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Trend Analysis

IDFC First Bank : A huge milestone since July 2024IDFC First Bank : A huge milestone since July 2024 ,moving to a buy trajectory ,moving up above a Supertrend first time Since July 2024 and if it manages to close at the level at the end of the day today.. MACD also is progressing well Resistance bands are clearly visible on the chart. Still under 200 SMA which will be another milestone when it crosses that. ( Not a Buy / Sell Recommendation Do your own due diligence ,Market is subject to risks, This is my own view and for learning only .)
NSE:IDFCFIRSTBLong
by drdevanshu
EUR/USD Retracement (and maybe more)Hey traders! So as promised friday here's a breakdown for the week ahead for EURUSD and how I see things going forward. First let's recap what happened on the larger timeframe: Daily: Few things to note: - The Weekly is in a downtrend since last year (and monthly for even longer) - There has not been a single proper retracement until now as we finally did retrace almost to the 79% That can mean two things: either we're gonna keep pushing up to make new highs as price reversed , or we're most likely done with the retracement and will push lower to target possibly the parity (remember all the talk after trump's election about heading straight to parity? we just broke above the election price level and diving back down at the moment) for new lows and and old important gap left below parity (but let's not get ahead of ourselves). In both cases we can play a short position on EURUSD: If we're gonna make new highs, we'll probably get a pullback after the massive push up from march.. And if we're gonna make new lows then shorting is very obvious. Why going short now? Simple answer: all the timeframes turned bearish this week, with the daily finally breaking the bullish structure on thursday's close (and more decisively on friday), while the 4h finally turned bearish on thursday as well (again if barely, but clearly on friday). Since we want to trade with the trend, it makes no sense currently to take any long position until the situation change (which would be a break of this week's high) To support the idea we can also look at the RSI's divergences, which appears on every timeframe but more importantly on the Daily recently and the 4H one which made a very respected trendline, only broken in what seems to be a fakeout when it made the last new high just to fall back in line afterwards (last liquidity grab) Now about the entry to go short. It's been a really tough week and with no clear easy entry on the 4+H timeframe imo, but while we had a good retracement on tuesday (while the trend was still up though), we didn't get any since then, which might give us an opportunity this week (unless it decides to dump real hard like it pumped real hard on the way up). We have one very important level (currently, but it might change if price just keep going down, I'll try to update this page until we get the actual entry) at the 79%ish retracement level. That's around where we have a big 4h gap that could get mitigated for the most ideal entry with the highest risk/reward ratio (around the 1.0885 level) with a stoploss around 1.093 for the safest location (there is a 4h gap there and while I think the retracement there was deep enough, it's a possibility that we'll be efficient enough to close this), or the 1.0918 level that should be safe. That would be the ideal most efficient case, which is not necessarely the most likely, especially if we open going down on monday. Also I don't have the new pivots for the week since the markets are still close at the time of writing, I'll update that tomorrow if I have the time) In the case it does pullback for a retracement, I would think 1.0873 is a more realistic target for a deep retracement, at a good support/resistance zone, which I believe to be still quite deep. Monday has some news (unlike friday which reflects in the terrible volume and awkward movements despite being the quadruple witching day) so we might get those deep movement happening, on the news maybe even, in which case you'll have to be quick and nimble to catch the move, just prepare and be ready, do not react on impulse while seeing big candles and big movements. How about the targets? Like I mentioned we could be aiming for new lows on the pair.. or we might just be in a pullback on the daily, in which case we should be targeting the low hanging fruit that fits both narrative (and still grants a huge amount of pips) And that would be the daily golden zone retracement at a very big support/resistance over the years (and in recent weeks) at around 1.053 That level should see reaction no matter what the case is and getting out of a short at that level should be great since we could still re enter short higher on a reaction if the market gives us the signal. And if this was just a retracement to go higher then you would most likely exit at around the lows, if not THE low. Of course we'll have to see how the market reacts