SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-30-25 : Gap Potential PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY will attempt to create a GAP at the open. It looks like the markets may attempt to move higher as the SPY is already nearly 0.35% higher as I type.
Last week was very exciting as we watched the QQQ and the SPY break into new All-Time Highs.
I suspect the markets will continue a bit of a rally into the early Q2 earnings season where retail traders attempt to prepare for the strong technology/innovation/AI earnings data (like last quarter).
I do believe this rally is due for a pullback. I've highlighted this many times in the past. Typically, price does not go straight up or straight down. There are usually multiple pullbacks in a trend.
So, at this point, the markets are BULLISH, but I still want to warn you to stay somewhat cautious of a pullback in the near future (maybe something news-related).
Gold and Silver should start to move higher over the next 5-10+ days, with gold trying to rally back above $3450. I see Gold in a solid FLAGGING formation that is moving closer to the APEX pattern.
Bitcoin is nearing a make-or-break volatility point. I see BTCUSD breaking downward, but it could break into a very volatile phase where it attempts to rally (with the QQQ through earnings), then collapse later in July. We'll see how things play out.
Remember, tomorrow morning I have a doctor's appointment. So I may or may not get a morning video done. FYI.
Get some today.
Trend Analysis
DXY: Weekly OutlookWeekly DXY Outlook
On the weekly chart, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has reached a critical zone that was last tested in February 2022.
While a rebound is not guaranteed, the fact that the DXY has declined nearly 12% over just six months—despite a resilient U.S. economy—suggests the potential for renewed strength in the dollar.
I think the index could begin a recovery toward key levels at 100.00, 101.97, and possibly 106.00/
It’s worth noting that the broader bearish trend began with the trade tensions initiated during the Trump administration, which strained relations with several major trading partners.
Given that this is a weekly chart, it should be used more as a reference point rather than a trading signal.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
Bitcoin Weekly & $120,000This weekly Bitcoin chart says it all... Please, allow me to reveal to you what the future holds!
Good evening my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, what a wonderful day.
Only one week ever produced a higher close than the current price. Only once, 19-May, Bitcoin managed to close above $107,000... What happens if Bitcoin closes above $107,000? New all-time high confirmed.
Two days remain for the week to close and we—the bulls—only need to maintain a price of $107,000 or higher to send such a strong bullish signal that everybody will come out and start buying.
The next target on this timeframe is $120,000.
Bitcoin is using EMA13 as support. This level was tested and holds, the same for EMA8. When Bitcoin moved above these levels in April, it produced an advance from $83,000 to $112,000, more than 33%. The price now is $107,000 but instead of recovering from below EMA8/13, BTCUSDT is trading above; this means that the bullish bias is fully confirmed.
The weekly timeframe looks great. We can expect higher prices soon, with growth happening for an extended period of time. Bitcoin is very strong now and this is only the start.
I will continue to share proof that shows the entire Cryptocurrency market going up.
Thank you for reading.
Leave a comment with your questions.
Thanks a lot for your support.
Namaste.
Gold Approaching Key Support – Reversal Zone at $3,200 in SightGold has entered a corrective phase after topping out around the $3,450 region. Price action is steadily pulling back, but it’s now approaching a critical support level near $3,200 — a zone we’ve highlighted in recent updates as a potential area for bullish interest.
From a technical standpoint, the $3,200 level is a confluence zone:
- 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the recent swing
- VWAP support anchored from the prior impulse move
- This cluster of technical factors strengthens the probability of a reaction here.
The broader context shows gold trading within a high time frame range, oscillating between resistance near $3,450 and support around $3,200. These two boundaries define a clear trading range, where rotations between key levels have been consistently respected.
For the next leg higher to materialize, we need to see signs of accumulation or bullish structure forming on the lower time frames. Without this confirmation, the risk of further downside remains. However, if price can find a foothold here, a rotation back toward resistance is the likely outcome — continuing the established range dynamics.
