Trend Analysis
MSTR Bull DivergenceMSTR has seen a fast and sharp correction after rallying nearly 70% into some key levels of resistance , and currently pulling back into the longer term downtrend VWAP, as an attempt to flip the current downtrend.
This zone around $360 is very crucial for me personally, as we are attempting to hold the previous pivot high, and setting a firm low for continuation of the uptrend.
On the hourly timeframe we are finally starting to see some potential absorption here as price continues to make new lows, however the overall strength on the RSI is unable to continue making progress lower.
This is suggesting that the selling pressure may be running low, and MSTR can be due for a bounce.
I have laddered into this current position , and would de-leverage my risk if we start to break the lows as that could be quite a bearish sign, in the meantime, I would like to see some relief after such a harsh downtrend.
Gold to new Hight ?!!Gold is currently trading within a downward price channel, and as observed, it has bounced downwards from the upper boundary of the channel to settle around the demand zone at levels between 3265.00 and 3279.00.
We can also notice the potential formation of a Head and Shoulders pattern, as illustrated on the chart.
Therefore, I expect that if the price stabilizes above the mentioned demand zone, gold may rise again towards the supply zone between 3330.00 and 3345.00, at which point it would have broken out of the downward channel and also broken through the neckline of the Head and Shoulders pattern.
This could lead to potential targets at 3365.00, 3415.00, 3435.00, and 3500.00, and after that, we might even see a new peak for gold.
Good Luck
BTCUSD 4HThis chart presents a bearish setup for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the 4-hour timeframe, shared by "Alpha_Gold_Trader." Here's the key breakdown:
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Chart Breakdown
Current Price: Around $105,857
Resistance Zone (Register Point Level): ~$109,000 to ~$111,500
Support Zone (Breakout Level): ~$106,500 to ~$107,500 (pink box)
Bias: Bearish (implied by breakdown and downward projection)
Price Target: Around $95,000, labeled as "TARGET SUCCESSFUL"
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Technical Implication
Price has broken below the support zone marked in pink.
A retest of broken support is anticipated before continuation down (common in breakout setups).
The setup suggests a short trade if price fails to reclaim the broken support and confirms rejection.
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Trading Strategy Outline
Entry: Near $107,000 (on failed retest)
Stop Loss: Above $108,500 (back in the previous range)
Take Profit: ~$95,000 (target zone)
AUDJPY Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the AUDJPY next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 93.501
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 92.966
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Breakdown Alert: Crypto Market Cap Tests Major Demand ZoneThe total crypto market cap is testing a key support zone around $3.23T. This area has acted as a demand zone in the past, and now price is hovering right above it.
The current structure suggests a possible breakdown–retest–continuation setup. If price retests this zone from below and fails to reclaim it, further downside toward $3.0T could be likely.
This idea is based on price action and structure only — no indicators used.
❗ This is a personal analysis for educational purposes only. Not financial advice.
Feel free to share your thoughts or technical perspective in the comments
"BTC at Key Support – Watching for Bounce"🔍 BTC/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Falling Wedge Setup
Bitcoin is currently trading inside a falling wedge pattern, which historically tends to resolve to the upside. The price is approaching a key support area near the wedge's lower boundary, with decreasing volume indicating a possible shift in momentum.
We are now watching for a potential bullish reaction from this level. A breakout above the wedge resistance may open the door for a move toward the 110K region.
📌 Key Levels:
- Wedge Support: ~104K
- Resistance Breakout Zone: ~107K–108K
- Upside Target if breakout confirms: ~110K+
⚠️ This is not financial advice. This is a technical analysis idea based on historical chart patterns and market structure.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments. Do you think BTC will bounce here?
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #FallingWedge
Bearish Bitcoin Confirmed —$20,000 Is Not Possible, Much Higher!After a lower high, Bitcoin is now on three days red. There is nothing bullish about this chart setup.
