Trend Analysis
Palantir (PLTR) Should Continue To Go Up Timeframe: 1H
Setup: Elliott Wave Projection + Strong Fundamentals
About Palantir (
PLTR
):
- Industry: Data Analytics and Artificial Intelligence (AI)
- Core Business: Palantir builds software platforms for data integration and analysis, primarily serving government agencies and large enterprises.
- Flagship Products: Foundry (commercial data platform) and Gotham (government-focused platform).
Fundamental Outlook:
Macro Tailwinds:
- Rising AI Demand: As global businesses invest in AI and data solutions, Palantir stands out as a pioneer.
- Government Spending: Governments continue prioritizing defense, intelligence, and data systems, providing Palantir with stable and growing contracts.
Growth Drivers:
- Expansion into healthcare and commercial sectors to diversify revenue.
- Recent wins in AI-driven predictive analytics contracts with Fortune 500 companies.
- Profitability Achieved: Palantir is now generating consistent profits, signaling financial strength after years of heavy investments.
Macro Risks:
- Interest Rate Pressures: Higher rates can dampen growth stock valuations.
- Competition: Big tech players like Microsoft and Snowflake are ramping up their data offerings.
Technical Setup:
Palantir's technicals complement its bullish fundamentals, with the price moving within a strong
Elliott Wave structure:
- Wave Structure: Price is in Wave (3) of a larger bullish cycle, showing momentum for higher targets.
Key Levels:
- Target 1: $85.96
- Target 2: $91.12 - $95.41 (Fibonacci extension).
- Invalidation: Below $72.00 = bullish setup fails.
Trade Plan:
- Stay long as long as price holds above $74.00.
- Partial profit near Target 1.
- Hold remaining for Target 2 for maximum gains.
Why This Matters:
Palantir is at the intersection of macro AI growth and technical bullish momentum. With strong fundamentals and a compelling technical setup, PLTR is poised for a breakout if targets are confirmed. 🚀
BTCUSD It's time to dump what you have while it's still profitabWhat to do and where to run to?
Friends, don't forget to click like 🚀 under the idea, it's important.
Divergence in trading is a multidirectional movement of the price chart and indicator. On the chart, the price of an asset moves in one direction, while the technical indicator that follows it moves in the opposite direction.
Divergence warns that the current price trend may weaken and in some cases may lead to a change in price direction.
In this case, we observe a double bearish divergence on the 1D timeframe. This is a powerful correction signal. All traders see it, which will logically lead to fixing positions or opening shorts.
What will happen next?
Two main scenarios now:
1. Sellers are active and as a consequence - local correction and sideways from current values.
2. Sellers are active, but the market maker is pushing prices higher and removing sellers' stops. This will lead to a triple divergence and will further strengthen the selling. As a result - a powerful correction and trading at the lower levels.
At the moment, both scenarios have equal priority and the decision will be determined by the balance of power in the moment. The scales of the market maker may tip to either side.
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🔹 Fixed stop loss and take profit for risk management.
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🔹 Reliability and transparency: the results are confirmed by the market.
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XRPUSD The next target is 5 USD.We make another update on Ripple XRP for our column “Talented Mr. Ripple”. Well, XRP took the designated targets, and not just took 1 and 2 USD, but rather firmly holds 2USD. I think it is preparing fuel and strength for the next hike up to 5 USD. See all thoughts and reasoning in the video. Enjoy watching!
🚀 Trade with the professionals of THS - Wave Theory!
🔹 All trades are based on wave analysis.
🔹 Fixed stop loss and take profit for risk management.
🔹 100% automation: copy trades through CopyFX service.
🔹 Reliability and transparency: the results are confirmed by the market.
📈 Don't miss the chance to earn steadily!
👉 Connect to CopyFX with THS and start copying profitable trades right now!
💡 Details on our channel and in the app!
