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Trend Analysis

US Dollar Trends:Navigating the Supply Area and Market SentimentAs the trading week began on Monday, the US Dollar (DXY) found itself testing a significant supply area, leading to a period of consolidation within a tight range. This move comes on the heels of disappointing Durable Goods orders data, which has sparked bearish sentiment among traders, prompting a downward shift in the Greenback's value. The Impact of Economic Data The recent Durable Goods orders report fell short of expectations, raising concerns about the resilience of the US economy. Such data often serves as a barometer for economic health, influencing traders' decisions and market dynamics. With this disappointing figure, traders have been quick to react, driving the dollar lower as they reassess their positions. Analyzing Market Sentiment The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals a telling shift in market sentiment. Retail traders appear to be holding long positions on the dollar, while institutional investors—often referred to as "smart money"—are beginning to accumulate bearish positions. This divergence in sentiment raises an essential question: is there an impending reversal in the dollar's trend? Timing the Market Timing becomes crucial in a market characterized by conflicting signals. While the COT report indicates a potential shift, it’s essential to identify the right entry points. Many analysts believe the DXY could experience another bullish impulse before any significant decline materializes. This potential upward movement may serve to "trap" sellers who have positioned themselves in anticipation of a downturn. Seasonal Patterns and Technical Analysis Adding to the complexity of this scenario is the emergence of a seasonal bearish pattern indicated by forecasters. Seasonal trends often play a critical role in currency movements, and traders must remain vigilant to these patterns when planning their strategies. In conjunction with this seasonal insight, technical analysis reveals a rectangle pattern on the chart, which suggests a defined range of support and resistance levels. Traders are advised to look for entry opportunities within this range, where the likelihood of a price breakout is heightened. Conclusion In conclusion, as the US Dollar navigates this crucial supply area amidst mixed signals from market participants, traders must approach their strategies with caution. Monitoring economic indicators, understanding market sentiment shifts, and analyzing technical patterns will be pivotal in making informed trading decisions. The current environment presents both challenges and opportunities, and identifying the right entry point could be the key to capitalizing on potential market movements. As we move forward, it will be interesting to see how these dynamics play out. What are your thoughts on the current market conditions, and where do you see the DXY heading next?
TVC:DXY
by FOREXN1
1
USDJPY/Bearish Setups Ahead: (Possibly 670+ pips)After a long bearish run, we've seen a key break below the intra trend low at 146.60. Price has also broken out of the broader trend dating from March 2022 to December 2023, dipping into demand zones along the way. Now trading at a premium in the current downtrend, the logical play is to look for short opportunities. On the 4H timeframe, a rising channel extends from October 4, 2024, at 147.34 up to October 31, 2024. Given upcoming fundamental releases, there’s potential for price to drop below 151.40. A close below this level on the 4H chart would confirm a trendline break and a structural shift, signaling a bearish move that could run down to 145.10 — a solid 670 pips in play. To catch this move early, I’ll be watching the 1H timeframe. If price meets our key condition of closing below 151.40, or ideally falls to 150.88, then a swing entry at 152.21 with an initial target at 149.55 is in focus. We’ll trail down from there as price develops. Remember, the close below 151.40 is essential for validating this entry. Risk according to your tolerance and keep an eye out here for updates on this trade and more. Don’t miss my latest analysis on DXY and Gold heading into the US election!
by Ieios
Can BNB reach around $1000 ?...The BNB is in a ascending triangle now which means the price will increase and also It is expected that the price would at least grow as good as the measured price movement(AB=CD) Note: we should wait for the breaking of the triangle and than make a move! See my first anaysis on BNB in 2020 ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
1
Closing my Selling order / #89 Profits rowAs discussed throughout my morning's commentary: "My position: I have closed my yesterday's session Buying order #2,772.80 and closed on #2,786.80 and re-Sold on #2,785.80 towards #2,774.80 which brought excellent #25-point Profit within the session. I will continue Buying #2,772.80 Low's for now and as my Profit is excellent, I will not assume more Selling orders / only if #2,770.80 break-out is delivered which is major re-Sell signal. " I have closed my Selling order (#2,770.80 - #2,752.80) on a fine #18-point Profit extending my results rage to #89 Profits row and #19 Stop-loss hits regarding January - October cycle. Indeed Selling sequence lasted more however due Bull Medium-term, I did decided to close my order earlier that expected. Regardless, I have closed also my both Medium-term Buying orders on #2,790.80 which I will announce in my morning's commentary. Congratulations on Profits!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by goldenBear88
#BURGER (SPOT) entry range (0.3720- 0.3920) T.(0.549) SL(0.3676)BINANCE:BURGERUSDT entry range ( 0.3720- 0.3920) Target1 (0.4330) - Target2 (0.549) 1 Extra Targets(optional) in chart, if you like to continue in the trade with making stoploss very high. SL .4H close below (0.3676) Golden Advices. ********************** * collect the coin slowly in the entry range. * Please calculate your losses before the entry. * Do not enter any trade you find it not suitable for you. * No FOMO - No Rush , it is a long journey. Useful Tags. ********************** My total posts ( www.tradingview.com ) 1Million Journey ( www.tradingview.com ) ( www.tradingview.com ) ********************************************************************************************************************** #Manta ,#OMNI, #DYM, #AI, #IO, #XAI , #ACE #NFP #RAD #WLD #ORDI #BLUR #SUI #Voxel #AEVO #VITE #APE #RDNT #FLUX #NMR #VANRY #TRB #HBAR #DGB #XEC #ERN #ALT #IO #ACA #HIVE #ASTR #ARDR #PIXEL #LTO #AERGO #SCRT #ATA #HOOK #FLOW #KSM #HFT #MINA #DATA #SC #JOE #RDNT #IQ #CFX #BICO #CTSI #KMD #FXS #DEGO #FORTH # AST #PORTAL #CYBER #RIF #ENJ #ZIL #APT #GALA #STEEM #ONE #LINK #NTRN #COTI #RENDER #ICX #IMX #ALICE #PYR #PORTAL #GRT #GMT # IDEX #NEAR #ICP #ETH #QTUM #VET #QNT #API3 #BURGER .
