COINBASE | COIN & SECCoinbase shares are up 35% since the SEC sued the crypto exchange for allegedly selling unregistered securities
But Coinbase stock has bounced back, rising some 35% after dropping to a low of about $50 on the day that the SEC sued the U.S.’s largest crypto exchange. As of Wednesday morning, shares were trading near $70, and the publicly traded company’s market capitalization has risen to about $16.5 billion.
The resurgence of Coinbase mirrors the broader boomerang of the crypto market in June, riding a Wall Streetfueled fever for Bitcoin that has lifted other cryptocurrencies and injected optimism into an industry that was reeling from a battery of enforcement from the federal government.
The Coinbase stock has been rallying, the price of Bitcoin has been rallying, and then these two things usually play off of each other. Specifically, Bitcoin’s resurgence is tied to BlackRock’s recent filing of an application for Bitcoin spot exchange-traded fund, a surprising vote of confidence from the US.’s largest asset manager in the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization.
Shortly after BlackRock’s application became public, the price of Bitcoin soared, notching its highest price in more than a year as a slew of other asset managers filed applications for Bitcoin spot ETFs, potentially opening up the cryptocurrency to trillions in dollars from brokerage accounts and pension funds.
And where Bitcoin goes, so goes the broader market, as the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies jumped from just about $1 trillion to now about $1.17 trillion.
BlackRock’s ETF filing was not only a vote of confidence in Bitcoin but also Coinbase. Its application listed the publicly traded crypto exchange as the custodian for holding the trust’s underlying Bitcoin.
For them to continue and list Coinbase as a custodian for their ETF was a strong signal that these SEC allegations are not that big of a deal
I think the market is telling us…the worst is behind us, as far as U.S. regulatory crackdown is concerned
Trend Analysis
XAU/USD 31 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold’s rally persists, driven by the Fed’s dovish stance and heightened geopolitical tensions, strengthening its safe-haven appeal.
Price has recently printed higher highs, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price level. A bearish CHoCH has printed, signaling the first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue bearish, potentially reacting at the H4 demand zone or the discount of the H4 internal 50% EQ before targeting the weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
In yesterday’s intraday analysis, I mentioned that technically, price was expected to react at the internal 50% EQ discount to target the weak internal high. However, there was also potential for a bearish iBOS, which is exactly what unfolded.
Price has made multiple attempts to breach the strong internal high at 2,789.855 but has yet to succeed, leaving it intact.
Intraday Expectation: Price has reacted from the H4 supply zone. Technically, price is now expected to target the weak internal low at 2,770.925.
Note: Price remains highly volatile due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed’s dovish stance.
M15 Chart:
EUR/CAD at Key Support: Rebound or Further Decline?EURCAD is currently trading at 1.4900, which is a key support level. From this point, the price has the potential to move upwards, targeting the 1.5160 level. However, if this support level is broken, there is an increased likelihood that the price will continue to decline, potentially falling further until it reaches the Trendline Support. Traders should closely monitor the current levels, as any significant move in either direction could signal a shift in the trend and provide trading opportunities. Staying alert to price action around this support level is crucial for making informed decisions.
Revision 1 (Phase D- Sign Of Strength (SOS))
Graphical abstract:
consider this analogy
Technical Section:
USTC is completing the 3rd wave of the third leg of a 5-wave rally
Trade Plan:
Bias: Bullish (Wyckoff Method)
Trade entry = $ 0.023 - $ 0.025
Target-1 = $ 0.038
Target-2 = $ 0.07
Target-3 = $ 0.138 (New ATH)
Stop level: $ 0.015
That is what we are all striving for
Appendix:
USDJPY Daily Forecast: Slight Bearish Bias Amid Fundamental FactUSDJPY Daily Forecast: Slight Bearish Bias Amid Fundamental Factors (31/10/2024)
Introduction
In today's trading session on October 31, 2024, USDJPY appears to carry a slightly bearish bias due to various fundamental drivers impacting both the US Dollar (USD) and the Japanese Yen (JPY). This article provides a detailed analysis of USDJPY, focusing on the major economic and geopolitical factors contributing to the bearish outlook. By considering both macroeconomic trends and the latest technical indicators, traders can better navigate potential setups for the USDJPY pair.
Key Fundamental Drivers Impacting USDJPY Today
1. Federal Reserve’s Dovish Policy Outlook
- The Federal Reserve has recently hinted at maintaining a dovish stance, signaling a potential pause on interest rate hikes. This policy outlook is generally bearish for the USD, as lower interest rates reduce the Dollar’s appeal to investors seeking yield. As a result, the USD could experience downward pressure against the Japanese Yen, contributing to a slight bearish bias for USDJPY.
2. Bank of Japan's Commitment to Policy Adjustments
- The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has gradually shown signs of flexibility in its yield curve control policy, which could strengthen the Yen. Any indication of a potential shift away from ultra-loose monetary policy is generally supportive for JPY, as it attracts investors looking for stability in an uncertain global environment. This shift increases the possibility of a bearish trend in USDJPY.
3. US Treasury Yields and Safe-Haven Demand
- The recent volatility in US Treasury yields has led to fluctuating demand for USD-denominated assets. Lower yields often make the Dollar less attractive, especially in comparison to the Yen, which is considered a traditional safe haven. With a potential decline in yields, demand for USD could weaken, encouraging investors to turn toward JPY and reinforcing the slight bearish outlook for USDJPY.
4. Global Economic Uncertainty and Risk Sentiment
- The recent geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties have led to higher risk aversion in the markets. In times of heightened uncertainty, the Yen benefits as a safe-haven currency. This risk-off sentiment may draw investors to JPY, increasing its strength against USD and creating bearish pressure on the USDJPY pair.
5. Japanese Economic Data
- Stronger-than-expected Japanese economic data, including stable GDP growth and improved manufacturing output, have added positive momentum to the Yen. These indicators reflect Japan’s gradual recovery, making the Yen more attractive and adding pressure on USDJPY from the Japanese side.
Technical Analysis of USDJPY (31/10/2024)
From a technical perspective, USDJPY trades below its 50-day moving average, a signal commonly associated with bearish trends. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) also hovers near the 40 level, suggesting potential downside momentum. Key support levels around 147.50 and resistance near 150.00 should be monitored.
Key Support: 147.50
Key Resistance: 150.00
Conclusion: USDJPY Outlook for 31/10/2024
Given today’s fundamentals and technical conditions, USDJPY exhibits a slightly bearish bias. Factors such as the Federal Reserve’s dovish stance, the BOJ’s gradual policy adjustments, and risk aversion in global markets are all contributing to the current outlook. However, traders should remain attentive to any unexpected shifts in global economic data or central bank announcements.
For those watching the USDJPY today, focusing on these fundamental drivers and key support levels can provide valuable insights for trading the pair amid a slightly bearish sentiment.
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NZDUSD Daily Outlook: Slight Bullish Bias Amid Today !!NZDUSD Daily Outlook: Slight Bullish Bias Amid Current Market Conditions (31/10/2024)
Introduction
As we delve into today’s trading session, the NZDUSD pair shows signs of a slightly bullish bias due to a combination of fundamental drivers and current market conditions. This article provides a comprehensive analysis of the NZDUSD's outlook on October 31, 2024, shedding light on the key factors impacting the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) and the US Dollar (USD) in today’s trading environment. With the right blend of technical and fundamental insights, we aim to offer valuable insights for traders considering NZDUSD positions.
Key Fundamental Drivers Impacting NZDUSD Today
1. China's Economic Growth and Its Influence on NZD
- The New Zealand Dollar, a commodity-linked currency, closely correlates with China's economic health due to New Zealand's export reliance. Recent reports suggest a moderate recovery in China's industrial and manufacturing data, which bodes well for NZD. Increased demand for New Zealand exports, especially dairy, bolsters the Kiwi's outlook, creating an overall positive sentiment for NZDUSD.
2. Federal Reserve’s Dovish Stance
- A significant driver for NZDUSD is the Federal Reserve’s dovish stance, with expectations for a pause on future rate hikes. This has resulted in a softer USD as investors anticipate fewer rate hikes going forward. A dovish Fed policy tends to weaken the USD, increasing the attractiveness of the NZD and slightly tilting NZDUSD towards bullishness.
3. New Zealand's Stable Economic Indicators
- New Zealand’s recent economic data reveals consistent GDP growth, low unemployment rates, and a robust labor market. This stability has created an optimistic environment for the New Zealand Dollar. Additionally, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has maintained a steady rate outlook, supporting the Kiwi by keeping investors interested in NZD assets due to positive yields.