etc at those levels when the time comes. But there you have all my thoughts and intention for the weeks ahead, I wrote enough for you to understand the thoughts behind it, I didn't write all the technical details with the RSI etc but you can make it up from the screenshots etc I believe as it's been a long post already. Here's what the big trade could be with more than 300pips to grab on the way down. At the time of writing it's hard to place an exact entry as it could be decided either with the RSI or lower than expected if the price dives further before retracing. But you have the big picture and you can go from there. I'll be posting in the mind section this week as usual to update in a more reactive way, but if you set alerts at all the levels mentioned you shouldn't have to be staring at the screen for no reason! Get plenty of rest, it's probably gonna be an eventful week with a lot of movement and possibly lots of big news (ukraine war, tariff approaching on the 2nd april etc etc)
Short
by Nordic_Wings
Gold price hits a new all-time high!Market news: In the early Asian trading on Thursday (April 3), spot gold continued to rise, once refreshing its historical high to $3,168/ounce, as US President Trump declared a national emergency on Wednesday to enhance the competitive advantage of the United States, protect US sovereignty, and strengthen US national and economic security. He will impose a 10% benchmark tariff on all goods imported into the United States and impose higher tariffs on some of the largest US trading partners. This move will lead to an intensification of the trade war launched after his return to the White House, and the market risk aversion sentiment has risen sharply. After the news of large-scale tariffs came out, the market risk aversion sentiment rose sharply in the early Asian trading on Thursday, US stock futures plummeted, and Dow futures plunged more than 1,100 points. London gold prices soared, and international gold prices soared after US President Trump announced reciprocal tariffs on global trading partners. Gold is traditionally a safe-haven asset in times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty. When people's concerns about the global economy intensify, investors regard gold as a safe haven. Such concerns have helped gold prices rise 19% so far this year after a strong rally in 2024, driven mainly by massive central bank purchases and strong demand in Asia. The dollar index fell after Trump's tariff plan was announced, making gold more expensive for buyers holding foreign currencies. Investors need to pay attention to the number of layoffs in challenger companies in the United States in March, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending March 29, and the ISM non-manufacturing PMI data in the United States in March. In addition, investors need to pay attention to the market's further interpretation of Trump's tariff policy and the response measures of various countries, and pay attention to changes in national stock market performance and risk aversion. Technical Review: At the daily level, gold started the downward adjustment mode on Tuesday, breaking the previous continuous rise in one fell swoop. However, the current moving average system still maintains an upward divergent trend. The 4-hour trend of gold temporarily maintains a high range of oscillation repair. At present, the short-term moving average is basically in a state of adhesion and flattening, and tends to continue to maintain a high-level oscillation repair trend during the day. The 1-hour moving average of gold is still a golden cross with upward bullish arrangement. Although gold fell below the moving average support yesterday, the strength of gold bulls to bottom out and rebound is still relatively strong, and with the support of gold safe-haven, gold bulls are still better. As long as it does not break 3100, it will continue to be strongly bullish. Today's analysis: The news of gold early in the morning upgraded the risk aversion, and gold broke upward again. Then the previous resistance of gold has now become support again. The previous platform support of gold at 3135 has broken upward, so gold has now formed support at 3135. Gold fell back in the Asian session and continued to buy. Since after the shock, gold bulls have exerted their strength again under the stimulation of risk aversion, the trend continues to belong to bulls, and gold fell back in the Asian session and continued to buy. The 1-hour moving average of gold turned upward again, and gold bulls regained control of the home court. Gold fell back in the Asian session and continued to buy on dips on the previous platform support of 3135. Now risk aversion stimulates gold to rise. Don't chase it directly at high levels for the time being, and wait patiently for the opportunity to fall back. As risk aversion is upgraded, gold buying will continue to be strong and gold is expected to rise to a higher level. Operation ideas: Short-term gold 3132-3135 buy, stop loss 3124, target 3160-3170; Short-term gold 3174-3177 sell, stop loss 3185, target 3140-3130; Key points: First support level: 3140, second support level: 3133, third support level: 3120 First resistance level: 3166, second resistance level: 3174, third resistance level: 3187
