Trend Analysis
S&P 500 Index: First Correction Since July 2023I was just looking at NVDA and the market has been bullish forever. A drop is approaching and I wondered, "Will this be a short lived correction or will it turn into a bear-market?"
Good question isn't it?
The last correction for the SPX happened between July and October 2023, after that, it has been 100% bullish with some retraces lasting a maximum of three weeks. So it is hard to think of a bear-market.
From January 2022 through October 2022 the SPX entered a strong correction, a bear-market, it lasted 280 days. There you have it.
How would that look like today? Let's see... Ten months would put us at August/September 2025, can you imagine?
These markets are super resilient, and with money printing going on over-drive soon, it is possible that we only experience a correction. A correction can last several weeks to a few months maximum.
Big correction or small correction, three weeks or ten months, the SPX is bearish and pointing lower in the coming days, weeks and months.
Namaste.
Algorand Undergoing Bearish Pressure; 2025 On Sight (GREEN!)ALGOUSDT (Algorand) has already undergone very strong bearish action, but the bears are not letting go, not yet.
On the 27th of September the chart produced an inverted hammer as a candlestick pattern, a very strong bearish signal. There was an attempt to push prices higher but sellers were ready to exit their positions and a bullish session ended up as bearish, that's the hammer.
Then again on the 21st of October another inverted hammer showed up with a big real body on the candle. A lower high, buyers were trying to produce a relief rally as some other pairs did but sellers were too many and a green session ended up red.
Two attempts at higher prices failed. Now we see how ALGOUSDT is trading at a critical support line, seeing the previous selling pressure, we know this level is more likely than not to break. If it breaks, when it breaks, prices are headed toward next support. There is the chance of a long-term higher low or even a lower low on a wick, this doesn't change the fact that this is the last drop.
2025 is now on sight. The market is going green. The end of the correction is close.
Algorand produced decent growth in late 2023/early 2024, 300%. This is nothing compared to the 2025 bull-market, we will see many times that number so get ready. The low prices that will come in the coming days will be an opportunity, the last chance to buy low before maximum growth.
Thank you for reading.
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Remember, we all mistakes; we are going through live not knowing who we are or where we come from, but this doesn't stop us from learning, adapting, growing and forging ahead. We learn from these mistakes and grow and this growth will finally lead to the moment when we reach our goals. The realization that we are more than a physical body, we are a manifestation of the living Spirit, an eternally living Soul.
Namaste.
UPDATEAfter exiting the triangle pattern shown in the previous posts, the price entered the downward phase and crossed the S1 support and Fibo 62, we should wait for a positive reaction to the S3 and S2 ranges, now the S1 support has turned into resistance, And in order for the price to return to the upward cycle, this resistance must be broken
Gold will fall in the short term!!Gold price, after reaching the top of its ascending channel, has entered a correction phase and broken its support zone. Currently, it is trading below this support level. It is expected that, after a pullback to the broken level, gold will continue its decline and may drop at least to the bottom of the specified channel.
DOLLAR INDEX(DXY): Bearish Move From Key LevelI am impressed by the way the 📉Dollar Index responded to a significant horizontal resistance level on the 4-hour chart.
After the test, the pair entered a period of consolidation and established a horizontal range.
The breakout below the support of this range indicated a strong bearish signal.
Currently, we are witnessing a favorable retest of the broken structure and can expect a continued decrease in price. The target is set at 103.55.
XAUUSD H1 MARKET OUTLOOK AHEAD OF NFP REPORTPrice trades at 2749.28 ahead of the NFP report coming up later in the day. Price maintains a bullish-like structure and We may likely see price trade higher during the news release. We’re having a consensus that suggest worse than expected scenario for USD which will make gold trade more bullish
BTC: Potential Bullish Opportunity After RetestBTCUSDT (Day Chart) Technical Analysis update
Recently, BTC price broke through the broadening wedge resistance line and reached the peak resistance level of the wedge. However, the price was rejected at this peak and is now retesting the broadening wedge resistance, which may now act as support. After some consolidation around this level, we could anticipate a strong bullish move, making this an attractive buying opportunity for BTC.
Bitcoin Analysis==>>New All-Time High(ATH) is Loading!!!For a better view of Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ), I suggest you read yesterday's post first.👇
As I expected, Bitcoin corrected to the Support zone($72,000-$70,820) and is currently moving in a descending channel(small) .
According to Elliott wave theory , Bitcoin has completed wave 4 and we should wait for wave 5 .
I expect Bitcoin will touch New All-Time High(ATH) soon. (After breaking the upper line of the ascending channel).
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin falls below the Support zone($72,000-$70,820), it may fall further.⚠️
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
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BTC $83k-$86k top, then down below $30k?I sold all of my crypto between May - July thinking we'd see a large correction. We did pull back to the GETTEX:48K level, but we didn't see continuation below that level. Now price is within MIL:1K of where I sold it and I now think we'll see the last move higher. So I'm starting to build exposure again.
If we look at the chart, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has been consolidating right below resistance.
I think we'll see one final move to FWB:83K -$86k, then we'll see the larger correction that I was anticipating below $30k.
Still don't think we see $100k BTC anytime soon. I think that doesn't come until 2026-2028.
I've started building exposure to CRYPTOCAP:BTC again and certain alts, specifically CRYPTOCAP:DOGE incase Trump wins as I think that'll be a catalyst to send price higher. I
I think alts will see one last move higher into early December before the whole market starts to correct.
