Gold Market Weekly Analysis | XAUUSD Price action OutlookGold prices experienced a nearly 1% decline last week, largely influenced by a series of US economic data releases. Mixed signals from consumer and producer inflation reports kept markets cautious, but the lower-than-expected Initial Jobless Claims report strengthened investor confidence in a potential Federal Reserve rate cut at its December 17-18 meeting. Currently, traders are assigning a 93% probability to a 25 basis points (bps) rate reduction.
Next week promises to be eventful, with key US economic releases such as S&P Global Flash PMIs, Retail Sales, Industrial Production, and the core PCE Price Index, alongside the pivotal FOMC policy decision. These will play a critical role in shaping gold's trajectory.
In this video, I dive deep into the XAUUSD chart, breaking down technical and fundamental factors to help us navigate the upcoming trading week.
📢 Disclaimer: This video is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult with a professional before making trading decisions.
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #GoldPriceForecast #FOMC #RateCut #ForexTrading #MarketOutlook
Trendcontinuation
Gold Price Outlook: Key Insights for Next Weeks Trading DecisionGold prices dropped to a three-week low, as investors dumped the Gold commodity for the U.S. dollar following Donald Trump's presidential victory. With expectations of a stronger dollar and potential inflation-driving tariffs under Trump, the Federal Reserve may rethink its easing cycle. This video breaks down key market moves and sentiment shifts post-election, as traders reassess their ‘Trump trade’ strategies amid tariff uncertainty.
Looking ahead, next week's U.S. economic data releases—including inflation and retail sales—along with comments from Federal Reserve officials, are set to shape Gold’s direction. Join us to analyze the behavioural trends impacting XAU/USD and prepare for new trading opportunities in the week ahead.
#GoldMarket #XAUUSD #ForexTrading #TrumpEffect #USDollar #GoldAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketOutlook
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Gold : BUYGold bullish trading is a compelling option for investors and traders who aim to capitalize on the rising value of gold in global markets. Often considered a "safe haven" asset, gold tends to attract significant attention during times of economic uncertainty, inflation, and market volatility. A bullish approach to gold trading generally involves betting on its price increase through a variety of strategies, from spot trading and futures to gold ETFs and mining stocks.
One of the primary appeals of a bullish gold strategy is its potential to hedge against inflation. As fiat currencies lose purchasing power, gold's intrinsic value often holds steady or rises, making it an ideal asset to protect wealth. Furthermore, global demand for gold remains robust, with central banks, jewelers, and technology sectors consistently creating a strong foundation for its long-term appreciation.
In terms of trading, bullish positions in gold can be profitable, especially when paired with technical analysis and macroeconomic indicators. Many traders look for signs of economic instability, like geopolitical tensions or declining interest rates, as signals to enter bullish gold trades. In such conditions, spot prices often surge, rewarding those with bullish positions.
However, gold trading also requires caution, as the market can experience pullbacks due to profit-taking or shifts in monetary policy. Moreover, gold’s movements can sometimes be sluggish compared to other assets, so timing is essential to maximize gains. Risk management strategies, such as stop-loss orders, are essential in volatile markets to safeguard profits.
Overall, gold bullish trading is a reliable way to diversify a portfolio and hedge against economic downturns. With the right market insights and risk management, traders can benefit from this timeless asset’s long-standing value and stability.
Gold Price Outlook: Key Insights for Next Weeks Trading DecisionAs we head into the new week, gold prices remain resilient, fueled by heightened Middle East tensions and U.S. election uncertainty that keeps investors seeking safe-haven assets. Despite dollar strength and recent rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, gold has surged over 32% this year, reflecting sustained demand in the face of global instability.
In this analysis, we cover critical areas for buyers and sellers alike, focusing on structural patterns, market psychology, and potential trade opportunities you won’t want to miss. Whether you're watching the price action or setting up entry points, these insights will equip you with a clear roadmap for the week ahead.
Will gold continue its strong performance, or could a new catalyst shift the trend?
📌 Stay tuned as we navigate the next big moves in the Gold market!
#goldprice #goldtrading #investing #commodities #marketanalysis #tradingstrategy #goldforecast #geopolitics #election2024 #safehaven #financialmarkets #forex #daytrading #swingtrading #middleeast #usdollar #economicuncertainty📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
GU look like it setting up for a nice entry for London sessionI been looking for a solid sell entry to continue the bearish trend that GU has been in. The dollar failed to break out and is now retracing to grab more liquidity to push up. in turn giving us a nice entry for a sale. We have to be patient and allow price to find its resistance levels. Expecting a nice set up for London.
Gold Surges After U.S. Inflation Data | New perspective In this week’s analysis, we dive into Gold's 1% surge following U.S. inflation data, which has sparked fresh uncertainty over inflation trends and boosted demand for safe-haven assets. The Consumer Price Index rose by 0.2% last month, while bullish PPI figures suggest the Fed could be on track for interest rate cuts in 2024.
With escalating geopolitical tensions, could Gold rally beyond $3,000 before year-end?
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
This week, we’re zeroing in on the critical $2,660 zone. If Gold stays above this level, bulls may maintain control, potentially pushing prices to new highs. However, if Gold dips below, bears could force a pullback toward the descending channel’s support line.
📌 Stay tuned as we navigate the next big moves in the Gold market!
#GoldMarket #XAUUSD #InflationData #FederalReserve #SafeHavenAssets #Geopolitics #MarketAnalysis📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
EURUSD Further Up Trend potentialEURUSD has been in a bullish trend, and the recent impulse move down, followed by a pullback that took out liquidity below the 1.1100 support level, could signal the end of a correction. This behaviour is typical in bullish markets, where price pulls back to gather liquidity before resuming the upward trend. Given the overall bullish sentiment, there is a strong potential for a continuation of the trend.
With strong bullish momentum, the market may be set to break through last month's high. The target is the resistance zone around 1.12000
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailThe Federal Reserve delivered a surprise 50 basis point rate cut, sending gold prices skyrocketing past $2,600! 🤯 This larger-than-expected cut underscores the Fed's commitment to maintaining low unemployment as inflation continues to ease. 📉
🚨 Gold prices surged past $2,600, reaching all-time highs as speculation grows that the Fed will keep lowering borrowing costs. Along with rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, global central banks are now expected to follow the Fed's path of easing monetary policy and slashing interest rates. 🌍
The Fed’s December 2024 fund rate futures suggest another significant drop, with 53 basis points expected across the final two meetings this year. Markets are now pricing in a 25 bps cut in both November and December.
📅 What’s Next? Looking ahead to next week, key Fed figures like Atlanta Fed’s Raphael Bostic, Chicago’s Austan Goolsbee, and Minnesota’s Neel Kashkari will take center stage. Important data releases, including S&P Global Flash PMIs, housing data, and the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, will also play a vital role in shaping the XAU/USD outlook.
🔍 In this video, we analyze the technical structure of the gold chart and key fundamental factors to prepare for next week's trading.
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
This week, we're focusing on the $2,590 zone. This could be a make-or-break point. If gold stays above this zone: Bulls might maintain control, potentially pushing prices higher and setting up new highs. If gold drops below the zone, Bears might gain the upper hand in an attempt to retrace into the structure-support line of the ascending channel. Join me as we explore these factors and potential opportunities in the gold market. Like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for the latest analysis and insights!
📌 Follow my journey as I map out the next moves in this dynamic market!
#GoldPrices #XAUUSD #FederalReserve #InterestRates #JeromePowell #RateCuts #MiddleEastTensions #GoldTechnicalAnalysis #FOMC #MarketAnalysis #Inflation #GoldTrading #ForexTrading📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
GBPUSD 1.31319 -0.09 % INTRADAY SET-UP SHORT IDEA NY SESSIONHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at The CABLE Heading into the NY PM SESSION
* Still on a bearish Overflow on the 4H looking for a continuation with the bears on GU.
* We just put in a short term high which might possibly be inducement with that 4h -OB but we will see with price.
* sweep of the short term high would signal mitigation of the -OB and should it hold will be looking for possible shorts at the Oder-block.
1H GBPUSD
The 1H -ob is rejecting with London pushing into this PD ARRAY, closure will be a signal for directional bias on GU heading into NY and towards the closure of London.
* Rejection at this OB possibly signals continuation with the bears.
15M
* Looking for the take of that ERL.
* Looks like we are in a seek & destroy profile looking to take as such
* awaiting the 4H to confirm directional bias heading into NY am session.
* BASED on the price action served next session...
* We will see what does the market dish.
🤷♂️😉🐻📉🐮📈
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
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Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
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* ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe British Pound gains significant traction as the UK Office for National Statistics reports a rebound in Retail Sales for July, with monthly and annual figures rising by 0.5% and 1.4% respectively. This momentum comes ahead of the Bank of England’s (BoE) crucial September monetary policy meeting, where decisions could hinge on the sharp decline in service sector inflation and a surprising drop in the Unemployment Rate, signalling an expanding economy.
On the US front, jobless claims continue to fall for the second consecutive week, challenging the earlier Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data that suggested a weaker labor market. Market speculation for large rate cuts has eased, yet expectations for a dovish Federal Reserve decision in September remain strong, with policymakers signalling comfort with upcoming interest-rate cuts.
With these recent developments, the GBPUSD remains in a volatile state. The rebound in UK retail sales and the positive signals from the US labor market suggests that there is potential for further gains for the British pound. However, the BoE's policy decision and the Fed's stance on interest rates will be key factors to watch in the coming weeks.
How will buyers and sellers position themselves in the coming week?
GBPUSD Technical Analysis:
Will buyers break above $1.29500 next week? Watch this video for key trades this week. Join the discussion for updates on GBP/USD trading. Stay tuned for more content. Happy trading!
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailGold (XAU/USD) prices surged to near $2,430 in Friday's New York session, rebounding after a turbulent week sparked by the Bank of Japan's surprise rate hike. But with the Fed's potential September rate cut looming, will gold continue its climb?
The recent recovery highlights a firm near-term outlook for gold, driven by strong speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin reducing interest rates in September.
There is ongoing debate among investors about the Fed’s approach to rate cuts. Some are anticipating a more aggressive 50 basis point (bp) reduction, while others expect a 25 bp cut. According to the CME FedWatch tool, current 30-day Federal Funds futures data shows a 54.5% probability of a 50 bp cut in September. Additionally, projections for the year indicate a potential total reduction of 100 bps.
In this video, I explored the current market sentiment, weighed the chances of both buyers and sellers in this volatile environment and discussed how to prepare for potential trading opportunities in the upcoming week.
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
This week, we're focusing on the $2,425 zone. This could be a make-or-break point just like it did last week. If gold stays above this zone: Bulls might maintain control, potentially pushing prices higher and setting up new highs. If gold drops below the zone then Bears might gain the upper hand in an attempt to retrace into the structure-support line of the ascending channel in the process. Join me as we explore these factors and potential opportunities in the gold market. Like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for the latest analysis and insights!
📌 Follow my journey as I map out the next moves in this dynamic market!
#gold #goldprice #goldtrading #swingtrading #marketanalysis #fed #rates #economy #usdata #nonfarmpayrolls #tradingstrategy #technicalanalysis #investing #finance #goldinvestors #goldbugs #goldnews #marketupdate📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
CHFJPY ShortThe current weakness in the CHFJPY shows no end.
Opportunity for a trend continuation trade with over 2R potential.
4 hour MACD turns negative on histogram, volume delta negative.
4 hour Value Zone is currently attacked.
Enter Short <= 169.20
OR 4 H Close < 169.50 (Value Zone 4H)
Stop >= 170.35
Target at weekly and monthly levels.
166.50
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsGold has delivered impressive gains of over 18% so far in 2024, and June looks promising for investors. With finite supply and fluctuating demand, gold prices are sensitive to economic and geopolitical news. This video dives deep into the current market dynamics and what to expect in the coming month.
In June, geopolitical unrest could significantly impact gold prices. Any major news on this front may push gold prices higher.
On Friday, gold retraced to our key level at the $2,325 zone, undoing gains made after the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) data for April. This report, showing cooling core price pressures (0.2% month-over-month, down from 0.3%), suggests a higher likelihood of the Fed cutting interest rates sooner. Lower interest rates are typically positive for gold, reducing the opportunity cost of holding this non-yielding asset.
However, US interest-rate expectations are just one piece of the puzzle. Gold demand is also being driven by Asian buyers hedging against their depreciating currencies. Fund flows into Chinese gold ETFs are rising at the fastest pace since April, even amid surging US yields. This trend indicates that the US Dollar's strength may not be as negatively correlated with gold as it was in the past.
In this video, we'll explore how to navigate these complex market dynamics as we prepare for an active trading month. Expect increased trading activity as fund managers and investors rebalance portfolios to meet allocation targets or adjust for market performance.
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
In this video, we take a detailed look at the XAUUSD chart, combining both technical and fundamental perspectives.
Our attention is fixed on the critical $2,325 level for the upcoming week, historically significant and poised to steer trading dynamics. A sustained momentum above this mark could fuel further buying interest, potentially paving the way for fresh highs. Conversely, a bearish tilt below $2,325 might signal a resurgence of bearish sentiment.
Join me as we break down these factors and explore potential trading opportunities in the gold market. Don't forget to like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell to stay updated with my latest analysis and insights.
#GoldMarket #GoldInvestment #GeopoliticalImpact #InterestRates #AsianDemand #GoldETFs #MarketAnalysis #Investing #TradingTips📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detail [15 - 19]In this video, we delve into the recent surge in Gold’s price, breaking above $2,400 on Friday, driven by speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might start its easing cycle in September.
But is this just a temporary spike, or the beginning of a powerful gold bull run? 🤔
To navigate this market, we need to have a deep insight into the market dynamics driving gold's recent surge:
📉 US Yields & Market Reactions
US yields are collapsing, with the 10-year Treasury note yield dropping 10 basis points to 4.187%. This significant movement has set the stage for potential rate cuts by the Fed.
📊 Inflation & Employment Data Insights
Data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) revealed deflation in consumer prices for June. Core prices, excluding volatile items like food and energy, also dipped, reigniting hopes for a Fed rate cut in 2024. The CME FedWatch Tool now shows an 85% chance of a quarter-point rate cut in September, up from 70% just days earlier.
👷 Robust Labor Market
Despite inflation concerns, the labor market remains strong. Unemployment benefit claims came in lower than expected, presenting a balanced Goldilocks scenario where inflation decreases while employment stays robust, with no signs of an impending recession.
🎙️ Federal Reserve Signals
Federal Chair Jerome Powell highlighted labor market risks, noting considerable softening. This, combined with ebbing inflation pressures, opens the door for potential rate cuts by the U.S. central bank in September.
🚀 Future Trends & Market Dynamics
The path of least resistance for Gold is to the upside. But how will the upward momentum unfold? In this video, we provide a detailed understanding of the current market dynamics and a comprehensive plan to capitalize on upcoming opportunities.
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
We took a detailed look at the XAUUSD chart, combining both technical and fundamental perspectives. Our attention is fixed on the key level at $2,390 for the upcoming week. This historically significant mark is poised to steer trading dynamics. If we see sustained momentum above this level, it could fuel further buying interest and potentially pave the way for fresh highs. Conversely, a move below $2,390 might signal a resurgence of bearish sentiment.
Join me as we break down these factors and explore potential trading opportunities in the gold market. Don't forget to like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell to stay updated with my latest analysis and insights!
#GoldAnalysis #ForexTrading #GoldMarket #FederalReserve #TradingStrategy #MarketInsights #USYields #InflationData #EmploymentData #FinancialMarkets #GoldPrice #Investing #TradingTips #ForexEducation📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Price Discount in USD/JPY - Trend ContinuationThe market is a discounting mechanism. When prices rise too high, buyers start taking profits, aiming to buy at lower prices during an uptrend. This behavior sustains the trend.
In USD/JPY, this concept is evident. The swing low at 160.26 attracted strong buyers, pushing the price above the previous high, creating a new higher high. At this peak, buyers no longer saw value and took profits, seeking a discount to buy at a lower price.
Fibonacci retracement is useful in trending markets, as its key ratios indicate potential levels of trader participation. Currently, the price has been discounted to the 76.4% retracement level of the rally. The corrective ABC pattern brought the price from the high to the current discount.
Based on this scenario, we expect more buyers at this higher low, pushing the price above the recent high. Using Fibonacci as a target tool, we anticipate the price reaching at least the 123.6% level of the current rally.
The risk in this trade is if the swing low of 160.26 is broken, buyers won't be profitable, so this level will be our stop loss. The risk/reward ratio for this trade is 7.05.
Always think in probabilities.
A Trading Plan Is Important For Success - Here Is MineIn this video we take a look at a trend continuation trading strategy. I explain my approach to trading how I identify a trend and what I look for for high probability trade opportunities. As always the information is for educational purposes only and not to be construed as financial advice.