Euro will make correction to support line of channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. In this chart, we can see how the price entered to triangle, where it at once bounced from the support line and rose to the 1.1100 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Soon, price broke this level, after a small correction, and continued to move up to the 1.1575 current support level, which coincided with the support area. This area also coincided with the resistance line of the triangle, and the Euro rebounded from this line and started to decline. In a short time, it declined to the buyer zone, where it turned around and started to move up. Soon, Euro exited from triangle and continued to rise inside an upward channel, where it made a correction first and then continued to grow. Later, EUR rose to 1.1575 current support level, one more time and even almost broke it, but failed and corrected. But soon, it finally broke this level and rose to the resistance line of the channel, where at the moment it continues to trade near. In my mind, Euro will rebound from this line and go to the correction until to support line of the channel, breaking the support level. For this case, my TP is located near this line - at the 1.1490 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
IBIT: End of June/Beginning of July Weekly idea for IBIT.
BTC and this market as a whole is an interesting character.
The indicies and many other things, such as BTC, AMD etc. are all throwing top signals, specifically mean reverting signals (when using Pairs / Cointegration and Time series).
They have been for the last 1.5 weeks.
These signals have yet to be invalidated, they are only invalidated once they stop signaling or flip to bullish. So we are lingering on a potential for a larger pullback from where we are, and that extends to indicies such as NDX, SPX and BTC itself.
That said, its a bit trickier when we push into extreme greed where the market currently rests.
For IBIT and BTC, the outlook is on the bearish side; however, with some bullish continuation patterns (on the smaller timeframes) that bring us to some more immediate upside into Monday.
The expectation here is a move up to around 61. From there, if we see rejection we should be heading down to around 58.57.
The downside and upside targets are listed in the chart.
Its hard to play the PA in this market because its extreme greed that has a hallmark of random impulse selling and random rug pulls out of nowhere that complete in a day and lead to aggressive gapping up the next day. Its hard to really offer much insight in a safe fashion in this type of market.
However, the general "how its sposta work" is if we break over 61 and hold, we should be heading up to 63 ish range. Vs a 61 rejection or just hitting shy of 61 will bring us down to that 58 zone.
Not advice, its impossible to offer advice in these conditions anyway haha.
Safe trades!
Is #BCH About to Fall or Will it Continue to Rise? Key LevelsYello Paradisers! Have you seen what’s cooking on #BCHUSDT lately? Let’s dive into the latest structure on #BitcoinCash and what may unfold next:
💎#BCH has been trading within a well-respected ascending channel since early April, consistently bouncing between dynamic ascending support and resistance levels. However, the current move into the $500–$505 resistance zone is showing clear signs of momentum exhaustion, as price stalls and volume fades.
💎The strong resistance area between $500 and $505 has rejected price multiple times, and this recent rejection aligns with both the channel resistance and a bearish momentum divergence in volume. Unless #BCHUSD can break and hold above this zone, bulls are fighting a losing battle.
💎The invalidation of the bearish setup lies above $555. Only a confirmed breakout and sustained hold above this level would negate the current bearish structure and open room for a larger bullish expansion. Until then, the risk of a deeper retracement is very real.
💎Currently trading around $490, #BCH looks vulnerable to a drop toward the moderate support zone near $393, with the strong demand zone between $335 and $340 being the high-probability area for a smart-money reaccumulation—if the market flushes weak hands first. This zone also lines up with previous high-volume nodes on the VRVP.
Trade smart, Paradisers. This setup will reward only the disciplined.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
GBPCHF: Strong Bearish SignalGBPCHF has been in a prolonged consolidation since mid-June, remaining within a significant horizontal range on the 4-hour chart.
Following the weekend market opening, the pair appears to be strongly bearish.
The violation of a support level within this range suggests the end of a bearish accumulation phase, creating potential for further upward movement, with the next resistance level to watch at 1.0889.