SUKUUSD 12/6/2024SUKUUSD Daily Chart Analysis
• Previous Price Action:
o A significant top for SUKUUSD was established in April 2024.
o Following the top, the price tumbled through August 2024 before finding a bottom.
o From August to November 2024, the price moved sideways, signaling a potential accumulation phase.
• Breakout Confirmation:
o The accumulation phase was confirmed with an upward breakout accompanied by a spike in volume and momentum.
o In late November 2024, the price formed a bull flag pattern.
o The bull flag breakout has been confirmed, with several daily closes above the flag's top, solidifying the bullish trend.
• Momentum Indicators:
o The MACD is firmly in bullish territory, supporting continued upward momentum.
o The price is consistently supported by the 10 EMA, indicating a strong bullish trend.
• Broader Market Context:
o With BTC making strides toward new all-time highs, SUKUUSD's bullish setup is further reinforced, making this trade even more favorable.
Trade Setup (Long):
• Entry: 0.1139
• Stop Loss: 0.0883 (-22.48%)
• Target #1: 0.1918 (+68.39%, 3.04 RR ratio)
• Target #2: 0.2679 (+135.21%, 6.02 RR ratio)
This trade capitalizes on SUKUUSD's confirmed accumulation breakout, strong technical indicators, and a favorable macro context with BTC leading the crypto market higher.
Whether it can be supported and rise from BW(0) is the key
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Have a nice day today.
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(PEPEUSDT 1W chart)
The key is whether it can rise above the HA-High indicator point of 0.00001898.
To do so, the point to watch is whether it can be supported and rise near the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Accordingly, if it falls, you should check whether it can be supported near 0.00001463.
The strong support area is around 0.00000723.
-
(1D chart)
Since the BW(0) indicator was created at the 0.00001767 point, it is important whether it can be supported and rise around this area.
If it falls, it is important whether it can touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and rise.
In order to turn into a short-term uptrend, the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator must rise above and maintain the price.
To do so, it must rise above 0.00001898 and be supported.
-
From this perspective, if it rises, the area around the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is likely to be the first resistance area, and the area around the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is likely to be the first support area.
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(1000PEPEUSDT.P 1D chart)
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015 and has been rising.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the uptrend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, it is expected that prices below 44K-48K will not be seen in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to this.
If the ATH is renewed, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as support and resistance.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to generate Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous to use it for trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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Quick Short Trade Setup: 1:2 RR | 4H Downtrend Break+Confluence🔍 Trade Idea:
This setup is based on the break of a 4H downtrend, aligning with key confluence factors:
1️⃣ A support level near a previous demand zone.
2️⃣ The VWAP median support acting as an additional confirmation.
📊 Key Levels:
• Entry: On a confirmed bounce at VWAP median support.
• Stop-Loss: Tight stop 21.15.
• Target: 2x the risk for a 1:2 RR.
🕵️ Analysis:
Price action shows consolidation near support, indicating potential momentum shift. The downtrend break provides directional bias, with VWAP and support adding strength to the setup.
On a weekly level LINK has support on fib 0.382 retracement and the weekly support of 22.03. On HTF LINK is still bullish.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Always use proper risk management and position sizing. This is a short-term trade idea and requires quick execution and monitoring.
**Disclaimer:**
This post is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. I am not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of your trading or investment activities. Trade responsibly!
ZEC/USDT Chart Analysis #Zcash ( SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:ZEC ) / USDT Technical Analysis
The price has broken out of a descending wedge pattern, signaling the start of a bullish reversal. After bouncing off the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level, ZEC is poised to test its first resistance at $66.87. A successful break above this level could lead to further gains toward $76.36 and ultimately $80.
ZIM will popZIM appears primed for a potential reversal to the upside. In this analysis, I’ll walk through the technical confluence behind this bullish view—while also outlining key levels to watch and a risk management approach. Always remember this commentary is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
I've got 4 reasons why this is primen to go this way
1. Bollinger Bands and Moving Averages
• The price has been hovering near the lower Bollinger Band in recent sessions. Typically, when price consolidates or bounces near the lower band and begins to move upwards, it can signal a short-term momentum shift.
