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Trendanalysisexplained

SPX: This Could be a Bottom - If Confirmed.• The SPX is doing a bullish reaction today, which could become a bottom signal and a possible bullish reversal – but it is too soon for this; • Since the SPX lost the 4,078 support line, it was supposed to hit the next support line around 4,039. However, it is did bullish reaction in a “no man’s land”, and now it is trading above the 4,078 again; • I say it is a “no man’s land” because it is reacting exactly between the 4,078 and 4,039 support lines; • What’s the problem with this bullish reaction? The SPX is still struggling to break a few key resistance levels. As seen in the daily chart, the 21 ema is holding the price. • In the 1h chart, the trend is still very bearish, as the index is still doing lower highs/lows, and it is below the 21 ema – which by the way, is also acting as a resistance today; • Therefore, this bullish reaction could be just a bounce to the 21 ema, before another drop to the 4,039; • In addition to the 21 ema, in the 1h chart, we see the black line at 4,113, and a purple trend line connecting the previous top levels on it. Both lines are supposed to act as resistance levels; • The SPX could reverse, but it just won’t be easy, as it has yet to break its short-term resistances in order to trigger a bullish reversal pattern. Only then, we can go on and say that the index is confirming a bottom, and the 4,170s will be our next target. For now, let's wait for confirmation. I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis.
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
2
NVDA: Powerful Bearish Rejection.• Yesterday, NVDA did what seems to be an Exhaustion Bar, a massive bearish candlestick around a support level, far from its resistance, after the pullback was already materialized; • Today, we see a bullish reaction, and NVDA is bouncing away from its support at 263, and it is breaking the 21 ema as well, trying to reject a very bearish scenario. • The 263 is a very important support level because it is the trigger point of a Double Top chart pattern. By losing this key point, the 244 would be our next stop, and NVDA would reverse the bull trend. We already discussed this possibility in my previous NVDA analysis (link below this post); • The trend is still bullish, as NVDA isn’t doing lower highs/lows yet; • In the weekly chart, NVDA has been moving sideways for five weeks now, but it has yet to hit its technical resistance at 289; • In theory, NVDA could correct to the 21 ema in the weekly chart and this wouldn’t ruin the long-term bullish bias; • So far, the situation is under control and NVDA is still above its key support line. I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
5
SPX: Reaching Important Support Lines.• SPX lost a support line at 4,113, and it seems it wants to engage a bearish momentum; • The bias was already slightly bearish, as the index has been doing lower highs (purple line). But now, it is losing a key support line, indicating that it wants to seek lower levels, at least in the short-term. • In the daily chart, the index is about to hit its 21 ema, which is a technical support level and our target since our previous analysis (link below this post); • Unlike the 1h chart, the daily chart is still very bullish, as the index is still doing higher highs/lows, and it is above the 21 ema; • This suggests that the index is supposed to hit the next resistance at 4,195, but it is important to do a bullish reaction as soon as possible above its 21 ema to confirm a bottom signal - so far, no bottom signal yet; • If the SPX loses its 21 ema, then it might seek the next support line at 4,078, a multi-support/resistance line. Only by losing the 4,078 the index would frustrate the bullish bias. I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis.
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
2
TSLA: This is a Defining Moment.• Despite the bullish reaction this morning, TSLA is still in a bear trend, and it already lost the previous support line at 163.91, which I mentioned in my previous public analysis (link below this post); • Now, the 163.91 is a short-term resistance line, which reinforces the bearish sentiment. TSLA won’t bounce to higher levels, like 176, while it is below this resistance; • In the lack of bullish reversal patterns, the gap at 146 is our next mid-term target. • In the weekly chart, TSLA is on the verge of losing a key support line, which has been acting as a support since January; • There’s still time for a reaction, and if we see a bullish candlestick above this support TSLA could finally bounce again, but this reaction must occur as soon as possible – preferably this week; • On the other hand, if TSLA loses this support line, then the bearish sentiment will prevail, and TSLA could get close to the 100 again (the next support line in the weekly chart, a long-term target); • Therefore, this is a defining moment for TSLA stock, and we’ll have our answers very soon. I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
11
NVDA: A Dangerous Pattern Appears.• NVDA is doing a pullback to its 21 ema, which is a normal movement. The problem is that this correction is occurring after it found a strong resistance at 280; • This could be the beginning of a Double Top chart pattern. In order to trigger this pattern, NVDA would have to lose the 263 support line, which is the previous bottom area; • In this scenario, NVDA would seek the 244, the next support line; • In order to avoid this bearish thesis, it is important to see NVDA doing a bullish reaction, preferably above the 21 ema, and breaking the 280 as soon as possible; • So far, it seems NDA is just doing some range trading between its two key support/resistance lines. I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
2
SPX: Pullback Ahead?• The SPX is correcting today, and it is trading around an important support level at 4,133 (top from Apr 04); • If the index loses this key point, the next technical support is the 21 ema in the daily chart; • The 21 ema is quite close to the 4,078, another key point that acted as a top (Mar 06) and as a support level multiple times (Apr 05, 06 and 10). Meaning, this is a dual-support area; • The bias is still bullish, and it would remain bullish even considering a pullback to the 21 ema. So far, there’s no bearish reversal structure, and the index is still doing higher highs/lows; • Only if it does a lower high/low we might see the trend reversing; • For now, let’s pay attention on how the index will react around the 4,133 support area. I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis.
