Walmart in weeklyHello,
A quick look at the action of the famous US channel.
My algo, signals me a price higher than 41% on its "Price Action".
What bothers me a little is the acceleration marked with the yellow arrow on the graph.
The blue line is the right price according to my algo.
What do you think?
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
► Thank you for boosting, commenting, subscribing!
Trendfollowing
How I Rode the Gold Trend Using Multi-Timeframe AnalysisHey Traders! 📈
I want to share an analysis of a recent opportunity on Gold that came up, focusing on using multi-timeframe analysis to spot a reaccumulation pattern.
Market Context:
On the daily timeframe, Gold was showing a retracement. By zooming into the 1H timeframe, I identified what seemed like a reaccumulation (REACC) model—giving a potential entry point to go long in this trending market.
The Entry Setup:
On the 1H TF, after a retrace, the price continued the uptrend with strong structure, confirming a breakout.
I entered long, aligning with the market trend and using a trailing stop to manage the position and capture potential further upside.
Floating PnL:
Right now, the trade is floating around 12RR and still trailing! This is a great example of how multi-timeframe analysis can help uncover high-probability setups.
This educational breakdown is meant to help others see the power of combining market structure and risk management to stay in profitable trades. Hope this helps you spot similar setups in the future! 🚀
Leave a comment if you surfed with this trend too!
Drop after Election Pump with FOMCMy trading idea for next week is as follows. I will be watching the price action very closely on Monday, the day before the election. This will prepare the price for the volatility of the election. I expect the price to move to the EMA50 on the 1D time frame next week. That would be around $64k. Then there is the FOMC meeting on Thursday, which could lead to a significant rise in the price. Next week is very important. The use of leverage should be taken carefully.
The Walt Disney Company - monthly (log)Hello community,
A look at the Walt Disney stock in monthly, still in log.
Bullish channel since 1970.
The trend is really magnificent, price respects its regression channel, a textbook case.
The trend is your friend as they say in Trend Following.
Make your opinion, before placing an order.
► Thank you for boosting, commenting, subscribing!
Modern Day Gold RushWe have an extended trend on Gold right now. When will a deep pullback take place?
Let's take a closer look and see...
4 hour trend is extended, and the 1-hour trend has just been recalculated.
We are expecting the 1-hour trend to continue down to a level of demand located near the 100 SMA on the 4 hour chart.
Once we hit demand, then start looking for reversal patterns on the 15 min chart.
We should start seeing TrendCloud signals fire off when all 3 timeframes line up.
For more info on this strategy. Check out the link in my bio.
Don't miss out on the gold rush!
PDN weekly trendline bouncePDN on the weekly bounced off $8.
Initial entry fell through 9.50 PoC and support.
Price broke daily downtrend to follow the weekly uptrend signaling a potential ranging consolidation.
On 1H, price is making inner levels, watching for a retest of 9 for entry, or a break of 11 to confirm direction.
Refer to recent wedge action on FMG, similar weekly drop followed by strong BO of wedge pattern.
LOV longLOV had an earnings upset which pushed it back into it's year long range
on the weekly, there is a strong support area at 27, or the current 30 level could still hold.
if the latter, then I'm looking for a BO of range and retest for entry.
it's in a weekly uptrend, so i'm seeing this as a buy opportunity.
MYR swing long, targeting next levelMYR is in a strong weekly uptrend and has had a recent strong impulse move followed by tight consolidation right below a major weekly anchor to the downside.
Aggressive entry has likely already passed a few days ago, so waiting for the BO which adds confirmation, then getting in on the pullback targeting next level.
CHFJPY 4H LONG setup
CHFJPY has been consolidating for a long period of time and finally broke the resistance level recently, which possibly helped to form an upward Break of Structure(BOS) confirmation too, seen on 4H chart. Look at the Daily or Weekly chart, you can see that we are in clear uptrend, it is a good idea to follow the big trend. Now when the price pulls back to the 4H Order Block, we can BUY, this is a classic trend-following trade.
Entry: 172.060
Stop Loss: 171.471
Take Profit: 180.117
Risk Reward Ratio: 13.8
EURJPY bearish continuation expected
EURJPY we are have strong bearish push, which is be based on BoJ rate cut which we are have before 2 weeks, when they are raise rates.
Here now on lower TF we can see DESCENDING pat created, this idea is based on TREND follow and still expect to see new higher bearish from here.
Currently price look like its make break, EUR technically with many look bearish and fundamentally tomorrow we will have strong EUR event (German GDP) where expect more weaknes on EUR.
TP1: 157.600 (300)
TP2: 156.100 (450)
PayPal Recovering 42% From Recent LowsStrategic partnerships between major companies like PayPal and Adyen are enhancing consumer convenience with their new project, Fastlane by PayPal. Aimed at revolutionizing the checkout process for U.S. enterprise and marketplace users, Fastlane combines PayPal and Adyen's technologies to streamline guest checkout, significantly reducing purchase completion time.
