Stoxx sideways consolidation Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 5464
Resistance Level 2: 5500
Resistance Level 3: 5580
Support Level 1: 5152
Support Level 2: 5097
Support Level 3: 5044
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Trend Analysis
NFP ON DECK TODAY Gold is currently holding the Range of 3275-3310.
What's possible scanarios we have?
we have NFP data on deck today, expect potential volatility.
Until the release, gold may continue to range between 3275 and 3315.
This trade is totally unexpected how can gold react on numbers.
•If the H4 & D1 chart breaks below 3270, we could see a further drop toward the 3250 zone.
• Ifthe H4 & D1 chart flips above 3310, we could see a further Upside climb the 3335 -3345 zone.
Stay alert. Key levels in play.
#XAUUSD
#BTC Potential Trading Opportunities📊#BTC Potential Trading Opportunities🔥
🧠We've been trading sideways for quite some time, and selling pressure has largely been exhausted, so we need to find support to enter a long trade.
➡️From a structural perspective, there's a chance for a bullish head-and-shoulders pattern to form. If this pattern holds, we could see a move above $120,000 or even higher.
Potential support is likely between $116,300 and $117,000.
Short-term resistance is around $120,000.
⚠️Note: A break below L1 would destabilize the structure and significantly reduce bullish expectations.
🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
KIOCL LTD S/RSupport and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels: These are price points (green line/shade) where a downward trend may be halted due to a concentration of buying interest. Imagine them as a safety net where buyers step in, preventing further decline.
Resistance Levels: Conversely, resistance levels (red line/shade) are where upward trends might stall due to increased selling interest. They act like a ceiling where sellers come in to push prices down.
Breakouts:
Bullish Breakout: When the price moves above resistance, it often indicates strong buying interest and the potential for a continued uptrend. Traders may view this as a signal to buy or hold.
Bearish Breakout: When the price falls below support, it can signal strong selling interest and the potential for a continued downtrend. Traders might see this as a cue to sell or avoid buying.
MA Ribbon (EMA 20, EMA 50, EMA 100, EMA 200) :
Above EMA: If the stock price is above the EMA, it suggests a potential uptrend or bullish momentum.
Below EMA: If the stock price is below the EMA, it indicates a potential downtrend or bearish momentum.
Trendline: A trendline is a straight line drawn on a chart to represent the general direction of a data point set.
Uptrend Line: Drawn by connecting the lows in an upward trend. Indicates that the price is moving higher over time. Acts as a support level, where prices tend to bounce upward.
Downtrend Line: Drawn by connecting the highs in a downward trend. Indicates that the price is moving lower over time. It acts as a resistance level, where prices tend to drop.
Disclaimer:
I am not SEBI registered. The information provided here is for learning purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Consider the broader market context and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Euro-dollar retreats after the trade deal and divergent GDPEuro-dollar reached six-week lows on 1 August as traders continued to digest the trade deal between the EU and the USA which is widely viewed as being negative for the former. 30 July GDP releases from the eurozone and the USA also showed that American growth is much stronger, but eurozone-wide flash GDP for the second quarter was still slightly better than anticipated. The focus now turns to reactions to new tariffs and the NFP.
$1.14 looks like an important technical reference which might resist testing depending on the results of the job report. With fairly low volume relative to April’s peak and a clear oversold signal from the slow stochastic, a pause around here seems more likely than immediate continuation lower if considering only TA. 31 July’s near-doji slightly below the 100 SMA might suggest some demand for buying.
The obvious short-term resistance would be the confluence of the 50% monthly Fibonacci retracement and the 100 SMA around $1.147. The 61.8% Fibo slightly below $1.13 might be an area of support. Short-term performance depends primarily on the result of the NFP and the reaction to these; the consensus of 110,000 for total nonfarm seems too low relative to the average over the last several months, so a surprise higher might be more likely than lower.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
XAU/USD 01 August 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
USDCAD SELLUSD/CAD rallies further, approaches 1.3900 on higher levies to Canada
The US Dollar keeps marching higher, as the Canadian Dollar struggles after Trump decided to increase tariffs to Canada to 35% from the previous 25%, escalating the trading tension with one of its main trading partners. The US President justified his decision on Canada’s alleged reluctance to cooperate on curbing the traffic of fentanyl and other drugs across the US border
The year will be politically marked by Trump’s return to the White House. A Republican government is seen as positive for financial markets, but Trump’s pledge to cut taxes and impose tariffs on foreign goods and services may introduce uncertainty to both the political and economic landscape.
