NZDUSD Breakout Needs to GrowthNZD/USD Technical Outlook
NZD/USD shows early signs of a potential shift from distribution to accumulation, indicating a possible bullish breakout. This setup is forming against the backdrop of a weakened U.S. Dollar, which continues to trend downward, providing fundamental support to NZD strength.
The pair has been consolidating within a distribution pattern, but current chart signals suggest a buildup in bullish pressure. If the pair breaks above the consolidation range, it may trigger a rally supported by dollar weakness and renewed buying interest in risk-sensitive assets like the Kiwi.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 0.61500 / 0.6260
You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
Trend Analysis
Market next target 🔀 Disruption Analysis – Bearish Alternative Scenario
The current chart suggests a bullish continuation from the consolidation zone around $107,300–$107,500, with a projected move toward $108,500+. However, the following bearish disruption could invalidate that path:
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🔻 Bearish Disruption Possibility:
1. False Breakout Trap:
If price briefly spikes above the consolidation zone and quickly reverses, it could trap breakout buyers.
A failed bullish move around $107,800–$108,000 would be the first bearish signal.
2. Weak Volume Confirmation:
Lack of volume during the breakout would signal lack of institutional interest, increasing downside risk.
3. Break Below Support Zone:
If BTC breaks below $107,000, it would signal a loss of momentum and invalidate the bullish scenario.
This breakdown may lead to a quick move toward $106,000 or even $105,800, the recent swing low.
4. Macro Influence:
Any negative U.S. economic data or regulatory news could spark bearish sentiment and accelerate the drop.
Bitcoin’s Breathing Zone – Watching for a Natural Snap Setup📊 Bitcoin Daily – Probabilistic Swing in Play
Tracking the Snap Zone & Energy Reset
I’m watching a probabilistic swing scenario on Bitcoin where the price might need to dive into the 100k - 101k zone to build enough energy for the next major move.
The key area I’m tracking is the EMA 200 on the daily chart (~95k - 97k).
This would be the natural deep target if the price sweeps lower. The EMA 200 often acts as a long-term support where markets "reset" and gather strength.
👉 It’s also worth noting: Institutional traders traditionally view the daily EMA 200 as a key buy zone in an overall bullish market structure.
That’s where many large players reload positions, aiming to ride the next expansion wave.
What I’m expecting:
A retracement into 100k - 101k to snap the short EMAs together.
A potential liquidity sweep below the EMA 100, possibly down to the EMA 200 zone.
Key bullish signals: wick rejections, strong bounce candles, and engulfing patterns on the 4h or daily.
This would set up the energy for a clean bounce and a probable move towards the upper yellow trendline around 124k.
Without this deeper retracement, the move would likely run out of steam earlier, probably capping out around 112k.
I trade probabilistic scenarios based on natural price swings, EMA wave dynamics, and energy compression zones.
📌 Chart and path idea attached.
What’s your view? Are you watching this zone?
Market next move 🔀 Disruption Analysis – Bearish Alternative Scenario
While the current setup points to a bullish continuation above the support zone (around 144.10–144.20) with a projected target near 144.60, here’s how a bearish disruption could unfold instead:
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🔻 Bearish Disruption Possibility:
1. Failed Breakout / Bull Trap:
Price may fake a move upward to trap breakout buyers near 144.40–144.50, then sharply reverse.
This would indicate a false breakout and potential reversal setup.
2. Rejection at Resistance:
Repeated failure to close above 144.40 may signal exhaustion.
Bearish divergence could form on momentum indicators (like RSI) as price rises.
3. Break Below Support Area:
A decisive break below the red support zone (around 144.10) may shift momentum bearish.
That would confirm a lower high and suggest downside continuation.
4. Next Bearish Target:
Initial support lies at 143.85, with further potential drop toward 143.60.
ZROUSDT 12H#ZRO has broken above the descending resistance on the 12H chart.
Price is currently facing rejection at the Ichimoku cloud, while the 12H SMA50 is providing dynamic support.
📌 If a successful bounce occurs, the next potential targets are:
🎯 $2.171
🎯 $2.381
🎯 $2.590
🎯 $2.888
🎯 $3.267
⚠️ As always, use a tight stop-loss and apply proper risk management to protect your capital.
AUDUSD AUD/USD Exchange Rate
Current Level: 0.6530–0.6550
Slightly bearish near-term bias amid RBA rate cut expectations
Australia 10-Year Government Bond Yield
Current Yield: 4.15% (as of June 30, 2025)
Rose 0.01 percentage points from the previous session.
