Trend Analysis
CADJPY BEARISH SETUP💱 CAD/JPY Reversal Watch: Bearish Pressure Builds Below Resistance
4-Hour Candlestick Chart – Analysis as of June 30, 2025
The CAD/JPY pair is showing signs of weakening momentum after repeated failures to break above the key 106.000 resistance level. This suggests growing downside pressure and increased chances of a corrective move in the near term.
🔍 Key Technical Levels
🟥 Current Price: 105.481
🚫 Resistance Zone: Around 106.000 — multiple rejections signal seller dominance
🛡️ Key Support Level: 104.000 — acting as the downside magnet
📉 Downward Arrow: Suggests bearish directional sentiment remains intact
🧠 Technical Interpretation
📌 Price action is forming a lower high, a classic sign of a potential short-term reversal.
📌 Repeated failures near the 106.000 mark highlight resistance strength and declining bullish interest.
📌 A drop below 105.000 could intensify downside momentum, with the 104.000 support as the next major level.
📌 For bulls to regain control, the pair must reclaim 106.000 with solid buying volume.
USD/JPY Consolidation Triangle – Breakout WatchThe USD/JPY pair is currently trading inside a well-formed symmetrical triangle pattern on the daily chart. This structure typically forms when the market is in a phase of consolidation, with neither buyers nor sellers able to break the range. Price is compressing between a horizontal resistance zone (~146.50) and a rising support line (~143.50), indicating that a breakout in either direction may be imminent.
This triangle has formed after a sharp downtrend, followed by a broad base formation. Such setups often precede a decisive move, especially if accompanied by volume.
🔼 Upside Breakout Scenario
If price breaks and closes above the resistance zone (above 146.50–147.00) with bullish confirmation, we can expect momentum to shift in favor of buyers. A confirmed breakout would open the path toward 150.00+, possibly even retesting the highs of 2024 near 152.00. This would be seen as a bullish reversal after a prolonged downtrend.
🔽 Downside Breakdown Scenario
Alternatively, if price fails to hold the rising trendline and breaks below the 143.00–142.50 support zone, it may confirm a bearish breakdown. This would suggest a continuation of the earlier downtrend with fresh bearish momentum targeting 140.00 and lower levels.
🧭 Trade Strategy Consideration
Bullish Plan: Buy breakout above 147.00 with SL below 145.50 and TP near 150.50–152.00
Bearish Plan: Sell breakdown below 142.50 with SL above 144.00 and TP near 140.00–138.00
Neutral Bias: Wait for breakout confirmation; no trade inside the triangle
This is a tight volatility setup where breakout traders should stay alert. The longer the consolidation, the stronger the breakout move tends to be.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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BIGTIME/USDT Ready to Explode! End of a Long Downtrend? Breakout🧠 Chart Pattern & Technical Structure:
✅ Main Pattern: Descending Triangle Breakout Setup
A Descending Triangle has formed from the 2023 high to mid-2025, indicating consolidation after a strong downtrend.
Strong horizontal support between $0.05266 – $0.06550 has been tested multiple times, showing strong accumulation in this zone.
The downtrend resistance line is being squeezed, suggesting a potential breakout is imminent if price closes strongly above it.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If the price successfully breaks above the diagonal resistance:
1. Breakout confirmation would be a strong 4D candle close above $0.08788.
2. Bullish price targets based on historical resistance zones and Fibonacci levels:
🎯 $0.10728 (initial resistance)
🎯 $0.22137 – $0.25000 (strong psychological and technical resistance)
🎯 $0.31966 (former consolidation zone)
🎯 $0.52908 – $0.73257 (major supply zone)
🎯 Ultimate Target: $0.99500
🟢 A rise in volume and a clear higher high would further confirm the bullish trend continuation.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If price fails to break out and falls below the strong support zone:
1. A breakdown below $0.05266 could lead to:
🔻 $0.04000
🔻 $0.02800
🔻 $0.02000 – $0.01450 (extreme support zone)
⚠️ This bearish case becomes more likely if volume weakens and market sentiment turns risk-off, especially if BTC or broader crypto trends turn bearish.
🧱 Key Support & Resistance Levels:
Strong Support: $0.06550 – $0.05266
Key Resistance: $0.08788 – $0.10728
Next Bullish Targets: $0.22137 / $0.31966 / $0.52908 / $0.73257
🧭 Conclusion:
BIGTIME/USDT is at a critical turning point. A bullish breakout from the descending triangle could trigger a significant upside move. However, caution is advised if the price fails to hold support. Wait for confirmation of breakout before entering heavy positions.
