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Trend Analysis

Gold volatility intensifies before PCE data is released! On Friday (May 30), gold continued to fall to $3,293. The focus of the day is the US PCE data, which may cause large fluctuations. In the morning, gold prices were under pressure at the 3,300 mark as the US dollar rebounded slightly - gold is negatively correlated with the US dollar, and a stronger US dollar suppresses demand. However, gold prices are still above this week's low, showing strong support. Fed policy and trade uncertainty dominate the market. On Thursday, the US Court of Appeals restored Trump-era tariff measures, exacerbating trade concerns and supporting gold prices. Several Fed officials said that if inflation falls, interest rates may be cut twice this year. Although the FOMC minutes show a wait-and-see attitude, the market still expects a rate cut - this uncertainty provides medium- and long-term support for gold. The 1-hour gold chart shows that today's monthly, weekly and daily lines closed at the same time, and market volatility may increase after the release of PCE data. From a technical perspective, the situation of fierce competition between long and short positions requires the risk of a correction. In terms of operation, it is recommended to adopt a long-on-dip strategy, focusing on buying opportunities after a correction. The resistance level is 3335-3345, and the support level is 3280-3270. The specific suggestion is to consider placing long orders when the callback reaches 3280-3285 and stabilizes. This range deserves special attention. Operation strategy: Gold is recommended to buy in the callback to 3280-3285 area, with the target at 3310-3330, and hold if it breaks
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FredericaCrichton
2
USDCAD Makes Retest At 200 EMA After Bull Trap BreakoutOANDA:USDCAD here on the 1Hr Chart has printed an Ascending Channel and Bears have made a Breakout! Price currently looks to be on its way to retesting the Breakout of the Channel with the 200 EMA and Upper Bollinger Bands sitting at the Rising Support adding some heavy Bearish Pressure. Fundamentally, BOC will be releasing GDP m/m ( Gross Domestic Product ) numbers tomorrow morning at 0730 AM CST with analysts forecasting a .3% Increase at .1% with Previous being -0.2%.
Short
by Novi_Fibonacci
4
AUDCAD → Support retest. False breakdown?FX:AUDCAD is within the range. The price is heading towards support within the local distribution. There may not be enough potential for a breakdown of support... Against the backdrop of the strengthening Canadian dollar, the currency pair is ready to test consolidation support. The price has no clear trend, consolidation is forming in the range of 0.891 - 0.885. The price is heading towards support, there is no pre-breakout base, the level is quite strong and the distribution may end with a false breakdown and a rebound... Support levels: 0.8858 Resistance levels: 0.8878, 0.8897 Below the level of 0.8858, there is a fairly large liquidity reserve, and there is no global trend, which means a neutral situation. Retesting the support zone after a sharp decline may end in a false maneuver and growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Great way to wrap up the week! We saw quite a bit of sideways ranging movement between our levels, and our 1H chart idea played out nicely throughout the week, and now we end the week with our 4H chart update. As anticipated, the 4H chart followed through perfectly with our bearish target at 3312 hit first, followed by EMA5 cross and lock, which opened the Retracement Range. This range was reached with precision, and the absence of any further cross and lock confirmed strong support, leading to a bounce back to 3312, just as we expected in our buy the dip strategy. We’ll be back on Sunday with our multi-timeframe analysis and trading plans for the week ahead. Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows. Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!! MR GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
1
BTC will rise! On the daily chart, Bitcoin has maintained a bullish structure despite a pullback from the $112,000 level. The support range near $106,000 to $107,000 is solid, showing sustained buying pressure. The low volume of the latest red candle shows a lack of seller confidence, reinforcing the underlying bullish sentiment. The key resistance level remains at the local high of $112,000, and a break above this resistance level with significant volume would indicate the start of a new uptrend. The accumulation near $107,000, if sustained, could provide a favorable entry point for a long-term layout. Bitcoin’s 1-hour chart shows a mixed range-bound environment with a slight upward bias. Price action has repeatedly found support near $108,000 and encountered resistance near $110,000, highlighting the market’s hesitation. Volume remains light, suggesting a potential pause before a larger directional move. There are scalping opportunities for day traders between $108,000 and $110,000. Closely monitoring the price action around these levels can inform short-term trading decisions. Technical oscillators are providing mixed signals, reflecting the tentative posture of the market. Among these oscillators, the relative strength index (RSI) at 65, the stochastics at 73, the commodity channel index (CCI) at 79, the average directional index (ADX) at 31, and the Awesome oscillator are all showing neutral readings. However, the momentum at 2,545 and the moving average convergence/divergence (MACD) level at 3,510 both indicate selling pressure. These divergences indicate weakening upside momentum, reinforcing the importance of support holding. On the contrary, the moving averages are showing mostly bullish conditions across the periods. The exponential moving averages (EMA) and simple moving averages (SMA) of 10, 20, 30, 50, 100, and 200 periods are all suggesting bullish conditions. For instance, the 10-period EMA and SMA at $108,082 and $108,561, respectively, are below the current price, providing immediate support. The long-term 200-period EMA at $90,251 and SMA at $94,466 further solidify the bullish foundation. As long as Bitcoin remains above its short-term moving averages, bullish sentiment is likely to prevail. Bitcoin’s price structure remains solid above a critical support zone, with all moving averages pointing upwards and a sustained buying interest around $107,000. As long as $106,000 holds and the price reclaims $110,000 on volume, a bullish continuation towards or above $112,000 is likely.