Let's see what happens.
Book Of Meme Below Resistance = CrashSupport levels were the August and September wick highs. When BOMEUSDT (Book Of Meme) hit a major high in October, on the way down, these two levels worked as support. It took two weeks for these levels to break. Once broken, the pair is confirmed bearish.
➖ BOMEUSDT is trading below support; now turned resistance; the purple lines on the chart. Book Of Meme below resistance = crash.
You can see the targets on the chart. The next/lower support levels are marked with orange rectangles. It can go lower.
Thank you for reading.
I'll see you tomorrow.
Namaste.
NAS100USD / TRADING UNDER EARNING Q3 / 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Initial Achievement , Prices have reached a target with a profit of +350 pips, indicating successful movement in the predicted direction.
Current Trading Range , Prices are currently within a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 20,549 and 20,410. An FVG is an area where liquidity may exist, so prices might experience some consolidation here.
If prices break below 20,146 (the demand line) and hold there, this would likely confirm a downtrend , A demand line often indicates support, where buyers might step in to prevent further drops.
Stabilizing within the FVG (above 20,410) suggests potential to reach 20,820 and further to 20,968 , If prices stabilize above the demand line, this would indicate strength and could push prices towards the target.
Overall Sentiment , The analysis concludes with an upward pressure bias, suggesting the analyst anticipates more bullish movement despite potential consolidation zones.
Bitcoin: With 70,000 Conquered, The Doors Are Open For 100KOne of the precautions we took when Bitcoin moved above 70,000 was to wait for the weekly close, in order to avoid getting caught in a bull-trap.
It is still the same week and Bitcoin is now trading back below 70,000.
70,000 is a very important level because this is the price from which the major August bearish impulse got started. Moving and staying above this level would mean that the bulls win, trading below it means that the bears are in control.
After exactly three days above this level, Bitcoin is now back below it. This move ended up either as a failed breakout or simply a bull-trap, makes no difference how we call it. What is important is to know, and be prepared, to what is most likely to happen next.
Yesterday's session is quite decisive, it ended as a Doji. At one point, BTCUSDT tried to move higher and reached as high as 71,611 but then there was a strong rejection. The session ended with a long upper shadow and the close happening below the days open; bearish.
What to make of this information?
Will Bitcoin continue higher or go lower?
A failed signal is a very strong signal. If there is a bullish signal that quickly turns into a bearish one it tends to be worth more than a normal bearish signal. That is to say that the rejection above 70K is strongly bearish. Now, considering all options, the week is not yet over. Moving back above 70K would strengthen the bulls massively and even open the doors for higher prices, so anything goes. As the chart is looking now, it is pointing down.
So this is looking at Bitcoin. Both the daily RSI and MACD are weak. The RSI a bit better but the MACD has a strong bearish tendency.
The bearish move is not fully in so the best we can do is to look around to see what we can find to help us predict what will happen next.
The DXY is ultra-bullish, we have the USA elections and the Altcoins are crashing.
Bitcoin is going down.
Namaste.
ETHEREUM → Price can't break the bearish trend. False breakoutBINANCE:ETHUSD is facing selloffs. Technically, ETH is showing weakness on the background of growing sales. Any growth attempts are aggressively sold off. The price continues to test the support, which only increases the chances of a breakdown
Accumulation is narrowing. Ethereum is unable to leave the downtrend. The pressure formed by the bears is only getting stronger. Earlier there was a growth attempt, which became unsuccessful, after a false breakdown of the intermediate resistance 2717. The bears did not let anyone near 2817. On the background of yesterday's fall, associated with bitcoin correction in the 67K - 65K zone, the price tested the consolidation support and is forming a false breakdown.
From October 22: BITCOIN → False Breakout & Bearish Engulfment ↓
If the price does not start active growth, but returns to the support and starts to enter the risk zone, it can provoke the activation of orders and a strong impulse to 2100-1900.
Resistance levels: 2562, 2728, 2764
Support levels: 2392, 2318, 2111
It is not excluded that the price may return to the triangle resistance or 2728, but there are no hints for now. Emphasize on 2562 and 2392, two important zones from which a strong fall can be formed
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:ETHUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Catch the Wave - "1986 Coca-Cola Slogan"Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈KO has been overall bullish, trading above the red trendline.
Moreover, it is approaching a demand zone marked in red.
🏹 The highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the demand zone and red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #KO approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Bitcoin will fall to 40KBitcoin just touched the $70,000 resistance and it even moved above the 29-July peak price which sits at $70,050. Does this means that $100,000 is now guaranteed? What happens now?
Moving above 70,000 is definitely a major milestone and a bullish development but we would need confirmation first. It can happen that Bitcoin pierces above this level today, moves up for a few days and comes crashing back down so we wait for confirmation.
➢ Today is a Monday and the week is just getting started. If Bitcoin can stay above $70,000 by the end of the week, we can say that this resistance level has been conquered and we have a higher high and the first one in three months.
➢ If Bitcoin moves a little while above $70,000 but then move back down, we would say we have a failed breakout or bull-trap and this would give further strength to the bearish case.
We see a wick above 70,000 but trading volume is still low. Wait for confirmation...
Since the month is ending this week, we can look for both a weekly and monthly close above 70,000/71,000 to get a bullish confirmation.
If Bitcoin fails to stay above this level, it means that the current rise is part of the previous inverted correction.
There is still resistance at $72,000 (7-June) and ~$74,000 (14-March).