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Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Monday, 30th June 2024)Bias: No Bias
USD News(Red Folder):
-None
Notes:
- Strong bearish closure on weekly
- Price is rejecting on 0.618fib level
- Potential BUY/SELL if there's
confirmation on lower timeframe
- Pivot point: 3300, 3225
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
US Treasury 10Y Technical Outlook June 30-July 4 (Updated Daily)US Treasury 10Y Technical Outlook June 30-July 4
Overnight
On June 27, 2025, the US 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.26% after five sessions of decline, as markets anticipate earlier Fed rate cuts. Recent data, including subdued PCE inflation, a sharp drop in May consumer spending, a 0.5% Q1 GDP contraction, and rising jobless claims since 2021, support these expectations. Fed Chair Powell’s dovish congressional remarks and potential new Fed leadership by September or October further bolster a dovish policy outlook.
Economic Release for the Week www.myfxbook.com
Technical Outlook
On the monthly chart, , we can see that price is trading below the 50% level of the previous month’s, May, range showing bullishness in price. Weekly chart, , we can see the previous week low (PWL) has been broken and closed through suggesting the yield could continue to fall and im looking at 4.24% as a target for the week. Daily Chart, we can see that it did not break Thursday’s low instead priced bounced and gave a green candle. This tells e that there’s a possibility of a technical correction. Im looking at the daily supply area (D -OB 4.332%) for a possible target.
**Disclaimer:**
The technical analyses provided herein are based solely on my personal analysis and are intended for my own study and reference. They do not constitute a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. Any decision made by individuals based on this analysis is their own responsibility, and I assume no liability for any losses or damages incurred as a result of using this information. It is advisable to conduct thorough research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
XAUUSD June 29,2025🟦 XAUUSD Analysis – June 29, 2025
Market Structure:
Price is in a bearish trend on the 1H timeframe.
Liquidity is resting below a recent low around $3,240 (Sell-Side Liquidity – SSL).
There is a visible Order Block (OB) around $3,310–$3,320, which could act as a magnet if price reverses.
Anticipated Move (Blue Path):
1. Price is expected to drop below the SSL to trigger stop-losses and collect liquidity.
2. After the liquidity grab, a bullish reversal is likely.
3. Price may then rally toward the OB, which could act as resistance or a point for institutional selling.
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🔎 Probability Breakdown:
Event: Break below SSL (~$3,240)
Likelihood: ✅ High
Note: Classic liquidity grab setup
Event: Bullish reversal after sweep
Likelihood: ⚠️ Moderate–High
Note: Wait for confirmation (BOS, FVG, bullish candle)
Event: Rally to OB (~$3,310–$3,320)
Likelihood: ⚠️ Moderate
Note: Depends on bullish structure forming
Event: Rejection from OB
Likelihood: ✅ High
Note: OB may act as supply zone
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⚠️ Caution:
This scenario is only valid if price grabs SSL first.
No entry should be made without a proper bullish confirmation (e.g., break of structure, fair value gap fill, or strong bullish candle).
Always use risk management – this is a hypothetical setup, not financial advice.
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BERT – Positioning Early for Post-July Breakout - 10centsMEXC:BERTUSDT may take a few more weeks before it starts to surge.
Slowly building a position in this area—there’s a weaker downtrend signal off the local top that expires around July 21.
After that, I see a solid chance for trend continuation and potential new highs into late July or early August.
Yearly Open is the near-term target, but expecting a move toward 10c by year-end.
DXY 4hour TF - June 29th, 2025DXY 6/29/25
DXY Bearish Idea
All significant timeframes (monthly,weekly,daily 4hr) appear bearish for now.
Last week on June 25th, 2025 we saw price action break through our 98.000 zone confirming more bearish movement. This week we have two likely options that we will wait for confirmation on.
Bearish Continuation - Ideally we keep with the trend and look for lower highs below 98.000 for further confirmation. If we can spot rejection from this zone it is likely we will see DXY continue bearish for the week ahead.
Reversal - This is less likely but still possible. Price action could punch back through the 98.000 resistance and begin retesting previous highs. If this happens look for candlestick confirmation above 98.000 and expect a more bullish DXY for the week ahead.
