Btc, my notes for short-term91000 strong support, if the needle comes below it, 86500 may be the turning point. If there is a candle closing below 91k, I think the double top formation worked and I plan to fall to 75k support.
But my opinion is positive. Accordingly, 102k fib 0.68 level and to start rising, it should be passed with a 102k volume closing and closings should be seen above it. Close targets are 108-112-122k.
Not investment advice
Trend Analysis
#GLMR/USDT#GLMR
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is adhering to it well and is heading to break it strongly upwards and retest it
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at a price of 0.1130
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100
Entry price 0.1152
First target 0.1180
Second target 0.1212
Third target 0.1244
Eth, my notes for short-termMy expectation for the coming months: Every drop without exceeding the 2800-3100 range with volume is a buying opportunity
If it exceeds $3100, rsi and volume / spot cvd will be monitored at the levels I marked above
It is useful to interpret it together with btc.dom and total2-3 graphs
Not investment advice (not financial advice)
BTC/USD: What is Going On?Several themes are at play right now, which contributed to a selloff across risk assets last week. Influenced by political shenanigans (tariffs) and the Bybit exchange breach, this sent Bitcoin (BTC) 17.5% lower versus the US dollar (USD) by the close of trading on Friday.
Monthly Chart: Room to Explore Deeper Waters
There is not much to talk about on the monthly chart except to remind ourselves that last year wrapped up rejecting the underside of a 100% projection ratio at US$106,610. Despite January's gain (9.0%), February concluded considerably lower and, as far as I can see, demonstrates scope to continue exploring south until support from US$68,926.
Daily Chart: Dragonfly Doji Ahead of 200-Day SMA
On the daily timeframe, the latest reveals that with the aid of the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) delivering resistance at US$97,092, price ruptured the lower edge of a range that has been in play since December 2024 between US$91,591 and US$108,396. This breakout led BTC/USD to within touching distance of the 200-day SMA at US$76,811 on Friday, finishing the week in the shape of a dragonfly doji (a bullish candlestick signal similar to a hammer pattern). While this candle pattern/SMA combination (and neighbouring daily support from US$73,575) could trigger a recovery (profit taking) on the daily timeframe, the room to discover deeper waters on the monthly timeframe toward support at US$68,926 places bulls in a questionable position at current levels and may see daily flow push southbound. Consequently, should the major crypto pair retest the underside of the daily range (see red arrows) before hitting the noted daily supports (and monthly support), this may be viewed as a sell-on-rally scenario.
Written by FP Markets Market Analyst Aaron Hill
QQQ , is currently very bullish .... but short list included .Quick summary of little write up below :
1) Probably should not start to get bearish unless bears can get price below November 2024 low , ideally a monthly close below
2) A full cash signal is a close below monthly 21 ema , at that point it's "possibly" a bear market and we should be in cash .
3) After we get get a cash signal , then we need to wait to have a high 2 close to redeploy capital for long risk on stuff ....and should probably long the market right at the following H2 close (when it happens)
4) I practice that myself and it is based on 127 year study of the same occurrences vs monthly.
==================================================================================
Longer version and short ideas I have on my list .
I have been hearing a lot of people are in cash right now and I like to look at the monthly chart , in fact I have tested the down jones back to 1897 on personal studies vs it's monthly and I think its a great way to gauge the market and even take slower less emotional trades .
I have marked up the chart here and shown where we should be in cash for 2022 bear market as an example . I really don't think now is the time to be in cash like many are saying I think that we obviously need to manage risk and listen to market.
BUT, with the exception of the bearish wick from three months ago and the fact that we do have a Low 2 monthly candle which is a weak af sell signal, the bears have not even been able to get us below the nov 2024 lows and that is my line in the sand to begin to potentially take some monthly shorts .... but for now those same shorts are probably longs .
Some key points for me are a close below the monthly 21 ema ( lower one ) its a cash signal .
That's a "monthly close" not the price momentarily going there .
Then once that happens you can just wait for two higher than prior bars closes , which I call high 2's or H2 for short . This is a very simple way to keep you out when getting is not good or switch to shorts and the odd names that are still at highs and ignoring a bear ( hard to do but there's always a few ) .
Ok so finally , should bears start to get price below NOV low here's a list of stuff that might work well . But want to add that right now we should be doing the opposite and focusing on reversal trades and strength .
SHORT IDEA LIST (QQQ must at very least be under nov low to consider acting for me )
PLTR
DUOL
HIMS
APP
NVDA
CYBR
CAVA
SFM
TKO
GOLD/GLD (crowded longs )
RDDT
MSFT
AMZN
PYPL
GBP/USD March 2025 Technical Outlook: Bearish Pressure below 200What do you think about GBPUSD
It has broke the trend and in my observation it will be more downward
**Trend Direction (EMA 200):**
- The price (1.25756) is trading **below** the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), suggesting a **bearish bias**. The EMA likely acts as dynamic resistance near 1.26131 or higher, reinforcing the downtrend.