EUR/USD – Smart Money Trap at 1.18? Massive Rejection Ahead 1. Technical Context
The pair has been moving inside a well-defined bullish channel since May, forming higher highs and higher lows. Price is currently hovering around 1.1718, approaching the upper boundary of the channel and a key weekly supply zone (1.1750–1.1850).
➡️ Potential scenario:
A short bullish extension toward 1.1780–1.1820 to trigger stop hunts, followed by a bearish rejection toward 1.1500, and potentially 1.1380.
The daily RSI is overbought (>70), suggesting a likely short-term correction.
2. Retail Sentiment
80% of retail traders are short, with an average entry around 1.1318.
This signals a liquidity cluster above current highs, increasing the likelihood of a fake bullish breakout followed by a sell-off.
➡️ Contrarian insight: Retail heavily short → market may push higher first to wipe them out before reversing lower.
3. COT Report – USD Index (DXY)
Non-commercials (speculators) increased their short exposure on USD (+3,134).
Commercials cut their short positions (-1,994), indicating a potential bottoming on the dollar.
➡️ Conclusion: USD strength could return soon → bearish pressure for EUR/USD.
4. COT Report – EUR FX
Non-commercials increased longs on EUR (+2,980) and sharply reduced shorts (-6,602) → market is now heavily net long.
Commercials remain net short (581,664 vs 417,363 longs).
➡️ Over-leveraged spec longs → vulnerable to downside squeeze if macro sentiment shifts.
5. Seasonality
June tends to be mildly bullish for EUR/USD.
July historically shows even stronger upward performance over the last 5–10 years.
➡️ Shorts are high risk in the very short term, but a bearish setup is likely in the second half of July, especially if price action confirms.
6. Trading Outlook
📍 Short-Term Bias: Neutral to bullish toward 1.1780–1.1820
📍 Mid-Term Bias: Bearish on rejection from supply area and break of channel
🎯 Key Levels:
1.1780–1.1850: critical decision zone (liquidity + weekly supply)
1.1500: first key support
1.1380: next downside target (demand zone + previous POC)
📌 Final Conclusion
The most likely play is a short setup from 1.1780–1.1850 on strong rejection, supported by:
Extreme retail positioning (80% short),
COT pointing to USD recovery,
Extended technical structure,
Overbought RSI on the daily chart.
Bitcoin remains flat despite whales hoarding and rising stocks.
The stock market closed at an all-time high on Friday, and institutions have rushed to buy Bitcoin, but the price of the cryptocurrency has not risen significantly.
Stocks are rising, whales are hoarding, why is Bitcoin still stagnant?
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at all-time highs last Friday. As of this writing, the Dow Jones is up nearly 200 points. Bitcoin companies like Strategy and Metaplanet have been buying Bitcoin like crazy, but its price has barely moved.
U.S. President Donald Trump scored several victories over the weekend. He stood firm and abruptly ended all trade negotiations with Canada until the country's Prime Minister Mark Carney canceled the controversial digital services tax on American technology companies. The tax was originally scheduled to be imposed on Monday, but it has been officially withdrawn and will be cancelled through the legislative process. U.S.-Canada trade talks are expected to resume soon.
Bitcoin remains flat even as whales hoard and stocks rally
(US President Donald Trump forced Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney (right) to cancel the 3% "digital services tax" on US tech companies)
Another victory for Trump was the successful advancement of his "Big Beautiful Bill" to the final Senate debate stage. The bill received 51 votes in favor and 49 against in a Senate vote on Saturday night. Republicans hope that if all goes well, it can be finalized before the Fourth of July holiday.
"A Great Beautiful Bill, moving along smoothly," Trump wrote on Truth Social, "Make America Great Again!"
Experts say these small victories of the Trump administration at least partially explain the optimism among stock traders and investors. But cryptocurrency analysts remain confused as the industry's flagship cryptocurrency is still consolidating.
In the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has fluctuated between $106,759.65 and $108,798.79, with relatively small fluctuations. At the time of reporting, the price was down 0.65% to $107,142.61, but still up 5.33% in seven days, according to Coinmarketcap.
