Trend Analysis
XAUUSD Weekly-Daily-H4 Outlook – April 28, 2025"Gold’s Game: Range Trap... or Breakout Incoming?" 👀⚡
🔥 Macro + Micro Context:
Macroflow: No major macro catalysts today — market sentiment driven mostly by technicals, liquidity behavior, and late-week reactions.
Bias:
HTF (D1–W1): Still bullish-biased long-term, unless 3220–3235 breaks cleanly.
LTF (H4–M30): Currently trapped in a wide distribution range 3380–3260, showing signs of both liquidity sweeps and engineered traps.
Liquidity Dynamics:
Both upside and downside liquidity have been targeted multiple times. Equal highs/lows patterns forming, suggesting fakeouts are highly probable before any real move.
📈 STRUCTURAL RANGE:
🔵 Main Range:
• Top: 3380–3395 → major flip zone (premium side)
• Bottom: 3260–3280 → major demand zone (discount side)
📚 Inside the range:
• Liquidity is being farmed on both sides — expect fake spikes, stop hunts, and whipsaw moves before breakout.
🔑 H4 Key Zones (Above Current Price):
Level Type Notes
3380–3395 Major Supply + Flip Zone HTF orderblock + FVG + previous sell trap
3410–3415 Minor Supply Zone M30–H1 imbalance + small FVG
3448–3455 Major Premium Supply HTF OB + FIBO 1.618 extension + historical premium trap
3490–3500 ATH Area Strong psychological level + institutional interest
🔑 H4 Key Zones (Below Current Price):
Level Type Notes
3260–3280 Major Discount Demand Strong H1-H4 unmitigated OB + liquidity grab zone
3220–3235 HTF Reversal Demand Last HTF pivot for bullish bias
📊 Expected Scenarios:
Bullish Path:
Hold 3260–3280 → Break 3380–3395 → Target 3415 → Then 3450–3500 range sweep.
Bearish Path:
Fail at 3380–3395 → Sharp rejections back into 3280 → Potential crash toward 3235 and 3210.
👀 EYES ON:
Watch the 3380–3395 flip zone closely.
If price fails there with heavy wicks and low volume, bulls are trapped again.
If price holds above 3395–3415 cleanly, bulls regain control for 3450+.
🧠 FINAL MESSAGE:
"The best traders don’t predict. They prepare."
"Trap or breakout — it’s all about reaction, not prediction. Stay sharp, stay liquid, and don’t chase the donkey moves."
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EUR/USD REJECTION AT CHANNEL RESISTANCE - SELL SETUP ACTIVEEUR/USD is moving within a descending channel, indicating a series of lower highs and lower lows — a classic bearish market structure.
Price action is consistently respecting the channel boundaries: bouncing down from the upper trendline (resistance) and up from the lower trendline (support).
Current Price Action:
The current price is around 1.1364.
Price has approached the upper boundary of the channel, where a Sell Zone is marked.
This zone acts as a dynamic resistance, increasing the probability of a bearish reversal.
The recent candles show indecision and small-bodied candles, hinting at a potential exhaustion of bullish momentum.
Key Technical Points:
Resistance Zone (Sell Zone): 1.1370 - 1.1400 (aligned with the top of the channel).
Support Zone: Around 1.1250 (bottom of the channel).
Trend Direction: Bearish, as long as the price remains inside the channel.
Volume Analysis: (From the chart, volume seems steady but not spiking — no signs of strong breakout yet.
Trading Strategy:
Primary Plan:
Look for bearish reversal patterns (like bearish engulfing, pin bar, or evening star) within the Sell Zone before considering short entries.
Entry: Near 1.1370 - 1.1390 zone after a confirmation signal.
Stop Loss: Above 1.1410 (just outside the upper boundary of the channel to avoid false breakouts).
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 1.1300 (mid-channel support).
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 1.1250 (bottom of the channel).
Alternate Plan (if breakout happens):
If price breaks above the channel with strong bullish volume and closes above 1.1410, the bearish setup becomes invalid. Then, we may look for long opportunities targeting 1.1450 - 1.1500.
Risk Factors:
A fakeout above the channel could trap early sellers.
News events (especially USD or EUR economic data) could cause sudden volatility.
