large area of intrest to me as this price has been used as both support and resistance many time. We area currently respecting a long term Bullish trend line
We are slowly approaching a Strong Demand zone now from where price made a massive Bull run. Im looking to make a similar movement off this support level although price may push off this point of intrest without testing the Demand.
If we take the previous high price then I will look to buy from a market order position targeting Buy side Liquidity
Good luck to all the traders that decide to follow
CAKE Breakdown – Major Bearish Move Incoming?#CAKE has broken a critical support level after forming a Triangle Pattern on the 1-hour timeframe.
🔻 Key Observations:
✅ Triangle Breakdown – The price failed to sustain inside the pattern.
✅ Support Break – A major support level has been breached, confirming the bearish structure.
✅ Retest Zone – Price may retest the broken support before further decline.
🎯 Trading Plan:
🔹 Entry: Short at CMP or on a retest of support.
🔹 Target: Next support zone.
🔹 Stop-Loss: Above the retest level (tight risk management).
💡 What do you think? Will #CAKE continue its downtrend or surprise us with a reversal? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 👇👇
📊 Like & follow for more real-time market insights! 🚀🔥
USOILSeveral upcoming economic data prints could significantly affect oil prices:
1. OPEC+ Production Levels
Impact: OPEC+ production cuts have been crucial in maintaining oil prices. Any changes to these cuts could influence supply and prices.
Data Print: Announcements about extending or easing production cuts will be closely watched.
2. U.S. Crude Oil Inventories
Impact: Changes in U.S. crude oil inventories reflect supply and demand imbalances. Lower inventories suggest stronger demand or reduced supply, potentially boosting prices.
Data Print: Weekly inventory reports from the EIA will be key in assessing market conditions.
3. Global Demand Growth
Impact: Stronger-than-expected demand growth, particularly from major consumers like China, could support higher oil prices.
Data Print: Reports from the IEA and EIA on global demand growth will be important.
4. U.S. Sanctions on Major Oil Producers
Impact: Sanctions on Russia, Iran, and Venezuela can disrupt global supply, potentially leading to price increases.
Data Print: Updates on sanctions enforcement and their impact on oil exports will influence prices.
5. EIA Forecasts
Impact: The EIA's forecasts for oil prices, production, and demand provide valuable insights into future market conditions.
Data Print: The EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) reports will offer guidance on expected price trends.
Brent Price Forecasts: The EIA forecasts Brent crude to average $74 per barrel in 2025, with prices potentially falling to $66 per barrel in 2026 due to increased global production and slower demand growth.
U.S. Production: The EIA expects U.S. crude oil production to reach a record high in 2025, averaging 13.59 million barrels per day.
These data prints will provide critical insights into supply and demand dynamics, influencing oil prices and market sentiment.
EUR/USD Bearish Outlook – Key Levels & Trade Setups📊 Technical Analysis EUR/USD
Timeframe: Likely Weekly (1W)
Current Price: ~1.0416
📉 Bearish Context:
Key Resistance: 1.05290
This zone has been tested multiple times without a breakout, indicating strong selling pressure.
It aligns with a liquidity area visible in the red rectangle.
Also near the yellow moving average (likely 50 or 100 periods), acting as dynamic resistance.
Key Support: 1.02838
Marked in blue as a potential short-term target.
A level that previously provided support and may attract buyers again.
📉 Current Scenario:
The price has rejected the 1.0529 resistance with a strong bearish candle.
A breakdown from the gray zone suggests a potential continuation downward.
If selling pressure persists, the 1.02838 target could be reached.
📈 Potential Trading Strategies:
🔻 Short Scenario (Bearish Bias):
Entry: Below 1.0430 after confirmation with a daily bearish close.
Target 1: 1.02838
Target 2: Below 1.0200 (depending on price action).
Stop Loss: Above 1.0500 (to avoid false breakouts).
