Trend Analysis
ARUSDTmy entry on this trade idea is taken from a point of interest below an inducement (X).. I extended my stoploss area to cover for the whole swing as price can target the liquidity there before going as I anticipate.. just a trade idea, not financial advise
Entry; $5.67
Take Profit; $7.03
Stop Loss; $5.24
2 April Liberation Day: USA-Europe War Impact on ForexHi, I'm Forex Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about an event that is shaking global markets: the tariff war between the United States and Europe.
Sunday, April 2, we started in force and new American news, celebrating "Liberation Day" by President Donald Trump. These data, which include 25% tariffs on your steel, aluminum and automobiles, look to rebalance the trade deficit of the United States. However, Europe is not ready to be saved. Ursula von der Leyen, president of the European Commission, has said that Europe has not started this matter, but is ready to defend its interests with a strong plan for control2.
The tension between the economic power has caused a significant impact on the market. The European stock exchange has not recorded consistent losses, with Milan having lost 16.4 million euros. Europe has responded with tariffs to its strategic American products, such as whiskey, motorcycles and legumes, and is evaluating further measures to protect its own industry4.
Forex Impact
This commercial war will bring about repercussions directly on the Forex market. Here's what to expect:
Removal of the American Dollar (USD): Protectionist tariffs tend to reforce the dollar, as they reduce the command of foreign currencies for imports. In addition, the increase in the price could lead the Federal Reserve to modify its own monetary policy, increasing interest rates.
Volatility of European Currencies: The euro (EUR) may rise in pressures due to economic uncertainties and European constraints. Also the value of the Swedish crown (SEK) may be negatively influenced.
Opportunity for the Trader: The volatility generated by these tensions offers opportunities for the Forex trader. Significant movements and exchange rates can be completed with trading strategies soon, but fundamentally adopt rigorous risk management.
Conclusion
The tariff war between the United States and Europe represents a significant loss for the global economy and the Forex market. Tomorrow will be a crucial day, and the trader will not carefully monitor the resources to adapt their own strategy. Always advise me to do my own analysis and operate with prudence.
Happy trading everyone!
MBOXUSDTMBOXUSDT, from my perspective, is a currency that I believe has potential on a medium-term basis. I have identified key resistance areas that are likely to turn into support once reached, and the price should respect these levels during corrections.
Please note that trading is done at your own responsibility; the above is merely my opinion.
Market Analysis: USD/CAD DipsMarket Analysis: USD/CAD Dips
USD/CAD declined and now consolidates below the 1.4350 level.
Important Takeaways for USD/CAD Analysis Today
- USD/CAD started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the 1.4415 resistance.
- There was a break below a major bullish trend line
USD/CAD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/CAD at FXOpen, the pair climbed toward the 1.4420 resistance zone before the bears appeared. The US Dollar formed a swing high near 1.4415 and recently declined below the 1.4350 support against the Canadian Dollar.
There was also a close below the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.4310. There was a break below a major bullish trend line with support at 1.4310.
The bulls are now active near the 1.4300 level. The pair is now consolidating losses below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.4415 swing high to the 1.4288 low. If there is a fresh increase, the pair could face resistance near the 1.4330 level.
The next key resistance on the USD/CAD chart is near the 1.4350 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.4415 swing high to the 1.4288 low.
If there is an upside break above 1.4350, the pair could rise toward the 1.4400 resistance. The next major resistance is near the 1.4415 zone, above which it could rise steadily toward the 1.4450 resistance zone.
Immediate support is near the 1.4290 level. The first major support is near 1.4260. A close below the 1.4260 level might trigger a strong decline. In the stated case, USD/CAD might test 1.4240. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a drop toward the 1.4400 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSD:The euro is facing a "battle at key resistance levels"The EURUSD exchange rate continues its rebound momentum. Although the weak inflation data in the eurozone has strengthened the market's expectation of an interest rate cut by the ECB, the US dollar has weakened due to the risk - off sentiment triggered by Trump's tariff remarks, which has become a key factor supporting the short - term upward movement of the euro.
We can focus on the initial resistance level of 1.0880 above. If this level is not breached, one can attempt to short at high levels.
Trading strategy:
Sell@1.0880
TP:1.0780
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NIFTY weak below 23400As we can see NIFTY did try closing itself above our zone but failed and hence unless it closes above the supply zone every rise could be sold as the previously acting demand zone could now act as a strong supply zone which could show another rejection and continuation of downtrend so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching
Bullish Breakout from Falling Wedge | Upside Potential Ahead!Market Overview:
The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4-hour chart is displaying a Falling Wedge pattern, a well-known bullish reversal structure. This indicates that the downtrend is weakening, and a potential breakout could lead to a strong upside move.