Long
by MartinaPritt
4
BTCUSD zooming inUpon close analysis of BTC corrections, it appears that the price is moving in a series of three-wave structures to the downside. We may currently be near a bottom, possibly completing a WXY corrective pattern. However, there is still the potential for one more up-and-down movement before a breakout to the upside, marking the start of the final Wave 5 toward a new all-time high (ATH) in the 113–115 range. These 4–5% corrective structures can be challenging to trade. It may be more prudent to wait for a clearer signal—such as a breakout above the top trendline or the completion of a five-wave decline within the current structure—before entering a position.
OANDA:BTCUSD
by wolffarchitecture
2
Clean Long Setup After Liquidity SweepThe EUR/USD trend is still bullish and is likely to continue at least toward the liquidity beyond the equal highs. We'll consider entering if a bullish setup forms. 🔍 My Trading Approach: My trading and analysis are primarily based on market liquidity and how price tends to move toward areas where liquidity is pooled. I use two main concepts in my strategy: Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) to identify setups and entry zones Measured Moves (MMs) to define target levels 🎯 Profit-Taking Rule: I usually secure profits once price has moved at least 1.5 times the initial stop-loss distance in my favor.
Long
by sir_eric98
8
$AAPL – Long Setup Brewing: Fib Break + Gamma Unwind?Not financial advice Apple has been the last laggard among the Magnificent 7. While others have already reclaimed their weekly 20 MA, NASDAQ:AAPL has spent over seven weeks consolidating just below major resistance, potentially building fuel for a breakout. The $205 level is the key battleground. It lines up with the .382 Fibonacci retracement from the previous high and acts as a psychological level and gamma pin. Today’s rejection at $205 reinforces its importance. If broken with volume, it could trigger a strong directional move as delta hedging unwinds into upside momentum. 🔍 Technical Outlook: .382 Fib retracement = $205 → major inflection level Weekly 20 MA sits just above; price compressing underneath Bollinger Bands tightening → volatility expansion expected MACD (weekly) flattening near a bullish cross CMO rising, showing improving momentum under the surface 📊 Options Flow – 14-Day Snapshot: Call Volume: $7.87M Put Volume: $5.37M → Volume favors calls Call Premium: $2.34B Put Premium: $5.11B → Premium skewed toward puts, suggesting larger capital flows hedging downside or playing defense Open Interest Cluster: Dense between $195–$300, particularly on the call side Despite the put premium dominance, the consistent call volume and broad OI range suggest accumulation and potential bullish positioning under the surface. 🧭 Trade Thesis: Apple is coiling at a critical intersection — Fib level, gamma wall, and major moving average resistance. If it breaks $205 with strength, we could see a swift rally toward $215–$225, where the next Fib levels and gamma zones align. Right now, the setup is compression under pressure. Watching for a clean breakout with confirmation.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Spaceforcex
2
Market next move ⚠️ 1. Weak Bullish Continuation Signal The current price action shows a rejection wick on a red candle, signaling selling pressure near the recent highs. Despite the upward move earlier, this could be a short-term exhaustion rather than strength for further upside. --- 📉 2. No Follow-Through After Bullish Spike There was a strong bullish candle earlier, but: No significant follow-up to break past that level convincingly. Price appears to have stalled or even reversed after that spike — possibly forming a bull trap. --- 🔄 3. Overhead Resistance at Target Area The "TARGET" label sits near recent highs, which have already been rejected once. Without clear breakout volume, this zone might act as resistance, not a logical next stop.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
2
GoldFxMinds – XAUUSD Battle Plan for May 30, 2025Hello, GoldMinds snipers! Big news day ahead — Core PCE ). This is the kind of day where one news candle can change the whole game! Let’s get our sniper zones ready for both bullish rallies and bearish reversals. ⚡️ Macro & News Context Core PCE is a Fed favorite: high-impact, high-volatility. Gold just closed near 3317, high in premium territory — but market structure is coiled, not committed. Any PCE surprise can send us flying… or dumping. 📈 If Price Stays Bullish / News is Dovish 3325–3335: First resistance, the "fortress wall." If price clears and HOLDS above, next upside targets activate. 3348–3360: Next sniper zone above — historical supply, D1 OB, liquidity magnets. A strong close above 3335 = bulls control. Watch for quick tests of this upper block. If price breaks above 3360: The next “wild zone” is 3378–3388 — untapped liquidity above all previous swings. Only super strong rallies reach here, so trail your stops tight if you’re long. 