🔼 Long Scenario (Less Likely Bullish Setup):
Entry: Confirmed bounce above 1.02838 with a strong reversal candle.
Target: Retest of 1.0529, with a stop below 1.0280.
📌 Final Considerations:
The current structure favors a short-term bearish continuation.
Key areas (support and resistance) will be crucial for the next move.
Watch for macroeconomic data and volatility, as they could impact the trend.
Gold Turning Bearish on H4Gold trading at 2866.xx
It failed to hold above suggested weekly levels 2953/2958 by making high that was expected weekly resistance on long term charts that achieved low of 2832 on last Friday.
Now as per H4 charts gold is changing bullish direction that started on Jan 2025 to corrective or sideways direction with expected resistance around 2907/2916 that limit the upsides upon test and correct gold further to 2839/2831 that is my initial Goal now.
Please note failing to hold 2831/2830 may open 2790/2756.
Buyers should work with cautions
Trump PumpPlease provide a meaningful and detailed description of your analysis and prediction. Walk us through your thought process. Put yourself in the reader's shoes and see if you would understand the context based on what you wrote. Clearly stated profit targets and stop loss areas help clarify any trade idea.
PLTR at a Key Turning Point – Reversal or Breakdown? Technical Analysis (TA) – Key Price Action Insights
* Trend: PLTR has been in a clear downtrend, trading within a descending channel. A breakout above this structure could signal a reversal.
* Reversal Zone: The stock is testing a critical resistance zone around $85-$90, which aligns with the Volume Profile Point of Control (POC).
* Support Levels:
* $80: Key short-term support; failure to hold could send price towards $75-$72.
* $72: Strong historical support—a breakdown here could accelerate selling pressure.
* Resistance Levels:
* $90: First major upside level where a rejection is likely.
* $100-$105: Strong supply zone and potential breakout confirmation area.
Indicators:
* MACD: Recently crossed bullish, indicating possible momentum shift.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought, suggesting a possible pullback before continuation.
GEX (Gamma Exposure) & Options Analysis
* Call Resistance:
* $90 (72.6% Wall): Heavy call positioning here could act as a major resistance.
* $100-$105: Next key call walls—if PLTR can clear these, a strong gamma squeeze could take it towards $120.
* Put Support:
* $80: Highest negative NetGEX level, which aligns with dealer positioning to support price.
* $75-$72: Strong put walls—if these break, expect dealers to hedge by selling stock, increasing downside pressure.
* IV & Sentiment:
* IV Rank (IVR): 71.4 – High implied volatility means options are expensive.
* Options Positioning: Calls 26.4% → Mixed sentiment, slightly bullish bias.
Trading Plan & Strategy
🔹 Bullish Scenario: If PLTR holds above $85 and breaks $90, it could trigger a gamma squeeze toward $100-$105. A daily close above $105 could lead to $120+ in the mid-term.
🔻 Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold $80 could trigger dealer hedging, leading to a breakdown toward $75-$72.
Final Thoughts & Suggestions
* Options Traders: Consider selling puts at $80 or a bull call spread if bullish. For bearish setups, a bear put spread targeting $75 makes sense.
* Equity Traders: Look for confirmation at $90 for a bullish entry or wait for a retest at $80-$75 for better risk-reward.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly. 🚀📉
AAVEUSDTSo!
1. SUI almost reached at 2.4 as I said. Of course, my position has been opened, but not for the full movement.
2. Should we wait for a bullish movement? If I find many tokens showing a bullish pattern, then yes!
3. On the first impression, For AAVE, as soon as the consolidation is finished, a bullish movement should begin.
4. AVAX hasn’t reached the goal point
XAU/USD (Gold) Multi-Timeframe Analysis – March 3, 2025
a comprehensive trading strategy.
## **1. Market Structure Overview (Multi-Timeframe)**
### **M30 (30-Minute Chart)**
- **Equilibrium Zone (~$2,870 - $2,875)** is being tested.