Long
by Crypto_alphabit
Chipotle: Has the Selling Begun?Chipotle Mexican Grill has been rallying for years, but some traders may think the uptrend is ending. The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of higher highs and higher lows since August. Coming after a big slide in July, that channel could be viewed as a bearish flag. Second, this week’s drop after quarterly results may result in a breakdown from that consolidation. Next, prices have crossed under the 50- and 200-day simple moving averages. Fourth, the recent high was near a price range that offered resistance in March and support in June. Is it resistance again? These patterns, coming after the June 26 stock split, may indicate CMG is running out of catalysts. Finally, there could be signs of a bearish channel starting on the weekly chart: TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYSE:CMG
by TradeStation
SPx / Critical Levels to Watch for Bullish or Bearish MomentumS&P 500 Index Technical Analysis: To initiate a downside move, the price needs to stabilize below 5,863. However, any quick break above 5,863 would likely propel the price towards 5,891. Bearish Scenario: Stability below 5,863 would open the path to 5,824 and 5,803. A 4-hour candle close below 5,781 would activate a stronger bearish zone, allowing for further declines. Bullish Scenario: A successful breakout above 5,863 would signal potential for a move to 5,891. A further break above 5,891 would confirm the bullish trend, with an extended target of 5,939. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5863 Resistance Levels: 5891, 5939 Support Levels: 5824, 5803, 5781 Trend Outlook: Bearish below 5863 Bullish above 5863 and 5891
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
Gold- Where is the next 1k pips trade?As I've outlined in both written and video analyses on FOREXCOM:XAUUSD , I’m anticipating a substantial pullback in gold prices. Let’s look at this objectively: just as trees don't grow to the sky, neither does Gold. With a remarkable 2,000-pip rally over the last 20 days, the likelihood of a meaningful retracement is increasing. Each new high reached only makes a sharper pullback more probable. That said, I’m not rigidly fixed on one outlook. In yesterday’s analysis, I noted that a new all-time high seemed highly probable. Acting on this, I opened a small long position after observing a buildup consolidation just under the previous ATH, which I closed at 2770. The key question now isn’t whether gold will start pulling back, but rather where that pullback will begin. On the 1-hour chart, since the low near 2600 on October 10th, Gold has been trading within an ascending channel. Each time the price touches the upper boundary of this channel, it has reversed back down. Based on this behavior, I anticipate a similar reaction if gold approaches or slightly exceeds 2800, and I plan to fade any move above that level. In conclusion, for those looking at potential 1,000-pip opportunities, I believe the short side currently holds more promise. In the short term, a retracement toward 2700 seems more realistic than an extension to 2900. P.S: Looking at previous times when Gold has made ATHs, the reversal from the top has been more than 1000 pips.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
5
USOIL - Key Levels for Bullish Stabilization or Bearish ReversalTechnical Outlook The price may stabilize within the bullish zone upon a 4-hour candle close above the pivot line at 68.53, targeting 70.49 initially, followed by 71.78. Bullish Scenario: While trading above 68.53, the price is likely to move toward 70.49 as the first bullish target, with 71.78 as the next level. Bearish Scenario: A reversal and stabilization below 68.53 would open a move toward 67.03, with further downside potential to 65.85. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 68.53 Support Levels: 70.50, 71.78, 72.75 Resistance Levels: 67.03, 68.85, 63.51 Trend Outlook: Bullish while the price remains above 68.53 PREVIOUS IDEA:
TVC:USOILLong
by SroshMayi
"US100 Bearish Bat Pattern Signals Potential Trend ReversalIn the US100 market, a Bearish Bat pattern has formed, signaling a potential trend reversal. This harmonic pattern typically suggests that an upward trend may be losing momentum, opening up the possibility of a downturn. The Bearish Bat consists of four legs labeled as X-A, A-B, B-C, and C-D, where each segment aligns with specific Fibonacci retracement and extension levels. When the D point completes near the 88.6% retracement of the X-A leg, it acts as a potential reversal zone (PRZ), indicating that sellers may enter the market, leading to a bearish shift in price. Traders often watch for confirmation at this PRZ to initiate short positions, setting stop losses just beyond point D.
UShort
by iphtikhar
1