BTC/ USDT DOM.. more downside? This is USDT on the weekly.. as you can see last June and July even before this is a big level of support for USDT DOM.. Wont be surprised for some more down side here for the crypto market. I know its easy to say now after it lost 111k but I just got home and wanted to look deeper into it. Play it level by level obviously.. fib by fib but don't be surprised to see some down side.. Also you're only down if you bough in the last 2 days and that being said don't buy something that ran up to ATH and think its time to buy.. you kinda deserve it.. but lets see what happens. I hope I'm wrong
Trend Analysis
Obscure? Yes. But its returns should not be ignored.I went long RB Global at the close today. Zoom out and you'll see a pretty beautiful chart for a company nobody reading this has probably ever heard of. It's been in a nice uptrend for the past 2 years and just put in an all time high a week ago, so it has good momentum. Obviously, it's also trading above its 200d MA. It has support right here, as well as about 6% below where it's at now, but I'm betting it won't need that.
The last 20 times this setup has occurred, going back to early 2021, all 20 were wins. The average gain was 2.46% in an average of 1.85 trading days (31x the long term average daily return of the market as a whole). Maybe even more impressively, none of those trades would have closed in more than 4 trading days, and that only happened twice. 11 of 20 closed in one trading day. 25% of the trades netted 4% or more, with the largest win being 10.7% in a single day.
The setup doesn't usually continue for more than one day, but if it does, I will add to my position. My plan is to close on the first profitable close, provided the gain is substantial enough. I may hold longer, and if I do, I may close intraday (especially right at the open if it's a strong open on the day following its FPC.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
NZDJPY A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for NZDJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 86.642
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 85.925
Safe Stop Loss - 87.013
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Costco (COST) Breakout Alert! Ready to Soar? Costco (COST) Breakout Alert! Ready to Soar?
Hey traders! Check out this bullish setup on Costco Wholesale (COST) . The stock just broke out above key resistance at $987.72 after a solid consolidation phase, with a clear target of $1,052.87 (+4.91% potential gain). The risk-reward ratio here is a juicy 2.47, with a stop at $919.88 to protect against downside.
Why I’m Excited:
Strong momentum with higher highs and higher lows.
Ichimoku Cloud support below, showing bullish trend continuation.
Buy signals (green triangles) aligning perfectly with the breakout.
Trade Plan:
Entry: $1,003.41 (current price)
Target: $1,052.87 (+4.91%)
Stop Loss: $919.88 (-1.99%)
What do you think—bullish or bearish on COST? Drop your thoughts below, like if you’re in on this trade, and share with your trading crew! Let’s get the convo going!
#Costco #Bullish #Breakout #Trading #Investing
PLUG 1D Investment Long Aggressive Trend TradeAggressive Trend Trade
- short impulse
+ volumed TE / T1 level
+ support level
+ biggest volume 2Sp-
+ weak test
+ first buying bar close level
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Monthly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ support level
+ T2 level
+ biggest volume reaction bar
= below 1/2 correction"
Yearly CounterTrend
- short impulse
BTC/USD ssibly initiating a new bearish phase.
Asset: Bitcoin (BTC/USD)
Timeframe: 4-hour (4h)
Platform: TradingView
Price Range: Chart shows BTC trading around $108,998.31
---
🧠 Technical Concepts Used:
🔁 Market Structure Terms:
BOS (Break of Structure):
Located on the left side, indicating a shift in trend direction.
Signifies a strong bearish break, typically following a bullish run, possibly initiating a new bearish phase.
CHOCH (Change of Character):
Mid-chart, near a significant support zone.
Indicates a potential bullish reversal or accumulation phase after a downtrend.
HH/HL (Higher Highs/Higher Lows):
Indicate an uptrend following the CHOCH area.
Bullish market structure forming a channel.
