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Trend Analysis

Gold Price Analysis February 28⭐️Fundamental Analysis This week, the US Dollar (USD) continued to recover on expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep its monetary policy tight as inflation remains high. This caused money to flow out of gold - a non-yielding asset. In addition, gold prices fell as investors adjusted their positions ahead of the US release of important inflation data, a factor that could affect the Fed's interest rate decision and the short-term direction of gold. However, concerns about former US President Donald Trump's tariff policy and risk-off sentiment could help gold hold its price. In addition, falling US Treasury yields also contributed to limiting gold's decline ⭐️Technical Analysis After closing yesterday's candle, gold confirmed a clear downtrend. The SELL zone that is being watched by investors today is around 2889. Any price increase today is considered a great opportunity to sell. 2840 is considered as the support zone today. The wider price range is being watched when there are signs of Break out from the narrow range at 2920 and 2806. Currently, gold needs to break through 2870 to reach the upper range and if it fails to break 2870, we can set SELL signals at 2840 today.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
USNAS100 Drops 800+ Points – Key Support Test Ahead!📉 USNAS100 Technical Analysis – February 28, 2025 📉 The price dropped over 800 points (-3.8%), exactly as we projected in yesterday’s bearish outlook . 📌 Key Event Today: Traders should watch for the Core PCE release, which could impact the market significantly. Additionally, any updates on Trump's tariffs or geopolitical tensions between Ukraine and Russia could drive volatility. 🔍 Technical Outlook: Consolidation Zone: 20,670 – 20,550 until a breakout occurs. Bearish Continuation: A 4H candle close below 20,550 could accelerate downside momentum toward 20,330 – 20,130. Bullish Correction: A 4H close above 20,670 could push the price toward 20,810 – 20,990 as a potential retracement. 📊 Key Levels to Watch: 🔸 Resistance: 20,810 | 20,990 | 21,166 🔹 Pivot: 20,670 🔻 Support: 20,550 | 20,330 | 20,130 🚀 Will NAS100 hold this support, or is more downside coming? Drop your thoughts! 👇🔥
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
XAUUSD // Major breakout OR breakdown ahead? (READ CAPTIONS)..🔥 XAUUSD Price Forecast – Major Breakout or Breakdown Ahead? Gold is currently consolidating at the top of the uptrend inside a rectangle pattern, which indicates market indecision. During this phase, a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and an order block have formed, suggesting that a strong move is coming soon. 🔍 Key Technical Insights: Bullish Bias: Gold is above the bullish trendline and the 200EMA, which supports a continued uptrend. Bearish Signal: A breakdown of the trendline and 2923 support level would confirm a downtrend. 📉 Bearish Scenario: If Gold fails to hold above 2923, we can expect a strong downside move towards: 🔻 2904 🔻 2880 🔻 2840 📈 Bullish Scenario: If Gold breaks above the 2954 resistance level, this would indicate strong bullish momentum, and we could see a new record high of 3000! 🚀 📢 Final Thoughts: Gold is at a critical decision point—a breakout could push it to new highs, while a breakdown could lead to a correction. Monitor key levels closely! 🔔 Like, Comment & Follow for real-time updates and professional forecasts! 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TrendLogic1
10
GBPCHF - Potential Buy Setup at Key Support LevelOANDA:GBPCHF is currently approaching the lower boundary of the ascending channel, aligning with a key support zone where buyers may step in. This area has previously acted as a strong support level, suggesting that if the price confirms a bullish rejection, we could see a move higher toward the 1.13750 level, which represents a logical target for this setup. However, a break below this trendline would invalidate the bullish outlook and could lead to further downside. This setup reflects a potential bounce from channel support, in line with the prevailing uptrend. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments! 🚀
Long
by DanieIM
1
BTC Scaling Strategy: Trade Like a Pro with Precision EntriesIf you’re new to trading, this guide will walk you through a scaling in and out strategy. We’ll cover: Risk management – protecting your capital. Entry points – how to build your position gradually. Exit points – how to lock in profits while leaving room for further gains. Maximising profit – using a small runner to capture additional upside. By the end, you'll understand: ✅ How to enter trades at optimal levels ✅ How to take profits gradually ✅ How to manage risk so you don’t blow your account BTC Market Analysis Bitcoin has been trading in a tight range for over 100 days near the 100K mark. For 22 consecutive days, bulls have tried to break above 100K, but as the price nears this level, bears consistently rejected the move. Currently, BTC broke below our critical support level at 90K confirming a breakdown in market structure. Adding fuel to the bearish fire, Bitcoin has slipped below the weekly 21 EMA (89,503) and SMA (90,437). With the bears now in control, the critical question emerges: Where will Bitcoin find its next foothold? Let’s map the high-probability support zones and strategic entry points for the next potential long opportunity. Using Fibonacci analysis: Fib Speed Fan: With a low of 49K and an ATH of 109,588 (from March), the 0.618 trend line projects support between about 78K and 82K. Anchored VWAP: When anchored from 49K, the VWAP support is around 81.7K. Negative Fibonacci Retracement: From the ATH down to the current low at 91,231, the –0.618 level is at about 79,886. Fib Extension & Retracement: Additional levels lie around 79,466 (1.618 extension) and 79,230 (0.5 retracement). Moving Averages: The 233 EMA/SMA currently ranges between roughly 83K and 78.5K. These indicators converge to form a robust support zone between approximately 83K and 78K. For a more detailed breakdown, please check my previous Bitcoin analysis, where I conducted a deeper examination. Step 1: Understanding Risk Management (The Golden Rule) Before placing a trade, you must decide: 📌 How much you’re willing to lose (risk per trade) 📌 Where you’ll enter and exit (never place a trade without a plan) How Much Should You Risk? Always risk no more than 1–2% of your total account on a single trade. Example (for a $100K Account): 1% Risk = $1,000 max loss 2% Risk = $2,000 max loss For this trade, we plan to risk about $1,366, which is approximately 1.37% of a $100K account. This disciplined approach protects your capital over the long run. Step 2: Where Do We Enter the Trade? (Scaling In) Instead of going all-in at one price, we break our $30,000 investment into 10 smaller entries and exits. This method reduces risk and often achieves a better average entry price. 💡 Why? Because no one can time the exact bottom! Spreading entries reduces risk and gets a better average entry price. www.tradingview.com BTC Buy (Entry) Levels We will buy BTC as it falls from $83,050 down to $78,050 using the following allocation percentages: Entry # Price (BTC) % of Position Amount Invested ($) BTC Acquired 1 83,050 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 83,050 = 0.018072 2 82,550 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 82,550 = 0.018181 3 82,050 5% $1,500 1,500 ÷ 82,050 = 0.018278 4 81,550 8% $2,400 2,400 ÷ 81,550 = 0.029430 5 81,050 8% $2,400 2,400 ÷ 81,050 = 0.029606 6 80,550 10% $3,000 3,000 ÷ 80,550 = 0.037234 7 80,050 12% $3,600 3,600 ÷ 80,050 = 0.044974 8 79,550 12% $3,600 3,600 ÷ 79,550 = 0.045275 9 79,050 15% $4,500 4,500 ÷ 79,050 = 0.056956 10 78,050 20% $6,000 6,000 ÷ 78,050 = 0.076352 Total Investment: $30,000 Total BTC Acquired: 0.018072 + 0.018181 + 0.018278 + 0.029430 + 0.029606 + 0.037234 + 0.044974 + 0.045275 + 0.056956 + 0.076352 ≈ 0.37436 BTC Average Entry