Trend Analysis
btcusd 1hThe chart you’ve shared is a technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) against Tether (USDT) on the Binance exchange using a 1-hour time frame. Here’s a breakdown of what it illustrates:
Key Zones and Levels:
1. Register Zone (Support Zone):
Highlighted in red/pink at the bottom.
Indicates a potential area of strong support or buying interest.
A bounce is expected if price enters this zone.
2. 1st Level (Resistance/Breakout Level):
Marked by a horizontal blue line at $108,805.28.
This is likely the first significant resistance level.
A breakout above this could trigger further upward movement.
3. Target Point:
Highlighted in green at the top.
Target price is $110,307.94.
Suggests a bullish move if the price can break above the 1st level.
Arrows and Possible Scenarios:
Green Arrow (Bullish Scenario):
If the price breaks above the 1st level ($108,805.28), it may rally toward the target point at $110,307.94.
Red Arrow (Bearish Scenario):
If the price fails to break the 1st level, it could fall back down to the register zone for support.
Black Thick Arrow:
Emphasizes the potential strong bullish move from the breakout point to the target.
Current Status:
Current price: $108,077.22 (as of the chart timestamp).
Slightly below the breakout level, suggesting a decision point is approaching.
Summary:
The chart sets up a potential long trade scenario:
Entry: Above $108,805.28.
Target: $110,307.94.
Risk: Drop into the register zone around ~$106,600 or lower.
Let me know if you’d like a trading strategy or risk-reward analysis based on this chart.
US30 Footprint Update | May 29, 2025We're witnessing a clear shift in order flow dynamics on the 1H footprint chart.
🔻 Earlier in the session, sellers were firmly in control with heavy negative delta and large sell imbalances between 42,280–42,120.
🔄 Key Change: Around 42,088–42,177, aggressive selling was absorbed, followed by a strong bullish delta of +125 and increasing buyer interest in the following candles. Volume has flipped in favor of buyers.
📈 Current Price: Holding around 42,191.50, just below the key resistance zone of 42,231. A clean break and acceptance above this level could confirm a bullish shift toward 42,280–42,300.
🧠 What I’m Watching:
Break and hold above 42,231 = long continuation
Failure to sustain = possible retest of 42,177 or lower support
🎯 Volume and delta are aligning in favor of bulls — let’s see if they can take control.
From Breakdown to Breakout: AUD/JPY Flips Structure Above 92🟡 What happened recently?
At the beginning of April, AUD/JPY dropped to a low of 86, but by early May, the pair had surged over 600 pips, reclaiming the key 92 support level.
Most importantly, price reached a high of 95.50 — breaking well above the descending trendline that started back in July 2024.
📉 The recent pullback confirms the breakout
The drop from 95.50 wasn’t bearish — it was confirmation:
✅ Clear rejection from the 92 zone
✅ Former resistance now acting as strong support
✅ Market structure has shifted to bullish
📈 What’s next?
At the time of writing, AUD/JPY is trading around 92.76, and the structure suggests more upside ahead.
🧭 My strategy:
➡️ Buy dips toward 92.00
➡️ Target: 95.50 — the recent high
🚀 The breakout is confirmed, the trend has shifted, and the opportunity is clear.
Let the market do the work — we just need to stay aligned.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
MARI LONG TRADEMARI has been consolidating in accumulation zone as per Wyckoff methodology, this area can also be seen as Double Bottom Bull Flag as per Al Brooks Price Action Method.
Above scenario supports a rise in Mari to test and exceed previous highs.
🚨 TECHNICAL BUY CALL –MARI 🚨
🎯BUY1: Rs. 620-630
📈 TP1 : Rs. 655
📈 TP2 : Rs. 698
📈 TP3 : Rs. 718
🛑 STOP LOSS: BELOW Rs. 600 (Daily Close)
📊 RISK-REWARD: 1:4.8
Caution: Please buy on levels. Close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then trail SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions.
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USOIL:First go short, then go long
USOIL: There are still signs of a pullback on an hourly basis after oil prices climbed to near 63 after OPEC+ said there would be no immediate changes to current production policies.
So the trading strategy :SELL@62.5-62.8 TP@61.6-61.3
After stepping back to the point can not break a wave of rebound, the target can look at 63 again
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KSE100 UPDATEIt was discusses yesterday that the Index has broken down from Double Top Formation and is bearish on Short Term.
Though the INDEX IS STILL BEARISH TILL IT CROSSES ABOVE THE PREVIOUS TOP OF THIS DT FORMATION. But the index seems in the process of converting the DT formation into a HEAD AND SHOULDERS TOP.
