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Trend Analysis

AUDUSD Setup – Sell into Strength We look to Sell at 0.628 The primary trend is still bearish, and although we’re seeing a short-term bounce, rallies are likely to be capped near 0.628, which lines up with bespoke resistance and yesterday’s high. 🔽 Preferred Trade: Sell into rallies toward 0.628 🎯 Targets: First support: 0.625 Second support: 0.623 Momentum remains in favor of the bears unless price breaks above that resistance zone. We trade what we see—not what we feel.
Short
by Eleazarahmath
1
The long-short game of gold at high levels is intensifyingAfter continuing to rise, gold fell from its highs during yesterday's US trading session to test the 3100 integer support, and then stabilized and rebounded. After today's shock repair, the gold price finally stood above 3100, showing an overall strong trend. However, from the technical structure, the upward trend line at the hourly level has been broken, and the price has turned to horizontal horizontal operation, entering a high-level wide-range shock adjustment stage. At present, gold is in a typical long-short stalemate, and the key resistance above is in the 3134-3127 area, which is both the previous high and an important top-bottom conversion pressure zone. If this resistance area can be effectively broken, the gold price is expected to further test the 3150 mark. The primary support below is the 3105-3113 range. The gains and losses in this area will determine the short-term long-short trend. If this support is lost, it may trigger a deeper correction, testing key support levels such as 3085 and 3070-3065 in turn. Although gold has shown initial signs of stagflation, it is recommended to still take the low-long strategy as the main idea and the high-short strategy as the auxiliary before the short trend is clearly formed. In terms of specific operations, short orders can be arranged in the 3134-3140 area, with the stop loss set above 3150, the target is 3115, and further down to the 3100 mark; at the same time, long orders can be tried in the 3100-3105 area, with the stop loss set below 3090, and the targets are 3130 and 3150 respectively. The current market is at a critical turning point. Investors need to pay close attention to the breakthrough direction of the wide range of 3100-3150, and pay attention to controlling positions, strictly stop losses, and guard against sudden volatility risks. Before the trend becomes clear, it is recommended to maintain flexible operations and avoid excessive pursuit of gains and losses.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Wealth-Helmsman
GOOGL Testing Key Support: Breakdown or Bounce from $150? 🧠 Macro Context: In the wake of the Trump tariff announcement, market-wide risk aversion hit big tech hard. GOOGL is now sitting on a crucial $150 gamma support zone, where both technical and options flow converge. The market is indecisive: is this a base or a trap? 📊 Technical Analysis (1H Chart) Market Structure: * GOOGL has been in a consistent downtrend, rejecting lower highs. * Attempted recovery stalled at the HVL around $152.50, and now price is back down to support near $150.66. * The short-term trendline from the late March breakdown has held, acting as dynamic resistance. Key Levels: * Support: * 🔻 $150.66 = Recent session low * 🔻 $149 = PUT wall / breakdown risk zone * Resistance: * 🔺 $152.50 = HVL rejection zone * 🔺 $155 = First GEX resistance area * 🔺 $160 = Massive Gamma Wall / Call Resistance Indicators: * Selling volume continues to be elevated. * No real sign of divergence or bottoming pattern yet, but price is coiling near a gamma pivot. 🧨 GEX & Options Flow Analysis GEX Map (Options GEX ): * GEX: 🔴🔴🔴 — heavy short gamma positioning means dealers are sellers into strength, adding fuel to downside momentum if $150 breaks. * Highest Net Positive GEX / Call Wall sits around: * $160–162.5 = Gamma resistance cluster * Put Support: * $150–149 = Highest PUT density. A break below could trigger dealer hedging flows, accelerating losses. Options Oscillator: * IVR 75.3 → Elevated risk expectations. * IVx 40.6 avg vs 3.48% daily → Volatility is rising but hasn't spiked. * PUT$ 0% → Either the data is delayed or retail isn't hedging — could mean more downside is possible. 🧭 Trade Scenarios 🐻 Bearish Breakdown Setup: * Trigger: Clean break below $150.60 with volume * Target: $149 → $147.50 * Stop: Above $152.50 (tight control) * Edge: GEX confirms no real support below $149 🐂 Gamma Bounce Setup: * Trigger: $150 holds and price reclaims $152.50 * Target: $155 → $160 (scalp to swing) * Stop: $149 breakdown 🔥 Summary: GOOGL is coiled at the gamma pivot zone ($150). If it breaks, the lack of strong PUT interest and dealer short gamma could trigger a fast move down to $147 or lower. On the flip side, a strong bounce and reclaim of $152.50 can open up a path toward $155–$160. ⚔️ Suggested Plays: 🔻 Buy $150P 0DTE/2DTE on breakdown — ride momentum
🔺 Buy $155C 1-week expiry only if $152.50 is reclaimed with strength Stay nimble — we’re in a gamma battlefield. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade your own plan, manage your risk, and stay objective.
