Get started

Trendanalysisexplained

Crude Oil Outlook: Key Levels Shape the Path AheadHello Traders, Trust you are doing great. Please take some moment to go through my analysis of USOIL and share your thoughts. Overview USOIL is currently trading at 70.08, with mixed trends across timeframes. On the H4 chart, the pair remains bullish, recovering from a recent correction. Meanwhile, the H1 chart shows a bearish trend in a corrective phase, with resistance emerging in the 70.19–70.90 region. Idea An impulsive rally from 67.045 on December 5th corrected to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level at 68.78 on December 13th, where support was established. This led to a bounce toward 70.19-70.21, which now acts as resistance. If this resistance holds, a downward move is expected, targeting 67.70 and 67.08, areas where a bullish bounce may likely occur. The short-term bias remains bearish unless price breaches the Friday high of 71.38, which would shift focus to the 71.66–72.21 zone as a potential turning point. Conclusion In the short term, the bearish outlook is dominant, with 71.38 as the key invalidation level and a stop-loss reference. A break below 69.65 would add confidence to the bearish scenario, while any move above 71.38 could signal further upside, targeting the 71.66–72.21 zone for a potential reversal. Cheers! Merry Christmas and Happy New Year in advance.
TVC:USOILShort
by Samuel124
SPY: Watch Out For These Turning Points (D&W Charts).Daily Chart (Left) Resistance and Support Levels : Both $574 and $565 have served as support and resistance points in the past, and are good examples of how the Principle of Polarity works in technical analysis - when broken, support points become resistance points, and vice versa. At the moment, SPY is struggling near $574, its current resistance, which is very close to the 21-day EMA. If it fails to break it, $565 is its next stop. EMA and Price Action : The price has recently tested the 21-day EMA, and while it experienced a brief dip below this moving average, it has recovered. The EMA could act as immediate resistance if there is continued upward pressure. In addtion, the 21-day EMA is pointing down, reinforcing the short-term downtrend. Short-Term Pattern : The presence of lower highs/lows indicates weakening momentum, so keeping an eye on whether the price can break above $574.71 or fall below $565.16 is crucial. Weekly Chart (Right) Uptrend Line : The long-term uptrend is intact with a supporting trend line dating back to late 2023. This trend line, coupled with the current support level at $565.16, will be pivotal for sustaining the broader uptrend. EMA Support : The weekly EMA is also below the current price, suggesting a positive long-term trend. Any pullback to this level would still be within an acceptable correction phase. Conclusion: SPY is currently at a decisive point. If it manages to break above the $574.71 resistance, the uptrend could gain strength . Conversely, a failure to hold above $565.16 might trigger a pullback to the weekly trend line or EMA, materializing a long-term pullback (but not reversing the long-trend seen on the weekly chart, just triggering a sharper correction). This is a crucial watch zone for both bulls and bears to define short- to medium-term strategies. For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions. Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation. “To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore All the best, Nathan.
AMEX:SPY
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
2
GBP/JPY on the Rise: Key Levels to Watch!The USD/JPY hit a 10-week high on the 10th, driven by market confidence that the Fed will be cautious with rate cuts. The resilient U.S. economy is boosting the dollar, while rising U.S. bond yields could push the yen toward 150. On Thursday, the dollar briefly touched 149.54 JPY, the highest since August, before slipping 0.18%. Strong U.S. job data reduced expectations for Fed rate cuts, in contrast to Japan’s dovish tone, as new PM Shigeru Ishiba and BOJ officials dampened hopes for an October rate hike, weakening the yen. Two key factors to watch: the Fed’s rate decisions and Japan’s parliamentary elections on the 27th. If Ishiba doesn't secure a strong victory, internal party challenges could affect BOJ policy. Forecasted GBP/JPY levels (based on Fib Channel method): 194.689 197.821 201.695 207.958 Wishing you success in your trades!