**Critical Levels:**
- **Resistance Levels:**
- Immediate: **1.26131** (likely the 200 EMA level).
- Stronger: **1.2689** (key swing high).
- **Support Levels:**
- Near-term: **1.25000** (psychological round number).
- Lower: **1.24215** and **1.24000** (next targets if bearish momentum continues).
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XNG/USD "Natural Gas" Energy Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend for short term period (Bullish in future)., driven by several key factors.
💨⛽Fundamental Analysis
Supply and Demand: Natural gas demand is expected to increase due to the ongoing winter season in the Northern Hemisphere.
Production: US natural gas production is expected to remain steady, with a slight increase in production from the Marcellus shale region.
Weather: Colder-than-expected weather in the US and Europe is expected to drive up natural gas demand.
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Interest Rates: The US Federal Reserve has maintained its hawkish stance, keeping interest rates at 5.25% to combat inflation.
GDP Growth: The US GDP growth rate is expected to slow down to 2.0% in 2025, due to the ongoing economic uncertainty.
Global Trade: The ongoing trade tensions between the US and China are expected to have a minimal impact on the natural gas market.
💨⛽COT Data
Speculators (Non-Commercials): 35,019 long positions and 20,015 short positions.
Hedgers (Commercials): 20,011 long positions and 30,019 short positions.
Asset Managers: 25,015 long positions and 15,019 short positions.
💨⛽Market Sentiment Analysis
The overall sentiment for XNG/USD is bullish, with a mix of positive and neutral predictions.
60% of client accounts are long on this market, indicating a bullish sentiment.
💨⛽Positioning Analysis
The long/short ratio for XNG/USD is currently 1.75.
The open interest for XNG/USD is approximately 1.2 million contracts.
💨⛽Inventory and Storage Analysis
US Natural Gas Storage: The US natural gas storage level is currently at 1.8 trillion cubic feet, which is 10% below the 5-year average.
Inventory Levels: Inventory levels are expected to decline further due to the ongoing cold weather and increased demand.
💨⛽Additional Tools and Resources
Weather Forecasts: Colder-than-expected weather in the US and Europe is expected to drive up natural gas demand.
Production Data: US natural gas production is expected to remain steady, with a slight increase in production from the Marcellus shale region.
💨⛽Next Trend Move
Bullish Prediction: Some analysts predict a potential bullish move, targeting $4.20 and $4.50, due to the ongoing cold weather and increased demand.
Bearish Prediction: Others predict a potential bearish move, targeting $3.50 and $3.20, due to the expected decline in natural gas demand after the winter season.
💨⛽Future Prediction
Short-Term: Bullish: $4.00-$4.20, Bearish: $3.60-$3.40
Medium-Term: Bullish: $4.50-$4.80, Bearish: $3.20-$2.80
Long-Term: Bullish: $5.00-$5.50, Bearish: $2.50-$2.00
💨⛽Overall Summary Outlook
The overall outlook for XNG/USD is bullish, with a mix of positive and neutral predictions.
The market is expected to experience a moderate increase, with some analysts predicting a potential bullish move targeting $4.20 and $4.50.
Real-Time Market Feed
As of the current time, XNG/USD is trading at $3.90, with a 1.0% increase in the last 24 hours.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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Review and plan for 3td March 2025 Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
$RIOT to Lead Bitcoin Miners Higher in March ($11+ Price Target)Riot Platforms NASDAQ:RIOT is a stock that I've held common shares of since 2017, and as of now, it's also the largest call options position in the WAVE$ Portfolio. 🔥🥇
I think that NASDAQ:RIOT will re-test that line of broken support as new resistance (orange) by the 21st of March. My money is where my mouth is. 💰🎯
The macro economic backdrop favors CRYPTOCAP:BTC far more than equities at the moment (in my view), and I think that miners like NASDAQ:RIOT and NASDAQ:MARA can act as diamonds in the rough even if the major indices ( AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ ) struggle. 👑💎⛏️
Let's keep this momentum alive team! 🌊🌊🏆
-Royce
Nikki to enter bear market? wheres the bottom? 16,260? Fib 61.8 Bearish scenario - selling at the top
- using TA - Fib based projection suggests a danger zone possible top around 40k specifically 40,379
- Overlaying the 2008-10 bear price structure coincidences with BAGL (bottom ascending grind lines) trend lines which could act as support.
- Assuming this is major bear, from the top 50% or 61.8% fib retracement is appropriate and looking where the fib touches the BAGLs tells you where the bottom is in time. It suggests Summer 2026 following historical precedent we know bear markets are fast 18 months to 2 years are typical for corrections and fits to the KLOS too
- There are no bears left
- Retail is on record levels of margin
- the 18.6 housing cycle is about to roll over
- Trump put on tariffs
- There is trillions of debt that needs to be rolled over we are out of control
- Carry trade unwind leads to 3-4 T that will have to be written off as bad loans guys will keep this in Cayman islands and retire
- US debt is being bought up by Cayman island accounts - no money left
- China and oil countries are not buying US treasuries
- All world indices divided by Gold are in down trend, topped out previously so if Gold is real money then we are already in a world wide bear market
- The advances and decliners lines have broken BAGLs just like they did in the start of the last bear markets
- The Nifty fifty Indian market is leading us down so is Malaysia & Turkey
- NVDA looks weak as 14% of Nasdaq is it a canary ?
