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Trend Analysis

NOT A GOOD TIME TO BUY 4007If you have a look at the chart, you'll see that the price started going higher and higher since Dec 2024, grabbed the liquidities we have at 41.80 and 44.35, to give us a confirmation of a reversal right on the liquidity at 44.35. Today the price grabbed the LQ we have at 41.80, and it will keep pushing down to 37.90 before giving us an entry to take. For now, if you still haven't bought, you just wait. And if you already holding any shares, you can tell me in the comment section your entry so I can give you some help in your situation. Follow for more!
TADAWUL:4007Short
by YassineAnalysis
U.S. Tariffs Incoming: What’s Next for Gold?Trump's planned tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, set to take effect on March 4, along with an additional 10% levy on Chinese products, have heightened concerns about potential countermeasures and escalating trade tensions. As a result, during Monday’s Asian trading session, gold prices surged, as these policies strengthened demand for gold, which is traditionally seen as a hedge against rising costs. From a technical analysis perspective, the overall trend of the MARKETSCOM:GOLD has been bullish, as indicated by the formation of higher highs and higher lows. However, bearish pressure regained control last week, driving the price downward with significant bearish momentum. The previous candlestick experienced a liquidity sweep and rebounded, managed to close within the swap zone. Currently, the price is moving within the swap zone of 2854 - 2877. If it manages to close above this level, there is a high probability that the bullish trend will continue, leading to a retest of the previous high. Conversely, if the price fails to hold support within the swap zone, it will indicate that bearish forces have taken control, increasing the likelihood of further downward movement. Therefore, this is a critical level to monitor, as a breakout in either direction will likely determine the trend for the week.
MARKETSCOM:GOLD
by Marketscom
BankNifty Technical analysis - Mar 3 2025RED UMVD flashed warning sign back in Oct. I hope some of you were able to use this signal to cash out. Bars are red and we are approaching immediate support again, lets see how it handles. As long as UMVD is Red , I wouldn't buy. TrapZone has thinned now and market will most likely get volatile and sideways, unless we enter another wave of selloff. In that case we will see Red TrapZone and all hell will break. lol will post an hourly for short term players.
NSE:BANKNIFTY1!Short
by SnowflakeTrader
ES/ Mag7 ChartHere is we can observe the broadening out of the stock concentration we have observed for the past 4 years in the Mag7 which at its peak reached 35% of the market. To read this chart correctly. 1: This is ES/Mag 7 relative strength. It is full ES 500- MAG 7- Apple, Amazon, Google, Meta, Microsoft, Nividia Tesla. 2. When this chart goes up, it means concentration is broadening out i.e more investment into more of the SP500 other/ smaller companies and less into Mag 7. 2.1 When this chart goes Down, it ca signify A: Heavy selling in Mag 7 companies. OR B: Heavy buying in the broader set of S&P500 companies. OR Both at the same time.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by timdug
ARLO/USD – 30-Min Long Trade Setup !📌 🚀 🔹 Asset: ARLO (Arlo Technologies, Inc.) 🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart 🔹 Setup Type: Bullish Breakout Trade 📌 Trade Plan (Long Position) ✅ Entry Zone: Above $14.38 (Breakout Confirmation) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Below $13.42 (Invalidation Level) 🎯 Take Profit Targets: 📌 TP1: $15.52 (First Resistance Level) 📌 TP2: $16.73 (Extended Bullish Move) 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation 📉 Risk (SL Distance): $14.38 - $13.42 = $0.96 risk per share 📈 Reward to TP1: $15.52 - $14.38 = $1.14 (1:1.2 R/R) 📈 Reward to TP2: $16.73 - $14.38 = $2.35 (1:2.4 R/R) 🔍 Technical Analysis & Strategy 📌 Ascending Triangle Breakout: Price has broken above a resistance level at $14.38, signaling bullish momentum. 📌 Uptrend Confirmation: The stock is forming higher highs and higher lows, confirming an uptrend. 📌 Volume Confirmation Needed: Ensure high buying volume when price holds above $14.38 to confirm strength. 📌 Momentum Shift Expected: If the price remains above $14.38, a move toward $15.52 and then $16.73 is probable. 📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels 🟢 $13.42 – Stop-Loss / Support Level 🟡 $14.38 – Breakout Level / Long Entry 🔴 $15.52 – First Resistance / TP1 🔴 $16.73 – Final Target / TP2 📉 Trade Execution & Risk Management 📊 Volume Confirmation: Ensure high buying volume above $14.38 before entering. 📉 Trailing Stop Strategy: Move SL to entry ($14.38) after TP1 ($15.52) is hit. 