Trend Analysis
Check if it can rise above the long-term uptrend line (1)
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
In order to turn into an uptrend, the price must rise at least above the long-term uptrend line (1) and maintain the price.
Accordingly, the key is whether there is support near the 2706.15-2879.90 section.
If not, and it falls, the key is whether there is support near 2403.24.
The reason is that it has fallen from the long-term uptrend line (1) and is located below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts.
Then, you need to be careful because there is a possibility of a step downtrend.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the uptrend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, it is expected that prices below 44K-48K will not be seen in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to this.
If the ATH is renewed, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as support and resistance.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to generate Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous to use it for trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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Waining Bearish Momentum on DOGS (Bullish Reversal Incoming)I will use a classic signal to explain this one, because I can.
DOGS produced a double-bottom. Really high volume on the 3rd of February, much lower volume on the 25th. That's it. That's the classic signal and the entire analysis in summary.
Ok. You want to be entertained, correct?
Let's go further.
Look at the size of the candles, we are using the linear chart. It is necessary to have this setting to be able to spot this signal.
On the left side, the candles are really big. This big candles indicates momentum. To the right side, the candles are very small. This indicates a loss of momentum.
We have a down move with waining momentum. The loss of momentum means that the move is reaching its end. After a down move comes a bullish move, it is the only possible option because the market moves in only two ways, bearish and bullish, down and up. Wait, there is a third option, sideways...
So DOGS went down then sideways, down then sideways with waining bearish momentum.
DOGS will stop going down and soon will start to go up.
This is literally the message that is coming from this chart.
The chart is also saying, buy and hold.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Bitcoin at Critical Support: Technical Analysis and Trade Idea📊 Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at a critical support zone, offering potential opportunities for both counter-trend trades and short setups! 🚀 In this video, we break down Bitcoin's price action and market structure on the daily and four-hour timeframes, focusing on key areas such as liquidity zones, bearish imbalances, and Fibonacci retracement levels. Discover how to identify higher highs, higher lows, and potential trade setups for both long and short positions. 💹 Whether you're an experienced trader or just getting started, this analysis will give you the tools to navigate Bitcoin's current market dynamics with confidence. 🔄 As always, this content is for educational purposes only—trade wisely and stay safe! 💡
Aptos APT Will Reach $100 This CycleHello, Skyrexians!
Recently talked enough about the Bitcoin and Dominance, it's time to come back to altcoins with great potential. This is time for BINANCE:APTUSDT because it looks like to flash the insane long signal.
Let's take a look at the weekly time frame. We cannot define the Elliott waves, but we have the great performance in the past by the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator on this asset. Recently it flashed the green dot. You can see how it performed in the past. Moreover t is happening next to 0.61 Fibonacci zone. We can consider this move a a huge accumulation before the bull run. The target for the long term is $100.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
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Sell off is essentially "Bid-less"It really is looking icky out there for crypto.
During this selling we've seen the most nominal of bounces.
Look at the SOL sell off relative to the previous break, for example. Big bounces previously, this time it's just leg after leg of selling.
This selling is really surprising in the context of a bull move but would be entirely consistent with what we'd expect to see in a bear move if we were inside of Elliot wave 3.
During this drop I've bought crypto about 3 times. Each time that was a low and I've still hardly made any money. When it's hard to make money in things even when you buy all the lows ... it's worth considering that might be a downtrend.
In the wave 3 thesis we'd be setting up a 1.61 break soon and this would head into the strongest part of the trend. 1.61 breaks are sheer capitulation phases into the 2.20 fib.
During an Elliot sequence we usually make a choppy range at the 220, spike down under it to the 261 and then return to the 127 in the bull trap.
This would be a drop of about 50% from the high and could be consistent with a break - telling us the BTC uptrend is actually over - but we would be expecting a super strong rally at that point.
If this was just a shallow retracement, then the relative optimism of my previous posts may have been misplaced.
The rally to even as high as the mid 90s might be off the table.
60K and then 50K next.
Giving BTC a haircut of over 50% off the high in essentially two months.
While we were at the high I flagged up the risk level of the big 1.61. Here's the monthly action off that.
Some head fakes above it (nothing is ever easy) but very clear 161 reaction.
In this setup I find if the 1.27 breaks this tends to incicate a reversal of the trend.
There's a strong initial sell off under the 127. We usually retest the 127 and then sell again.
Subtext of that would be if we break again here, we break hard and this is the best price you get when it comes to a retest.
Which could make it really bad for anyone who averaged into their position during the 100K range - those would be dead positions, relative to where price would be expected to trade again.
Big big moment here on the 127 test.
A low is still viable here, but it looks terrible.
Local action looks entirely consistent with a downtrend.
USDZAR-SELL sgtrategy 6 hourly chartthe pair has indeed moved higher as expected, but more than I thought would be possible on a short-term basis. now we have reach near 18.7000 almost, and declined near 18.6000. We are trading above regression channel and this suggest caution, and since slightly overbought, think sell strategy might make sense at this moment in time.