📉 If Price Reverses / News is Hawkish 3315–3305: Trap zone, choppy — avoid entries here. 3285–3295: Key H1 demand, look for bounce or structure reclaim. 3250–3260: Deep discount sniper zone. Only buy if you see real reversal; if this breaks, expect panic to 3220 or even 3200. 🧠 Bias, Playbook, and Caution Bias: Neutral but flexible. Above 3335, bulls have momentum — look for breakouts. Below 3285, sellers control the show. Do not rush the first move after PCE. Real direction comes after the volatility traps. 🏹 Battle Plan Long only above 3335, with a confirmed breakout and volume. Short only at supply zones (3325–3335 or 3348–3360) if you see strong rejection. Never chase the spike. Wait for M5/M15 structure to confirm. Trap zone (3305–3315): Sit on your hands. Let the bots fight. 🔥 Final Word This is a two-way battle: If gold rockets above, follow the flow — but don’t forget, every hero rally can be a trap! If the bears win, be ready to strike on the drop. Comment your bias (🚀 or 🔻), hit follow for the post-news recap, and trade like a sniper, not a gambler. — GoldFxMinds 🟡🚨
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
6
EURAUD - Bullish... but not for long!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈EURAUD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue. However, it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel. Moreover, the green zone is a strong structure and resistance. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue trendline and resistance. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURAUD is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
4
Gold Holding Pattern – Key Resistance AheadHey, friends On the 4-hour time frame, TVC:XAU is forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, but we haven’t seen any breakout yet, we’re still trading inside the triangle. If we look at the LTF, we’re currently at the 0.236 FIB level, which isn’t a very strong buying zone, but technically, we’ve broken out of a falling wedge and are now retesting it. That looks pretty good, and if this setup plays out well, we could see an upward move toward $3,470. However, there’s a strong resistance around $3,350 to $3,370 that we need to break first. If we break that, it will also confirm the breakout of the symmetrical triangle from the 4-hour chart. So keep an eye on those areas! #GOLD #forextrading
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
2
TradeCityPro | Comprehensive Bitcoin Analysis for 2025👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Let's go for the most complete BINANCE:BTCUSDT Bitcoin analysis you can see. In this analysis, we are going to examine the data from monthly to weekly to daily time frames and more in the most complete way possible! 🌐 Monthly Timeframe In the monthly timeframe, as you can see, Bitcoin is positioned between two curved trendlines and has reacted to these zones multiple times. The last time the price hit the bottom of this channel, it recorded a low of 16,000, after which the crypto bull run began. The top of this channel also coincided with the 69,000 peak in the previous bull run, allowing us to identify the end of that bull run. One key point about this channel is that the slope of its trendlines is decreasing, and overall, a weakening trend in Bitcoin is observed, which is logical. This is because every time Bitcoin has made an upward leg, a massive amount of capital has flowed into it, so it naturally moves less in the subsequent leg. This point might seem negative to newer market participants, as Bitcoin’s bull runs used to happen faster in the past, and the price moved more significantly in percentage terms. For example, the 2017 bull run saw Bitcoin grow by nearly 7,000%, while in the 2019 bull run, it grew by about 1,500%. However, within this seemingly negative point, there’s a positive aspect: this reduction in volatility indicates Bitcoin’s maturity and that of the broader crypto market. When an asset has a large amount of capital invested in it, its volatility naturally decreases, but this also reduces the risk of investing in that asset. For instance, gold currently holds the top spot globally with a market cap of 21 trillion dollars, while Bitcoin’s market cap is around 2 trillion dollars. This gap makes Bitcoin appear as a better investment choice at first glance, as its lower market cap suggests greater growth potential. On the other hand, the risk of investing in Bitcoin is higher because it has less capital invested in it, and large institutions like governments prefer to invest in gold, earning lower returns over time compared to Bitcoin. For these institutions, the most important factor is risk optimization, and gold has proven itself as the lowest-risk asset over centuries. So, overall, we can conclude that the more capital flows into Bitcoin, the lower its volatility becomes. As volatility decreases, it becomes a safer asset for investment, attracting more interest from large institutions. Additionally, we should consider that if Bitcoin