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Is Bitcoin Ready for Its Next Leg Up? Here’s What We Know So FarBitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is so back — not just back like “we recovered the dip,” but back like “new all-time highs, let’s go shopping for Lambos on moons” back. If you’ve been following our Top Stories coverage, you’ll know that the OG token vaulted past $109,500 last week, then kissed $111,900 in “Tom Cruise falling off a building” style. Only that there wasn’t a fall to the ground. Instead, Bitcoin prices got stuck near $110,000 and are now waiting for the next catalyst. Where are we in the cycle? The memes are pumping. Maxis are chest-thumping (this one’s for you, Saylor ). And the market? Well, it’s trying to figure out if this rocket still has fuel, or if we’re hovering at apogee before gravity reminds us it’s still a thing. Let’s break down what’s really going on — with numbers, context, and just enough forecast to keep it spicy. 🚀 Bitcoin Goes Bionic Call it what you want — a breakout, a blowoff, or a moonshot — Bitcoin just rewrote the record books. The OG coin is up 48% since its April lows, a run that’s as explosive as it is poetic. Remember the bearish chants echoing when BTC dipped near $74,000 in early spring? And all those Bitcoin permabears saying it’s all going to zero? Yeah, those are suddenly hard to hear over the rocket engines. This is the moment Bitcoin believers have been waiting for. Institutional interest continues to show inflows are strong. Adoption is real and making solid progress. And price action is loud — loud enough to drown out the skeptics still quoting tulip bubbles from 1637. 💥 Why the Breakout? A Perfect Storm Looking at the fundamentals and the technicals — this wasn’t a fluke. It was a perfect cocktail of macro tailwinds, regulatory green lights, and unrelenting digital gold fever. ETF flows? Exchange-traded funds are collecting record levels of fresh capital — all eleven of them . Institutional demand? Climbing faster than Saylor can tweet. Macro backdrop? Soft dollar, muted inflation, and a shiny 90-day trade truce between the US and China paired with one between the US and the EU . Regulatory mood? A lot less hostile than the Biden administration, with a stablecoin bill clearing the Senate’s procedural vote and Texas passing a law to hold Bitcoin in its reserve fund. Bitcoin didn’t ride the wave — it was the wave. And with volatility finally working for traders, not against them, the rally gained real traction. 📉 Not All Risk is Behind Us Now before we start naming stars after Satoshi, let’s pump the brakes (just a little). The flagship crypto might be chilling around $110,000, but this asset class has the emotional range (and discipline) of a toddler. We’ve seen rallies like this before. We’ve also seen how quickly they unravel. Upcoming economic data could throw a wrench in the gears. Here’s what to watch for this week: Wednesday: Fed minutes Thursday: GDP figures Friday: Core PCE inflation Any surprises here — especially hotter-than-expected inflation or hawkish Fed sentiment — could rattle the risk-on party. Bitcoin loves liquidity. If the Fed hints at tightening, the rocket might need to refuel mid-air. 🧭 Key Levels to Watch Technically, the $111,900 print is your short-term ceiling. It’s the new line in the sand — the price everyone’s watching, waiting for a clean break or a hard rejection. On the downside, $105,000–$106,000 is developing as support. Break that, and $100,000 becomes the psychological safety net. Below that? Well, let’s not talk about it unless we have to. Until then, price is consolidating. Think of it like a pit stop — a chance for bulls to breathe, for bears to panic quietly, and for traders to argue about Fibonacci levels. 🛰️ Is $120K Next? Or Is This the Top? But let’s dig into it a little bit. The real question is whether this rally still has legs. Some traders are calling $120,000 a “magnet level.” Others are treating current prices like the top and selling into strength. The answer? Probably both. Momentum is still there — just cooled off a bit. Volume’s down slightly. Social buzz is still high up there. The market’s in a classic “wait-and-see” phase, prepping for a bigger move in either direction. What could break the stalemate? A blockbuster inflation report (bullish if soft). Another policy win from Washington. Or the most powerful force of all: a dovish stance from the man who moves markets with a simple “Good afternoon” (bonus points if you guess who that is!) 📢 Final Word: Celebrate, But Stay Sharp If you’ve been long since the dip, this is your moment. Pop some virtual (or real?) champagne. Screenshot that green PnL. Post a gif of Elon and Trump dancing. But if you’re entering now, zoom out. Yes, momentum is bullish. Yes, fundamentals are stronger than ever. But Bitcoin doesn’t do straight lines for long. And your stop-loss isn’t going to set itself. Whether $120K is next or we pull back to reset, the next few sessions will be crucial. Your move : Are you buying this breakout? Waiting for confirmation? Or just enjoying the view from orbit? Let us know how you’re playing this Bitcoin beast — because one thing’s certain: it’s never boring up here.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingView
17
