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Trend Analysis

Tracking a pattern that could signal the Top is In I am tracking a micro pattern with the new local high made in the ES last night and today's price action as a micro 5-down....we should get a slight retrace into the 5960 ish area. Maybe tomorrow...maybe in the overnight session tonight. If price can then breach todays micro low of 5884 in the ES futures...we need to then follow through with a breach of 5857 to give us our first indication, we may have struck a top. From there I am following 2 counts...Purple, or my primary count which is a minor C of Intermediate (A). Best to all, Chris
CBOE:SPXShort
by maikisch
2
USDJPY Bullish Pullback Setup – Targeting 145.800 USDJPY has broken out of the previous downtrend structure and is now showing a potential bullish continuation pattern. - The recent impulse move from the demand zone (highlighted in blue) confirms buying interest around 143.600. - The current pullback could offer a buy opportunity, especially if the price retests the 143.600 support zone or forms a higher low. - As long as the price holds above this key support, we expect the pair to continue upward toward the next major resistance at 145.800. USDJPY is forming a clean bullish correction after an impulsive move up. If support at 143.600 holds, the next bullish leg could extend to 145.800. Watch for bullish confirmation near the pullback zone.
Long
by ClearTradingMind
2
S&P500: Inverse Head and Shoulders set to extend Apr-May rally.The S&P500 is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.868, MACD = 85.480, ADX = 31.901) as it maintains a steady Channel Up pattern and just formed the first 1H Golden Cross in a month. Technically this is forming the Right Shoulder of an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, typically a bullish reversal formation, which not surprisingly was last seen in April when the Channel Up started and was completed with the previous 1H Golden Cross on April 24th. The result was a bullish extension fo rht 1.618 Fibonacci level. We're bullish on this, TP = 6,150. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by InvestingScope
2
BTC/USD – Double Top Breakdown Signals Bearish Wave- 4H chart. 🧨 🔍 Chart Analysis: 🟢 Recent Price Action: Bitcoin formed a double top pattern near the Recent All-Time High (ATH) 📈 — a strong bearish signal 🔔. A trendline break occurred right after the second peak, confirming potential weakness ⚠️. 🟠 Supply Zone: Price re-entered a previous supply zone (resistance area) and failed to hold above it 🧱 — indicating sellers are active again. 🔵 EMA 70 (Blue Line): The price has dropped below the 70 EMA, signaling momentum shift from bullish to bearish 📉. 🔴 STOP LOSS ZONE: Positioned above 110,555 🚫 — risk level for this short setup if bulls reclaim control. 🟡 Bearish Pathway (Expected Move): Price may retest the broken zone 🔁. Followed by a sharp drop to the 1st support near $101,503 🎯. Confirmed by large bearish volume spikes 📊. 💥 Trade Idea: Entry: Near 106,000 (on retest of supply zone). Stop Loss: Above 110,555 🔺. Target: $101,500 🎯. Risk/Reward Ratio: 🔥 Favorable setup for swing short sellers! 📛 Pattern Breakdown: ⚠️ Double Top = Reversal Signal. 🔻 Trendline Break = Shift in Market Structure. 🧊 Supply Zone Rejection = Bearish Confirmation.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by KingProTrader
2
New Zealand central bank sees less growth, FOMC says it will remThe New Zealand dollar declined as much as 0.67% earlier but has recovered. In the European session, NZDS/USD is trading at 0.5969, up 0.04% on the day. A day after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand lowered interest rates, Governor Christian Hawkesby testified before a parliamentary committee on Thursday. Hawkesby said the central bank could hold rates in July and that rate decisions would be data-dependent. The Governor said he expected slower global growth would dampen New Zealand's recovery and there was uncertainty around the impact of the US tariffs. The RBNZ has been aggressive, chopping 225 basis points in the current easing cycle, which has brought the cash rate down to 3.25%, its lowest level in almost three years. At yesterday's meeting, the RBNZ said that the cash rate was currently in a neutral zone, where it neither stimulates nor curbs economic growth. FOMC minutes: Increasing uncertainly could mean "difficult tradeoffs" In the FOMC minutes of the May 7 meeting, members expressed concern about the government's fiscal and trade policy. Members said that "uncertainty about the economic outlook had increased further", making it appropriate to remain cautious until these policies became clearer. Members warned that if inflation remained high and growth and employment weakened, the Fed might have to make "difficult tradeoffs". There was another twist to the Trump tariffs saga as the US Court of International Trade declared the tariffs illegal. The Court ruled that Trump had exceeded his authority by imposing wide-sweeping tariffs against US trading partners. The decision puts a hold on the tariffs, but that may not last long as the US Justice Department has filed an appeal.
