Trend Analysis
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could potentially drop to the 1st support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 3,127.89
1st Support: 3,084.91
1st Resistance: 3,146.14
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AUDJPY POTENTIAL SELL ANALYSIS !OTE ZONE !
I am looking for AUD to push up and find previous resistance! To SELL off of 🛑
In confluence with my Fibonacci Zone .. 0.69
When level reached , looking for an entry off of a smaller timeframe ‼️‼️
AUDUSD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.630.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.618 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
2772.38 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 2772.38 is broken.
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 2832.55 on 02/28/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 3100.00, 3150.00, 3200.00 and more heights is expected.
Take Profits:
2833.00
2879.11
2955.00
3000.00
3057.40
3100.00
3150.00
3200.00
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Now, it's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week,
ForecastCity Support Team
IONQIONQ, I don’t care what you do, but this ticker has a lot of upside potential. It pumped up, and is now making a retrace onto “prior-peaks”, so don’t expect much more to the downside if any.
Aptos 3rd wave coming soonAptos 3rd wave coming soon - i think APTOS is a good trade now - look at this perfect entry for the 3rd wave.
EUR/USD: Still in Distribution Phase
The pair remains within Wave 4, which is likely unfolding as a sideways correction — possibly a triangle (cT, bT) or flat (FI, EFL, RFL, or d3).
Once the final leg down completes, I expect an impulsive Wave 5 — a culmination move — with upside potential toward the 1.10–1.12 zone.
Let’s see how it plays out.
TRADE EXPLANATION ON EURUSDHow I approached the market this week on EURUSD. It'll help you get an insight on how I approach the market.
DJTThe DJT stock made a strong upward move, breaking through the descending trendline shown in the chart around $28. It completed Wave 1 at $54.5 and then rose to a strong supply zone that we had previously warned about as the reason for the decline in the previous post, marking Wave A. It then dropped in a corrective move to the demand zone we had mentioned earlier and has now risen strongly in Wave B. Currently, we are in Wave C.We are now waiting for a strong buying zone, a cluster formed by the intersection of the descending trendline, the demand zone, and the completion of a harmonic buying pattern, which lies between $20.94 and $18.54(PRICE ACTION). The stop loss is set at a weekly close below $17. Our target is Wave 3, aiming for a breakout above the last peak at $54 Tthen 80$. This is the bullish scenario. The bearish scenario would be triggered by a weekly close below $17, but this possibility remains unlikely for now.
Gold looking for shortsI think this is how gold is going to play out.
Waiting for that 3200$ level to short .
It has been a hard time trying to catch a short position.
I think it will be worth it chasing it because the return will be huge.
EUR/USD Trend Today - News Supports Uptrend💢💢💢 EUR/USD news:
➡️ Retail sales in Germany increased by 0.8% month-on-month (MoM) in February, following a 0.2% increase in January. This figure significantly exceeds market expectations of 0%. The euro seems to be receiving support from this data.
➡️ On the other hand, there is additional support from the easing of concerns over the EU-U.S. trade war. In fact, the European Commission (EC) signaled that they were prepared to offer concessions to the U.S. to avoid what President Trump had referred to as reciprocal tariffs, which he was set to announce on Wednesday. However, the prevailing risk-off sentiment may provide some support for the safe-haven U.S. dollar, limiting the upward momentum of the EUR/USD pair.
➡️ The EUR/USD exchange rate has shown positive movement for the third consecutive day amid the overall weakness of the U.S. dollar.
Personal opinion:
➡️ Today the EUR/USD pair will still maintain an uptrend due to improved risk sentiment. However, in the long term, it is still cautious for the pair's upward momentum. Due to the unpredictable policies that Trump brings.
➡️ There are signs of a slight decline after RSI almost entered the overbought zone
➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support levels and Fibonacci combined with EMA and trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉 Buy EUR/USD 1.0810 - 1.0800
❌SL: 1.0770 | ✅TP: 1.0850 - 1.0895
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
USDJPY NEXT MOVE Support Breakdown:
The analysis assumes that the price will respect the support level and bounce back up. However, if the support at around 149.000 is broken, we might see a further decline rather than a bullish reversal.
2. False Breakout at Resistance:
The target suggests a move toward 151.000 resistance. However, price might fail to break above resistance and reverse back down, trapping buyers in a bull trap.
3. Sideways Movement (Consolidation):
The price may not follow the expected movement and could enter a range-bound phase, moving sideways between support and resistance.
4. Fundamental Factors:
Unexpected economic news, central bank intervention, or geopolitical events could disrupt the technical setup, leading to an outcome that does not follow the projected path.
Welcome to the real world Uncle Sam!The market can withstand a lot of pressure.
It can handle:
the dawn of "fake news" and outright "lying"
the pollution and "enshitification" of social media
imperialist ideas of a Gaza takeover
partnering with a Russian totalitarian state
overhyping of AI and Nvidia's overpricing
populist politics
unworldly valuations of tech stocks
What it cannot handle is:
Upsetting the world order
Undermining of NATO, Europe, and allies
Starting trade wars with your best friends
Establishing tariffs which will harm the US economy
I love the US stock market, and US animal spirits, it's the best in the world.
But when risk rises, then secure investments like bonds/treasuries become the smart money move. Stocks become "risk off"
Risk is rising, tariffs will pressure inflation, inflation kills economies and markets.
The European defense industry will benefit, the US consumer will pay higher prices.
Higher risk, could mean a lack of confidence, and confidence powers the stock market.
Batton Down the Hatches.
Trading Note: I sold all my US holdings on Tuesday, at the break of the double top neckline (see chart).
My target price is the 2021 high, before the one-year bear market. Its a big drop, I give it a 60-70% chance.
RSI & ROC Negative Medium-term divergences
Of course this could all change if Trump backtracks on trade wars, tariffs and imperialist rhetoric.
But until then, enjoy the ride.
NVDA Rounding Topping Pattern!I started warning about NASDAQ:NVDA back on Nov. 4th, 2024, and we all saw a healthy -30% decline since then.
Updating that chart reveals a rounding topping pattern in place. Despite the 30% collapse, the pattern remains as bearish as ever.
CAUTION is in order!
Skeptic | EUR/USD at a Crossroads: Breakout or Reversal?Welcome back, guys! 👋 I'm Skeptic.
Today, we're diving deep into EUR/USD , analyzing key levels and potential triggers.
🔍Recap & Current Structure:
As mentioned in our previous analysis , after the previous uptrend, EUR/USD entered a consolidation phase. Our short trigger at 1.07124 played out well, reaching an R/R of 2—if you followed the idea, you saw the results!
Now, we’ve formed a new structure , which is more visible on the 1H timeframe. After breaking the descending trendline and pulling back , we've now created a higher high , indicating a potential move toward the top of the box at 1.09453 .
With DXY weakening, the expectation leans towards an uptrend continuation, but we remain flexible—if our short trigger activates, we'll take it as well because we approach the market with a two-sided, skeptical view rather than a fixed bias.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Long Setup):
Trigger: Break & close above 1.08454
Confirmation: 7 SMA below the candle during the breakout + RSI entering overbought
]Invalidation: Rejection + close back below 1.07666
📉 Bearish Scenario (Short Setup):
Trigger: Rejection at 1.08278 + drop below 1.07666
Confirmation: RSI entering oversold
⚠️ Key Notes:
Fundamentals: This Friday is NFP day—a crucial event for the markets.
Given the recent uptrend in EUR/USD, a pullback is likely, so stay prepared for both triggers.
Risk Management: Avoid overleveraging—wait for confirmed breaks before entering.
Stay sharp, and I’ll see you in the next analysis!