isn’t destroyed or proven to be a scam, it could become a safe-haven asset like gold in the future. Its supply is well-optimized, and due to the halving mechanism, its issuance is tightly controlled, which gives it an inherently bullish nature like gold. Note that when I say Bitcoin’s movements are slowing down and more capital inflow reduces its volatility, I don’t mean it will stop moving upward. Rather, it means its cycles will take longer, and its movements will be heavier. For example, gold, despite its high market cap, still moved upward last year. Currently, Bitcoin has started a new upward leg after rising from the 16,000 zone. It first reached the previous high, then, after reacting to the 0.5 Fibonacci Extension level (which overlapped with the 71,000 zone), it pulled back to the 57,000 zone and has now moved to the 0.618 level near 101,000. Based on the candles formed in the monthly timeframe, it seems the upward movement is ongoing. If the 0.618 level is broken, the price could see a few more bullish candles. The next Fibonacci level is 0.786, near 165,000, and if the price movement extends a bit longer, this level could also overlap with the top of the curved channel. In my opinion, the maximum potential for Bitcoin in this bullish cycle is between 160,000 and 180,000. However, keep in mind that this is just my personal view, and I’m not making decisions based solely on this analysis or planning to sell if Bitcoin reaches this range. This is merely a mental target, and if I see Bitcoin reaching this range with strong bullish momentum, there’s a chance it could break through. In that scenario, if Bitcoin reaches this range without any trend weakness and with high momentum, I’ll update the analysis for you and examine higher targets Bitcoin could reach. On the other hand, if I see Bitcoin’s momentum weakening and showing trend deterioration before reaching the resistance zone, I’ll adjust my perspective. If the trend reversal triggers I’ll discuss later are activated, I’ll exit the market. In the RSI oscillator, we have very important zones that can help us assess the trend’s health. A ceiling at 77.65 has formed, which, if reached by RSI, could indicate a momentum-based market top. However, if this level is broken, the bullish scenario I mentioned is highly likely to occur, and the price could move beyond our expected target. On the other hand, there’s a support floor at 58.90, and I believe the confirmation of the end of Bitcoin’s bull run will come with a break of this level in RSI. If RSI consolidates below this zone, bullish momentum will weaken, and the price will gradually enter a corrective phase. Regarding volume, I should note that the decreasing volume in this timeframe isn’t reliable data because Bitcoin’s volume is spread across various exchanges, and comparing volume at this scale isn’t accurate or useful. I have nothing more to say about the monthly timeframe. Let’s move to lower timeframes. 📊 Weekly Timeframe Let’s dive into the weekly timeframe, where we can observe price movements in greater detail. As you can see, after being supported at the 16,000 zone, Bitcoin faced a significant resistance at 31,000. Breaking this level kicked off the bullish trend. In the first leg, the price moved from 16,000 to 31,000, and after breaking 31,000 in the second leg, the upward move continued to 72,000. One of the main reasons for this bullish cycle was the U.S. interest rate. Simultaneously with the breakout of the 31,000 zone, the U.S. Federal Reserve changed its policies and began lowering interest rates. This triggered a massive capital inflow into Bitcoin, initiating its bullish move. During the corrective phase, the price oscillated between the 72,000 and 55,000 zones for several months. After breaking the 72,000 ceiling, another bullish leg took the price to 105,000. One of the reasons for this bullish move was Trump’s strong support for crypto during the U.S. election. He frequently mentioned Bitcoin positively in his speeches and considered it part of his policies. However, after Trump was elected president, he didn’t fully deliver on his promises. The imposition of tariffs not only impacted Bitcoin but also significantly affected the U.S. dollar, major company stocks, and indices like the S&P. As a result, Bitcoin dropped back to near the 72,000 zone. Additionally, for the past few months, the U.S. Federal Reserve has not changed interest rates due to these tariffs. In all its statements, it has indicated that it’s waiting for the tariffs to be finalized and is in no rush to make decisions regarding monetary policy. Thus, in recent months, the interest rate variable has been effectively neutral, with the most significant fundamental news being the U.S. tariffs against China and Europe. After Bitcoin’s drop to near 72,000, news of a 90-day agreement between China and the U.S. emerged, stating that tariffs would be lifted for 90 days to allow negotiations. This news was enough to restart the bullish move for Bitcoin and stocks like