BTCUSD – Key Technical Breakdown📉 BTCUSD – Key Technical Breakdown on the Horizon?
Bitcoin is currently testing a critical confluence zone — the weekly trendline support and cup & handle neckline around the $82,000-$84,000 range. A confirmed breakdown below this level could validate the bearish pattern, potentially opening the door for deeper retracements toward the $68,000 and even $52,000 zones.
🔍 Technical Highlights:
Potential Cup & Handle formation in play with neckline retest.
Weekly ascending channel acting as major dynamic support.
Monthly horizontal support at $68K could be the next key level if neckline breaks.
🌍 Fundamental Context:
Bitcoin faces macroeconomic headwinds with rising U.S. interest rate expectations and regulatory uncertainties.
On the bullish side, institutional demand and spot ETF flows remain strong, possibly cushioning downside moves.
Market awaits key data from the Fed and CPI release — volatility likely ahead.
📌 Watching for a decisive daily close below the neckline for confirmation. Alternatively, a strong bounce from this zone could invalidate the pattern and push price back toward the $95K region.
📊 Stay cautious and manage risk — structure is everything in this phase.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #Fundamentals #CryptoTrading #CupAndHandle #PriceAction #TradingView
Trend Analysis
Short Position SOL/USDT#Singal
SOL/USDT
🔴 Short Position
🎲 Entry1 @ 123.75
🎲 Entry2 @ 125.12
✅ Target1@ 121.79
✅ Target2 @ 119.93
✅ Target3 @ 116.55
✅ Target4 @ 112.38
✅ Target5 @ 103.78
❌ Stop Loss @ 132.32
Leverage: 5X
Margin: 10% of Wallet Balance
⚠️"Take Care of Risk Management for Your Account"
Geopolitics, Rates, and Risk: Why 1987 Is Back on the RadarThe current mix of geopolitical tensions, policy uncertainty, and fragile market sentiment brings to mind the setup ahead of October '87.
Without stabilizing signal, especially from the U.S. administration this weekend, the risk of a sharp correction is not negligible.
$SPY Possible simulation with COVID, Bottom at 495 then ATH 630Lowest RSI since COVID , highest daily volume for years! but if copy the wave of COVID drop we can see some similarities. bottom by 2nd week April at 495 then consolidation at 530 then up and fighting zone between 550-560 then up and small top on June/July then All time high in Sep at 630. the idea, take long dated strangles options
Theme: Distribution Phase with Sentiment OverhangSetup Overview
Bitcoin is exhibiting classical post-euphoria distribution behavior. Following the ETF-driven rally, price has failed to follow through. Structure is weakening under persistent denial from retail participants. Crowd remains heavily long and emotionally invested in the prior bullish narrative, while the market structure continues to deteriorate.
COT & Sentiment Snapshot
Leveraged long interest remains high
Crowd anchored to ETF news cycle
Positioning shows no substantial unwind yet
Structural failure evident with compression under resistance
Market Structure & Technical Breakdown
Post-rally failure to continue trend
Distribution pattern forming with lower highs
Compression and weakening momentum under key supply
Lack of bullish response to positive news suggests exhaustion
Behavioral Finance Layer (Watts + Livermore)
“The crowd believes what it wants to believe, even when the structure says otherwise.”
Anchoring bias to bullish ETF narrative
Denial and overconfidence prevalent in sentiment
Herd behavior preventing repositioning
Emotional fragility building toward reflexive flush
Reflexivity Risk Model
Phase 1: Failed follow-through post-ETF optimism
Phase 2: Breakdown below structural demand
Phase 3: Crowding into late long entries
Phase 4: Emotional flush and positioning reset expected
Strategic Bias: Bearish (Short Bias)
The setup favors downside continuation until behavioral and structural washout occurs. Patience is key — the true opportunity lies in timing the emotional capitulation and reassessing risk post-reset.
Shorting BitcoinBINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin put a massive Bearish Engulfing Candle yesterday, with high volume, which is very bearish, and now I’m expecting it to continue to decline.
It also tends to follow the US Indices, which are heading lower.
My target is about 70k, maybe even lower.
Good luck to you
BTC/USD to drop!!Good day Traders, I know this is one of most difficult markets to look at but it’s delivers price after all…
My favourite chart to work on is the 4 hour TF and as we can see on the chart shown we have a bearish bias for BTC and we’ve seen other vehicles out perform themselves but the crypto markets, the weekly chart is showing us signs of continuing lower and we can prove that by the breaking of structure lower on the daily TF.
On the 4 hours we have an active alerts 🚨 to enter shorts.
S&P 500 to 7000+ Full analysis of current levelsI don't make a lot of videos but I thought this idea warranted one so I could share the detail. First of all, I'd like your feedback - what else do you see? what did I miss? Let me know.
Key points from this video:
We are coming up on the COVID lower trendline
We are currently sitting on a key level that has a confluence of 50% retrace on downward channel
The 61.8 retrace is in confluence with a number of key items: The COVID Trendline, Volume Profile, 2022 high, and current channel
Momentum is also supportive of a pivot
So, what do you think?