Best Practice: Prepare, Assess, Plan Then TradeTraders are often eager to jump straight into the next trading session but this may not always be the best option to chose. It can be more beneficial to follow a regular pre-trading routine to note down important scheduled events, establish current trends, as well as meaningful support and resistance price levels, and importantly this doesn’t have to be time consuming. This is not meant to be that trading ‘holy grail’ but more of an addition to your existing trading process or plan. Having a regular routine to establish important levels, indicator set-ups and price trends to be aware of during your trading day may help you make trading decisions in a more effective way. This pre trading routine can also be helpful for traders that take longer term positions, as it’s still important to consider the longer-term weekly perspectives as well. This routine can be carried out at the weekend and then monitored and, where necessary, modified during the week as price action develops for the particular CFD(s) you are trading. 1. Keep Informed of Important Data Releases If there are several CFD’s you regularly trade and tend to stick with, make sure you have as much information about those assets as possible before you start trading. Consider utilising the Pepperstone trading calendar to help keep you informed of any economic releases/company earnings data that might impact the CFD you are trading before the week/session starts. Once you know the scheduled events ahead, you can ask yourself, Could these impact my trading? Could the market reaction to this new information increase the volatility of the CFD I am about to trade or already have a position in? How may this impact my risk? Knowing what it is expected by the market before a particular important economic data release, such as US Non-farm Payrolls, can help you assess positioning going into the release, gauge market reaction to the data, and then be prepared for any potential price sentiment change and/or increased volatility. 2. Be Aware of Potential Support and Resistance Levels Ahead of your trading day, consider running through the Pepperstone charts of the CFD’s you are considering trading and make a note of 3 support and resistance levels, that you identify as being meaningful. To help you we have set out an example Trading Template below. Daily: Level: Reason: Current Trend: Current Thoughts: Support 1st: 2nd: 3rd Resistance 1st 2nd 3rd Keep this next to your trading screen, so you are aware of particular levels that may act as support and resistance, if prices move in that direction. This can help you to improve trade entry or assist you with the placement of a stop loss or take profit order. If these levels are broken at any time, you can update the template with any new support/resistance levels during the trading period. 3. Be Aware of the Daily Trends – Focus on Bollinger Bands Using the direction of the daily Bollinger mid-average can be helpful to gauge the direction of the daily trend. If the, Mid-average is moving up = price uptrend Mid-average is moving down = price downtrend Mid-average is flat = possible price sideways range The daily and weekly perspectives are the most important to be aware of, so it can be beneficial to analyse the charts from the longest timeframe into the shortest as this allows you to build a better understanding of the dominant trends. You can also note these trends on the Trading Template, so it’s available to you when you are trading. 4. Follow the Same Process for All Other Timeframes - 4 Hour, 1 Hour, Even Shorter if it Suits Your Trading. You can carry out the routine outlined in point 3, for any timeframes you are trading. Things to note, Are there any new trends suggested within a shorter term perspective by the Bollinger mid-average? If the direction of a shorter term mid-average has changed, it may be an indication of either a change or resumption of a longer term price trend. If this trend change also looks to be resuming within the longer term perspectives, this could be a more important signal, as the resumption of an existing longer term trend may mean a more extended move in that direction. Be aware, confirmation of a price trend change within a longer term perspective might mean it could take longer and offer less trading opportunities, as initially price moves may be less aggressive in nature. 5. Where, Within the Various Timeframes is Price in Relation to the Bollinger Bands? As we have highlighted in a previous commentary (please take a look our past posts), Bollinger Bands can highlight increasing price volatility within a trend. Things to note regarding Bollinger Bands, Are the upper or lower bands being touched by prices within any of the timeframes? Within a sideways range (flat mid-average) this might suggest price has reached either a support or resistance level, with potential for a reversal. While being touched, are the upper and lower bands starting to widen which indicates increasing price volatility, or contract, which indicates decreasing price volatility? Remember - widening bands within a confirmed trend highlight increasing volatility, suggesting the current price move might continue for longer than you may anticipate, while contracting bands, point to decreasing volatility, which may lead to a reduction in a particular CFDs price movement. Do the timeframes align? If they do it may suggest a stronger trading opportunity is evident. CFDs within trending markets seeing increasing volatility tend to offer greater potential than those that aren’t. In this scenario it maybe worthwhile considering only trading with the trend, not trying to pick bottoms or tops of markets, or if you do, consider a more cautious approach to your trading by reducing the size of your position and risk. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Education
by Pepperstone
4