Price: $80,150 Stop Loss: Set at $76,500 Risk per BTC: $80,150 – $76,500 = $3,650 Total Risk: 0.37436 BTC × $3,650 ≈ $1,366 (~1.37% of $100K) Step 3: Where Do We Exit the Trade? (Scaling Out) We exit gradually as BTC rises between $86,950 and $91,450. The exit percentages are as follows: Exit # Price (BTC) % of Position BTC Sold Proceeds ($) 1 86,950 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 86,950 = $1,628.10 2 87,450 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 87,450 = $1,637.03 3 87,950 8% 0.029949 0.029949 × 87,950 = $2,638.15 4 88,450 12% 0.044924 0.044924 × 88,450 = $3,976.39 5 88,950 14% 0.052420 0.052420 × 88,950 = $4,664.19 6 89,450 14% 0.052420 0.052420 × 89,450 = $4,691.19 7 89,950 12% 0.044924 0.044924 × 89,950 = $4,047.12 8 90,450 10% 0.037436 0.037436 × 90,450 = $3,388.20 9 90,950 5% 0.018718 0.018718 × 90,950 = $1,705.71 10 91,450 15% 0.056154 0.056154 × 91,450 = $5,137.68 Total BTC Sold: 0.018718×3 + 0.029949 + 0.044924×2 + 0.052420×2 + 0.037436 + 0.056154 = 0.374381 BTC (matches our total acquired ~0.37436 BTC)≈ $33,488.26 Profit on the Trade: Total Proceeds – Total Investment = $33,488.26 – $30,000 = +$3,488.26 Return on the Trade: $3,488.26/$30,000×100≈11.63% On Overall Account: For a $100K account, $3,488 represents a gain of about 3.49% if fully realised on this trade. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Risk = $1,366; Reward = $3,488; Ratio ≈ $3,488 / $1,366 ≈ 2.55:1 Step 4: Profit & Risk Summary Metric – Per Trade - Based on $100K Account Total Investment - $30,000 - $30,000 (30%) Risk (Stop Loss) - $1,366 (4.6%) - $1,366(1.37%) Profit (Closed) - $3,488 (11.63%) - $3,488 (3.49%) Profit + Runner - $4,311.18 (14.37%) - $4,311.18 (4.31%) Risk-to-Reward Ratio Calculation: If Stop Loss Hits ($76,500): Average Entry Price: $80,150 Loss per BTC: $80,150 – $76,500 = $3,650 Total Risk: 0.37436 BTC × $3,650 ≈ $1,366 (1.37% of a $100K account) If BTC Reaches Our Exit Targets: Total Proceeds: ≈ $33,488 Profit: $33,488 – $30,000 = $3,488 Profit Percentage on Trade: ~11.63% Overall Account Impact: ~3.49% gain on a $100K account Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~2.55:1 Step 5: The Power of Scaling In & Out Capital Protection: You risk only about $1,366 (1.37% of a $100K account), protecting your capital even during a series of losses. Optimised Entry: Scaling in from $83,050 to $78,050 yields an average entry of about $80,150—significantly lower than the top price. Profit Locking: Scaling out from $86,950 to $91,450 allows you to lock in profits at multiple levels, ensuring you capture gains along the way. Healthy R:R: With a risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 2.55:1, your potential reward significantly outweighs your risk. Discipline & Consistency: This structured approach minimises emotional trading and helps you stick to your plan. Optional Note: While this guide fully closes the trade, leaving a small portion (15%) open (runner) is an option if BTC continues to rally. Step 6: Final Pre-Trade Checklist 🔹 Support & Resistance: Is BTC trading near a strong support zone? 🔹 Technical Indicators: Is BTC holding above key moving averages (e.g., 21 EMA/SMA)? 🔹 Risk Management: Are you only risking 1–2% of your total account? 🔹 Trade Plan: Are you scaling in and out instead of going all-in? Are your entry levels and exit levels clearly defined? 🔹 Market Confirmation: Do volume, candlestick patterns, and order flow support your trade setup? Conclusion ✅ We protect our money by limiting risk ✅ We enter trades gradually (scaling in) ✅ We take profits at multiple levels (scaling out) ✅ We fully close the trade or leave some BTC open to ride the trend higher Final Tips: Common Mistakes to Avoid 👉 Overleveraging – 10x leverage + 2% risk = 20% account risk! 👉 Ignoring Volatility – Tight stops on Bitcoin often trigger early exits. 👉 Never trade based on emotions. Stick to your plan, adhere strictly to your risk management rules, and let your disciplined strategy work in your favour.