NASDAQ:GOOGL
by BullBearInsights
MSFT Under Pressure: Will Gamma Support at $370 Hold? 🧠 Market Context: Following the Trump tariff announcement, risk-off sentiment is dominating tech. MSFT, while usually defensive within mega-cap tech, has cracked below its short-term HVL and is now testing a key gamma pivot zone at $370, right where the PUT Support is clustered. 📊 Technical Analysis (1H Chart) Structure: * Price has formed a lower high and broke down from the $377.50 HVL area. * Multiple rejections near $387–390, which aligns with GEX call resistance. * It's now hugging $370, a key support level that could turn into a breakdown zone if breached. Levels: * Support: * 🔹 $370 = PUT Support (Gamma Cluster) * 🔹 $367.24 = recent low * 🔹 Below $367, air pocket to $360 zone * Resistance: * 🔺 $375 = minor supply & failed bounce spot * 🔺 $377.50 = HVL * 🔺 $385–390 = heavy call resistance Indicators: * Elevated selling volume on each lower high suggests distribution. * If $370 fails to hold, expect continuation toward $367 and possibly $360. 🔥 GEX & Options Flow Analysis GEX Map: * GEX: 🔴🔴🔴 → Dealers short gamma below $375 * Put Support: * $370 = Highest Gamma PUT Support * $367.24 = Real market low from March 28–29 selloff * Call Walls: * $385–390 = Dealer sell zone * $392 = Gamma ceiling * $396 = Major rejection level from recent highs Options Oscillator: * IVR 71.2 → Traders are buying volatility, indicating fear. * IVx avg 32.3 vs IVx 3.32% → Still rising vol, near-term bearish bias * PUT$ 10% → Surprisingly low, but this could reflect late hedging, not bullishness. 🧭 Trade Scenarios 🐻 Bearish Breakdown: * Entry: Break and close below $370 * Target: $367 → $360 * Stop: $374 (tight risk control) * Confirmation: Watch SPY and QQQ breakdowns in sync. 🐂 Bullish Gamma Bounce: * Entry: Hold above $370 + reclaim $375 * Target: $385 → $390 (scalp target) * Stop: Close under $369 🧠 Summary: MSFT is hanging by a thread — the $370 zone is the battle line. GEX shows it as a PUT-heavy support, but with dealers short gamma, any break could cascade into forced sell hedging. A bounce could trigger a dead cat rally toward $385, but bulls will need to reclaim $377.50 to make that happen. ⚔️ Trade Idea: Buy $365P (1-week expiry) if $370 breaks with volume
Buy $385C only on confirmed reclaim of $377.50 + strength in QQQ This is a dealer-controlled zone, so price will likely whip around until gamma flips. Disclaimer: This breakdown is for educational purposes only. Always trade with proper risk management and do your own research.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by BullBearInsights
BITCOIN Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 040225Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 84,700/61.80% Chart time frame: C A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress: B A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by fibonacci6180
Gold is about to set a new ATHGOLD INFORMATION: Gold prices surged to a record high above $3,100/ounce, marking one of the strongest rallies in the precious metal's history. The upward momentum is driven by multiple factors, including increased safe-haven demand due to concerns about the impact of upcoming US tariff policies, strong demand from central banks, expectations of Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate easing, geopolitical instability in the Middle East and Europe, and increased capital flows into gold-backed exchange-traded funds. Additionally, investor demand for gold is rising sharply, as evidenced by increasing inflows into exchange-traded funds, with weekly inflows reaching their highest levels since March 2022, signaling a rush into the precious metal. BRIAN's Personal Commentary: The context of everything from technical to political and economic factors is supporting gold price increases in the first quarter of 2025. Gold prices are likely to achieve their highest growth rate in history. Gold Setup: XAUUSD BUY ZONE 3133-3130 SL: 3126 TP: 3135-3137-open Technical Analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance zones to establish reasonable BUY orders. IMPORTANT NOTE: Note: Brian wants traders to manage their capital well - Use appropriate lot sizes according to your capital - Take profit at 4-6% of account capital - Cut losses at 2-3% of account capital