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BraveTigercat
USD/JPY Price Action Update – April 3, 2025 📊 USD/JPY Price Action Update – April 3, 2025 🎯 🔹 Current Price: 147.276 🔹 Timeframe: 15M 📌 Key Support Levels (Demand Zones): 🟢 147.200-147.284 – First Support Zone (Liquidity Area) 📌 Key Resistance Levels (Fair Value Gaps - FVGs & Supply Zones): 🔴 147.647 – First Resistance (FVG) 🔴 149.133 – Major Resistance (Potential Target) 📈 Bullish Scenario: If price respects the 147.200-147.284 demand zone, we could see a push towards 147.647 first. A breakout above 147.647 could indicate further bullish momentum toward 149.133. 📉 Bearish Scenario: If price fails to hold 147.200, we might see a deeper retracement. The next possible downside target would be below 147.000, breaking structure further. ⚡ Trading Tip: ✅ Look for confirmations like bullish candlestick rejections before entering buys. ✅ Monitor reactions at FVG zones for potential reversal trades. ✅ Use proper risk management when trading breakout zones. #USDJPY #ForexTrading #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #ForexSignals #JPY #ForexMarket
Long
by FXFOREVER_87
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/3/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025 - PR High: 19037.00 - PR Low: 18819.00 - NZ Spread: 487.25 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims 09:45 | S&P Global Services PMI 10:00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI - ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices AMP temporarily increased margin requirements to double the standard rate ahead of Trump tariff announcement - Over 740 point session gap down - Extreme volatile open aligned with tariff anticipation - Value decline continues to 18000 inventory following touch and go off daily Keltner average cloud - Auction rotating back to previous session low Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 4/3) - Session Open ATR: 484.77 - Volume: 85K - Open Int: 249K - Trend Grade: Bear - From BA ATH: -15.7% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 18675 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQM2025
by mv3trader5
SPX developing a wedge similar to 2022As I write this futures are sharply down to 5440 and ViX is at 40. I expect to see a short technical bounce to about 5550, being at major trendline. The wedge formation is similar to 2022. A breakout from Wedge would be sharp either way. If it holds at this level for a couple of weeks then I expect to see a bounce to 5775.I had said earlier in my vix analysis we are in 2022 mode. Market could see a relief rally only to realise that there are still many unknowns. The impact on labour market due to immigration policies, retaliation of other countries and negotiation results thereof, impact on consumer sentiments and extent of inflations due to tariff. Weakening of US dollar will only add to inflation pressure. Trump has only accelerated BRICS agenda of moving away from USD Citadel,Millennium and many other hedge fund are having liquidity problems and FED is been asked to setup a bailout fund for these crooks. They are the highest leveraged entities. A weaker market will precipitate another financial crisis. So far the financial sector hasn't been devalued liketh tech and semi's. I think their turn will come once the market have finished dealing with tech valuations. Once market gets this, it will see a sharp selloff, which is better than slow grind down over months as far as I am concerned When trump says, he doesn't care about the stock market, I think he knows it is overvalued, just like Warren Buffet did last year and sold off most his positions and now sitting on largest cash in history, waiting for it to come to his level of expectation which to to my mind cant be just 10% bat rather like 30% write off in the en, to entice savvy investors like Buffet and Michael Burry to re-enter and clean out the garbage investors like the hedge funds
SPREADEX:SPX
by krisoz
#SUSDT.P -A New Upside Opportunity with the Cup and Handle Hey everyone, Today’s analysis is for #SUSDT.P. We’ve got a solid Cup and Handle formation here, and I believe it’s set to play out well. The ideal long entry zone is between 0.53-0.56, with short-term targets at 0.60 and longer-term targets at 0.66. Just like our BINANCE:REDUSDT.P analysis from yesterday, I’m rooting for this one to hit its targets quickly. Wishing you all a green-filled day ahead! What do you think of my analysis? Let’s meet in the comments and discuss! Manage your risk, stay in the game! 🎯🔥 #AlyAnaliz #TradeSmart #CryptoVision #SUSDT
Long
by Binanciega
1