💰 Partial Profit Booking Strategy: ✔ Take 50% profits at $15.52, let the rest run toward $16.73. ✔ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even ($14.38) after TP1 is reached. ⚠️ Fake Breakout Risk ❌ If the price fails to hold above $14.38 and drops back, exit early to avoid losses. ❌ Wait for a strong bullish candle close above $14.38 before entering aggressively. 🚀 Final Thoughts ✔ Bullish Setup – Breaking above $14.38 could lead to higher targets. ✔ Momentum Shift Possible – Watch for volume confirmation. ✔ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio – 1:1.2 to TP1, 1:2.4 to TP2. 💡 Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! 🚀📈 🔗 #StockTrading #ARLO #LongTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #MomentumStocks #ProfittoPath #TradingView #StockMarket #SwingTrading #RiskManagement #ChartAnalysis 📈🔥
NYSE:ARLOLong
by ProfittoPath
Gold: short term correctionThe uncertainty is the one which brought almost all asset classes to the down side during the previous week. The price of gold was also the one that was hit by geopolitical uncertainty, trade tariffs and expectations on interest rate levels. The price of gold entered into a short term correction, when only on Friday’s trading session gold was down by 1%, ending the week at the level of $2.858. The lowest weekly level was at $2.835. The RSI moved from strongly overbought territory, down to the level of 49. The market is still on hold when it comes to the move toward the oversold market side. At the same time, there has been no change with moving average lines. Both MA50 and MA200 are moving as two parallel lines with an uptrend, in which sense; there is no indication of a potential change in the trend. For some time now, the price of gold has been moving within the uncharted territory. Charts are pointing that the first support line is at the level $2.790. Whether the price of gold will make a correction up to this level, could not be noted with a higher probability. For the moment, the $2.830 level was the one which implied a stronger pull-back to the higher ground, which occurred on Friday. In the future period, it would be clearer whether this level represents a new support line. At this moment there is no historical data, which could support this assumption. Some reversals toward the upside are quite possible during the week ahead, considering that the markets need some time to digest current information related to geopolitics, trade tariffs and interest rate levels.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XBTFX
MARKETS week ahead: March 2 – 8Last week in the news Markets continue to be in an uncertain mood, impacted by geopolitics, trade tariffs, inflation and interest rate levels. A major correction occurred during the previous week, where the majority of financial assets ended the week with a stronger weekly loss. The US equity markets finished the week in red, with S&P 500 losing 1,4% since the beginning of February, ending the month at the level of 5.954. Funds from equity markets fled toward the US Treasury bonds, where the 10Y US benchmark reached the 4,2% level. Although the US Dollar modestly gained in strength, still, the price of gold entered into a major short term correction, reaching the level of $2.856. As BTC is now part of the mainstream, a major break toward the downside occurred on the same grounds as with other financial assets. BTC shortly touched the $78K, but ended the week around the $85K resistance line. The major macro data for the US released during the previous week was the PCE data for January, however, were left in a shadow of geopolitical developments. The Fed's favorite inflation gauge came with no significant surprises from market expectations. The PCE was increased by 0,3% in January, leading to yearly increase of 2,5%. The core PCE was also at the level of 0,3% for the month. The personal income was higher by 0,9% for the month and personal expenditures decreased by -0,2% in January, compared to the previous month. These figures were in line with market expectation, in which sense, there has not been much market movements on the release of data. However, the stronger impact came from geopolitics. Recently the word “tariffs” became the spookiest word on financial markets. Although it is still unclear whether the US Administration will indeed introduce trade tariffs toward Canada, Mexico, China and Europe, markets are strongly reacting to any news related to this topic. During the previous week, Reuters published the news. Officials from Mexico proposed to introduce a 10% import tariffs on goods from China in order to match the US tariffs. At the same time, the US President noted that he might double current tariffs to China, which means a total of 20% tariffs on imported goods from China. The Intel company was in the spotlight of the market during the previous year, when the company missed the opportunity to catch up with the increasing