Long
by fortunepivot
DOT - USDT 1DIntervalHello everyone, let's take a look at the BTC to USDT chart on a one-day time frame. We can see that the price has moved sideways from the downtrend line, but there is still movement in the smaller downtrend channel. Let's start by determining the support line and as you can see, the first support in the near future is $5.37, if the support is broken, the next support is $3.94. Now let's move on to the resistance line, as you can see the first resistance is at $6.87, if you manage to break it the next resistance will be at $8.08 and then strong resistance at $10.09.
by cryptodailyuk
SPY: A Dangerous Turning Point (D&W charts).The SPY chart exhibits some key technical aspects worth noting. On the daily chart, the price action has recently tested the double support area around the 21-day EMA and the 550 level. This confluence of support has provided a temporary floor, allowing the price to bounce back. However, if SPY misses this key support level in the future, it'll officially trigger a bearish reversal to its next support levels, like the 542, or even lower. On the weekly chart, the bearish engulfing pattern stands out. This pattern, occurring after reaching an all-time high, indicates a potential reversal or a strong corrective phase - if triggered. SPY's price would need to lose last week's low to trigger this pattern, which is very close to the 550 support seen on the daily chart. Therefore, this is a critical support area on multiplie time frames. The price action following this pattern suggests a weakening of the bullish momentum that previously drove the SPY to new highs. The 21-week EMA will be crucial as it has historically served as a dynamic support level throughout the upward trend, and it'll be a technical target if SPY reverses the bullish sentiment. The interplay between these support levels and the reaction to the bearish engulfing pattern will be critical in determining the next phase for the SPY. The trend is still bullish, but we are trading around a dangerous area, which could act as a major turning point for SPY. For now, let's closely monitor the price action around these levels, especially the behavior near the 550 support and the 529.08 EMA, for further clues on the ETF's direction. For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions. Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation. “To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore All the best, Nathan.
AMEX:SPY
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
ETH/USDT 1d chartHello everyone, here's a quick review of the situation on ETH in pair with USDT on a one-day time frame. as you can see, we are moving in a triangle. To determine support zones, we will use the Fib Retracement grid, thanks to which we have a visible zone from $3,254 to $3,056, but when the price breaks out of it, we still have support at $2,819. looking the other way, we will define the resistances in a similar way and here we can see the first resistance at the price of $3,526, then the second one at $3,695, and then we have a strong resistance zone from $3,814 to $3,972.
by cryptodailyuk
QQQ: Key Levels and Potential Scenarios (D&W charts).Daily Chart: On the daily chart, QQQ has recently hit an all-time high of 486.86, marking a significant resistance level. This milestone suggests a bullish momentum, but it's essential to watch how the price behaves around this level. There's also a noticeable gap at 468.14, which often acts as a magnet for price action, serving either as support or resistance. Currently, the price is hovering around the 473.82 support level, which, if maintained, could signal continued bullish momentum. Additionally, the 21-day EMA is another critical support level; staying above it would further validate the uptrend. Should the price break above the all-time high, we could see new peaks. Conversely, losing support at 473.82 might lead to a sharper pullback, potentially down to 460.58 or even 449.34. Weekly Chart: Looking at the weekly chart, a shooting star pattern has emerged, typically a bearish signal suggesting a potential reversal. This pattern indicates that despite reaching new highs, there was significant selling pressure, hinting at a possible decline. The 21-week EMA, however, shows that the longer-term trend remains bullish as the price is still well above this level. If the price confirms the shooting star by dropping in the following weeks, it might signal a deeper correction. Maintaining above the 21-week EMA would still suggest a strong underlying bullish trend, despite short-term bearish signals. Conclusion: In conclusion, while the QQQ shows strong bullish signals, indicated by new all-time highs and support levels on the daily chart, the shooting star pattern on the weekly chart warrants caution. If the price holds above 473.82 and the 21-day EMA, the bullish trend is likely to continue with potential for new highs. However, if these supports fail, we might see a correction down to the gap at 468.14 or lower. Overall, monitoring these key levels will be crucial in determining whether the QQQ continues its upward trajectory or enters a period of correction. For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions. Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation. “To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore All the best, Nathan.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
2