Canada’s political crisis peaked in late 2024 with a no-confidence vote against Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, leading to snap elections and a weakened Liberal minority government. Policy uncertainty and economic challenges dominate 2025’s outlook, raising concerns over market stability and investor confidence.
The BoC is set to continue easing interest rates through 2025, at least at a faster pace than the Fed is expected to, which could apply pressure on CAD’s already-rising rate differential.
SUPPORT 1.38444
SUPPORT 1.38039
SUPPORT 1.37621
RESISTANCE 1.38889
RESISTANCE 1.39049
Gold continues to go long in the 3280-3300 range.Gold continues to go long in the 3280-3300 range.
Today, we remain firmly bullish on a bottom in the 3280-3300 range.
On August 1st, the Federal Reserve, while keeping interest rates unchanged, acknowledged slowing economic growth, triggering a repricing of expectations for a rate cut.
This led to a rebound in gold prices, but of course, this was just a pretext for the price increase.
Recently, gold prices experienced a four-day decline (July 23-28), falling from $3431 to $3268, as progress in trade negotiations and a rebound in the US dollar dampened safe-haven demand.
Non-farm Payrolls
Here are the key takeaways:
Today's US July non-farm payrolls data (expected to increase by 110,000, compared to 147,000 previously) will determine expectations for a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
A weak reading (e.g., below 100,000) could push gold prices back towards $3,400;
A strong reading (above 150,000) would remain bearish for gold. Gold prices continue to decline, and we are long in the 3280-3300 range.
Today, we remain firmly bullish on gold bottoming in the 3280-3300 range.
On August 1st, the Federal Reserve, while keeping interest rates unchanged, acknowledged slowing economic growth, triggering a repricing of rate cut expectations in the market.
This led to a rebound in gold prices, but of course, this was just a pretext for the price increase.
Recently, gold prices experienced a four-day decline (July 23-28), falling from $3431 to $3268, as progress in trade negotiations and a rebound in the US dollar dampened safe-haven demand.
Non-farm Payroll Data
Here are the key takeaways:
Today's US July non-farm payroll data (expected to increase by 110,000, compared to 147,000 previously) will determine expectations for a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve. A weak reading (e.g., below $100,000) could push gold back to $3,400.
A strong reading (above $150,000) would continue to be bearish for gold.
Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations
Key Levels:
Support:
$3,270 (100-day moving average)
$3,248 (June low);
Resistance:
$3,300 psychological level
$3,340 (21-day/50-day moving average crossover).
Trading Strategy:
Short-term:
1: If the price holds above $3,300, initiate a long position with a target of $3,330-3,350.
2: If the price falls below $3,270, a drop to $3,248 is possible.
3: Focus on the key watershed at $3,300
4: Key Point:
As long as the gold price is above $3,300, I believe it's a good time to buy the dip. Following the upward trend in gold prices is a very wise choice.
As shown in Figure 4h:
The potential for gold prices to rebound is becoming increasingly clear.
The lower edge of the wide fluctuation range is slowly stabilizing.
BitcoinBitcoin/TetherUS (BTC/USDT) Trading Analysis - Jul 15, 2025
Key Observations:
Price Movement:
Current Price: $117,692.46
24h Change: -2,148.72 (-1.79%)
Range: Low of $116,250.00 to High of $119,940.83
The price is currently near the lower end of the day's range, indicating bearish pressure.
Support and Resistance:
Support Levels:
Strong Support: $112,000.00 (marked as S/L)
Intermediate Support: $113,500.00 and $110,000.00
Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: $119,900.00
Higher Resistance: $120,000.00 and $122,500.00
Profit Levels:
The "Profit" section lists potential take-profit targets, with the highest at $135,000.00.
The price has recently dipped below the $120,000.00 psychological level, suggesting weakening bullish momentum.