the S&P. As you can see, Bitcoin has now surpassed the 105,000 ceiling and is currently deciding its next move above this zone. Looking at RSI, there’s a key support level at 44.75, where every time the price has hit this level, a new bullish leg has started. This level accurately indicated the 55,000 and 72,000 bottoms and has been very reliable. However, there’s a clear divergence in RSI between the 72,000 and 105,000 peaks. The current peak above 105,000 is higher, but RSI is still forming lower highs, which could strengthen the divergence. Currently, RSI is near the overbought zone and appears to be rejecting from the 70 level. If RSI is rejected from this zone, the price might fake out the 105,000 breakout and drop below it. If this happens, it would signal a significant trend weakness, greatly increasing the likelihood of a trend reversal. However, if RSI consolidates above the 70 level and the price makes another bullish leg, we’ll still have divergence, but the trend weakness will be much less severe than in the fake-out scenario. If the price makes another bullish leg, our targets based on Fibonacci are the 130,000 and 160,000 zones. In any case, if RSI forms a lower high compared to its previous peak and the price enters a corrective phase, I believe the 44.75 level will break, activating the divergence. If this happens, we’ll get a momentum-based confirmation of the bull run’s end, and we’ll then need to wait for a price-based confirmation. Currently, the price confirmation for a trend reversal would first be a fake-out of the 105,000 breakout, with the main trigger being a break of the 72,000 level. If the price forms a higher high, we’ll need to wait and identify the trend reversal trigger based on market structure and conditions. Personally, I believe Bitcoin will have another bullish move to the 130,000 zone, and simultaneously, dominance will move upward again. After this move, as Bitcoin consolidates or corrects, dominance will drop, leading to an altcoin season for a few months. After Bitcoin’s consolidation and the end of the altcoin season, the market’s bearish phase will begin, which I’ll discuss further if it occurs. If you’ve bought Bitcoin at lower levels and are holding, I think you can continue holding, as there’s a high chance of another bullish leg, and we don’t yet have any confirmation of a trend reversal. I suggest continuing to hold until we get a clear reversal signal. For buying Bitcoin on the spot market in this timeframe, it’s not possible to provide a trigger right now, as we’re at the end of a bullish leg, and the upward trend from 16,000 has been very prolonged. I believe we’ll see at most one more bullish leg, so if you’re skilled at trading, I suggest using this capital to open positions in futures to maximize profits. Be cautious—I’m saying this only if you have trading skills, not to blindly open positions with all your capital without a trigger. That would only lead to losses. If you haven’t bought any Bitcoin in this bullish trend yet, you can wait for the potential altcoin season. I suggest starting now to identify good projects so that when Bitcoin dominance shows bearish confirmation, you can buy the altcoins you’ve researched and profit from that market phase. 📈 Daily Timeframe In the daily timeframe, as you can see, Bitcoin underwent a corrective phase, dropping to the 76,000 zone. After forming a base at this level, a bullish leg to 106,000 was triggered at 87,700. Currently, the price is above the 106,000 zone but hasn’t consolidated above it yet. The reason I say it hasn’t consolidated is that market volume is decreasing after the breakout. Additionally, when the price breaks through a supply zone like an all-time high, significant momentum is required, but that hasn’t happened, and the price is ranging above this zone without significant movement. If Bitcoin consolidates above this zone, the bullish move could continue. The targets we can consider are the 116,000 and 130,000 zones. The RSI oscillator has a critical support at 59.78, which is a very important momentum level. If this level is broken, this bullish leg could end, and the market might enter a corrective phase. Volume is also slightly decreasing and showing some divergence with the trend, which is another sign of trend weakness. If the price consolidates below 106,000, we’ll get confirmation of a fake-out of this breakout, and the price could move downward again. The lower support zones are 102,600 and 92,300. If the price forms a lower high and low below 106,000, we can confirm a trend reversal. Breaking the 76,000 level would be the main confirmation of a trend change. 