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
TSLA: The Key Points We Should Watch From Here.• TSLA stock is trying to do a bullish reaction, after yesterday’s crash, but it is still under important resistance levels; • As long as TSLA remains under the 21 ema + 186 (red line), no bullish scenario will materialize; • Only if TSLA breaks these resistance levels we might see something new, otherwise, the bearish sentiment will persist and in this scenario, the 186 is our next target. • In the daily chart, TSLA did a powerful bearish candlestick under the 21 ema; • As mentioned before, the 176 is the next support level on it. If TSLA loses the 186, it’ll trigger a clear bearish pivot point, or even an inclined H&S chart pattern, indicating that the long-term trend will remain bearish; • Therefore, the 176 is a critical support level, while the area around 186 is a critical resistance; • On the other hand, if TSLA breaks the 186 area, we might see another rally; • Last week TSLA did a Hammer candlestick pattern, which is a bullish reversal pattern 60% of the time, and hit its target around 88% of the time (Bulkowski, Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts); • It all depends on how TSLA will react around these key points from now. I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
1
ETH Bullish Momentum Cont: why next TA Ranges from 2k to $2444?Ethereum Technical Analysis points to a Bullish Momentum most likely to contining for a 2k price range TA? Despite BTC having a stronger bull move last week, we shouldn't be deceived by the sluggish move of ETH buyers to break above 2k. Looking at the daily chart, ETH hasn't been able to break above the 1800 resistance level, with buyers struggling around the 1840 mark. However, there is a plan to clear the 2k resistance level and potentially go further above it. While it's good to not overlook the current primary bear trend, it's important to note that what is currently being experienced is a secondary trend. This is seen on intraday timeframes like the 4hr chart, while the primary bear trend is seen on the weekly and monthly charts. Secondary trends are reactions to the major primary trend, which in the case of ETH, is still ongoing. This means that the bullish momentum on ETH is yet to max out. The major resistance to watch for a good reaction is the price range of 1900 to 2040, which will force a tertiary reaction but is likely to be broken through after a mini pullback occurs. This persistence will drive bulls to max out the bull run all the way to 2200, and stop-loss hunting from market makers could force buyers' hands to the 2400 range depending on the capital inflow and momentum. Therefore, the direction for ETH is to buy, with the target price range for the 1st TA being 1900-2k, the 2nd TA being 2160, and the 3rd TA being 2444
Long
by MachiavelliTrader
Daily BTC 4HChart - resistance and supportHello everyone, let's look at the BTC to USDT chart on a 4-hour timeframe. As you can see, the price is moving within the triangle marked with yellow lines and is about to leave it. Let's start with the support line and as you can see the first support in the near future is HKEX:27784 , if the support is broken then the next support is $27400 and $26902. Now let's move to the resistance line, as you can see the first resistance is $28281, if you manage to break it the next resistance will be HKEX:28587 , $28901 and $29372. Looking at the CHOP indicator, we see that the energy is very charged, the MACD is on the verge of maintaining an uptrend, while the RSI is in the middle of the range, we have room for an upward exit from the triangle.
by cryptodailyuk
NVDA: What If It Corrects?• NVDA is clearly bullish, as it is doing higher highs/lows, trading above the 21 ema, and the ema is pointing upwards; • However, it appears it is doing a top sign today, which is acceptable (last month it did many top signals); • The previous top level at $275.89 is supposed to work as a support, and if NVDA closes under this key point today, it might start another pullback to the 21 ema area; • The 21 ema is close to the previous support at $258.50, and only if NVDA loses this key point, we might see a sharper correction in the weekly chart, possibily to the 21 ema: • I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis!