by OANDA
2
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1H Chart Analysis – Double Top Signals BearishPattern Formed: DOUBLE TOP ⚠️ Bearish Reversal Pattern Spotted! 📍 Formed near 111,794.8 ⬆️ Price tested the top twice and failed – strong resistance confirmed! Key Zones: 🔶 SUPPLY ZONE (Resistance): 🟧 111,794.8 - 111,829.8 🔼 Expect selling pressure here! 🔷 SUPPORT Zone (Broken!): 🔻 Price fell below this level, confirming a bearish breakout 🟩 TARGET ZONE: 🎯 102,500.0 ✅ This is the likely drop target based on the pattern 🧊 Other minor supports: * 102,820.6 * 102,750.8 * 102,227.0. Indicators: 📈 Trend Line * Supported the price during the uptrend * ❌ Now broken — indicates momentum shift 📉 EMA 70 (Red Line) * Current Price (108,238.6) is below EMA 70 = 109,245.0 * Indicates bearish pressure. Trade Setup: 🔽 Short Entry Idea: After support break 🛑 Stop Loss: 111,829.8 🎯 Take Profit: 102,500.0 ⚖️ Risk-Reward looks attractive! Summary: 📉 Bearish bias confirmed by: * Double Top pattern * Supply zone rejection * Support break * EMA crossover 🚨 Traders Watch Out: Bears are in control — next major stop likely at 102,500.0!
OANDA:BTCUSDShort
by Jameshead007
43
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on BITCOIN? Bitcoin entered a corrective phase after a liquidity hunt above the recent highs and is currently in a short-term pullback. We expect this correction to extend toward the identified support levels, after which a new bullish wave may begin, potentially leading to fresh all-time highs. The broader trend remains bullish, and the current correction could offer a buy-the-dip opportunity in line with the ongoing uptrend. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
1
AAPL 2025 Strategic Outlook: Overview of Primary CatalystsAfter trading around $200 intraday on May 27, Apple shares closed at $200.21—up 2.5% despite broad market headwinds and lingering investor skepticism. Technical outlook remains bullish, as price action is still defined by a rising bullish channel on higher time frames. expecting AAPL to bottom out heading into Q3/Q4 2025 and then another bull run of 70-80%. Here are the primary catalysts shaping Apple’s stock price in 2025, ranked 0–10: AI integration and Apple Intelligence Strength: 9/10 Rollout of on-device AI features (upgraded Siri, generative image tools, ChatGPT integration) expected to drive a renewed iPhone upgrade cycle. Services segment growth Strength: 8.5/10 App Store, Apple Music, iCloud and other services projected to grow double-digits, with new AI services adding billions in revenue. Gross margin expansion and cost efficiencies Strength: 8/10 Shift toward higher-margin services and anticipated memory price declines could boost overall gross margin by roughly 50 basis points. iPhone 17 product cycle Strength: 7.5/10 Rumored polymer battery improvements and possible foldable models may spur meaningful hardware upgrades versus Android peers. Vision Pro and hardware diversification Strength: 7/10 Mixed-reality headset upgrades under Apple Intelligence will broaden appeal, though high price and modest enterprise traction limit near-term impact. Share buybacks and dividend policy Strength: 7/10 A planned $100 billion buyback in 2025, plus steady dividends, underpins valuation, though recent pullbacks hint at caution amid cost headwinds. Supply-chain diversification and trade policies Strength: 6.5/10 Ongoing U.S.-China tensions and potential tariffs create uncertainty; pivoting assembly to India and Vietnam helps mitigate risk. Regulatory and antitrust pressures Strength: 6/10 New EU rules may force Apple to open parts of its ecosystem, potentially weighing on Services revenues. Macro and interest-rate environment Strength: 5/10 A “higher-for-longer” Fed rate outlook raises discount rates on growth, tempering valuations for tech leaders. Smartphone market competition Strength: 5/10 Samsung and fast-growing Chinese OEMs intensify price and feature competition, especially in emerging markets. ⭐️Catalyst Strength Rankings (May 2025) ✅AI integration and Apple Intelligence: 9 ✅Services segment growth: 8.5 ✅Gross margin expansion and cost efficiencies: 8 ✅iPhone 17 product cycle: 7.5 ✅Vision Pro and hardware diversification: 7 ✅Share buybacks and dividend policy: 7 ✅Supply-chain and trade policy risk: 6.5 ✅Regulatory and antitrust pressures: 6 ✅Macro and Fed policy: 5 ✅Smartphone competition: 5