• A key moving average (or a short-term exponential moving average) is starting to flatten out or slope upward, indicating that selling pressure may be easing.
2. Momentum Oscillators (Stochastics / RSI)
• From the chart, my proprietary indicator (combining DM Reversals & an enhanced Stoch) suggests a bottoming process. The Stochastics appear to be crossing from oversold levels, often an early sign of bullish momentum.
• If this crossover completes convincingly—accompanied by a higher low on the oscillator—it adds weight to a possible trend change.
3. Proprietary Buy/Sell Signals
• The screenshots show multiple (historical) Buy signals triggered around similar conditions, which eventually led to short-term rallies.
• The current read from the system suggests the conditions for a new Buy signal or bullish reversal are aligning again. These signals combine volatility (Bollinger Band settings), moving averages, and momentum crosses.
4. Support and Resistance Zones
• Immediate Support: Watch the most recent swing low near the lower Bollinger Band. If price holds above that level, it reaffirms the bullish divergence from the oscillators.
• Resistance Targets: Potential short-term resistance near the mid Bollinger Band and a more significant ceiling around the 50-day moving average (if that’s visible on your chart). A breakout above these zones would confirm the bullish scenario and could fuel further upside.
Rationale for Upside Bias
1. Momentum Shift:
• The proprietary indicator signals historically correlate well with local bottoms, and the Stoch oscillator is rising from an oversold area.
2. Reduced Volatility:
• Bollinger Bands sometimes compress before a bigger move. We appear to be near the low volatility phase, hinting at a potential breakout.
3. Favourable Risk/Reward:
• Placing stops below key support keeps risk contained while upside potential extends to multiple resistance layers.
Building a massive short up to 55k We are seeing a similar pattern to the 2020-2021 bull run, but this time under different circumstances and with Bitcoin at a much higher price.
Over the years, Bitcoin has significantly outperformed benchmarks like the S&P 500, which continues to attract both institutional and retail investors.
Previously, we experienced a correction from $60K to $30K. Now, we’re observing a correction from approximately $100K to $50K. These are rough estimates, but the trend appears consistent.
In my opinion, based on the past eight years of observing Bitcoin charts (though not daily), the market often feels manipulated. This is likely due to Bitcoin’s relatively smaller market cap compared to other asset classes like stocks, forex, or mega-cap stocks (e.g., FAANGM).
Recently, we faced rejection from a falling wedge pattern on the ES, which is bearish. I had hoped that lower VIX levels would encourage portfolio managers to re-enter the market, but with the stock market holiday on Wednesday, the 25th, I anticipated heightened volatility and an additional correction of approximately 8-10%.
I’m aware that hedge funds are engaging in “window dressing” as the year ends. Portfolio managers are likely to remain passive, avoiding risky trades that could jeopardize their year-end bonuses. As a result, we can expect a quieter market from their side.
Along the way, we may see some “dead cat bounces,” but there’s no need to worry.
I had hoped Bitcoin would maintain its upward trajectory, but putting emotions aside and analyzing objectively:
VWAP is significantly below the current price.
Fibonacci retracement suggests further downside.
Awesome Oscillator (AO) and RSI indicate bearish momentum.
Money flow is negative.
A significant short wall has formed, and many positions have already been liquidated
.
Based on this, it seems likely that we’ll continue moving downward.
I’ve included two additional charts in the comments below for further insights.
Gold Next moveTimeframe :
D1 trendline broke + SBR
H4 Trendline + Bearish eng
H1 Trendline
D1 trendline has broken the trendline and support area so now its became, support become resistance (SBR), H4 has bearish engulfing at the trendline, H1 the trendline.
Entry:
Entry according to H1 TF, entry point is 2627.72 at the trendline.