Long
by SiDec
1
Rebuy Setup For VTHO (12H)After its sudden pump, the price is now correcting. Along its path, there is a confirmed swap zone, which serves as a key area for scalping this coin. In spot trading, with proper stop-loss placement and volume management, we can place buy orders within the green zone. Targets are marked on the chart. A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
1
ADA Bullish Breakout Incoming? Key Levels to Watch! Overview: #ADA has been following a perfect harmonic pattern and has now completed it. On the 1-hour timeframe, a bullish divergence has formed, signaling potential upward momentum. But is it time to go long? Let's break it down. Key Confirmation: 🔹 Harmonic pattern completion 🔹 Bullish divergence on 1H timeframe 🔹 Price respecting key support levels 🔹 The final confirmation? A break and close above resistance! Trading Plan: 🔹 Entry: Wait for a 1-hour candle to close above resistance 🔹 Targets: TP-1: 0.78 and TP-2: 0.8250 🔹 Stop-Loss: Below recent swing low for proper risk management What’s Your Take? Do you think #ADA will break out or face rejection? Share your thoughts in the comments! Let’s discuss and trade smartly. Follow for more trade ideas!
Long
by mudusir
Monthly CLS, Key Level OB midpoint, Build up candleMonthly CLS, Key Level OB midpoint, Build up candle you are welcome to comment with your thoughts and share your charts or questions below, I like any constructive discussion. What is CLS? This company is trading for the biggest investment banks and central banks. They trade over 6.5 trillion daily volume. They are smart money of the all markets. CLS operates in the specific times which will give you huge advantage and precisions to you entries. Focus on that. Its accuracy is amazing. Good luck and I hope this educational post helps to become better trader “Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.” Dave FX Hunter ⚔
Long
by David_Perk
6
JTO analysis (12H)It is one of the altcoins that does not have a clean chart but has a defined range for Sell and Buy. The larger pattern on the chart appears to be a Diametric, and the price now seems to have entered wave F of this pattern. In the red-circled area, we are looking for sell/short setups, while in the green zone, we are looking for buy/long positions. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
BITCOIN | 1 DAY | '' Bitcoin will fall to $72,000 ''Hey everyone 💙 In the long run, I expect BINANCE:BTCUSD to drop to around $72,000. But don’t worry—this could actually be a sign of a massive rally ahead. If you're holding spot positions, there's no need to panic! Big moves up often come after strong corrections. In my opinion, this dip is just a profit-taking phase, and the whales are setting the stage to push Bitcoin above $100K in the long term. If you enjoy these insights, don’t forget to hit that like button🚀
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by TraderTilki
TLT: Potential Reversal After Completing ABC Correction [LONG]NASDAQ:TLT Observation: The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) appears to have completed its C-wave of an ABC Elliott Wave correction. Prices have shown signs of consolidation around the critical support zone at $87.50, suggesting the possibility of a double-bottom formation. Support Zone: TLT is consolidating near the $87.50 level, which has historically acted as strong support. Elliott Wave Structure: The recent price action indicates the completion of a corrective ABC structure, with the C-wave potentially marking the final low. Bullish Outlook: If the support holds, the ETF is likely to resume upward momentum, targeting the $94.00 level as the next key resistance. Double-Bottom Potential: Retesting the support zone could further validate a double-bottom reversal pattern. Risk Management: Set stops below $85.14 to minimize downside risk. Monitor overall market sentiment and bond yield movements, which can heavily influence TLT's price action. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading and investing involve significant risks, and you should consult with a qualified financial advisor or conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. The author is not responsible for any financial losses or decisions made based on this analysis. Always trade responsibly and within your own risk tolerance.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by Whisperwave
2
BTC New Update (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section As you can see in this analysis, the demand zone from the previous analysis was slightly hunted, but it is still valid and considered a demand zone. We have reduced the timeframe slightly (4-hour). Our expectation for price action is to see a slight bounce upward in this zone with some time consolidation. After consuming the buy orders in this area and spending some time, Bitcoin may even move toward lower zones. Let’s see what happens. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
1