Bitcoin and altcoin overview (December 24-25)Yesterday, Bitcoin continued its decline.
We don't observe strong buying activity yet, so in the near future, a test of the local minimum of $92,300 is most likely to capture additional liquidity. According to cumulative delta, there is absorption of sales through limit orders, which increases the probability of a false breakout and the development of an upward movement from these levels to $100,000.
Buy zones: level $92,300 (local low), ~$80,000 (volume anomaly), $77,000-$74,000 (large volume zone).
Sell zone: $100,000-$102,000 (mirror volume zone).
Interesting altcoins
For STMX , we are considering one of the marked scenarios.
At the moment, we have received a reaction from an important volume zone, and if false breakouts of the marked levels occur, a correction should be considered.
Trend Analysis
#BTC reaches support📊#BTC reaches support✔️
🧠From a structural perspective, the target of the bearish cup-with-handle structure was achieved, so a nice rally was justified, unfortunately it was $282 away from our long entry point. We ultimately failed to break above the resistance zone of 95835-96277, so we tried some shorts and have achieved a nice profit so far.
➡️If we want to reverse this downtrend, we need to build a long structure in the support zone, and the next resistance zone is around 98000-100000.
⚠️If we continue the bearish trend, the next support zone is around 90000-85700.
Let's see👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Bullish on Gala: My Updated PerspectiveWhen it comes to trading, my priority is always to protect my capital. If I have doubts, I don’t hesitate to step out of the market. As anyone in crypto knows, this space is notorious for wiping out gains quickly, and my focus is on preserving mine.
That said, today’s price action gave me the confirmation I needed to re-enter Gala and turn bullish on the altcoin market. Before diving into the factors that shifted my outlook, let’s revisit the concerns that initially kept me out:
Bitcoin’s bearish outlook: I feared it could drag down Gala and other altcoins.
Bitcoin dominance potentially invalidating my 0.618 Fibonacci theory.
High stochastic RSI on the weekly chart with a bearish crossover.
Now, let’s break down how today’s developments allowed me to rationalize these concerns and form a bullish bias for Gala and altcoins. I’ll also share additional confluence factors at the end.
1. Bitcoin’s Bearish Outlook: Will It Drag Down Gala and Alts?
Today I posted a detailed analysis on 'BTC Dominance' (please check it out for more context), but here’s a summary: In 2021, Bitcoin experienced a similar scenario, leading to a 31% correction. My outlook on Bitcoin remains bearish in the short term, but today’s price action made me consider a key question: How did altcoins react when Bitcoin dropped 31% in 2021?
Interestingly, during that period, the total market cap of altcoins expanded. This makes sense because funds tend to flow out of Bitcoin into altcoins, explaining why alts can rally even as Bitcoin corrects. We saw a similar dynamic today when Bitcoin dropped to GETTEX:92K with almost no impact on altcoins. This suggests a potential decoupling between BTC and ALTS, which reduces my concerns about Bitcoin dragging down the market.
2. Bitcoin Dominance: Does It Invalidate the 0.618 Fib Theory?
In November, Bitcoin dominance rejected at the 0.618 Fibonacci level, much like it did in 2021, signaling the start of an alt season. Recently, however, dominance surged upward, leading to a temporary altcoin pullback. My concern was that if dominance surpassed 0.618, it would invalidate the theory.
Today, dominance took a sharp dive, which has significantly strengthened my confidence in the bullish case for altcoins. This price action supports the idea that we are indeed on the verge of an alt season.
3. High Stochastic RSI on the Weekly Chart: A Lingering Concern
To be fair, the stochastic RSI on the weekly chart remains elevated for most altcoins, with a bearish crossover. However, recent market movements have caused it to come down slightly. While this isn’t ideal this is my only lingering point. The monthly and daily charts show a bullish stochastic RSI, which offsets some of my concerns. Admittedly, this is the one area where I wish conditions were slightly more favorable, but it doesn’t outweigh the stronger bullish signals elsewhere.
For example, the Stochastic RSI is bearish on BTC Dominance which supports a Bullish Stochastic RSI on Gala.
Final Thoughts
With these concerns addressed—or at least rationalized—I feel more confident about re-entering the market. While no setup is ever perfect, today’s developments have reduced my hesitation and strengthened my bullish case for Gala and altcoins. Let’s see where this market takes us! 🚀
What Next
I will hold my trade for the entirety of Wave 3, for those that are not aware each wave consists of 5 impulses I won't be trading the swings. I will be however looking for the top of Wave 3 to exit but I can't imaging that will be for a few weeks yet.
Instead, I will monitor prices at key level's which are as follows -
1. Confirmation of Wave 3 when price breaks 0.066%
2. My first price target is between $0.11402 - $0.13126.
I will provide price updates at those points.