Think of it this way: Would you trust me to buy Bitcoin when it was trading below 80K? Now, Bitcoin moves from a low point of $74,500 to a high of $112,000 in less than two months. Isn't it normal for the market to look for some relief, a retrace or correction?
Please, do not be offended by me sharing a simple chart, reading a chart. It is very normal and I always mention that the market never moves straight down, nor straight up. Bitcoin doesn't need to crash, but after a rise of 50%, I wouldn't be surprising to see the development of a higher low.
If you are going crazy right now, maybe you didn't do your homework but it is definitely not my fault. The market moves up and down, up and down... It was going up, now, down we go.
Adapt to market conditions rather than fight.
If you are fighting, then you are not prepared.
If you have to write insults in the comments section, then it means you are not doing your homework.
It is your money. Be smart.
Don't be stupid.
You can do this.
P.S. If you can easily see the market fluctuating and this type of post doesn't create a mental breakdown, then all is good. You are great and you will continue to enjoy huge profits in this 2025 bull market.
Prepare for the crash.
Namaste.
XAU/USD Buy Setup Explanation (Using Fibonacci Levels)This chart presents a bullish trading setup on gold (XAU/USD) based on a Fibonacci retracement strategy. It suggests a buy opportunity after a pullback.
✅ Fibonacci Levels:
> 0.0% (Top): $3,331 – recent swing high (used as reference)
> 23.6%: $3,312 – minor resistance zone
> 38.2%: $3,297 – initial pullback area
> 50.0%: $3,290 – psychological mid-level
> 61.8% (Golden Ratio): $3,280 – key Fibonacci support
> 78.6%: $3,266 – deeper retracement support
> 100% (Bottom): $3,249 – recent swing low
🟪 Buy Zone (Between 50% and 61.8%):
The marked BUY ZONE is between $3,290 and $3,280, aligning with the Fibonacci golden pocket.
This is a high-probability reversal area, as it combines:
Strong Fibonacci confluence (50%–61.8%)
Prior price reaction zones (structure-based support)
: TP1: $3,320 – aligns with previous structure zone and 23.6% retracement.
: Final Target: $3,350 – a retest of the major resistance and previous high.
📌 Conclusion:
This is a classic Fibonacci retracement long setup:
Wait for a bullish reversal pattern (e.g., pin bar, engulfing) in the buy zone.
As long as the price holds above $3,266, the bullish structure remains valid.
Ideal for swing traders looking to catch a bounce off the golden ratio support.
EURUSD Bull Flag and 1week Golden Cross pushing it higher.EURUSD is on a Bull Flag pattern and just completed a 1week Golden Cross.
The structure is identical to the last 1week Golden Cross on January 11th 2021, which was also formed at the end of a Bull Flag pattern.
That formation pushed the pair higher to complete a 2.0 Fibonacci extension Top.
Buy and target 1.1800.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Tesla - There's more after the +60% rally!Tesla - NASDAQ:TSLA - will blow even further:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It is almost incredible to see such a large cap stock rally more than +60% in less than two months. But Tesla is clearly the exception and therefore we should expect the unexpected. What's quite likely is at least another rally of about 25% from here and a retest of the previous all time high.
Levels to watch: $250, $400
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
EURUSD: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 1.13516 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 1.13768.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Update from 29/05Our previous forecast unfolded as anticipated, with the price respecting the designated buy zone and holding firm above the correction trend level at 3332.
Looking ahead, I anticipate a short-term correction in the range of 3200 to 3233 before the market resumes its upward momentum.
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals | REGN | Long at $502.28Regeneron Pharmaceuticals NASDAQ:REGN stock dropped more than 17% today due to mixed Phase 3 trial results for itepekimab, a potential COPD drug. However, the company has an extensive drug pipeline, raked in over $14 billion last year, and is currently trading at a price-to-earnings of 15x. Debt-to-equity is 0.09x (extremely healthy) and earnings are forecast to grow 7.5% per year. While 2025 is anticipated to be its "worst" earnings year, the outlook through 2028 looks like steady growth in revenue and cash flow.