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
TSLA: False Breakout + Exhaustion Bar.• TSLA did a false breakout from the $200, and this key point is working as a resistance again today. The $200 is our most important key point, as I already mentioned in my previous analysis (link below this post, as usual); • Today’s movement is rejecting Friday’s candlestick, which was a powerful candle that broke the $200 resistance. This gives the impression of an Exhaustion Bar; • In order to avoid a sharper correction, TSLA would need to do a bullish reaction as soon as possible. Otherwise, it could drop all the way down to the $187 again; • The $187 is our key support, and only if TSLA loses it, the trend will reverse and become bearish again; • So far, TSLA has been doing higher highs/lows. It broke the previous top last Friday, and if TSLA finds a support above the $187 area, this will reinforce a bullish thesis; • In this scenario, TSLA would just keep trending, and the $217 would be its next target. It all depends on how it’ll react in the next couple of days; • For now, it appears TSLA triggered an Exhaustion Bar, and as the name suggests, this indicates exhaustion. I’ll keep you updated on this, as usual. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
8
SPX: Powerful Breakout! The Index Seems Unstoppable (For Now).• The SPX triggered the pivot point at 4k, which we mentioned in our last analysis, and the trend is now bullish (the link to my previous analysis is below this post); • Now, the support levels are: 21 ema; 4k; and the lower purple trend line. The SPX would have to lose all these support levels, doing a downwards breakout from its Ascending Channel, in order to reverse the bullish bias; • In the daily chart, the index broke the trend we talked about in our previous study, indicating that it is reversing the trend; • What’s more, it triggered a bullish pivot point, as it broke the previous high at 4,039 after doing a higher low (3,909); • Now it appears the index is seeking the next resistance at 4,078 (Futures already hit this resistance level); • There is a possibility that the index triggered an Inverse Head & Shoulders chart pattern as well, indicating that the bullish reversal has just started. In this scenario we would easily hit the 4,200 in the next few weeks; • I’ll keep you updated on this. For now, let’s pay attention to the movements in the 1h chart. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis!
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
1
NVDA: Bullish, But Be Aware of These Patterns.• NVDA is about to retest the previous top at $275.89, after a quick correction to the $258.50; • NVDA is in a very strong bull trend, and the last correction couldn’t even hit the 21 ema in the daily chart; • By breaking the resistance at $275.89, NVDA would trigger another bullish pivot point, reinforcing the bullish bias. Its next target is the $289.46, which is better seen in the weekly chart; • However, it is important for NVDA to break the $275.89 as soon as possible, as if it does a top sign in this area, the market may see a Double Top – we discussed this possibility last week, in our last analysis (the link is below this post, as usual). If it loses the $258.50 (previous bottom), then it’ll give another confirmation sign of a bearish reversal. • In the weekly chart, we see that NVDA reversed the bear market by doing an upwards breakout from its Descending Channel, and it triggered an IH&S chart pattern; • The $289.46 is a previous top from March 2022, and it is a technical resistance for us now. It appears NVDA wants to hit this target. So far, there’s no top sign nor bearish reversal structures; • In theory, a pullback before it hits its target would be normal, as pullbacks after the breakout of the neckline of an IH&S occur 65% of the time (Bulkowski, Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns); • If NVDA triggers a sharp correction in the weekly chart, I see it retesting its 21 ema next; • I’ll keep you updated on this, as usual. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis!
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
2
SPX: Trend Analysis + Key Points to Watch From Here.• The SPX is trading inside an Ascending Channel in the 1h chart. Today it is losing momentum, indicating that it could seek the bottom of this channel; • Yesterday, the index failed in breaking the 4k, which is its most important key point. By breaking the 4k, we would see a bullish pivot point in the 1h chart, indicating that we could seek the higher line of this channel; • If it loses this channel downwards, then it is very likely that it’ll seek its support at 3,808, which we mentioned in our previous analysis (the link to it is below this post, as usual). • The problem is that in the daily chart, the trend is still bearish. There’s a purple trend line connecting the previous tops, and it seems it worked again yesterday; • As long as the index remains under this purple line, the SPX won’t do any meaningful bullish reversal pattern; • What’s more, there’s no clear bullish reversal structure in the daily chart yet. Yes, there’s a bottom at 3,909, which is higher than the previous one at 3,808, but without a higher high, the trend will remain bearish; • Therefore, it is very important to watch how the index is going to react now that it just hit its major resistance in the daily chart, and if it’ll break its pivot point in the 1h chart; • This is a defining moment for the SPX, and I’ll keep you updated on this, as usual. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis!