- The old drivers of the bull become the bear targets?
- USDJPY at KLOS going back 20 yr chart could be the breakdown signal
- Trump wants weaker dollar to make USA great again for manufacturing
This is quick look - you need to calculate out the exact bottom with care and accuracy as time moves closer
EOSUSDT Buy opportunityEOSUSDT has completed Wave 2 within the current impulse wave cycle, positioning the market for a potential Wave 3 expansion, typically the strongest in an Elliott Wave sequence. The weekly timeframe RSI exhibits bullish divergence, indicating weakening bearish momentum and a possible shift in trend structure.
Price is currently trading within a key accumulation zone, aligning with previous demand levels and Fibonacci retracement confluence. A sustained breakout from this region would confirm the initiation of Wave 3, targeting the projected Fibonacci extension levels.
Profit-taking zones are outlined on the chart, with mid-term resistance areas acting as potential reaction points. A failure to hold the accumulation zone may signal further corrective movement before a larger expansion.
Upside potential on $TLSA Im back again with an analysis on Tesla (please feel free to check out the previous one: )
Tesla has had a rough couple of weeks more related to political sentiment than the company fundamentals itself. Now Tesla is testing a key support level highlighted by
1) the trendline support
2 the anchored Vwap from the low of April 2024
3) The Fibonacci 38.2% level
Should this support level hold (because we know nothing is guaranteed), We should see some serious upside. Target 1 would be to regain the $485 all time high and target 2 would be the 1.618 Fib level currently sitting at $689 (you read that right). The reason I like this trade is that it is a very low risk in the sense that it is sitting on the support level therefore you can manage risk fairly easily and keep it small if it doesn't hold. This is however a mid to long term play.
Feel free to comment what stock you would want to see me cover or what indicator and ill make some time for it.
PS this is for educational purposes only and this is not a trade recommendation in any way or form.
Stay green.
Price at a Crossroads: Will It Break or Drop?After a strong breakout from a falling wedge and handle pattern on Wednesday, Nov 6, 2024, price surged to an All-Time High of 109,358.01. However, a retracement followed, with the formation of a double top pattern leading to a breakdown below the neckline at 91,809.11, sending prices tumbling to 78,167.81, perfectly aligning with the golden ratio (50% Fibonacci level).
From there, buyers stepped in, pushing the price back up to the 38.2% Fibonacci level, but strong resistance led to two rejections and the formation of three consecutive doji candles, signalling market indecision.
What’s Next?
🔹 Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 38.2% could lead to a neckline retest 91,809.11.
🔹 Bearish Scenario: If rejection holds, the double top projection targets is 74,279.20, with further downside towards 61.8% or 66%, aligning with the daily trendline.
📢 Risk Management Reminder:
The market is at a critical level—manage your risk wisely! Set stop losses, use proper position sizing, and avoid over-leveraging. Patience and discipline are key!
GBPUSD Week 10 Swing Zone/LevelsWeek by week pinched pips keeps increasing.
As highlighted last week, Weekly zone and levels are mapped based on previous week daily high-low relationship (ie Monday HL in relation to Tuesday in relation to Wednesday HL, etc).
Using the 5min candle for entry keeps the SL small btw 10-15 pips and TP ideally to the next level. Some swing levels are only marked after price interacts pre-calculated levels.
Two possible road maps for the week, a or b?
As always price action determines trades.
GBP/USD : 3/3/25 - 7/3/25Weekly TF: Price has formed a break and retest scenario at early stage
4H TF:
1. Multiple time of price rejection at 1.26775, therefore, this act as major resistance
2. Price has also formed 4H tf break and retest at 1.26192, which gives a high chances for potential short.
3. Potential target profits has been plotted.
Up for SPX500USDHi traders,
Wow! Last week the price action of SPX500USD went exactly to the target as predicted in my outlook. On Monday it dropped and after a correction up it took the liquidity under the previous lows and filled the 4H FVG. I've updated the wave count.
Now next week we could see a corrective upmove to the higher 4H FVG.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down to finish and after that a change in orderflow to bullish to trade longs.
If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it. I do not provide signals.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
TASI IS GOING BEARISHAs you can notice on the chart, TASI as I told you in older posts, it grabbed the LQ at 12,302.190-12,333.861, gave us an entry point and now it is heading towards the level 11591.374 where it will grab the LQ.
For the people who have already bought, you can close and enjoy your profits, and for those who are willing to buy, the wise thing to do is hold your funds.
For further questions, don't hesitate to ask!
Follow for more!