Why AIrBNB might be the company to watch in 2025Hello,
we see an opportunity for investors to buy Airbnb at the bottom. In this video we go a step further and try and explain why.
While the company's long-term prospects remain strong, short-term headwinds are likely to keep its stock price under pressure. As the travel industry gradually normalizes post-COVID, we anticipate minimal demand erosion for alternative accommodations from ABNB's existing customer base. However, the company's share growth in urban markets continues to lag behind its gains in non-urban regions in recent years, presenting a potential growth opportunity moving forward. In the near term, I anticipate AirBNB's share price will
continue its pullback to around USD 100. However, over the longer term, the company is expected to remain resilient, with an initial price target of USD 170 and a longer-term target of USD 220.88.
All the best & goodluck
BTC/USDT HIt it once, Getting it again?The price made excatly how the analysis showed and is now showing the fake breakout, price return and we can expect the price to continue the buy trend and go back up... be carefull because it still can make another fake and always wait for the right confirmation!!
AMD to $300 Dec-25AMD currently sitting at key historic support providing a good entry, 48% off of highs, a good short term bounce in the next few weeks should be accompanies by a much larger trend reversal as the fundamentals of the comapany don't seem to warrant its current valuations.
A good TP at Fib 618 and recent high at $220. Beware double top.
XAUUSD ANALYSIS Gold Analysis (XAU/USD) – Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Zone: The price is facing a strong resistance level in the range of $2,700 - $2,750, where selling pressure has historically been observed.
Support Zone: A significant support level is located between $2,500 - $2,550, acting as a strong demand zone.
Take-Profit Target: Based on the current structure and price action, a potential take-profit target is identified at $2,719.
Market Outlook:
Gold has been trading within a defined range, with clear rejections from the resistance zone and bounces from the support zone. The recent breakout suggests the price may move towards the take-profit level if bullish momentum sustains. However, traders should monitor key levels and market conditions closely.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
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US30 Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Trend ScenariosTechnical Analysis
The price currently shows bearish momentum toward 42900 and 42770, after which it is expected to consolidate between 42900 and 43170 until a breakout occurs.
However, as long as the price trades below 43200 and 43350, the downward trend remains intact. To enter a bullish zone, the price must break above this range by closing a 4-hour candle above 43350.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 43060
Resistance Levels: 43160, 43350, 43650
Support Levels: 42770, 42580, 42390
Trend Outlook:
Bullish Momentum: Stabilized above 43350
Bearish Momentum: Stability below 42900
Consolidation: Between 42900 and 43160
Continued shopping in the new weekBefore the start of the new week, let's look at the market position and the prospects for a new weekly candle. After an aggressive continuation of sales within the framework of the annual pullback, as expected, ether is attempting a reversal, the purpose of which is to retest 4000 at least and likely consolidate higher. Today and tomorrow, there is still a possibility of a new sales impulse at 3150-250 with continued growth from the second bottom. Aggressive rebounds can be expected from 3750 and 4000 due to the low opening of the week and the continued likelihood of a transition to stable sales from the 4000 retest. The coming statistics and dynamics of the foreign exchange market will have a great impact.
Against the background of the attempted reversal on the air, individual alts also made similar reversals. AST and VIB showed good growth waves. The AST has weaker signals for a move, and therefore a new wave of growth can be expected in the new week after the shadow is drawn on a new weekly candle with a retest of the current loyalties. This month, there remains an opportunity to test the range of 0.15-25 when ether returns to a bullish trend in the coming week.
According to VIB, the signals for the move are much stronger, as well as it is in a more oversold position on large timeframes, and therefore growth may continue in a row with a test of 0.125-150 today or tomorrow. This is also facilitated by maintaining top growth in binance, which provides a good inflow of liquidity. With a successful breakdown of 0.125-35, the probability of a test of the range of 0.12-15 remains with stable ether.
VITE also remains interesting, which has not yet shown an attempt to reverse the weekly candle, and therefore a wave of growth is likely today. However, coins were added to circulation at the end of last week, which is highly likely to lead to a rebound from 0.0175-900 and an attempt to move from a repeated retest of loyalties.
Also, good growth waves in the new week can be shown by coins located at strong supports OG ALPACA PIVX VIDT BIFI UFT FIRO CREAM WING AMB PDA.
There is a rather negative trend for TROY, we have not seen a break since the third wave, and therefore there is a high probability of a rollback to 0.0025-35 in the new week. Price retention is possible only if yesterday's daily candle breaks today.
PolkadotI tweeted yesterday that the value in crypto is decentralization, because anything else can be done better with centralized tech, approaching crypto from this frame of view helps you find value in what seems to be a space filled with shit.