Stop loss above the trendline 2638.70 and Target is previous low 2585.70
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 24-Dec-2024Plan vs. Actual Performance (23-Dec-2024) - Nifty:
In today’s session, Nifty closely followed the levels and zones highlighted in the trading plan:
The index opened within the Opening Resistance/Support Zone (No Trade Zone) , as indicated in the plan. Price action remained muted here, showing indecision, aligning with the expectation of limited opportunities in this area.
The attempted move towards the Last Intraday Resistance Zone (23,953-24,058) failed, with prices reversing near resistance, confirming the bearish projection (red trend).
Later in the session, the index approached the Buyer’s Support Zone (23,194-23,281) . Prices showed signs of stabilization, reflecting the plan's green trend projection for potential reversal or support testing.
Key Takeaway: The plan accurately captured the market's reaction to critical levels, reinforcing the importance of patience in the No Trade Zone and the effectiveness of the support/resistance zones for planning entries.
This reflects the value of adhering to a well-defined trading framework.
This analysis will help us prepare for the trading day on 24-Dec-2024, considering different opening scenarios.
Trading Plan for 24-Dec-2024
Gap Up Opening (100+ points above 23,747.20)
If the market opens above 23,847.20, it indicates a strong bullish sentiment. The first resistance level to watch is 23,863.00 (Opening Resistance). If the price sustains above this level, the next target is 23,976.00 (Last Intraday Resistance for retracement).
In case the price breaks above 23,976.00, the next target is 24,009.00. A sustained move above this level can lead to the Profit Booking zone at 24,128.00.
If the price fails to sustain above 23,863.00, look for a potential retracement to 23,739.30. This could indicate a sideways trend (yellow line) or a bearish reversal (red line).
Flat Opening (around 23,747.20)
A flat opening suggests indecision in the market. The immediate level to watch is 23,739.30. If the price holds above this level, it could indicate a bullish trend (green line) towards 23,863.00.
If the price breaks below 23,739.30, the next support level is 23,611.00 (Opening Support Zone at Buyer’s retracement zone). A break below this level could lead to a bearish trend (red line) towards 23,547.00.
Monitor the price action around 23,863.00 for potential resistance. A break above this level could lead to targets of 23,976.00 and 24,009.00.
Gap Down Opening (100+ points below 23,747.20)
A gap down opening below 23,647.20 indicates bearish sentiment. The first support level to watch is 23,611.00. If the price holds above this level, it could indicate a potential retracement (yellow line) towards 23,739.30.
If the price breaks below 23,611.00, the next target is 23,547.00. A sustained move below this level could lead to further downside towards 23,447.00.
In case of a retracement, monitor the price action around 23,739.30 for potential resistance. A break above this level could lead to targets of 23,863.00 and 23,976.00.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
Always use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses.
Avoid over-leveraging your positions; trade within your risk tolerance.
Diversify your trades to spread risk across different assets or strategies.
Keep an eye on implied volatility, as it can significantly impact options pricing.
Regularly review and adjust your trading plan based on market conditions.
Summary and Conclusion
In summary, the trading plan for 24-Dec-2024 involves monitoring key support and resistance levels based on the opening scenario. By understanding the potential price movements and trends (yellow for sideways, green for bullish, and red for bearish), traders can make informed decisions. Always practice good risk management to protect your capital.
Disclaimer : I am not a SEBI registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
BANKNIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 24-Dec-2024Plan vs. Actual Performance (23-Dec-2024):
In today's session, Bank Nifty opened near the 51,097-51,272 resistance/support zone, as anticipated in the plan.
Prices respected the Opening Resistance/Support zone , consolidating within this range initially (yellow trend indicating sideways movement).
A breakout above 51,272 was short-lived, and prices struggled to sustain higher levels, aligning with the plan's cautionary note about rejection patterns.
The range-bound behavior observed in the chart perfectly matches the yellow zone prediction in the plan, highlighting indecision in the market before testing key levels.
No significant bullish or bearish breakout was sustained, demonstrating the market's hesitancy near the projected levels.