AAPL: Hourly and Daily Chart InsightsHourly Chart: Lower Highs and Key Support Level The hourly chart of AAPL indicates a short-term downtrend, characterized by a series of lower highs. This pattern suggests selling pressure is dominant in the near term. A key short-term support level is identified at 211.31. The price has recently breached this support, signaling potential for further downside. The 21 EMA at 212.94 is acting as resistance now. If the price remains below this level, it could confirm the continuation of the downtrend, materializing a pullback on the daily chart. Daily Chart: Fibonacci Retracement and Support Levels The daily chart shows AAPL’s recent bullish momentum, followed by a pullback. The stock is still bullish, and even a correction to the 21 EMA, or to one of its retracements would reverse its bullish sentiment. The 21 EMA at 201.11 provides additional support. If the price holds above the 38.2% retracement, making a bottom signal above the 21 EMA, it indicates strength and potential for a rebound towards the recent high of 220.00. A break below this level could lead to a test of the 50% retracement around 200.00, and possibly the 61.8% retracement near 195.00, triggering a sharper ccorrection. Conclusion: Monitoring Key Levels for Trend Confirmation AAPL's analysis on both hourly and daily charts highlights critical levels that we should monitor for trend confirmation. The hourly chart’s lower highs and breach of the key support level at 211.31 indicate short-term bearishness. The daily chart provide a broader perspective, suggesting that the trend is still bullish, despite the possibility of a correction. Holding above its support levels could signal a continuation of the bullish trend, while a break below may suggest further downside. Monitoring these levels will be crucial in determining the stock's next move. In an uptrend, corrections are usually buying opportunities if there is a bottom signal near support, since the risk/reward ratio is optimized. For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions. Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation. “To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore All the best, Nathan.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
SPY: Daily and Weekly Chart InsightsDaily Chart: Ascending Channel and Key Breakout The daily chart of the SPY shows a robust upward trend within an ascending channel. The price has been making higher highs and higher lows, respecting the channel's boundaries. Key levels include the lower boundary of the channel as dynamic support and the 21-day EMA as a critical support level. Recently, SPY broke above the previous top at 533.07, suggesting a continuation of the bullish trend. Only if the SPY loses the 21-day EMA and this $533.07 support we would see a mid-term pullback. If the price continues to respect the ascending channel, it could reach higher resistance levels around 560. Weekly Chart: Bullish Momentum and Support Levels The weekly chart highlights a strong bullish trend with consistent higher highs and higher lows. The price is well-supported by the 21-week EMA. Key support levels include the 21-week EMA and the previous swing low at 524.11. The recent break above previous highs around 533 indicates sustained buying interest. If the bullish momentum continues, SPY could move towards the 550-560 range. However, a break below the 21-week EMA might signal a potential correction, with the next support around 500-510. Conclusion: Strong Bullish Momentum with Clear Support and Resistance Both the daily and weekly charts of SPY indicate a strong bullish trend within an ascending channel. The recent breakout above the previous top at 533.07 on the daily chart and the consistent higher highs and higher lows on the weekly chart suggest that the bullish momentum is likely to continue. Key support levels to watch are the 21-day EMA at 534.43 and the lower boundary of the ascending channel on the daily chart, as well as the 21-week EMA at 514.79 on the weekly chart. Resistance levels include the upper boundary of the ascending channel and the psychological levels around 550-560. Overall, SPY appears poised for further gains as long as it remains within the ascending channel and above the key support levels. We should monitor these levels closely for potential breakout or reversal signals. For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions. Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation. “To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
AMEX:SPY
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
Will MATIC move towards $1.6Altcoins with small capitalization (young/new) have already made huge increases in the bull market, and what about altcoins with larger capitalization? The boom doesn't apply to them? I present to you possible growth scenarios with potential key places for continued growth. The first scenario assumes increases after repeating the 1:1 black correction, i.e. wave 2 as wave 4. The condition is that the price will rise above 1.54usdt. The second scenario is a flat ABC correction, where the condition is that the price increases to the red zone without breaking the top of wave 1 and falls to the green zone as wave C, ending the correction, after which I assume increases. Regards.
MLong
by cryptodailyuk
Will XRP rebound from the lower border of the channel?Hello everyone, let's take a look at the XRP to USDT chart on a 4-hour time frame. Let's start by defining, using white lines, a sideways trend channel in which the price moves at its lower border. Let's start by determining the support and as you can see, first of all, as support, we have a support zone from $0.50 to $0.45, when the price drops below this zone, the next support is at $0.37, and then support at the price of 0.32 $. Looking the other way, we can see a resistance line at $0.58, then at $0.62, the third resistance at the upper border of the channel at $0.69, and then we can see an increase to around $0.84. When we turn on the EMA Cross 50 and 200 indicator, we can see how the yellow line tries to cross the blue line at the bottom, which would indicate entering an upward trend.