🔹 Key Technical Analysis
1️⃣ Falling Wedge Formation & Breakout
Bitcoin has been trading inside a falling wedge, marked by lower highs and lower lows, signaling a contraction in volatility.
A breakout above the upper trendline of the wedge is forming, suggesting a bullish reversal and the start of an uptrend.
Falling wedges typically lead to a rally equal to the height of the pattern, giving a measured move target of $114,334.
2️⃣ Price Action & Confirmation Levels
A clean breakout above $87,000 would confirm bullish momentum.
If price successfully retests the wedge’s upper boundary and holds support, further bullish continuation is expected.
The psychological level of $100,000 could act as an interim resistance before the final target is reached.
3️⃣ Upside Target & Resistance Zones
The measured move suggests a potential rally towards $114,334, aligning with previous resistance zones.
This target represents a 30.55% gain from the breakout level.
Traders should watch for pullbacks and retests as part of the breakout confirmation.
📈 Trading Plan - Long Setup
🔹 Entry: Look for a confirmed breakout above $87,000, or a retest of support.
🔹 Stop Loss: Below $84,000, protecting against false breakouts.
🔹 Take Profit: $100,000 - $114,334 (previous resistance & measured move target).
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: Strong bullish setup with favorable upside potential.
🛑 Risk Factors to Consider
⚠️ A failed breakout and a drop below $83,000 would invalidate the bullish setup.
⚠️ External factors such as macroeconomic events, regulatory news, and BTC ETF developments could influence volatility.
Final Thought
The breakout from the falling wedge signals a potential bullish continuation for Bitcoin, with targets set around $114,334. Traders should watch for confirmation above $87,000 and manage risk accordingly.
SHORT ON AUD/NZDAUD/NZD has given a perfect setup for a sell.
I has bearish divergence as well as a rising channel/wedge into a Major Supply Area from the Higher TF.
We have also change structure from Up to Down on the Lower Timeframe.
I will be selling AUD/NZD to the pervious swing low / demand area for about 100 pips. OANDA:AUDNZD
Woah This One is InterestingI couldn't seem to find a single trend or pattern in this until I scaled back my time frame and zoomed out.
There is a massive volume profile gap that I labeled in my green lines that I believe price is now targeting long term.
One single tiny piece of news will make this thing sky rocket.
Watch for a nothing burger or spike down to grab liquidity one final time. With time, this will rocket.
QNT is about to take off like a rocket soon (1D)The higher structure of QNT is bullish, but its internal structure has turned bearish.
Therefore, we can look for buy/long positions in fresh and unmitigated Demand zones.
Targets are marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
XG Updatetechnical analysis points to an upward direction for silver prices over the next few weeks, with potential targets between $35.00 and $36.00. The rising trend channel, breakout above resistance, supportive moving averages, balanced RSI, strong volume, and favorable market conditions all align to suggest continued gains.
GBPUSD: Potential Bearish accelerated by Tarrifs
Watching GBPUSD closely at the 1.2970 level where we're seeing significant resistance. The high-volume node at 1.293 on the VRVP indicator suggests this is a key battleground.
Key observations:
- EURUSD vs GBPUSD divergence (unusual strength in GBP)
- Early MACD bearish signals on daily
- Price testing major liquidity zone (1.293-1.297)
From a fundamental perspective, BoE hawkishness has supported GBP, but underlying UK economic data doesn't justify continued outperformance.
Looking for rejection at current levels with potential move toward 1.275 support. If that breaks, expect further downside.
Today's tariff announcement could accelerate this bearish scenario. The proposed trade measures between the US and key partners will likely boost USD demand as a safe haven, putting additional pressure on GBP. The UK's trade-dependent economy makes it particularly vulnerable to escalating trade tensions, potentially becoming a catalyst for the breakdown we're technically setting up for. Let's see
Potential Moves for DXYOn the H4 chart, DXY presents two potential paths. It appears that the bottom is in, as the price is painfully escaping a Wyckoff accumulation phase.
A key level to watch is 105.615, where a gap may need to be filled. Once this level is reached, the next move will depend on the retracement momentum. If bullish strength persists, DXY is likely to continue upward toward the 106.172 resistance level.
The broader market is feeling the impact of DXY’s movements, with all USD pairs experiencing pressure. Given the turbulent nature of exiting a Wyckoff phase, volatility should be expected.
⚠️ Risk Warning: These are my personal views, not financial advice (NFA). Trade carefully.