GOLD. Why is Gold Rising Again?The yellow metal is one again receiving support driven by two main factors. The first is the continued risk of failure in the negotiations between Tehran and Tel Aviv. The second is related to the chronic weakness of the U.S. dollar amid the American economy slipping into a recession, which may persist for a prolonged period, and the uncertainty surrounding the future global impact of Donald Trump's customs tariff policy.
From a technical perspective, gold prices continue to be in a long-term upward trend. The bullish momentum, driven by the aforementioned reasons, may continue after breaking and consolidating above the 3340 level.
Technical Outlook and Trading Idea:
The price is trading above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, as well as above the 5-and 14-period SMAs , which have crossed and are giving a buy signal. The RSI is crossing the 50% mark, also indicating a buy. the Stochastic Oscillator is above 50% and continues to rise.
In this situation, I believe gold should be bought, with a potential rise toward 3384. A likely entry point for a buy position could be considered around 3347.
TECHNICALS: Gold on buythrough out last week gold made a reversal pattern on the 1HR TF. It might touch the 3250 price level before heading to the 3350 take profit level this week or it could take off directly from the range it closed at last week. either way, gold is heading for a buy this week based on technical analysis. have a wonderful trading week ahead!!!
Stellar (XLM): Possible Buying Opportunity | Price Near SupportStellar coin has been forming some sort of bullish trend, where price has reached the lower side of that trend where buyers took over the area.
Now we are looking for that same momentum to continue and break the EMAs, which would then lead the price towards the upper side of the bullish trend.
Swallow Academy
NG1! BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
NG1! SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3.737
Target Level: 3.205
Stop Loss: 4.089
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Gold Wave Analysis – 30 June 2025
- Gold reversed from support level 3250.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 3400.00
Gold recently reversed up from the support level 3250.00 (which stopped wave (b) at the end of May, as can be seen from the daily Gold chart below) intersecting with the lower daily Bollinger Band and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from May.
The support level 3250.00 was further strengthened by the upward-sloping support trendline from February.
Given the clear daily uptrend, Gold can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 3400.00, which stopped the previous short-term correction ii.
COST Daily Chart Analysis: Key Levels, and Price StructureCostco Wholesale Corporation (COST)
Historical Context and Trend Channel:
From September 2024 through early 2025, COST was observed trading within a well-defined upward channel (indicated by the grey shaded areas). This channel represented a consistent bullish trend during that period. However, the price subsequently broke below the lower boundary of this channel around March 2025, suggesting a shift in the established trend.
Key Price Levels Identified:
Strong Support Level (870 to 880): Marked by the light blue shaded zone, this level has historically acted as a robust floor for the price, demonstrating strong buying interest on multiple occasions.
Good Level (930 to 940): The orange shaded area indicates an intermediate support zone. Should the immediate support fail, this level could come into play as the next area of interest for potential buyers.
1st Support (970 to 980): This green shaded area represents the most immediate support level based on recent price action. The price has recently found support within this range.
Key Resistance (1010): The horizontal red line with circled points highlights a critical overhead resistance level. This level has seen prior rejections, making it a significant hurdle for any sustained upward movement. It also appears to act as a potential "neckline" for current price formations.
Target (1060 to 1070): The red shaded zone at the top represents a significant resistance area and a prior peak. If the "Key Resistance -1010" is overcome, this zone could become the next potential target.
Recent Price Action and Pattern Observations:
Following the break from the long-term uptrend channel, COST rallied to form a peak around the "Target 1060 to 1070" zone in May. The subsequent decline from this peak, followed by a bounce and another attempt at the "Key Resistance -1010" level, suggests the formation of a potential "M" top or double top pattern if 1010 holds. More recently, the price has pulled back to test the "1st Support 970 to 980" zone. The current price action around 988.07 indicates that COST is trading between this immediate support and the "Key Resistance -1010" level. The chart illustrates two potential paths (dotted blue lines):
1. A move upward, challenging and potentially breaking above the "Key Resistance -1010" to target the 1060-1070 zone. This would align with a potential bullish "W" pattern formation if the 1st support holds.
2. A decline to retest the "Good Level 930 to 940" before a potential rebound.
The "Key Resistance -1010" level remains pivotal. A sustained break above it could signal further upside, while rejection from this level could lead to a retest of lower support zones.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.