Reflects market reaction to RBA policy and global trade uncertainty.
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Rate
Current Cash Rate: 3.85% (lowest in two years)
Cut by 25 bps in May 2025 to combat slowing growth and align with 2–3% inflation targets.
Markets price a 90% probability of another 25 bps cut in July 2025.
US Federal Reserve (Fed) Rate
Current Federal Funds Rate: 4.25–4.50%
Unchanged since December 2024; held steady at the June 18, 2025, meeting.
Fed signaled potential for two 25 bps cuts in late 2025 (September/December), contingent on inflation cooling.
Key Implications
Rate Differential:
RBA-Fed spread: –0.40% to –0.65% (AUD negative), pressuring AUD/USD.
Australia’s 10Y yield premium over US 10Y (~4.26%) is –0.11%, reducing AUD carry appeal.
AUD/USD Drivers:
RBA Easing: Expected July cut may weaken AUD further.
Fed Patience: Delayed cuts sustain USD strength.
Yield Sensitivity: Narrowing yield spreads limit AUD upside.
In summary:
AUD/USD trades near 0.6530–0.6550, pressured by RBA-Fed policy divergence and narrowing yield spreads. The RBA’s dovish path (3.85% rate, July cut expected) contrasts with the Fed’s hold at 4.25–4.50%, sustaining USD strength. Australia’s 10Y yield at 4.15% offers minimal premium over US Treasuries, limiting AUD support.
Weekly trading plan for EthereumBINANCE:ETHUSDT Last week, price mostly traded in a range. For this week, I've updated key levels, marked them on the chart, and modeled several scenarios. We can expect a pullback—possibly a deeper correction—before another push toward resistance levels. If price breaks the local low but then reclaims the weekly pivot point, I'll consider opening long positions without waiting for a deeper pullback.
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
EURUSD tested the Resistance level 1.17460 👀 Possible scenario:
On June 30, the euro (EUR) rose 0.15% to 1.17500, briefly reaching 1.17540—its highest level since September 2021—marking a 1.57% weekly gain, the strongest since May 19. The rally was driven by broad U.S. dollar weakness as markets adjusted to signs of slowing U.S. growth and subdued inflation, fueling expectations of a more dovish Federal Reserve. Meanwhile, resilient European data supported the euro.
On June 30, investors will closely monitor speeches from European Central Bank (ECB) officials for policy signals, with particular focus on President Christine Lagarde’s address at 5:00 p.m. UTC, which may provide key insights into the ECB’s monetary stance.
✅Support and Resistance Levels
Now, the support level is located at 1.15900
Resistance level is located at 1.17460
Weekly trading plan for BitcoinLast week price action showed a local correction before reaching the first target. This week, we may see a deeper pullback before the next targets are hit and ATH is revisited. In this idea I marked the important levels for this week
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades ! mura
INDRAPRASTHA GAS ' s Support zone | Breakout level |This is the 4 hour chart of INDRAPRASTHA GAS .
IGL is moving in a well defined parallel channel with support range near at 195-200 level.
Igl having good law of polarity at 230 range if Igl give breakout this level and sustain above this level next resistance is near 260 and 280 .
Thank you !!
NZDUSD bullish momentum resistance at 0.6100Trend Overview:
The NZDUSD currency price remains in a bullish trend, characterised by higher highs and higher lows. The recent intraday price action is forming a continuation consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential pause before a renewed move higher.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: 0.6000 (primary pivot), followed by 0.5985 and 0.5950
Resistance: 0.6100 (initial), then 0.6140 and 0.6180
Technical Outlook:
A pullback to the 0.6000 level, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone, could act as a platform for renewed buying interest. A confirmed bounce from this support may trigger a continuation toward the next resistance levels at 0.6100, 0.6140, and ultimately 0.6180.
Conversely, a daily close below 0.6000 would suggest weakening bullish momentum. This scenario would shift the bias to bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 0.5985 and 0.5950 as downside levels.
Conclusion:
NZDUSD maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 0.6000 support. A bounce from this level would validate the consolidation as a continuation pattern, with upside potential toward the 0.6100 area. A breakdown below 0.6000, however, would invalidate this view and suggest deeper corrective risk.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Trading plan for Polygon this weekLet's try a new format for ideas. If you like it, I'll post my ideas more often.
BINANCE:POLUSDT This week, we might see a breakout of the local low and a retest of the weekly pivot point, after which we could expect a rise toward resistance number 2
Consider your risks
Wish you successful trades ! mura
June 30 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
This is Bitcoin Guide.
If you "follow"
You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections.