Understanding How Dark Pool Buy Side Institutions AccumulateThe SPY is the most widely traded ETF in the world. Its price or value movement reflects the S&P 500 index value. It doesn't reflect the buying or selling of the SPY. You must use volume indicators and accumulation/distribution indicators that indicate whether the Buy Side Institutions are in accumulation mode, rotation to lower inventory to buy a different ETF or other instrument, OR distribution due to mutual fund and pension fund redemption demands. ETFs are one of the fastest growing industries in the US and around the world. There are more than 4000 Exchange Traded Derivatives. There are ETDs for just about anything you might wish to invest in long term or trade short term. If you trade the SPY, it is important to study the S&P 500 index, its top 10 components, how their values are changing, and resistance and support levels. SPY will mirror the S&P 500 closely but not precisely. ETFs are built with a variety of types of investments and always have a TRUST FUND, in which the components of that ETF inventory are held. The ETF Inventory is updated and adjusted monthly or sooner as needed to maintain the integrity of the ETF price value to the value of the S&P 500 index. Rules and regulations require that the ETF SPY be closely aligned to the S&P 500. So inventory adjustments are going on regularly. When trading the SPY, you must remember that it is not buyers and sellers of the ETF that change its price. Rather, it is the S&P 500 top components' price fluctuations that change the SPY price value. This is a tough concept to accept and understand. When you do understand it and apply that knowledge to your trading of the SPY, you will be far more profitable. This takes time. You also need to develop Spatial Pattern Recognition Skills so that when a pattern appears, you can recognize it instantly and act accordingly in your trading. Today we cover the resistance levels above the current price value. That resistance is likely to slow down the rapid gains in price value over the past few weeks. The ideal would be a sideways trend to allow corporations time to adjust to the new normal of whatever tarrifs are impacting their imports and exports. Then, the S&P500 move out of that sideways trend would result in a stronger Moderately Uptrending Market Condition. Trade Wisely, Martha Stokes CMT
AMEX:SPYEducation
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
12
USDJPY – Diverging Policies Drive Yen into Pressure Zone near 14USDJPY – Diverging Policies Drive Yen into Pressure Zone near 144 🌍 Macro Landscape: JPY Stuck Between Two Diverging Forces In recent weeks, the US dollar has regained strength as the Federal Reserve remains committed to its "higher-for-longer" interest rate stance. On the flip side, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is maintaining an ultra-loose monetary policy, widening the yield spread between the USD and JPY, and putting pressure on the yen. The surge in US 10-year yields toward 4.5% is further dampening demand for JPY as a safe haven, prompting institutional capital outflows from the yen and inflows into USD-based assets. 🏦 Central Bank Policy Divergence: Fed Remains Firm, BoJ Stays Dovish Federal Reserve: FOMC members continue to signal patience on rate cuts. Recent inflation data (PCE, CPI) shows sticky price pressure, especially in services. Bank of Japan: BoJ remains hesitant to normalize policy despite inflation consistently above the 2% target. This policy divergence is reminiscent of the conditions that pushed USDJPY above 151 last year — and current dynamics hint that history may repeat. 🌐 Capital Flows: JPY Loses Safe-Haven Appeal Global capital flow models indicate a major shift. While gold and the US dollar are once again sought-after hedges amid US-China tensions and EU fiscal risk, the Japanese yen is being overlooked. Japan’s debt-to-GDP ratio — the highest in the G7 — forces BoJ to maintain low rates to keep the fiscal structure sustainable. As a result, JPY is no longer viewed as a reliable store of safety. 📊 Technical Structure: Momentum Building Toward 144.1 On the H1 chart: Price bounced sharply from the 142.33 demand zone, forming a higher low. EMA 13 – 34 – 89 show a bullish alignment ("fan-out formation") confirming short-term bullish momentum. Resistance near 144.13–144.20 is key: a clean breakout could trigger an extended rally to 145.00+ However, this zone may also trigger profit-taking, especially if traders react to upcoming macro data. 🎯 Trade Strategy Recommendations Scenario 1 – Buy the Pullback (Preferred): Entry: 142.70 – 142.90 Stop-Loss: 142.30 Take-Profit: 143.80 → 144.13 → 144.60 Scenario 2 – Breakout Momentum Buy: Entry: 144.15 Stop-Loss: 143.70 Take-Profit: 145.00 → 145.50 ⚠️ Key Events to Watch: US PCE Price Index (April): If hotter-than-expected, this would reinforce the Fed’s hawkish tone and lift USD. BoJ Governor Speech (end of week): Any unexpected hawkish shift could trigger a short-term rebound in JPY.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
8
Trump Delays Tariffs, but Trade Tensions with EU Are Heating UpDonald Trump is back in headline mode — and this time, the EU is in his crosshairs. After weeks of relative calm, the US President reignited global trade tensions by announcing a 50% tariff on all EU imports. But in a surprise twist — and in true reality-TV fashion — he’s now pushed the start date from June 1 to July 9. So Europe gets a five-week stay of execution. Lucky? Or just stuck in limbo? Let’s dive into what it means for markets, why traders aren’t exactly panicking yet, and whether this is just another Trump bluff — or a prelude to Trade Wars, Season 2. 🍝 All EU Imports — Yes, Even the Pasta Trump’s post-holiday bombshell would slap a sweeping 50% tariff on everything from French wine and Italian olive oil to German sedans and Spanish ham. His reason? Brussels is “dragging its feet,” and Trump, never one to shy away from drama, says enough is enough. Cue the “America First” soundtrack. But with the tariff now rescheduled for July 9, markets are interpreting this as more of a pressure tactic than an immediate economic hammer. A cooling-off period? Or the calm before the tariff storm? 👀 Markets Blink — But Just Barely When the initial June 1 announcement hit Friday, Europe’s Stoxx 600 TVC:SXXP dropped about 1% — not exactly a meltdown, more like a “here we go again” shrug. US stocks , which are closed for Memorial Day Monday, had already wrapped Friday in the red. Investors were digesting the potential for yet another trade war rerun — just when things were starting to feel a bit less chaotic. The new July 9 date has offered some breathing room, but it hasn’t erased the risk. Instead, it’s created a countdown clock for volatility — one that traders can’t ignore. ⏳ Bluff or Battle Plan? Trump’s tone this time is more poker table than podium. “That’s the way it is,” he told reporters. “Our discussions with them are going nowhere!” he posted on Truth Social. “I’m not looking for a deal — we’ve set the deal: 50%.” Still, the sudden five-week delay suggests there might be some wiggle room behind the scenes. Maybe it’s about giving Brussels time to blink. Or maybe it’s about giving voters time to rally. 