Key Takeaway: The trading plan's highlighted zones (resistance and support) provided reliable levels for observing price action and market trends, with the sideways movement being accurately forecasted.
The chart for the 24th of December 2024 provides a detailed plan for different opening scenarios, including gap up, flat, and gap down openings. This plan will help traders navigate the market effectively.
Trading Plan for 24-Dec-2024
Gap Up Opening (200+ points)
If the market opens above 51,593.00, look for a bullish trend continuation towards the next resistance level at 51,719.00. Monitor price action around 51,719.00. If the price sustains above this level, the next target would be 51,962.00. Place a stop loss below 51,593.00 to manage risk.
Flat Opening
If the market opens around the previous close of 51,287.25, observe the price action within the no trade zone (51,306.90 to 51,353.00). A breakout above 51,353.00 could signal a bullish trend towards 51,420.95. A breakdown below 51,306.90 could indicate a bearish trend towards 51,267.00. Manage risk by placing stop losses just outside the no trade zone.
Gap Down Opening (200+ points)
If the market opens below 51,073.00, look for a bearish trend continuation towards the next support level at 51,010.00. Monitor price action around 51,010.00. If the price sustains below this level, the next target would be 50,781.00. Place a stop loss above 51,073.00 to manage risk.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
Always use stop losses to limit potential losses. Avoid over-leveraging; trade within your risk tolerance. Diversify your trades to spread risk. Keep an eye on implied volatility and time decay when trading options. Regularly review and adjust your trading plan based on market conditions.
Summary and Conclusion
The trading plan for the 24th of December 2024 outlines strategies for different opening scenarios, including gap up, flat, and gap down openings. By following the plan and adhering to risk management principles, traders can navigate the market effectively. Remember, the yellow trend indicates sideways movement, the green trend indicates a bullish trend, and the red trend indicates a bearish trend.
Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI registered analyst. This plan is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any trading decisions.
Bitcoin Overall: The QuickPlunge ScenarioOne more possibility other than a full-out correction is a quick, nasty plunge to one of the indicated targets below, likely the red line. The set-up is definitely there. If the current reversal doesn't play out (and weak reaction is making it suspicious), some very big volatility could be in store! Careful out there.
Nat Gas Monday 23 DecToday was the day for swing traders. There come some days when you can't help but make money. The market opened with the gap on the upside, stayed sideways for a while then started creeping down. At one point selling pressure was so high price hardly rallied. For swing traders, this was that day of the month. For scalpers, it was business as usual.
But the interesting thing about today is that volatility was high. It was no big deal cause the targets were also big. As long as the price is above 300 big swings are here to stay. Prepare yourself for big swings!
See you Tomorrow.
Bitcoin peaked and fell backBitcoin has completed five waves of rise in the accelerated rising channel, and a peak signal has appeared, and then it has started to pull back. The current pullback wave is an adjustment phase, providing an opportunity to wait for the price to fall back to a suitable position.
In the short-term trend, bears dominate. The support below is 92,000.
The upper pressure is around 96,000, the low point of the 4th wave.
Then you think the price can return to around 86,000 at the initial stage of the previous rise. Will a high reversal even occur?
Welcome to leave different opinions, like and leave a message.
NASDAQ Technical buy on this 1D MA50 bounce.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the September 06 Low and potentially has started the new Bullish Leg as on Friday it hit the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) and rebounded. The 1D MA50 has been holding since the September 12 bullish break-out.
Still, there is no confirmation yet, as the price remains below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). As you can see on this chart, every time the index broke above its 4H MA50, it never broke again until the next Higher High of the Channel Up, technically confirming the new Bullish Leg.
With the 4H RSI rebounding also from oversold (<30.00) territory, there are higher probabilities of this being the new Bullish Leg. If the confirmation comes, we expect at least another +9.08% rise from Friday's Low (which was the % rise of the previous Bullish Leg) to target 22500.
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