If my analysis was helpful,
Please click the booster button at the bottom.
This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There is no separate indicator announcement today.
The weekly and daily charts are being adjusted at the same time as they are created.
The strategy was carried out based on the Nasdaq pattern and the Tether dominance pattern.
The long position entry section on the 25th, $106,746, was connected as is.
*When the blue finger moves,
It is a two-way neutral
short->long switching or long waiting strategy.
1. $108,138.1 short position entry section / stop loss price when orange resistance line is broken
2. $107,507.9 long position switching / stop loss price when green support line is broken
3. $108,507.9 long position 1st target -> Good 2nd target price
You can also use the long position re-entry indicated in the middle.
If it comes down right away without touching the short entry section at the top,
it is a long waiting strategy at the gap section of 107,102.7 dollars,
and the stop loss price is the same.
And, if it succeeds in rebounding within the purple support line today,
the reason it is safe from a long position is
because the low point of the weekly and daily candles created this week is maintained without additional deviation.
Please note that the 1st section at the bottom is a sideways market / the 2nd section is open up to the bottom.
Please use my analysis article so far only for reference and use,
and I hope you operate safely with the principle trading and stop loss price.
Thank you.
Silver sideways consolidation support at 3500Silver – Technical Analysis
The Silver price action continues to exhibit a bullish sentiment, underpinned by a prevailing rising trend. However, recent intraday moves indicate a corrective pullback, reflecting short-term consolidation within the broader uptrend.
Key Technical Levels:
Support:
3,500 – Primary support and previous consolidation zone; critical for maintaining bullish structure.
3,450 – Secondary support; potential downside target if 3,500 fails.
3,390 – Key lower support; aligns with a broader demand area.
Resistance:
3,720 – Immediate upside resistance; first target on a bullish bounce.
3,790 – Intermediate resistance; aligns with recent swing highs.
3,850 – Long-term resistance target; marks the upper boundary of the current bullish channel.
Scenario Analysis:
Bullish Continuation (Base Case):
A bounce from the 3,500 level would affirm the corrective pullback as temporary, with potential for a bullish continuation targeting 3,720, followed by 3,790 and 3,850 over a longer timeframe.
Bearish Reversal (Alternative Scenario):
A daily close below 3,500 would undermine the current bullish outlook and signal a deeper retracement, with downside risk toward 3,450 and potentially 3,390, where structural support may stabilize price.
Conclusion:
Silver remains structurally bullish, with the current pullback offering a potential entry point within the trend. The 3,500 level is the key pivot—holding above it supports further upside continuation, while a breakdown below would raise the risk of a deeper correction. Traders should watch for price action confirmation at this level to validate the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
BONKUSDTCryptocurrency Futures Market Disclaimer 🚨🚨🚨
Trading cryptocurrency futures involves high risks and is not suitable for all investors.
Cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile, which can lead to significant gains or losses in a short period.
Before engaging in crypto futures trading, consider your risk tolerance, experience, and financial situation.
Risk of Loss: You may lose more than your initial capital due to the leveraged nature of futures. You are fully responsible for any losses incurred.
Market Volatility: Crypto prices can fluctuate significantly due to factors such as market sentiment, regulations, or unforeseen events.
Leverage Risk: The use of leverage can amplify profits but also increases the risk of total loss.
Regulatory Uncertainty: Regulations related to cryptocurrencies vary by jurisdiction and may change, affecting the value or legality of trading.
Technical Risks: Platform disruptions, hacking, or technical issues may result in losses.
This information is not financial, investment, or trading advice. Consult a professional financial advisor before making decisions. We are not liable for any losses or damages arising from cryptocurrency futures trading.
Note: Ensure compliance with local regulations regarding cryptocurrency trading in your region.
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SOL Ready To Breakout?SOL had a decent move this weekend overcoming descending resistance and now testing as support.
Price appears to have a completed a wave (2) at the .618 Fibonacci retracement and S1 daily pivot and a larger degree wave 2 at the channel bottom, High Volume Node support and .618 Fibonacci retracement.
If a wave (3) of 3 is underway then we should expect a strong move sooner rather than later with an initial target of the swing high resistance a/ R2 daily pivot $208-$216 range
Safe trading.
GBPAUD sideways consolidation resistance at 2.1060The GBPAUD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 2.0880 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 2.0880 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
2.1060 – initial resistance
2.1160 – psychological and structural level
2.1290 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 2.0880 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
2.0810 – minor support
2.0750 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the GBPAUD holds above 2.0880. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
BankNifty levels - Jul 01, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
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Wishing you successful trading endeavors!