Strategy SELL @ 18.6350-18.6975 and take profit near 18.4750 for now.
Disney Weekly Update : Bullish Disney Weekly Update: Technical Analysis (03/02/2025)
In this analysis of Disney's weekly chart ( NYSE:DIS ), we observe key technical developments:
Major Resistance Breach: The price has broken above a long-term descending trend-line, signaling potential bullish momentum.
Consolidation Zone: After the breakout, the price is consolidating in a tight range near $113. This indicates indecision, with a possible continuation if resistance at this level is cleared.
Ichimoku Cloud Support: The price is trading above the Ichimoku Cloud, which acts as a strong support zone around $101-$107. This suggests that the bullish trend remains intact unless the price falls back into the cloud.
RSI Divergence: The RSI shows a bullish divergence, with higher lows forming as price consolidates. This supports the case for further upward movement.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $121 (top of consolidation zone)
Support: $107 (cloud support) and $101 (cloud base)
Potential Scenarios:
A breakout above $121 could lead to a bullish continuation toward $135-$140.
A breakdown below $107 would invalidate the bullish setup and may signal further downside.
Breakout in Organogenesis Holdings Inc...Chart is self explanatory. Levels of breakout, possible up-moves (where stock may find resistances) and support (close below which, setup will be invalidated) are clearly defined.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
SELL EURUSD - Dollar strength is BACK!!!!Trader Tom, a technical analyst with over 16 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
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ADA and XRP Wave 2 correction?Wave and XRP are mirroring each other today. If the pump of this morning is the signal of W1 of a new cycle, we are now in a W2(correction). Based on the price movement from this afternoon, bulls are very strong, maintaining wave B of this correction in a range above 38.2%. It is clear that this correction will follow one of the rare Wave 2 patterns, but we must now observe to identify which. I can see an expanded flat pattern shaping up, but that will only be possible if the bulls let lose and sellers step in. If bulls maintain their strength, a running flat or flat correction might happen.
*I am not an analyst, this analyses is my Elliot Waves learning practice. Please correct me or give me advices on improving.*
On The Maco Level SPY is screaming a crash is comingAMEX:SPY is basically at every metric for being over-extended. From the Shiller PE ratio surpassing the all time highs to the buffet indicator at al time highs, take your pick, they all say the same thing. The Chart's trend is dying and the sell offs have been the initial weakness warning signs that retail traders are missing big time rn. Smart money is clearly selling the farm rn and the volume data on the chart backs it up. SPY is a clear sell in imo.
Gold Price ActionHello Traders!
It's time to focus on Gold . Over the past two months, Gold has been in a strong uptrend , consistently forming Rally Base Rally (RBR) patterns. However, we are now seeing a shift in market structure . The price has recently rejected a new RBR formation and is beginning to create a Drop Base Drop (DBD) pattern.
Trading Strategy:
Swing Traders: This is a good opportunity to open a sell position and hold it as the bearish trend develops.
Day Traders: Follow the daily market direction , but maintain a bearish bias .
Key Points to Remember:
The market is currently bearish . Focus on sell trades only until the market structure changes.
We've seen strong demand over the past two months, but now it's supply's turn .
The USD is strengthening , which supports a bearish gold market .
Tips for Consistent Trading:
Keep your analysis simple . Avoid overcomplicating your charts.
Use multi-timeframe analysis to align your trades with the overall trend .
Avoid overtrading and strictly follow your risk management rules .
Remember, market structures repeat themselves. Stick to the process and trust your strategy.
Wishing you all the best of luck and happy trading! Stay disciplined and trade smart.
Thank you!
XAGUSD H4 | Bearish ContinuationBased on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 31.42–31.54, a pullback resistance.
A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 30.87, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 32.00, a pullback resistance.
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Gold short term recovery - downtrend⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) start the week on a strong footing, rebounding further from Friday’s three-week low near $2,833–2,832. Despite US inflation data aligning with expectations, traders remain confident that the Federal Reserve will implement two quarter-point rate cuts by year-end. Additionally, renewed selling pressure on the US Dollar supports the appeal of the non-yielding yellow metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price recovers in short term, sellers are dominating, retesting liquidity zone 2883
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2832 - $2834 SL $2827
TP1: $2840
TP2: $2850
TP3: $2960
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2883 - $2885 SL $2890
TP1: $2875
TP2: $2868
TP3: $2860
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
93576.0-94742.35 : Uptrend conversion zone
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether the price can maintain above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and rise above 97226.92.
If it is supported near 93576.0-94742.35, it is expected to turn into an uptrend.
If not, it is important whether it is supported near 89294.25.
The reason is that if it falls below 89294.25 again, it is highly likely to eventually touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
This volatility period is March 3-5.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been in an upward trend since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
How to view and respond to this is up to you.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
-----------------
Trump New Update (2H)It seems that the TRUMP symbol is forming a Diametric pattern and is currently aiming to complete wave F.
As long as the green zone holds, the price can move toward the red box.
A 4-hour candle close below the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You