---
🟩 Zones & Targets:
🔲 Support and Resistance Zones:
Support Zone: Marked near the bottom (~$82,000–$85,000 range)
Resistance Zone: Near the top (~$110,000 area), where price currently hovers
🎯 Targets and Forecast:
First Target: Mid-level demand zone around ~$96,000–$98,000
Final Target: Strong demand zone around ~$92,000
Price Path Projection:
Suggests a potential drop from current levels (Red arrow)
Temporary bounce at first target, followed by another drop to final target
Afterwards, a potential bullish retracement or reversal
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📐 Technical Patterns & Tools:
Trend Channel: Price is moving inside an ascending parallel channel.
Arrow Markings:
Show a forecast of retracement and potential consolidation or reversal.
Liquidity Zones: Highlighted zones suggest institutional interest areas where price may react significantly.
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📅 Timestamp and Device Info:
Chart Date/Time: Sunday, 25th May 2025, 12:00
Current System Time: 10:21 PM, 27th May 2025
Platform: Dell Laptop with Windows OS
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✅ Summary Like a Pro:
> "The BTC/USD 4H chart presents a classic smart money setup. Following a break of structure (BOS) and change of character (CHOCH), the price entered a bullish structure forming higher highs. Currently, price action is in a premium zone nearing resistance, suggesting a potential bearish move targeting the first demand zone around $96,000 and final institutional support near $92,000. A corrective retracement is expected before any significant bullish continuation, aligning with key liquidity and order block zones."
CAD_JPY LONG FROM SUPPORT|
✅CAD_JPY has been falling recently
And the pair seems locally oversold
So as the pair is approaching
A horizontal support of 104.200
Price growth is to be expected
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
xauusd 15mThis chart represents a technical analysis of the Gold Spot price against the US Dollar (XAU/USD) on a 15-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the annotations:
Key Zones and Levels:
Register Zone (Resistance): The red rectangle at the top (~3,284 area) indicates a resistance zone where selling pressure may increase.
1st Level (Support): The blue line at 3,271.400 is labeled as the first level of support, a possible bounce area.
Target Level (Support): The green zone below (~3,250 area) marks the target level, suggesting the ultimate bearish target if price breaks the 1st level.
Arrows and Pathways:
Black Arrow Path: Shows a potential short setup:
Price hits resistance at the register zone
Drops to 1st level at 3,271.400
Continues to the target level
Red Arrow: Emphasizes the expected bearish move toward the target zone.
Interpretation:
The chart suggests a bearish outlook with a potential short trade setup from the register zone down to the green target level.
The first level might serve as a minor support or a decision point — if broken, the price could continue downward.
Let me know if you'd like help writing a trading plan based on this chart, or want to explore possible stop loss / entry strategies.
LDO long "@members
Leverage: 5-10x
Capital risk: <3-4%
Entry: market buy (DCA around 0.9499 - 0.8803 )
Sl: 0.8288
Tp1: 1.1513 - 1.2280
Tp2: 1.3995 - 1.4761
Tp3: 1.8995 - 1.9761
LDO about to print bullish 50EMA cross probs in next 2-3 12h candles, holding quarterly open and blu box with head and shoulders pattern (imo since they are a bit subjective)...entered and will let it run want to see conformation on EMAs + trend lines
"
KEL LONG TRADEKEL is trading in a range of 3.60-6.30 since Jan 2024.
Recently, it has take support from Strong Demand Zone at the bottom of the Trading Range and has given reversal upwards which is validated by Volume Distribution.
As per simple concept of trading in a range " Buy Low Sell High ", appropriate Buying and Selling Levels are given below.
Targets having been calculated from overlying Bearish Order Blocks/ Supply Zones
KEL is expected to reach its upside targets of the range but it might some time.
🚨 TECHNICAL BUY CALL –KARACHI ELECTRIC LTD (PSX: KEL) 🚨
🎯 BUY ZONE: Rs. 4.00-4.20
📈 TP 1: Rs. 4.90
📈 TP 2: Rs. 5.80
🛑 STOP LOSS: Below Rs. 3.60 (Daily Close)
📊 RISK-REWARD: High Conviction | 1:3+
Caution:
Please close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then follow strict trailing SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions
XAUUSD Bearish Breakdown| Trend Reversal Bearish Setup Price has broken below the rising channel, showing early signs of a potential bearish reversal.