🧐 Should Traders Be Freaking Out? Short answer: No. Slightly longer answer: Not yet. While the tone feels sharper and the numbers bigger, traders have learned one thing about Trump: even the most dramatic threats often serve as negotiation leverage. That said, this isn't 2018. The global economy is more fragile. Rates are higher. Consumer fatigue is real. And if this escalates into tit-for-tat tariffs, the recovery narrative could hit a speed bump — just in time for earnings season. So traders should: Keep an eye on EU-exposed sectors — autos, luxury goods, industrials Monitor the FX space — especially EUR/USD volatility Watch the earnings calendar for reports from multinationals with eurozone exposure Stay alert for a potential 3 a.m. Trump pivot post And maybe keep one tab open for the Brussels response 🌱 A New Deadline, Same Old Drama So, is this real? Maybe. Is it priced in? Partially. Is it over? Definitely not. The July 9 date might delay the fallout, but it also means the headlines — and market jitters — aren’t going anywhere. Investors now have five more weeks of speculation, positioning, and potential volatility as the transatlantic trade story unfolds. And if you’re sitting on European exposure? Maybe don’t go full “buy-the-dip” mode just yet. More like a “watch the tape, prep your hedges, and don’t believe everything you read is final.” Your turn: are you fading the noise or surfing the chaos? Let us know how you’re playing the next move in this global chess match.
TVC:SXXP
by TradingView
21
SMR NNE OKLO – Breakout Setup Triggered by Nuclear CatalystNYSE:SMR is lighting up after Trump’s announcement on nuclear energy — and it’s not alone. NYSE:OKLO and NASDAQ:NNE are also setting up, but NYSE:SMR has one of the cleanest breakout structures on the board. 🔹 Catalyst: Trump’s nuclear energy announcement yesterday is putting serious momentum behind the sector. 🔹 Technical Setup: NYSE:SMR is building a textbook breakout formation, with $32 as the key breakout level. 🔹 Volume & sentiment are increasing — early signs that buyers are positioning. My Trade Plan: 1️⃣ Anticipatory Entry: I’m looking to buy the first dip before the $32 breakout — getting in early with tight risk. 2️⃣ Add on Breakout: Will scale in above $32 if volume confirms. 3️⃣ Stop Loss: Just below the recent base — staying tight on risk. Why I’m Watching This Closely: Sector catalyst + technical setup = 🔥 Nuclear names have been under accumulation, and now they’ve got a narrative tailwind. First dip after a big catalyst is often the best R/R opportunity.
NYSE:OKLOLong
by kunal00
8
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionGold prices surged last week, ending with a strong 3.9% weekly gain, closing around the $3,365 zone after bouncing back with conviction on Friday. In this video, I break down why gold rallied, what key events influenced price action, and how I’m reading the current chart structure to strategically position for the next move. Here’s what’s driving the gold market right now: 🔸 Moody’s U.S. sovereign downgrade reignited safe-haven demand 🔸 Easing U.S.–China tensions led to mid-week profit-taking 🔸 Friday’s sharp rebound (+1.7% intraday) shows bulls are still in the game 🔸 Upcoming high-impact events could shake things up again 🎯 In this analysis, I walk you through: 🔸My technical blueprint (key zones for buyers & sellers) 🔸My bullish and bearish scenarios based on the structure on the chart 🔔 Don’t forget to like the video in support of my work. Disclaimer: Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading. #GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #GoldForecast #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #FedPowell #PCEInflation #FOMCMinutes #GoldPricePrediction #GoldBulls #TradingStrategy #GoldOutlook #USGDP #ForexMentor #PriceActionTrading
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
12
Gold at a Crossroads: Key Resistance Levels in FocusFrom the Trading Desk of InvestmentLive: Gold has struggled to sustain any meaningful downward momentum, despite our broader bearish bias on the yellow metal. After a sharp decline the week before, last week saw gold stage an even stronger recovery, pushing higher and regaining lost ground. However, this upward move was met with a significant technical barrier. Gold's rally was halted precisely at a confluence of resistance zones: the upper band of a falling channel on the weekly timeframe, intersecting with the upper band of a rising channel on the daily chart. This rare technical overlap has acted as a strong ceiling, pausing the bullish momentum for now. The chart below illustrates this confluence clearly: As seen, price action is currently squeezed between two opposing forces. A breakout above this resistance could spark a bullish continuation, while a rejection may lead to a sharp retracement—potentially all the way down to the lower boundary of the broader falling channel. How gold reacts at this level will be crucial for shaping the trading outlook for the week ahead. A decisive move in either direction could define the trend for weeks to come.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Sanmi
6
Technical Analysis with Elliott Waves: A Combined ApproachHello friends, Welcome to RK Charts! This Educational Post is based on technical analysis, specifically how to initiate analysis on a chart, and what points to consider. This is purely for Educational purposes. This is not a trading or investing tip or advisory. Rather, it's a comprehensive guide on how to easily analyze a chart, intended for educational purposes. I hope that by reading and understanding this post, you'll gain valuable knowledge and insights. Your focused effort to understand this will surely provide you with something valuable and easy to grasp. Let's dive in, During technical analysis, what we had observed certain points in this chart, I'm highlighting them here: 1. Resistance line breakout, where the price has closed above it. 2. The volume within that breakout. 3. The price closing above Weekly Exponential Moving Averages. 4. Elliott Wave Counts. 5. Projected Target along with Invalidation level as per Elliott Wave theory. 6. Projected Duration for Projected Targets. Breakout of Resistance zone with Good Volume intensity: So, friends, here we can clearly see on the chart that this is a weekly time frame chart of Shipping Corporation of India Limited. Over the last eleven months, from July 2024, the price has been falling, remaining largely bearish, but has now broken out of Curved Resistance Trendline for the first time with a bullish candle on Weekly (Closing basis), accompanied by good volume intensity. Alongside this, the price has sustained and closed above Major EMAs: - 50-Weekly Exponential moving average (red line plotted on the chart) - 100-Weekly Exponential moving average (blue line plotted on the chart) - 200-Weekly Exponential moving average (black line plotted on the chart) on the weekly time frame. Elliott Wave Theory: Considering the Elliott Wave structure, if we look at it theoretically, the top it made on July 2024, was the completion of Wave III. After that, it completed Wave IV in 7 swings (WXY) and is now possibly moving higher, making higher lows. It has closed above the moving averages, broken out of the Curved Trendline, and has strong volume. So, possibly, we are unfolding an impulse Wave V. In Elliott Wave Theory, the invalidation level means that the price should not go below that level, which in this case is the low of Wave IV at ₹130. If the price goes below that level for any reason, even by a single point, our wave counts will be invalidated, and we'll have to re-analyze the chart. That's why we call it the invalidation level. Analysts and traders also refer to it as a stop-loss level. So, in Elliott Wave Theory, our wave counts remain valid as long as the price stays above the invalidation level and doesn't trigger it. Now, regarding the target, if we take the measurement of Wave IV and calculate its 1.236 level, the target for Wave V should be above the high of Wave III. According to Elliott Wave Theory, the projected target for Wave V is near ₹440, which is the 1.236 Fibonacci level. Projected Duration for Projected Targets: In the chart analysis we conducted, where we prospectively projected a target, if everything goes right and the invalidation level is not triggered, what could be the duration of this target? It will definitely take more than a medium-term duration, maybe even a long-term duration. This is because each candle represents a week, and we're currently looking at the weekly time frame. Since the fourth wave has just ended and the fifth wave is upcoming, it will take a long-term duration I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:SCIEducation
by RK_Chaarts
9
Use a Top Down Approach to gather as much CONFLUENCE as possibleAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!! www.tradingview.com
Short
by Simply-Forex
25
Stocks Have Been in a Bear Market for 25 Years, By This MeasureThe S&P 500 hit a new all-time high in February. However, by one measure it’s been in a bear market all century. Today’s monthly chart shows SP:SPX as a ratio against gold. Using this comparison, equities have underperformed since Bill Clinton was still President in August 2000. It illustrates how stocks languished in the 1970s, before starting an 18-year run against the “barbarous relic” (to borrow from John Maynard Keynes). Then the great equity bubble broke and investors began their first migration back into gold. They subsequently diversified into emerging markets, triggering a secular bear market in U.S. stocks that ended with the subprime crisis. The S&P 500 continued lower against bullion until 2011, when the People's Bank of China turned hawkish. A year or two later, stocks entered a new bull market by breaking above their previous high from 2007. That uptrend continued until late 2021, when post-pandemic inflation lifted interest rates. Gold interestingly held its ground as the Federal Reserve tightened policy, an early sign of emerging strength. The next interesting moment was early 2024, when stocks and the yellow metal both broke out to new highs. However, the S&P 500 still made a lower high when expressed as a ratio against gold. Given worries about the U.S. fiscal deficit, inflation and de-dollarization, some investors may wonder whether the trend that began 25 years ago may remain in effect. Check out TradingView's The Leap competition sponsored by TradeStation. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
SP:SPX
by TradeStation
5
Top 10 Rookie Trading Mistakes (And How to Laugh at Your Own)So you’ve just discovered trading. Maybe it started with a Reddit thread. Maybe someone said “trading Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA is like printing money.” Or maybe you just liked the name “Shiba Inu” and figured memecoins was a good investment thesis. Either way, welcome. This is where dreams are made, lost, rebought on leverage, and then tweeted about. The markets are ruthless, but also educational — if you’re humble enough to learn and bold enough to laugh when you inevitably light your first $100 on fire by accidentally shorting Apple NASDAQ:AAPL during a breakout. This article is for you. The new trader. The (overconfident?) beginner. Let’s talk about the top 10 rookie trading mistakes — and how to laugh at your own before the market does it for you. 1️⃣ Mistaking Luck for Skill (aka “Call Me Baby Buffett”) Your first trade is a win. Your second is too. Maybe it’s a meme stock . Maybe it’s a hot IPO. Either way, you’re convinced you’ve cracked the matrix. You tell your friends: “I just have a feel for this stuff.” What actually happened: You got lucky in a trending market. And now you're about to go full Titanic on a position you didn’t research, because hey — you're "on a roll." What you can do insead, and probably have a laugh about it years later, is screenshot your account right now in your very early steps. Frame it. Label it: Exhibit A in Emotional Risk Management. 