💼 4-Hour Timeframe In the 4-hour timeframe, Bitcoin entered a corrective phase after reaching the 111,700 zone and has formed a descending triangle between the 106,000–107,000 range and a downward trendline. The 106,000–107,000 range is a very strong support zone, and the price has tested this level multiple times but keeps forming lower highs compared to 111,700, increasing the likelihood of breaking this support zone. On RSI, there’s a support level at 35.94, which is a very strong momentum zone. Breaking this level could confirm the entry of bearish momentum, increasing the likelihood of breaking the support zone. With a break of the support zone and the 35.94 level in RSI, we can enter a short position. If the price forms a lower high and low below this support zone, we can confirm a trend reversal. The next key support zones are 101,600 and 93,700. For the bullish trend to continue, breaking the downward trendline would confirm an upward move. If the trendline is broken, the price could rise to 111,700. Breaking the 111,700 level would be the main confirmation of the bullish trend’s continuation, activating the trendline breakout as the primary trigger. 🔍 Binance Open Interest is Surging as BTC Regains Bullish Momentum Tracking what’s happening in the derivatives market has become essential, given the current market structure. Derivatives volumes are significantly higher than those on spot markets or ETFs, especially on Binance, which ranks just behind the Chicago Mercantile Exchange in terms of volume. As a result, derivatives activity can have a major impact on Bitcoin’s price, making on-chain data related to derivatives extremely valuable to monitor. This has clearly been the case since BTC resumed its bullish trend, reflected in the rising Open Interest on Binance. It jumped from $7.5B on April 8th to over $11.2B today. We can also note that the 30-day and 50-day SMAs have just crossed back above the 100-day average. Derivatives activity has clearly helped fuel the price move, even though many short positions were opened along the way. Seeing Open Interest climb is generally a good sign, as it gives the market momentum and can lead to strong upward moves. However, this kind of push tends to be fragile. At the moment, we haven’t yet returned to a new Open Interest ATH on Binance, which may suggest that we’re not in a full-blown euphoric phase on derivatives markets just yet. 📊 Minimal Sell Pressure Despite STH & LTH Deposits on Binance Keeping an eye on STH (Short-Term Holders) and LTH (Long-Term Holders) behavior gives us valuable clues about market sentiment. In this update, we’re focusing on Bitcoin inflows to Binance from both STHs and LTHs. These flows help us measure selling pressure and get a feel for how price action might unfold. Let’s start with STHs the group that tends to react quickly and emotionally to market shifts. 🧠 We’ve seen their behavior play out clearly in the past: During the August 2024 correction, they sent over 12,000 BTC to Binance. Then again, around late February to early March, during the tariff news-driven panic that pushed BTC below $80K, they dumped over 14,000 BTC. But here’s the good news: right now, STH inflows are still moderate only about 8,000 BTC has been sent to Binance so far, which is roughly in line with the last correction. 🔍 As for LTHs, the numbers are even calmer. Currently, just 86 BTC has flowed in from long-term holders—far lower than the 254 BTC seen before the last major top and way below the 626 BTC peak back in 2024. 📊 Bottom line? Whether we’re looking at STHs or LTHs, there’s no real sign of strong selling pressure at the moment. Still, it’s worth watching in the context of ongoing demand—which remains relatively healthy for now. Coinbase Premium Signals Strong Institutional Demand There’s no doubt institutions are stepping in and no, it’s not just because of ETFs. 💡 Why not ETFs? Because spot Bitcoin ETFs aren’t exclusive to institutions. Retail investors can access them just as easily, and in terms of raw volume, ETFs still don’t come close to the spot or futures markets. That said, the inflows are still impressive: the 30-day average daily inflow is now over $330 million, and that trend is holding strong. 🚀 The Real Signal? The Coinbase Premium Gap This metric tracks the price difference between Coinbase Pro (favored by U.S. professional/institutional investors) and Binance. Right now, the 30-day moving average of the premium gap is 55 a clear sign of heightened U.S. investor activity, which strongly points to institutional participation. 💰 Futures Activity Surges as Spot Demand Fades on Binance Futures volume on Binance has been rising, while spot volume has dropped significantly in recent days even as Bitcoin broke into price discovery. This shift in volume composition is worth watching closely, as it provides important clues about the market’s internal strength. Volume isn’t just a number—it reflects the type of demand driving the market. When demand comes from spot markets, it often suggests long-term conviction. In contrast, demand driven by futures markets tends to reflect short-term speculation, which can introduce instability. Since May 5, we’ve seen futures activity increase modestly, while spot volumes have clearly declined. This suggests that the current price action may be fueled more by leverage and short-term bets than by solid, long-term buying. Without