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by ProjectSyndicate
22
EURNZD:RBNZ Rate Cut Sparks Volatility in NZDEURNZD: RBNZ Rate Cut Sparks Volatility in NZD Today, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) lowered interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.25%, down from 3.5% last month. Initially, the New Zealand dollar (NZD) showed weakness, but the sentiment quickly shifted as the rate cut was accompanied by a surprisingly hawkish statement during the RBNZ Press Conference. As a result, EURNZD plummeted by nearly 180 pips during the press conference, reaching a low of 1.8920. This level triggered profit-taking, leading to a corrective move that retraced exactly 50% of the initial decline from 1.9100 to 1.8920. Looking ahead, EURNZD may be poised for another bearish wave around this zone following a brief consolidation. Targets: 🎯 1.8920 🎯 1.8850 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
10
SPX500 – Fibonacci Breakdown Hints Deeper Correction AheadThis 1H SPX500 setup highlights a potential bearish continuation pattern following a clear rejection from the 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci retracement zone. Here's a breakdown of the trade thesis: 🔍 Analysis Summary: Fibonacci Cluster Rejection: Price failed to reclaim 5,921.31 (key resistance) and sharply rejected from the 0.618–0.786 retracement zone. Bearish Market Structure: Lower highs formed near the .618 Fib, followed by a strong impulsive sell-off. Liquidity Zone Below: The price is targeting the previous demand block near 5,796.99, a major structural liquidity zone. Measured Targets (Fibonacci Extensions): TP1: 1.236 @ 5,844.09 TP2: 1.618 @ 5,796.99 TP3: 2.0 @ 5,749.35 📌 Trade Setup: Short Entry Zone: 5,915 – 5,921 (retest of resistance) Stop Loss: Above swing high at 5,932 Take Profits: TP1: 5,844 (partial close) TP2: 5,796.99 (main target) TP3: 5,749 (optional extension) 🧠 Macro Consideration: With Fed rate uncertainty and bond market fragility, equities may be vulnerable to deeper retracement as institutions de-risk. Volatility remains elevated heading into month-end—be flexible and risk-aware. 📊 Evidence Supporting the Hypothesis Resistance at 0.618 Fibonacci Level: The SPX has approached the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, a critical resistance point. A failure to break above this level could indicate a potential reversal or continuation of the downtrend. Historical Significance of 0.618 Level: Breaking below the 0.618 Fibonacci support level often signals a continuation of the downtrend, as it is a significant retracement level in technical analysis. Stalling at Key Fibonacci Target: The S&P 500's recent rally has stalled near a critical Fibonacci retracement level, raising questions about whether the market is entering a new uptrend or merely experiencing a bear-market bounce. 📉 Implications for Traders Bearish Continuation: The inability of the SPX to surpass the 0.618–0.786 retracement zone suggests that the recent rally might be a temporary correction within a broader downtrend. Potential Targets: If the bearish trend resumes, traders might look for support levels at the 1.236, 1.618, and 2.0 Fibonacci extension levels, aligning with the previously mentioned targets of 5,844.09, 5,796.99, and 5,749.35, respectively. Risk Management: Given the current market volatility and the significance of these Fibonacci levels, traders should employ strict risk management strategies, including setting stop-loss orders above recent swing highs and monitoring for confirmation signals before entering positions. In summary, the SPX's struggle to break through the 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci retracement levels, combined with historical patterns and recent technical analyses, supports the hypothesis of a potential bearish continuation. Traders should remain cautious and consider these technical indicators when making trading decisions. 📊 Wavervanir International LLC | Discretionary + Quant Hybrid Risk Management