AI demand, causing its shares to suffer almost 60% loss in value. Since then the company is trying to correct the past mistake, with plans to open a chip manufacturing facility in Ohio. However, the latest news is showing a potential delay in construction, so that a $100 billion complex would most probably start operating in 2030. Amid pre-election promises, the US President Donald Trump will host the first crypto roundtable at the White House on March 7th. As noted in the White House release, “attendees will include prominent founders, CEOs and investors from the crypto industry, as well as members of the President's Working Group on digital Assets”. Crypto market cap A major break toward the downside occurred during the previous week. Although, charts look painful with such a significant drop, still, for the crypto market historically it represents necessary consolidation for the future move toward the upside. These situations occur several times in the past, and will most certainly, occur also in the future period. The most important is that the crypto market managed to become part of mainstream markets, which was the historical win for the crypto market. However, it also means that the crypto market will react to any news which affects the traditional mainstream markets. This is exactly what happened during the previous week, where the total crypto market capitalization decreased by additional 12% on a weekly basis, erasing a total $370B from its market cap. Daily trading volumes also decreased to the level of $144B on a daily basis, from $239B traded a week before. Total crypto market increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at -14%, with $450B outflow of funds. During the previous week the majority of crypto coins lost in value, only a few managed to finish the week in green. BTCs value significantly dropped during the week, where the largest crypto coin lost over $216B in value, decreasing its market cap by 11,3%. For BTC, this represents a significant correction. ETH was also in the red group, with a loss of $ 68B or even 20,5% w/w, which is also a significant correction for this coin. Among market favourites, Solana dropped its market cap by almost $ 13B or 15,3%, BNB was down by $ 9B or 9,3%, DOGE lost more than $ 6B in value or 16,8% and XRP was down by 13% losing $19,7B in value of its market cap. At the same time, two coins which actually managed to post a significant increase in value were ZCash with an weekly increase in value of 10,6% and Maker who managed to add almost 8% to its value. There has also been an increased development when coins in circulation are in question. In this sense, Solana had a weekly increase of 3,9% of new coins on the market. Filecoin continues to increase its circulating coins each week, adding this time 0,6% of new coins. Crypto futures market In line with the spot market developments, the crypto futures market also experienced some major correction during the previous week. Both BTC and ETH futures were traded significantly lower compared to the week before. BTC futures ended the week above 11% lower for all maturities. There has also been some significant correction for longer term futures, which all dropped below the $100K target. In this sense, futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $90.650, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $98.695. Similar situation was with ETH futures who ended the week by more than 15% lower, dropping below the $3K target for longer maturities. ETH futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $2.374, and those maturing in December 2026 were last traded at $2.540.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by XBTFX
XRP/USD Short Trade Setup Analysis (9H Timeframe - Bitstamp)🔹 Current Setup: 📈 XRP experienced a strong move down from our previous entry at 2.84. Currently XRP has broken through and entered the middle parallel channels whilst respecting and testing their boundaries, verifying the channels validity as a true trading range thus far. At this moment we can see that XRP has broken down to the middle channel, breaking through the median/equilibrium line before now returning up to test the middle channels resistance level. 🔹Price appears to be respecting the level so far ($2.25), with early signs showing a potential break down from this level. 📉 Given our previous entry at 2.84 which remains open, we can now enter a new position here, upon touch of the middle channels upper resistance level. We want to use a tight stop loss, and a smaller amount of margin for this one, given that price is between higher timeframe support and resistance levels. We can see that the most recent high, formed via a candle wick sits at 2.361, so our stoploss should be placed just slightly above this level around 2.38 at which point if hit, would invalidate this trade. 