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
TSLA: Back to a TRAP ZONE. What to Expect?• Since our last post, TSLA did exactly what we expected, as it corrected to the $187 support, and now it is bouncing again (link to my previous analysis is below this post, as usual); • Everything is going according to the plan, but TSLA is still inside its Trap Zone, between the key resistance at $200 and our support at $187; • Only a real breakout would bring something new, and so far, there’s no evidence pointing to a breakout to any specific direction; • In the 1h chart, TSLA is losing momentum after spiking this morning, and a pullback to the 21 ema, or even to fill the previous gap around $190 would be plausible, but if it loses this support area, we might see a short-term bearish continuation to its next support area; • Either way, we won’t see a true bearish structure as long as it stays above the $187 - $186 area, while TSLA won’t turn bullish without a clear breakout of the $200 resistance; • So far, it seems we are just inside a “No Man’s Land” again, and we must pay attention on how TSLA will react around its support levels; • I’ll keep you updated on this, as usual. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
CAD/JPY: short squeze to $95.14 JPYCanadian Dollar/Yen Japanese find up a resistance zone in the price that may to develop a drop that will extend to the $95.14 JPY. We forming a lower low using this downtrend line in H1 timeframe Meanwhile, we have a nice setup that CAD/JPY forming a possible bullish rising wedge what we can to short now to $95.14 JPY and then entry to the bought zone in those level to following this model what I draw here. I hope that this idea going to support you to short CAD/JPY in Forex market in this week. Good luck!!!
Short
by harisonhbn9718
6
ETH/USD; waiting for opportunity to buyEthereum price look in the interesting scenario in H4 timeframe to buy in two points that I'm watching, and following this both scenario and model that I draw using blue arrow and purple arrow as model and trayectory to see in the next hours. Meanwhile, we need to monitoring in Daily timeframe to know if Ethereum will still in this range that becoming a market trap and down to the $1,550 USD approx. But now, I will keep away of this trade and watching in the next hours if we see a good opportunity to long Ethereum. Keep pending1!!
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by harisonhbn9718
3
BTC/USD: ascending triangle setupBitcoin forming an ascending triangle in H4 timeframe what we see a potential long position toward $31k. To view in H1 timeframe, Bitcoin break up this structure forming a lower low in this downtrend line in this chart, what bulls made confirmation that want to lead the price to the new higher high. In Daily timeframe still bullish, but we can to see another possibility that Bitcoin may to down toward $26k key support level to then see a smart buy in that zone. But well, in Daily timeframe we're in the range, meanwhile in H4 look bullish setup So guys, I put the trade information in this display to look if you decide to entry to long position in Bitcoin right now. Meanwhile, I was check out the new features that Trading View team created and I want to study it new emoji, stickers and new features that appear in my tools. Good luck!!!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by harisonhbn9718
1
TSLA: Breaking Important Resistances.• TSLA broke its main resistance at $187, and it hit its next resistance at $200. As we discussed in our previous studies, the $187 was our key point, and seeing TSLA breaking it is a powerful sign (the link to my previous analysis is below this post, as usual); • The $187 (red line) was the neckline of an H&S chart pattern, and it was very close to the 21 ema, making this a dual-resistance area. By breaking this area, TSLA is giving us strong signs that it wants to reverse the bearish sentiment; • It seems TSLA is losing momentum this morning, but since it just hit another resistance at $200, that’s expected. In theory, the $187 area (previous dual-resistance) is supposed to work as a support if TSLA corrects from here; • What’s more, the $187 area seen in the daily chart is close to a very important key point in the 1h chart: • In the 1h chart, we see that TSLA broke its resistance at $186 (red line), and immediately jumped to the $200; • The price is way above the 21 ema, which is pointing up, and now it is doing higher highs/lows, meaning, the bias is bullish (short-term); • Only if TSLA loses the $187 - $186 area we would see it rejecting the bullish thesis. A pullback is plausible, but it must not drop below this point; • If TSLA breaks the $200 in the next few days we might see it retesting its next resistance area, around $211; • The bias is bullish for now, but let’s pay attention to how it’ll react near the $200 resistance. Probably the volatility will increase due to the FED, but these are the key points we should watch from here. I’ll keep you updated. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analysis!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
2