2️⃣ The Revenge Trade: “I’ll Win It Back” You took a loss. A big one. Your first real slap from the market. So what do you do? Walk away? Reflect? Journal it? Nah. You go in twice as hard on the next setup. Same ticker. Same direction. More size. Spoiler alert: It doesn’t end well. That type of spiraling behavior usually happens when you think the market owes you something. It doesn’t. Not even an apology. Imagine explaining your decision to a judge. “Your Honor, I lost money shorting Tesla, so naturally I doubled down five minutes later.” Case dismissed — and that’s why revenge trading is so dangerous . 3️⃣ FOMO FOMO FOMO A green candle pops up on your watchlist. It’s moving. Fast. You missed the breakout but you still click “buy” because you’re not missing this train. You get in. It tops. You hold. It drops. You panic. It rebounds… just after you sell. Classic rookie cycle. Why does this happen? The fear of missing out turns off your brain faster than a margin call. Call it what it is — chasing. Say it out loud like it’s therapy: “Hi, this is Patrick and I like to buy things 10% too late.” Maybe it helps. 4️⃣ “I’m Married to This Trade” It started with a spark. The chart looked good. The RSI whispered sweet nothings. You thought, “This could be the one.” So you bought. Then bought again. And when it dipped harder than your last relationship, you said, “It’s okay, we’re just going through a rough patch.” Before you knew it, you weren’t trading — you were in a toxic relationship with a ticker. You’ve abandoned your edge for emotion. Confirmation bias kicks in, and instead of managing risk, you’re managing denial. You stop analyzing the chart and start defending it like it’s your firstborn. If you’re talking about a stock (or anything else on a chart) the way your friend talks about their ex — “It just needs time, I know it’ll come back” — you’re not trading. You’re coping. 5️⃣ All In, All the Time Risk management? Never heard of that. You found a setup that “can’t fail,” so you went 100% in. On margin. On a Friday. What could go wrong? Answer: Everything. Especially when your trade gaps against you on Monday morning after Trump has said tariffs are changing once again. That’s when you know you’re mistaking conviction for strategy. They’re not the same. 6️⃣ Ignoring the Bigger Picture You nailed the 15-minute chart. Gorgeous breakout. But somehow, you forgot to check the daily — where your “breakout” is just a lower high in a brutal downtrend. Oops. Think about whether you've got tunnel vision. You went along with your short-term bias instead of checking the bigger picture when things are different. What you can do instead, is make a rule: before every trade, zoom out. Literally. Leave no timeframe unexamined (at least up to the daily frame). 7️⃣ Trading Every Day Like It’s the Super Bowl New traders think they have to trade every day. Every single session. Every little move. And when there’s no good setup? They make one up, trying to whip up trendlines to justify their trading. What happens next: Boredom trades. Overtrading. Why it happens: You're addicted to the action, not the outcome. What can you do instead? Write down the number of trades you made last week. Multiply it by the average commission you paid. Now imagine what you could’ve bought instead. And, what could be even better, consider taking a lesson in patience . 8️⃣ Blind Faith in Indicators The RSI is at 18. The MACD just crossed. Stochastic says “maybe.” So you buy. No price action. No trend. Just… vibes and indicators. Result: You become a victim of the “indicator trap” — relying so heavily on these lines you forget to read the actual chart — momentum, market sentiment, broader technicals, and fundamentals. What’s a better approach is to ​​treat your indicators like seasoning, not the main dish. The best trades come from confluence, not wishful thinking dressed up as technical analysis. 9️⃣ The Trading Journal You Never Wrote If you can’t remember why you entered a trade, you’re not at your best. Here’s a pro tip: Keep a trading journal . One that records your thesis, entry, stop, target, and outcome. You know — the boring stuff that makes you better. Why is that important? Journaling builds discipline. Patterns. Self-awareness. It’s never too late to start your journal! 🔟 Expecting to Get Rich Quick This is the big one. The rookie mindset that kills most portfolios: I’m gonna turn $500 into $5,000 in a month. You won’t. Sorry. And even if you do, you won’t keep it. Trading rewards patience, process, and preservation. Not YOLO bets and delusions of grandeur. Try looking at your P&L like a diet. If you expect six-pack abs in a week, you’ll burn out and crash your progress. If you focus on habits? You’ll outlive the hype. 📚 Conclusion: Every Trader Starts Stupid Let’s be clear — all of us have made these mistakes, even the big shots out there that run billion-dollar funds. The only difference between a rookie and a pro is how fast you learn from them. Or better yet — how fast you can laugh at them, document them, and evolve. Because the truth is, the market is the most expensive comedy club on Earth. And every trade is a new punchline. So if you're new, mess up. Take notes. Stay humble. And above all — enjoy the chaos. One day you’ll look back at your Doge CRYPTOCAP:DOGE top-buy with fondness. After all, it’s only a mistake if you didn’t learn. Otherwise, it’s just tuition paid for by your trading account. What’s a mistake we didn’t mention? Share your tips, tricks, mistakes, and lessons in the comment section!