🎯 This allows us to target our new level of 1.52, updated from Februarys 1.4 target identified by the -0.272 fib extension, and a monthly dynamic support.🎯 Previous Trade: Current Outlook: Risk/Reward = 1:6.6 📍 Key Resistance Levels (Potential Rejection Zones): - 🎯 $2.25 (Middle channels upper resistance) - 📍 Key Support Levels: - ❗ $2.10 (0.23 Fib retracement) - 🔻 $1.76 (100 Fib retracement) - 📉 Deeper Target: $1.52 - $1.40 XRP (Projected based on Fibonacci extensions, channel breakdown & monthly dynamic support) 📈 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play) - 🟢 Entry: If price breaks above $2.38, our stop will be hit and we should also close our original short from 2.84. ✅ Justification: - 🔹 If price breaks and holds above $2.38, the bearish structure could be invalidated and price would find itself back within the higher parallel channels range. At this point it would be advised to close all positions and wait for confirmation in direction. 📉 Bearish Scenario (Primary Expectation) - ❌ Invalidation Level: Above $2.38 - 🔻 Downside Targets: - $2.10: 0.236 Fibonacci retracement - $1.76: 100 Fibonacci retracement - $1.52: Monthly dynamic support - $1.36 - $1.40 XRP: Final bearish target (0.272 Fib extension & channel bottom) ✅ Justification: - ❗ Price remains within a descending channel, signaling a continuation of the downtrend. - ❗ The ETF-driven pump appears to be a liquidity grab, leading to a likely reversal. - ❗ A rejection from $2.35 / the middle channels upper resistance, it would confirm bearish continuation, targeting the lower support zones. - ❗ Bitcoin still needs to come lower to test support, therefore, XRP is likely to fall further due to Bitcoins directing the broader market. ⚡ Key Takeaways: - 🔹 XRP is facing parallel channel resistance at $2.25, a likely rejection zone. - 🔹 A breakdown below $2.00 increases bearish pressure, targeting $1.52 XRP. - 🔹 Bearish bias remains unless price breaks & holds above $3.21. - 🔹 Expect price to follow the descending channel structure toward $1.52 - $1.40.
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDShort
by Who-Is-Caerus
US30 *Possible short term sell.Daily chart analysis* Market in an Up trend, at price 45,040.38 had made a double top, that was the highest price historically. Currently is retracing at 43,327.36 zone, waiting on a 4 hour/1 hour timeframe if price is going to break or retest that zone for a possible short term sell from the retracement zone to the trend line and support zone at 41,741.22. Future Possible buy zone at 41,741.22 or sell if support zone and trend line is broken and retested.
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by yrr95_fx
Tokyo Session Playbook – Monday, March 4, 2025📅 Session Context: ✅ Friday’s Closing Impact – End-of-week profit-taking & Smart Money positioning ✅ Monday’s Open Setup – Liquidity resets & possible stop hunts ✅ End of Month → New Month Flows – Portfolio rebalancing impact ✅ Trump’s Tariff Policies & Global Risk Sentiment – Risk-on/risk-off flows into gold ✅ Upcoming Key Economic Data – Asian market sentiment will react to global factors Considerations for Tokyo Session 🔹 Fundamental Impact – Economic News & Trump Tariffs Trump’s Tariff Policies → More global uncertainty = Bullish for Gold Chinese Market Reaction → Strong demand from China usually supports Gold US Dollar Strength → If USD weakens, Gold will push higher 🔹 VSA & Market Maker Logic If VSA shows Weak Buying → Expect early liquidity sweep & reversal. If VSA shows Strong Buying → Institutions are preparing for London breakout. Market Makers will likely trap retail traders before big moves. Asia will set the liquidity traps for London & NYC expansion. Tokyo will likely liquidate weak hands before a decisive move during London/NYC. 🔷 Key Technical Levels ✅ POC (Point of Control) → $2,857.44
✅ VAH (Value Area High) → $2,868.00
✅ VAL (Value Area Low) → $2,849.00
✅ VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) → $2,853.14 📌 Interpretation: Above VWAP ($2,853) → Tokyo session will try to push price toward $2,868-$2,875 (liquidity grab zone). Below VWAP ($2,853) → Expect a dip into $2,849-$2,832 to clear stop losses before a reversal. 🔷 How Tokyo Will Play the Game Scenario 1: Bullish Play (Strong Gold Demand in Asia) ✅ Trigger: Smart Money absorbs liquidity at $2,849-$2,853 and price holds above VWAP.
✅ Institutional Confirmation: Positive Delta & Increasing Bid Volume Absorption at liquidity zones (VAL & VWAP)
✅ Execution Plan: BUY: $2,849 - $2,853 STOP LOSS: Below $2,832 TARGETS: TP1: $2,868 (VAH) TP2: $2,875 (Liquidity Pool) TP3: $2,885 (Breakout Target) 🎯 Why This Works? Asia accumulates long positions before sending price higher in London. Gold demand in Asia is strong due to risk-hedging. Expect a slow grind up before liquidity spikes in London. Scenario 2: Bearish Play (Liquidity Grab Before Reversal) ✅ Trigger: Price spikes to $2,868-$2,875 but rejects with weak buying pressure.