Bitcoin's Buy Zone Revealed: The R/Evolution Of FinanceFor this bull-market, the buy-zone can extend as high as $100,000. This is because Bitcoin is set to grow above $160,000 to reach $180,000 and even up to $200,000 in the latter part of 2025. So even $100,000 can be a good entry for total profits of 100% when we reach 200K... If it goes higher, better!
Let's try again.
How are you feeling today?
A new day, a new chart; a great market.
While Bitcoin is solid right now, price-wise, it is still trading within our buy-zone.
Below $90,000 Bitcoin is an awesome buy. Have people been telling you this lately?
Yes? No!
No??? I am shocked. This is pure evil.
Bitcoin is now a great opportunity, a great buy when you consider that it will be trading 50% higher in a matter of months. Even better when you consider that everything that is Crypto related is set to grow.
Well, it is no problem, I am here to show my support.
Bitcoin is set to rise and it will rise really strong.
The last chance to buy at low prices is present and available now.
Bitcoin is an awesome buy below $90K.
Anything below 90,000 is great.
Below 80,000 is awesome but a rare opportunity and likely gone. This kind of price was only available for a few hours in 2025. Bitcoin has never closed below 80K weekly in its history. Were you aware of this fact?
The saying normally goes, "Sell in May and go away."
In 2025, this won't be the case.
The saying now is, "Buy everything now and become rich."
"Buy everything and hold strong."
Cryptocurrency is set to rise. Bitcoin is still trading at a nice price within our long-term accumulation-entry (buy) zone. The time is now.
Regardless of your strategy, your system, your method or your plan; accumulation is great.
You can accumulate now. If prices drop, buy more. If prices rise, buy more. When the rise becomes strong, hold. When the top is in or close, start to take profits because after a strong bullish phase comes a correction. You don't want to be caught holding during the correction. You can buy when prices are low. Hold as the market grows. Sell when the market peaks. If you sell when the market peaks, you can buy back-in when the next low is in. There is plenty of time to decide and take action. There is no way to miss a good entry.
Consider the chart and market now. Bitcoin has been sideways for months. Many months we have time to plan and buy. It will be the same after the end of the bullish cycle, so it will be wise to take profits when prices are up.
Buy and hold now. Sell later when everything grows.
I will be here to alert you of great timing to sell at the top.
Right now we are at the bottom. Nothing more needs to be said.
Bitcoin is trading within our long-term buy-zone.
You know what to do.
Take action.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Cryptocurrency was invented to usher a financial revolution. A revolution that is beneficial for all those involved. Everybody can win with Crypto, even the banks, if they adapt to the evolution of finance.
Imagine going against email and the Internet because it is new and you are the owner of the mailbox.
In retrospect, we know this to be simply unreasonable, we can only adapt and change because reality is always changing, no matter what our beliefs are or preferences. Today it is the same.
We have new money and humanity will never look back again.
We are in the early days of the Internet. The early days of Crypto. Those taking action now, will be looking like geniuses 10-20 years ahead. It is not too late. It is pretty early. Really early. Crypto is less than 20 years old. There are Bitcoins to be mined until 2140.
Join the revolution now, become the evolution of finance you yourself and get rich in the process.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
GOLD 3.5K 〉BUY BELOW 3000As illustrated, Im trying to visualize what could be a nice buy to hold at least during the month of April.
With Trump's term in office just starting, the level of uncertainty will keep getting worse.
Any dip in gold will serve as a major stepping stone to further expand to the upside.
POTENTIAL SHORT TERM SELL AREA:
Between the 61.8% and 70.5% retracement of the profit-taking drop we just had from Thursday - Friday.
TARGET: 161.8% Extension - roughly 2955.00 - 2945.00
-
Within that range, I'm expecting my personal setup called: "V" SHAPE.
Illustrated, is a what I like to see in the 1m and 5m timeframes BELOW major lows like any Weekly Low or Daily Low.
In this case, it is likely for the rebound to occur very close to or just below FEB'S HIGH (2954.00)
Once the pattern shown ("V" SHAPE) appears evident within the "potential buy area" illustrated, I will take buys AND HODL to $3,200 as first target & $3,500 in extension.
I will be adding positions more or less in the levels visualized but obviously depending on the market structure that the rebound offers.
-
Join my trading team.
Ig (@persaxu).
...
GOOD LUCK!
Gold prices start to cool down - back to 3000✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 04/07/2025 - 04/11/2025
🔥 World situation:
Gold (XAU) prices deepened their decline on Friday, sliding to a seven-day low of $3,015 before rebounding slightly, after remarks from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell suggested that inflation may accelerate again due to the impact of tariffs. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,029, representing a 2.70% drop.