IMMEDIATE SUPPORT SAME-- 1,18,170 (Index is safe above this support)
IMMEDIATE RESISTANCE WILL BE TODAY'S TOP --1,19,660
We shouldn't be carried away with bullish emotions after today's rally, till Index confirms its uptrend by breaking and sustaining above its ATH.
Nifty Analysis EOD – May 29, 2025 – Thursday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – May 29, 2025 – Thursday 🔴
Tricky Expiry Day Rollout… Catch or Caught?
🗞 Nifty Summary:
Nifty opened with a gap-up of 88 points at 24,846, making a quick move to 24,889.70—but the bulls couldn’t hold for long. By 10:30, the key support zone at 24,800–24,768 was breached, dragging the index to an intraday low of 24,677.30.
Just when things seemed to be settling into a narrow expiry-day range, a sharp 65-point spike in 3 minutes surprised both sides—creating a mean-reversion V-shape move right back to VWAP and BC levels.
The real twist? A sudden domino-effect breakout at 15:00, marking a fresh high of 24,892.60 and closing at 24,880.85, nearly at the day’s peak.
⏪ Yesterday’s Note Recap:
"Most probable scenario: range-bound day between 24,660 and 24,882... Tricky expiry day."✔️ Spot on. Nifty respected the projected boundaries almost precisely.
🛡 5 Min Chart with Patterns and Levels
📈 Intraday Walk:
09:15 – Gap-up start, optimism in the air.
10:25 – Support at 24,800–24,768 tested and breached.
10:29 – IB Low Break and Day’s low at 24,677.30, bears step in.
12:38 – Surprise spike of 65 points in 3 min
Midday – Consolidation around VWAP and BC levels.
15:00 – Final push leads to breakout above day high → 24,892.60.
Close – Ends at 24,880.85, just below the day high.
🔍 Chart Observations:
✅ Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern formed around 24,768 on the 5-min chart—target achieved.
📦 Box Consolidation Zone repeated from yesterday and respected.
⚠️ Volatility spikes despite being an expiry day—tricky traps for both sides.
🛡 5 Min Chart with Patterns
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown:
Open: 24,825.10
High: 24,892.60
Low: 24,677.30
Close: 24,833.60
Change: +81.15 (+0.33%)
Candle Structure:
Real Body: +8.50 pts → Tiny green body
Upper Wick: 59.00 pts
Lower Wick: 147.80 pts
Interpretation:A classic Hammer-like candle, showing strong intraday buying from lower zones. Although bulls couldn’t extend gains, they clearly defended 24,700 levels well.
🔔 Pattern Insight:
Outside Bar pattern on Daily → Often a bullish reversal sign
Bullish confirmation comes above 24,890+
Breakdown below 24,677 would invalidate the bullish signal
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update:
ATR: 291.38
IB Range: 110 → Medium
Market Structure: Balanced
Total Trades: 1
🕐 10:25 AM – 1st trade triggered→ Trailing SL hit at 1:3 risk-reward
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels:
Resistance Zones:
24,882
24,894
24,920
24,972 ~ 25,000
25,062 ~ 25,070 (5th rejection!)
25,116 ~ 25,128
25,180 ~ 25,212
25,285 ~ 25,399
Support Zones:
24,820
24,768 ~ 24,800
24,737 ~ 24,727
24,700
24,660
24,640 ~ 24,625
24,590
24,530 ~ 24,480
24,460
🧭 What’s Next?
Above 24,890 → May trigger short-covering rally toward 25,000, 25,065, and 25,116 levels.
Below 24,677 → Expect downside toward 24,625, 24,590, and possibly 24,530.
With expiry behind, volatility may remain elevated tomorrow as new series begins.
📌 Bias: Mild bullish, but needs confirmation above 24,890.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
“Markets don’t trap you; your bias does.”Stay sharp. Today was a day full of whipsaws—but also full of lessons.
✏️ Disclaimer:This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Don't define the price of gold
💡Message Strategy
The U.S. International Trade Court ruled that Trump's tariffs exceeded his authority. Once the ruling was made, market risk appetite quickly rebounded, driving global risk assets up and safe-haven assets such as gold came under selling pressure. The price of gold fell to $3,245 during the Asian trading session, hitting a 10-day low.
In addition to the weakening of risk aversion, the minutes of the Federal Reserve's May meeting reinforced the market's expectation that it would "maintain interest rates unchanged for a long time". In addition, the generally strong US economic data released this week caused the US dollar index (DXY) to return to the 100 mark, which put continued pressure on gold, a non-interest-bearing asset.