✅ Institutional Confirmation: Negative Delta & Sell Imbalances Above VAH Large Orders Absorbing Buys (Liquidity Trap)
✅ Execution Plan: SELL: $2,868 - $2,875 (Fakeout Zone) STOP LOSS: Above $2,885 TARGETS: TP1: $2,853 (VWAP) TP2: $2,849 (VAL) TP3: $2,832 (Deep Reversal Zone) 🎯 Why This Works? Institutions fake the bullish move, trap retail longs, then dump the price. Gold has a history of early session stop-hunts before reversing. High probability of selling pressure before London takes control. Tokyo Session Execution Plan 🔥 Primary Play: BUY THE DIP (Bullish Accumulation Plan)
✅ ENTRY: $2,849 - $2,853 (If price holds above VWAP)
✅ STOP LOSS: Below $2,832
✅ TAKE PROFITS: TP1: $2,868 TP2: $2,875 TP3: $2,885 🔥 Alternate Play: SHORT THE FAKEOUT (Bearish Rejection Plan)
✅ ENTRY: $2,868 - $2,875 (If price rejects with weak delta)
✅ STOP LOSS: Above $2,885
✅ TAKE PROFITS: TP1: $2,853 TP2: $2,849 TP3: $2,832
FX:XAUUSD
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
This setup looks very bullish! This chart shows a bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern, which is a strong reversal signal. Here's a breakdown of the analysis: Key Observations: Inverse Head and Shoulders: The chart highlights an inverse head and shoulders pattern, a well-known bullish reversal pattern. The price is currently testing the neckline (resistance zone). A breakout above this level would confirm bullish momentum. Order Block (OB) and Invalid FVG: The price is currently at an order block (OB), a strong supply and demand zone. There is also an invalid fair value gap (FVG), which may act as additional support if a retest occurs. Bullish Path Projection: The red projected path suggests a pullback to the neckline (previous resistance turning into support) before a strong rally upward. The ultimate target looks to be around $100K+, based on the pattern breakout projection. Conclusion: If BTC breaks and holds above the neckline (~$86K), expect a strong bullish rally. A retest of the neckline before pushing higher is likely. If BTC fails to break out, there could be a temporary retracement before another attempt. Trade Idea: Entry: On a successful retest of the neckline (~$85.8K–$86K). Target: $100K+ (long-term). Invalidation: If BTC falls below $84K, the pattern is invalidated. This setup looks very bullish!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by AndyFrenzy
Bull To ResumeFriday's action saw a solid rally and pivot, fuelled by shorts covering. Expect a rally from Friday's low to continue for a few weeks at least, a possible ascending triangle in the making, any breach of Friday's low would suggest the top is in and a bear market in the making. Gold was hammered last week, that is good news for those eager to buy either leveraged positions or the physical. We are in a wave 5 up, only wave 1 up just completed, wave two down can find support around the 2790-2800 area, forget about the 3000 level, that's the mainstream narrative..look upwards to 3300-3500! Australian prices have hardly moved, still $4600, we expect $10,000 at some point, a target dismissed by many a few years ago. Appreciate a thumbs up, good trading and God Bless you all!
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by Fractal777
#ALICE/USDT#ALICE The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is adhering to it well and is heading to break it strongly upwards and retest it We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at a price of 0.615 We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, which supports the rise We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100 Entry price 0635 First target 0.646 Second target 0.660 Third target 0.680
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
BTCUSD: Deep 4 or a shallow 2?The recent crash has everyone running for the hills. People forget Bitcoin is not up everyday and it also doesn't stay down forever. With the amount of selling, it is time for a bounce in the upcoming week or two. At that time, we need to see if the bounce happens in 3 waves or 5. If we see a 3 waves move, then the selling will most likely get more intense. For an intermediate degree wave 2, price needs to correct everything since Nov 2022 low at 15.6k. That is a massive distance to cover. Just minimum .764 retrace will take the price down to below 70 k and .618 retrace will take it at 50 k. At this price level, I am still not calling wave 2. Even it looks quite deep and steep for wave 4, it is not unheard of. So, until 73 k breaks, i am keeping my count, but the top target will come down between 118k - 136k. Let's see how things progress in the next few weeks.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by mukit1