- **Previous Day Low (PDL) ~$2,825 is intact**.
- **Minor bullish CHoCH (Change of Character) observed**, suggesting a possible retracement.
### **H1 (1-Hour Chart)**
- **Bearish Break of Structure (BOS) confirms continued downside bias**.
- **Premium Zone (~$2,920 - $2,950) remains a strong resistance**.
- **Retracement to equilibrium ($2,875 - $2,885) is likely before further downside**.
### **H4 (4-Hour Chart)**
- **Price rejected from the previous weak low (~$2,825)**.
- **Liquidity grab occurred, but market remains bearish**.
- **Potential retest of previous support at $2,885 - $2,900 before continuing down**.
### **D1 (Daily Chart)**
- **Strong BOS confirmed bearish sentiment**.
- **Premium rejection zone ~$2,950 remains strong**.
- **If price stays below $2,900, further downside to $2,800 - $2,780 is possible**.
---
## **2. Expected Scenarios & Probability**
### **Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation (70% Probability)**
- If price **rejects $2,880 - $2,885**, the downtrend is expected to continue.
- **Target: $2,840 - $2,825**.
- **Confirmation:** A bearish candlestick formation in the **$2,875 - $2,885 zone**.
### **Scenario 2: Short-Term Bullish Retracement (30% Probability)**
- If price holds above **$2,860**, a short-term retracement to **$2,900 - $2,920** may occur.
- **Target: $2,900 - $2,920** before another decline.
- **Confirmation:** A **bullish breakout above $2,875**.
---
## **3. Trading Plan**
### **Sell Setup: (Primary Trade - 70% Probability)**
- **Entry:** $2,875 - $2,885.
- **SL:** $2,905 (Above resistance).
- **TP1:** $2,850 (First liquidity level).
- **TP2:** $2,840 (Weak low).
- **TP3:** $2,825 (Major demand zone).
- **Risk-Reward Ratio:** 1:4.
### **Buy Setup: (Countertrend - 30% Probability)**
- **Entry:** $2,860 - $2,865.
- **SL:** $2,850 (Below weak low).
- **TP1:** $2,880 (Short-term equilibrium).
- **TP2:** $2,900 (Key supply zone).
- **Risk-Reward Ratio:** 1:3.
---
## **4. Final Trade Execution Summary:**
| Trade Type | Entry | Stop-Loss | Take-Profit 1 | Take-Profit 2 | Take-Profit 3 | R:R |
|------------|------|-----------|---------------|---------------|---------------|-----|
| **Sell Setup** | $2,875 - $2,885 | $2,905 | $2,850 | $2,840 | $2,825 | 1:4 |
| **Buy Setup** | $2,860 - $2,865 | $2,850 | $2,880 | $2,900 | - | 1:3 |
---
## **📌 Additional Execution Tips:**
- **Use M5/M15 for precise entries.**
- **Wait for confirmation candles before entering.**
- **Avoid entering trades during high-impact news releases.**
- **Risk per trade:** 1-2% of capital for optimal drawdown control.
Monthly, Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher, finding support at the lower Bollinger Band on the weekly chart. Due to the sharp decline last week, the 20,500 to 20,300 range was a technical rebound zone.
On the monthly chart, February closed with a bearish candle, bringing the index below the 5-day moving average and forming a range with the 10-day MA. For March, the 3-day and 5-day moving averages will act as resistance, while the 10-day MA serves as support. Since the monthly MACD is still above the signal line, even if corrections occur this month, rebound potential remains, meaning traders should be cautious about chasing shorts aggressively.
On the weekly chart, the Nasdaq fell below the 20-week MA, accelerating the sell-off. The MACD continues to slope downward, keeping further downside potential open, but since the signal line is still above zero, the index may consolidate between the 3-week and 5-week moving averages, making a range-bound strategy effective this week.