Market volatility persisted as tensions escalated in the ongoing trade conflict between the United States (US) and China. In addition, Powell dampened hopes for imminent Fed rate cuts, stating that tariffs are expected to affect the US economy by slowing growth and pushing inflation higher.
According to a Financial Times (FT) report, hedge funds faced their largest margin calls since the Covid-19 pandemic, triggered by President Trump’s Liberation Day announcement.
🔥 Identify:
The FOMO increase in gold prices is starting to show signs of stopping due to concerns about economic recession. Gold prices will continue to decline back to the price range below 3000, stabilizing the market again.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3054, $3076, $3105, $3135
Support : $2998, $2953
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAU/USD: First Long,Then SHORT! (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the gold chart on the 15-minute timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around $3122, and I expect the price to soon reach higher levels such as $3128, $3133, $3135, and $3143, and after reaching each of these important levels, we will probably see an initial negative reaction!
Ultimately, I expect a strong rejection from the price once gold reaches $3144!
The level of this analysis is very high, so make sure to study it carefully!
Don’t forget to support this analysis!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Aussie dollar possible reversal In the previous week sellers push price with a strong momentum to a weekly demand zone, the weekly candle showing a sign of reversal.
The battle between the sellers and the buyers still on, can the buyers push price above the last supply zone?
Looking for the reversal to the upside.
AKT ANALYSIS (3D)From the point marked on the chart, the STRAT correction of AKT has started. This correction appears to be a diagonal. We are currently in wave E.
We are looking for buy/long positions in the green zone. Targets are marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
XAUUSD under selling pressure: Will Gold’s downtrend continue?At the end of the last trading session, XAUUSD continued its downward trend, currently quoted at 3037 USD, corresponding to a 2.46% decline on the day.
The main reason for this decline is the escalating trade war, which has raised concerns about a global economic recession, leading to panic and a sell-off in gold to cover losses from other assets. Additionally, the recovery of the USD during the day also put pressure on gold.
Meanwhile, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that President Donald Trump's new tariffs are "larger than expected" and that the new tax policies could have stronger-than-anticipated effects on the U.S. economy, increasing inflation and slowing economic growth.
Therefore, the current environment remains risky for XAUUSD, and as long as the resistance levels within the downward trend channel are protected by the sellers, our target price will be limited to the lower boundary of the descending channel.
What about you? Do you think gold will continue to fall?
Bitcoin Faces a "Resistance Lines WALL" – Breakout or Breakdown?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to rise as I expected in my previous post and hit all targets . Will Bitcoin continue the upward trend of the past two days!?
Please stay with me.
First of all, I have to say that Bitcoin is facing a Wall of Resistance lines ( intersection of at least 4 Resistance lines ). Do you think Bitcoin can easily break these resistance lines with a single attack?
Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($87,520_$85,840) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and a Series of Resistance lines .
In terms of the Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed Corrective waves . The corrective wave structure in the Ascending Channel is a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Bitcoin to drop to $85,000 in the first step in the coming hours. The Second target is $84,333 , and if the Support zone($84,430_$83,170) is broken, we should wait for the CME Gap($80,760_$80,380) to fill.
Do you think Bitcoin can break the wall of the Resistance lines, or will it start declining again?
Note: Donald Trump's speeches over the next hours could also affect the market, so trade a little more cautiously during this hour.
Trump’s Speech & Potential Tariffs
In today’s speech, Trump is expected to discuss new tariffs on imports from China, Mexico, and Canada, possibly ranging from 20-25%. If confirmed, this could impact global markets, strengthen the USD, and increase economic uncertainty.
Note: If Bitcoin touches $89,000, we should most likely expect more pumping.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Nasdaq Elliott Wave Update on Short Position ManagementIn this video, I go through exactly how I plotted the wave counts that I published on 3rd April (linked to this idea). I also show how to estimate price target using support and Fibonacci extensions. Lastly, I talk about trading productivity again and why I recommend to take out some of your short position.
There are 3 main reasons:
1. We have completed wave 3 of 3 and is now going into wave 4 (and wave 4 are notorious for being unpredictable and may even have triple combinations).
2. We are what? 80% in the money and it happens very fast. So productivity wise, it is good to take some money off the table.
3. Weekend risk.
I am putting this idea as "Neutral" even though I am still expecting a wave 5 down. Reason is because we are in wave 4, and also because I pray that I can find time to update again when wave 4 ends and wave 5 of 3 starts.
Good luck!
$XRP Update🔸
XRP is trading according to our expectations and holding within the key support zone.
🔸 Support Zone: $2.22 - $1.92
🔸 Upside Target: $3.00 - $5.00+
🔸 Risk Level: Below $1.92
🔸 Action Plan:
✅ Entry: $2.22 - $1.92
✅ Confirmation: Above $2.50
✅ Stop Loss: Below $1.30
✅ Targets: $3.00, $4.00, $5.00+
🔸 If Price Breaks Below $1.92:
Watch for a new entry in the next accumulation zone between $1.60 - $1.30.
💡 Below $2 still looks like a gift!