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianCarter
2
FTM/USD 1D ChartHello everyone, let's look at the 1D FTM to USD chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in a descending triangle where we are approaching the moment of trying to choose the direction in which the price can go further. Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price has to face: T1 = 0.66 USD T2 = 0.81 USD Т3 = 0.93 USD Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall: SL1 = 0.44 USD SL2 = 0.31 USD SL3 = 0.21 USD If we look at the MACD indicator we can see a return to a local downtrend, however we are still in a place where the trend can reverse and surprise us with growth.
CRYPTO:FTMUSD
by cryptodailyuk
Silver Wave Analysis – 2 April 2025- Silver reversed from the support area - Likely to rise to the resistance level 34.50 Silver recently reversed up from the support zone between the support level 33.50 (former monthly high from February), 20-day moving average, support trendline from February and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from March. The upward reversal from this support area continues the active impulse waves iii, 3 and (C) – inside which Silver has been moving since December. Given the strong daily uptrend, Silver can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 34.50 (the former monthly high from last month).
FX_IDC:XAGUSDLong
by FxProGlobal
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Long
by Thief_Trader
DOW JONES You will regret not taking this buyDow Jones / US30 remains under heavy selling pressure as it has been yet again rejected under the 1week MA50, failing to hold the closings over it of the past 3 candles. This is the strongest correction of the index since the September 26th 2022 bottom and the start of the Channel Up. Despite the negatives, the 1week RSI is almost on the 37.50 level, which is where the last higher low of the Channel Up was formed on October 23rd 2023, again under the 1week MA50. Obviously even though the downside may continue for a few more days, the extent is limited technically, especially since the worst of the tariffs have been priced and only new and more aggressive ones can inflict more non-technical fear on the market. This is a unique long term buy opportunity, the likes of which saw 2 rallies before of +21.10%. Even in the event of one more dip, a 48000 target towards the end of the year is very realistic. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
TVC:DJILong
by TheCryptagon
4-hr SMI20: 300 points Drop on The RadarThe Swiss stock market index is mirroring its global counterparts, such as Germany 40 and US100, experiencing a sharp decline following the announcement of new tariffs by the Trump administration yesterday. In response, we placed a sell order at 12,350, aiming to profit from the prevailing risk-off sentiment. Investors are offloading stocks, shifting towards safe-haven assets due to increasing market uncertainty. From a technical standpoint, a death cross has emerged—historically a strong bearish signal. Additionally, two consecutive Fibonacci retracement levels, which typically provide solid support, have failed to hold. Given this, we anticipate further downside toward the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, which often serves as final support. Therefore, our take-profit (TP) is set at 12,000, aligning with this level. For risk management, we have a stop-loss (SL) positioned 2% above our entry price, ensuring a controlled risk-reward ratio. With fundamentals and technicals aligned, we expect continued downward momentum in the Swiss stock market index in the short to mid-term.
SIX:SMIShort
by Trendsharks