Key Resistance: 3364
Current Price: 3334
Support Levels to Watch:
3282 (first support)
3250 (major target)
If price fails to reclaim the channel and retests 3364 without strength, we could see a deeper drop below 3282. A bounce from 3282 might offer short-term buy setups, but momentum favors bears for now.
Trade Plan:
Short below 3325 with SL above 3364
Target: 3282, extended to 3250
Let me know your thoughts! Are you bullish or bearish here?
#technicalanalysis #priceaction #tradingview #USD #bearishsetup
Gold is still washing out, ready to go short
After gold fell today, the entire European session rebounded continuously, and the US session hit the 3318 line. Overall, it was still a wide range of shocks and wash-outs. No matter whether it rose or fell, it was not continuous, and the fluctuation range was large, which was difficult to grasp in short-term operations.
The current rise cannot be regarded as a strong trend. The characteristic of the shock market is repetition. The 4H cycle opened at 3326 as a watershed. Be careful of falling back below this position. You can try to go short near 3320/3325. At present, it is a key position to bet on the short position. If it goes up, it will be 3340/3350. The short-term rise is too large. Once the fall is strong, it will also be the same. If you step back, you can pay attention to the rising 0.5 and 0.618 supports.
ORDI – Symmetrical Triangle Nearing Decision Point (4H)📐 SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:ORDI is consolidating tightly within a symmetrical triangle on the 4H timeframe, and it's now pushing toward the upper trendline 📊
A breakout from this range could signal fresh momentum, but failure to break out cleanly might lead to more sideways chop ⚠️
Structure is compressing — volatility likely follows.
👁️ Worth keeping a close eye on this setup as the pressure builds.
DeGRAM | BTCUSD continues to move in the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● 108.7-109 k has held for the fourth time, flipping the purple retest line into solid support; each bounce prints a higher low, sketching a rising triangle inside the medium-term channel.
● A 6 h close above the triangle cap at 111.2 k should unleash a measured 13 k thrust toward the channel’s roof / red supply at ≈122 k.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Glassnode shows another 24 k BTC left exchanges in May while US spot ETFs recorded five consecutive inflow days, tightening tradable supply even as macro volatility fades.
✨ Summary
Buy 108-110 k; breakout >111.2 k targets 115 k → 122 k. Invalidate on a 6 h close below 105 k.
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Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Bitcoin (4H) Analysis
🚫 Rejection at 112K Resistance
BTC failed to break above the 112K zone and reversed sharply.
😮💨 Cooling-Off Needed
After weeks of relentless gains, a healthy pullback is due to “catch its breath.”
Key retracement area: 100K-101K (weekly FVG zone)
📅 Macro Catalysts
– Friday : US Core PCE (major inflation read)
– This week : Fed speakers on tap
– Markets are paused, awaiting a clear driver
🎯 What to Watch
100K-101K support for buy-side demand
Break or hold above 112K to gauge next leg
Reaction to Core PCE for directional bias
💡 Summary
Rejection → Retrace into FVG → Major inflation print → Potential launch toward new highs ! 🚀
ETH.USDT - 1HAs you can see in the chart, ETH failed to stabilize above the 2750 level in the 4-hour timeframe, causing a false break and showing a reverse reaction. It seems that the RSI is also seeing price divergence. If the 2612 level is lost and stabilized below this level, there is a potential for further decline for Ethereum.
Gold builds momentum across timeframes – breakout or fade?XAUUSD could potentially be presenting a multi-timeframe bullish bias, with the trend analyzer indicating strong uptrends from M30 through H4, and a weaker uptrend on the D1 timeframe.