📊Technical aspects
Technically, gold price fell below the short-term rising trend line and the 200-period moving average of the 4-hour chart, and the short-term trend turned bearish. If it falls below the key support of $3,245 (50% Fibonacci retracement level), it may further point to $3,215 (61% retracement) or even $3,200 and $3,180. The upper rebound resistance is located at $3,300, $3,325 and $3,350 respectively.
From the daily chart, gold (XAU/USD) closed negative for the fourth consecutive day. The price has effectively fallen below the lower track of the short-term rising channel and continued to run below the 10-day and 15-day moving averages, indicating that the short-term momentum has weakened. The MACD fast and slow lines have a dead cross, and the green column is enlarged, further confirming the short signal.
Currently, the vicinity of $3245 is the support of the previous shock range. Once it is lost, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $3215 will be tested below, and even approach the psychological integer level of $3200.
If the gold price is supported in this area, it is expected to build a staged bottom; on the contrary, if it falls below $3200, it will look down to the $3150-3110 area. The short-term rebound needs to pay attention to the pressure level near $3300, which is also the dense intersection area of the previous moving averages. The overall structure suggests that the shorts are dominant.
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position:3310-3320,3340-3350
USTECUSTEC price is near the resistance zone 21776-22139. If the price cannot break through the 22139 level, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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FCL LONG TRADEFCL was previously in uptrend posting a High of 29.70, it has been in a corrective downward eg since then. It has given strong signs of upward reversal.
fOUR things validate its reversal upwards:
1. Crossed above 20 EMA
2. Posted a Higher Low
3. Made a 1H Bullish Breaker Block
4. Much Heavier Volumes on Up leg so far(47M)
🚨 TECHNICAL BUY CALL – FCL 🚨
🎯 BUY ZONE: Rs. 23.00-23.30
📈 TP 1: Rs. 24.99
📈 TP 2: Rs. 25.80
🛑 STOP LOSS: BELOW Rs 22.40 (Daily Close)
📊 RISK-REWARD: High Conviction | 1:4.5
Caution: Please close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then follow strict trailing SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions
PLEASE BOOST THE IDEA IF YOU FIND IT HELPFUL.
Ethereum (ETH): Breakout Happened | Buyers Taking OverWe have had a decent breakout from the local high area, and now we are heading for the retest of that broken zone.
So far everything goes as planned. We are looking for a successful retest here and then a steep movement to upper zones here.
Swallow Academy
PPL SHORT- SELL TRADEPPL was in uptrend – but it broke its uptrend trend line in 1st week of April and created a Bearish Breaker Block. It has now retested the breakdown level and resumed the downward move. Volume distribution analysis supports its downward move in near future.
🚨 TECHNICAL SHORT SELL CALL – PPL🚨
🎯 BUY ZONE: Rs. 170-178
📈 TP1 : Rs. 165
📈 TP2 : Rs. 156
🛑 STOP LOSS: BELOW Rs. 185 (Daily Close)
📊 RISK-REWARD: Medium Conviction | 1: 2.3
Caution: Please close at least 50% position size at TP1 and then follow strict trailing SL to avoid losing incurred profits in case of unforeseen market conditions
PLEASE BOOST THE IDEA IF YOU FIND IT HELPFUL.
PTC LONG TRADEPTC broke out from its WYCKOFF Accumulation Phase and trading range with remarkable gain, plotting a high of 29. It went into pullback, in the form of a Corrective Downward Channel for 5 months – which is evidently a Bull Flag as seen in chart. It has successfully given breakout of this channel/Bull Flag with massive scores on Volume Gradient. A HL, price above EMA-20 on 1D TF, retest of breakout, formation of SPRG and price action, everything confirms the reversal and indicate a potentially good trade.
🚨 TECHNICAL BUY CALL – PTC 🚨
🎯 BUY ZONE: Rs. 21-23.25
📈 TP1 : Rs. 25
📈 TP2 : Rs. 26
📈 TP3 : Rs. 27
🛑 STOP LOSS: BELOW Rs. 19.32 (Daily Close)
EURJPY: Move Up Ahead! 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY is going to rise more after breaking
a resistance line of a tiny horizontal consolidation range
that was formed on a retest of a recently broken daily structure.
Goal - 164.8
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TON – Symmetrical Triangle + Trendline Retest
📈 TON has broken above the descending trendline and is now retesting that breakout zone — a key moment for confirmation.
🔺 Simultaneously forming a symmetrical triangle, indicating compression before a potential expansion.
⚡️ An upside breakout in both structures signals bullish continuation.
✅ A solid hold here could fuel the next strong leg upward.
👁️ Keep a close eye — the setup is tightening, and volatility may soon erupt.