Volume was $39.8 billion, up 25.4%, but this was mostly a typical post-weekend rally. Market capitalization edged up 0.74% to $2.12 trillion, while Bitcoin dominance rose 0.07% to 65.41%.
Futures open interest fell 2.17% to $71.92 billion, showing less leveraged speculation. Liquidation data from Coinglass shows total liquidations of $47.19 million over the past day, with short liquidations amounting to $35.72 million and long position liquidations amounting to $11.46 million.
EURUSD Selling from Resistance at 1.17500 EURUSD Analysis –
4H Timeframe
The pair continues to respect its ascending channel, but current price action suggests a potential sell opportunity from the 1.17500 resistance zone.
🎯 Technical Targets:
🔻 1st Target – 1.16000 (Key demand zone)
🔻 2nd Target – 1.14500 (Deeper support area)
🔻 3rd Target – 1.12500 (Bullish Order Block)
💡 Watch for confirmation signals near resistance before entering shorts.
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📲 Let’s grow and trade smart together 💼✨
— Livia 😜
USDJPY: Intraday Bearish ConfirmationLast week, I shared an update on a confirmed structure breakout for 📉USDJPY on a 4-hour chart.
On retesting the broken structure, the price showed a strong bearish signal.
I observed a rising wedge pattern with a broken support line
This breakout suggests a high likelihood that the price will decline to the 143.81 / 143.31 levels.
GOLD - Price can grow to resistance line of wedge patternHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price bounced from $3390 level and declined, but soon turned back and even entered to resistance area.
After this, the price dropped from this area and then started to grow inside the wedge, where it at once made an impulse up.
Price reached $3390 level one more time and broke it, after which it continued to grow to the resistance line of the wedge.
When it reached this line, price turned around and in a short time declined below $3390 level, breaking and then made a retest.
Later, Gold broke $3300 level and fell to the support line of the wedge, after which it rose to the resistance area.
Now I expect that Gold can make a correction to almost support line and then bounce up to $3320 resistance line of the wedge.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Ethereum (ETH): Buyers Above The EMAs | Looking For $2800Buyers are back in control where they secured the lines of EMAs, which means that we are expecting the $2800 to be reached this week.
Now, despite us currently seeing some kind of weakness in markets, we think that EMAs will still be holding it's ground so as long as we are above them, we are bullish here!
Swallow Academy
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Could the Aussie reverse from here?The price is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.6598
1st Support: 0.6548
1st Resistance: 0.6628
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GOLD Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a bullish
Rebound from the support
Below just as we predicted in
Our previous analysis but
Gold is still trading in the
Downtrend as the lower lows
And higher highs are intact
And the structure is healthy
So after the price retested the
Horizontal resistance above
Around 3,310$ we are
Likely to see a further
Bearish move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDCAD long trade setup for this week📈 USDCAD Long Setup Idea – Weekly Play 💯
Here’s a clean bullish setup on USDCAD (2H timeframe) I’m eyeing for this week:
🔹 Key Zones:
- Demand Zone: Strong reaction from the 1.35500–1.36000 area, with price respecting this grey support block multiple times.
- Supply Flip: Previous structure zone turned potential demand.
🔹 Entry:
- Long position placed after liquidity grab and bullish rejection within the demand zone.
- Market structure is beginning to shift bullish after consecutive lower highs and lows broke.
🔹 Risk Management:
- SL below the demand zone at ~1.35512
- TP set near previous high around 1.37960 (resistance zone)
🔹 RRR (Risk to Reward Ratio):
- Solid risk/reward potential on this play – targeting a 3R move if momentum holds.
🔹 Trade Bias:
- Looking for a deeper retracement continuation up, aligning with possible DXY pullback.
- Watching for confirmations like bullish engulfing or structure break for entry trigger.
📊 Stay patient, follow price action, and manage risk properly.