The price has moved above the 20, 50, and 100-period exponential moving averages (EMAs), potentially suggesting strengthening short-term momentum. The 200 EMA near $3,254 has held as dynamic support and marked the low of the recent retracement.
If the price maintains above the 100 EMA and breaks through near-term resistance at $3,320–$3,340, there is potential for a move toward the previous high around $3,360.
Traders might like to watch for confirmation from volume around resistance before positioning for breakout trades. Caution might be warranted if the price dips below $3,254, as it may indicate a deeper correction.
[20250526] Gold - True Bull or Liquidity Trap This Week?Key Dynamic Levels Guide: Previous Grey/Black, Green/Magenta, and Red/Blue dynamic levels mark important zones where Smart Money (SM) has positioned itself. These levels are crucial liquidity pools, as support and resistance (S/R) frequently revisit these zones. Check their values by hovering your mouse for guidance before proceeding.
4H key-level confluence can be refer in published Idea titled: Gold – Structural Bull Bias - One Leg Down Still Anticipated? refer the related post --->
📊 Weekly Market Intent – Gold Analysis
Gold has recently tested the 3360+ zone, showing renewed bullish momentum. However, system-based structure mapping suggests that this move might still be part of a broader setup—rather than a confirmed breakout.
📌 Market Structure & Key Levels
A possible ABCDE triangle structure remains in play, where price is either concluding Wave-C or initiating Wave-D. If this formation holds, a pullback toward 3044–2950 could materialize before Wave-E completes and resumes the larger bullish trend.
The market also aligns with a potential 3-Drive bearish trap, where recent highs attract late buyers before deeper liquidity moves unfold.
🔹 Key Dynamic Levels (4H Confluence):
Bull VAH (Grey Line): 3317.52 – Key retracement level in a bullish environment.
Bull POC (Light Green): 3313.55 – Defines bullish sentiment zone.
Blue Line (Bull Bias Limit): 3254.26 – A breach would indicate deeper pullback risk.
Red Line (Bear Bias Limit): 3369.81 – A decisive break suggests bullish continuation.
Liquidity Levels: 3401.21 (upper target) | 3212.57 (lower target).
🧐 Market Sentiment & Next Move
Current sentiment indicates bullish bias with bear presence, as the market attempts lower support levels before a bullish continuation.
Bullish Continuation: Price moving past 3366 could signal a breakout, with unconfirmed top resistance levels remaining untested before further upside.
Bearish Presence: Below 3313.55, sell-side pressure could intensify. Below the bull bias limit (3254.26), deeper downside traction suggests a short-cycle bearish move until a rebound occurs above the newly formed dynamic bear bias limit.
🧠 Reversal / Invalidation Conditions
Bullish Strength Holds: Trading above 3253.57, with unsuccessful bear attempts, suggests bullish sentiment remains intact.
Bearish Shift: A failed support at 3290 and successful retest reinforce downside pressure. Momentum and volume remain key for validating the shift.
📌 System-Based Order Limits
Daily Order Limits
Buy: 3350.95 | SL: 3281.20 | TP: 3399.82
Sell: 3302.39 | SL: 3372.14 | TP: 3253.52
Weekly Order Limits
Buy: 3335.02 | SL: 3192.49 | TP: 3434.89
Sell: 3235.80 | SL: 3378.33 | TP: 3135.93
Monthly Order Limits
Buy: 3374.47 | SL: 3097.33 | TP: 3568.65
Sell: 3181.54 | SL: 3458.68 | TP: 2987.36
📌 Final Insight
Market intent unfolds dynamically, and structure-driven decision-making ensures anticipation zones remain valuable references.
📢 Gawai Festival Notice: As I’ll be away for the season’s harvest festival, I may not provide further updates on next shifts. However, this weekly confluence bias should guide traders in navigating market ranges effectively.
Stay disciplined, wait for liquidity validation, and let Smart Money footprints lead the way.
Wishing all traders a profitable week ahead! See you next week. 🚀