Long
by cryptodailyuk
ETC/USDT 4HInterval ChartHello everyone, let's look at the 4H ETC to USDT chart as we can see the price is bouncing from the lower boundary of the downtrend channel. Let's start by setting goals for the near future that we can include: T1 = $28.51 T2 = $29.92 T3 = $31.92 T4 = $35.08 AND T5= $37.63 Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case of further market declines: SL1 = $22.82 SL2 = $20.04 AND SL3 = $18 Looking at the RSI indicator, there is still room for a continuation of the upward movement, while on the STOCH indicator we have exceeded the upper limit, which may result in a deceleration of the current movement.
by cryptodailyuk
BTC Volatility Rollercoaster: A Tale of Passion N Patience."Reflecting on the recent BTC price movement, my earlier prediction of it not hitting ATH before the halving proved incorrect, as it soared to 69200. Although I missed the long opportunity after exiting in the 46k range, I don't regret not participating in the Bull Run. I maintain confidence in an impending market correction, anticipating the opportunity to buy BTC below 30k. Staying true to my strategy, I've initiated a short position at 68900 with a stop at 69200, acknowledging the associated risks. In contrast to the current bullish sentiment, I remain bearish, driven by insights from the MT Pandora's Box indicating an anticipated dump either before or after the halving. While my affection for BTC is undeniable, self-preservation takes precedence, and patience is my ally. I foresee a substantial dip below 30k, positioning myself for significant gains. Despite my optimism for BTC reaching 120k by the end of 2025, the current price doesn't align with my strategy. The introduction of BTC ETF has heightened volatility, and I anticipate more fluctuations during the upcoming market correction. For those already in the market, my advice is to hold tight; the drama is expected to subside in less than six months from October 2024. As the dump unfolds, focus on strategic buying rather than succumbing to panic-induced selling. Remember, patience is key, and hasty decisions may lead to regrets. Let's navigate these market dynamics with a calculated approach. Happy Trading BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by MachiavelliTrader
FTM/USDT 1DInterval ChartHello everyone, I invite you to review the FTM chart on a one-day interval. As we can see, the price has broken the downward trend line, above which the price movement is currently maintained. When we look at the EMA Cross 10 and 30 indicator, we can see that the red EMA Cross 10 line has crossed the green EMA Cross 30 line from below, which indicates a local return to the uptrend. Looking at the current price increases, it is worth moving on to determining the resistance that we should take into account. And here there is a strong resistance zone from $0.56 to $0.66, only when the price overcomes it and then tests positively should we see an upward movement to the level of approximately $0.97. In the second direction, you can see how the price stays above the newly formed support at $0.42, then you can see support at $0.32, and then you can see how $0.25, which previously maintained a move in one and the other direction. The RSI indicator shows an upward movement with room for the price to go a little higher, but caution should be exercised because the STOCH indicator reflects at the upper limit, which may limit the growth.
by cryptodailyuk
ETH/USDT 4hIntervalHello everyone, let's take a look at the BTC to USDT chart on a four-hour time frame. As you can see, the price has broken the sapping trend lines. Looking at the increase, it is worth spreading the fib retracement grid, thanks to which you can see how the price is struggling with the resistance at $2,510, then resistance at $2,605, and the next one at $2,722. Looking the other way, you can see support at $2,387, and the support zone from $2,244 to $2,168 is further important. The RSI indicator, similarly to the STOCH indicator, shows a movement towards the upper limit, which may lead to a desire to recover and a price drop.
by cryptodailyuk
BTC Long TermHello everyone, I invite you to check the current situation on BTC in the USDT pair, taking into account the one-day interval. Let's start by defining the upward trend channel in which we are moving using blue lines, and locally it is worth defining the upward trend line. Looking at the current strong growth, it is worth laying out the Fib Retracement grid to check the current resistance. And here you can see how the price is struggling with a strong resistance zone from $46,760 to $48,987, while a positive exit from this zone can give an upward impulse to the resistance level at $55,395. Looking the other way, we can use the Fib Retracement tool to determine support areas in a similar way. First, there is visible support at the level of $44,243, then there is also strong support at the level of $42,010, which kept the price from falling several times. Next, there is a strong support zone from $40,489 to $38,544. When we turn on the EMA Cross 10 and 30 indicator, we will be able to see confirmation of the return to the uptrend when the red EMA Cross 10 line crosses the green EMA Cross 30 line from below. Going further, we have the RSI indicator, which shows that there is still some room for a price increase, but it is worth adding that the STOCH indicator is moving above the upper limit, which slows down the growth and may allow for an attempt at recovery.
by cryptodailyuk