FX:SPX500Short
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
4
USDT dominance chart!The chart shows USDT.D (Tether dominance) moving within a descending channel. Currently, USDT.D is testing the upper resistance of the channel, around 4.65%. If the dominance gets rejected at this level, the next potential target is the lower channel support around 3.9-4.0%. This could indicate a risk-off environment where traders move capital from stablecoins (USDT) to more volatile assets like Bitcoin or altcoins. The 50 and 200 moving averages provide dynamic resistance levels that support this potential downside move. Thanks for your support! DYOR. NFA
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by CryptoSanders9563
1
XRP's Correction Might Not Be OverIt looks like XRPUSDT can recover any minute now but the correction might not be over. Good morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, what an unpredictable market we have today. The action has been bearish since 12-May and bearish momentum continues to grow. It seems the bearish action is stopping now but XRP has not reached support. While a recovery can happen any day, the signals are bearish and we have three consecutive days the action being red, plus more than two weeks seeing lower prices. We are bullish long-term but short-term anything can happen. Bearish volume is very, very low which means that the down-move has no strength. How much lower can it go? Always a higher low because XRP will continue to grow long-term. The correction might not be over. Namaste.
Short
by MasterAnanda
1
Musk Steps Away from Politics: What Does It Mean for Tesla?Musk Steps Away from Politics: What Does It Mean for Tesla (TSLA) Stock? Yesterday, it was announced that Elon Musk will be stepping down from the Trump administration as his term as head of DOGE—where he focused on reducing government spending—has come to an end. This decision follows his statement at the economic forum in Qatar, where Musk said he plans to focus less on politics, as he feels he has already done enough in that realm. What Does This Mean for Tesla (TSLA) Stock? Musk’s move away from politics is likely a positive signal for investors. Here's why: → The company’s CEO can now devote more time to addressing issues such as declining vehicle sales in Europe; → Musk’s role at DOGE will no longer pose reputational risks for Tesla.. During yesterday’s main trading session, TSLA stock surged to $367—its highest level since mid-February. Technical Analysis of TSLA Stock Chart The price continues to hover near the upper boundary of an ascending channel (marked in blue), which could pose a challenge for further upward movement. Additionally, the price has entered the $355–$375 range—a zone that previously triggered significant reversals (as indicated by arrows). Notably, there was a sharp decline from this zone between February 21–26. From a bearish standpoint, this area could act as resistance, and the candle’s close near its low yesterday supports this view. From a bullish perspective, the fundamental outlook may still provide upward momentum: → A joint press conference with Trump and Musk is scheduled for today; → In early June, Tesla is expected to begin testing its autonomous taxis. So, while a continued uptrend is possible, a short-term correction would seem reasonable after TSLA’s nearly 27% surge throughout May. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by FXOpen
1