Always manage risk with a proper stop loss.
Summary: EUR/USD is in a controlled bearish environment, trading inside a descending channel. As the price tests the channel’s upper boundary, there is a higher probability for a sell opportunity unless a confirmed breakout occurs. Maintain caution and wait for confirmation before committing to a trade.
SOLUSD Breaking Out – Bullish Momentum Building for Long Entry Solana (SOLUSD) is showing strong bullish momentum after consolidating above key support at $120. A breakout above the descending trendline has occurred with increasing volume, confirming potential upside.
I’m entering a long position with Entry one at $147 and entry two at candle close and retest above $150 aiming 150targets at $155 and $161, while keeping a stop-loss just below $143 for risk management.
DOT/USDT 1H Chart UpdateDOTUSDT broke its Long-Term Resistance last week!
After consolidating in a Redistribution phase (similar to mid-April), Polkadot is now testing the $4.00 support zone.
▸ Bullish Target: If $4.00 holds, we could see a climb to $4.50 or higher!
▸ Bearish Risk: A breakdown below $4.00 might push the price to $3.90 or lower.
Eyes on $4.00 — will the bulls defend this level? Let’s talk!
DaVita Inc. Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# DaVita Inc. Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* (Consolidation Argument)) | Completed Survey
* Wave Feature(Flat Structure) | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* ((No Trade)) At 200.00 USD | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Logarithmic Settings
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 150.00 USD
* Entry At 140.00 USD
* Take Profit At 125.00 USD
* (Continuation Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Neutral
GBPJPY: B- tradeA page from my trading journal. Please take it with a grain of salt, as I’m still learning and growing 🌟
FOMO chase the trade last week and I took the lost... really, be patient this is after all a waiting game.
trend is strong but overextended. Only countertrend with clear signal bar after spike + climax structure
GBPCAD: this week be patient B tradeA page from my trading journal. Please take it with a grain of salt, as I’m still learning and growing 🌟
last week TP1 very close but didn't reach, my moved SL got hit, $40+ but yeah that's the market play.
this week still good structure, resistance respected multiple times. Needs strong signal bar or double top micro wedge to short.
At the 50 EMAPrice made a recent DOJI candle at the resistance of a downward parallel channel, it's also wrestling with the 50 EMA in purple. Volume appears at the time declining. Stochastic RSI is very overbought. Price needs to surpass the 2.75 and price needs to make Higher Highs and Higher Lows from the 3.026 price level for a trend change.
AUDJPY: B+ tradeA page from my trading journal. Please take it with a grain of salt, as I’m still learning and growing 🌟
Overextended to top of rising channel, RSI divergence rising. Needs reversal bar confirmation (e.g. failed breakout + bear close).
This setup is solid if Tokyo fails to push higher or we get a micro double top. We want to catch the reversal from exhaustion, not momentum.
Bullish trend-line, so enter short with caution
GLAXO-1H (PSX) – Bullish Reversal; Targeting: 435 - 475📊 GLAXO-1H (PSX) – Short-Term Analysis; Targeting: 435 - 475
CMP: 410
GlaxoSmithKline Pakistan Limited (GLAXO) is currently trading within a critical Golden Pocket Zone, between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels, around 423.69 to 411.50. This zone often acts as a strong support area where price reversals are highly probable. The Stochastic RSI is deeply oversold, indicating that selling pressure may be exhausting and a potential bounce could be near. Price action is stabilizing around 410, suggesting short-term support. As long as GLAXO holds above 410, there is a good chance for a rebound toward 423–425 initially, and further upside toward 435–445 & 461 - 475 if momentum builds . However, a breakdown below 400 would weaken the bullish setup and open room for more downside. Cautious optimism is advised while monitoring for confirmation signals above 415.
GOLD LONG VIEW....................
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Long trade
DOGEUSD Buyside Trade – Full Journal
Date/Time: Sunday, 27th April 2025, 2:40 AM (New York Time)
Pair: DOGEUSD
Session: Tokyo to London Transition
Entry TF: 15-Minute
🔹 Entry: 0.17906
🔹 Take Profit: 0.18264 (+2.00%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 0.17857 (–0.27%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 7.31
Trade Reasoning
Consolidation breakout during low liquidity hours provided an early sign of bullish interest.