Trend Analysis
Fri 4th Apr 2025 XAG/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a XAG/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Gold retreats but remains supported by macro tailwindsXAUUSD pared recent gains following a retreat below the channel's upper bound and resistance at 3150. The price remains in an uptrend, holding above the Ichimoku Cloud and within the ascending channel. However, should the price experience a retracement, a throwback to the 3050 support may occur. Conversely, regaining its bullish momentum and closing above 3150 could prompt a further rise to the following resistance at 3220.
Gold pulled back sharply from record highs after Trump's tariffs excluded precious metals, easing immediate supply concerns, but the broader backdrop remains favorable. Central bank buying, expectations of rate cuts, and persistent geopolitical risks underpin demand, even as short-term profit-taking kicks in. While volatility may persist, the metal's role as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty keeps its long-term bullish case intact.
By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
Is it time for a relief for the Yen?After a severe beating by the USD especially the tumultous rise inflation, Japans currency is gonna look for some relief as Tariifs will clearly lead to an economic slowdown of U.S economy, as more cheap stuff from China and the emerging market will clearly look to rise and that may weigh on consumer sentiment.
🟨 - Head abd Shoulders
🟥🔘 - Price/RSI Deviation
GOLD Bullish Trend Continues After FVG Test🟢 GOLD is maintaining strong bullish momentum after successfully testing a Fair Value Gap (FVG). A Break of Structure (BOS) confirms the uptrend, with higher lows forming—a clear sign of continuation.
📊 Analysis:
✅ Bullish Trend: The price structure confirms an uptrend with higher highs and higher lows.
✅ Fake Reversal Break of Structure (BOS): A key level has been broken, signaling reversal but based on current momentum that follows it shows Buyers continued strength.
✅ FVG Test Success: Price respected the Fair Value Gap, reinforcing buying pressure.
✅ 🎯 Target: , aligning with .
✅ 📈 Momentum: Strong upward drive suggests further gains ahead.
🔮 Potential Scenario:
The price is likely to continue climbing, forming a new higher high toward the target level.
📢 Confirmation Signals to Watch:
📌 Volume: Increasing volume on bullish moves.
📌 Candlestick Patterns: Bullish signals at key support levels.
📌 Moving Averages: Price holding above critical moving averages.
📌 🚨 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly and conduct your own research.
🔗 Tags:
#GOLD #XAUUSD #Bullish #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #FVG #BreakOfStructure #TrendAnalysis #PriceAction #MarketAnalysis
OptionsMastery: Looking at a H&S on VST! 🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
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Bitcoin Wave Analysis – 3 April 2025
- Bitcoin reversed from resistance level 87785.00
- Likely to fall to support level 78650.00
Bitcoin cryptocurrency recently reversed down from the resistance level 87785.00 (which stopped wave A at the end of March), intersecting with the daily down channel from January and the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from the resistance level 87785.00 will form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Evening Star – if the price closes today near the current levels.
Bitcoin cryptocurrency can be expected to fall to the next support level 78650.00 (which has been reversing the price from February).
RCL Eiffel Tower CAUTION!RCL is in a very capital-heavy industry that is very economically sensitive.
Normally I would say from erections some corrections. However this has the Eiffel Tower structure in place for a full-on reversal. That remains to be seen. For now, we look for at least a correction and go from there.
Caution is in order if you are long.
DKNG Update | Second Fractal | Extended TargetsPrice action looks very similar to the '23 Q3 play where we saw a double bottom move taking off from $26 - $49 which is also the ABC move that carried the 3rd impulse wave of the original fractal.
We're still in correction wave 4 and are about to start wave 5 shortly from now to July.
It's possible we could see price action higher than $74 based on the new fractal overlay and with the help of the fib extension.
Is gold going to be eclipsed?
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Timeframe: 240 Min
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The price action suggests a completed impulse structure originating from the 2833 low, with gold now trading at an all-time high. Based on cluster zones and Fibonacci extensions, wave (5) still has the potential to extend toward the 3150-3200 range. This zone represents a key resistance level where buying momentum may slow down, signaling an impending shift in market dynamics.
Once wave (5) completes, it will mark the end of wave ((3)) of a higher degree, setting the stage for a corrective move. A retracement toward the previous wave (4) level is expected as wave ((4)) develops, aligning with historical corrective behavior after extended rallies. This phase will provide crucial insights into the market’s next major move. Stay tuned for further updates.
Long EURUSD retest of breakout levels
Macro outlook for the remainder of the week
Upcoming News
US NFP at 430pm Fri
USD downside
Bad NFP report
USD upside
Good NFP report
News review
Liberation Day - Full-scale tariff were definitely not a good thing for the USD as investor fear of it causing a recession is currently outweighing the potential of keeping interest rates high to prevent inflation from running hot. Price has voted this way, so let's keep with it. The risk to this thesis is if Powell comes out and convinces the market that he will focus on inflation over all else and take a hard stance similar to volcker. Then we switch fundamental views.
Technical view
Breakout of the previous levels at 1.0954
With NFP coming up, I'm looking for a retrace back to near the breakout level before it, then take a high RR bet for the trend to continue to the upside.
Timeframe of bet → Till Friday around NFP
Price level of interest → 1.099 to 1.0954
Execution
Price alert set
Look for price to touch the area, and reverse
SL: 1.093 for now. Will be determined based of reversal candle and what's the low of the retracement move.
TP: Highs of 1.11
Results of ideas thus far:
Number of trades: 1
WR: 0%
Profit: -0.1R
Notes: This is currently for personal practice to write out trade ideas. Feedback is welcome, and please don't mind if none of this makes sense.
Let's cover the action of some instruments as we get the NFPLet's see what's happening with the market as we get the NFP number live.
Let's dig in!
MARKETSCOM:DOLLARINDEX
TVC:DXY
TVC:GOLD
FRED:SP500
FX_IDC:EURUSD
MARKETSCOM:EURUSD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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BankNifty levels - Apr 07, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
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