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
19
The break-up (a must-watch chart)One of the most important—and unusual—developments in the market right now is the combination of rising US bond yields and a falling US dollar. Normally, when bond yields go up, the dollar strengthens. It's similar to a high-interest bank account: if you can earn more by holding US assets, global investors tend to pile in, increasing demand for the dollar. But that’s not what we’re seeing today. Instead, yields are rising while the dollar weakens—something that’s more often associated with emerging markets facing debt concerns. It signals a deeper issue: despite higher returns on offer, investors are becoming wary of the underlying fundamentals. In short, **America’s massive debt load and relentless money printing may be starting to catch up—**even with the world’s reserve currency. And the market is beginning to take notice. This is important to all asset classes moving forward. Keep your eyes peeled on it.
TVC:US10Y
by Sam_Eder
24
US10Y Technical Breakdown – Post-Moody’s DowngradeMoody’s has downgraded the US credit rating for the first time since 2011, citing rising debt levels and long-term fiscal challenges. This move sends a clear warning signal about America’s fiscal path and adds fresh uncertainty to markets already navigating interest rates, inflation, and geopolitical risks. Focus on the US 10-Year Treasury Yield as the market’s pulse on sovereign risk, inflation expectations, and future borrowing costs. Tracking its medium-term trend will provide crucial clues on market sentiment and risk appetite. Medium-Term Market Analysis (6-12 Months) 1. Structural Fiscal Risks This downgrade highlights growing concerns over the US debt trajectory and political gridlock around spending and debt ceilings. It’s less about an immediate crisis, more about long-term sustainability. 2. Rising Yields and Market Volatility The 10-year Treasury yield could move higher, beyond 4.60% we could see rates possibly testing previous resistance of 4.80% (Jan 2025) or 5.00% (Oct 2023). Higher yields mean increased borrowing costs, which can pressure interest-sensitive sectors like tech and real estate and add volatility to equities. 3. Federal Reserve’s Tough Balancing Act With bond yields edging up, the Fed faces a dilemma: delaying cuts further could risk inflation climbing higher. However, this downgrade raises the likelihood that the Fed could keep rates higher for longer than many investors expect. 4. Dollar and Capital Flow Shifts While a credit downgrade may initially pressure the US dollar, its safe-haven status remains strong. Global capital could increasingly look to alternatives like emerging markets or gold, leading to shifts in international financial flows. Perspective While Moody’s downgrade is a serious signal, it’s important to consider: 1) Political Leverage: Sometimes, rating agencies’ decisions can influence political negotiations. This downgrade may add pressure on US lawmakers to reach fiscal compromises. It’s a tool, not necessarily a verdict. 2) US Dollar & Debt Demand Resilience: Despite concerns, US Treasury securities remain the world’s primary safe asset, with global demand still robust. This could temper yield spikes and limit fallout. Some could view the downgrade as “priced in” to a degree, given ongoing debt ceiling battles and past political brinkmanship. If true, markets may react less dramatically than feared. Watch US 10-Year Yield: Key indicator to watch for shifts in risk sentiment and inflation expectations. Equities: Prepare for increased volatility; consider defensive sectors and value plays. Credit Markets: Monitor for widening spreads as risk aversion grows. Policy Signals: Fed communications and US political developments will be critical catalysts. This Moody’s downgrade isn’t just a headline, it’s a medium-term signal to recalibrate risk and position for a more uncertain fiscal backdrop.