4. US Treasury Yield Fluctuations and Its Impact on USD
- The ongoing fluctuations in US Treasury yields have contributed to the USD's recent mixed performance. A decline in yields typically makes the USD less attractive, as lower yields reduce the appeal for foreign investors. As a result, NZDUSD may benefit from a weaker USD, supporting a bullish bias in today’s trading.
5. Market Sentiment and Risk Appetite
- Recent geopolitical tensions and global market fluctuations have impacted the broader market sentiment. The Kiwi typically gains when there is a higher risk appetite among investors. As volatility stabilizes, we may see increased demand for higher-yielding currencies, which could strengthen NZDUSD’s position, albeit moderately.
Technical Analysis of NZDUSD (31/10/2024)
Looking at today’s technical setup for NZDUSD, the pair trades above its 50-day moving average, a potential bullish indicator. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits near the 60 mark, indicating a neutral to slightly bullish sentiment. Support levels at 0.5850 and resistance near 0.5920 will be critical zones to monitor.
Key Support: 0.5850
Key Resistance: 0.5920
Conclusion: NZDUSD Outlook for 31/10/2024
With today’s economic data and current sentiment, the NZDUSD pair leans towards a slightly bullish outlook. Strong economic fundamentals from New Zealand, coupled with a softer US Dollar from a dovish Federal Reserve stance, are influencing the pair's potential upward movement. However, traders should stay vigilant to potential changes in Treasury yields and any abrupt shifts in global risk sentiment.
By focusing on today’s fundamental and technical drivers, NZDUSD traders can better gauge the market’s slight bullish bias.
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#Solana #SOL price is holding up better than #BTCCRYPTOCAP:SOL is holding up better than CRYPTOCAP:BTC
At least this conclusion can be drawn from the behavior of the assets in Q2 2024.
While #BTCUSDT price is being adjusted, #Solana buyers have managed to repel sellers' attacks 4 times over the past 3 months.
So:
1️⃣ as long as the #SOLUSDT price is trading above $120, this is a "long picture", perhaps even with sky-high targets of $650+
2️⃣ consolidation of the #SOLUSD price below the "red zone" can stimulate a good shedding to $90, and maybe even to $70
(maybe #FTX liquidators will find a large CRYPTOCAP:SOL "stash" and decide to sell it... and the crypto media will blow this event out of proportion, or something like that...)
So, what are your expectations for the #SOLUSDC price by the end of this year?
PEPEUSDT
To Whom It May Concern,
This is the meme coin PEPE on perpetual, using high leverage for meme coin degens. On the daily time frame, things are looking bearish. Yesterday closed with a red doji, and today started in the red. This bearish action is unfolding just below the 200-day moving average and the black resistance.
"Volume is also low, which reinforces my bearish outlook!"
I don't know about you, but to me, this looks bearish. Do you have a different opinion? Feel free to share it in the comments!
Not financial advice. Stay safe!
XAUUSD - Profit Taking as per usual by NY
The recent drop in gold appears to be a classic profit-taking move by algorithms using the latest economic data as a justification to temporarily drive prices lower.
Despite some stronger U.S. data, nothing has fundamentally shifted in terms of gold’s long-term outlook.
Fundamental Justification:
Inflation Stability: Core inflation indicators remain steady, reinforcing gold’s appeal as a hedge against inflation.
Interest Rate Expectations: The Federal Reserve is expected to hold rates steady, with markets leaning toward potential rate cuts next year, which is typically bullish for gold.
Global Uncertainty: Persistent geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties still make gold attractive as a safe haven.
In essence, the recent pullback is more about short-term positioning rather than a change in the fundamental landscape for gold, keeping the overall bullish view intact with $2,790 as a reasonable upside target.
Target: Given the previous high of $2,790, we should expect a return to this level as per usuual.
Breakdown:
Fundamentals: 85/100 – Supportive due to inflation concerns, steady rates, and safe-haven appeal amidst global uncertainties.
Technical Outlook: 75/100 – Some short-term selling pressure, but the trend remains positive with a high likelihood of retesting previous highs.
The score reflects strong underlying bullish support with a high probability of a return to previous levels, though some short-term volatility from profit-taking will obviously persist.