XAUUSD Technical Breakdown (1H + 4H Combo) gold can spike briefly in early Tokyo session if BOJ doesn’t act immediately. NO, it won’t last if BOJ hits the market or USD/JPY reverses. 1. Price Action – Tension’s High • 4H: Classic Evening Star showing up. That’s a solid bearish reversal — sellers are circling. • 1H: Weak bullish candle trying to break out, but it’s soft. Feels like bulls are exposed. • Inside Bar on 1H: Tight, coiled range. Something’s about to pop — either a breakout or a flush. 2. Range Game – Price is Trapped • Right now, we’re chopping between 3,154 – 3,160. • Price is teasing strength but keeps rejecting resistance. • Trap zone is active — don’t chase a late bull move here, that’s how you get clipped. 3. Indicator Signals – Read Between the Lines • VWAP on 1H: Flat. Price is just above, but there’s no real conviction. • Volume: • 1H: Dropping off — sellers may be setting the bait. • 4H: Climbing — looks like big money is getting ready to pull the rug after drawing in late buyers. 4. Trend Check – Short-Term Pullback Brewing • 1H: Price is pushing into resistance — feels toppy. • 4H: Overbought vibes, and bearish divergence is starting to creep in. 5. Volume – Telling the Real Story • 1H: Weak follow-through. Buyers are drying up. • 4H: Volume’s picking up, but it could be climax buying — one last push before it rolls over. 6. Key Zones – Support & Resistance • Resistance: 3,160 – 3,175. Price hit it and bounced like it ran into concrete. • Support: 3,132 – 3,122. That’s where buyers show up with bags of cash. • A clean break below 3,154 opens the trapdoor. 7. Momentum – Running Out of Gas • Bulls tried. They’re tired. • No solid follow-through = bears lining up to take control. 8. Elliott Wave – The Final Push • This looks like a stretched-out Wave 5. It’s spent. • Correction Wave A likely on deck — target: 3,132. 9. Harmonics – Pattern Breaking Down • Bearish AB=CD pattern forming, but the D-point never reached 3,172. • It’s rejecting early — could be a heads-up for reversal traders. 10. Volatility – Calm Before the Storm • Nikkei’s dropping — that’s risk-off. Could give gold a short-term pop. • But if the BOJ steps in and the yen strengthens, USDJPY drops, and gold might not hold gains. • No major moves out of Cambodia/Vietnam yet, but keep an eye on JPY volatility. ⸻ Trade Setup – Asia Session Plan • Order: Sell Stop @ 3,153.00 (wait for the breakdown) • Take Profit: 3,132.00 (targeting the demand zone) • Stop Loss: 3,163.00 (tight stop just above resistance) • Confidence: 88% ⸻ Why This Trade Makes Sense: • You’ve got a bearish reversal on the 4H and no real volume to support a bullish breakout. • A breakdown from this range opens up a clean downside run. • Asia’s risk-off, but gold already reacted — the juice might be gone. • 2.1 R:R setup — tight, sharp, and efficient. ========= SHORT-TERM: Gold’s Got a Window – But It’s Narrow • Nikkei’s drop = risk-off vibes. • Tariff tension = safe haven demand rises. • Asian traders might push XAUUSD up a bit early, sniffing fear in the market. • If BOJ stays silent, gold pumps toward 3,162 - 3,170.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
What impact will the implementation of gold tariffs have?As expected, gold fell below yesterday's low of 3124 support and came all the way to 3100. I have been emphasizing that gold will have a large retracement, but the current decline is far from enough and gold will continue to decline. The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn downward, and gold may open up room for decline. The 1-hour gold moving average has now formed a head and shoulders top structure. The rebound will continue to be short. The market has weakened. Gold has tested the 3100 mark for the first time and has not yet broken it, but the direction of the market has turned short. If it does not break the first time, I believe there will be a second test in the future. Then the bearish situation has been finalized, and long positions have to be put aside for now, because it is a bearish market now. Gold can continue to be short after the rebound. Pay attention to the upper pressure level of 3128, and you can go short directly after it rebounds! Today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3138-3130 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3100-3083 line of support. Short position strategy: Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3128-3130, stop loss 6 points, target around 3110-3100, break to see 3085 line; Long position strategy: Strategy 2: Long 20% ​​of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3083-3085, stop loss 6 points, target around 3100-3110, break to see 3120 line;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BenedictLuc8
Ethereum (ETH): Something Is Cooking Here / Waiting Is Key NOWEthereum has been moving just as we needed for the last couple of months, and now we are at a smaller dispute area. As we are about to form a double bottom pattern, this is not yet confirmed (it needs a proper breakout from resistance). Meanwhile, markets are again dipping; we have placed 2 zones, which we will be keeping our attentions on. If any of those zones are secured and broken, then we will be taking the position according to market structure development! Swallow Team