Trend Context:
The chart spans from June to September, but the current price action (July) shows consolidation after a potential pullback from higher levels.
The presence of multiple support levels ($112K–$116K) suggests a critical zone for buyers to defend.
Actionable Insights:
Bearish Short-Term: The price is below key levels ($119,900–$120,000) and has broken below $118,250.00. A retest of support at $112,000.00 is plausible.
Bullish Reversal Signal: If BTC holds above $112,000.00 and reclaims $120,000.00, it could target $122,500.00 or higher.
Risk Management: A break below $112,000.00 (S/L) may trigger further downside toward $110,000.00 or lower.
Conclusion:
The market is currently in a corrective phase. Traders should monitor the $112,000.00 support for potential reversals or breakdowns. A close above $120,000.00 would shift bias to bullish.
MSFT - Should you Buy All Time Highs?Hello everyone, I’m TheCafeTrader.
Next up in our breakdown of the MAG 7 is Microsoft (MSFT) — this post focuses on a long-term swing trade setup.
For short-term analysis, head to my profile and check out the latest posts.
⸻
💡 The Setup:
MSFT continues to ride a strong wave thanks to AI growth, especially with Copilot and its projected impact on revenue.
Several analysts have price targets ranging from $550 to $600, which still leaves 10–20% upside from current levels.
As of this writing, MSFT closed at $511.70, about 9% above its previous all-time high — and it got there in just five weeks.
Momentum is strong, and there’s no clear sign of slowing down.
⸻
📈 Is Now a Good Time to Buy?
Let’s look at two possible strategies:
⸻
Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) vs. Lump-Sum Investing
If you’re unfamiliar with DCA: it’s a strategy where you buy in gradually over time.
Say you have $5,000 set aside for MSFT — you might invest $1,000 now and continue adding monthly.
This is a smart approach in choppy or uncertain markets, but MSFT is not showing weakness right now.
Historically, when strong stocks are in clear bull trends, lump-sum investing outperforms DCA.
So if you’re confident in MSFT’s long-term potential — and want exposure to the current momentum — a full position now could make sense.
If you’re looking for a better price or want to scale in patiently, keep an eye on these key zones.
⸻
🧭 Areas of Interest on the Chart:
1. Yellow Box (Target Zone):
→ $550–$600 is the broader analyst price target range.
2. First Demand Line (~$500):
Recent signs of active buyer interest. If bulls remain in control, this could act as a springboard.
3. Reinforced Buyer Zone (~$472–$474):
This area has been tested and defended before. It’s a strong pullback entry if momentum stalls.
4. Second Demand Line (~$449):
A previous base of institutional accumulation. Price may revisit here in a broader market dip.
5. Deep Buyer Zone (~$344–$365):
A rare but powerful level where big money entered aggressively. It’s unlikely we revisit this zone — but if we do, it could be a great buy.
⸻
🧠 Strategy Summary:
• Aggressive buyers may consider entering around $500, where recent demand appeared.
• More patient traders might wait for MSFT to pull back into the $449–$474 range, where institutional interest has been high.
• The $344–$365 zone is a long shot — but would be a massive value area if touched.
⸻
That’s it for the long-term outlook on MSFT.
For more short-term trades and entries, check out my other posts — especially as we continue tracking the MAG 7.
@thecafetrader
Dow Jones US30 Trend Analysis and Trade Plan Breakdown📈 US30 (Dow Jones) is currently in a strong bullish trend 🔥. This is clearly visible on the 4H chart, where we’re seeing a consistent pattern of higher highs and higher lows 🔼🔼.
👀 I’m watching for a potential long opportunity, especially since the higher timeframes remain firmly bullish 🟢.
🎥 In the video, we break it down:
A quick overview of the 4-hour structure
Then dive into a potential trade setup on the 30-minute chart ⏱️🔍
🧠 This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice ⚠️📚
GOLD in 15minHello to all traders. 😎😎
I hope all your deals will hit their targets. 🎉🎉
After yesterday's heavy drop on the last day of July. We had a weak growth.
I think the price will retest $3300 and we will have another drop to the $3280 area. Look for short positions in the $3300 area.
Remember that this is an analysis and be sure to do money management when trading.
What Do You Think?
Which scenario do you think is happen? **Share your thoughts!** ⬇️
Don't forget that this is just an analysis to give you an idea and trade with your own strategy. And don't forget the stop loss🛑🛑🛑
❤️❤️❤️The only friend you have in financial markets is your stop loss❤️❤️❤️
Please support me with your ✅' like'✅ and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me 🙏😊
Be Happy , Ali Jamali
Impact of the Non-Farm Payrolls? Latest Analysis.Information Summary:
Most traders are turning their attention to the crucial US labor market report, which is being closely watched as the market actively searches for new clues regarding the timing of the next interest rate cut this year.
The July non-farm payrolls report will be released at 8:30 AM US time. US non-farm payrolls increased by 110,000 in July, seasonally adjusted, lower than the 147,000 increase in June. The US unemployment rate is expected to rise from 4.1% to 4.2% in July.
If the non-farm payrolls figure falls below 100,000 and the unemployment rate rises, it could signal a weakening job market, undermining the Fed's rekindled hawkish outlook and dampening the dollar's upward momentum. In this scenario, gold prices could re-cross the 3,400 mark. However, if the non-farm payrolls unexpectedly exceed 150,000, it could support the dollar's continued rise and hurt gold. Strong US employment data could rule out two rate cuts from the Fed this year.
Market Analysis:
Quaid believes that the current moving average crossover is trending downward, and downward momentum is still in play. The RSI remains at 42.7, hovering below the midline, indicating that gold's downward trend remains intact. The 20-day moving average fell below the 50-day moving average on Wednesday, confirming the bearish momentum.
Therefore, if gold closes below the key support level of the 100-day moving average at $3,270 on a weekly basis, a new downtrend could begin, potentially leading to a drop towards the June 30 low of $3,248.
Quaid believes that the current bull-bear watershed needs to focus on around 3315, which is the previous intensive trading area and is also the first resistance position for short-term upward movement.
On the last trading day of Super Data Week, Quaid hopes that everyone has gained something and has a happy weekend; I wish you all good luck.
How to correctly grasp the gold trading opportunities?Yesterday, gold prices saw a technical rally amidst volatile trading, followed by a downward trend under pressure. Bulls strongly supported a rebound at 3280 in the Asian session. The European session saw an accelerated upward move, breaking through 3314 before retreating under pressure. We also precisely positioned short positions below 3315, achieving a perfect target of 3290-3295. During the US session, the market again faced pressure at 3311, weakening in a volatile trend before breaking through 3300. The daily chart ultimately closed with a medium-sized bullish candlestick pattern, followed by a pullback and then a decline.
Overall, after yesterday's rebound, gold prices remain under pressure at the key resistance level of 3314. The short-term bearish weakness line has moved down to this level. If pressure continues in this area in the short term, gold will maintain a weak and volatile structure, with intraday trading remaining focused on rebounds and upward moves. If you are currently experiencing confusion or unsatisfactory trading strategies, please feel free to discuss your options and help avoid investment pitfalls.
From a 4-hour analysis perspective, focus on resistance at 3305-3315 on the upside. A rebound to this level is a good opportunity to short against resistance. Focus on support at 3280-3270 on the downside. Unless the price stabilizes strongly, consider not entering long positions below this level. The overall strategy remains to short on rebounds, with the same rhythm. I will provide timely notifications of specific levels from the bottom, so keep an eye on them.
Gold Trading Strategy: Short on rebounds near 3305-3315, with targets at 3290-3280-3270.
AXS Swing Long Setup – Daily Confluence TradeAXS Limit Order Setup (Daily Bias Long)
Entry: → 2.346 (Fib 0.705 + prior structure support)
SL: → 2.260 (Below fib 0.79 and demand edge)
TP: → 2.685 (Weekly pivot and previous daily low before selloff)
R:R: → 4R
DISCLAIMER: I am not providing trading signals or financial advice. The information shared here is solely for my own documentation and to demonstrate my trading journey. By openly sharing my process, I aim to put pressure on myself to stay focused and continually improve as a trader. If you choose to act on any of this information, you do so at your own risk, and I will not be held responsible for any outcomes. Please conduct your own research and make informed decisions.
YGGUSDT Retesting Historical Support Zone! Bounce or Breakdown?YGG/USDT is currently at a critical crossroad. After a long-term downtrend from the peak at $11.50, the price has once again returned to the historical demand zone between $0.1147 and $0.1535 — an area that previously served as a strong base for reversals in the past.
Will this level act as a launchpad for a strong rebound, or are we about to witness a fresh breakdown?
---
🔍 Comprehensive Technical Analysis:
📌 Mid-Term Market Structure:
Price remains in a macro downtrend, but is now entering a potential accumulation phase.
This support zone has been tested multiple times throughout 2023–2025, confirming it as a key psychological level.
The current structure resembles a bottoming range, setting the stage for a possible trend reversal.
📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels:
🟩 Major Demand Zone: $0.1147 – $0.1535 (highlighted green box on the chart)
📈 Bullish Upside Targets:
$0.2530 (initial resistance & breakout trigger)
$0.3369 (early trend strength confirmation)
$0.5562 – $0.8446 (realistic mid-term targets)
Up to $1.11 and $1.37 (longer-term resistance)
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🐂 Bullish Scenario (Reversal Potential):
If price holds this support and forms a clear reversal pattern:
A strong rebound toward $0.2530 – $0.3369 is highly likely.
A breakout above $0.3369 would confirm a double bottom or falling wedge breakout.
Additional catalyst: positive sentiment in the broader crypto market could accelerate the move.
🔔 Confirmation needed: a strong bullish candle + rising volume = reversal validation.
---
🐻 Bearish Scenario (Breakdown Risk):
If support at $0.1147 fails:
Price could slide lower toward $0.10 or even create a new all-time low.
This would extend the current bearish structure and invalidate short-term recovery hopes.
---
🧠 Pattern Insight:
The current setup resembles a sideways accumulation range.
Possible bullish formations:
Double Bottom
Rounding Bottom
Falling Wedge Breakout (typically bullish)
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🎯 Strategy & Trader Perspective:
Aggressive Traders: May consider entering near support with tight stop-loss below $0.1147 and targets around $0.2530 – $0.3369.
Conservative Traders: Wait for a confirmed breakout above $0.2530.
Long-Term Investors: This area could present a gradual accumulation opportunity if you believe in YGG’s long-term fundamentals.
---
📝 Conclusion:
This isn't just a technical support level — it's a battle zone between bullish hope and bearish pressure. The next few candles will be crucial to determine whether the bulls will regain control or the bears will break through.
#YGG #YGGUSDT #CryptoSupport #CryptoRebound #AltcoinAnalysis #BullishReversal #CryptoBearish #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis
USOIL REACHED THE 6,900.00 SUPPORT LEVEL. WHAT'S NEXT?USOIL REACHED THE 6,900.00 SUPPORT LEVEL. WHAT'S NEXT?
As we told July 31, the price got reversed towards first support level of 6,900.00. Market participants are waiting for the OPEC+ meeting this week, expecting a significant output hike. Currently, the price sits slightly above the support level. Although, the asset trades above this level, considering the current weakness of the asset, further decline is expected. The 6,800.00 support level is the next target here.
Gold price analysis July 31XAUUSD – Bearish pressure still prevails, watch for SELL in the direction of the trend
Yesterday's session witnessed a strong decline when the D1 candle closed with selling pressure up to 60 prices, forming a key candle that shapes the trend. When the market forms a main candle, the 25% and 50% candle body areas are often important price areas to continue trading in the direction of the main trend.
In the current context, the priority strategy will be to sell in the direction of the downtrend when the price rebounds to the resistance areas and there is a rejection signal.
🔹 Important resistance areas:
3301 – 3312 – 3333
🔸 Target support areas:
3285 – 3270 – 3250
🎯 Trading strategy:
Prioritize SELLing at the resistance area of 3301–3312 when there is a price reaction (rejection).
Target: 3250
BUY only considered when 3313 area is broken decisively.
Staying disciplined and sticking to the reaction price zone will be key in the context of the market moving in a clear trend.
CADCHF Will Grow! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for CADCHF.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.587.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.588 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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