strong spot support, trends powered by derivatives are more fragile and prone to sharp reversals. This environment calls for increased caution, especially for those considering new entries or leveraged positions. ⚡️ BTC Gains Bullish Momentum as Binance Open Interest Rises Tracking what’s happening in the derivatives market has become essential, given the current market structure. Derivatives volumes are significantly higher than those on spot markets or ETFs, especially on Binance, which ranks just behind the Chicago Mercantile Exchange in terms of volume. As a result, derivatives activity can have a major impact on Bitcoin’s price, making on-chain data related to derivatives extremely valuable to monitor. This has clearly been the case since BTC resumed its bullish trend, reflected in the rising Open Interest on Binance. It jumped from $7.5B on April 8th to over $11.2B today. We can also note that the 30-day and 50-day SMAs have just crossed back above the 100-day average. Derivatives activity has clearly helped fuel the price move, even though many short positions were opened along the way. Seeing Open Interest climb is generally a good sign, as it gives the market momentum and can lead to strong upward moves. However, this kind of push tends to be fragile. At the moment, we haven’t yet returned to a new Open Interest ATH on Binance, which may suggest that we’re not in a full-blown euphoric phase on derivatives markets just yet. 🔄 Bitcoin Heatmap Analysis Let’s move on to the Bitcoin heatmap analysis, which was missing from this analysis and completes the most comprehensive data for these days. I hope it’s useful for you. In the 6-month timeframe, Bitcoin has had a good upward trend but experienced a rejection after hitting orders in the 110,000–113,000 range. It’s currently in the 104,000 zone, with the most important support zone at 92,000, which is likely to hold. In the monthly timeframe, we’ve broken through the 106,000 zone, which was a strong support level based on orders, but there isn’t a strong support zone immediately below. The next support level is 100,000–102,000, which could be a solid level, while the 110,000–112,000 zone is currently the most valid resistance level for Bitcoin. In the weekly timeframe, a similar event has occurred. We’ve been rejected from the significant 110,000 resistance zone and are heading for further downside, but at a slow pace. In this timeframe, no specific support orders have been registered yet, and it will take some time for traders to place their buy orders on exchanges. However, even if we bounce from this level, we shouldn’t underestimate the 110,000 resistance. 📝 Final Thoughts This is the most comprehensive Bitcoin analysis for the community. We’ve done our best to collect the data comprehensively in this post for your awareness and present it to you in this analysis, hoping it has been useful for you! Our team has worked on this analysis for several days, so we’d be thrilled if you boost, comment, and share the analysis with your friends.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by tradecitypro
3
GBPJPY Rejected at Resistance - Bearish Move Ahead?GBPJPY Rejected at Resistance - Bearish Move Ahead? On the 4-hour chart, GBPJPY tested a strong resistance zone near 196.40, and sellers quickly stepped in. Over the last 12 hours, the price has moved consistently downward, confirming selling pressure in this area. The formation of three consecutive red candles on the 4-hour timeframe adds value to the bearish outlook. GBPJPY could decline to 194.20, and possibly even further to 192.40. ⚠️PS: This trade carries high risk due to the uncertain stance of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) policies. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
6
BITCOIN Desperately needs that weekly closing!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke last week above its January Resistance, effectively making a new All Time High (ATH). Technically, within BTC's dominant 2.5-year Channel Up, that is not enough to generate a bullish extension on its own and the reason is that a 1W candle closing above the Resistance level is needed and not just a break. At least that's what happened during the last two Bullish Legs, where it required a convincing 1W candle close considerably above the Resistance, to confirm the Bullish Extension. In fact the break-out candles on both previous Bullish Legs is fairly identical. The minimum % rise on the pattern's three Bullish Legs has been +96.75% with the others not falling way off that range (+98.74% and +106.94%). As a result, the bare minimum Target we can be expecting, in the event of a 1W candle closing above the $109500 Resistance, is $147000. Do you think that' within the market's immediate reach? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
9
GBPUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my GBPUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
13