From a technical analysis view, the stocks entered my "crash" simple moving average zone today (currently between $466 and $502). More often than not, this area signals a bottom in the near-term, but it's not guaranteed. I wouldn't be surprised if the $450s-$460s get hit before a reversal if the market shifts negatively - which will be another entry for me. If it moves into my "major" crash zone in the $300s to close more gaps on the daily chart, I will be piling into this stock heavily (like I did with NYSE:UNH ) for a longer-term hold - of course, unless fundamentals change. I'm going to keep my target small unless there is a "major crash" and eye the closing of the nearest price gap on the daily. There is another between $883-$914...
Targets:
$590 (+17.5%)
SPX week & month review 5/30/25Intrigued by today as we closed the month and week. The charts appear bullish until something changes that. Key points I noticed...
*Monthly morning star pattern
*RSI above 50 on month and week chart
*MACD over zero line and signal up on month and week chart
*Key levels holding up (21 ema, FVGs)
We are still in volatile times and narratives are being thrown all over the place. Do you see what I see? Enjoy your weekend.
Bitcoin Weekly, Why $20,000 Is Not Necessary!After closing 7 consecutive weeks green, Bitcoin turned red for the first time. Is this situation bullish or bearish? Will Bitcoin test $20,000 as support before hitting $200,000? Boost & follow to continue reading below.
The fact that Bitcoin found resistance is a non-event. After a very strong rise with 50% growth, it is normal to see a retrace or correction, it is as normal as it gets. Think back to August 2024. Bitcoin crashed and started to recover. The recovery didn't produce one long single up-wave, after some bullish action there was a retrace, this retrace ended in a higher low followed by additional growth. Exactly what I told you would happen if a drop develops. Yes, prices move lower but always end in a higher low. The higher low means that the bullish structure remains intact. An intact bullish structure means that market conditions do not change. This is only negative for those that bought at the top, short-term traders and over-leveraged traders, and those without a plan.
The rest of the market is sound and safe and will continue to profit long-term. Now, how far down will Bitcoin go? Will support be found around $100,000, $90,000, $80,000 or $76,000?
Remember, even if Bitcoin hits $76,000 on a flash crash this is still a higher low compared to $74,500 and thus bullish. We are bullish long-term. So, regardless of the short-term, noise, Bitcoin will continue to grow.
Prepare for the crash.
Buy and hold.
Namaste.
AUDJPY Bounce or Breakdown? Key Levels Ahead
AUDJPY is currently showing bullish signs after a Change of Character (CHoCH) occurred at the 93.800 level. This breakout suggests potential for upward continuation.
The ZigZag structure also supports a bullish wave continuation, with the next Fibonacci-based target around 94.840.
A possible pullback remains valid as long as the price stays above the support zone at 92.700. Any breakdown below that level could weaken the bullish structure.
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📍 4H Chart Analysis (Supportive Confirmation)
On the higher timeframe (4H), the market appears to be forming an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern , a strong bullish reversal structure.
- The price is currently building the right shoulder , with a potential neckline breakout targeting 96.000 , a strong psychological resistance.
- Two major scenarios to consider:
1. ✅ If price breaks above the neckline and sustains above 96.000, it could lead to a strong bullish rally.
2. ❌ If price fails to complete the pattern and breaks below the shoulder zone at 92.000, it may trigger a bearish move instead.
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🧠 Conclusion
As long as 92.700 holds , the 1H bullish scenario remains valid with a near-term target of 94.840 . The 4H chart adds strong structure support via the developing Inverse Head & Shoulders, favoring buyers — unless invalidated by a breakdown below 92.000.
📈 Active Bullish Setup (Above 92.700)
🎯 Target: 94.840 | Max Bull Potential: 96.000
🛑 Invalidation Below: 92.700 / 92.000 (4H shoulder base)
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the support.
Pivot: 1.1424
1st Support: 1.1237
1st Resistance: 1.1555
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