TVC:US10Y
by JinDao_Tai
11
UJ Could Tumble Back To 140 If Bears Take Expanding RangeToday FX:USDJPY Sellers make a Breakout of the Rising Support of the Expanding Range it's been trading in since the Low that started the range back on April 22nd. An Expanding Range is typically considered a Continuation Pattern suggesting that if Sellers can hold price under the Rising Support, we can suspect JPY to overcome USD in this pair pulling price down continuing the Downtrend it was in prior to entering the pattern. Once the Breakout of Consolidation is Validated, a Breakout & Retest of the Rising Support could deliver potential Short Opportunities to take price down to the Low of the Range. Fundamentally, there is a lot of worry about the fall out of Tariff Talks with important trade partners with the 90-Day grace period soon coming to an end, weakening labor market potentially signaling "Stagflation" and additionally, it is suspected that Trump's Tax Cut Bill could add $3 - $5 Trillion to the $36.2 Trillion debt the US is already suffering from, further harming the Dollar. -https://www.tradingview.com/news/reuters.com,2025:newsml_L1N3RT018:0-dollar-on-defensive-as-traders-eye-trump-tax-bill-g7-currency-talks/ -https://www.tradingview.com/news/te_news:459470:0-dollar-extends-losses/
Short
by Novi_Fibonacci
13
Usd/Jpy intra-day Analysis 20-May-2025Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
by easyMarkets
13
5-20-25 WARNING : Bitcoin Sets Up MASSIVE Double-Top WarningI highlighted this incredible price/technical pattern in my morning Plan Your Trade video. But, I thought it was important enough to create a separate video highlighting this incredible Double-Top warning and to try to tell all of my followers to start actively protecting capital over the next 2-3+ weeks. As much as I would like to say this won't happen (meaning some type of crisis event or global financial crisis) causing a collapse in Bitcoin (and the US/Global markets) - but I believe the continued constraints on the global markets, related to Trump's policies and attempts to reduce US govt spending) will act as a devaluation event for global economies. Think about it for a minute... 1. If the US is able to remove $500-900 Billion in fraud/waste/NGO spending (of which, a portion of that spending is dedicated to supporting global initiatives/spending), this will result in a contraction (in some form) for some global economies. 2. If the US is able to negotiate more favorable tariff rates for US goods supplied to the world (where foreign nations reduce or eliminate tariffs on US goods), this will also act as a reduction in economic income for many foreign nations. 3. These combined and continued efforts to restructure the US economy into a strong and more dynamic global economic driver (more fairly balanced in terms of global trade) will come at the expense of breaking away from what has traditionally been untouched. This breaking of the past, in terms of what nations expected related to US spending and tariffs on US Goods, may represent a 15-25% (or more) contraction in foreign economic activity. If this disruption from "what was normal" results in the US Fed, or global central banks, taking emergency measures to address short-falls in their economies, this could prompt a series of events that could result in a broad devaluation type of event (very similar to what happened after COVID in 2022-2023). That event was prompted by the US Fed raising rates trying to stop inflation. This event could be the result of slower/lower economic outputs/expectations related to the changing tariff rates and the reduction in US spending throughout the world. Central Banks and regional governments may attempt to provide some type of capital stimulus to transition through this phase - but I see that as "building a bigger bubble - just waiting to pop". The smart move for global central banks is to follow the US's lead and start to move towards more austerity/accountability regarding their own economies/spending and attempt to let the devaluation price phase play out. Either way, time will tell if I'm correct or not. You have been warned. IMO, you have about 3-6 weeks before BTCUSD potentially tops and may roll into a very strong breakdown phase. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradMatheny
62
3 Reasons Arista Networks Could Soon Rally SignificantlyIn 2023, we covered Arista Networks NYSE:ANET , calling it part of the internet’s "bedrock" but rating it a Hold due to valuation concerns. Since then, ANET has outperformed the S&P 500, proving our call wrong. Recently, ANET’s stock has dipped alongside broader market declines. However, we believe the selloff presents a buying opportunity, given ANET’s strong positioning in AI and cloud growth. Here’s why: 1. Strong Growth Drivers ANET’s revenue comes from three segments: Core (65%), Cognitive Adjacencies (18%), and Cognitive Network (17%). Its hardware (Ethernet switches, routers) and software (EOS) are critical for hyperscalers (48% of revenue), enterprises (35%), and providers (17%). With AI and cloud capex surging, ANET is well-positioned for sustained demand. 2. Best-in-Class Margins ANET’s net margins have nearly doubled since 2020, reaching ~42% TTM. Operating leverage allows revenue growth to flow efficiently to the bottom line. While R&D spending must remain competitive, ANET’s high-margin business supports strong earnings. 3. Attractive Valuation Despite premium multiples (14x sales, 35x earnings), ANET trades near 5-year lows relative to historical trends. If growth (projected ~20%) and margins hold, a re-rating toward its average P/E (~40x) could drive shares toward $100+. Risks - Customer concentration (Meta + Microsoft = 35% of revenue). - Margin pressure if R&D spending lags. - Multiple compression in a weak market. Verdict: Buy ANET’s growth, margins, and valuation make it compelling. While risks exist, the upside outweighs them. Good luck out there!
NYSE:ANETLong
by PropNotes
5
Golden Cross? No Thanks!! Here’s How to Get In Early.📉 “Golden Cross? No Thanks. Here’s How to Get In Early.” By FXProfessor Everyone’s hyped about the Golden Cross again... 📰 “Bullish Signal!” 📈 “50 SMA crossed the 200!” 🎉 “Party time!” Let me stop you right there. If you’re waiting for that cross to go long — You’re not late. You’re definitely late. The Golden Cross is a lagging indication. It’s the afterparty. The smart money already had the drinks and left. 🔍 Here's the deal: ✅ Golden Cross forms after the move ✅ Price is usually already up double digits ✅ Sometimes it triggers right before a top ✅ Even EMAs (which I prefer) are still confirmation tools ✅ The real edge? Structure. Trendlines. Pressure zones. 📊 What I use instead: -Custom EMAs that react faster -My signature parallelogram method for early pressure -Focus on trendlines and structure -Above all — logic, not hype - Fundamentals first! For example, while the Golden Cross just printed, I was already watching $74,394 and $79,000. Why? Because pressure builds before indicators react. That's where the best entries live. So next time someone posts “Golden Cross confirmed!” 😏 Just smile and remember: By the time the cross lights up, I’m already halfway to the next target. Use EMAs if you like. But structure comes first. That’s where the party starts. One Love, The FXProfessor 🧠📈 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome people who care about the TRADER FIRST!
TRADENATION:BTCUSDLong
by FX_Professor
16