GBPJPY - Bearish Control, Again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📉As per our last GBPJPY analysis (attached on the chart), it rejected the upper red trendline and traded lower. What's next? GBPJPY is currently retesting the upper bound of the falling red channel again. Moreover, the green zone is a strong structure and resistance. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of structure and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance. 📚 As per my trading style: As #GBPJPY is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
9
BTCUSDT Technical InsightThe Buy Back Zone is currently serving as a strong demand area and should be closely monitored for informed decision making. This zone has acted firmly as support, providing a solid base for the completion of the wave (4) correction, which concluded precisely at the lower boundary of the descending channel. We now anticipate the development of a breakout structure within the descending channel (a corrective flag), suggesting the initiation of wave (5) with an upside projection toward $120,661. A decisive breakout and successful retest above $107,570 will validate bullish momentum and pave the way for continuation towards $110,314, and eventually the $120K zone, aligning with the full extension of the broader impulse wave. At this stage, patience is key. Allow price action to confirm strength above resistance before committing to aggressive positioning. The bullish market structure remains intact as long as the Buy Back Zone continues to hold. Feel free to share your thoughts, are you tracking this wave count with us?
Long
by weslad
1
Bitcoin Is Entering Into Very Difficult TimesHello, Skyrexians! I have been thinking what will happen next with BINANCE:BTCUSDT and it was obvious that correction has been started, you can easily find my recent update on Bitcoin and check it, but what will happen after. Today I decided that the first impulse has not been finessed yet and we need one more small leg up to complete this growth before significant correction. Let's take a look at the yellow Elliott waves cycle. Awesome Oscillator gave me an idea that only wave 3 has been finished above $110k. Now price is printing wave 4. Wave 4 has a target between 0.38 and 0.5 Fibonacci, but this time it will be definitely 0.38 at $101k. Here was the smaller degree wave's 4 bottom. Wave 5 will be shortened because wave 3 was extended, it's very logically. After $111k retest the major wave 2 will go to $90k approximately. Difficult times ahead for crypto, I think this period will be finished only at the end of June. Best regards, Ivan Skyrexio ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Short
by Skyrexio
5
Bitcoin Strong-Bullish Above 102000, Remember The Bigger PictureWe've defined $102,000 as the strongest support level ever based on the long-term. This number was extracted using the 2021-2022 bear market. It is mapped which a red dotted line on the chart. On this chart you can see how this level worked as resistance in December 2024 and January 2025, later to become the strongest support ever now, in May 2025. Bitcoin is 100% bullish as it trades above $102,000. » I should say super-bullish, hyper-bullish, ultra-bullish, etc. Right now Bitcoin is safe and sound when considering the bigger picture. The Altcoins market is also safe and we can continue to accumulate; Buy and hold. If you have any questions do not hesitate to leave a comment. Please keep in mind that market conditions can always change. In a day without notice. Thanks a lot for your continued support, it is truly appreciated. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
5
#XAUUSD[GOLD]:At Critical Level, Bullish Swing Is Very LikelyHey There Everyone, So, gold prices took a bit of a dip, hitting 3250 gold. But guess what? They bounced back like a rubber ball and reached 3332! And here’s the exciting part: they broke through that pesky bearish trend line. This means they’re probably going to retest that line to confirm the trend. Right now, it looks like they’re at a potential retest point, and that’s where things could get really interesting. If strong bullish volume comes in, the price could skyrocket! There are three possible targets here: 3332, 3362, and 3420. Now, here’s something important to keep in mind: next week, there are some big news and events coming up that could totally shake things up in the gold market. And let’s not forget about price manipulation. If someone tries to mess with the price, it could drop back to 3250 and then reverse course. So, it’s crucial to have backup plans in case of any unexpected twists. The US dollar is also going to be all over the place due to upcoming news, which could disrupt the gold market and other currencies. So, it’s best to trade cautiously today and next week. The price can be a bit unpredictable, so take your time to do your own analysis and assess your risk before making any moves. Good luck and trade safely! We wish you all the best in your trading journey! Cheers, Team Setupsfx_
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
1