A key feature of Fastlane is its ability to remember users' payment and shipping details, facilitating quicker future transactions. According to PayPal's data from April to June 2024, Fastlane increased checkout conversion rates by over 80% and decreased checkout time by 32% compared to traditional methods, indicating a boost in customer satisfaction and retention.
Adyen, recognized for its extensive fintech solutions, is the first payment processor partnering in the Fastlane initiative, which supports PayPal’s goal of global expansion. The service now includes more payment options like Venmo and various Buy Now, Pay Later schemes, accessible worldwide through Adyen’s platform, enhancing payment flexibility.
The introduction of Fastlane might influence the financial sector and stock market, especially considering PayPal's stock recovery signs after a significant drop. Strategic developments such as Fastlane could be crucial for further growth as the stock challenges major resistance levels.
If you enjoyed this post, make sure to like, and follow for more quality content!
If you have any questions or comments, comment below. We reply to every comment!
See below for more information on our trading techniques.
As always, keep it simple, keep it Sublime.
Bitcoin bullish case for the weekI did this analysis yesterday. The case is the following. I expected this drop to the current levels of $62,000 to lead to a meanreversion to the EMA50 on the 4-hour time frame. In the bullish case, we hold the EMA50 and see higher prices. The targets for upside continuation would be $66k and $69k for this week.
A Guide on How to Stay on the Right Side of Market RiskStaying on the right side of the market is the only thing that matters in investing. The goal is simple: be long the things that go up and avoid the things that go down. Although this sounds straightforward, investors often focus too much on the upside potential and forget about the downside. In reality, avoiding the downside is by far the most important factor that will have the biggest impact on your total returns. This is because a -50% loss will always require a +100% gain just to break even.
Step 1: Follow the Trend
The most effective method to stay on the right side of the market is by following the trend, primarily through moving averages. The two most common types are the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA). The EMA assigns more weight to recent price movements, making it more responsive and effective for signalling the start of a downtrend, while the SMA offers a clearer view of the longer-term trend.
The simplest way to construct a trend-following indicator is to combine a short-term EMA with a long-term EMA. A buying signal is triggered when the short-term EMA crosses above the long-term EMA, and a selling signal is triggered when it crosses below. This systematic approach ensures clear and actionable signals.
Optimizing this strategy involves backtesting various EMA combinations to strike a balance between minimal trading frequency, lowest maximum drawdown, and highest profit factor. It’s also crucial to select assets that have historically adhered to trends, as these are more likely to continue doing so.
Assets that typically adhere to trends, such as cryptocurrencies, fiat currencies, commodities, and tech stocks, are often driven by speculative or uncertain future expectations. By incorporating a longer-term SMA and adding a safety margin to the calculation, you can help minimize false signals from the EMAs.
It’s advisable to compare asset performance not only against the USD pair but also against the safest investable asset in the selected asset class. This comparison helps determine if the additional risk is worth taking.
Step 2: Draw the Lines
Trend-following strategies are effective only with a clear market trend. Without it, prices may exhibit range-bound movements and generate false signals. Drawing trend lines and identifying horizontal support and resistance levels are crucial for enhancing the accuracy of these signals. The most reliable entry points typically follow a confirmed breakout from these lines, with older lines often indicating more significant breakouts.
When drawing trend lines, it’s crucial to use both normal and logarithmic chart scales. The most reliable trend lines appear consistent across these scales, with a breakout observed on both further confirming the trend.
Additionally, identifying reliable patterns like head and shoulders, inverse head and shoulders or double tops and bottoms can further validate trend breakouts. TradingView’s pattern recognition tools can automate this process and provide price targets, which can be helpful but are not always guaranteed.
Step 3: Understand the Macro
Following current macroeconomic conditions can enhance your understanding of the overall business cycle. The primary macro forces that influence asset markets are growth, inflation, and policy. These factors are subjective and not directly quantifiable, making them unsuitable for direct investment decisions. However, they are useful for assessing the market’s risk appetite, which should influence only your position size and not your systematic approach.
The US Composite Leading Indicator (CLI) is one of the most informative macroeconomic indicators, providing insights into potential economic growth trends and helping anticipate inflections in the business cycle.
Monitoring the US inflation and unemployment rates is also beneficial, as they significantly influence monetary policy. While minor fluctuations may not provide much insight, sustained trends that align with the Federal Reserve’s targets of 2% inflation and low unemployment are indicative of a healthy economy.
Furthermore, tracking global liquidity can reveal the real-time effects of monetary and fiscal policies implemented by major central banks and governments. This serves as a valuable tool to assess the market’s risk appetite.
In conclusion, this guide helps investors stay on the right side of the market by adopting a systematic approach that captures bull markets while avoiding major downturns. Recognizing that the future is unpredictable and that markets are driven by momentum, this method can both preserve and grow your wealth in a less stressful way. A disciplined, systematic approach, executed dispassionately, is essential for navigating market uncertainties. All indicators discussed are publicly available or can be accessed on my profile.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice.