ElanStrategy v2.0 (weighted MA's)A trend-following strategy with a twist.
I worked on the premise that Bitcoin price swings can not be predicted properly, since it's such a heavily manipulated market. Therefore, I chose to work with following the trend instead of predicting reversals.
It uses a weighted average of short, medium, and long range MA's.
This is the second version (see link below for v1.0), The main difference is that this new version uses a less binary position - it will change the position more gradually.
This one will automatically correct for bar duration, and works well from 1 to 4 hour charts. (1 hour chart seems to have data going back to only 2018/01/01 at the moment of writing, so I recommend using the 2H chart or higher)
Trendcontinuation
Oil a buying opportunity in the making ?Oil made a new high at 76.90 before making a 3 day correction. For oil bulls' who trade on the weekly time frame, oil has just broken a weekly range at 75.29, which certainly bodes more upside for them.
As for day traders who have missed the up move, this retracement could be a buying opportunity to join in the party.
Revelation Trading has identified 2 actionable areas at 74.40 and 72.80 which is of interest to us as our road map.
Should the oil continues with the up-move, it is recommended to review one's trade ideas on Usdcad and Cadjpy since they are somewhat correlated.
EURNZD LongVery Nice Setup after Breakout the Pullback Strongly Pushup on Strong Resistance.
So price will move up from This Area . because Fibonacci Retracement hit 61.8 and The Uptrend Line Continuation.
Previous Structure showing Strong Upward.
Put your Stop Loss below the Structure of Yellow Line.
Take your Profit whatever you want .
EURNZD trend continuationbased on price action
the buyers seem unable to push back up, however if they push past my stops they may have gained controll again.
the sellers on the other hand arent very strong, so am looking to take partial profits along the way.
pullbacks may be huge, else a very strong bounce at the bottom.
Bearish Trend Continuation XAUUSD (Gold) 1HR TFHi guys,
So what we are looking at today is a potential move in Gold for bearish trend continuation, as we have recently seen price action press down into lows of 1193's for where previous level of structure support was retested and respected. However, on the 4HR TF we saw price action break and close below into new lows of 1193's suggesting strong bearish momentum.
I believe following support of 1193's being respected allowing a bullish relief rally to occur that now price action has retracted into previous levels of structure at 1200 - 1208's for where selling pressure could re-enter the market and we could see one final retest of the lows down at 1193's.
Following the bullish retracement into previous levels of structure and more specifically the kill zone of 1202 - 1208, that RSI has gone OB and price action has printed a valid LLLC candlsetick that I am now short in anticipation for one final retest of the most recent lows printed in Gold (1193).
Bearish Trend Continuation AUDCAD 1HR TFHi, guys following the strong bearish momentum recently seen in AUDCAD, we have since seen prices rally down into new structure lows of $9275's. What I am now looking for is a pullback to the upside into previous levels of structure within the region of .9343 - .9397's to get short on the market, in anticipation for one final retest of the of the most recent lows printed by price action down at $9275's.
If, we see price action press up into my suggested kill zone, then I will be looking for RSI to go OB and for price action to print a valid LLLC candlestick to give me that needed disctertion to get short. I will also be using a ATR based stop-loss of 20 pips, above the current OR up at .9397's, therefore at the market price of $9417's.
For targets ones as established will be down at a retest of the lows to see that needed trend continuation move I am expecting to be seen.
Trade with confidence,
Henri.
Bearish Trend Continuation NZDUSD 1HR TFHi guys, what I'm looking for in NZDUSD is that of bearish trend continuation. As we have seen strong bearish momentum recently within this pair to which price action made a new structure low (NSL) at .6540's.
I believe that following the short term bullish relief we have seen from .6540's that as price action has now retraced into the most recent area of consolidation and levels of structure in the market at .65911 - .6622's, that we might see selling pressure being to enter this market once again due to it being an area of interest for sellers in the market.
I will then be looking to get short within the identified kill zone at .65911 - .6622's, as RSI has gone massively OB and so I will be looking for price action to print a valid LLLC candlestick and if fulfilled, I will short next bar entry in anticipation for one final retest of the lows down at .6540's.
However, if I do not see my rules fulfilled and buying pressure continues to increase and violates structure resistance OR) up at .6622's then this will invalidate my analysis for bearish TC.
Trade with confidence,
Henri.