On the daily chart, both MACD and the signal line have dropped below zero, confirming a bearish market structure. The 21,000 level was broken decisively with a large bearish candle, meaning that if price struggles to reclaim this level, further downside toward the 240-day moving average is possible. If the Nasdaq falls to the 240-day MA, traders should prepare for a potential technical bounce, as historically, this level has provided support. Reviewing moving average dynamics could be helpful for understanding this scenario.
On the 240-minute chart, Friday’s low produced a strong rebound, making the MACD's potential golden cross a key signal to watch. As long as the recent lows hold, buying opportunities may exist, but since the signal line remains far above zero, selling pressure may persist on any rallies. Traders should avoid chasing long positions and focus on range trading. This week, traders should keep an eye on China’s National People's Congress (NPC) on Tuesday and the U.S. Employment Report on Friday, as both events could increase market volatility later in the week.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed lower within a narrow range, continuing its sideways movement. On the monthly chart, February closed with a bearish candle, causing the MACD to turn downward while still maintaining a range-bound structure. Although the MACD and signal line remain above zero, buyers are still attempting to hold support within this range. For now, oil should be traded as a large range-bound market.
On the weekly chart, last week’s doji candle suggests indecision, and this week, the MACD has crossed below the signal line, triggering a sell signal. However, since a weekly close is needed to confirm this, the possibility of a trend reversal remains open. If oil continues lower this week, the sell signal will be fully confirmed, but if price rebounds, last week’s doji candle could mark a reversal point. Key bullish catalysts include Trump’s potential tariffs on Canada and Mexico, as well as the possibility of stricter oil sanctions on Venezuela. Meanwhile, bearish factors include economic slowdown fears reducing oil demand.
On the daily chart, breaking above $70 remains the key bullish trigger, but since the MACD has yet to form a golden cross, confirming an end to the downtrend is premature. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has formed a golden cross, indicating a potential recovery after a pullback. For now, traders should buy dips cautiously, but breaking above $70 remains the key factor for further upside confirmation.
Gold
Gold closed sharply lower, forming a large bearish candle. On the daily chart, gold has fallen from previous highs to the lower Bollinger Band, meaning that additional downside (overshooting below support) remains possible.
On the monthly chart, gold formed a doji candle, indicating uncertainty. If gold found support at the 3-day MA last month, this month, traders should watch for support at the 5-day MA, as it could provide a buying opportunity on pullbacks.
On the weekly chart, gold has fallen to the 5-week MA, meaning that it has entered a range-bound structure. Since the lower support levels are still open, traders should avoid chasing long positions at highs and focus on buying lower. The U.S. Employment Report is due on Friday, which could increase volatility for gold.
On the daily chart, while the MACD is declining, the signal line remains well above zero, meaning that even if prices fall, rebound attempts are likely. On the 240-minute chart, further downside toward the 240-day moving average remains possible, but traders should watch for bottoming signals and potential support. If the MACD forms a golden cross, a strong rebound could follow, so monitoring short-term momentum shifts will be key.
February marked a transition to a range-bound market after an extended uptrend, suggesting that March could be a period of consolidation or further downside extension. Geopolitical risks have increased since Trump took office, and market volatility is rising due to key global events. Traders should focus on risk management and avoid overexposure. Wishing you a successful start to March! 🚀
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Equal opportunityEURUSD seems to be printing an Inverse Head and Shoulders(IHnS) which will be valid if price passes 1.04160 retest and continues with the take profit being 1.08826.
Alternatively, a sell could take place especially because its NFP week and price moves in a bipolar manner.For this to be valid, price would need to fall all the way to 1.03500 retest and then the sell would be ripe with the take profit being at 1.00291.
XLM Buy/Long Setup (12H)After heavy drops, it is approaching a key support level.
It is expected to bounce upward upon hitting this support.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
Let’s see what happens.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
GBP - Wait until the revise pattern formed at supportHello traders, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trading on the price movement. A key part of my discipline is Stop Loss set when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. My 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!