Short
by SwallowAcademy
Australian dollar rally continues, Trump tariffs loomThe Australian dollar has posted strong gains for a second straight day. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6306, up 0.47% on the day. The Reserve Bank of Australia maintained the cash rate at 4.10% on Tuesday, in a move that was widely expected by markets. Still, the Australian dollar reacted positively, gaining 0.48% on Tuesday. The RBA statement noted that underlying inflation continued to ease in line with the Bank's forecast, but the Board "needs to be confident that this progress will continue" so that inflation remains sustainable at the midpoint of the 2%-3% target band. The statement said there was "significant" uncertainty over global trade developments, pointing to the threat of further US tariffs and possible counter-tariffs from targeted countries. The central bank's decision was made in the midst of a hotly contested election campaign, and a rate cut would likely have been attacked by the opposition parties as political interference. In a press conference after the meeting, Governor Michele Bullock acknowledged the uncertainty over the global outlook due to US trade policy but sought to assure the markets by saying that Australia was "well placed" to weather the potential storm of a global trade war. US President Trump has not specifically targeted Australia with any tariffs but China is Australia's number one trading partner and a US-China trade war would inflict damage on Australia's economy. The new US tariffs are expected to be announced later today and take effect on Thursday. The financial markets remain volatile as investors look for some clarity from Washington about the tariffs, as it remains unclear which countries will be targeted and the extent of the tariff rates.
by OANDA
Stocks jittery as markets await tariffs Volatility was again the name of the game in equity markets as investors braced for President Donald Trump’s impending tariff announcement, which promises to reshape global trade dynamics. With uncertainty swirling around the scope and impact of his so-called reciprocal tariffs, there remains little consensus on how markets will react as the final deliberations unfold. A few headlines that have come out: Trump administration official has confirmed that Amazon has put in a bid to buy TikTok Tesla Inc. jumped 5% on hopes Elon Musk will refocus on the carmaker as a news report suggested his time as a top adviser to Trump may end soon. US tariffs will be in bands of 10%, 15% and 20% -- Sky News The bands will differ by both country and industry depending on how the White House views barriers to trade. CNBC: TRUMP ADMINISTRATION CONSIDERING REVOCATION OF TARIFF EXEMPTIONS FOR CHEAP SHIPMENTS FROM CHINA - SOURCE Trump auto tariffs due to take effect at midnight - Reuters The key resistance area to watch today is between 5670 to 5695 - as shaded in yellow on the chart. This zone was previously support and has now turned into a bit of resistance, capping today's gains. Will the selling pressure resume from here or do we go back above it? It all depends on severity of tariffs. In the event we go lower, then the area between 5500 to 5550 is the key support zone to watch. In the event the market go higher, and break through 5670 to 5695 zone, then the 200-day average and prior resistance near 5770-5787 will come into focus next. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
1
Dow Jones - Value Is The King Of 2025!Dow Jones ( TVC:DJI ) withstands all bearish struggles: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 All major U.S. indices have been weakening lately but the Dow Jones is clearly the strongest of all. It seems like big institutions are shifting back to value stocks and therefore the Dow Jones remains very strong. Looking at technicals, this trend is rather likely to continue during 2025. Levels to watch: $40.000, $50.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:DJILong
by basictradingtv
8
XAUUSD: Buy or Sell?Today's gold market can be said to have the largest intraday volatility since 2025! After experiencing violent fluctuations, the current trend of gold has once again become anxious. However, from the perspective of range conversion, it is certain that gold is currently operating in a weak position, and after the brutal and violent fluctuations, the market also needs to recuperate. And there will be NFP tomorrow. It is expected that before NFP, it will be difficult for gold to form a new unilateral market again. So in the process of shock, I think both long and short sides have a certain profit space. First of all, pay attention to the resistance of 3125-3135 area on the top. If gold touches this area during the shock process, we can still short gold; And the first focus on the 3095-3085 area on the bottom is that if gold touches this area during the shock process, we can still consider going long on gold. The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin