Trend Analysis
I'm selling USDCADI think USDCAD will sell too. It will still make the moves other paris are making too.
I will be breaking even on this trade as soon as possible. I entered this trade for 2 reason.
1. I think Cadchf is turning bullish, which will make CAD start falling more than CHF
2. I think USD is still bearish and CAD is yet to move yet.
Risk responsibly.
Follow me as my trades are mostly market orders so you will see them on time, trade them on time and make money with me.
One of the things that sadden me in the trading community is that most people dont want to make money, they just want to see you loose, they just want you to be wrong about the market.
They forgot loses are part of the game, I post 15 trades and the 2 loosing trades got the highest likes and comments. Like they were waiting for me to be wrong, for what exactly?
You dont know me, I dont know you, I want to guide you towards profitable trading and all you can do is to bring on these negativities?
Look at my DXY trade, the wrong one got the most boost. That's by the way.
But the look the other] way when they see a trade with beautiful delivery.
Breaking: Arbitrum Surged 12% Today- Enroute Bullish BreakoutArbitrum spike 12% today amidst the general crypto dip. The Ethereum layer-two (L2) scaling solution that uses optimistic rollups to achieve its goal of improving speed, scalability and cost-efficiency on Ethereum was in a prolong dip that saw its token dipped to $0.37 level with growing momentum a breakout above the $0.622 resistant point could pave way for major breakout for AMEX:ARB coin as that is the current barrier holding AMEX:ARB from breaking Out.
With the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 43, AMEX:ARB could capitalize on this growing momentum. Further validating the bullish thesis is the fact that AMEX:ARB is trading below key moving averages.
Data from DefiLlama shows about $2.576 Billion is locked in the Arbitrum ecosystem. This numbers shows a level of trust placed on the layer 2 ecosystem. Similarly, about $1.276 Billion volume has been circulated in the Arbitrum ecosystem for the past 3 days.
Arbitrum Price Live Data
The live Arbitrum price today is $0.424093 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $393,289,251 USD. We update our ARB to USD price in real-time. Arbitrum is up 11.42% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $1,874,197,514 USD. It has a circulating supply of 4,419,312,625 ARB coins and the max. supply is not available.
NETFLIX: First warning of the END of the retracement!
On January 22, Netflix presented results that widely beat market estimates:
--> Sales 10,247 million dollars (+16% YoY) vs. 10,106 million dollars estimated by the consensus and 10,128 million dollars estimated by the company.
--> EBIT 2,243 million dollars (+52%) vs. 2,200 million dollars consensus and 2,190 million dollars estimated by the company.
--> BNA 1,869 million dollars (+99%) vs. 1,830 million dollars consensus and 1,847 million dollars estimated by the company.
--> EPS 4.27 dollars (+102%) vs. 4.18 dollars consensus and 4.23 dollars estimated by the company.
New subscriptions reach +18.9M, +44% YoY, vs. +9.2M expected. As anticipated by the Company, this is the last quarter in which it will publish this data. Total subscriptions exceed 301M (+15.9% YoY).
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The share price reached its historical maximum on February 18th at 1,064 and has not stopped falling since then, due to the fact that the Nasdaq index began a correction caused mainly by the volatility generated by trade tariffs.
--> What is the technical situation?
The technical aspect is CLEARLY BULLISH and any setback in the price will be a good opportunity to enter the stock.
It has reached a 50% Fibonacci retracement (945), an area that it has respected, and that therefore, can be taken as the LOWER to start a NEW BULLISH IMPULSE.
--> What risks does it have?
Trump's TARIFFS, since they can cause falls in the NASDAQ INDEX that drag down the entire market. But the Nasdaq index is in a VERY PROBABLE LOWER area, so the ENTIRE market could rise strongly in the next few days.
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Strategy to follow:
ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the H4 candle closes above 992
POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the maximum area (1,061) (+7%)
--> Stop Loss at 940 (-5%).
POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position.
--> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-5%) (coinciding with the 940 of position 1).
--> We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (1,061).
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SET UP EXPLANATIONS
*** How do we know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each.
*** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss.
-->Example: If the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% in the rises, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very solid and stable price trends can be taken advantage of, maximizing profits.
EUROUSD 4H LONG (3 Targets DONE)Re-opening in the specified block after confirmation of the level of $1.03744 brings 3 targets for the position.
Considering the current formations on the 1D TF, the probability of price growth to the current maximum increases multiple times. Locally, I expect to see a price correction (a rollback next week) and preferably with a depiction of a bullish imbalance. After which, you can work long for a whole month until 1.12758
SUI looks Bearish (12H)It seems that SUI is completing a large structure.
A diametric pattern appears to be forming at the end of wave G.
By maintaining the red descending trendline, it could drop toward the two specified TP levels marked on the chart.
Note that TP 1 is a strong support level.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Conspicuous - MANA / USDTEvening fellow traders,
Every now and then I ride waves on MANA.
This time it won't be different, as I am already in it.
But I'm looking for an extra touch, that outta the box type thing and buying an extra chunk between the prices shown in the chart.
Please take advantage of this if you get the chance, and let's make a big chunk of money together!
Trade thirsty, my friends!
EUR/JPY is currently in a bearish trendEUR/JPY is currently in a bearish trend, with strong selling pressure driving the pair lower. On the daily and 4-hour charts, the price is trading below key resistance levels and moving averages, signaling further downside potential.
The pair recently broke below a key support zone around 161.50, turning it into resistance. The RSI is trending below 50, confirming bearish momentum, while the MACD is below the signal line, supporting further declines. A descending trendline is also capping upside moves.
The next weekly support level is around 159.80, which aligns with a previous demand zone. If the price fails to reclaim 161.50 and rejects lower, it could provide a strong shorting opportunity. A confirmed break below 159.80 would open the door for further declines toward 158.50.
Tariff Trade Between the EU and the USA
Tariffs between the European Union (EU) and the United States have historically been a source of economic tension. These trade duties impact industries such as automobiles, steel, agriculture, and technology.
EU Tariffs on US Goods: The EU imposes tariffs on American products like whiskey, motorcycles, and agricultural goods in response to US trade policies.
US Tariffs on EU Goods: The US has targeted European steel, aluminum, and luxury goods, arguing unfair subsidies and trade imbalances.
Retaliation & Trade Wars: Disputes, such as those involving Airbus vs. Boeing subsidies, have led to retaliatory tariffs, affecting global trade.
Recent Developments: The Biden administration and EU officials have worked on reducing tariffs, but tensions remain, especially in green energy subsidies and technology sectors.
If new tariffs arise, they could impact EUR/JPY indirectly through risk sentiment, potentially strengthening the Japanese Yen (JPY) as a safe-haven asset and increasing EUR downside pressure.
Traders should look for price action signals like bearish engulfing candles or trendline rejections to confirm entry. Stops should be placed above the recent highs for risk management.
BTCUSD AGAIN UPSIDE 4H ROUTE MAP Hey there on 4HTF BTCUSD looking for again bullish Secanrio from there lowest level side 82k will go upside continue as per Trendline support we can see must continue upside
So we have as already see it has touched 93k but still we can see there point will rise and will break above 94k
Thanks
EURUSD Channel Up testing 1D MA200 after 4 months!The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up since the January 13 Low and after the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) bounce, the current Bullish Leg is testing the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
This is the first 1D MA200 test since November 06 2024 and happens to be at the top of the Channel Up with the 1D RSI almost overbought (70.00). These conditions create a low risk opportunity for a short-term Sell. Our Target is the bottom of the Channel Up and the 1D MA50 at 1.04500.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) daily timeframe with a bullish outlook.EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) daily timeframe with a bullish outlook.
Chart Analysis:
• The price is currently around 1.0467, showing signs of breaking above a key resistance zone (highlighted in red).
• A bullish scenario is illustrated, where the price is expected to retest the breakout zone and then continue upward.
• Key resistance levels are marked at 1.0680, 1.0791, and 1.0925, which could act as potential targets for a bullish move.
• The overall structure suggests a possible trend reversal after a downtrend, with a move towards higher levels.
Let me know if you need a deeper breakdown or specific details!
2025 Prediction: Cycle Low Theory and ATH PEAKThis should be fun to see how it plays out. The 30-week cycle low theory suggests that BTC has been forming significant lows roughly every 30 weeks throughout this upward cycle (since low of Nov 2022). So far, this pattern has remained intact. Further confluence would be the 50 week exponential moving average that has acted as strong support since breaking it in March 2023 (see purple line).
Looking ahead to 2025, if BTC does not establish a new weekly low below $78K next week (and barring any recession in the US which will cause panic selling and great buying opportunities), I expect BTC to continue trending upward within the rising channel, making new highs. Based on this structure, BTC could reach $180K by end of July/summer of 2025, which aligns with the top of the upward channel. This summer high would most likely align with previous 30 week cycles and peak in in the last 40% of the 30 weeks (so after June 25th), before experiencing a pullback in the summer 2025, marking the final low of the cycle year.
This summer pullback should align with the bottom of the up sloping channel and also a 30-week cycle low, with BTC dropping toward $125K—a level that also represents a 59% increase from the previous cycle low in late February. Historically, similar "trough to trough" growth patterns have occurred.
The anticipated $125K low should act as a final support level before retail momentum drives BTC into its final levels for this cycle. $250k would act as the target for the top of the channel and if this plays out as expected, BTC could see an overextension toward $352K, based on previous cycle trends. I will also share my idea on why $352k in another post.
I have also added on the chart a dotted yellow line tracking early 2024 BTC highs that connect through Dec 2024 highs that could also act as minor support and resistance in 2025. The first instance is most likely a breakout of BTC to a new all-time high that could wick up past $130k and sell off to close that week closer to $125k. Similar confluence appears for the summer sell off from $180k-$125k where the $160k range could act as short term support and resistance for those who are actively trading.
Regarding timing, I will also go further into detail in my next idea post, but channel range high of $250k could actually happen as soon as Sept 20th and the cycle top that could go as high as $352k could happen as late as December 19th. More to come on this. For now just wanted to share the data I have put together. DYOR, reduce risk, take profit!
XRP/USDT 1H: Accumulation in Play – Next Move to $2.70?XRP/USDT 1H: Accumulation in Play – Next Move to $2.70?
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Current Market Structure (Confidence 8/10):
Price consolidating between $2.45 - $2.52, maintaining equilibrium after a recent rally.
Market Makers (MMs) completed distribution at $2.90, now transitioning into an accumulation phase at $2.49.
Hidden bullish divergence forming on RSI, while price maintains higher lows, signaling potential upside.
Trade Setup:
Entry: Long at $2.48 for optimal positioning.
Targets:
T1: $2.62 (Previous Consolidation High – PCH).
T2: $2.70 (Premium Zone).
Stop Loss: Below liquidity void at $2.42.
Risk Score:
7/10 – Favorable risk-to-reward setup, supported by bullish divergence and support structure.
Market Maker Intent:
Accumulation phase ongoing, with MMs likely engineering a liquidity grab before a push higher.
Watch for a potential stop hunt below $2.45 before strong continuation toward premium zones.
Smart Money Insight:
Clear SMC structure suggests a bullish continuation, aligning with volume and momentum indicators.
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