Polkadot Critical Momentum - Since 2015, Bitcoin showed me a glimpse of what decentralization could achieve – true empowerment of people through a trustless, resilient network.
- By 2020, Polkadot amplified that vision for me, giving projects the freedom to build their own blockchains and putting governance back in the hands of the people. It may seem utopian, but Bitcoin has already proven it's possible with POW (proof of work).
- In this 2024 pre-bull market, I’ve heavily watched BNB, Solana, and Toncoin bring in impressive profits.
- I’ve followed these projects since their inception. BNB, tied closely to Binance, shares its fate—if Binance falters, so will BNB. Solana’s development team holds substantial control, often restarting the blockchain when it encounters issues, which raises questions about its decentralization. Similarly, Toncoin’s future is tied to Telegram’s success, meaning that if Telegram fades, Toncoin would likely follow.
- All three projects – BNB, Solana, and Toncoin – have been heavily influenced by hype, memes, and venture capital backing.
- Back to the trend :
- Polkadot is at a critical juncture: if it doesn't break the downtrend, it could easily slide back to $3.60 or less, if it breaks up $5.50 is the next critical point.
- Cryptos remain highly volatile and unpredictable. Invest wisely, do your own research (DYOR), and approach each projects with caution.
Happy Tr4Ding!
Dow Jones Futures November GameplanWhat I see is that the market is still in a bearish correction phase. I was wrong about it trying to bounce off of the September FOMC High.
November 1st is Non Farm Payrolls
November 5th is Election Day
November 7th is FOMC. This is the most important day of the month.
November 13th is CPI
November 28th is Thanksgiving
I am really curious as to where price will be on November 7th on FOMC. I won't really know until I see that candle.
To me, what is happening is countertrend bearish into support. Trying to form a bottom at 41,300 and then bounce off of that support. I am curious to see if price will get within a hair of the July FOMC purple line but NOT break it. I bet that this price is defended and will not get touched.
Using range expansion of the top, I have it in 0.5 increments.
Price is still in a downtrend. It was forming a consolidation between 0.5 and 1.0 before the next leg of the downtrend fell through. It is now currently in-between 1.5 and 2.0.
Price seems to be forming resistance levels at the half levels and support levels at the whole levels.
2.5 times range expansions are the Dow's favorite to hit before reversing.
I am expecting price to hit the green line and NOT BREACH the purple FOMC level from July.
We are very close to a full blown out bullrun in 2025"The whole model consists of 5 submodels:
0. Days t since GB to normalized blocks h = Blocks/210k piecewise linear transformation (Preliminary step).
1. Power Law (log-log linear regression) over h. BTC = h^5.4*10^1.5
2. Diminishing return bands. -0.79^(h+0.9)<deviation of Log10(BTC) from the Log10 of the PL <+5/3*0.79^(h+0.9)
3. Harmonic oscillator with diminishing amplitude. Sin(2pi*h)
4. Time delay learning curve G(h)/2pi.
5. Lines and zones inside the bands.
That is all. Nothing else! Just verify the math."
Leo Heart
#MASK (SPOT) entry range( 1.940- 2.440) T.(4.549 ) SL( 1.826 )BINANCE:MASKUSDT
entry range ( 1.940- 2.440)
Target1 (3.581 ) - Target2 ( 4.549 )
SL .1D close below (1.826 ).
*** Collect the coin slowly in the entry range ***
*** No FOMO - No RUSH - it is a long journey ***
**** #Manta #OMNI #DYM #AI #IO #XAI #ACE #NFP #RAD #WLD #ORDI #BLUR #SUI #VOXEL #AEVO #VITE #APE #RDNT #FLUX #NMR #VANRY #TRB #HBAR #DGB #XEC #ERN #ALT #IO #ACA #HIVE #ASTR #ARDR #PIXEL #LTO #AERGO #SCRT #ATA #HOOK #FLOW #KSM #HFT #MINA #DATA #SC #JOE #RDNT #IQ #CFX #BICO #CTSI #KMD #FXS #DEGO #FORTH # AST #PORTAL #CYBER #CLV #RIF #ENJ #ZIL #APT #MAV #ZRX #RENDER #THETA #CHZ #MASK ****
#MANA/USDT#MANA
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is sticking to it well
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel and we are now touching this support at 0.2980
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the 100 moving average
Entry price 0.2988
First target 0.3045
Second target 0.3121
Third target 0.3200