Trend Analysis
GBPAUD at Major Resistance Level - Time to Sell?GBPAUD has reached a weekly resistance level, marked by prior price rejections and significant selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reaction if sellers step in again.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this weekly resistance, there is a high probability of a downward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head lower toward the 2.03620 level, which serves as a logical target within the current market structure. However, a break above this resistance would invalidate the bearish bias and could lead to further upside.
This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Bitcoin (BTC): Trump Dumped Markets Again / Are We Doomed?Once again we have to thank Trump for dumping the markets and coming out with insane tariffs like he did here.
Nevertheless, markets have dumped pretty hard and Bitcoin itself dumped $6K in price, where we've been moving just as we've been wanting the Bitcoin to move.
Our game gameplan remains the same; we want to see a bigger drop!
Swallow Academy
ALTCOINS has already started the new parabolic rally.Altcoins (excluding top 10) are repeating the 2015-2017 market structure.
Based on the 1week RSI we are at levels similar to July 2017 when the market kickstarted the final parabolic rally of the Cycle.
We expect the market to reach the $1 Trillion market cap mark before the end of 2025 and peak the Cycle there.
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#XAUUSD: Last Sell Idea Dropped +300 Pips, Bias Changed? XAUs price behaviour has deviated from previous analysis, which had anticipated a +300 pips increase. However, we now anticipate the price to continue its upward trend, potentially reaching another record high. Our next target price range is estimated to be between 3170$ and 3200$.
We extend our best wishes for your successful trading endeavours. To enhance your trading outcomes, we strongly recommend employing accurate risk management techniques.
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Lingrid | TONUSDT bearish DIVERGENCE at Resistance ZoneOKX:TONUSDT market has formed a double top in the resistance zone, accompanied by a bearish divergence at the resistance zone and channel border. It failed to break above the psychological level of 4.00 forming a fake breakout. Additionally, the price has broken and closed below the upward trendline after taking liquidity above last week's high. This suggests that the market is likely gearing up for a corrective phase. I anticipate that the price may move lower towards the lower levels, possibly retesting the 3.00 supporrt level. My goal is support zone around 3.30
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
AUDCAD Discretionary Analysis: Taking the Elevator DownIt’s more of a sixth sense(like when you just know the milk is bad before you smell it). I think it’s headed down, like an elevator with a broken cable . If I’m right, I’ll make some money. If I’m wrong, well… guess I’ll take the stairs next time.
Just my opinion, not financial advice.
GOLD - where is current support ? What's next??#GOLD... perfect move as per our discussion and now market again at his current support (that was our resistance )
Keep close the supporting region and if market holds then we can expect a further rise towarss next resistance areas.
Good luck
Trade wisely
BTCUSD: 1D Death Cross can push it to $150k by August.Bitcoin turned bearish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 43.071, MACD = -1375.000, ADX = 26.965) showcasing the high volatility that yesterday's tariffs announcement inflicted. 1W remains marginally neutral though (RSI = 45.519), highlighting the long term buy opportunity the current levels present.
The market is about to form the first 1D Death Cross, which occurs when the 1D MA50 crosses under the 1D MA200, since August 9th 2024. Even though that's technically a bearish formation, it has worked only as a bottom market during the current Bull Cycle. Both the Aug 9th 2024 and September 11th 2023 1D Death Crosses were formed exactly when BTC bottomed. In symmetric fashion the first two were formed 150 days after the previous high and rose by at least +96.86% by the 1.786 Time Fibonacci extension. Also both bottoms held the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.
This time the 1D Death Cross will be formed approximately 109 days after the previous high, which means that this phase is more aggressive than the others and may equally be more aggresive on the bullish wave too. Still, if it 'just' repeats the previous ones, we estimate to reach $150,000 by this August.
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GBPUSD DAILY TIMEFRAME UPDATESHello folks, this is my daily timeframe analysis on GU, this idea base on the retracements, the zone above would be our stop loss.
The target are indicated xxx below.
Entry at daily see chart above.
this is only my view on daily timeframe.
Good luck. stop loss above the zone. pewwpeww
EURUSD - Correction in the short termGiven that the order flow is bullish on the daily and 15-minute time frames, we expect a temporary correction to begin. Of course, it should be noted that Trump’s recent speech has caused erratic price movement, but my view is that the price hit the daily order block during this speech and collected liquidity above the 4-hour order block.
Therefore, we will soon see a bearish order flow on the short time frame, and this movement could go down to the bottom of the 4-hour swing structure (1.07417 range) in the first stage.
NVDA Slams into Key Gamma Wall After Tariff Shock. Cont. down?NVDA Slams into Key Gamma Wall After Tariff Shock – Breakdown or Bounce?
🧠 Macro Backdrop:
Today’s broad market sell-off was triggered by news of Trump proposing tariffs, sparking risk-off sentiment, especially in tech and semiconductors like NVDA. The fear of supply chain inflation and global trade disruption hit momentum stocks hard.