Coins like XMR for instance demonstrate that there is true value in the technology, i think polkadot has been understood by few and this has created tremendous investing opportunity in it.
Buy #GOLD 2597 - 2591💎 Buy #GOLD 2597 - 2591 💎
Stoploss 2576
Breakeven 2597.5
TakeProfit 1: 2599
TakeProfit 2: 2601
TakeProfit 3: 2603
TakeProfit 4: 2605
TakeProfit 5: 2607
TakeProfit 10: 2617
TakeProfit 20: 2637
TakeProfit 30: 2657
Trade at your own risk
Protect your capital
The Wizard 🧙♂️
Wednesday 12/18/2024 06:00 PM EST
PEPE Analysis - What Shall we Expect !!!After breaking the ascending triangle, the price experienced significant growth. As you can see, the price has now dropped to the 0.618 Fibonacci line. Market volume indicates that the price may not be able to break above the 0.618 line, which means the price could drop to the 0.382 line before rising again.
Previous analysis
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Ethereum (ETH/USDT) Long Trade SetupEthereum has broken above a descending trendline, signaling potential upward momentum. This breakout occurred around the 3405 USDT level and suggests the possibility of further movement toward higher price targets.
Trade Details:
Entry Point: 3401 USDT
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 3645 USDT
TP2: 3762 USDT
Stop Loss (SL): 3192 USDT
This setup is based on a valid trendline breakout, accompanied by increasing trading volume, which adds strength to the bullish scenario. Risk management is highly recommended to minimize potential losses.
Bitcoin's Ugly WeekKey Observations:
Recent Price Action:
Last week’s candle was a large bearish engulfing candle, marking a significant rejection and pullback from the $108,000 zone.
Bitcoin has broken below the $99,860 support, which had previously acted as a key level during the rally. This level is now likely to serve as resistance.
Current price sits near $95,905, attempting to stabilize after the sharp sell-off.
RSI Analysis:
The RSI on the weekly timeframe is trending downward after reaching overbought levels (~80).
The RSI is currently sitting near 67, which is still bullish but indicates weakening momentum.
This decline in RSI aligns with the pullback in price, signaling a potential cooling-off period for Bitcoin's uptrend.
Volume:
Last week’s bearish candle was accompanied by high volume, confirming strong selling pressure.
This suggests that the pullback is not just a minor correction but a significant event that traders are actively responding to.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support:
$89,000–$90,000: Key area and a psychological level where buyers might step in.
$73,835: Major breakout level from earlier in 2024, which remains a critical support zone in the event of further downside.
Resistance:
$99,860: Previously strong support, now flipped to resistance.
$108,000: Recent high and upper boundary for potential future attempts to reclaim bullish momentum.
Trend Structure:
The weekly structure remains bullish overall, with higher highs and higher lows intact.
However, the break below $99,860 signals a potential shift to short-term bearish momentum.
Key Considerations:
Last Week’s Candle:
The large bearish engulfing candle signals significant selling pressure at higher levels.
This type of candle often precedes further downside or at least a period of consolidation, especially when confirmed by strong volume.
Bearish Momentum:
The break below $99,860 combined with RSI dropping from overbought territory suggests a cooling-off phase in the uptrend.
Further downside to $89,000–$90,000 is likely before buyers step in to defend.
Long-Term Bullish Case:
Despite the short-term pullback, the macro trend remains bullish, with price still well above the 50-week SMA and prior breakout levels.
A retest of $89,000–$90,000 or even $73,835 would still align with a healthy correction in a long-term uptrend.
Bitcoin's weekly chart shows a significant pullback after a sharp rally, with RSI and volume confirming short-term bearish momentum. Immediate support lies at $89,000–$90,000, while $99,860 acts as key resistance. The broader trend remains bullish, but this correction could deepen before resuming the uptrend.
Check support at important support and resistance zones
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Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1W chart)
The key is whether it can receive support and rise around 3265.0-3321.30.
If not, and it falls, it is possible to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Accordingly, we need to check whether it can rise around 2706.15.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near the important support and resistance area of 3265.0-3321.60 and rise above 3438.16.
If not, it is likely to fall to around 2895.47 to meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
The point to watch is what kind of movement it will show as it passes through the next volatility period of ETH, around December 27 (December 26-28).
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
BTCUSDT, D1 chart, Swing Trade Short Setup👋Hello Traders,
Our 🖥️ AI system detected that there is an D1 timeframe ICT Short setup in
BTCUSDT for Swing trade.
Technically it is clearly that a double top formation and a LG at second top.
Our idea:
BTCUSDT is going to the extension target to the demand zone marked on the chart.
May be a possibility back to the FVG before further down.
So we only waiting for Short setup for swing trade and day trade in the coming 2 weeks.
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