This news matters because:
* NVDA is a major global chip exporter.
* Tariffs = higher costs + weaker margins = bearish for NVDA fundamentals.
* Institutions are rapidly de-risking, confirmed by volume + options flow.
📊 Technical Analysis (1H Chart)
Structure:
* NVDA broke back below the 108 support — now acting as resistance.
* Price is currently sitting around 104.13, probing the gamma support band and near a key demand level at 104–105.
* This level coincides with PUT Support and HVL zone, meaning dealers might defend here, if they aren’t forced to hedge further.
Trend:
* Short-term: Bearish.
* Price rejected from the 114–115 CALL wall cluster (Gamma Ceiling).
* Forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming distribution + breakdown structure.
🔥 GEX + Options Flow Analysis
Dealer Positioning:
* GEX: 🔴🔴 — strong negative gamma zone, meaning dealers short gamma and are selling into weakness.
* As price drops, dealers sell more → amplifying downside moves.
* Current GEX Setup:
* Highest positive NETGEX/Call Resistance at 114–115 → unlikely to reclaim this without catalyst.
* Put Support near 104.6, aligning with today’s bounce attempt.
Options Data:
* IVR: 23 → relatively low.
* IVx avg: 54.5 vs current IVx = 23 → volatility is still compressed despite crash.
* CALLS only 6.5% → very bearish skew.
* Put Wall at:
* 104.6 (support) — holding for now.
* 100 — if 104 breaks, this is the next magnet.
🧭 Trade Scenarios
🐻 Bearish Continuation:
* Trigger: Breakdown below 104 support zone.
* Target: 100 psychological + PUT Wall (high confluence).
* Stop: Close above 108.
* Notes: Watch for macro headlines to further accelerate this breakdown.
🐂 Relief Bounce Setup:
* Trigger: Strong bounce and reclaim of 108 with volume.
* Target: 110 → 112 retest (low probability unless sentiment shifts).
* Invalidation: New low below 104 with momentum.
📌 Commentary:
This chart perfectly reflects a dealer-driven gamma crash fueled by a macro catalyst. NVDA was already in a downtrend, and today’s tariff news created the conditions for:
* Breaking demand structure.
* Triggering delta hedging from dealers.
* Pushing price into low-liquidity zones near PUT walls.
The bounce off 104 may be short-lived unless macro fear eases.
⚠️ Final Take:
* Bias: Bearish below 108.
* If 104 breaks, look for a flush to 100.
* Volume confirms institutional exit, and options data shows dealers are selling rips, not buying dips.
📉 Trade Idea:
Buy PUTS (1–2 weeks out) if price rejects 108 retest.
Strike: 102P or 100P
Stop: SPOT above 109
Target: $100–$101 zone
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Berachain BERA price analysis#BERA price has not been drained "to zero", as is common with all newly listed coins over the past year, which is a good sign.
The OKX:BERAUSDT price is currently in consolidation without much volume, either on the buy or the sell side.
It is worth following it, especially in the range of $5.50-6, if it is not allowed to go lower, this will be the second good sign.
📈 Well, there is no ceiling from above ... what would you like to see the price of the #Berachain token?
EUR/USD Triangle Breakout (02.04.2025)The EUR/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0736
2nd Support – 1.0707
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USDJPY: Long Signal with Entry/SL/TP
USDJPY
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long USDJPY
Entry Point - 149.48
Stop Loss - 148.96
Take Profit - 150.43
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Gold reverses sharply after Trump's tax announcementThe world gold price has reversed sharply because the global market has just received information last night (Hanoi time) that US President Donald Trump has just signed an executive order to impose taxes on all goods imported into the US, many countries will have to pay high taxes of up to tens of percent.
Specifically, the UK, Brazil, Singapore will be subject to a 10% tax. The European Union, Malaysia, Japan, South Korea, and India will be subject to 20-26%. China, Thailand, and Vietnam are among the countries subject to the highest tax rates, at 34%, 36%, and 46%, respectively. The highest is Cambodia, which will be subject to a tax rate of up to 49%. This tax rate will be applied from April 9. In addition, Mr. Trump said that a 10% import tax will be applied to all goods imported into the US from April 5.
Mr. Trump said that every year the US loses 1,200 billion USD due to the trade deficit due to 3,000 billion USD of imported goods.
After this information, the global financial market was shaken, in which the US stock market had a strong decline, losing from more than 1% to more than 2%. On the contrary, gold - an asset that ensures capital safety in case of risk - has benefited from a strong increase in price.
Many experts commented that the Trump government's tariff policy has increased global trade tensions. Previously, the US imposed tariffs on some goods from Canada, Europe and China, aluminum and steel. These countries have responded to the tariffs on the US.